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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
Cost efficiency – examples Typical mid-sized universal bank Income growth – examples
Income = 100
Next generation market analysis/
Trading activities 10 predictive trading algorithms
5–7% uplift on trading income
Fees and
commissions 15
Improved customer retention
Workforce acceleration efficiencies 1–2% uplift fees/commissions
(more from less) across the board Cost = 60
Improved Customer
0–15% total staff cost
Staff Acquisition through
25 hyper-personalised marketing
IT development and
5-10% uplift Interest income and
maintenance acceleration Technology staff fees/commissions
10–20% of IT staff cost 5–10
Credit loss charges 5 Interest income (Net)
Improved credit-risk assessment Tailored loan pricing based
75
leading to fewer impairments Premises and on credit risk assessment
equipment 10 2–3% increase on net
10–-15% saving in impairment charges
interest income
Other administrative/
Improved FinCrime/fraud
accounting
detection reduces litigation/redress 20
charges and fraud losses
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
Where will the benefits come from? However, given AI risks and the evolving regulatory
AI, including GenAI, can bring advantages such as: landscape, AI without appropriate human supervision
may not be suitable for:
• Increased efficiency – automate repetitive tasks, freeing
human resources for more complex, creative or customer • Critical, fast-moving operations where timely human
facing engagement. supervision/intervention is not yet feasible.
• Improved accuracy – process vast amounts of data with • Customer/staff facing activities requiring human
greater precision and fewer errors than humans, leading to emotional intelligence (EQ).
more accurate predictions and outcomes.
• Regulatory-sensitive activities.
• Enhanced personalisation – analyze customer preferences
and behaviours to create tailored experiences, improving We see three key modes for achieving value through AI,
customer engagement. all of which combine AI and human strengths:
• Predict trends – make data driven decisions, detecting trends 1. A focus on productivity through personal agents;
and predicting changes in the market.
2. A focus on improving quality and process performance
• Creativity – new possibilities to create new possibilities for through specialist agents; and,
products, services and business models fostering innovation
and growth. 3. Large scale re-imagining of end-to-end processes
using the multi-modal capabilities of AI.
• Cost savings – streamlining operations, reducing errors, and
enabling better decision-making, AI can help save costs and The persona of core “agent modes” in which humans and AI
allocate resources more effectively. interact to implement the operating improvements that can
deliver financial impact. We stress the point that the benefit
• Protection – improving the effectiveness of financial crime in all three modes comes through combining human and AI
and loss prevention capabilities. strengths, not through large scale replacement of humans
with AI. Institutions should develop and strengthen the
• Accessibility – Make the services more accessible human skills to allow for adoption and value realization.
and affordable.
These modes will be leveraged in creating value across the
financial institution.
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
Conversion rate for any sales campaign is a critical metric for AI to improve. When consumers do switch financial products, pricing/rates
are a key factor in the decision, as is trust, and the quality of relationship that the consumer perceives with the bank – influenced by
service level and relevance of interactions and offers. AI can improve all of these factors, while reducing cost to deliver. We see a number
of key revenue-impacting themes:
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
High
Changing
the game...
Game 3
Intelligent
banking
Value potential
Game 2
Digital
banking
Game 1
Classic
banking But how to jump
from Game 1 to
2 to 3?
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
GenAI is a branch of AI currently attracting GenAI is about more than just text:
much attention, as it allows for the Gen AI is capable of working with multiple
generation of increasingly sophisticated “modalities” of content, with the ability to
content (e.g., text, code, audio, images, process one modality as input and generate
videos, processes) based on algorithms that another as output (not all combinations
imitate existing content, using statistical shown in figure 4 are currently possible).
predictions learned from large sources. Gen AI is able to produce sophisticated
content output including software code,
The fast-improving apparent quality of PowerPoint presentations and three
this content suggests that GenAI can dimensional (3D) models.
play a large role in business functions
traditionally considered to require
solely human intelligence.
Text Text
Code Code
Audio Audio
Image Image
Video Video
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
5. H
ow will banks embed AI across the
value chain?
We see value creation being achieved via the build of an inventory of combined human/AI agents, deployed right across the value chain.
Initially, these agents would improve provide marginal gains in workforce productivity, and performance improvement of specific
processes through quality improvement and/or automation. The operating model will look like today, but will be faster, better, cheaper, and
less risky. Depending on organizational priorities, i.e., achieving cost efficiencies, risk reduction or focussing on the customer experience
and growth agenda, different functions across the Bank will have differences in potential. Below we set out focus areas for different
organizational priorities against a simple universal banking value chain.
Cost
Customer
Growth
Risk
Cost
Customer
Growth
Risk
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
Marginal gains: Impact of combined AI and human capability across the value chain
We expect that whichever components of the value chain are prioritized, results will come from building and implementing enhanced and/
or new capabilities that combine human and AI strengths. Deloitte has defined an initial priority set of over 50 banking-specific use cases,
many of which we are already working with clients to implement, which will likely have widespread impact across the entire value chain.
A selection of examples, including the business challenges they address, are described below. We use the word “agent” to indicate a new
capability that combines AI and human inputs in its operation.
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
Risk and compliance • Complex and evolving regulatory requirements, • Regulatory compliance by detecting, alerting
particularly for global institutions/organizations. and generating triggers for the customers.
The summarization for compliance reporting.
• Emerging risks due to rapid technological change –
particularly AI and cyber. • Financial crime support activities like, narrative
generation. Adverse media screening and other
• Poor data management hampers the ability to
potential fraudulent threats.
monitor, measure and manage risks.
• Cyber detection services to look for any
• Balancing risk appetite and growth ambitions.
anomalies and detect patterns.
Data and analytics • Banks are data-intensive organizations and • Accelerated insight production where business
yet data required for critical business processes can use where natural language to query complex
can be fragmented, poorly understood and datasets without reliance on technical data staff.
not of fit-for-purpose quality.
• Greater coverage of data governance
• Increasingly stringent regulatory requirements standards, where GenAI accelerates data profiling,
increase the load on business and chief data definition and quality improvement.
office teams.
Other enabling and • Complex financial regulation. • Focus on functions like, HR, finance, legal, etc.
control functions to develop specialist agents to integrate into
• Costly legal litigation and disputes.
business processes providing summarization,
question and answer (Q&A) chatbot or
writing documents.
Figure 6. Cost efficiency agenda – bank functions with greatest potential benefits from AI
Larger
Fraud & Financial
Crime Screening Non-Financial Credit Risk Regulatory
Credit Screening Risk Management Management Compliance Transaction
& Underwriting Monitoring
Customer Customer Support
Relationship (e.g. Branch, Phone,
Management Social Media)
Digital Support
Collections & Litigation Financial Crime MLRO
Relative Improvement Through AI
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
Similarly, where risk reduction is prioritized, the largest opportunities appear within risk and compliance, data management, service
operations and legal functions. Note we see correlation in priority focus areas for the cost efficiency and risk reduction agendas, for example
in transaction monitoring, financial crime and regulatory compliance. This is because risk events in these areas have high cost implications.
Figure 7. Risk reduction agenda – bank functions with greatest potential from AI
Regulatory
Data Management Market Risk Compliance
Enterprise AI
Data Analytics & Governance Management
IT Security
& Recovery Customer Relationship
Onboarding Management Litigation
Exception Handling
Account Management
Risk Model IT Incident
Analytics Collections & Recoveries Management
Risk & Strategy Regulatory Reporting
Governance QA & Testing
IT Service
Document Management
DevSecOps
& Contract
Management Data
Platform Management
Engineering
Asset Liability Liquidity Management
Management Payments Larger bubble size indicates greater
Reconcilliations Management cost/complexity to achieve potential
(In/Out) improvement.
Finally, organizations prioritizing customer/client experience and growth agenda will likely naturally focus further up in the front office
sales, marketing and service functions, and in tailoring product/service features and pricing. Interestingly, we see credit risk management
as a key enabler of growth, where greater precision in credit-risk assessment enables insight-driven pricing of lending to secure the most
desired customer segments.
Figure 8. Customer and growth agenda – bank functions with greatest potential from AI
Relationship
Marketing Management
Strategy Customer Analytics & Insight
Content
Customer Development Digital Support (e.g. Customer Support
Behaviour & Production Chatbots, FAQs, Live Chat) (e.g. Branch, Phone,
Data Social Media)
Leads Management Customer Communications
Product Design
Product Management Credit Risk
Data Analytics Management
Machine
Enterprise AI
Learning Loyalty & Rewards Strategy
Next Best Action
Social Media Management
Customer
Proposition Development Customer ON-Boarding Journey Management
& Open Banking Connectivity
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
Key risks
In many ways, deployment of AI to scale up
Cyber risk: The risk of irresponsible
application of AI is associated with In many ways,
operations raises similar enterprise risks the various use cases that will likely
as outsourcing to a third party. The role
of bank staff changes to one of definition,
get contemplated (e.g., using LLMs
for heightened automated cyber
deployment
governance and accountability, rather than
direct execution of the process in question.
threats). Additionally, where AI starts
to form substantial components of of AI to scale
The bank is accepting a certain level of an organization’s operations, lack of
increased risk (requiring mitigating controls)
for the benefits that come from increased
transparency into precisely how the AI is
functioning may leave the organization
up operations
processing capacity and lower cost. unable to design appropriate controls and
cyber protections. raises similar
Key risks that should be addressed include
the following: Sovereignty restrictions: The risk of
sovereignty relates to the expectation
enterprise risks
Misuse of AI: incidents involving malicious
actors are a real threat. For example,
that AI models trained on certain data
sets are subject to sovereignty/residency as outsourcing
where deepfake techniques have been regulations and will be required to be
used to successfully imitate a customer,
gaining access to their account commit
run only on data centers within that
jurisdiction. Additionally, organizations
to a third party.
fraud. Deepfake in this case is an artificial, with global processes, for example trading
AI-generated video or sound recording operations, will face complex challenges in
designed to convincingly appear authentic.27 satisfying divergent local regulations across
the jurisdictions in which they operate.
Environmental impacts: Greater use of
AI will naturally require greater computing Future regulation: The risk of lack of
power, in turn leading to greater energy certifications concerns the possibility that
consumption in the data centers. This is a LLMs may face future regulation as they are
competing factor against industry net zero increasingly used for insights, advice, etc.
commitments and climate change impact (e.g., similar to how lawyers must past the
disclosure and reporting requirements. Bar exam).
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
Building trust
Figure 9. Deloitte’s trustworthy AI framework
Fair/impartial Robust/reliable
Generative AI can embed Current LLMs have significant
discriminatory or harmful biases accuracy and performance issues
and unable to specify uncertainty
AI governance
Regulatory
compliance
Responsible/accountable Safe/secure
There should be a human-in-the-loop Significant potential for harm in
with sufficient understanding of
AI carries significant
spreading misinformation;
generative AI to challenge and risks and ethical environmental harm; potential
override its outputs considerations malicious actors
Deloitte’s Trustworthy AI framework • Enterprise data sets: Train LLMs with • Large language model operations
sets out guardrails to address key risks. data sets that are governed within an (LLMOps): Form dedicated team(s)
These guardrails include: enterprise rather than the wider internet. focused on operating, managing, and
governing the models to prevent drift
• Secure environments: Train LLMs in • Audit trail: Persist the data that LLMs over time and for rooting out biases.
secure environments in a data center or are trained on to trace the data, map the
on cloud to reduce probability of leakage lineage, and have an audit trail of what
of company information. type of data was used.
• Restricted usage: Restrict initial usages • Trust but verify: Keep humans involved
of generative AI to increase accuracy of throughout the process to assist in
inferences; then scale once there is a validating and verifying the generated
growing sense of comfort. output and to monitor the AI’s accuracy.
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
Operating
Trustworthy AI Legal
model
What organizational How will you ensure How can you mitigate IP
structures, capabilities, that Gen AI usage is infringement and craft
skillsets and processes secure, transparent and supplier contracts that
do you need to support responsible? clearly define liability of
Gen AI? GenAI misuse?
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
1 2 3 4
Strategize and mobilize Foundational bets Iteratively scale Institutionalize AI
(3 months) (6 months) (6 months) (ongoing)
• Develop an AI • Deliver quick wins • Scale MVPs and • Deliver new use cases
strategic blueprint from efficiency plays embed AI into to complete end to
• Mobilize stakeholders • Develop strategic business workflows end transformation
• Identify high-value partner ecosystem • Measure outcomes of value streams
transformation • Develop enterprise from adoption • Develop enterprise
opportunities controls for • Build AI fluency and AI assets and
responsible adoption upskill workforce capabilities to
Result: AI North Stars and unlock efficiencies
governance framed, key use Result: MVPs developed; key Result: AI savvy workforce,
cases identified technology and governance initial value realization Result: Scaled business
decisions made transformation
1 2 3 4 5
Establish a Align on priority Identify no- Create minimum Scale solutions
leadership mandate: focus areas: regrets bets: viable governance: and realize value:
Empower a leader(s) Prioritize two-three Activate business Establish a governance Scale AI solutions and
with a mandate opportunity areas to units and IT/digital function that can capabilities across
to own and drive and serve as overarching to identify initial manage AI risks, business value streams
enterprise north stars (e.g., “no-regrets bets” investments and and measure outcomes
AI/GenAI agenda product launch, that align to progress, while to progressively reach
credit risk) priority areas. encouraging peak value realization.
innovation.
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
9. Contacts
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
9. Contacts
Zhongbin You
FSI Solutions Offering Leader, Deloitte Consulting China
AI Institute Co-Managing Partner, Deloitte China
Tel: +86 21 2316 6172
Email: [email protected]
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Changing the game: the impact of artificial intelligence on the banking and capital markets sector
Endnotes
5 “Jamie Dimon’s JPMorgan and other 18 ethink: How banks can drive
R
North American banks are so far down cost and protect profit”.
ahead in the AI race that one indexing Avanade. 2020.
boss says it’s now a question of ‘Can
19 “How generative AI can help banks
others catch up?’” Fortune. April 2024.
manage risk and compliance”.
6
“JPMorgan to invest $1bn or more McKinsey & Company. March 2024.
a year in AI, Daniel Pinto says”.
20 “Modernization and Code Generation”.
Nikkei Asia. August 2023.
IBM. 2024.
7 “Data strategy roundtable”.
21 “Middle East GenAI spotlight”.
NatWest Group. June 2022.
PwC. 2024.
8 “Credit risk datasheet”. Brighterion.
22
Data strategy roundtable”.
2020.
NatWest Group. June 2022.
9 “2024 banking and capital markets
23 “Bunq launches GenAI chatbot.”
outlook”. Deloitte Insights.
Finextra. December 2023.
October 2023.
24 “CIOs Still Waiting for Cloud
10 “JPMorgan Creates AI Model to
Investments to Pay Off”.
Analyze 25 Years of Fed Speeches”.
Wall Street Journal. September 2022.
Bloomberg UK. April 2023.
25 “ The surge in AI is straining the
11 “Citi Used Generative AI to Read
U.S. power grid”. Fast Company.
1,089 Pages of New Capital Rules”.
March 2024.
BNN Bloomberg. October 2023.
26 “Digital Consumer Trends 2023”.
12 “ Goldman Sachs developing dozen
Deloitte. August 2023.
generative AI projects – exec”.
Reuters. November 2023. 27 “Deepfake”. Cambridge Dictionary. 2024.
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