DP &pa I
DP &pa I
DP &pa I
November-2024
Course contents
Chapter contents
Evolution of development thinking
The meaning of development planning
The rationale for development planning
The need for planning in Ethiopia
Requisites for successful development planning
Evolution of development thinking and planning
Introduction
The evolution of development thinking can be summarized in to
three different periods:
The Early Post War Consensus
The Washington Consensus
The Oscillating Search for Silver Bullet
1.The Early Post War consensus
This period covers immediately after the end of World War II up
to the end of 1960's and the beginning of 1970's.
This is an interesting period for the developing world because it
gets attention from academicians how on growth and
development could be achieved in these countries.
(https://thisvsthat.io/development-vs-growth)
Cont.….
That is why in the 1950's and 1960's, the previously neglected
sub-fields of Development Economics were rediscovered
Available economic models seemed to offer only limited insights
into the practical problems facing the so-called Third World.
The dominant one-sector macro models of the day, from
Keynesian to Harrod-Domar to Solow seemed to have relatively
little relevance for societies not primarily concerned with
business cycles or steady-state properties.
The early post-war consensus period could be looked into
five important sub-periods.
Dualism
Need for Balanced Growth (structuralism)
International Trade Scene
Interventionist State
Technology in generating growth
aa..Dualism
Dualism
• Dualism is a term that refers to various philosophical, theological,
or political views that involve two distinct or opposing concepts.
• It attracted due attention during the 1950s and 1960s. The
components under dualism are:
Sociological dualism: Boeke, 1953 is the major proponent.
The central theme of sociological dualism was differences between
Western and non-Western objectives and cultures are the major
source for dualism.
• Technological dualism:Higgins,1956 is the major proponent.
Differences between variable factor proportions in the traditional
sector and fixed coefficients in the modern sector as major sources
for dualism.
• Physiocrats:viewing land as the source of all wealth, agricultural
surplus supporting the non-agricultural sector.
• Classical dualism: Ricardo and Lewis 1951 are major proponents.
Surplus labor as potential for growth when transferred from
agriculture to non-agriculture.
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Cont.….
b. Need for Balanced Growth (structuralism)
• Rosenstein:- Rodan, 1943 and Nurkse, 1953 and others
emphasized the need for balanced growth not only between
agriculture and non-agriculture but also with in each sector.
c. International Trade Scene
• Prebisch,1962 stated that the international trade scene
painted in colors and was unfriendly for development and
demanded for equitable exchange.
d.Interventionist State
• The current theoretical thinking indicates that there is strong
inclination to turn to the intervention state as a key
instrument for development.
e. Technology in generating growth
.