The Eth Report 2024
The Eth Report 2024
The Eth Report 2024
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Table of Contents (click to jump to each section)
Operating Performance…………………………………………………………………………………………………………….3
Token Economics………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………13
Stablecoins……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….23
DeFi………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….31
Onchain P&L…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….36
Valuation………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………….39
Correlations……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..45
Layer 2’s……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………54
ETH vs SOL……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..…69
Closing Thoughts………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………76
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OPERATING
PERFORMANCE
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STATS & TAKEAWAYS
• In the last two cycles, the ETH price shot through the
token holder growth trendline. If that happened in
this cycle, the ETH price could get to $8-$10k.
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• Avg. commits/day Q3 = 36
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STATS & TAKEAWAYS
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STATS & TAKEAWAYS
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STATS & TAKEAWAYS
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• Aave was flat for the quarter, but has seen it’s
active loans grow over 200% over the last year
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• The decrease is due to the growth of L2s, the introduction of EIP 4844, and lack of new users coming into
crypto in Q3
• Optics look bad in the short run, but in the long run we expect to see the new supply of block space back
filled by new use cases that exponentially grow transaction volume, demand for ETH, and settlement
fees to ETH L1
• ETH holders were diluted during Q3 as the network issued more ETH than was burned
• Stakers earned $526m in Q3 as the token incentives that diluted ETH holders were paid to ETH
stakers/validators
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STATS & TAKEAWAYS
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STATS & TAKEAWAYS
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77
Is ETH Dead?
• If you’ve read The Ethereum Investment Framework, you know • We view L2s as a complement to ETH (the asset) because they use the
that we expected to see fees on the network drop as a result of ETH for gas fees/settlement. Typically when the price of a product or
EIP4844, and to some extent, the introduction of Celestia and service drops (in this case, L2 fees), demand for its complement
cheaper data availability networks. That’s exactly what’s increases (in this case, ETH).
happening now.
• In addition to increasing demand for ETH, L2s can ultimately scale the
• The optics don’t look great. Fees are down. Inflation is up. volume of transactions (and settlement fees paid to Ethereum) that
Uniswap (controls 20% of gas fees to Ethereum validators) is now should ultimately back fill the glut of block space supply that is available
building their own L2. today.
• But the reality is that L2s are the only way the network can scale. • We’ll be monitoring progress on these fronts in the coming quarters.
Ethereum’s primary job is to secure the L2s, export ETH to as In summary, ETH is not dead.
many chains as possible, and capture settlement fees + security
as a service fees (restaking).
• While fees are dropping on Ethereum (and L2s), the key item to
watch for is demand for ETH. On L2s. In DeFi. As a store of value.
This is ultimately what matters in the long run.
• Twitter: @JustDeauIt