CBS News Poll – October 22-28, 2024

Registered Voters in Pennsylvania

Sample 1,273 Registered Voters in Pennsylvania
Margin of Error ±3.6 points

40. The general election for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania is coming up this November. If the Senate election were
held today between Bob Casey, Jr., the Democrat, and David McCormick, the Republican, who would you vote
for?
Among likely voters
Bob Casey, Jr. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
David McCormick . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Someone else . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

41. [Does/Did] Kamala Harris’ support for Bob Casey, Jr. make you...?
More likely to vote for Casey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Less likely to vote for Casey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
[Makes/Made] no difference either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67%

42. [Does/Did] Donald Trump’s support for David McCormick make you...?
More likely to vote for McCormick . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Less likely to vote for McCormick . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
[Makes/Made] no difference either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57%

43. Whether or not you agree with them, would you describe Bob Casey, Jr.’s positions as generally:
Reasonable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62%
Extreme . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%

44. Whether or not you agree with them, would you describe David McCormick’s positions as generally:
Reasonable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
Extreme . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%

* Questions held for future release.

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CBS News Poll – October 22-28, 2024
Registered Voters in Pennsylvania

40. 2024 U.S. Senate Vote Intention - Pennsylvania

The general election for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania is coming up this November. If the Senate election were held today between Bob Casey, Jr., the
Democrat, and David McCormick, the Republican, who would you vote for?
Among likely voters

Age Ideology
Total Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ Liberal Moderate Conservative

Bob Casey, Jr. 48% 59% 52% 44% 44% 91% 53% 10%
David McCormick 42% 22% 34% 49% 51% 2% 31% 86%
Someone else 3% 5% 7% 2% 1% 3% 5% 2%
Not sure 7% 14% 7% 5% 4% 4% 11% 2%
I would not vote 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,249) (170) (292) (411) (376) (322) (442) (435)

Gender Party ID White by Education

Total Male Female Dem Ind Rep No Degree 4yr Degree+

Bob Casey, Jr. 48% 45% 51% 92% 47% 7% 38% 50%
David McCormick 42% 48% 37% 2% 39% 84% 52% 41%
Someone else 3% 3% 4% 2% 6% 2% 2% 4%
Not sure 7% 4% 8% 4% 8% 7% 8% 4%
I would not vote 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,249) (590) (659) (391) (414) (420) (582) (461)

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CBS News Poll – October 22-28, 2024
Registered Voters in Pennsylvania

41. Impact of Harris Support for Casey

[Does/Did] Kamala Harris’ support for Bob Casey, Jr. make you...?

Age Ideology
Total Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ Liberal Moderate Conservative

More likely to vote for Casey 13% 22% 15% 11% 9% 22% 17% 2%
Less likely to vote for Casey 20% 12% 19% 23% 21% 3% 17% 38%
[Makes/Made] no difference either way 67% 65% 66% 65% 70% 74% 66% 60%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 99% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,271) (183) (300) (414) (374) (322) (458) (437)

Gender Party ID White by Education

Total Male Female Dem Ind Rep No Degree 4yr Degree+

More likely to vote for Casey 13% 11% 15% 33% 7% 1% 8% 14%
Less likely to vote for Casey 20% 26% 15% 2% 17% 41% 24% 19%
[Makes/Made] no difference either way 67% 63% 70% 64% 76% 57% 68% 67%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,271) (601) (670) (391) (435) (417) (601) (450)

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CBS News Poll – October 22-28, 2024
Registered Voters in Pennsylvania

42. Impact of Trump Support for McCormick

[Does/Did] Donald Trump’s support for David McCormick make you...?

Age Ideology
Total Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ Liberal Moderate Conservative

More likely to vote for McCormick 16% 13% 18% 16% 18% 3% 15% 30%
Less likely to vote for McCormick 27% 35% 29% 25% 22% 52% 31% 5%
[Makes/Made] no difference either way 57% 52% 53% 59% 60% 45% 54% 65%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,270) (184) (299) (414) (374) (323) (456) (437)

Gender Party ID White by Education

Total Male Female Dem Ind Rep No Degree 4yr Degree+

More likely to vote for McCormick 16% 22% 11% 1% 14% 34% 18% 17%
Less likely to vote for McCormick 27% 24% 29% 49% 30% 3% 19% 34%
[Makes/Made] no difference either way 57% 53% 60% 50% 56% 63% 63% 49%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,270) (601) (669) (389) (435) (419) (602) (451)

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CBS News Poll – October 22-28, 2024
Registered Voters in Pennsylvania

43. Casey Reasonable or Extreme

Whether or not you agree with them, would you describe Bob Casey, Jr.’s positions as generally:

Age Ideology
Total Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ Liberal Moderate Conservative

Reasonable 62% 69% 72% 57% 56% 93% 71% 28%

Extreme 38% 31% 28% 43% 44% 7% 29% 72%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,259) (181) (297) (411) (370) (318) (454) (433)

Gender Party ID White by Education

Total Male Female Dem Ind Rep No Degree 4yr Degree+

Reasonable 62% 59% 64% 94% 62% 30% 53% 68%

Extreme 38% 41% 36% 6% 38% 70% 47% 32%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,259) (600) (659) (386) (433) (413) (595) (447)

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CBS News Poll – October 22-28, 2024
Registered Voters in Pennsylvania

44. McCormick Reasonable or Extreme

Whether or not you agree with them, would you describe David McCormick’s positions as generally:

Age Ideology
Total Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ Liberal Moderate Conservative

Reasonable 52% 45% 49% 54% 56% 14% 46% 88%

Extreme 48% 55% 51% 46% 44% 86% 54% 12%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,262) (184) (296) (411) (370) (321) (454) (434)

Gender Party ID White by Education

Total Male Female Dem Ind Rep No Degree 4yr Degree+

Reasonable 52% 58% 47% 16% 53% 87% 57% 52%

Extreme 48% 42% 53% 84% 47% 13% 43% 48%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,262) (598) (665) (389) (430) (416) (596) (449)

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 HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED AND THE
MARGIN OF ERROR CALCULATED

The CBS News/YouGov survey of 1,273 registered voters in Pennsylvania was conducted between
October 22-28, 2024.
This sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, and education based on the U.S.
Census American Community Survey, and the U.S. Census Current Population Survey, as well
as 2020 Presidential vote. “Likely voters” – respondents’ relative probabilities of voting – were
determined using a regression model that incorporates current, self-reported intentions to vote,
along with individual-level and aggregate data about voters, such as demographics and vote
history. Respondents were selected to be representative of registered voters in Pennsylvania. The
weights range from 0.1 to 6.0, with a mean of 1 and a standard deviation of 0.8.
The margin of error (a 95% confidence interval) for a sample percentage p based upon the entire
sample is approximately ±3.6 points. It is calculated using the formula
s
1 + CV2
p̂ ± 100 ×
n

where CV is the coefficient of variation of the sample weights and n is the sample size used
to compute the proportion. This is a measure of sampling error (the average of all estimates
obtained using the same sample selection and weighting procedures repeatedly). The sample
estimate should differ from its expected value by less than margin of error in 95 percent of
all samples. It does not reflect non-sampling errors, including potential selection bias in panel
participation or in response to a particular survey.