Global Warming MLA380

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Student ID: 06680218 Global Warming MLA380, Spring ‘24

In recent decades, public perception of global warming has become a key area of study

for policy researchers and academics. Over the years, a significant majority of Americans (over

75%) believe in both the reality and human-caused nature of global warming (Slide 15, Lecture

#1). Surveys show a growing recognition of the issue's severity and a desire to affect change.

However, despite this strong public endorsement, substantial policies to tackle this challenge

remain elusive. This paper examines the dichotomy between public concerns and legislative

action, focusing on the implications for scientific surveys.

Effectively translating public concern about climate change into concrete policy action

faces many hurdles. One significant obstacle is the presence of misinformation and the

politicization of the issue. Skepticism fueled by misinformation campaigns, often strategically

disseminated online, undermines the established scientific consensus on climate change. This

fosters public resistance to regulations aimed at mitigating climate change. The issue is further

exacerbated by political polarization, as climate change becomes entangled in partisan politics,

hindering bipartisan cooperation on policy solutions. The unfortunate alignment of climate

change beliefs with political affiliation creates a significant hurdle in garnering broad public

support for mitigation measures.

Turning toward the challenges this legislative status quo presents for survey analysis, let

us consider a few possibilities. We could start by examining if certain sections of society

challenge the very validity of surveys by refuting the fact that those surveyed are unbiased and

question if they are truly a representative sample of the general population. To counter this

skepticism, researchers can proactively emphasize the diversity encapsulated within the survey

cohorts. Survey results that indicate a strong belief in climate change need to be supplemented

with data to show that the respondents were equally distributed across the spectrum of
Democrats, Republicans, and Independents. Also, it needs to be highlighted that contact data is

randomized in a way that eliminates any regional or socioeconomic bias. There is a need for a

survey standards body that is acceptable to and supported by participants across the political

spectrum (or more publicity if one such exists). Any survey result that guarantees to have met the

requirements defined by this standards body can thus rise above political partisanship leading to

honest discussions about the topic at hand.

While surveys can tell us what people think, they could also be designed to capture the

intensity of those opinions or the likelihood of people translating those beliefs into action. To

make surveys more useful for policymakers, we need a way to understand how engaged the

public is with the issue and how likely they are to advocate for change. Each participant could be

asked about their past actions. Have they ever contacted a legislator about climate policy? Do

they participate regularly in environmental campaigns or donate to climate action groups? Do

they consistently vote in elections, especially for candidates with strong environmental

platforms? By collecting data on these types of past behaviors, we could assign a score to each

respondent that reflects their level of engagement and potential influence. Thus, an

“effectiveness weightage multiplier” could be applied to each data point. By analyzing a large

sample size, we could create a "Policy Impact Index" that provides a more nuanced picture of

public sentiment. Ultimately, the goal is to move beyond gathering opinions and get a better

sense of the public's capacity and motivation to act. This cannot fully overcome, but at least

substantially help bridge the gap between public concern and real-world policy change.

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