Investment Management: Concept of Investment Meaning of Investment
Investment Management: Concept of Investment Meaning of Investment
Investment Management: Concept of Investment Meaning of Investment
CONCEPT OF INVESTMENT
MEANING OF INVESTMENT
Risk and return are the twin determinants that shape every
Investment decision. In the context of Investment, risk encapsulates the
possibility of not achieving expected returns or experiencing losses. It's
vital to recognise that higher levels of risk often accompany the potential
for higher returns. This relationship underscores the importance of
aligning one's risk tolerance with one's choices.
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Liquidity
Time horizon
Diversification
Inflation protection
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inflation, aiming to retain or even increase their value in the face of rising
costs. These assets include commodities like gold and oil, real estate, and
specific equities.
Tax efficiency
Market volatility
Investment goals
Cost efficiency
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PROCESS OF INVESTMENT
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with your temperament, making your financial journey not just profitable
but also emotionally secure.
The emergency fund acts as a safety net, preventing the need to liquidate
Investments during crises, thus preserving long-term goals.
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INVESTMENT ATTRIBUTES
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Risk averse. Your portfolio should not expose you to any more risk than is
necessary to meet your objectives. For some, this will mean a portfolio
composed of mostly stocks. For others, it will mean all cash. For most, it
will mean something in between.
Treasury Bills, which are issued by the federal government, are among the
safest money market securities available. Treasury bills, however, have no
risk. i.e., are instruments with zero risk. As a result, the results one receives
from them are not desirable.
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Treasury bills are traded on primary and secondary markets and have
varying maturity terms, such as three months, six months, and one year.
The central government issues Treasury banknotes at a discount from their
face value.
The first distinction is that a CD is only ever issued for a higher amount of
money. A Certificate of Deposit is moreover freely negotiable. Certificates of
Deposits, first introduced by the RBI in 1989, have grown to become a
popular investment option for businesses looking to invest short-term
surplus funds since they carry no risk while offering interest rates that are
greater than those offered by Treasury bills and term deposits.
Highly popular in countries like Japan, UK, USA, Australia and many others,
Commercial Papers promise higher returns as compared to treasury bills
and are automatically not as secure in comparison. Commercial papers are
actively traded in the secondary market.
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Loans of a brief period that are agreed upon by buyers and sellers for the
purpose of buying and selling are referred to as repurchase agreements
(repo), sometimes known as reverse repo or simply as repo.
These transactions can only be made between parties that the RBI has
approved. Transactions involving repo or reverse repo can only be made
between parties that the RBI has permitted. Only transactions involving
RBI-approved securities, such as treasury bills, securities issued by the
federal, state, or local governments, corporate bonds, and PSU bonds, are
allowed.
Bill of exchange
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A bill of exchange is a written order binding one party to pay a fixed sum of
money to another party on demand or at some point in the future.
Equity Share
Preference Share
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Debt Instruments
Debt instruments, like bonds and debentures, are essentially loans that
investors give to companies or governments. When you invest in these,
you're lending money and in return, you receive interest payments over a
specified period. At the end of the term, the principal amount is repaid.
They are a key part of capital markets, providing a way for entities to raise
funds for various projects. Unlike equities, which represent ownership,
debt instruments are a form of borrowing and offer a fixed return, making
them a different kind of investment with generally lower risk compared to
stocks.
Bonds
Debentures
Debt instruments, like bonds and debentures, are essentially loans that
investors give to companies or governments. When you invest in these,
you're lending money and in return, you receive interest payments over a
specified period. At the end of the term, the principal amount is repaid.
They are a key part of capital markets, providing a way for entities to raise
funds for various projects. Unlike equities, which represent ownership,
debt instruments are a form of borrowing and offer a fixed return, making
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Derivative Instruments
Options: These give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy (call
option) or sell (put option) an asset at a specified price before a certain
date.
Interest Rate Swap: A contract in which two parties exchange cash flows
based on different interest rates applied to a principal amount, often used
to hedge interest rate risks.
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EIC FRAMEWORK
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS
One of the most famous models ever developed for industry analysis,
famously known as Porter’s 5 Forces, was introduced by Michael Porter in
his 1980 book “Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries
and Competitors.”
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This indicates the ease with which new firms can enter the market of a
particular industry. If it is easy to enter an industry, companies face the
constant risk of new competitors. If the entry is difficult, whichever
company enjoys little competitive advantage reaps the benefits for a longer
period. Also, under difficult entry circumstances, companies face a constant
set of competitors.
The complete opposite happens when the bargaining power lies with the
customers. If consumers/buyers enjoy market power, they are in a position
to negotiate lower prices, better quality, or additional services and
discounts. This is the case in an industry with more competitors but with a
single buyer constituting a large share of the industry’s sales.
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Company Analysis:
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Valuation of shares
Listed below are some of the instances where the valuation of shares is
important:
One of the important reason is when you are about to sell your
business and you wanted to know your business value
When you approach your bank for a loan based on shares as a security
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There are various reasons for adopting a particular method for share
valuation; it generally depends upon the purpose of valuation. Using a
combination of methods generally provides a more reliable valuation. Let’s
see under each approach what the main reason is:
i. Assets Approach
This approach has two different methods namely Discounted Cash Flow
(DCF) or Price Earning Capacity (PEC) method. DCF method uses the
projection of future cash flows to determine the fair value and if this data is
reasonably available, DCF method can be used. PEC method uses historical
earnings and if an entity is not in the business for a long time and just
started its operations, then this method cannot be applied.
Under this approach, the market value of the shares is considered for
valuation. However, this approach is feasible only for listed companies
whose share prices can be obtained in the open market. If there are a set of
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peer companies that are listed and engaged in a similar business, then such
a company’s share public prices can also be used.
Valuation Bonds
Bond Valuation?
Bond valuation is the process of determining the fair value or theoretical
price of a bond.
This involves calculating the present value of the bond's future cash flows,
which include periodic interest payments and the face value returned
upon maturity.
Bond Components
Face Value
The face value, or par value, of a bond, is the amount that the issuer will
repay the bondholder at maturity. It is the principal amount on which the
periodic interest payments are calculated.
Coupon Rate
The coupon rate is the annual interest rate paid on a bond, expressed as a
percentage of the bond's face value. This rate determines the periodic
interest payments made to the bondholder throughout the life of the bond.
Maturity Date
The maturity date is the date when the bond's principal amount is due to
be repaid to the bondholder. Bonds can have short-term, medium-term, or
long-term maturities, typically ranging from a few months to 30 years or
more.
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Credit rating agencies, such as Standard & Poor's, Moody's, and Fitch,
assign ratings based on their evaluation of the issuer's financial strength
and stability.
Preference Share
Preference shares also known as preferred stock, is an exclusive share
option which enables shareholders to receive dividends announced by the
company before the equity shareholders.
Preference shares provide the shareholders with the special right to claim
dividends during the company lifetime, and also with the option to claim
repayment of capital, in case of the wind up of the company.
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Business Cycle?
In the diagram above, the straight line in the middle is the steady growth
line. The business cycle moves about the line. Below is a more detailed
description of each stage in the business cycle:
1. Expansion
The first stage in the business cycle is expansion. In this stage, there is an
increase in positive economic indicators such as employment, income,
output, wages, profits, demand, and supply of goods and services. Debtors
are generally paying their debts on time, the velocity of the money supply is
high, and investment is high. This process continues as long as economic
conditions are favorable for expansion.
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2. Peak
The economy then reaches a saturation point, or peak, which is the second
stage of the business cycle. The maximum limit of growth is attained. The
economic indicators do not grow further and are at their highest. Prices are
at their peak. This stage marks the reversal point in the trend of economic
growth. Consumers tend to restructure their budgets at this point.
3. Recession
The recession is the stage that follows the peak phase. The demand for
goods and services starts declining rapidly and steadily in this phase.
Producers do not notice the decrease in demand instantly and go on
producing, which creates a situation of excess supply in the market. Prices
tend to fall. All positive economic indicators such as income, output, wages,
etc., consequently start to fall.
4. Depression
5. Trough
6. Recovery
After the trough, the economy moves to the stage of recovery. In this phase,
there is a turnaround in the economy, and it begins to recover from the
negative growth rate. Demand starts to pick up due to low prices and,
consequently, supply begins to increase. The population develops a positive
attitude towards investment and employment and production starts
increasing.
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Meaning
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Performance Analysis
Risk Analysis
Risk-Return Analysis
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What is a Risk?
A risk is any activity or investment that presents a potential for gain but
also contains the possibility of loss. Risk can be associated with various
aspects of life, including business, financial investments, and even personal
decisions. In general, risks are divided into two broad categories: economic
activities (such as stock market investments) and physical activities (such a
Systematic Risk Meaning
Systematic risk, often called market risk, encapsulates the potential for a
broad market downturn resulting from factors that affect the entire
financial system. Unlike unsystematic risk, which pertains to individual
assets or sectors, systematic risk is inherent to the entire market and
cannot be eliminated through diversification.
Interest Rate Risk: This type of systematic risk arises from fluctuations in
interest rates, which can significantly affect the value of fixed-income
securities. When interest rates rise, the prices of existing bonds typically
fall, and vice versa.
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Market Risk: Market risk involves the potential for investors to experience
losses due to factors that affect the overall performance of the financial
markets. This can include changes in market sentiment, economic
indicators, and global events.
Inflation Risk: Also known as purchasing power risk, inflation risk is the
danger that the value of assets or income will be eroded as inflation
diminishes the purchasing power of money. This is particularly relevant for
cash and fixed-income investments.
Unsystematic risk
The most common examples of unsystematic risk are the risks that are
specific to an individual firm. Examples can include management risks,
litigation risks, location risks, and succession risks.
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Business Risk
Both internal and external issues may cause business risk. Internal risks
are tied to operational efficiencies. For example, management failing to
take out a patent to protect a new product would be an internal risk, as it
may result in the loss of competitive advantage.
Financial Risk
A weak capital structure may lead to inconsistent earnings and cash flow
that could prevent a company from trading.
Operational Risk
Strategic Risk
A strategic risk may occur if a business gets stuck selling goods or services
in a dying industry without a solid plan to evolve the company's offerings.
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Legal and regulatory risk is the risk that a change in laws or regulations
will hurt a business. These changes can increase operational costs or
introduce legal hurdles. More drastic legal or regulation changes can even
stop a business from operating altogether.
Returns are created in two ways: the investment creates income or the
investment gains (or loses) value. To calculate the annual rate of return for
an investment, you need to know the income created the gain (loss) in
value, and the original value at the beginning of the year.
Returns are the benefits from investing, but they must be larger than its
costs. There are at least two costs to investing: the opportunity cost of
giving up cash and giving up all your other uses of that cash until you get it
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back in the future and the cost of the risk you take—the risk that you won’t
get it all back.
Risk
Investment risk is the idea that an investment will not perform as expected,
that its actual return will deviate from the expected return. Risk is
measured by the amount of volatility, that is, the difference between actual
returns and average (expected) returns. This difference is referred to as the
standard deviation [2]. Returns with a large standard deviation (showing
the greatest variance from the average) have higher volatility and are the
riskier investments.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Actual return includes any gain or loss of asset value plus any income
produced by the asset during a period.
Actual return can be calculated using the beginning and ending asset values
for the period and any investment income earned during the period.
Expected return is the average return the asset has generated based on
historical data of actual returns.
Investment risk is the possibility that an investment’s actual return will not
be its expected return.
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economic risk,
industry risk,
company- or firm-specific risk,
asset class risk, or market risk.
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Market risk - Also known as systematic risk, this risk affects the overall
financial market. This is caused by factors such as a change in interest
rates, recessions, natural disasters, political turmoil, or other such factors.
Liquidity risk - This risk arises when an asset cannot be readily converted
into money. This may lead to a loss as you may have to sell your high
valued assets at a lower price.
Concentration risk - The risk of loss because all your funds are invested in
a specific investment is concentration risk. You should diversify your
investments to spread the risk over different types of investments,
industries, and geographies.
Reinvestment risk - This is the risk of loss from reinvesting the previously
invested fund at a lower interest rate than before.
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Inflation risk - Over time, the same amount of money will buy lesser goods
and services, owing to inflation. This leads to a loss in the real value of
money.
Alpha ratio: Alpha refers to a metric that evaluates a mutual fund's risk-
adjusted returns in comparison to its benchmark index. If you are investing
in a fund that tracks, for instance, the Nifty 50 or the BSE Sensex, you would
employ alpha to gauge its performance.
A positive alpha indicates that the fund has outperformed its benchmark,
while a negative alpha suggests underperformance. A higher alpha rating
indicates the potential for superior mutual fund returns.
A higher beta implies greater volatility, which may result in the potential
for higher returns.
Ratios below 1 indicate that the returns achievable may not adequately
compensate for the associated level of risk.
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Investors often use standard deviation as a key metric for assessing the
fund's historical performance stability.
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Technical analysis
The dow theory was developed to explain the concept that share market
moves in trends that can be analyzed and predicted.
Dow theory meaning is based on the idea that the stock market theory
moves in three trends: the primary trend, the secondary trend, and the
minor trend.
The primary trend is the overall direction of the market, which can last for
several years.
The secondary trend is a correction to the primary trend, which can last for
several months.
The minor trend is a short-term fluctuation in the market, which can last
for several days.
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Identifying Stock Trends: Dow Theory can help investors identify the
trends of individual stocks. By understanding the stock’s trend, investors
can make better decisions about when to buy or sell.
Investors who profit from a market trend are described as riding a wave.
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Each set of waves is within another set of waves that adhere to the
same impulse or corrective pattern, described as a fractal approach
to investing.
Some The theory assumes that stock price movements can be
predicted because they move in repeating up-and-down patterns
called waves created by investor psychology or sentiment.
The theory is subjective and identifies two different types of waves:
motive or impulse waves, and corrective waves.
Wave analysis does not equate to a template to follow instructions.
Wave analysis offers insights into trend dynamics and helps
investors understand price movements.
Impulse and corrective waves are nested in a self-similar fractal to
create larger patterns.
Top 5 Types of Technical Analysis Charts:
A line chart
A line chart is a basic chart that depicts information through the line
segments for the change in value over time. It is used to track the changes
going on for short and long periods.
A line chart is the most basic and common chart used in technical analysis
which is represented by a graphical representation of lines and dots. It is
quite simple in comparison to other complicated charts.
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A line chart helps the traders identify the trend and movement of the stock.
You can track the dots of the line chart as the closing price which moves to
form the line chart. Traders use a line chart to spot and track the closing
prices. The closing price is considered is the strongest movement that
assists to find strength in a particular stock.
Bar charts
A bar chart can be defined as a chart where rectangular bars are used to
identify the values that each bar represents.
In technical analysis, a bar chart depicts the prices of security with its open,
close, high and low prices.
Using bar charts you can spot trends, identify opportunities and create
categorical data within the form of bars. Generally, analysts and traders use
the bar chart to spot volatile movements.
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When you open a bar chart you see comparative and distinctive sizes of
bars that indicate the opening and closing prices of the security.
In a bar chart, the vertical line indicates the prices – high and low, whereas
the horizontal line marks the market opening and closing prices.
Candlestick Chart
Definition
A candle shows high, low, open and close prices and is of two colors- red
candles refer to the bearish movement and green candles refer to the
bullish movement.
There are different kinds of candles that are created during the price
movement of a security or an asset. But some of the powerful candles are:
a. Doji b. Hammer
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Renko Chart
Definition
In technical analysis, the Renko chart is used by traders that prefer to enter
and make an exit in the larger trends. In the words of normal traders, the
larger the pattern, the larger will be the trend.
What Is a Reversal?
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Reversals are based on overall price direction and are not typically based
on one or two periods/bars on a chart.
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