Exercise Chapter 6

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 4

Chapter 6.

Effective financing interest rates


Effective financing rates:
rf = (1+ if) (1 + ef) – 1
Expected effective support interest rate
Rf = p1 x rf1 +p2 x rf2 +...+pn x rfn
Example 1.
An MNC business based in Japan is considering lending USD with an interest rate of
5%/year. The probability distribution table shows the volatility of the USD against the
JPY as follows:
ef (USD/JPY) % P (%)
-3 10
-2 20
0 30
2 5
3 15
4 12
5 8
Let's calculate the effective financing interest rate of USD and make a conclusion about
when businesses should finance in USD.

According to the beginning of the exercise, we have: if = 5%


rf = (1 + if) (1 + ef) – 1
ef (USD/JPY) % P (%) RF (%)
-3 10 (1+5%) (1 – 3%)
– 1 = 1.85
-2 20 2,9
0 30 5
2 5 7,1
3 15 8,5
4 12 9,2
5 8 10,25
Therefore, the expected effective financing interest rate is:
Rf = P1 * rf1 + ....Pn * rfn
= 10% * 1.85% + 20% * 2.9% + 30% * 5% + 5% * 7.1% + 15% * 8.15% + 12% * 9.2% + 8%
* 10.25% = 5.77% > 5%
Conclusion: Effective financing interest rates are expected > interest rates for businesses
borrowing in the market. Therefore, businesses should not borrow USD.
Lending/Financing: Expectations> Market: Not Implemented
Mobilization: Expectations > the market: Should be implemented
Example 2.
An MNC based in Germany (EUR) is considering borrowing CHF with an interest rate
of 6%/year. The CHF to EUR volatility probability distribution table is as follows:
ef (CHF/EUR) P (%)
%
-2 5
-1 10
0 15
2 20
3 25
4 20
5 5
Let's calculate the effective financing interest rate of CHF and make a conclusion when
the business decides to finance capital with CHF
Solution
According to the beginning of the exercise, we have: if = 6%
rf = (1 + if) (1 + ef) – 1
ef (CHF/EUR) P (%) RF (%)
%
-2 5 (1+6%)(1-2%) –
1 = 3.88%
-1 10 4,94
0 15 6
2 20 8,12
3 25 9,18
4 20 10,24
5 5 11,3
Therefore, the expected effective financing interest rate is:
Rf = P1 * rf1 + ....Pn * rfn
= 5% * 3.88% + 10% * 4.94% + 15% * 6% + 20% * 8.12% + 25% * 9.18% + 20% * 10.24%
+ 5% * 11.3% = 8.12% > 6%

Conclusion: Because the effective financing interest rate is expected > the interest rate that
businesses have to pay when mobilizing capital in the market. Therefore, businesses should
make sponsorships.

Exercise 1. An MNC based in Germany (EUR) is considering lending CHF with an interest rate
of 5%/year. The distribution of the volatility probability of EUR against CHF is as follows:
ef (CHF/EUR) % P (%)
-2 5
-2 10
0 15
2 20
5 25
3 20
5 5
Let's calculate the effective financing interest rate of CHF and make a conclusion when the
business decides to finance capital with CHF.

Exercise 2. An MNC based in Germany (EUR) is considering a CHF loan with an interest rate
of 3%/year. The distribution of the volatility probability of EUR against CHF is as follows:
ef (CHF/EUR) % P (%)
-2 10
-2 10
0 10
2 20
5 25
4 20
5 5
Let's calculate the effective financing interest rate of CHF and make a conclusion when the
business decides to finance capital with CHF.

Exercise 3. An MNC based in Germany (EUR) is considering lending CHF with an interest rate
of 6%/year. The distribution of the volatility probability of EUR against CHF is as follows:
ef (CHF/EUR) % P (%)
-2 10
-2 10
0 10
2 23
5 17
4 20
5 10
Let's calculate the effective financing interest rate of CHF and make a conclusion when the
business decides to finance capital with CHF.

Exercise 4. An MNC based in Germany (EUR) is considering lending CHF with an interest rate
of 4%/year. The distribution of the volatility probability of EUR against CHF is as follows:
ef (CHF/EUR) % P (%)
-2 10
-2 10
0 10
2 20
4 20
4 20
5 10
Let's calculate the effective financing interest rate of CHF and make a conclusion when the
business decides to finance capital with CHF.

Exercise 5. An MNC based in Germany (EUR) is considering lending CHF with an interest rate
of 8%/year. The distribution of the volatility probability of EUR against CHF is as follows:
ef (CHF/EUR) % P (%)
-2 10
-2 10
0 10
2 20
4 20
4 20
5 10
Let's calculate the effective financing interest rate of CHF and make a conclusion when the
business decides to finance capital with CHF.

Exercise 6. An MNC based in Germany (EUR) is considering lending CHF with an interest rate
of 2%/year. The distribution of the volatility probability of EUR against CHF is as follows:
ef (CHF/EUR) % P (%)
-2 10
-2 10
0 10
2 20
3 20
4 20
5 10
Let's calculate the effective financing interest rate of CHF and make a conclusion when the
business decides to finance capital with CHF.

You might also like