Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy For Locally Advanced T4 Colon Cancer: A Nationwide Propensity-Score Matched Cohort Analysis
Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy For Locally Advanced T4 Colon Cancer: A Nationwide Propensity-Score Matched Cohort Analysis
Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy For Locally Advanced T4 Colon Cancer: A Nationwide Propensity-Score Matched Cohort Analysis
Oncology, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, The Netherlands; c Department of Research and Development,
The Netherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organisation, Utrecht, The Netherlands; d Department of Surgery, Erasmus MC
Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, The Netherlands; e Department of Surgery, Amphia Hospital, Breda, The Netherlands
108 patients
211 patients 182 patients
with 2,146 T4 colon cancer patients
treated with not treated
rectosigmoid matching inclusion criteria
radiotherapy with surgery
cancer
gins, postoperative complications, length of follow-up, and vital for neoadjuvant treatment, χ2 was performed. A propensity score
status. Location of the tumor was coded according to the ICD-O matching (PSM) analysis including all baseline characteristics that
(C18.0-C19.9) [8]. Morphology was divided into 3 subtypes: mu- were significantly associated with neoadjuvant CT treatment and
cinous (ICD-O 8480, 8481), signet ring cell (8490) and non-muci- all unbalanced baseline covariables was performed to adjust for
nous, non-signet ring cell adenocarcinoma (8000, 8010, 8020, confounding. Variables used in matching were: age, gender, year
8021, 8140, 8141, 8143, 8144, 8210, 8211, 8220, 8221, 8260, 8261, of diagnosis, tumor location, morphology, differentiation grade,
8262, 8263). Date of diagnosis was defined as the date of first his- clinical T-stage, and clinical N-stage. Patients were matched in a
tological confirmation of malignancy, most often the day of endo- ratio of 1:2 between the neoadjuvant and the control groups since
scopic biopsy. After resection the pathologist performed final stag- this results in improved precision without an increase in bias [26].
ing. Pathological tumor (ypT) and nodal staging was compared to All patients without a matching counterpart were excluded from
clinical staging in both groups to assess downstaging effects of neo- the analyses. After PSM, baseline characteristics were compared to
adjuvant CT and to highlight differences between clinical and ypT assure that no major differences persisted between the groups. Af-
staging in the control group. R0 resections were achieved if the ter PSM, OS curves were rendered according to the Kaplan-Meier
resection margins were microscopically free of tumor. In case of method. The equality of the distribution between both groups was
irradical resections, the resection was either labeled R1 (micro- compared using the log-rank test. A landmark analysis was per-
scopic involvement of the resection margins) or R2 (macroscopic formed to correct for immortal time bias. The landmark was set at
involvement). Major postoperative complications were recorded the time point where 90% of both groups had started treatment.
(abscesses and/or anastomotic leakage). Thirty-day postoperative This cutoff point was determined to be 96 days. All patients with a
mortality was calculated for patients whose date of resection was follow-up of 95 days or less were excluded from the analysis. R0
known in the neoadjuvant group. Thirty-day mortality was not resection rates, postoperative complications, pT and pN stages
calculated in the adjuvant group because the control group only were compared using χ2 tests. The number of harvested and posi-
contains patients that were treated with adjuvant CT. tive lymph nodes was compared with independent sample t tests.
Clinical and ypT and nodal staging were compared to evaluate the
Data Analysis downstaging effects of neoadjuvant CT. Significant tumor down-
First, patient and tumor characteristics were compared using staging was defined as downstaging from cT4 to ypT2–0 and sig-
the χ2 test. The Fisher’s exact test was used in case one or more if nificant nodal downstaging as cN+ to ypN0. In the control group,
the expected outcomes were < 5. Continuous variables were de- clinical and pathological nodal stagings were compared to assess
picted as mean + 95% CI or median + range and compared using under- and overstaging. For all statistical analyses, IBM SPSS Sta-
independent sample t tests. p values < 0.05 were considered sig- tistics software, version 25.0 (IBM Corporation, Armonk, NY,
nificant. To assess the possibility of bias by baseline characteristics USA) was used.
80
Staging Accuracy in the Control Group
60
Comparison between clinical T stage and pathological
stage shows that 105 (35%) patients with a T3 tumor and
1 patient with a T2 tumor were overstaged as T4. Clinical
40
nodal staging with CT detected lymph node metastases in
119 (52%) of all 228 patients that were node-positive after
20
pathological analysis. Seventy seven (34%) of these 228
patients were understaged as cN0 and nodal status based
0 on imaging was lacking in 32 (14%) of these 228 patients.
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Overstaging based on clinical imaging occurred in 16
Year of incidence
(23%) of all 68 patients that showed no evidence of nodal
involvement after pathological assessment (Table 2b).
Fig. 2. Distribution of treatment regimen per year in percentage.
Downstaging
In patients treated with neoadjuvant CT, cT stage was
Results compared to the ypT stage to investigate the effect of neo-
adjuvant CT on tumor load.
Baseline Characteristics before Matching In all patients, cT stage was reported before start of
From 2008 until 2016, 16,177 patients were diagnosed neoadjuvant CT. A total of 13 patients suggested signifi-
with stage II or III colon cancer and treated with CT. Only cant downstaging of the primary tumor after systemic
2,146 of these patients were diagnosed with cT4 colon therapy (cT4 to pT0–2, 8.7%). Five of these patients
cancer and matched the inclusion criteria. The majority showed a complete pathological response (pT0; Table 3).
of these (1,954 patients [91%]) were treated with surgery In the control group, only 1 clinically T4 staged tumor
and adjuvant CT and 192 (9%) received neoadjuvant CT was overstaged as a pathological T2 stage (0.3%). This
followed by surgery. The use of neoadjuvant CT treat- downstaging effect was statistically significant (p < 0.001).
ment increased significantly over time (p < 0.001; Fig. 2). Nodal downstaging was suggested in 34 of 65 patients
In 2008, 4% of all patients diagnosed with a cT4 tumor who were clinically node-positive (52%; Table 2a). Nodal
were treated with neoadjuvant therapy compared to overstaging in the control group occurred only in 16
21.4% in 2016. Age was not significantly different be- (23%) patients that were diagnosed with cN+ even though
tween both groups, median age in the neoadjuvant group they had pN0 disease. There were significantly less patho-
was 64 (range 29–84) vs. 64 years (range 25–88) in the logically positive lymph nodes (median 0, range [0–23])
control group, p = 0.9 (Table 1). Patients in the neoadju- in the neoadjuvant group compared to the control group
vant group had significantly more tumors located in the median 2 (0–23), (p = 0.01) The number of sampled
sigmoid colon (42 vs. 34%, p = 0.007) and significantly lymph nodes was more than adequate in both groups,
more T4b tumors (74 vs. 57.5%, p = < 0.001). with a median of 17 (4–53) sampled nodes in the neoad-
juvant group and 20 (0–71) in the control group.
Propensity Score Matching
A propensity score was calculated to adjust for biases Surgical Outcomes
caused by differences in baseline characteristics between After matching the difference in incomplete resection,
the 2 groups. The propensity score was calculated based rates in favor of the adjuvant group remained significant.
on: age (categories 0–50, 51–55, 56–60, 61–65, 66–70, 71– In 77.2% of patients (n = 115) in the neoadjuvant group,
75, 76–80, 80–>80), gender, year of diagnosis, tumor lo- a complete resection (R0) was achieved. In 19 patients
cation, differentiation grade, morphology, clinical-T (12.8%), the resection margins were macroscopically free
stage, and clinical-N stage. The PSM excluded 43 patients of disease but microscopically positive for tumor invasion
in the neoadjuvant group and 1,656 patients in the con- (R1). In 6 patients (4%) it was not possible to achieve
trol group because no matching counterpart was found complete resection of the tumor and there was macro-
Age, years, median (range) 64 (29–84) 64 (25–88) 0.905 66.0 66.0 0.662
Gender, n (%)
Male 101 (52.6) 993 (50.8) 0.651 74 (49.7) 155 (52.0) 0.640
Female 91 (47.4) 961 (49.2) 75 (50.3) 143 (48.0)
Localization, n (%)
Coecum 31 (16.1) 503 (25.7) 0.007 28 (18.8) 63 (21.1) 0.808
Colon 80 (41.7) 772 (39.5) 64 (43.3) 129 (43.3)
Sigmoid 81 (42.2) 679 (34.7) 57 (38.8) 106 (35.6)
Differentiation grade, n (%)
Well/moderate 72 (37.5) 1,231 (63.0) 0.432 71 (47.7) 141 (47.3) 0.945
Poorl/undifferentiated 26 (13.5) 540 (27.6) 26 (17.4) 49 (16.4)
Unknown 94 (49.0) 183 (9.4) 52 (34.9) 108 (36.2)
Morphology, n (%)
Adenocarcinoma 159 (82.8) 1,554 (79.5) 0.222 120 (80.5) 228 (76.5) 0.730
Mucinous carcinoma 31 (16.1) 332 (17.0) 27 (18.1) 66 (22.1)
Signet ring cell carcinoma 0 (0) 37 (1.9) 0 (0) 1 (0.3)
Other/unknown 2 (1.0) 31 (1.6) 2 (1.3) 3 (1.0)
Clinical T-stage, n (%)
T4 19 (9.9) 397 (20.3) <0.001 13 (8.7) 25 (8.4) 0.941
T4a 31 (16.1) 433 (22.2) 24 (16.1) 52 (17.4)
T4b 142 (74.0) 1,124 (57.5) 112 (75.2) 221 (74.2)
Clinical N-stage, n (%)
N0 81 (42.2) 721 (36.9) 0.061 65 (43.6) 120 (40.3) 0.483
N1 63 (32.8) 633 (32.4) 47 (31.5) 84 (28.2)
N2 23 (12.0) 193 (9.9) 18 (12.1) 51 (17.1)
Nx/unknown 25 (13.0) 407 (20.8) 19 (12.8) 43 (14.4)
scopically visible residual disease (R2). In the control able Cox regression was not calculated since the Kaplan-
group, an R0 resection rate of 86.2% (n = 225) was Meier curves crossed, and therefore the assumption of
achieved. There were 6% (n = 18) R1 resections and 1.7% proportional hazards is violated.
(n = 5) R2 resections. Data regarding complications was
available in 92% of the patients (n = 137) in the neoadju-
vant group and in 93% (n = 275) of the control group Discussion
(Table 3). There were no significant differences in surgi-
cal complications such as anastomotic leakage and ab- Neoadjuvant CT for LACC is infrequently used and cur-
scess formation between the 2 groups (p = 0.854). rent research is inconclusive regarding its potential benefit.
With only a few studies published, it not surprising that
Survival neoadjuvant CT for LACCs is not considered a common
The median follow-up was 44 (4–133) months in the practice in the Netherlands yet [21–23]. This nationwide
neoadjuvant group and 44 (0–133) months in the control database study illustrates that preoperative CT is safe, re-
group. The 5-year overall survival was 67% in the neoad- sults in significant tumor and nodal downstaging and yields
juvant group and 65% in the control group. However, this excellent long-term outcomes in a selected group of pa-
difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.867; tients with clinically locally advanced (cT4) colon cancer.
Fig. 3). Thirty day mortality after surgery was 0% in the Preoperative systemic therapy is shown to be non-in-
neoadjuvant group. This could not be compared to the ferior in terms of safety and does not increase surgical
control group because of immortal time bias. Multivari- morbidity or mortality when compared to standard sur-
bias influencing the choice of neoadjuvant treatment. tumors. This is supported by the finding that 28% of pa-
Since national guidelines recommend surgery in case of tients in the neoadjuvant group were treated with target-
resectable tumors, presumably a significant percentage of ed therapy while treatment with the VEGF-A inhibitor
patients treated with neoadjuvant CT had tumors with Bevacizumab is normally reserved for palliative treat-
unfavorable characteristics and/or clinically unresectable ment and not recommended in resectable disease [36].
60
lining the potential value of neoadjuvant treatment in
this select group of patients. Unfortunately, the NCR
does not contain data on disease recurrence and thus
40
disease-free survival cannot be calculated. The overall
survival percentages in both groups are comparable
20
Neoadjuvant since tumor recurrence is significantly associated with
Adjuvant overall survival [40]. Pathological data on tumor regres-
0 sion after neoadjuvant treatment are also absent and
0 1 2 3 4 5
5-years overall survival probability curves of neoadjuvant
could be of interest since this is known to correlate with
and adjuvant regimens, years recurrence-free survival in other gastrointestinal malig-
nancies [41, 42]. Finally, the NCR does not contain spe-
cific data on the type of CT and whether patients suf-
Fig. 3. Landmarked overall survival after propensity matching.
fered treatment-related toxicity. However, the standard
adjuvant treatment regimen for colon cancer in the
Netherlands consists of a fluoropyrimidine and oxali-
The difference in R0 resections is, therefore, more likely platin combination and it is highly likely that neoadju-
a result of persisting bias based on unfavorable tumor vant treatment also consists of this combination.
characteristics and primary irresectability and not of the In conclusion, this is the first nationwide population-
neoadjuvant treatment itself. This is supported by the based analysis which shows that neoadjuvant CT for lo-
preliminary data from the Foxtrot trial where in a ran- cally advanced cT4 colon cancer seems safe and yields
domized setting the percentage of margin involvement is similar overall survival compared to adjuvant CT. A low-
significantly lower in the neoadjuvant group (4 vs. 20%). er R0 resection rate was observed in the neoadjuvant
An encouraging finding of this study is that despite the group but there is no significant increase in postoperative
higher R0 resection rate, an excellent 5-year overall sur- complications or mortality. Moreover, it leads to signifi-
vival rate of 67% was demonstrated in the neoadjuvant cant downstaging of tumor and lymph node stage. The
group. This is similar to the survival in the control group long-term survival benefit of this treatment is to be estab-
(65%) and comparable to recent literature [37–39]. Most lished in a large randomized trial, but it already seems to
importantly, these results are in accordance with the first be a useful and safe modality in patients with locally ad-
results of the randomized phase FOxTROT trial that were vanced and possibly unresectable primary tumors.
presented at the ASCO annual meeting 2019. The authors
reported that there was no significant difference observed
in the 2-year failure rate between both groups. Five-year Statement of Ethics
overall survival results are required to confirm the long-
All research was conducted ethically in accordance with the
term benefits but the concordance with the results in this World Medical Association Declaration of Helsinki. The data re-
cohort is encouraging. quest and study protocol was approved by the Netherlands Com-
This study has some limitations; some degree of se- prehensive Cancer Organization.
lection bias is inevitable, owing to the observational na-
ture of the study. However, PSM was performed to bal-
ance the cohorts and differences in baseline characteris- Disclosure Statement
tics between the groups were no longer significant. The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
Moreover, selection bias could have occurred in the
control group since only patients who were able to un-
dergo adjuvant CT were included and as such patients Funding Sources
who died postoperatively or suffered from severe com-
plications were excluded. Nevertheless, including these There was no funding provided for this manuscript.
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