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WEEK 5

Demand Forecasting in Supply Chains


Question

Compare economic, technological and demand forecasts.


Characteristics of forecasts

Forecasts are always wrong and should thus include both the expected value of the forecast and a
measure of forecast error.

Long-term forecasts are usually less accurate than short-term forecasts.


Aggregate forecasts are usually more accurate than disaggregate forecasts, as the tend to
have a smaller standard derivation of error relative to the mean

In general, the farther up the supply chain a company is (or the farther it is from the
consumer), the greater is the distortion of information it receives.
Question

Describe the characteristics of forecasting


Question

Read the Case Study mentioned in the Online class and answer the questions given .
Question

Describe the qualitative methods of forecasting


Question

Describe the quantitative methods of forecasting

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