5 Trilion Dollar Economy Final
5 Trilion Dollar Economy Final
5 Trilion Dollar Economy Final
country is actively
working towards
being a participant
in the process to
make India a stronger
economy
Contents
1 Prime Minister
Narendra Modi’s
address in Varanasi:
The roadmap
01
11
4
Prime Minister Narendra
Modi’s address in Varanasi:
1 The roadmap
1
From growth to prosperity
There is a saying in English – “The size of the cake matters”.
It means that the larger the size of the cake, the bigger the share each person will
get. Similarly, the bigger the economy, bigger the prosperity. Bigger the prosperity,
bigger the possibilities and facilities.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi interacting with the medal winners of Commonwealth Games 2018
2
Why take pride in proverty?
As long as we remain stuck in poverty, difficulties and challenges continue to linger
on. In our country, we have lived with poverty as a ‘virtue’, a way of life. To take
pride in poverty has become a psychological normalcy. It is important to get rid
of that thought. It is important to work towards progress with determination and
hardwork.
4
Water in every household
It is important to provide water in every household. We have set out with the vision
to make every household water sufficient, which is why we have formed a new
ministry called Ministry of Jal Shakti. A ‘Jal Shakti Abhiyan’ has also been started in
this regard. Through this scheme, our mothers and daughters, who face the biggest
hardships, will also benefit massively. The Budget also calls for a National Water
Grid, so that regions that suffer from water shortage also get the benefits.
5
connect villages with broadband facilities through its Highway-Iway programme. An
investment of Rs 100 crores is in the pipeline for the sector. Over 1,50,000 kilometres
of road will be contructed to connect villages to towns. The government plans to
construct 2 crore houses to ensure every individual has a shelter. The Union Budget
has special plans for the middle class section of the society as well. We have reduced
tax benefit slab for home loans to Rs 3,50,000. A family can avail a loan of Rs 7 lakh
if the tenure of the home loan is for 15 years. The government has also made plans
to assist those who look for rental houses and the Centre is soon going to prepare
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The Budget has focused on assisting this sector in all possible ways. The youths of
this country want to progress very fast. Traditional businesses have also been given
importance in the Budget.
Beware of pessimists
There is a section of the society that is cut off from reality. We call them ‘Professional
Pessimists’. These professional pessimists could lead you into trouble. They master
in converting solutions into problems. It is important to stay away from such
negative people. We should discuss whether decisions taken are good or bad. These
discussions should also lead to solutions. It is important to cultivate the habit of
finding solutions to problems. We welcome suggestions and recommendations of
scholars and economists. People have the power to convert the impossible into
possible. When former Prime Minister Lal Bahadur Shastri raised the slogan of ‘Jai
Jawan, Jai Kisan’, farmers filled our warehouses with foodgrains. When I requested
our farmers, they filled our warehouses with pulses. I ask our farmers - why should
we import edible oil? Even if we sow sesame in the last available portion of our
cropland, we wouldn’t need to import edible oil. Our country can move forward only
7
through determination and brave decisions. We can fulfil our needs only through
entrepreneurship and hard work.
8
themselves on this Social Stock Exchange and raise funds. On a national level with
co-ordinated effort we shall indeed achieve the US $5 trillion economy milestone.
9
10
Taking steps towards the goal of
2 achieving 5-trillion economy tag
A brilliant victory in the recently-concluded Lok Sabha elections 2019 under the
leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi is a testimony to aspirational India’s
thumping mandate. This is also a declaration of every Indian’s excitement and self-
confidence in achieving the goal of growing the economy to US $ 5 trillion mark.
Now India has become more aspirational, it has learnt to take initiatives, dares to
think bigger and works harder to achieve success. This new India is progressing on
the path to become a developed economy and US $ 5 trillion mark will be the first
milestone in its path.
In the last five years we have laid a strong foundation towards achieving this goal.
When Prime Minister Narendra Modi first formed the government in 2014, the size of
the Indian economy was US $ 1.5 trillion. Now our economy is worth US $ 2.7 trillion
in a few years. In 2014, the Indian economy was ranked as the world’s 11th largest
economy and in just five years our rankings improved and we became world’s sixth
largest economy. On one hand it took 55 years to add just 1 trillion dollars to the
size of the economy while on the other hand under the leadership of Prime Minister
Narendra Modi, the size of the Indian economy grew by 1 trillion dollars. Soon we will
become a US $ 3 trillion economy. We will definitely achieve the goal of increasing
the economy to US $ 5 trillion in another five years.
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More investment, more employment, more development
In order to achieve the US $ 5 trillion tag, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the
Indian economy has to grow at the rate of 8 percent per annum. We are already at
the cusp of this growth rate. Clocking a growth rate of 7.4 percent per annum, we
have already become world’s fastest growing big economy. In order to consistently
clock a growth rate of 8 percent per annum, we have to enter a virtuous cycle
of saving, investing and exports which needs to have a suitable environment to
achieve the same. Pursuant to this virtuous cycle we will be able to generate
significant employment for our masses.
5.0
4.6
3.6
2.1
This investment will create many regional companies of different sizes. This will
increase our capacity and lead to production and consumption of many goods and
services which in turn will further increase consumption and generate jobs. This will
create many employment opportunities for our youth, and lead to development
and increase in individual savings. In order to spur development, we have to focus
on increasing investments.
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To be able to facilitate this investment-led growth model, it is extremely important
to make policies that are aimed at lowering the risk of investors who want to do
business in our country. By forming an investment-centric and strong government,
Prime Minister Modi has ensured that rights of investors are protected. In the last
five years, PM Modi has done many institutional economic changes such as Goods
and Services Taxes (GST), Insolvency Bankruptcy Code, increase in limit of foreign
investment in many industrial sectors, formulation of laws such as RERA which are
aimed at improving the Real Estate sector of the country. There is no doubt that
after the formulation of such progressive laws, the Indian economy saw record
foreign investment. It is the first time in the last 20 years that India surpassed China
in terms of record foreign investment in the year 2018, where China got foreign
investment of US $ 32 billion while India received foreign investment of US $ 38
billion.
A crucial constituent for a healthy economy is its skilled and healty workforce.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi government initiated skill development schemes
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and last mile delivery of basic services , which has ensured availability of healthy
and skilled human resources in the economy. When investment and consequently
created opportunities combines with skilled manpower, it undoutedly leads to
rapid economic development.
Here is what a strong mandate in 2014 can lead to. Despite global instability on the
public policy front, Indian economy has remained robust. This is the importance of
a stable government. This means that India’s economic policies are clear, decisive
and stable.
The above mentioned graph clearly displays the meaning of a stable government.
Till 2014, Indian economy, as per the global perception, was either plagued by
uncertainty or was sometimes in more vulnerable condition than the global index.
Comparison of EPU Index( Economic Policy Uncertainty) India vs World
350
EPU-INDIA EPU-WORLD
300
250
EPU index
200
150
100
50
0
Jan-03
Jan-10
Jan-17
Mar-04
Mar-18
Mar-11
Aug-03
Dec-05
Jul-06
Nov-08
Aug-10
Dec-12
Jul-13
Nov-15
Aug-17
Feb-07
Sep-07
Feb-14
Sep-14
Oct-04
May-05
Apr-08
Oct-11
May-12
Apr-15
Oct-18
May-19
Jun-09
Jun-16
SOURCE% http://www.policyuncertainty.com/
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But after Prime Minister Modi’s government came in power, Indian economic policy
has been continuously growing stronger since 2015 onwards. On the contrary, the
global economic policy has gone from bad to worst. As you are aware, investment
is made in those countries where laws are simple, the directions of government’s
policies are clear, system works according to rules and discrimination and trade
disputes are minimal.
The system where everyone is treated with parity, can only ensure that the best
remains at the top. This is the specialty of the Modi government, which is just
opposite to that of the UPA regime where scams were the daily phenomena and
certain special ‘friends’ of the ruling party used to get favour from all quarters.
It is pertinent to mention here that easy loans, minimum bureaucracy and smooth
access to markets through the 12 – point formula of MSMEs has given a boost to
this sector.
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Steps taken for MSME sector
A ’59 minute’ loan portal has been launched for providing fast loans to MSMEs.
Interest rate has been reduced by 2% from the market rates for every MSME registered
with GST. A rebate of 3% to 5% will also be provided to exporters on their loans.
For easy cash flow to MSMEs, companies having a turnover of above 500 crores will be
registered at TReDS so that they can secure rebate in their bills.
All government departments and organisations have to secure 25% of their total
purchase from MSMEs. Earlier this limit was 20%.
To remove middlemen and increase market access to MSMEs, it is mandatory for Centre
Government’s Undertakings to remain present on GeM portal.
For technical upgradation of MSMEs, 20 new centres and 100 tool rooms have been
constructed at the cost of 6,000 crore rupees.
To encourage pharma companies of MSME sector, Pharma Clusters will be built and 70%
of its expenses will be borne by the Govt.
To ensure ‘Ease of doing business’ for MSMEs, return will be submitted once in a year only
under eight labour laws. Earlier, return used to be submitted twice in a year.
In the direction of abolishing ‘Inspector Raj’, now factories will be fixed for inspectors
where they can conduct inspections. Factories will be randomly assigned for inspection
through computers. Now inspectors have to submit their reports within 48 hours and give
reasons as well.
Environment clearance and consent have been mixed together to convert it into a Single
Permission, which will be based on self – certification.
MSMEs need not to go to court in the case of minor violation of Companies Act. Instead, it
can be rectified through a simple procedure.
16
The Modi government has announced a separate payment platform for MSMEs in
its budget of 2019, so that they don’t have to face cash problem. In this budget,
the government has allocated Rs. 350 crores for MSMEs under Interest Subvention
Scheme. Under this scheme, a facility of interest subvention of 2% will be provided
to GST registered MSMEs.
India has witnessed how companies, established in 1980s and 1990s, have earned
their names as an international brand after starting as a small enterprise. Now in
21st century too, country is witnessing how a generation of new entrepreneurs is
being raised as part of a self – employment measure.
It’s a matter of regret that due to absence of a helpful government at the helms,
India had to wait for long for a conducive commercial – industrial atmosphere in
the country. A change was observed in the country once the Modi government
announced Startup India, which has become a milestone in itself, in 2015. Startup
India is like a boon for those who have ideas and a keen interest in business. The
Modi government prepared a robust policy for Startups. The positive result of
this policy is that Startup business is growing rapidly in the country now. See the
potential of this scheme, Startups have managed 3.9 billion dollars through Venture
Capital in the first semester of 2019 itself.
Startups were quite puzzled with Angel Tax. In oder to resolve this problem, it has
been announced in this budget that Income Tax Returns of Startups or the investors
associated with them will not be sent for scrutiny. Besides, nothing will be asked
about the source of their Working Capital. Several other announcements have been
made in this budget for Startups.
17
Foundation of new India through infrastructure
We have witnessed that how much emphasis was given on infrastructure
development during the first 5 – year tenure of Prime Minister Modi. India has now
become the fastest country of the world in road construction. Rural roads are also
being constructed at twice the pace of earlier period. Today, almost 97% villages of
the country are connected with roads.
The Modi Government has set a goal that for the next 5 years, the roads of double
length will be constructed and adequate fund has already been allocated for this
in the budget.
While Road corridors and highways are being developed through an ambitious
Bhupen Hazarika Bridge (Dhola- Sadiya Bridge) connecting Arunachal Pradesh with Assam
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project like Bharatmala, connecting ports with industrial units and their
infrastructural development are being done through a project called Sagarmala.
Waterways are the cheapest means of transportation. These are being developed
with an aim to facilitate low – cost internal commercial carriage. Because of this,
prices of commodities will also become at competitive. Udaan Scheme has been
successful in providing air – connectivity to small cities. By virtue of this scheme,
even a citizen of average income is also able for air - travel.
The govt. has announced in the budget to invest Rs 100 lakh crore in infrastructure
sector in the next 5 years. This shows how much importance Prime Minister Modi
gives to infrastructure for attaing $ 5 trillion dollar economy.
The income of fermars has increased due to 1.5 times incresed in minimum support
price and bumper purchase. Because of Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana, a sense
of security has developed among farmers. Due to remarkable expansion of micro
irrigation facilities, farmers are directly benefitted. Less water consumption and
guarantee of water accessibility to maximum number of farmers, work is in full
swing on this concept.
By initiating PM Kisan Yojana, the Modi government has started supporting farmers’
direct income. This Yojana has become a game - changer as farmers all over the
country will get 6,000 rupees every year under this scheme. With this support,
farmers will easily meet all their agriculture related requirements. Two installments
of rupees 2,000 each have already been paid to 3.11 crore and 2.66 crore farmers,
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respectively. Total 14.5 crore farmers will be benefitted from PM Kisan Yojana.
e-NAM
OTHERS
585 Regulated Markets of 16 States and 2 Union Territories integrated to e-NAM platform
Because of improvement in yield, reduction in cost and inclination towards the crop
of low water consumption income of farmers is surely going to increase.
Not only this, other business activities associated with agriculture are also being
promoted, and ‘Pradhan Mantri Matsya Sampada Yojana’ is one of them. This will
strengthen fishery trade. It is aimed at establishing value chain for marketing of
fishes, modernizing facilities, increasing productivity, strengthening post harvest
management, maintaining quality, etc. Similarly, fish culturing, dairy management
and production schemes are also being given due importance. Prosperous farmers
will take the country to 5 trillion dollar economy.
It is the Digital Technology through which the benefits of public welfare schemes
are reaching the beneficiaries directly. The economy has become transparent after
linking mobile number to Jan Dhan Yojna. The life of people has become easier.
People participation with the Government is increasing with the transparent
transaction and intermediaries have no role to play. Farmers can also join markets
like e-NAM through this Digital Technology.
Now, Modi Government is also focusing on increasing Digital Literacy in the rural
areas. People are seeking information about Government Schemes through
internet. Data has opened the doors of opportunities for the youth. This will continue
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to strengthen the economy and will help the country in becoming a 5 trillion dollar
economy.
Gram
Centre State District Block Panchayat
Individual
Before DBT
DBT in MNREGA
Centre
of Pre & Post DBT in MNREGA, which is run by JAM trinity. This reduces numerous
levels between source and beneficiary, thereby removes multi layers of corruption
completely.
Pseudo and fraudulent beneficiaries get out of the system and real beneficiaries
receive direct benefits. In a way, it has helped in doing away with intermediaries.
Technology therefore saves a lot of money for the nation by preventing it from
falling into the wrong hands. About Rs. 7.57 lakh crores have been transferred
through DBT and more than Rs. 1.4 lakh crore have been saved from going to the
wrong hands.
Such a plan prepares the foundation for empowering the poor so that they
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can aspire to greater social-economic goals, which definitely contribute to the
economy.
Sex Ratio at the time of Birth Sex Ratio at the time of Birth
873 Below 873 Below
873&901 873&901
901&930 901&930
930&980 930&980
980 Above 980 Above
Source: Schemes such as Swachh Bharat Abhiyan and Beti Bachao Beti Padhao have used the major
principles of behavioral change to achieve maximum objectives.
If you look at the statistics of Beti Bachao Beti Padhao, All India Sex Ratio (SRB) at
birth has increased with the increase in number of girls between 4 years, i.e. from
923 girls in 2015-16 to 931 girls per 1000 boys in 2018-19.
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National Santitation Coverage
Prior to and after Swachh Bharat Abhiyaan
Before Swachh Bharat
After Swachh Bharat
There is no better state than Haryana to understand the effect of Beti Bachao Beti
Padhao. There has been significant progress in the state as the number of 887 girls
per 1,000 boys in 2015-16 has increased to 914 per 1,000 boys in 2018-19.
The massive success of Swachch Bharat is that a large part of India has been declared
as free from open defecation in just five years. Swachchta coverage increased from
38.70% in 2014 to almost 100% now. It displays the power of continuous message of
social change.
Beti Bachao Beti Padhao is equally important. These four words have ceased to be a
government program’s name, rather they have become a family mantra.
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Due to the increase in Swachchta coverage, children under 5 years of age have
seen significant decrease in cases of malaria and diarrhea. With free from open
defecation, there has been a significant decrease in malaria, diarrhea as well as
IHHL Coverage(%)
IHHL Coverage(%) 0-21
0.0000-250000 21-41
25,0000-50,0000 41-61
50,0000-75,0000 61-91
75,0000-100,0000 91-200
UNICEF has found that in ODF villages, there has been a decrease in the incidence of
diseases as well as increase in saving of time resulting in a saving of aproximately
Rs 50,000 per year. According to UNICEF, Swachchta coverage has also influenced
the quality of ground water, soil and food positively.
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Impact of toilet coverage
Reduction of diarrhea and malaria in the children in the age group of 5 years or more years
the age of 5
t t t t
t t ile ile t t ile ile
ile 5 ile 9 to 15 to 19 ile 5 ile 9 to 15 to 19
to 01 to 01 er 0 er 0 to 01 to 01 er 0 er 0
e ss ch 2 e ss ch 2 e at ch 2 e at ch 2 e ss ch 2 e ss ch 2 e at ch 2 e at ch 2
l r l r l r l r
ith a ith a gr ar gr ar ith a ith a gr ar gr ar
w -M w -M ith - M ith - M w -M w -M ith - M ith - M
ea ge ea ge w ge w ge ea ge ea ge w ge w ge
Ar vera Ar vera rea era rea era Ar vera Ar vera rea era rea era
A ov A ov A ov A ov
co co c c co co c c
Souce: Sanitation Management Information System, Ministry of Health & Family Welfare; SBM Dashboard-Swa-
chch Bharat Mission - Rural, IHHL data from Ministry of Drinking Water & Sanitation
Note: All 500 districts of India have been divided into two parts: In the first part districts having less than
33.5% IHHL coverage in March 2014, and in the second part districts having more than 33.5% IHHL
coverage in March 2014 have been included.
It is clear that Swachch Bharat leads to a healthy India. Now apart from cleanliness,
it is time for proper disposal of solid and liquid waste, cleanliness of rivers and
water sources and common environmental protection.
This way, a clean, healthy and beautiful India will be created. It is on the way to
becoming one of the world’s greatest economies, because here people themselves
are leading a movement through behavioral change.
The aim of $5 trillion economy has not remained merely a goal of the government
but with increase an awareness, people have set it as their goal too. Everyone wants
26
Prime Minister Narendra Modi on 5th International Day of Yoga
In this respect, the Modi government’s vision is praiseworthy. If we look into some
flagship schemes of the Modi government, we will find health and pension schemes
as the most important ones.
Major schemes of the Modi government will result in factors responsible for
economic security of crores of farmers, small traders, retailers and labourers of the
unorganised sector. It is worth mention here that they belong to such communities
27
which have often been kept outside the ambit of formal financial system because
they had no access to banks and pension schemes earlier. By making them an
integral part of formal financial system, the Modi government has transformed
their lives full of uncertainties into lives with security.
In our country, 21 AIIMS are either being run or are under the process of being
established. Since 2014, 14 out of these 21 AIIMS have been announced. The Modi
government has recently announced the establishment of 22nd AIIMS in Haryana.
also in a big way. India is carrying out the biggest renewable energy installation
programme of the world. We are at 4th place in wind energy, at 5th place in solar
energy and also at 5th place in terms of installed capacity of renewable energy.
Along with sustainable energy production, energy-saving by adopting state of the
art technology is very important. For better life and for ease of living, maintaining
clean surroundings and use of sustainable energy sources are also very important.
Ujala scheme was launched for large scale distribution of LED bulbs at household
level. In place of hot and fluorescent bulbs and CFLs, now LED bulbs are being used.
Under this scheme, about 35 crore LED bulbs were distributed which resulted in
saving of Rs 18,341 crore annually.
The government is preparing a similar scheme to boost the use of solar stoves
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and battery chargers. Annual decrease of 3.71 crore tonnes of carbon dioxide
has a significant and positive effect on environment. Overall, energy efficiency
programmes have saved Rs 50,000 crores. During 2017-18, a decrease of 11 crore
tonnes of carbon dioxide was registered. Ujala scheme has played a significant role
in these achievements.
PAT
Ujala PAT
Ujala
Other,
Other,
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Chandrayan-2 Ready for Launch
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