Mux 045
Mux 045
Mux 045
doi:10.1093/jopart/mux045
Article
Advance Access publication January 24, 2018
Article
Abstract
The public administration literature has been dominated by questions about how politicians can
control the bureaucracy’s application and implementation of laws at the back end of the policy pro-
cess. Much less scholarly attention is devoted to the influence of the bureaucracy on the content
and composition of the policy agenda at the front end of the process. Agenda setting is a funda-
mental aspect of politics, and this article examines the influence of the bureaucracy on the policy
agenda and the conditions for this influence. The core proposition is that the policy agenda is
larger and more diverse in political systems in which administrative professionals take up a larger
share of the bureaucracy. This effect is expected to be mitigated by the involvement of elected
representatives in the policymaking process. The empirical analysis supports these expectations.
The findings are based on a time-series cross-section dataset from 98 Danish municipalities over
7 years containing a detailed coding of local council agendas and rich register data.
Since the US community studies of the 1950s and 1960s and Jones 2014; Green-Pedersen and Walgrave 2014;
(e.g., Dahl 1956; 1961; Hunter 1953; Mills 1956), the Zahariadis 2016).
importance of agenda setting (i.e., the ongoing selec- Traditionally, the literature on policy agenda set-
tion of a limited number of policy problems1 for poli- ting has explained the policy agenda using variables
ticians to handle) has been widely acknowledged in relating to party politics (Novotny et al. 2016), interest
political science. Schattschneider is often credited as groups (Bonafont 2016), public opinion, and/or prob-
the founding father of the field with his observation lem indicators, such as economic conditions, unem-
that “[s]ome issues are organized into politics while ployment, or crime rates (e.g., Baumgartner et al. 2011;
others are organized out” (Schattschneider 1960, 69). Mortensen and Seeberg 2016). Despite two recent
This identification of a “conflict of conflicts” was path- exceptions (Baumgartner and Jones 2015; Workman
breaking, as it emphasized how political conflict is not 2015), however, the bureaucracy has been left out of
only about decisions on issues that are already on the the equation when it comes to the question about what
political agenda but also about which issues make it or who influences the policy agenda.
onto the political agenda in the first place (for recent This ignorance is surprising given the longstanding
reviews, see Baumgartner et al. 2017; Eissler, Russell, scholarly interest in the relationship between adminis-
tration and politics (e.g., Jacobsen 2006; Peters 2010;
Earlier versions of this article have been presented at The 9th Annual
Svara 2001; Weber 1922; Wilson 1887). It is further
Conference of the Comparative Agendas Project in Geneva, and at surprising given the importance and resources of
the Public Management Research Conference in Aarhus. Thanks to bureaucracies in modern political systems. As argued
the other participants for valuable comments. Also thanks to Jørgen by Meier (2007), any theory of politics must also be
Grønnegaard Christensen, Carsten Jensen, Matt W. Loftis, and the a theory of public administration. The bureaucracy
three anonymous reviewers for constructive and helpful comments
and suggestions. Finally, thanks to Kurt Houlberg and FLS for generous
does not merely implement policies at the back end
assistance with data. of the policy process. With their expertise and special-
1
We use “policy problems” and “issues” interchangeably. ized knowledge on various issue domains, bureaucrats
© The Author(s) 2018. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Public Management Research Association. 239
All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: [email protected].
240 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, 2018, Vol. 28, No. 2
filter information and generate alternatives to political Examining these questions empirically requires rich
decision-makers at the front end of the policy process and valid data on the policy agenda, the composition
(Baumgartner and Jones 2015; Workman 2015). In of the public bureaucracy, and the involvement of poli-
other words, the bureaucracy is in a core position in ticians. Being able to distinguish the effect of bureau-
the process of transforming conditions into political cracy also requires a research setting in which we can
problems and solutions that reach the policy agenda. control for the potentially large range of other policy
This point is just as important for research in public agenda determinants. To meet these requirements, we
administration as to agenda setting research. Even if base our empirical analysis on time series data (2007–
the relationship between the political level and bureau- 2013) from all 98 Danish municipalities. As detailed
cracy has featured prominently in the public adminis- below, the Danish municipalities are potent political
tration literature, the debate has primarily centered on units responsible for providing about half of all pub-
the back end of the policy process: How do popularly lic service deliveries and accounting for around half of
elected politicians get a bureaucracy to turn laws into all public spending in Denmark. Danish municipalities
politicians from attending to inputs proportionately Whereas health or education professionals in the or-
(Jones and Baumgartner 2005), the processing of ganization can be expected to try to gain professional
information from the bureaucracy to the elected politi- autonomy from political interference in their area, ad-
cians is critical to the policy agenda. Information and ministrative professionals may be more politically ori-
attention are closely related, and information makes ented (Smith and Christensen 2016). These skills allow
politicians aware of new problems or facets of prob- administrative professionals—and their professional
lems possibly requiring attention (Baumgartner and interest encourages them—to identify, connect, and
Jones 2015). Workman (2015) places similar emphasis process a wide range of potentially sensitive political
on the relevance of the bureaucracy for policy agenda problems. In contrast to bureaucrats with a more sec-
setting. According to Workman (2015), in addition to tor-specific educational background, they may also be
policy implementation, decision-makers also rely on able to communicate the identification of such prob-
the bureaucracy for policy feedback, problem detec- lems to politicians more credibly.2
tion, and the design of new policies. Workman (2015) Providing relevant input to the policy agenda puts
the likelihood of adopting new, untried public services professionals. We focus on two aspects of the involve-
(Bhatti, Olsen, and Pedersen 2011). This is argued to ment of politicians in the policymaking process.
be due to the importance of administrative profession- First, the attention and involvement of politicians
als to innovation because of their analytical skills and possibly depend on the organization of the policy-
theoretical knowledge. They are entrepreneurs, able to making process. The committee structure of the pol-
take risks and to work outside of the standard oper- itical system has been studied extensively in research
ating procedures and routines within an organization on the US Congress (Groseclose 1994; Shepsle and
(Bhatti, Olsen, and Pedersen 2011, 581–2). Hence, they Weingast 1985; Sprague 2008) and political systems
are qualitatively different from public sector employ- from other countries, including Danish municipali-
ees who are specialized in casework and in implement- ties (Bækgaard 2010; 2011). Important agenda setting
ing political decisions. studies indicate that the committee structure shapes
All else equal, then, what difference would it make political attention (Sheingate 2006; Talbert, Jones, and
to the policy agenda to staff a bureaucracy with a rela- Baumgartner 1995). Within its jurisdiction, a commit-
as amateur politicians rely more heavily on profes- Table 1. Key Facts About Danish Local Governments
sionalized executive agencies to define problems and
Key Facts Meana
develop solutions” (Boushey and McGrath 2017,
85). Our reasoning is that such an effect of political Council members 25
involvement on regulation must go through an effect Parties in council 6b
on the policy agenda. As discussed below, we utilize a Turnout 71.9%
measure of councilor remuneration as the indicator of Council members average working 18.3
how professionalized the elected politicians are. This hours/week
Pct. of revenue from local taxes 75%
corresponds directly to the measure used by Boushey
Share of public employees at local 65% (500,000
and McGrath (2017) in their study of US states. level employees)
Theoretically, both the committee structure and the Share of GDP spent at local level 20%
councilor remuneration are seen as two different indi-
cators of the degree of politicians’ involvement in the Note: aAverage across municipalities at/around the 2013 election.
true number of administrative professionals due to self- Particularly, we measure our main independent vari-
selection bias. Hence, to arrive at the most valid and able as the number of administrative professionals (our
reliable indicator, we combine three indicators into an index) per 100 administrative employees in the muni-
index. Our first indicator is taken from previous work cipality. Along with this measure, we control for the
(Bhatti, Olsen, and Pedersen 2009, 2011), and from total number of administrative employees in the mu-
each municipality and each year we gather from the nicipality (i.e., not service providers such as teachers
DJØF member database information about the number and daycare workers). As explained above, we use this
of municipal employees who are also DJØF members. measure to study the implications of administrative
Many of the other administrative employees, typically professionals as part of the composition of the full ad-
caseworkers and secretaries, are members of HK, the ministration. If administrative professionals make up a
“white-collar office workers’ union.” Moreover, from large part of the bureaucracy, we expect the processing
the Danish Statistical Bureau (Statistics Denmark), information to the political agenda to be one of its key
we extract information on the number of employ- tasks. Only a relative measure reveals the commitment
that a high proportion of the administrative pro- the departmental order on remuneration for local politicians
(Vederlagsbekendtgørelsen 2016). The amount contains a fixed element
fessionals are in central management and advisory which is increasing with municipality size. The municipalities have
positions. This underlines how administrative pro- wide discretion, however, with respect to whether and to what extent
fessionals engage with the political level to develop this fixed element is supplemented by additional salaries for committee
public policies. appointments and other posts.
246 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, 2018, Vol. 28, No. 2
can be expected to deliver more and to rely less on number of committees but possibly also reflects the
administrative professionals to form the policy agenda. much higher share of administrative professionals in
Moreover, a higher salary might attract more dedicated Albertslund compared to Herlev. A similar comparison
and competent councilors to public service. Hence, sal- could be made for a set of municipalities that are al-
ary is a central indicator of the involvement and profes- most opposite on the background variables compared
sionalization of the local councilors. to Albertslund and Herlev but with a similar agenda
Detailed summary statistics of the main variables in diversity. Both located in rural Denmark, far from
the analysis are reported in the appendix ( Table A4). the capital and governed by liberal-conservative may-
Important for our analysis, the statistics reveal sub- ors and with low socio-economic pressure, one might
stantial variation, both over time and across units. expect Kerteminde and Rebild to have rather similar
The number of permanent political committees var- council agendas, but the composition of the respective
ies considerably (from 2 to more than 10). Moreover, council agendas proves highly unequal. Rebild, with
the standard deviation of the number of administra- the most diverse council agenda, has almost twice the
Table 2. Summary Statistics for Four of the 98 Danish Municipalities (Averages 2007–2013)
Table 3. The Effect of Administrative Professionals on Agenda Size and Agenda Diversity in Danish Municipalities
2008–2013
Administrative professionalst−1 1.32** (0.61) 1.23* (0.62) 0.03** (0.01) 0.03* (0.01)
Size of the public administrationt−1 −0.01 (0.01) −0.00 (0.00)
Mayor (left = 1) −0.58 (1.13) −0.60 (1.11) −0.02 (0.02) −0.02 (0.02)
Effective parties 0.49 (1.11) 0.41 (1.09) −0.01 (0.02) −0.01 (0.02)
Election year (2009 = 1) 3.43*** (1.11) 3.32*** (1.09) 0.04 (0.03) 0.04 (0.03)
Size of council −0.01 (0.30) 0.00 (0.29) −0.01 (0.01) −0.01 (0.01)
Standing committees 0.58 (0.46) 0.56 (0.46) −0.00 (0.01) −0.00 (0.01)
Resource pressure −0.09 (0.14) −0.10 (0.14) −0.01 (0.00) −0.01 (0.00)
Socio-economic problems −4.87 (9.52) −4.36 (9.55) −0.26 (0.19) −0.26 (0.19)
Note: Robust standard errors in parentheses. Year dummies not reported in the table.
*p < .10, **p < .05, ***p < .01 (two-sided tests).
to input from the bureaucracy that invites politicians The percentage of administrative professionals var-
to consider a new problem and potentially take on a ies from 2% of the total number of administrators in
new task. Summary statistics and source descriptions some municipalities to more than 15% in others. Thus,
of the control variables used in the analysis are pre- the span in the diversity of the council agendas can be
sented in Table A1. quite marked between local councils. In the municipal-
To estimate the model, we use fixed effects with ity with only two administrative professionals per 100
municipalities as our panels and robust standard administrative employees, the council agenda is pre-
errors. This choice of estimation is corroborated by dicted to contain 63 issue categories. This figure is 79 in
a Hausman test, which indicates that fixed effects are the municipality with 15 administrative professionals
preferable to random effects. The models also include per 100 administrative employees. Thus, the difference
year dummies as well as a lagged dependent variable to is quite substantial, which supports Hypothesis 1.
account for the autocorrelation revealed by diagnostic The results also show that the administrative pro-
tests.10 To ensure a correct order of time, the main in- fessionals make a difference to the council agenda, not
dependent variables enter the model with a 1-year lag. the size of the administration as such. The effect of the
We explore the direction of causality in greater detail total number of administrators in the municipality is
after the main findings have been reported. statistically and substantially insignificant according to
the results in table 3. This is in accordance with our
Findings theoretical argument. Issues are not brought into the
Our analysis of the 98 Danish municipalities shows policy agenda by ordinary administrators but rather by
that the percentage of administrative professionals skilled administrative professionals typically employed
matters to the local council agendas. Taking our con- in central management positions from which they can
trol variables into account, the diversity of the council advise the politicians and shape the development of the
agenda systematically increases as the share of admin- council agenda.
istrative professionals in the bureaucracy increases. Additional analyses show that the effect also holds
According to the coefficients in table 3, a municipality up when controlling for the sheer size of the council
that has one more administrative professional per 100 agendas measured simply as the number of items on
administrative employees typically also has a little more the dockets. This implies that increasing the number
than one more issue area on its agenda, and its entropy of administrative professionals in the bureaucracy does
score is 0.03 points higher (ranging from 2.9 to 4.2). not just lead to more of the same, but rather to a more
diverse policy agenda, as hypothesized.11 Furthermore,
Additional analyses show that including a count variable does not
10 we have explored the effects of leaving out the measure
change the results, which further corroborates that the statistical
relationship found between our dependent and independent variables
is not merely a product of a common time trend. These results are shown in Supplementary Table S2.
11
248 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, 2018, Vol. 28, No. 2
Table 4. The Effect of Agenda Size and Agenda Diversity on the Number of Administrative Professionals in Danish
Municipalities 2008–2013
Administrative Professionals
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Note: Robust standard errors in parentheses. Year dummies not reported in the table.
*p < .10, **p < .05, ***p < .01 (two-sided tests).
of administrative professionals in order to examine confounding factors, this provides evidence in support
whether it is a mediator of some of the other factors of the claim that administrative professionals draw the
included in the models. This does not turn out to be the attention of politicians to more issues.
case.12 None of the other variables changes direction Based on Hypotheses 2 and 3, we conclude the ana-
or statistical significance when leaving out the admin- lysis by investigating if the effect of administrative
istrative professionals. This offers further indication professionals systematically diminishes with the in-
that the measure of administrative professionals brings volvement of the politicians in the policymaking pro-
added explanatory value to the table. cess. In accordance with Hypothesis 2, the influence
Reverse causality is a concern when studying the of administrative professionals on the council agenda
relationship between the bureaucracy and the council decreases as the number of committees increases. This
agendas. Analytically, a very diverse council agenda suggests that the effect of administrative profession-
might well lead to demands for more administrative als is higher in municipalities where a limited number
professionals to implement decisions from the council of standing committees channels information and
meetings. First, however, this concern is mitigated by the demands into the political system. This result applies
use of lagged measures of the bureaucracy variable in to the number of issue categories on the council agenda
table 3. Second, we have estimated alternative models, as well as the entropy score and is documented by the
where the proportion of administrative professionals is negative sign of the A × B interaction terms in table 5.
estimated as a function of the diversity of the council It is worth noticing that the number of committees had
agendas (lagged 1 or 2 years). Table 4 reports the results a statistically insignificant effect in the noninteractive
of this analysis, which clearly support the interpretation analysis in table 3, which suggests that the influence of
that the administrative professionals positively influence administrative professionals and the number of com-
the council agendas rather than the other way around. mittees on the policy agenda is truly conditional rather
A 1-year lagged agenda diversity does systematically than merely additive.
influence the number of administrative professionals in In accordance with Hypothesis 3, we find a dimin-
the bureaucracy, but it does so negatively. Although this ishing effect of administrative professionals at higher
mechanism may call for further exploration, the results levels of counselor remuneration. To illustrate, aver-
in table 4 strengthen the confidence in the interpreta- age remuneration ranges from DKK 113,000–374,000
tion of the results from table 3. In combination with across municipalities, and if it changes only by one
the statistical control for a range of other potentially standard deviation (DKK 35,000), the marginal effect
of an additional administrative professional on the
These results are shown in Supplementary Table S3.
12
number of issues on the council agenda decreases ten
Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, 2018, Vol. 28, No. 2 249
Table 5. The Effect of Administrative Professionals on Agenda Size and Agenda Diversity at Increasing Numbers
of Committees and Increasing Average Councilor Remuneration in Danish Municipalities 2008–2013
(A) Administrative professionalst−1 3.58*** (0.96) 3.67*** (1.09) 0.06*** (0.02) 0.05*** (0.02)
(B) Standing committees 2.87** (1.13) 0.03* (0.02)
(C) Councilor remuneration 0.10*** (0.04) 0.00* (0.00)
A×B −0.45*** (0.16) −0.01** (0.00)
A×C −0.01** (0.01) −0.0001* (0.00)
Public administrationt−1 −0.01 (0.01) −0.01* (0.01) −0.00 (0.00) −0.00 (0.00)
Mayor (left = 1) −1.05 (1.18) −0.51 (1.15) −0.03 (0.02) −0.02 (0.02)
Effective parties 0.08 (1.08) 0.54 (1.11) −0.01 (0.02) −0.01 (0.02)
Election year (2009 = 1) 2.88*** (1.07) 3.38*** (1.12) 0.03 (0.02) 0.04 (0.03)
Size of council 0.04 (0.29) 0.18 (0.29) −0.01 (0.01) −0.00 (0.01)
Note: Robust standard errors in parentheses. Year dummies not reported. Councilor remuneration is measured in DKK 1000 (Danish
Kroner).
*p < .10, **p < .05, ***p < .01 (two-sided tests).
percent. Hence, even if a very professional political or looked at how bureaucratic interests may shape the
level (i.e., with high remuneration) does not remove policy within particular policy domains. Furthermore,
the effect of administrative professionals, the diminish- the bureaucracy has been ignored in most previous
ing effect is quite substantial. In line with the estimated policy agenda setting studies. This article has shown
effect of committees, this also suggests that administra- that the composition of the bureaucracy matters in the
agenda-setting phase of the policymaking process. In
tive professionals are more important to the council
particular, the share of administrative professionals
agenda when the political level is unable to feed and in the bureaucracy has been shown to have a positive
form the agenda on its own due to a lack of resources effect on the number of issues and composition of the
and time. This is indicated by the negative sign of the local council agendas. This is an important message to
A × C interaction term in table 5. policy agenda setting scholars who have traditionally
To further spell out these conditional effects, we have paid very little attention to the agenda-setting effects
visualized the marginal effect of administrative profes- of the bureaucracy.
sionals at increasing number of committees in figure 1. A particular strength of these results is the fact that
The slope of the line in figure 1 shows how substantial the large-n study allows for the statistical control of
the conditional effect of committees is. With few com- a range of possible confounders. The large number
mittees, an extra administrative professional per 100 of municipalities also allows us to begin examining
administrative employees brings, on average, almost conditional effects. Particularly, the article focused
three additional issue areas to the council agenda. This on various indicators of the involvement of politi-
is more than twice the average effect in table 3. At about cians in the policymaking process and revealed an im-
nine committees, the other end of our measure of com- portant interaction effect between two indicators of
mittees, the number of professionals no longer makes the involvement of politicians, namely the committee
a difference to the council agenda. This result may be system and the counselors’ remuneration in relation
interpreted as evidence that the bureaucracy takes over to the effect of administrative professionals. A plaus-
and helps supplement the policy agenda by focusing on ible interpretation of this effect is that administrative
issues that are ignored in narrow committee systems. professionals take over and help to qualify and sup-
plement the council agenda by focusing on issues that
tend to be ignored in narrow committee systems or
CONCLUSION when council members do not have the time to pro-
Bureaucracy matters. We already knew that, but dispro- cess problems themselves.
portionally many studies have examined the effect of the The political systems at the local and national levels
bureaucracy from an implementation perspective and/ are obviously not identical. In terms of generalizability,
250 Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory, 2018, Vol. 28, No. 2
however, we should expect our results to apply beyond Or is it an unintended side effect? In pursuing these
Danish municipalities. The professionalization of the new research questions, much can probably be learned
bureaucracy is a trend observed in most Western politi- by further investigating the local government level of
cal systems, and there is reason to expect to see the policymaking.
effects on the policy agenda identified in our analysis,
depending on the institutional setup of the political
system, such as the committee structure. That said, and Supplementary Material
given our finding that bureaucratic influence dimin- Supplementary material is available at the Journal of
ishes with the professionalization of politicians, our Public Administration Research and Theory online
results may travel best at the sub-national level (local (www.jpart.oxfordjournals.org).
and regional), where the professionalization of poli-
ticians can vary considerably and sometimes be very
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Appendix
Table A1. Summary Statistics and Data Sources for Control Variables
Mayor (left-wing = 1) 0.5 0.5 0 1 Ministry of the Interior and Social Affairs (www.
Note: Principal factor analysis. Eigenvalue factor 1 = 2.35; Cronbach’s alpha = 0.90.
Administrative professionals per 100 public administrators Overall 560 6.0 2.2 2.2 15.5
Between 94 2.5 2.5 14.1
Within 6 0.66 3.9 8.2
Number of employees in the public administration Overall 563 797.9 959.3 130.0 8412.0
Between 94 961.5 140.0 7968.3
Within 6 49.0 258.2 1249.6
Standing committees Overall 563 5.9 1.6 2 14
Between 94 1.4 2 10.7
Within 6 0.7 3.9 9.3
Overall 563 192.3 39.0 113.1 436.0
Councilor remuneration (DDK 1000) Between 94 33.1 124.5 325.9
Note: N = 94 (municipalities) × 6 (years) = 563 observations. Four municipalities are left out due to missing observations on one or more
variables. The between-estimate gives the average across municipalities of the average estimate over time for each municipality. The within-
estimate gives the average across municipalities of the average change within each municipality over time.