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Economic Growth
Your notes
An Introduction to the Macroeconomic Objectives
Macroeconomic Objectives are goals set by the government aimed at improving the overall economic
performance of a country as well as the quality of life of its citizens
The government aims to achieve these objectives through the use of macroeconomic policies
It can be difficult to achieve some outcomes simultaneously
E.g High economic growth and stable price levels can be in conflict with one another, as growth
can drive upthe general price level
Governments set specific macroeconomic objectives as they want their economies to grow and
prosper
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Economic growth: this is the annual increase in the level of national output as measured by the gross
domestic product (GDP)
Your notes
Low and stable rate of inflation: generally, an inflation target of 2% is set
Low unemployment: the lower the unemployment level, the more productive are the human factors of
production - and the higher the nation's output
Stable current account balance of payments: the current account primarily considers the value of
trade in a nation's exports and imports. Wild fluctuations are a sign of an unstable economy
Environmental protection: rapid economic growth often occurs at the expense of the environment,
which has a knock-on effect on citizens. Protecting the environment is a key 21st century goal
Equity in the distribution of income: the wider the disparity between rich and poor, the more socially
unstable an economy becomes
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Your notes
Following the dismal covid figures of 2020, the UK economy rebounded strongly in 2021
(Source: Macrotrends)
Graph analysis
Summary of Economic Growth Trends in the UK Since 1998
WORKED EXAMPLE
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Calculate, to two decimal places, the percentage change in GDP per capita in South Africa between
2021 and 2022. You are advised to show your working. (2)
Your notes
GDP per Capita US$
2021 2022
7,073 7,629
new − old
Percentage change = x 100
old
= 7 . 86 %
1 mark for correct working and 1 mark for the final answer
Limitation Explanation
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Differences in hours GDP data does not capture the amount of time taken to produce
worked the GDP/capita
In one country, where it takes less time to generate income than in
a similar country, the standard of living would actually be higher
Environmental factors GDP does not capture the environmental and health impacts of
generating income within a country (externalities)
In one country, where there are fewer externalities in generating
income, the standard of living would be higher
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The economic cycle diagram shows periods of growth, boom, recession and slump in an economy
A recession occurs when an economy experiences two consecutive quarters (6 months) or more of
negative GDP growth
Incomes and consumer demand fall, leading to reduced output
Consumer and business confidence tend to be low
Business profits fall and unemployment rises
Deflation may set in
A slump is an extended period of negative GDP growth
Unemployment is likely to be high as a result of high levels of business failure
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Macroeconomic Impact
Objectives
Standard of living As employment rises, income increases, and households are better able to
afford goods & services
The government receives more tax & may spend it on improving health and
education
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Poverty E.g Poverty rates in South Korea declined from over 60% in the 1950s to Your notes
less than 5% by the 2000s as a result of economic growth
Productive potential Economic growth occurs when there is an increase in the productive
potential of an economy
This is demonstrated by an outward shift of the entire PPC
More consumer goods and more capital goods can now be produced
using all of the available resources
This shift is caused by an increase in the quality or quantity of the available
factors of production
Inflation Rising economic growth causes demand pull inflation and the purchasing
power of people on fixed incomes may fall
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Graph analysis
In the UK, a continual deviation from the target of 2% would not be considered stable Your notes
An inflation rate in April 2022 of 4-5% was considered to be unstable, eroding household
purchasing power
According to the CPI data, the following changes happened to the price level
In 2018, prices were rising at around 3% (inflation)
In 2019, prices were still rising but only by 1.8% (disinflation)
In 2021, they were still rising but by a much lower 0.5% (disinflation)
In 2022, prices rose at their fastest level, reaching 4.2% (inflation)
EXAM TIP
Remember that a reduction in the inflation rate from e.g. 5% to 3% means that prices are still rising
but rising more slowly (inflation at a decreasing rate is called disinflation)
MCQ will check your understanding of decreasing inflation by asking you questions such as:
In which year are prices their highest?
A. Y1 Inflation = 5%
B. Y2 inflation = 3%
C. Y3 inflation = 1%
C is the answer, as prices are 9% higher in Y3 than at the start of Y1 (5% + 3% + 1%)
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A household expenditure survey is conducted to determine what goes into the basket
Each year, some goods and services exit the basket, and new ones are added Your notes
Goods/services in the basket are weighted based on the proportion of household spending
E.g. More money is spent on food than shoes, so shoes have a lower weight in the basket
Each month, prices for these goods and services are gathered from hundreds of locations across the
country
These prices are averaged out
The price x the weighting determines the final value of the good/service in the basket
These final values are added together to determine the price of the 'basket'
The prices of the baskets are then used to calculate the CPU using the following formula:
Cost of basket in year X
CPI = x 100
Cost of basket in base year
The percentage difference in CPI between the two years is the inflation rate for the period
WORKED EXAMPLE
What was the rate of inflation if the consumer price index (CPI) of a country rose from 110 to 130?
Round to the nearest percentage.
A. 18%
B. 15%
C. 30%
D. 25%
Step 1: CPI data is already provided so calculate the inflation rate
new − old
Percentage change = x 100
old
130 − 110
= x 100
110
= 18. 18 %
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Your notes
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Types of Inflation
Your notes
Demand Pull Inflation
An increase in the average prices in an economy can be caused by demand-pull inflation or cost-
push inflation
Demand-pull inflation is caused by excess demand in the economy
This excess demand leads to higher prices as suppliers increase prices to balance the demand-
supply gap
Excess demand is often caused by higher incomes, resulting in more money flowing around the
economy
Factors that lead to higher incomes include:
Salary increases
Lower taxes raise disposable income
More government spending
Lower interest rates reduce interest payments, leading to an increase in disposable income
Higher employment levels
Increased exports generate more income in the country
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E.g If there's a rise in oil prices, it will increase the cost of production for goods that rely on oil,
leading to cost-push inflation
Your notes
Impacts of Inflation
The aim is to have a low and stable rate of inflation of approximately 2%, which means there is a steady
rate of economic growth
Higher levels of inflation have many negative impacts on firms, workers, consumers and the
government
Impact of Inflation
Purchasing power If inflation increases by more than 2% and income does not increase by
the same rate, there is a loss of purchasing power
Menu costs Price changes force firms to change their menu prices too
Businesses have the additional cost of updating menus or price cards
Shoe leather costs Shoe leather costs refers to hidden costs or waste of resources during
periods of high inflation
E.g People spend more time browsing Google for a better deal
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Business and consumer With falling output and rising unemployment, households and business
confidence lose confidence choosing to save or delay investment
Your notes
Consumption and investment fall, and real GDP reduces even more
Consumers delay purchasing goods and services as they believe
prices will be cheaper in a few weeks or months
Investment Rapid price changes create uncertainty and firms delay investment
Low and stable inflation improves confidence in future purchasing
power, encouraging long-term investment
EXAM TIP
When analysing inflation, make certain that you consider the size of any inflation. Low Inflation is
generally positive and a sign of a healthy economy, as it is indicative of economic growth
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Low Unemployment
Your notes
An Introduction to Unemployment
Employment refers to the economic use of labour as a factor of production
Unemployment occurs when a person is not working but actively seeking work
A country's population is divided into the labour force and non-labour force
The labour force consists of all workers actively working plus the unemployed (who are seeking
work)
The non-labour force includes all those not seeking work, e.g. stay-at-home parents,
pensioners, and school children (these people are economically inactive)
Measuring Unemployment
Unemployment is measured in many countries using the International Labour Organisation (ILO)
Survey
An extensive survey is sent to a random sample of households every quarter (60,000 households
in the UK)
Respondents self-determine if they are unemployed based on the following ILO criteria:
Ready to work within the next two weeks
Have actively looked for work in the past month
The same survey is used globally so the results are useful for making international comparisons
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The employment rate could be increasing even as the unemployment rate is increasing:
It may be caused by increased immigration, which causes working age population to increase
This may be caused as people move from being economically inactive to employed
Unemployment rates do not capture the hidden unemployment that occurs in the long term
Workers look for a job but may eventually give up and become economically inactive
This actually improves the unemployment rate, as fewer people are actively seeking work
WORKED EXAMPLE
The table provides information about a country's labour market
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no . actively seeking
= x 100
total labour force
Your notes
600 ,000
= x 100
2,400 ,000
= 25 %
Types of Unemployment
It is possible to classify unemployment into different categories
Types of Unemployment
Type of Explanation
Unemployment
Structural It occurs when there is a mismatch between jobs and skills in the economy
It usually happens as the structure of an economy changes, e.g. the
secondary sector is declining and the tertiary sector is growing
There is no longer a need for a specific type of worker, e.g. ship builders in
Glasgow
Many Western industries have relocated production to China, causing
structural unemployment in their economies
Unless workers receive help to retrain, they are often left unemployed or
underemployed
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Impact Explanation
Scarce resources As the economy contracts, there is a more inefficient use of available
resources
Government Government's receive less tax revenue and have higher expenditures
in the form of welfare payments
Consumer and business The level of optimism that consumers and businesses have regarding
confidence their expected financial situation falls
Consumers have less job security, so save more
Businesses expect to receive less sales revenue so they delay any
investment plans
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Component 2017
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Reason Explanation
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Quality of When a country develops a reputation for poor quality and design, its exports fall
domestic goods as foreign buyers look for better substitutes elsewhere
Your notes
Domestic buyers who are able to shop abroad also choose to buy better quality
products elsewhere, and the level of imports rises, leading to a current account
deficit
Price of Exporting firms may find themselves at a price and cost disadvantage in
domestic goods overseas markets, which will decrease competitiveness and the level of exports
Price of foreign If foreign goods are competitively priced relative to domestic goods, it can lead
goods to increased imports and a current account deficit
E.g The United States' trade deficit has been influenced by competitively
priced consumer goods from countries like China
Exchange rates Any appreciation of a country's currency makes a country's exports more
expensive relative to other nations and imports cheaper
Domestic consumers may switch demand to foreign goods and as imports rise,
the balance on the current account worsens
Reason Explanation
Quality of When a country develops a reputation for excellent quality and design, its
domestic exports rise as foreign buyers increase demand
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goods Domestic buyers choose to buy domestic products and the level of imports
falls, leading to a current account surplus
Your notes
E.g Japan's electronics industry historically produced high-quality goods,
contributing to its trade surplus
Quality of If foreign goods are of lower quality compared to domestic goods, consumers
foreign goods may favour domestically produced goods, resulting in fewer imports and leading
to a current account surplus
Price of If domestic goods are competitively priced relative to foreign goods, it can
domestic stimulate exports and lead to a current account surplus
goods
E.g South Korea's automotive industry's success is partially attributed to
competitive pricing, contributing to its trade surplus
Price of foreign If foreign goods are priced higher relative to domestic goods, it can lead to
goods decreased imports and a current account surplus
Exchange rates Any fall in the value of currency (depreciation) makes exports more attractive to
foreign buyers
E.g The depreciation of the British pound following Brexit helped increase
exports and reduce its trade deficit in the short term
EXAM TIP
The elasticity of imports and exports determines how impactful an appreciation or depreciation of
the currency are. In the short term, elasticity tends to be more inelastic. There is little response to the
price change, which was caused by the currency fluctuation. In the long term, exports and imports
are more elastic in demand. Consumption patterns change as stakeholders realise the currency
fluctuation has caused longer term changes to relative prices.
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Impact of an appreciation
Appreciation often leads to a worsening of the current account balance
A currency appreciation occurs when the value of a currency rises, making a nation's exports relatively
more expensive and its imports less expensive
E.g The appreciation of the Japanese Yen in the early 2010's made exports (cars and electronics)
more expensive for foreign buyers compared to similar products from South Korea and China. This
increased its trade deficit
Exports fall
Foreign buyers look for substitute products which are priced lower
Exports fall, and the balance on the current account worsens
Imports rise
Similarly, currency appreciation makes imports cheaper
Domestic consumers may switch demand to foreign goods, and as imports rise, the balance on
the current account worsens
Impact of a depreciation
Depreciation often leads to an improvement in the current account balance
A currency depreciation occurs when the value of a currency falls, making a nation's exports relatively
more attractive and its imports less attractive
E.g the depreciation of the British pound following Brexit helped increase exports and reduce its
trade deficit
Exports rise
The number of foreign buyers increases as they are attracted by the relatively cheaper prices
Exports rise and the balance on the current account improves
Imports fall
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Your notes
Diagram analysis
In the short run, the sum of PEDs for exports and imports was less than one, which is inelastic, so the
deficit widens
However, in the long run, combined PED of imports and exports is greater than one, and the trade
balance begins to improve
With any currency depreciation/devaluation, the trade balance will initially worsen before it improves
EXAM TIP
You do not need to know the J-curve for the exam. It is helpful here to understand exchange rate and
the relationship with the current account. It will enable a deeper analysis.
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Environmental Protection
Your notes
Business Activity and the Environment
Governments are doing more and more to set macroeconomic targets based around environmental
protection
Business activity can create external costs of production when providing a good or service
Types of pollution that create external costs to the environment include visual, air, noise and water
pollution
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Your notes
Negative business impacts on the environment include visual, noise, air, and water pollution
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Visual Business activity can cause a landscape Prior to plastic bag ban in Kenya,
Pollution to look like an eyesore plastic bags could be seen littering
Your notes
streets, rivers and natural
It can take the form of litter, mine dumps environments
or the release of chimney smoke
Noise Noise pollution refers to excessive noise Noise from air traffic at Heathrow
pollution that causes stress or hearing loss airport from flights arriving and
departing. Impacts local residents
Noise can come from loud machinery, near airport
factories, traffic or even bars and
restaurants
Air Greenhouse gases are released into the Up to two million air pollution deaths
pollution atmosphere from the burning of fossil are recorded per year in China
fuels, leading to increased air pollution
Beijing and Shanghai rank among the
Electricity stations (using fossil fuels), most polluted cities in Asia
factories, transportation and agricultural
activities all cause air pollution This has led to health diseases, such as
respiratory and cardiovascular
illnesses
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Governments intervention through taxation, subsidies, regulation, fines, permits & provision of parks
Some of the following government interventions to protect the environment have been explained
earlier:
Taxation (Government Intervention: Taxation & Subsidies)
Subsidies (Government Intervention: Taxation & Subsidies)
Regulations and fines (Government Intervention: Fines, Regulation & Permits)
Pollution permits (Government Intervention: Fines, Regulation & Permits)
Provision of parks
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Advantages Disadvantages
Source of revenue for government Firms may pay the tax and pass on the
increased costs to their customers
The tax provides financial incentives for firms
to source alternative forms of packaging Higher prices will disproportionately impact
low income consumers
The use of plastic may be inelastic in the short
term, but very elastic in the long term as firms To avoid the plastic tax on import, firms may
make alternative plans seek to manufacture their own plastic bags in
country
Advantages Disadvantages
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The combination of regulations mitigates the Loss of revenue for airlines as they have to
noise impact for the community provide fewer flights during the night hours
Your notes
A higher variable landing charge for noisy If the size of the variable landing charge is too
planes incentivises airlines to invest in noise small, there will be no incentive to invest in
reducing planes modern technology
Fewer flights does not mean no flights.
Residents will still be disrupted
Taxation The tax acts acts as a cost incentive Increased cost for firms, may cause
to reduce use of fossil fuels them to go out of business
Government revenue can be used to Cost passed on to consumers
invest in renewable energy
Pollution There is an incentive for coal powered Coal powered firms may choose to buy
permits plants to invest in cleaner permits rather than reduce emissions
technologies
Governments may issue to many
Incentive to reduce emissions at the permits, resulting in little change to the
lowest cost, as it is cheaper than level of emissions
buying permits
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Advantages Disadvantages
Your notes
Regulation on pesticides and fertilisers The cost of monitoring and enforcing compliance
use send a clear signal to stop using of water quality is high
them
Compliance with regulations can be costly for
Can prevent harmful substances from businesses, particularly small and medium-sized
entering water supplies, protecting enterprises, potentially leading to increased
public health from diseases and toxic operational costs
exposures
Strict regulations might stifle innovation by creating
Effective regulations help preserve a rigid framework that discourages the
aquatic ecosystems by controlling development of new contamination prevention
pollutants that can harm wildlife and technologies
natural habitats
Advantages Disadvantages
This reduces government expenditure on There is an opportunity cost of using land for other
healthcare, as it creates an incentive to be purposes
outdoors and lead a healthier lifestyle
Land and money could be used for alternative
It protects large areas of land, wildlife and uses such as housing, schools or hospitals,
ecosystems particularly in urban areas
E.g. Fiordland in New Zealand Land used for parks could lead to loss of job
contains a significant portion of creation from other uses
protected woodland, contributing to
its ecological and biodiversity E.g If the government decides to provide a
conservation park rather than allowing it to be developed
into a shopping centre or office complex,
Land can be used for recreational and potential job losses in retail and construction
tourism purposes will occur
E.g Visitors to Yosemite national park Parks are a public good so are free and will not be
in the USA can hike, camp, rock climb a source of income for the government
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EXAM TIP
When assessing policies to protect the environment, the most effective way to protect the
environment is by combining different types of government intervention (regulation, fines, taxation,
subsidies)
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However, the long-term outcome of capitalism is that the factors of production become
concentrated in ownership, with relatively few individuals developing extreme wealth, at the expense
of many who lose out Your notes
The existence of inequalities and poverty raises ethical concerns, particularly when certain
households do have access to basic necessities and experience a lower standard of living
Reasons to reduce poverty and inequality
Reason Explanation
Meet basic needs All individuals should have access to basic needs such as food and shelter
Inequalities in food access exist globally. According to United Nations, an
estimated 600 million people will experience hunger and malnutrition by
2030
To address this, Sustainable Development Goal 2 strives for zero hunger by
2030
Improve standards If the inequality gap gets narrower, it will increase the overall standard of
of living living
The poorer households will be able to access better education and
healthcare and have higher income
This creates even more opportunity for poorer households in the future
E.g Finland's investment in education has led to higher educational
attainment.
This allows for better job opportunities, higher incomes, reduced
inequality and an overall increase in standard of living
Ethical Individuals may be more concerned with more equitable outcomes for
considerations society than their own self-interest
Governments may use a progressive tax system so that lower income
earners pay a lower tax rate than higher income earners
E.g Australia's income tax rates range from 19% to 45% depending on
income
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Progressive Taxation
Tax systems can be classified as progressive or regressive
A progressive tax system redistributes income from those with higher income to those with lower
income
As income rises, a larger percentage of income is paid in tax (called the marginal tax rate)
Most countries have a mix of progressive (direct taxation) and regressive (indirect taxation) taxes in
place
The benefits of a good progressive tax system are sometimes lost to society because the high number
of regressive (indirect) taxes worsens income inequality
E.g High VAT rate
An explanation of tax systems
System Explanation
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Progressive tax systems are built around the idea of marginal tax rates
The calculation of an individual's personal income tax requires several calculations
Using this system, a salary of £60,000 would attract a tax bill of £11,500, calculated as follows:
Calculating a tax bill using the UK progressive tax rates from 2022
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Once the tax revenue is received by the government, redistribution often starts with the provision of
free education and healthcare
Many governments use tax revenues to provide multiple levels of financial support to poor
households, including disability payments, heating subsidies, travel subsidies, etc
An evaluation of progressive taxes
Advantage Disadvantage
Increases revenue for public services Progressive tax systems can be complicated
and expensive to administer
Can generate more revenue for
essential public services like Tax avoidance and evasion
education, healthcare, and High-income individuals may seek to exploit
infrastructure loopholes or move their money to lower-tax
Fairness perception jurisdictions, reducing the effectiveness of the
tax system
People with higher incomes have a
greater ability to pay, so progressive Impact on investment
taxes are often seen as fairer Progressive taxes on capital gains and
dividends can deter investment, which might
slow economic growth and innovation
WORKED EXAMPLE
The table below shows rates of taxation for country X
1–10,000 5%
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10,001–18,000 10%
Benefit Payments
Benefit payments are usually given to the poorest and most vulnerable in society
They include unemployment and disability payments, pension payments, heating discounts,
public transport subsidies, child benefits, etc
E.g In Denmark, social welfare is high compared to other countries. Income is transferred to low
income households through unemployment benefits and housing assistance
An evaluation of benefit payments
Advantages Disadvantages
Benefit payments reduce inequality and High levels of benefit payments can act as a
poverty by directly transferring income to disincentive to work
households with low incomes
E.g Some European countries with high
Benefit payments enable households with low social welfare payments may be less
incomes to afford basic necessities such as motivated to actively seek employment
food and shelter. This reduces poverty
Many families may become dependent on
Child benefit payments can empower benefit payments
mothers to re-enter the workforce
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Advantages Disadvantages
Higher levels of education and healthcare There is a high cost and an opportunity cost of
contribute to increased human capital and spending on education and health care
greater productivity
There is a time lag involved between investing in
This leads to higher output and, as a result, education and healthcare and seeing the future
higher levels of income benefits
Higher levels of education facilitate greater A blend of policies (investment in education and
occupational mobility benefit payments) may be the most effective
way to tackle poverty and inequality
By acquiring skills needed for jobs,
individuals can break the poverty cycle and
contribute to economic growth
EXAM TIP
In paper 2, you will often be asked to evaluate how progressive taxes, benefit payments or
investment in education and healthcare will impact inequality or poverty in a given scenario.
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Make sure you have a balanced argument and consider the impact on multiple stakeholders (high-
and low-income households, producers and government). Also, consider that a blend of policies
may be the most effective way to tackle poverty and inequality Your notes
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