95m Pakistanis Live in Poverty - World Bank

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95m Pakistanis live in poverty: World Bank


Urges govt to tax agriculture, real estate, cut wasteful expenditure Join Us

Shahbaz Rana September 23, 2023     

World Bank. PHOTO: FILE

ISLAMABAD: Deeply concerned over the state of economy, the


World Bank has urged Pakistan to take urgent steps to tax its
sacred cows – agriculture and real estate – and cut wasteful
expenditures in an effort to achieve economic stability through
steep fiscal adjustment of over 7% of the size of the economy.

The lender on Friday also revealed that poverty in Pakistan shot up to 39.4%
as of last fiscal year with 12.5 million more people falling into the trap due to
poor economic conditions. About 95 million Pakistanis now live in poverty.

The Washington-based lender unveiled the draft policy notes that it prepared
with the help of all stakeholders for the next government.

The lender identified low human development, unsustainable fiscal situation,


over-regulated private sector, agriculture and energy sectors as the priority
areas for reforms for the next government.

It proposed measures – immediately increase the tax-to-GDP ratio by 5% and


cut expenditures by about 2.7% of GDP – aimed at putting the unsustainable
economy back on a prudent fiscal path.

However, the measures suggested were mostly in areas that had been
considered as “sacred cows”.

“The World Bank is deeply concerned about the economic situation of today,”
Tobias Haque, the WB’s lead country economist, said.
Pakistan is facing serious economic and human development crises and it is at
a point where major policy shifts are required, he added.

The bank’s note on strengthening government revenues showed a host of


measures to improve the revenue-to-GDP ratio by 5% through withdrawal of
tax exemptions and increasing burden of taxes on the real estate and the
agriculture sectors.

“This may be Pakistan’s moment for significant policy shift,” Najy Benhassine,
the country director for Pakistan at WB, said.

To a question, he said: “We hope there is a realisation of the current economic


situation but the question is whether the realisation for the change in policies
is across all the political parties, businesses, civil society and all those who
count.”

The poverty in Pakistan increased within one year from 34.2% to 39.4% with
12.5 million more people falling below the poverty line of $3.65 per day
income level, according to the WB.

It added that the increase in poverty was consistent with ground realities.

“Pakistan’s economic model is no longer reducing poverty and the living


standards have fallen behind peer countries,” Haque said.

Revenues

Pakistan has the capacity to collect taxes equal to 22% of the GDP but its
current ratio is only 10.2% – showing a gap of more than half, according to the
WB note.

The lender proposed reducing distortive exemptions to generate taxes equal to


2% of the GDP. It wanted an increase in taxes on land and property to collect
another 2% of GDP in revenues and generate another 1% of the GDP from the
agriculture sector.

The lender proposed a mandatory use of CNIC for transactions, particularly of


assets.

The WB recommended withdrawing income tax exemption available to the


power generation projects and to the real estate investment trusts.

“The revenues generated by withdrawing these exemptions are enough to fund


35,000 teachers’ salaries,” it added.

The WB recommended further tightening the noose around salaried


individuals by reducing the numbers of tax slabs and further reducing the
income threshold for the top marginal tax brackets.

It proposed increasing excise duties on cigarettes by applying a uniform rate


across all brands and an automatic inflation-adjusted increase in these rates
every year.

It also wanted withdrawal of tax exemptions on machinery import for power


generation and transmission, and withdrawal of exemptions for
pharmaceutical and energy sectors.
It also proposed withdrawing exemptions for food items – oil, pulses, animal,
fruit and dairy.

The WB proposed to lower the income tax free slab for the agriculture sector
from the existing 12.5 acres and through proper categorisation of land aimed
at generating taxes equal to 1% of the GDP.

The farmers with land of less than 12.5 acres did not pay any tax, while those
who owned up to 25 acres paid just Rs100 per acre. The ones owning from 26
to 50 acres land paid only Rs250 per tax and the rate for above 50 acres was
mere Rs300 per acre.

To collect 2% of the GDP taxes from land and real estate, the WB proposed
harmonisation of three different valuation systems, increase in property tax
rates and change in land classification for taxation purposes.

At the moment, there is actual market price of a plot, then a deputy collector
valuation to pay provincial tax and then FBR valuation to pay federal taxes.

Expenditure cut

The lender proposed reducing energy and commodity subsidies, implementing


a single treasury account, and imposing temporary austerity measures in the
short-term for saving about 1% of the GDP equivalent expenditures.

In 2022, the federal government’s deposits in commercial banks amounted to


over Rs2 trillion and due to the government’s sovereign borrowings in absence
of use of this idle cash, an amount of Rs424 billion was paid in interest, the
WB said.

For the medium-term, the WB proposed reducing federal development and


current expenditures on provincial nature projects, reducing spending on loss
making entities, and improving quality of development spending to save about
Rs1.4 trillion. The cumulative impact of these short- to medium-term savings
is 2.7% of the GDP.

Pakistan is heavily subsidising the agriculture sector, which is leading to low


productivity.
The government can reduce Rs328 billion spending by winding up ministries
that fall in the provincial domain, it added.

Another Rs70 billion can be saved by devolving the Higher Education


Commission to the provinces and Rs217 billion savings can be ensured
through cost sharing of BISP with the provinces, the WB said.

“There is a lot of stop and go and a lot of policy reversals, which often are
correlated with the political cycles,” Benhassine said.

He said that the donors could only provide advice and financing and the
solution would have to come from inside Pakistan.

“Pakistan needs to address the human capital crisis and there is a need to
recognise the scale of the problem,” Haque said.

There is a need for reduction in energy subsidies. High energy prices are
putting heavy pressures on the households and there is a need to address the
issues of higher losses by the power distribution companies, changing the
energy generation mix.

“We hope this programme of discussions will help build a consensus around a
path towards inclusive, sustainable, and climate-resilient development,”
Benhassine said.

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