I1.1 Managerial Finance Notes
I1.1 Managerial Finance Notes
I1.1 Managerial Finance Notes
1 Managerial Finance
Syllabus:
1. Financial Environment
Aims and objectives of profit seeking and non-profit seeking organizations.
Interests and influence of key stakeholder groups (Agency Problem).
2. source of finance
Short term source of finance.
Debt financing ( types of debt ,loan amortization) and associated risks.
Equity financing (the nature and importance of internally generated funds,type of share capital
,warrants ,bonus and right issues).
The nature and role of capital markets,
Sources of government finance including: grants, national aid schemes, tax Incentives etc.
Venture capital financing, nature, benefits and risks.
3. Cost of Funds
Meaning and assumptions of cost of capital
Classification of cost of capital
Arguments for cost of capital
Computations of cost of capital:
• Cost of equity
• cost of debenture- redeemable ,irredeemable and convertible debentures
• cost of preferred stock
• Measurement of overall cost of capital (WACC), application and interpretation.
4. Capital Structure
Review of factors affecting capital structure
Theories underlying capital structure (NOI, NI, Traditional approach, MM Approaches)
5. Capital Budgeting
Need for capital budgeting
Capital budgeting process
Identification of relevant cash flows.
Estimation of investments cash flows
Capital budgeting valuation techniques:
a) Pay-back period
b) Post pay –back profitability method
c) Profitability index
d) Accounting rate of return.
e) Modified pay back period
f) NPV and IRR Techniques
g) Adjusted present value techniques
h) The effects of inflation, taxation and capital rationing on the investment decision
Risk and Uncertainty in Capital Budgeting
Lease or buy decisions.
Replacement decision
5. Working Capital Management
Concept of Working Capital:
Gross working capital
Networking capital
Types of working capital:
Temporary W.C
Permanent W.C
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Semi- Variable Working Capital
Sources of working capital
Factors influencing working capital management
Working capital policies and strategies- Conservative/Aggressive/Hedging- Matching
The operating cycle and determination of working capital
Working capital ratios
Overtrading - symptoms, causes and remedies.
Inventory management (EOQ, EBQ, and JIT).
Cash management.
Debtor and creditor management: terms of credit, credit evaluation,settlement discounts,
debt collection techniques, factoring and invoice Discounting.
7. Portfolio Theory
Introduction to risk management (types of risks and risk management process)
Portfolio diversification (Systematic and unsystematic risk)
Portfolio theory and its application in practical financial management.
Calculate and interpret the risk and return of a two asset portfolio.
Markowtzportifolio theory
Security pricing: CAPM and APT (Assumptions and there Application)
Efficient Frontier and Capital market line
8. Corporate Dividend Policy and Strategy;
Factors determining dividends policy
Forms of dividends
The value of dividends
Dividends Theories/Models
Walter’s Model,
a) Gordon’s Model
b) The Dividend-Irrelevance Theory and Company Valuation (MM Theory)
c) Factors affecting dividends payouts
9. Business Valuations
Methods of valuing a business, including:
– Asset bases.
– Earnings bases.
– Discounted cash flow.
10 . Emerging issues in Financial Management
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Study Unit 1
Objectives of Financial Management
A. INTRODUCTION
Financial Management is a branch of economies concerned with the generation and allocation of
scarce resources to the most efficient user within the economy (or the firm). The allocation of these
resources is done through a market pricing system. A firm requires resources in form of funds raised
from investors. The funds must be allocated within the organisation to projects that will yield the
highest return.
Financial Management is a discipline concerned with the generation and allocation of scarce resources
(usually funds) to the most efficient user within the firm (the competing projects) through a market
pricing system (the required rate of return).
Managerial Finance is the science of managing financial resources in a firm so as to maximize the value
of the firm while on the other side managing the financial risks.
SCOPE OF FINANCE FUNCTIONS
The functions of Financial Manager can broadly be divided into two: The Routine functions and the
Managerial Functions.
Managerial Finance Functions
Require skilful planning, control and execution of financial activities. There are four important
managerial finance functions. These are:
a) Investment of Long-term asset-mix decisions
These decisions (also referred to as capital budgeting decisions) relates to the allocation of funds
among investment projects. They refer to the firm’s decision to commit current funds to the purchase
of fixed assets in expectation of future cash inflows from these projects. Investment proposals are
evaluated in terms of both risk and expected return.
Investment decisions also relates to recommitting funds when an old asset becomes less productive.
This is referred to as replacement decision.
b) Financing decisions
Financing decision refers to the decision on the sources of funds to finance investment projects. The
finance manager must decide the proportion of equity and debt. The mix of debt and equity affects
the firm’s cost of financing as well as the financial risk. This will further be discussed under the risk
return trade-off.
c) Division of earnings decision
The finance manager must decide whether the firm should distribute all profits to the shareholders,
retain them, or distribute a portion and retain a portion. The earnings must also be distributed to
other providers of funds such as preference shareholder, and debt providers of funds such as
preference shareholders and debt providers. The firm’s dividend policy may influence the
determination of the value of the firm and therefore the finance manager must decide the optimum
dividend – payout ratio so as to maximise the value of the firm.
d) Liquidity decision
The firm’s liquidity refers to its ability to meet its current obligations as and when they fall due. It can
also be referred to as current assets management. Investment in current assets affects the firm’s
liquidity, profitability and risk. The more current assets a firm has, the more liquid it is. This implies
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that the firm has a lower risk of becoming insolvent but since current assets are non-earning assets the
profitability of the firm will be low. The converse will hold true.
The finance manager should develop sound techniques of managing current assets to ensure that
neither insufficient nor unnecessary funds are invested in current assets.
Routine functions
For the effective execution of the managerial finance functions, routine functions have to be
performed. These decisions concern procedures and systems and involve a lot of paper work and
time. In most cases these decisions are delegated to junior staff in the organization. Some of the
important routine functions are:
a) Supervision of cash receipts and payments
b) Safeguarding of cash balance
c) Custody and safeguarding of important documents
d) Record keeping and reporting
The finance manager will be involved with the managerial functions while the routine functions will be
carried out by junior staff in the firm. He must however, supervise the activities of these junior staff.
THE OBJECTIVES/GOALS OF A BUSINESS
1. Profit maximization – This is a traditional and a cardinal objective of a business. This is so for the
following reasons:
To earn acceptable returns to its owners. (i.e. Must not be less than bank rates + inflation +
risk)
So as to survive (through plough backs)
To meet its day to day obligations.
2. To maximize the net worth i.e. the difference between total assets and total liabilities. This is
important because:
It influences company’s share prices.
It facilitates growth (plough backs).
It boosts the company’s credit rating.
This is what owners claim from the company.
3. To maximize welfare of employees – Happy employees will contribute to the profitability. This
includes:
Reasonable salaries
Transport facilities
Medical facilities for the employee and his family
Recreation facilities (sporting facilities).
4. Interests of customers – the company has to provide quality goods at fair prices and have honest
dealings with customers.
5. Welfare of the society – the company has to maintain sound industrial relations with the society:
Avoid pollution
Contribution to social causes e.g. Harambee contributions, building clinics etc.
6. Fair dealing with suppliers. A company must:
Meet its obligations on time
Avoid dishonor of obligations.
7. Duty to the government: A company should:
Pay taxes promptly
Go by government plans
Operate within legal framework.
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The Main objectives of a business entity are explained in detail below
Any business firm would have certain objectives, which it aims at achieving. The major goals of a firm
are:
a) Profit maximization
Traditionally, this was considered to be the major goal of the firm. Profit maximization refers to
achieving the highest possible profits during the year. This could be achieved by either increasing sales
revenue or by reducing expenses. Note that:
Profit = Revenue – Expenses
The sales revenue can be increased by either increasing the sales volume or the selling price. It should
be noted however, that maximizing sales revenue may at the same time result to increasing the firm’s
expenses. The pricing mechanism will however, help the firm to determine which goods and services
to provide so as to maximize profits of the firm.
The profit maximization goal has been criticized because of the following:
It ignores time value of money
It ignores risk and uncertainties
It is vague
It ignores other participants in the firm rather than shareholders
b) Shareholders’ wealth maximisation
Shareholders’ wealth maximisation refers to maximisation of the net present value of every decision
made in the firm. Net present value is equal to the difference between the present value of benefits
received from a decision and the present value of the cost of the decision.
A financial action with a positive net present value will maximize the wealth of the shareholders, while
a decision with a negative net present value will reduce the wealth of the shareholders. Under this
goal, a firm will only take those decisions that result in a positive net present value.
Shareholder wealth maximisation helps to solve the problems with profit maximisation. This is
because, the goal:
Considers time value of money by discounting the expected future cash flows to the present.
It recognizes risk by using a discount rate (which is a measure of risk) to discount the cash
flows to the present.
c) Social responsibility
The firm must decide whether to operate strictly in their shareholders’ best interests or be responsible
to their employers, their customers, and the community in which they operate. The firm may be
involved in activities which do not directly benefit the shareholders, but which will improve the
business environment. This has a long term advantage to the firm and therefore in the long term the
shareholders wealth may be maximized.
d) Business Ethics
Related to the issue of social responsibility is the question of business ethics. Ethics are defined as the
“standards of conduct or moral behaviour”. It can be though of as the company’s attitude toward its
stakeholders, that is, its employees, customers, suppliers, community in general creditors, and
shareholders. High standards of ethical behaviour demand that a firm treat each o these
constituents in a fair and honest manner. A firm’s commitment to business ethics can be measured by
the tendency of the firm and its employees to adhere to laws and regulations relating to:
Product safety and quality
Fair employment practices
Fair marketing and selling practices
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The use of confidential information for personal gain
Illegal political involvement
Bribery or illegal payments to obtain business.
In reality, firms have multiple, and often conflicting, objectives and will seek to optimise among
those. The modern corporation is a complex entity which is responsible not only to shareholders
but to all stakeholders.
AGENCY THEORY
The managers/directors act as agents for the shareholders (owners) in running the company. This
separation of ownership from control may lead to certain problems if managers are not monitored
or constrained - e.g. management working inefficiently; adopting risk adverse policies such as „safe‟
short-term investments and low gearing; empire building for power/status; rewarding themselves
with high salaries and fringe benefits; increased leisure time etc.
An agency relationship arises where one or more parties called the principal contracts/hires another
called an agent to perform on his behalf some services and then delegates decision making authority
to that hired party (Agent) In the field of finance shareholders are the owners of the firm. However,
they cannot manage the firm because:
They may be too many to run a single firm.
They may not have technical skills and expertise to run the firm
They are geographically dispersed and may not have time.
Shareholders therefore employ managers who will act on their behalf. The managers are therefore
agents while shareholders are principal.
Shareholders contribute capital which is given to the directors which they utilize and at the end of each
accounting year render an explanation at the annual general meeting of how the financial resources
were utilized. This is called stewardship accounting.
In the light of the above shareholders are the principal while the management are the agents.
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Agency problem arises due to the divergence or divorce of interest between the principal and
the agent. The conflict of interest between management and shareholders is called agency
problem in finance.
There are various types (Focus on first two) of agency relationship in finance exemplified as
follows:
1. Shareholders and Management
2. Shareholders and Creditors
3. Shareholders and the Government
4. Shareholders and Auditors
5. Headquarter office and the Branch/subsidiary.
1. Shareholders and Management
There is near separation of ownership and management of the firm. Owners employ professionals
(managers) who have technical skills. Managers might take actions, which are not in the best interest
of shareholders. This is usually so when managers are not owners of the firm i.e. they don’t have any
shareholding. The actions of the managers will be in conflict with the interest of the owners. The
actions of the managers are in conflict with the interest of shareholders will be caused by:
i) Incentive Problem
Managers may have fixed salary and they may have no incentive to work hard and
maximize shareholders wealth. This is because irrespective of the profits they make,
their reward is fixed. They will therefore maximize leisure and work less which is
against the interest of the shareholders.
ii) Consumption of “Perquisites”
Prerequisites refer to the high salaries and generous fringe benefits which the
directors might award themselves. This will constitute directors remuneration which
will reduce the dividends paid to the ordinary shareholders. Therefore the
consumption of perquisites is against the interest of shareholders since it reduces their
wealth.
iii) Different Risk-profile
Shareholders will usually prefer high-risk-high return investments since they are
diversified i.e they have many investments and the collapse of one firm may have
insignificant effects on their overall wealth.
Managers on the other hand, will prefer low risk-low return investment since they
have a personal fear of losing their jobs if the projects collapse. (Human capital is not
diversifiable). This difference in risk profile is a source of conflict of interest since
shareholders will forego some profits when low-return projects are undertaken.
iv) Different Evaluation Horizons
Managers might undertake projects which are profitable in short-run. Shareholders on
the other hand evaluate investments in long-run horizon which is consistent with the
going concern aspect of the firm. The conflict will therefore occur where management
pursue short-term profitability while shareholders prefer long term profitability.
v) Management Buy Out (MBO)
The board of directors may attempt to acquire the business of the principal. This is
equivalent to the agent buying the firm which belongs to the shareholders. This is
inconsistent with the agency relationship and contract etween the shareholders and
the managers.
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vi) Pursuing power and self esteem goals
This is called “empire building” to enlarge the firm through mergers and acquisitions
hence increase in the rewards of managers.
vii) Creative Accounting
This involves the use of accounting policies to report high profits e.g stock valuation
methods, depreciation methods recognizing profits immediately in long term
construction contracts etc.
Solutions to Shareholders and Management Conflict of Interest
Conflicts between shareholders and management may be resolved as follows:
1. Pegging/attaching managerial compensation to performance
This will involve restructuring the remuneration scheme of the firm in order to enhance the
alignments/harmonization of the interest of the shareholders with those of the management e.g.
managers may be given commissions, bonus etc. for superior performance of the firm.
2. Threat of firing
This is where there is a possibility of firing the entire management team by the shareholders due to
poor performance. Management of companies have been fired by the shareholders who have the
right to hire and fire the top executive officers e.g the entire management team of Unga Group, IBM,
G.M. have been fired by shareholders.
3. The Threat of Hostile Takeover
If the shares of the firm are undervalued due to poor performance and mismanagement. Shareholders
can threatened to sell their shares to competitors. In this case the management team is fired and
those who stay on can loose their control and influence in the new firm. This threat is adequate to
give incentive to management to avoid conflict of interest.
4. Direct Intervention by the Shareholders
Shareholders may intervene as follows:
Insist on a more independent board of directors.
By sponsoring a proposal to be voted at the AGM
Making recommendations to the management on how the firm should be run.
5. Managers should have voluntary code of practice, which would guide them in the performance of
their duties.
6. Executive Share Options Plans
In a share option scheme, selected employees can be given a number of share options, each of which
gives the holder the right after a certain date to subscribe for shares in the company at a fixed price.
The value of an option will increase if the company is successful and its share price goes up. The
theory is that this will encourage managers to pursue high NPV strategies and investments, since they
as shareholders will benefit personally from the increase in the share price that results from such
investments.
However, although share option schemes can contribute to the achievement of goal congruence, there
are a number of reasons why the benefits may not be as great as might be expected, as follows:
Managers are protected from the downside risk that is faced by shareholders. If the share price falls,
they do not have to take up the shares and will still receive their standard remuneration, while
shareholders will lose money.
Many other factors as well as the quality of the company’s performance influence share price
movements. If the market is rising strongly, managers will still benefit from share options, even
though the company may have been very successful. If the share price falls, there is a downward stock
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market adjustment and the managers will not be rewarded for their efforts in the way that was
planned.
The scheme may encourage management to adopt ‘creative accounting’ methods that will distort the
reported performance of the company in the service of the managers’ own ends.
Note
The choice of an appropriate remuneration policy by a company will depend, among other things, on:
Cost: the extent to which the package provides value for money
Motivation: the extent to which the package motivates employees both to stay with the
company and to work to their full potential.
Fiscal effects: government tax incentives may promote different types of pay. At times of wage
control and high taxation this can act as an incentive to make the ‘perks’ a more significant
part of the package.
Goal congruence: the extent to which the package encourages employees to work in such a
way as to achieve the objectives of the firm – perhaps to maximize rather than to satisfy.
7. Incurring Agency Costs
Agency costs are incurred by the shareholders in order to monitor the activities of their agent. The
agency costs are broadly classified into 4.
a) The contracting cost. These are costs incurred in devising the contract between the managers and
shareholders.
The contract is drawn to ensure management act in the best interest of shareholders and the
shareholders on the other hand undertake to compensate the management for their effort.
Examples of the costs are:
Negotiation fees
The legal costs of drawing the contracts fees.
The costs of setting the performance standard,
b) Monitoring Costs This is incurred to prevent undesirable managerial actions. They are meant to
ensure that both parties live to the spirit of agency contract. They ensure that management utilize the
financial resources of the shareholders without undue transfer to themselves.
Examples are:
External audit fees
Legal compliance expenses e.g. Preparation of
Financial statement according to international accounting standards, company law,
capital market authority requirement, stock exchange regulations etc.
Financial reporting and disclosure expenses
Investigation fees especially where the investigation is instituted by
the shareholders.
Cost of instituting a tight internal control system (ICS).
c) Opportunity Cost/Residual Loss This is the cost due to the failure of both parties to act optimally
e.g.
Lost opportunities due to inability to make fast decision due to tight internal control
system
Failure to undertake high risk high return projects by the manager leads to lost profits
when they undertake low risk, low return projects.
d) Restructuring Costs – e.g. new I.C.S., business process reengineering etc.
2. SHAREHOLDERS AND CREDITORS/bond/debenture holders
Bondholders are providers or lenders of long term debt capital. They will usually give debt capital to
the firm on the strength of the following factors:
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The existing asset structure of the firm
The expected asset structure of the firm
The existing capital structure or gearing level of the firm
The expected capital structure of gearing after borrowing the new debt.
Note
In raising capital, the borrowing firm will always issue the financial securities in form of
debentures, ordinary shares, preference shares, bond etc.
In case of shareholders and bondholders the agent is the shareholder who should ensure that the
debt capital borrowed is effectively utilized without reduction in the wealth of the bondholders.
The bondholders are the principal whose wealth is influenced by the value of the bond and the
number of bonds held.
Wealth of bondholders = Market value of bonds x No. of bonds /debentures held.
An agency problem or conflict of interest between the bondholders (principal) and the
shareholders (agents) will arise when shareholders take action which will reduce the market value
of the bond and by extension, the wealth of the bondholders. These actions include:
a) Disposal of assets used as collateral for the debt in this.
In this case the bondholder is exposed to more risk because he may not recover the loan extended in
case of liquidation of the firm.
b) Assets/investment substitution
In this case, the shareholders and bond holders will agree on a specific low risk project. However, this
project may be substituted with a high risk project whose cash flows have high standard deviation.
This exposes the bondholders because should the project collapse, they may not recover all the
amount of money advanced.
c) Payment of High Dividends
Dividends may be paid from current net profit and the existing retained earnings. Retained earnings
are an internal source of finance. The payment of high dividends will lead to low level of capital and
investment thus reduction in the market value of the shares and the bonds.
A firm may also borrow debt capital to finance the payment of dividends from which no returns are
expected. This will reduce the value of the firm and bond.
d) Under investment
This is where the firm fails to undertake a particular project or fails to invest money/capital in the
entire project if there is expectation that most of the returns from the project will benefit the
bondholders. This will lead to reduction in the value of the firm and subsequently the value of the
bonds.
e) Borrowing more debt capital
A firm may borrow more debt using the same asset as a collateral for the new debt. The value of the
old bond or debt will be reduced if the new debt takes a priority on the collateral in case the firm is
liquidated. This exposes the first bondholders/lenders to more risk.
Solutions to agency problem
The bondholders might take the following actions to protect themselves from the actions of the
shareholders which might dilute the value of the bond. These actions include:
1. Restrictive Bond/Debt Covenant
In this case the debenture holders will impose strict terms and conditions on the borrower. These
restrictions may involve:
a) No disposal of assets without the permission of the lender.
b) No payment of dividends from retained earnings
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c) Maintenance of a given level of liquidity indicated by the amount of current assets in relation
to current liabilities.
d) Restrictions on mergers and organisations
e) No borrowing of additional debt, before the current debt is fully serviced/paid.
f) The bondholders may recommend the type of project to be undertaken in relation to the
riskness of the project.
2. Callability Provisions
These provisions will provide that the borrower will have to pay the debt before the expiry of the
maturity period if there is breach of terms and conditions of the bond covenant.
3. Transfer of Asset
The bondholder or lender may demand the transfer of asset to him on giving debt or loan to the
company. However the borrowing company will retain the possession of the asset and the right of
utilization. On completion of the repayment of the loan, the asset used as a collateral will be
transferred back to the borrower.
4. Representation
The lender or bondholder may demand to have a representative in the board of directors of the
borrower who will oversee the utilization of the debt capital borrowed and safeguard the interests of
the lender or bondholder.
5. Refuse to lend
If the borrowing company has been involved in un-ethical practices associated with the debt capital
borrowed, the lender may withhold the debt capital hence the borrowing firm may not meet its
investments needs without adequate capital.
The alternative to this is to charge high interest on the borrower as a deterrent mechanism.
6. Convertibility: On breach of bond covenants, the lender may have the right to convert the bonds
into ordinary shares.
PUBLIC SECTOR/NOT-FOR-PROFIT ORGANISATIONS
The objectives of public sector/not-for-profit organisations are likely to be strongly influenced
by the government/promoters and not primarily financial. These organisations exist to provide a
service (e.g. Rwanda Partners or Public Service Commission etc.) and to ensure that social needs are
satisfied and financial requirements may be seen as constraints and not objectives. They are not
usually profit maximising, although subsidiary objectives may be concerned with earning an
acceptable return on capital employed.
In the private sector the effects of investments (and associated financing and dividend decisions) on
share price and shareholder wealth will be considered. As there are no share prices in not-for-profit
organisations and investor wealth maximisation is not the assumed objective, some private sector
investment appraisal techniques will not be appropriate. cash flow is often used.
The extent to which organisations subscribe to Corporate Social Responsibility varies greatly both
ideologically and in practice. Recent research in Ireland has shown that 90% of companies
believed that Corporate Social Responsibility should be part of a company‟s DNA, yet only 30%
thereof actually did anything about it.
Many organisations view Corporate Social Responsibility as a strategic investment and consider it
necessary in order to achieve the reputation that is gaining importance in attracting and retaining
key staff and to winning and retaining prestigious contracts and clients. Many such companies
have moved to adopt Corporate Social Responsibility formally. This has been achieved in many
ways including:
Incorporating Corporate Social Responsibility in their mission statements
Appointing a „champion‟ of Corporate Social Responsibility
Formally incorporating Corporate Social Responsibility objectives into its strategic
planning process
Dissemination of Corporate Social Responsibility targets and reporting of key
performance indicators
Retaining consultants to advise on existing performance and to recommend
improvements
Appointment of committees to implement and reviews Corporate Social Responsibility
related policies.
Whilst, some organisations see social responsibility as a passing trend and are content to get by
with a bit of „lip service‟ and tokenism, other organisations view Corporate Social
Responsibility as the preserve of multinationals and government. Part of the challenge in
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pursuing Corporate Social Responsibility related objectives lies in the relative novelty of the
concept. The critical debate is whether or not Corporate Social Responsibility detracts from the
objective of maximising shareholder wealth. As with all debates there are opposing views including:
Arguments in favour of Corporate Social Responsibility include that it:
Creates positive Public Relations for the organisation, or, as a minimum avoids bad public
relations.
Helps attract new and repeat custom
Improves staff recruitment, motivation and retention
Helps keep the organisation within the law,
All of which may be considered to support the drive to optimize profits.
However, there are many writers who vigorously oppose the notion that private organisations
should embrace social responsibility. Some of the main arguments against Corporate Social
Responsibility are:
Market capitalism is the most equitable form of society that has ever appeared
The ethics of doing business are not those of wider society
Governments are responsible for the well- being of society
An organisation‟s maximum requirement is to remain within the law, no more than this is
required.
Ultimately, they argue that business organisations are created and run in order to maximise returns
for their owners and that Corporate Social Responsibility detracts from the profit maximisation
Conclusion
The broad philosophical debate on the role of companies in society is still in its early days.
Depending on your viewpoint, Corporate Social Responsibility may be considered to support or
detract from the objective of maximising shareholder wealth. Neither viewpoint is definitive.
As the public debate on Corporate Social Responsibility and the changing role of business in society
intensifies, companies will need to determine their own view on Corporate Social Responsibility and
adopt their own stance on the subject. Ultimately, they will have to make policy decisions that
are in the best interests of the company and its owners, their shareholders.
Source of finance
Long-Term Sources of Finance
EQUITY FINANCE
For small companies, this is personal savings (contribution of owners to the company). For large
companies equity finance is made of ordinary share capital and reserves; (both revenue and capital
reserves). Equity finance is divided into the following classes:
a) Ordinary share capital – this is raised from the public from the sale of ordinary shares to the
shareholders. This finance is available to limited companies. It is a permanent finance as the
owner/shareholder cannot recall this money except under liquidation. It is thus a base on which
other finances are raised.
Ordinary share capital carries a return that is variable (ordinary dividends). These shares carry
voting rights and can influence the company’s decision making process at the AGM.
These shares carry the highest risk in the company (high securities – documentary claim to) because of:
a) Uncertainty of return
b) Cannot ensure refund
c) Have residual claims – claim last on profits, claim last on assets.
However this investment grows through retention.
Rights of ordinary shareholders
1. Right to vote
a. elect BOD
b. Sales/purchase of assets
2. Influence decisions:
a) Right to residual assets claim
b) Right to amend company’s by-laws
c) Right to appoint another auditor
d) Right to approve merger acquisition
e) Right to approve payment of dividends
Reasons why ordinary share capital is attractive despite being risky
Shares are used as securities for loans (a compromise of the market price of a share).
Its value grows.
They are transferable at capital gain.
They influence the company’s decisions.
Carry variable returns – is good under high profit
Perpetual investment – thus a perpetual return
Such shares are used as guarantees for credibility.
Advantages of using ordinary share capital in financing.
They facilitate projects especially long-term projects because they are permanent..
Its cost is not a legal obligation.
It lowers gearing level – reduces chances of receivership/liquidation.
Used with flexibility – without preconditions.
Such finances boost the company’s credibility and credit rating.
Owners contribute valuable ideas to the company’s operations (during AGM by professionals).
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b) RETAINED EARNINGS
i) Revenue Reserves
These are undistributed earnings. Such reserves are retained for the following reasons:
To make up for the fall in profits so as to sustain acceptable risks.
. To sustain growth through plough backs. They are cheap source of
finance.
. They are used to boost the company’s credit rating so they enable further finance to be
obtained.
. It lowers the company’s gearing ratio – reduces chances of receivership/liquidation.
ii) Capital Reserves
1. It is raised by selling shares at a premium. (The difference between the market price (less
floatation costs) and par value is credited to the capital reserve).
2. Through revaluation of the company’s assets. This leads to a fictitious entry which is of the
nature of a capital reserve.
3. By creation of a sinking fund.
Ordinary Shares
The main features are:
Issued to the owners of the company (equity).
Nominal or “face” value (e.g. 1000rwf.).
Market value moves with market‟s view of the company‟s performance/prospects.
Shareholders are not liable for the company‟s debts on a winding-up (limited liability).
Carry voting rights
Ordinary shareholders are entitled to the residue after other parties are rewarded. This
applies to both annual profits and capital on a winding-up.
Subscription privileges apply in the event of a new issue of shares (“pre-emptive rights”).
Shareholders may be rewarded by dividends (income), or retained profits (capital gain).
Some companies offer concessions on their products to shareholders - e.g. discounts or
vouchers.
Some companies have different classes of ordinary shares. For example, Non-Voting similar to
other shares in every respect, except holders cannot vote.
Advantages to the Company
o No fixed annual charges are payable - no legal obligation to pay a dividend.
o Do not have a maturity date and are not normally redeemable.
o Usually more attractive to investors than fixed interest securities.
o Might increase the creditworthiness of a company as they reduce gearing.
Preference Shares
[15]
The main features are:
o Holders are entitled to a fixed maximum dividend.
o Dividends are only paid if sufficient profits are available.
o Rank prior to ordinary shares (both dividends and capital on a winding-up).
o Cumulative Preference Shares the right to any arrears of dividend carried forward and they
must be paid before any dividend is paid to the ordinary shareholders. Preference Shares are
cumulative, unless expressly stated to be non-cumulative.
o Restricted voting rights - usually only available in a situation where the rights attaching to the
shares are being amended or if dividends are in arrears.
Some companies have different classes of preference shares. For example,
Redeemable - generally redeemable subject to sufficient profits being available or
sufficient cash being raised from a new issue.
Convertible - the right to convert to ordinary shares as per the terms of the issue.
Advantages to the Company
A fixed percentage dividend per year is payable no matter how well the company
performs, but only at the discretion of the company‟s directors.
Do not normally give full voting rights to holders.
Preference shares are mostly irredeemable.
Disadvantages to the Company
Cumulative arrears of dividend are payable.
Dividends are not a tax allowable expense.
C. LOAN CAPITAL
The main types are Loan Stock and Debentures.
Loan Stock - long-term debt (usually > 10 years duration) on which a fixed rate of interest
(coupon rate) is paid. Generally unsecured.
Debentures - a form of loan stock, legally defined as a written acknowledgement of debt.
Usually secured. Trustees appointed to look after investors‟ interests. Can be redeemable or
irredeemable.
Loan capital ranks prior to share capital (both interest and capital on a winding-up). The ranking of
individual debt will depend upon the specific conditions of each issue.
Restrictive covenants are often included in the lending agreement (e.g. restrictions on further
borrowings, the payment of dividends, or major changes in operations; the maintenance of certain
key ratios in the accounts etc.).
If security is provided the cost to the company may be cheaper. Security may be in the form of a
fixed or floating charge.
Interest payments are allowable for Corporation Tax.
If the net cost of debt is low why do companies not borrow more and more? Some of the reasons
are:
– A high level of debt will increase the financial risk for the shareholders.
– Interest charges at a particular point in time may be high.
– The company may have insufficient security for new debt.
[16]
– There may be restrictions on further debt - Articles of Association; restrictive
covenants; credit lines fully used etc.
[17]
When market interest rates fall the issuer (borrower) is not saddled with high fixed coupon
payments. Likewise, when interest rates rise the investor is not stuck with a fixed income but will see
his income rise in line with market rates.
The market value of such securities should be fairly stable as interest rates will rise/fall in line with
market interest rates.
The price of the bond in the secondary market will gradually appreciate as the maturity date
approaches.
Many projects require funding up-front, but are unlikely to give rise to an income stream to
service interest costs for some period of time - e.g. a building project where income from rentals or
sale of the building would be received much later. A Deep Discount Bond can be a useful source of
funding for such a project as it helps to match cash flows.
An attraction to the investor is the advantageous taxation treatment in certain countries- e.g. the
capital gain at maturity is subject to CGT, which may be at a lower rate than income tax, or the gain
is taxed as income in one lump sum on maturity or sale rather than as interest each year.
Instead of interest payments the investor receives as a return the difference between the issue price
and the higher redemption proceeds.
D. WARRANTS
Holder has the right (but not the obligation) to purchase a stated number of shares, at a specified
price, anytime before a specified date.
If not exercised the warrants lapse.
Warrants are often issued as a “sweetener” to make a loan stock issue more attractive,
or to enable the company to pay a lower coupon rate.
The warrant-holder is not entitled to dividends/voting rights.
Unlike convertibles, new funds are generated for the company if the warrants are
exercised.
Generally, the warrant is detachable from the stock and can be traded separately.
The value of the warrant is dependent on the underlying share price.
[18]
E. METHODS OF SHARE ISSUE
Offer For Sale
Public at Large
Fixed Price
Offer For Sale By Tender
Public at Large
Not a Fixed Price
Set a Minimum Price & Invite Tenders
Shares Issued at Highest Price where All Taken-up
Placing
Shares "Placed" with Target Audience – generally institutions
Rights Issue
Shares Issued to Existing Shareholders
Pro-rata to Existing Shareholding (e.g. One for Five Issue)
Example:
One for Five Issue
Company Shareholder
10m shares 1m shares (10% holding)
2m new shares 0.2m new shares
12m 1.2m (10% holding)
Possible Choices
Subscribe for new shares (exercise rights)
Sell "rights" to new shares
Exercise rights (part) & sell rights (part)
Do nothing
Example:
Shares currently trading at RWF2.00 (cum rights). Rights issue on a one-for-four basis at a price of
RWF1.50. Examine the consequences for a shareholder who currently owns 1,000 shares.
Firstly, calculate the "Theoretical Ex-Rights Price"
4 shares @ RWF2.00 = RWF8.00
[19]
(i) Exercise Rights
Value of Shares (1,000 + 250) @ RWF1.90 RWF2,375.00
Less Cost of Purchase (250 @ RWF1.50) (RWF375.00)
RWF2,000.00
(i Do Nothing
v) Value of Shares (1,000 @ RWF1.90) RWF1,900.00
Current Wealth (1,000 @ RWF2.00) RWF2,000.00
Loss of Wealth (RWF100.00)
F. BANK LENDING
The main considerations by the bank before advancing a loan can be summarized by the
mnemonic PARTS.
P URPOSE
A MOUNT
R EPAYMENT
T ERM
S ECURITY
CAPITAL MARKETS
Introduction
Capital Markets are markets where long-term instruments are traded e.g. equities, preference
shares, debentures etc.
A good example of a Capital Market is the Stock Exchange.
The Rwanda Stock Exchange was incorporated as a limited company 7 October 2005
Main functions
[20]
The main functions of the Stock Exchange are:
PRIMARY MARKET - used to raise new finance/issue new securities
SECONDARY MARKET - trade in second-hand securities. This is where most of the day- to-day
activity takes place.
COMPANY FLOTATION
SHARE SWAP - securities used as consideration in takeover of other companies
Capital providers
The main providers of capital are:
Pension Funds
Insurance Companies
Investment Trusts
Unit Trusts
Other Financial Institutions
Overseas Investors
Venture Capital Organisations
Individual
Company flotation
There are many reasons why a company may be floated on the Stock Market (“Going
Public”). Chief among these is access to capital.
1. ADVANTAGES - SHAREHOLDERS
1. Cash for some shares.
2. Wider market for remaining shares.
3. Shares perceived as less risky.
4. Ready share price available.
2. ADVANTAGES - COMPANY
1. Possibility of new funds.
2. Better credit-standing.
3. Ability to “swap shares” on a takeover.
4. Ability to issue shares more easily at a later date.
5. Reduced risk & greater marketability leads to lower cost of capital.
6. Extra status.
7. Possibility of share options for top employees.
3. DISADVANTAGES
1. Costs can be quite high.
2. Compliance with stringent regulations.
3. Dilution of control.
4. Additional administration.
5. Extra scrutiny of profitability/performance.
What are the benefits of investing through the capital markets?
Savings
Investing in securities that are listed in the Capital or Stock market encourages investors to accumulate
their savings in small amounts over time
[21]
Income
Investment in the stock market provides a source of income. Shares pay dividends when companies
declared profits and decide to distribute part of the profits to shareholders. Bonds pay an interest
income to the bondholders. Sometimes the income earned from listed securities is higher than interest
earned from the money or banking sector.
Wealth or Capital gain
Whenever the prices of securities listed in the market go up, the value of the investment of the holders
of those securities increases. This is called capital gain and is an important way of growing wealth
through the stock market. It is important to note that a one –off investment in the Capital market does
not make sense. It is therefore the accumulative investment over time that creates opportunities for
growth in wealth through the Capital Market.
Securities as Collateral
Listed securities are easily acceptable as collateral against loans from financial institutions.
Liquidity
Liquidity is the ability to convert shares or bonds into cash by selling within the shortest time possible
without losing much value. When one needs funds urgently, listed securities could be very useful
because they are more liquid than most other forms of assets.
Bonds pay an interest income and shares pay dividends income
Grow wealth: Over time, the value of your investment increases, whenever the prices of your
stock go up. This is called capital gains.
Listed securities are easily acceptable as collateral against loans.
Efficient markets
A market is generally regarded as efficient if the following are present: Prices immediately reflect all
relevant available information
No individual investor dominates the market
Transaction costs are not too high to discourage trading
Are the markets efficient? The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) has been developed to test
different levels of efficiency. [Note: Hypothesis is defined as a supposition put forward as a basis for
reasoning or investigation.]
The Efficient Market Hypothesis tests three degrees of efficiency
1. Weak Form Efficiency
Prices reflect the information in past stock prices.
2. Semi-strong Form Efficiency
Prices reflect past price information Plus publicly available information.
3. Strong Form Efficiency
Prices reflect past price information Plus All publicly available information Plus Inside
information
Most of the research suggests that capital markets are semi-strong-form efficient but not quite
strong-form efficient.
Leasing
A lease is a contract between a lessor (bank/finance house) and a lessee (person/company to whom
the asset is leased) for the hire of a specific asset. The lessor retains ownership but gives the lessee
the right to use the asset for an agreed period in return for the payment of specified rentals.
[22]
OPERATING AND FINANCE LEASES
Operating Lease
The lessee hires the asset for a period which is normally substantially less than its useful
economic life. The lessor retains most of the risks and rewards of ownership. Generally, there
will be more than one lessee over the life of the asset. An operating lease is “Off Balance
Sheet” finance.
Finance Lease
This transfers substantially all the risks and rewards of ownership, other than legal title, to
the lessee. It usually involves payment to the lessor over the lease term of the full cost of the asset
plus a commercial return on the finance provided by the lessor.
Both the leased asset and the corresponding stream of rental liabilities must be shown on the
lessee‟s Balance Sheet. Other features include:
The lessee is responsible for the upkeep, maintenance etc. of the asset.
The lease has a primary period, covering the whole or most of the economic life of the asset.
The asset will be almost worn out at the end of the primary period, so the lessor will ensure
that the cost of the asset and a commercial return on the investment will be recouped within
the primary period.
At the end of the primary period the lessee has the option to continue to lease at a very small
rent (“peppercorn rent”). Alternatively, he can sell the asset and retain about 95% of the
proceeds.
C. ADVANTAGES OF LEASING
1. The lessee‟s capital is not tied up in fixed assets, so a cash flow advantage accrues.
2. Liquidity is improved as no down-payment is required.
3. The lessor can obtain capital allowances and pass the benefit to the lessee in the form of
lower lease rentals. This is especially important for a company with insufficient taxable
profits.
4. The whole of the rental payment is tax deductible.
5. Security is usually the asset concerned. Other assets are free for other forms of
borrowing.
6. Traditional forms of borrowing often impose restrictive covenants.
7. The cost of other forms of borrowing may exceed the cost of leasing.
Venture Capital
Introduction
Many new business ventures are considered too risky for traditional bank lending (term loans,
overdrafts etc.) and it is this gap that Venture Capital usually fills.
The venture capitalist‟s financing is not secured – he takes the risk of failure just like other
shareholders. Thus, there is a high risk in providing capital in these circumstances and the possibility
of losing the entire investment is much greater than with other forms of lending. The venture
capitalist also participates in the success of the company by selling his investment and realising
a capital gain, or by the company achieving a flotation on the Stock Market in usually five to seven
years from making his investment. As a result, it will generally take a long time before a return is
received from the investment but to compensate there is the prospect of a substantial return.
STAGES OF INVESTMENT
The various stages of investment by a venture capitalist can be defined as follows:
Seed Capital – finance provided to enable a business concept to be developed, perhaps
involving production of prototypes and additional research, prior to bringing the product
to market.
Start-Up – finance for product development and initial marketing. Companies may be in the
process of being set up or may have been in business for a short time but have not sold their
product commercially.
Expansion – capital provided for the growth of a company which is breaking even or possibly,
trading profitably. Funds may be used to finance increased production capacity, market or
product development and/or provide additional working capital. Capital for “turnaround”
situations is also included in this category.
Management Buy Out (MBO) – funds provided to enable current operating
management and investors to acquire an existing business.
Management Buy In (MBI) – funds provided to enable a manager or group of managers
from outside the company to buy into the company
SPECIALIST AREAS
Venture Capitalists may specialise in areas in which they will invest. These may relate to:
Preferred Business Sectors – e.g. consumer services, Information Technology, property
etc.
[24]
Stage of Investment – many venture capitalists will finance expansions, MBO‟s and MBI‟s
but far fewer are interested in financing “Seed Capital,” start-ups and other early stage
companies, due to the additional risks and time/costs involved in refinancing smaller deals as
compared with the benefits.
Regional Preferences – the preferred geographical location of the investee.
Amount of Investment – varies with the stage of the investment. Start-up and other early
stage investments are usually lesser in amount than expansion and MBO/MBI investments.
BUSINESS PLAN
Before deciding whether an investment is worth backing the venture capitalist will expect to see a
Business Plan. This should cover the following:
Product/Service – what is unique about the business idea? What are the strengths
compared to the competitors?
Management Team – can the team run and grow a business successfully? What are their
ages, relevant experience, qualifications, track record and motivation? How much is invested
in the company by the management team? Are there any non-executive directors? Details
of other key employees.
Industry – what are the issues, concerns and risks affecting the business area?
Market Research – do people want to buy the idea?
Operations – how will the business work on a day-to-day basis?
Strategy – medium and long-term strategic plans.
Financial Projections – are the assumptions realistic (sales, costs, cash flow etc.)?
Generally, a three year period should be covered. Alternative scenarios, using different
economic assumptions. Also state how much finance is required, what it will be used for and
how and when the venture capitalist can expect to recover his investment?
Executive Summary – should be included at the beginning of the Business Plan. This is most
important as it may well determine the amount of consideration the proposal will receive.
[25]
Study Unit 3
Cost of Funds
A. INTRODUCTION
It is important that a company is aware of its cost of capital. In certain cases it is not initially apparent
what this cost is (e.g. new share issue, retained earnings etc.) and a number of models have
been developed to assist in calculating the cost of individual sources of finance. Having calculated the
cost of each individual source of finance it is then important to calculate an overall cost for the
company, based on the mix of funds which it chooses to use.
This is the price the company pays to obtain and retail finance. To obtain finance a company will pay
implicit costs which are commonly known as floatation costs. These include: Underwriting commission,
Brokerage costs, cost of printing a prospectus, Commission costs, legal fees, audit costs, cost of printing
share certificates, advertising costs etc. For debt there are legal fees, valuation costs (i.e. security, audit
fees, Bankers commission etc.) such costs are knocked off from:
i) The market value of shares if these have only been sold at a price above par value.
ii) For debt finance – from the par value of debt.
I.e. if flotation costs are given per share then this will be knocked off or deducted from the market price
per share. If they are given for the total finance paid they are deducted from the total amount paid.
Cost of Retaining Finance
This will include dividends for share capital and interest for debt finance (tax deducted) or effective cost
of debt. However, when computing the cost of finance apart from deducting implicit costs, explicit costs
are the most central elements of cost of finance.
Importance of Cost of Finance
The cost of capital is important because of its application in the following areas:
i) Long-term investment decisions – In capital budgeting decisions, using NPV method, the cost of
capital is used to discount the cash flows. Under IRR method the cost of capital is compared
with IRR to determine whether to accept or reject a project.
ii) Capital structure decisions – The composition/mix of various components of capital is
determined by the cost of each capital component.
iii) Evaluation of performance of management – A high cost of capital is an indicator of high risk
attached to the firm. This is usually attributed to poor performance of the firm.
iv) Dividend policy and decisions – E.g if the cost of retained earnings is low compared to the cost
of new ordinary share capital, the firm will retain more and pay less dividend. Additionally, the
use of retained earnings as an internal source of finance is preferred because:
It does not involve any floatation costs
It does not dilute ownership and control of the firm, since no new shares are issued.
v) Lease or buy decisions – A firm may finance the acquisition of an asset through leasing or
borrowing long-term debt to buy an asset. In lease or buy decisions, the cost of debt (interest
rate on loan borrowed) is used as the discounting rate.
Factors That Influence the Cost of Finance
1. Terms of reference – if short term, the cost is usually low and vice versa.
[26]
2. Economic conditions prevailing – If a company is operating under inflationary conditions, such a
company will pay high costs in so far as inflationary effect of finance will be passed onto the
company.
3. Risk exposed to venture – if a company is operating under high risk conditions, such a company
will pay high costs to induce lenders to avail finance to it because the element of risk will be
added on the cost of finance which may compound it.
4. Size of the business – A small company will find it difficult to raise finance and as such will pay
heavily in form of cost of finance to obtain debt from lenders.
5. Availability – Cost of finance (COF) prices will also be influenced by the forces of demand and
supply such that low demand and low supply will lead to high cost of finance.
6. Effects of taxation – Debt finance is cheaper by the amount equal to tax on interest and this
means that debt finance will entail a saving in cost of finance equivalent to tax on interest.
7. Nature of security – If security given depreciates fast, then this will compound implicit costs
(costs of maintaining that security).
8. Company’s growth stage – Young companies usually pay less dividends in which case the cost of
this finance will be relatively cheaper at the earlier stages of the company’s development.
B. CALCULATION OF COST OF CAPITAL
1. Equity
(i) Constant Dividends
d
r= MV
Where:r = cost of capital
d = annual dividend
MV = market value (ex. div)
Example:
Dividend of RWF150 per share recently paid and expected to continue at this level for the
foreseeable future. Current market value of share is RWF800 ex. div.
150
r= = 18.75%
800
(ii) Growth in Dividends
Do (1+g)
r= +g
MV
Where:r = cost of capital
Do = most recent dividend
MV = market value (ex. div)
g = annual rate of growth in dividends
Example:
Dividend of RWF20 per share about to be paid. Dividends expected to grow by 10% per annum in the
future. Current market value of share is RWF160.
RWF20 (1.10)
r= RWF140 +0.10 = 25.71%
Note: Ex. div. price (RWF160 - RWF20) must be used in calculation.
2. Preference Shares
d MV
r=
[27]
Where: r = cost of capital
d = annual dividend
MV = market value (ex. div)
Example:
7% Preference Shares RWF1000; Current market value 700 ex. Div
70
r= = 10%
700
3. Irredeemable Debentures
k
r= (l – t)
MV
Where: r = cost of capital
k = coupon rate
t = rate of corporation tax
MV = market value (ex. interest)
Example:
7% Irredeemable Debentures; Current market value RWF70 ex. Interest. Corporation Tax 40%.
RWF7
r= (l – 0.40) = 6%
RWF70
4. Redeemable Debentures
To find cost of capital calculate the Internal Rate of Return.
Example:
10% Redeemable Debentures
Redeemable at par in 5 years
Corporation Tax = 40%
Current Market Value RWF90 ex. interest
Year Cash Flows PV – 10% PV – 8%
0 (90) (90) (90)
1-5 6 22.75 23.96
5 100 62.10 68.10
(5.15) 2.06
2.06
IRR = 8% + 2.06 + 5.15 x (10% - 8%) = 8.57%
C. WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL (WACC)
Market Val. Weighting Cost WACC Equity
RWF15m 75% 16% 12% Debt RWF5m
25% 8% 2%
RWF20m 100% 14%
Equity 16% “POOL”
OF FUNDS WACC 14%
Debt 8%
Assumptions:
[28]
Weightings do not change.
Business risk does not change
[29]
Study Unit 4
Capital Structure
CAPITAL STRUCTURE
Factors That Affect Capital Structure
1. Availability of securities – This influences the company’s use of debt finance which means that
if a company has sufficient securities, it can afford to use debt finance in large capacities.
2. Cost of finance (both implicit and explicit) – If low, then a company can use more of debt or
equity finance.
3. Company gearing level – if high, the company may not be able to use more debt or equity
finance because potential investors would not be willing to invest in such a company.
4. Sales stability – If a company has stable sales and thus profits, it can afford to use various
finances in particular debt in so far as it can service such finances.
5. Competitiveness of the industry in which the company operates – If the company operates in a
highly competitive industry, it may be risky to use high levels of debt because chances of
servicing this debt may be low and may lead a company into receivership.
Ko decreases as D/V increases because K e and Kd are constant as per our assumptions and K d is less than
Ke. This also implies that Ko will be equal to Ke if the firm does not employ any debt (i.e. when D/V = 0)
and that Ko will approach Kd as D/V approaches 1. This argument can be illustrated graphically as follows.
NET OPERATING INCOME (NOI) APPROACH
The critical assumptions of this approach are:
i.The market capitalizes the value of the firm as a whole.
ii.Ko depends on the business risk. If the business risk is assumed to remain constant, then Ko will also
remain constant.
iii.The use of less costly debt increases the risk of the shareholders. This causes Ke to increase and thus
offset the advantage of cheaper debt.
iv.Kd is assumed to be constant.
v.Corporate income taxes are ignored.
The implications of the above assumptions are that the market value of the firm depends on the business
risk of the firm and is independent of the financial mix. This can be illustrated as follows:
The optimal capital structure is the point at which K o bottoms out. Therefore this approach implies that
the cost of capital is not independent of the capital structure of the firm and that there is an optimal
capital structure. Graphically this approach can be depicted as follows:
The
Illustration
Assume that two firms the levered firm (L) and the unlevered firm (U) are identical in all important
respects except financial structure.
Firm L has frw 4 million of 7.5% debt, while Firm U uses only equity. Both firms have EBIT of frw 900,000
and the firms are in the same business risk class.
Initially assume that both firms have the same equity capitalization rate Ke(u) = Ke(L) = 10%.
Under these conditions the following situation will exist.
Firm U
Value of Firm U's Equity = EBIT - KD = 900,000 - 0
Ke 0.1
= frw 9,000,000
Thus the value of levered firm exceeds that of unlevered firm. The arbitrage process occurs as
shareholders of the levered firm sell their shares so as to invest in the unlevered firm.
Assume an investor owns 10% of L's stock. The market value of this investment is frw 600,000. The
investor could sell this investment for frw 600,000, borrow an amount equal to 10% of L's debt (frw
400,000) and buy 10% of U's shares for frw 900,000. The investor would remain with frw 100,000 which
he can invest in 7.5% debt. His income position would be:
frw frw
Old income 10% of L's frw 600,000 equity income 60,000
New income 10% of U's income 90,000
Less 7.5% interest on 400,000 (30,000) 60,000
Plus 7.5% interest on extra frw 100,000 7,500
Total new investment income 67,500
The investor has therefore increased his income without increasing risk.
As investors sell L's shares, their prices would decrease while the purchaser of U will push its prices
upward until an equilibrium position is established.
Conclusion:
Taken together, the two MM propositions imply that the inclusion of more debt in the capital structure
will not increase the value of the firm, because the benefits of cheaper debt will be exactly offset by an
increase in the riskiness, and hence the cost of equity.
MM theory states that in a world without taxes, both the value of a firm and its overall cost of capital are
unaffected by its capital structure.
Study Unit 5
Capital Budgeting
NATURE AND STAGES OF INVESTMENT APPRAISAL
Nature
Replacement Investment
Investment for Expansion
Product Improvement/Cost Reduction
New Ventures
Strategic Investment – may satisfy overall objectives but might not satisfy normal financial
criteria.
Statutory Requirements/Employee or Community Welfare – may not produce a positive NPV but may
be essential.
Stages
1. Identification.
Ideas may generate from all levels of the organisation. Initial screening may reject those that are
unsuitable - technically/too risky/cost/incompatible with company objectives etc. The remainder are
investigated in greater depth - assumptions required regarding sales, costs etc./collect relevant data.
Also consider alternative methods of completing projects.
2. Evaluation
Identification of expected incremental cash flows. Measure against some agreed criteria -
Payback/Accounting Rate of Return/Net Present Value/Internal Rate of Return. Consider effect
of different assumptions - Sensitivity Analysis or other techniques. Consultation with other
interested parties (particularly if great organisational and/or technological change) -
accountants/production staff/marketing staff/trade unions etc.
3. Authorisation
Submit to appropriate management level for approval/rejection/modification. The larger the
expenditure, the higher the management level. Reappraise investment - reassess assumptions
and cash flows (e.g. check for any "bias" in estimates)/evaluate how investment fits within corporate
strategy and capital constraints (if any). If budgetary or other constraints exist, rank as to how
essential (financial and non- financial considerations).
4. Monitor & Control
Regularly review to ascertain if any major variations from cash flow estimates. If significant
variations - consider continuation v abandonment. Post audits (one or two years after
implementation!) are useful - encourage more realistic estimates at evaluation stage/help to
learn from past mistakes/basis for corrective action to existing investments.
Example
A company is considering an investment of RWF100,000 in a project which is expected to last
for 4 years. Scrap value of RWF20,000 is estimated to be available at the end of the project.
Profits (before depreciation) are estimated at:
Year 1 RWF50,000
Year 2 RWF50,000
Year 3 RWF30,000
Year 4 RWF10,000
Find the Accounting Rate of Return
Advantages
Calculation is simple.
It is based upon profits, which is what the shareholders see reported in the annual
accounts.
It provides a % measure, which is more easily understood by some people.
It looks at the entire life of the project.
Disadvantages
It is a crude averaging method.
It does not take account of the timing of the profits.
It is based on accounting profit which can be manipulated by creative accounting.
Shareholders‟ wealth is determined by cash.
Varied Definitions are used.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
The main shortcomings of the non-discounting techniques of Investment Appraisal can be
summarised as:
They do not allow for the timing of the cash flows/accounting profits
They do not evaluate cash flows after the payback period
They do not allow for the changing value of money over a medium to long term
Discounted Cash Flow addresses these shortcomings, by allowing for the “time-value of money”
and looking at all cash flows. So what is discounting? Discounting can be regarded as Compound
Interest in reverse. To understand Compound Interest let us take a simple example.
Example
If you invest RWF100 and are guaranteed a return of 10% per annum we can work out how much
your investment is worth at the end of each year.
PRESENT VALUE FUTURE VALUE
End of Year 1 RWF100 x (1.10) = RWF110.00
End of Year 2 RWF100 x (1.10)(1.10) = RWF121.00
End of Year 3 RWF100 x (1.10)(1.10)(1.10) = RWF133.10
For simplicity this can be re-written
1
End of Year 1 RWF100 x (1.10) = RWF110.00
2
End of Year 2 RWF100 x (1.10) = RWF121.00
3
End of Year 3 RWF100 x (1.10) = RWF133.10
In general terms we can express this as:
n
PV (1 + i) = FV
Where:PV = Present Value
i = Rate of Interest
n = Number of Years/Periods
FV = Future Value
We are starting with a Present Value (RWF100) and depending on the rate of interest used (i)
(above 10%) and the duration of the investment (n) we can find the Future Value, using Compound
Interest.
As mentioned above, Discounting is Compound Interest in reverse. Thus, using the
statement
n
a. PV (1 + i) = FV we can turn it around to get
i. FV 1
b. --------- = PV or FV x ------- = PV (1
n
+ i) (1 +
n
i)
Again, taking the example above, if you are given the Future Value and asked to find the
Present Value
End of Year 1 1
RWF110.00 x -------- = RWF100
1 (1.10)
1
End of Year 2 RWF121.00 x --------- = RWF100
2 (1.10)
In effect, what you are doing is ascertaining the amount which must be invested now at 10% per
annum to accumulate to RWF110 in a year‟s time (or RWF121.00 in two years; or RWF133.10 in
three years).
In converting the Future Value to a Present Value it is multiplied by a factor (Discount
Factor), which varies depending on the discount rate (i) selected and the number of years/periods
(n) into the future. Fortunately, it is not necessary individually to calculate each factor, as these can
be easily obtained from DISCOUNTING TABLES (attached). These tables supply a factor for all %
rates and periods.
The compounding and discounting features shown above relate to single payments or receipts at
different points in time. Similar calculations can be done for a series of cash flows, where a single
present value can be calculated by aggregating the present value of several future cash flows.
ANNUITIES
An annuity is where there is a series of cash flows of the same amount over a number of years.
The present value of an annuity can be found by discounting the cash flows individually (as
above).
Example
Using a discount rate of 10% find the present value of an annuity of RWF2,000 per annum for the
next four years, with the first payment due at the end of the first year.
Year Cash Flow Disc. Factor (10%) Present Value
1 RWF2,000 0.909 RWF1,819
2 RWF2,000 0.826 RWF1,653
3 RWF2,000 0.751 RWF1,502
4 RWF2,000 0.683 RWF1,366
Net Present Value RWF6,340
However, a much quicker approach is to multiply the annual cash flow by an annuity factor. The
annuity factor is simply the sum of the discount factors for each year of the annuity. In this
example the annuity factor is 3.17 (0.909 + 0.826 + 0.751 + 0.683). If you multiply the RWF2,000
by the annuity factor of 3.17 you get RWF6,340, which is the same Net Present Value as the
longer approach adopted in the example. Annuity factors are available for all % rates and periods
in Annuity Tables (attached) and you will see the factor of 3.17 at period 4 under the 10% column.
In the above example the first receipt arose at the end of the first year. If this is not the case you
can still use the Annuity Tables but you must modify your approach. The present value can be
found by multiplying the annual cash flow by the annuity factor for the last date of the annuity less
the annuity factor for the year before the first payment.
Example
Using a discount rate of 10% find the present value of an annuity of RWF5,000 per annum, which
starts in year 5 and ends in year 10.
Annuity Factor Years 1 – 10 6.145
Annuity Factor Years 1 – 4 3.170
Annuity Factor Years 5 – 10 2.975
Therefore, the Present Value is RWF5,000 x 2.975 = RWF14,875.
PERPETUITIES
A perpetuity is an annuity which continues forever. To find the present value of a perpetuity
a
PV = ------
i
where: a = amount for perpetuity
i = the discount rate
Example
The present value of a payment in perpetuity of RWF1,000 per annum, which commences at
the end of year 1, at a discount rate of 10% is:
a RWF1,000
PV = ---- = ----------- = RWF10,000
i .10
If the payment commences at a time other than year 1 a further calculation is required.
Example
Using a discount rate of 10% find the present value of a payment in perpetuity of
RWFRWF1,000 per annum, if it commences (a) end of year 1, (b) immediately - year 0, or
(a) a RWF1,000
PV = ---- = -------- = RWF10,000
I .10
a RWF1,000
PV = ---- = ---------- = RWF10,000 i
.10
We must now convert this to a year 0 value, by discounting the RWF10,000 (year 5 value) at 10%.
PV = RWF10,000 x .621(Discount Factor for year 5 @ 10%) = RWF6,210
Net Present Value (NPV)
This technique converts future cash flows to a common point in time (Present Value), by
discounting them. The present values of the individual cash flows are aggregated to arrive at the Net
Present Value (NPV).
The NPV figure represents the change in shareholders' wealth from accepting the project. It
produces an absolute value (RWF) and therefore, the impact of the project is identified.
For independent projects the decision rule is:
Accept if the NPV is positive
Reject if the NPV is negative
For mutually exclusive projects (where it is only possible to select one of many choices) - calculate
the NPV of each project and select the one with the highest NPV.
In calculating the NPV, the selection of a discount rate is vitally important. It is generally taken as
the cost to the business of long-term funds used to fund the project.
Example 1 - Independent Project
A company is considering a project, which is expected to last for 4 years, and requires an
immediate investment of RWF20,000 on plant. Inflows are estimated at RWF7,000 for each of the
first two years and RWF6,000 for each of the last two years. The company‟s cost of capital is 10%
and the plant would have zero scrap value at the end of the 4 years.
Calculate the NPV and recommend if the project should be accepted.
YEAR CASH FLOWS DISC. FACTOR 10% PRESENT VALUE
0 (20,000) 1.0 (20,000)
1 7,000 .909 6,364
2 7,000 .826 5,785
3 6,000 .751 4,508
4 6,000 .683 4,098
Net Present Value +755
The project should be accepted as it produces a positive NPV. This indicates that the project
provides a return in excess of 10% (the discount rate used).
Example 2 - Mutually Exclusive Projects
A company has RWF100,000 to invest. It is considering two mutually exclusive projects
whose cash flows are estimated as follows:
YEAR PROJECT A PROJECT B
0 (100,000) (100,000)
1 50,000 70,000
2 60,000 50,000
3 40,000 30,000
Which project should the company select if its cost of capital is 10%
YEAR DISC FACTOR 10% PRESENT VALUE PROJECT A PROJECT B
0 1.0 (100,000) (100,000)
1 .909 45,450 63,630
2 .826 49,560 41,300
3 .751 30,040 22,530
Net Present Value + 25,050 + 27,460
Project B should be selected as it has the higher NPV.
Advantages
Correctly accounts for the time value of money.
Uses all cash flows.
Is an absolute measure of the increase in wealth
Consistent with the idea of maximising shareholder wealth i.e. telling managers
to maximise NPV is equivalent to telling them to maximise shareholder wealth.
It can be used for benchmarking in post-audit review.
Disadvantages
Difficult to estimate cost of capital.
Not easily interpreted by management i.e. managers untrained in finance often
have difficulty in understanding the meaning of a NPV.
Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
The NPV method produces an absolute value in currency (RWF). A positive NPV indicates that the
project earns more than the required rate of return and should be accepted; a negative NPV
indicates a return less than the required rate and rejection of the proposal.
The IRR is another discounted cash flow technique. It produces a percentage return or yield, rather
than an absolute value. It is the discount rate at which the NPV would be zero - where the present
value of the outflows = present value of the inflows. It can, therefore, be regarded as the expected
earning rate of the investment.
If the IRR exceeds the company's target rate of return it should be accepted. If less than the target
rate of return it should be rejected.
The IRR can be estimated by a technique called 'Linear Interpolation‟. This requires the following
steps:
1. Calculate two NPV's, using two different discount rates.
2. Any two rates can be used but, ideally, one calculation will produce a positive NPV and the
other a negative NPV.
3. Choosing the discount rate is a 'shot in the dark.' However, if the first attempt produces a
positive NPV, generally a higher discount rate will be required to produce a negative NPV and
vice versa.
Example 3 - Internal Rate of Return
Using the cash flows from example 1, a discount rate of 10% produced a positive NPV of
RWF755. In an attempt to find a negative NPV try a higher rate of 15%.
YEAR CASH FLOWS DISC. FACTOR15% PRESENT
VALUE
0 (20,000) 1.0 (20,000)
1 7,000 .869 6,083
2 7,000 .756 5,292
3 6,000 .658 3,948
4 6,000 .572 3,432 Net
Present Value ( 1,245)
We now know that the real rate of return is > 10% (+ NPV) but < 15% (- NPV). The IRR is calculated
by 'Linear Interpolation.' It will only be an approximation of the actual rate as it assumes that the
NPV falls in a straight line (linear) from + RWF755 at 10% to - RWF1,245 at 15%. The NPV, in fact,
falls in a curved line but nevertheless the interpolation method is accurate enough. In this example
the IRR is:
755
10% + x (15% - 10%) = 11.9%
755 + 1,245
Advantages
Often gives the same decision rule as NPV.
More easily understood than NPV.
Doesn‟t require an exact definition of “r” in advance.
Considers the time value of money.
Considers all relevant cash flows over a project‟s life.
Disadvantages
Relative, not absolute return -> ignores the relative size of investments.
If there is a change in the sign of the cash flow pattern, one can have multiple IRR‟s.
NPV is much easier to use for benchmarking purposes in a post-audit situation than IRR.
It looks at projects individually – the results cannot be aggregated.
It cannot cope with interest rate changes.
DCF Techniques v Non-DCF Techniques
DCF techniques have advantages over non-DCF techniques:
1. They allow for the 'time value of money.'
2. They use cash flows, which result from an investment decision. The ARR technique is
affected by accounting conventions (e.g. depreciation, deferred expenditure etc.) and can
be susceptible to manipulation.
3. They take account of all cash flows. The Payback Period disregards cash flows after the
payback period.
4. Risk can be easily incorporated by adjusting the discount rate (NPV) or cut-off rate (IRR).
Advantages of IRR Compared To NPV
It gives a percentage rate or return, which may be more easily understood by some.
To calculate the IRR it is not necessary to know in advance the required rate of return or
discount rate, as it would be to calculate the NPV.
Advantages of NPV Compared To IRR
It gives an absolute measure of profitability (RWF) and hence, shows immediately the change
in shareholders' wealth. This is consistent with the objective of shareholder
wealth maximisation. The IRR method, on the other hand, ignores the relative size of
investments.
It always gives only one solution. The IRR can give multiple answers for projects with non-
conventional cash flows (a number of outflows occur at different times).
It always gives the correct ranking for mutually exclusive projects, whereas the IRR
technique may give conflicting rankings. in interest rates over time can easily be
incorporated into NPV calculations but not IRR calculations.
6. INTEREST COSTS
In many examination questions you will be presented with all the costs of the proposed project.
These may be presented in the form of a standard Profit & Loss Account. One of these costs may be
„Interest.‟ The figure for interest should not be included as a relevant cost because the cost of
finance, no matter what its source, is encompassed within the discount rate. Therefore, to include
the annual interest charge as a relevant cost and to also discount the cash flows would result in
double counting.
7. WORKING CAPITAL
Where the project requires an investment of, say RWF50,000, for working capital it should be
remembered that working capital revolves around continuously in the project (e.g. purchase of raw
materials, which are used to manufacture goods, sold and eventually generate cash to enable the
purchase of more raw materials etc.. and continuously repeat the cycle). Thus, the RWF50,000 flows
back into the organisation once the project ceases. In this example, if the project has a life of five
years the cash flows relating to working capital are:
Year Working Capital
0 (50,000)
5 50,000
THE EFFECTS OF TAXATION ON THE INVESTMENT DECISION
To appraise fully an investment, management must take account of the impact of taxation, as it is
the after-tax cash flows that are relevant to decision making.
As a result of accepting a project tax payments or savings will, generally, be made by the company.
These relate to:
1. Corporation Tax payments on profits.
2. Tax benefits due to capital allowances granted on certain expenditure.
CORPORATION TAX
Annual cash inflows from a project will cause an increase in taxable profits and, hence, a tax
payment. Annual cash outflows (e.g. cost of materials, labour etc.) will reduce taxable profits and
yield tax savings. However, tax payments or savings can be based upon the net cash inflows or
outflows each year.
One can assume that an annual cash flow (inflow or outflow) will produce a similar change in taxable
profits, unless the exam question specifically indicates otherwise. For example, you may be told
that a particular item of expenditure (say, a contract termination payment of RWF100,000) is not
allowable for tax purposes. In this instance, the RWF100,000 must be shown as an outflow of the
project but it is ignored when calculating the taxation effect.
It is important to appreciate that the taxation payment or saving is the cash flow multiplied by the
rate of Corporation Tax. For example, if the net cash inflow in a particular year is RWF50,000 and
the rate of Corporation Tax is 40% an outflow of RWF20,000 (RWF50,000 x 40%) is shown in the
taxation column.
CAPITAL ALLOWANCES
The Rwandan Revenue Authority does not allow depreciation charges as a deduction in calculating
the tax payable. However, it does grant capital allowances, which can be quite generous. These
allowances on capital items can be set-off against taxable profits to produce tax savings (i.e. cash
inflows).
The capital allowances can take various forms. The most common are:
1. 40% initial allowance, whereby an allowance equivalent to the full cost of the item is treated
as allowable depreciation in the first year.
Again, it is important to appreciate that the cash flow effect is the capital allowance
multiplied by the rate of Corporation Tax. For example, if the capital expenditure (which
qualifies for 40% allowances) in a particular year is RWF50,000 and the rate of Corporation Tax is
40% then a saving of RWF20,000 (RWF50,000 x 40%) is shown in the taxation column.
The eventual sale of capital items will usually cause a balancing charge or a balancing
allowance, which must also be taken into account in the project appraisal.
TIMING OF TAXATION EFFECTS
Unless specifically advised to the contrary in an examination, assume that there is a time lag of one
year between a cash flow and the corresponding taxation effect. Thus, expenditure on a capital
item in year 0 will usually be accompanied by a tax saving in year 1.
Impact of Inflation
To illustrate how inflation should be handled in Investment Appraisal we shall take a simple
example, under two different scenarios – an environment with no inflation and an
environment where inflation is present:
1. No Inflation – suppose you are considering the purchase of a television for RWF1,000.
I am undertaking a simple one-year project and I require RWF1,000. I approach you and
guarantee you a return of 5% on your investment. Your investment will have grown to
RWF1,050 at the end of the year and, in theory, because there has been no inflation the price
of the television should still be RWF1,000. Thus, you have made RWF50 in the process and
also got your television. Therefore, you have achieved a real return of 5%.
2. Inflation (assume 20% per annum) – using the same example as number 1. If you had
given me the RWF1,000 this would be worth RWF1,050 at the end of the year but the price of
the television would probably have risen to RWF1,200 (+20%) because of inflation, so you
would not be able to afford it. The value of your savings has been eroded because of inflation
– you have got a return of 5% in money terms but inflation has been running at 20%.
Therefore, you have not got a real return of 5% - this is only a nominal (or money) return. In
this instance, with inflation of 20% you would require a nominal (money) return of 26% in
order to obtain a real return of 5%.
Obviously, there is a link between the nominal (or money) rate of return (26%), the real rate of
return (5%) and the rate of inflation (20%). This relationship may be expressed as follows:
(1 + Nominal Rate) (1 +
Real Rate) = --------------------------
(1 + Inflation Rate)
Using the figures in the above example:
1.26
------- = 1.05
1.20
If you have any two variables you can find the third. For example, if you require a real return of 5%
from an investment and you estimate inflation to be 20% you can work out the required
nominal return at 26% as follows:
(1 + Real Rate) x (1 + Inflation Rate) = (1 + Nominal Rate)
(1.05) x (1.20) = (1.26)
2 RWF10 2 RWF12.10
RWF10 x (1.10) =
3 RWF10 3 RWF13.30
RWF10 x (1.10) =
(1 + Nominal Rate) (1 +
Real Rate) = --------------------------
(1 + Inflation Rate)
1.26
------- = 1.05
1.20
Year Real Cash Flows Dis. Factor 5% Pres. Value
0 (100,000) 1.000 (100,000)
1 60,000 .952 57,120
2 50,000 .907 45,350
3 40,000 .864 34,560
37,030
We already have a money rate (26%) but we need to re-express the cash flows in money
terms by inflating them at 20% per annum.
Year Real Cash Flows Money Flows Dis. Factor 26% Pres. Value
0 (100,000) (100,000) 1.000 (100,000)
1 60,000 x 1.20 = 72,000 .794 57,168
2
2 50,000 x (1.20) = .630 45,360
72,000
3 40,000 3 .499 34,491
x (1.20) =
69,120
37,019
Allowing for some rounding, the same answer is produced under each approach.
So which approach should be used? In most cases it is probably best to inflate the cash
flows to money cash flows and then discount at the money required rate of return. Among the
reasons for suggesting this are:
Different inflation rates may apply to different variables. For example, raw materials may inflate
at 5% per annum, labour at 3% per annum etc. Thus, in converting a money rate to a real rate,
which inflation rate do you divide by – 5% or 3%?
When converting a money rate to a real rate you often end up with fractions. For example, where
the money rate of return is 15% and inflation is expected to be 5% per annum, this translates to a
real rate of 9.52%. This rate may be difficult to handle as Discount Tables tend to be produced for
whole numbers only.
When taxation is included in the appraisal capital allowances are based on original, rather than
replacement cost and do not change in line with changing prices. Therefore, if the cash flows are
left in terms of present day prices and discounted at the real discount rate it would understate the
company‟s tax liability.
HANDLING DIFFERENT INFLATION RATES
Where different inputs inflate at different rates the best approach is to inflate each element by the
appropriate inflation rate and then to discount the net cash flows (which are now in money
terms) by the money rate of return.
Example:
A company is considering a new project which would cost RWF60,000 now and last for four
years. Sales revenue is expected to be RWF50,000 per annum. Raw materials will cost
RWF10,000 in the first year and will rise thereafter by 5% per annum because of inflation. Labour
costs will be RWF15,000 in year 1 and agreement has just been concluded, whereby increases of
4% per annum will apply for the following three years. No residual/scrap value will arise at the
end of the project. Due to the current competitive environment it will not be possible to increase
selling prices.
The general rate of inflation is expected to be 8% per annum for the next few years. The
company‟s required money rate of return is 15%. Should the project be undertaken?
The optimum replacement cycle is every two years as this has the lowest cost
Capital Rationing
Capital Rationing is a situation where a company has insufficient capital to complete all projects
which it would like to undertake (e.g. those with a positive NPV).
Broadly, Capital Rationing can be described as:
Soft Capital Rationing – due to factors internal to the organisation. For example, projects are
limited to funds available from retentions; management are unwilling to commit to additional debt
due to the risk involved; the capacity of management to undertake many projects etc.
Hard Capital Rationing – due to factors external to the organisation. For example, restrictions
imposed on further borrowing due to a credit squeeze or lenders unwilling to provide further funds
due to risk factors; stock market depressed and share issue not acceptable etc.
RANKING OF PROJECTS
Example
A company is reviewing its capital expenditure budget and has identified five projects. Its
cost of capital is 10% and it has calculated the NPV of each project as follows:
Project Capital Investment NPV
A 100,000 10,000
B 400,000 36,000
C 300,000 21,000
D 600,000 51,000
E 700,000 62,000
The company only has RWF1.6m available for investment. Assume that the projects are
divisible and calculate the optimum solution.
If capital was not rationed the company should undertake all projects because they all have positive
NPV‟s. As capital is rationed (RWF2.1m. required to undertake all projects but only RWF1.6m.
available) it is necessary to use a technique which links the NPV with the Capital Investment –
calculate the Profitability Index (NPV per RWF of investment) and then rank the projects by their
Profitability Index.
Project Investment NPV Prof. Index Ranking
A 100,000 10,000 10,000/100,000 = 0.10 1
B 400,000 36,000 36,000/400,000 = 0.09 2
C 300,000 21,000 21,000/300,000 = 0.07 5
D 600,000 51,000 51,000/600,000 = 0.085 4
E 700,000 62,000 62,000/700,000 = 0.088 3
Optimum Solution
Project Investment NPV
A 100,000 10,000
B 400,000 36,00
E 700,000 62,000
rd rd
D 400,000 (2/3 ) 34,000 (2/3 )
1,600,000 142,000
rd
Thus, undertake all of projects A, B, and E and 2/3 of project D. Project C is not
rd
undertaken. By doing only 2/3 of project D (the projects are divisible) the entire RWF1.6m. of
available funds are used.
If the projects are not divisible we must deal in whole projects. Calculate by “trial and error” the
combination of various projects which will use up to RWF1.6m. and select the combination with the
highest NPV. For example,
Projects Investment NPV
A, B, C, D 1,400,000 118,000
A, B, C, E 1,500,000 129,000
C, D, E 1,600,000 134,000
Thus, by undertaking projects C, D and E the highest combined NPV of RWF134,000 is
achieved.
POSSIBLE WAYS OF SOLVING CAPITAL RATIONING
1. Defer one or more projects to a later period when capital is not rationed
2. Share project(s) with another partner
3. Outsource part of a project (e.g. component)
4. Consider licensing/franchising
5. Seek alternative sources of funding (e.g. venture capital, sale & leaseback)
F. LEASE v BUY DECISION
The Traditional Method breaks the decision into two stages – Acquisition & Financing
Decisions:
1. Acquisition Decision - Is the asset worth acquiring? Operational cash flows are
discounted by the cost of capital normally applied to project evaluations – after-tax cost
of capital. If a positive NPV results, then proceed to Financing Decision
2. Financing Decision – Cash flows of the financing decision (lease v buy) are discounted by the
after-tax cost of borrowing.
Example
PP wishes to replace a piece of equipment, costing RWF120,000. This will produce
operating savings of RWF50,000 per annum and will have a life of five years. PP‟s after-tax cost of
capital is 15% and operating cash flows are taxed at 30%, one year in arrears.
PP can borrow funds at 13% to purchase the machine or alternatively, it could acquire it by means
of a finance lease costing RWF28,000 per annum for five years, the lease rentals payable in advance.
The machine is expected to have zero scrap value at the end of the five years.
The machine qualifies for capital allowances on a reducing balance basis at the rate of 25% per
annum. However, due to its tax position PP is unable to utilise any capital allowances on the
purchase until year one.
Should PP replace the equipment and if so, should it buy or lease it?
Capital Allowances
1 RWF120,000 x 25% 30,000
2 RWF30,000 x 75% 22,500
3 RWF22,500 x 75% 16,875
4 RWF16,875 x 75% 12,656
82,031
Balancing Allowance: RWF120,000 - RWF82,031 37,969
120,000
Taxation
Savings Cap. Allowance Taxable Tax @ 30%
1 50,000 30,000 20,000 6,000
2 22,500 27,500 8,250
3 50,000 16,875 33,125 9,937
4 50,000 12,656 37,344 11,203
5 50,000 37,969 12,031 3,609
1. Acquisition Decision
Equipment Savings Taxation Net D.F. Pres. Val.
15%
0 (120,000) (120,000) 1.000 (120,000)
1 50,000 50,000 0.870 43,500
2 50,000 (6,000) 44,000 0.756 33,264
3 50,000 (8,250) 41,750 0.658 27,471
4 50,000 (9,937) 40,063 0.572 22,916
5 50,000 (11,203) 38,797 0.497 19,282
6 (3,609) (3,609) 0.432 (1,559)
24,874
As the NPV is positive PP should acquire the machine.
Now examine the Financing Decision (Lease v Buy).
2. Financing Decision
The cash flows associated with the two options (Lease and Buy) are discounted by a rate
appropriate to a financing decision => the after-tax cost of borrowing. We concentrate on the
financing cash flows – ignore any cash flows which are common e.g. sales revenue.
After-Tax Cost of Borrowing:
13% x (1 – t)
13% x 0.7
= 9.1% (say, 9%)
Buy:
Item Cash Flow D.F. 9% Pres. Val.
(120,000)
0 Purchase (120,000) 1.000
2 Allowance 30,000 x 30% 9,000 0.842 7,578
3 Allowance 22,500 x 30% 6,750 0.772 5,211
4 Allowance 16,875 x 30% 5,063 0.708 3,585
5 Allowance 12,656 x 30% 3,797 0.650 2,468
6 Allowance 37,969 x 30% 11,390 0.596 6,788
Present Value of Cost (94,370)
Lease:
Lease Rental Tax Saving D.F. 9% Pres. Val.
0-4 (28,000) 4.239 (118,692)
1-5 8,400 3.890 32,676
Present Value of Cost (86,016)
Note: The discount factor for years 0-4 can be found by adding 1.0 (for the first instalment of
rental paid up-front) to 3.239 from the 9% Annuity Tables – year 3 (for the remaining three
rentals paid at the beginning of years 1, 2 and 3).
* Conclusion: It is cheaper to lease the machine rather than purchase
Study Unit 6
Matching Concept
Long-term assets must be financed by long-term funds (debt/equity). Short-term assets can be
financed with short-term funds (e.g. overdraft, creditors) but it may be prudent to finance partly
with long-term funds. Working capital policies can be identified as conservative, aggressive or
moderate:
1. Conservative – financing working capital needs predominantly from long-term sources of
finance. Current assets are analysed into permanent and fluctuating – long-term finance
used for permanent element and some of the fluctuating current assets. This will increase
the amount of lower risk finance, at the expense of increased interest payments and lower
profitability.
2. Aggressive – short-term finance used for all fluctuating and most of the permanent
current assets. This will decrease interest costs and increase profitability but at the
expense of an increase in the amount of higher-risk finance used.
3. Moderate (or matching approach) – short-term finance used for fluctuating current assets
and long-term finance used for permanent current assets.
Short-term finance is more flexible than long-term finance and usually cheaper. However, the trade-
off between the relative cheapness of short-term debt and its risks must be considered. For
example, it may need to be continually renegotiated as various facilities expire and due to changed
circumstances (e.g. a credit squeeze) the facility may not be renewed. Also, the company will
be exposed to fluctuations in short-term interest rates (variable).
DETERMINANTS OF WORKING CAPITAL NEEDS
There are several factors which determine the firm’s working capital needs. These factors are
comprehensively covered by A Textbook of Business Finance by Manasseh (Pages 403 – 406). They
however include:
a) Nature and size of the business.
b) Firm’s manufacturing cycle
c) Business fluctuations
d) Production policy
e) Firm’s credit policy
f) Availability of credit
g) Growth and expansion activities.
Debtors
Debtors Collection Period = x 365 days
Sales
Creditors
Creditors Payment Period = x 365 days
Purchases
Stock
Stock Period x 365 days ost
= C of Sales
Alternatively:
Often referred to as the “Operating Cycle” or the “Cash Cycle” this indicates the total length
of time between investing cash in raw materials and its recovery at the end of the cycle when it is
collected from debtors. This can be shown diagrammatically:
(1) RAW (3) WORK (4) FINISHED
MATERIALS IN GOODS
PROGRESS
(2)CREDITORS (5)
DEBTORS
CASH
(6)
The Working Capital Cycle can also be expressed as a period of time, by computing various ratios:
Avg. Stock
Stock x 365 = Y days
Cost of Sales
Avg. Debtors
Debtors x 365 = D days
Sales
Avg. Creditors
Less: Creditors x 365 = (C days) Purchases
It is difficult to determine the optimum cycle. Attention will probably be focussed more on
individual components than on the total length of the cycle. Comparison with previous periods or
other organisations in the same industry may reveal areas for improvement.
The factors determining the level of investment in current assets will vary from company to
company but will, generally, include:
Working Capital Cycle – companies with longer working capital cycles will require higher
levels of investment in current assets.
Terms of Trade – period of credit offered; whether discounts permitted.
Credit Policy – company‟s attitude to risk (“conservative” v “aggressive”).
Industry – some industries have long operating cycles (e.g. engineering), whereas
others have short cycles (supermarket chain)
CASH MANAGEMENT
Cash is an idle asset and the company should try to hold the minimum sufficient for its needs. Three
motives are suggested for holding liquid funds (cash, bank deposits, short-term investments):
Transaction Motive - to meet payments in the ordinary course of business – pay employees,
suppliers etc. Depends upon the type of business, seasonality of trade etc.
Precautionary Motive - to provide for unforeseen events e.g. fire at premises. Depends upon
management‟s attitude to risk and availability of credit at short notice.
Speculative Motive - to keep funds available to take advantage of any unexpected “bargain”
purchases which may arise - e.g. acquisitions, bulk-buying etc.
Cash Budget
A very important aid in cash management: most organisations, whether small or large
multinationals, will prepare a Cash Budget at least once a year. It is usually prepared on a
monthly/quarterly basis to predict cash surpluses/shortages.
Example
A company‟s sales are RWF100,000 for November and these are expected to grow at the rate
of 10% per month. All sales are on credit and it is estimated that 60% of customers will pay in the
month following sale; the remainder will pay two months after sale but on average 10% of sales will turn
out to be bad debts. The company has some investments on which income of RWF20,000 will be
received in February.
Materials must be purchased two months in advance of sale so that demand can be met. Materials cost
50% of sales value. The supplier of the materials grants one month‟s credit. Wages and overheads
are RWF30,000 and RWF15,000 respectively per month.
A new machine costing RWF48,000 will be purchased in February for cash. The estimated life of the
machine is 4 years and there will be no scrap value at the end of its life. Depreciation will be at the rate
of RWF12,000 per annum and this will be charged in the monthly management accounts at RWF1,000
per month.
Rent on the company‟s factory is charged in the monthly management accounts at RWF5,000.
This is paid half-yearly in March and September.
The company‟s fleet of cars will be replaced in January at a cost of RWF50,000.
At the 31st December the company expects to have a cash balance of RWF50,000. Prepare a
Cash Budget for the period January to March.
Credit management is a problem of balancing profitability and liquidity. Extended Credit terms can be
a sales attraction but higher debtors put a strain on liquidity. Management of debtors will be
concerned with achieving the optimum level of investment. This requires finding the correct balance
between:
Extending credit to increase sales and, therefore profits and
The cost of investment in debtors (cost of finance, administration, bad debts etc.)
By setting the “terms of sale” the company can, to some extent, control the level of debtors. However,
the relative strengths of the credit-giver and the credit-taker are important. Consideration must also be
given to the industry norm.
The company has at least four factors to control debtors:
1. The customers to which it is prepared to sell.
2. The terms of credit offered.
3. Whether cash discounts will be offered?
4. The follow-up procedures for slow payment.
Evaluating Credit Risk
Before extending credit to new customers management will assess the risk of default in
payment/non-payment. This will be based upon experience and judgement but in addition, the
following sources may be used:
Trade References - from other suppliers (at least two).
Bank References - may be of limited use as banks are reluctant to supply adverse
references.
Credit Agency Reports - specialist agencies (e.g. Dun & Bradstreet) will provide detailed
reports on the history, creditworthiness, business etc. of individuals and organisations on
payment of a fee.
Published Information - annual accounts etc.
Own Salesmen - useful source but views may not be objective (commission
receivable?).
Newspapers and Trade Journals.
Other Credit Controllers - many trade associations where controllers meet regularly to
exchange information about the state of the industry generally and slow/bad payers in
particular.
Own Information - check old customer files to see if you have ever done business in the past.
Trial Period - on a "cash -only" basis.
Credit Limit - fix at low level initially and only increase if payment record warrants.
Site Visits - an opinion on the operations can be formed by visiting the premises.
Credit Scoring - evaluate potential customer using credit scoring or other quantitative techniques.
Credit scores are risk indicators - the higher the score, the lower the risk. Scores will be allocated based
on the characteristics of the new customer (e.g. age, occupation, length of service, married/single, home
owner, size of family, income, commitments etc.). Credit scoring is particularly suited to financial
institutions and the amount of credit offered, if any, will depend on whether the credit score is above a
predetermined cut-off level. Computerised systems (“expert systems”) are especially useful for this
purpose.
Although terms and settlement discounts are often influenced by custom and practice within an
industry it is still possible to change them. Once defined, ensure that the customers are aware of them
- ideally, they should be informed when they order, when they are invoiced and when they receive
statements. Always try to enforce the specified discount policy.
Discounts
As extended credit facilities may be expensive to finance the firm may offer customers a
discount (cash/settlement discount) to encourage them to pay early. As with extended credit discounts
may also be used as a marketing tool in an effort to increase sales. To evaluate whether it is financially
worthwhile the cost of the discount should be compared with the benefit of the reduced investment in
debtors.
Example
A company offers its customers 40 days credit. On average they take 60 days to pay. To
encourage early payment the company now proposes to offer a 2 % discount for payment within 10
days.
For each RWF100 of sales the cost is RWF2 and the company only receives a net RWF98. In return the
company receives payment 50 days earlier (day 60 - day 10). The annualised cost of the discount is:
2 365
---- x ----- = 14.9% p.a.
98 50
The cost of 14.9% should be compared with other sources of finance. If, for example, the cost of the
company‟s overdraft is 16% p.a. the discount would seem to be worthwhile. If, on the other hand, the
cost of the overdraft is only 10% p.a. the discount should not be offered as it would be better to leave
the debts outstanding and finance through the overdraft.
In industries that deal with both trade and retail customers (e.g. building supplies) it is usual to offer
trade discounts. This may reflect the economies of scale which derive from larger orders and the
greater bargaining power of the customer. Trade discounts are frequently much larger than
cash/settlement discounts and may be for as much as 25% of the quoted price.
Debt Control
Good debt control can be summed up as ensuring that all sales are paid for within an agreed
period, without alienating customers, at the minimum cost to the company.
The company itself can take steps to “assist” the debtors to pay promptly:
1. Issue invoices and statements promptly.
2. Deal with customer queries/disputes immediately.
3. Issue credit notes as agreed.
4. Be flexible in billing arrangements to accommodate customers.
There is no one debt collection policy that is applicable to all companies. Policies will differ according to
the nature of the product and the degree of competition. Debt control system will probably include:
1. Well trained credit personnel.
2. Measures to ensure that credit limits are not exceeded.
3. Formal set procedures for collecting overdue debts, which should be known by all staff and
applied according to an agreed time schedule. Care must be taken that the cost of the debt
collection does not exceed the amount of the debt, except where used as a deterrent. Also over-
zealous collection techniques may damage goodwill and lose future sales.
4. Computerised monitoring systems to identify overdue accounts as early as possible.
For example, ratios, compared with the previous period to highlight trends in credit levels and the
incidence of overdue and bad debts; statistical data to identify causes of default and the
incidence of bad debts among different classes of customer and types of trade. An “Aged
Analysis of Debtors” is particularly useful in this regard.
Debtor Total Current 1-2 Months 2-3 Months >3 Months
A RWF10,000 RWF5,000 RWF5,000
B RWF20,000 RWF10,000 RWF5,000 RWF5,000
C RWF50,000 RWF30,000 RWF20,000
D RWF50,000 RWF10,000 RWF20,000 RWF20,000
E RWF60,000 RWF30,000 RWF20,000 RWF10,000
F RWF40,000 RWF10,000 RWF20,000 RWF10,000
G RWF30,000 RWF10,000 RWF20,000
H RWF50,000 RWF20,000 RWF20,000 RWF10,000
Total RWF310,000 RWF95,000 RWF65,000 RWF85,000 RWF65,000
Example 2
Current sales are RWF500,000 p.a. - all on credit. 60 days credit allowed but on average 90
days taken.
New credit terms of a 4% discount for payment by day 10 are being considered. It is estimated
that 60% of the customers will take the discount. The new terms will increase sales by 20%.
Variable costs are 85% of sales value and the company uses an overdraft costing
11% per annum. Should the discount be offered?
Factoring
This involves the sale of trade debts for immediate cash to a “factor” who charges
commission. Factoring companies are financial institutions often linked with banks. Unlike an
overdraft the level of funding is dependent, not upon the fixed assets of the company, but on its
success, for as the company grows and sales increase the facility offered by the factor grows, secured
against the outstanding invoices due to the company. Three basic services are offered, although a
company need not use all of them:
1. Finance - instruction on invoices that payment is to be made to the factor, who is
responsible for collection of the debt. When the factor receives the invoices 80% approx. of
value is advanced. The balance (less charges, including interest) is paid, either when the
invoice is settled or after a specified period.
2. Sales Ledger Management - the factor takes the place of the client‟s accounts
department. Duplicate invoices are sent to the factor who maintains a full sales ledger for each
client, handles invoices, chases outstanding payments etc. Commission of 1%
- 2% is usually charged.
3. Credit Insurance - in return for a commission the factor provides a guarantee against bad
debts.
Recourse Factoring - the factor will reclaim the money advanced on any uncollected debt so the
business will retain the risk of non-recovery and, depending on the contract terms, perhaps
the administration burden as well.
Non-Recourse (Full) Factoring - the factor runs credit checks on the company‟s customers and
agrees limits dependent on their creditworthiness. These can be adjusted in the light of experience,
once a pattern has been established. The factor will protect the client against bad debts on
approved sales and will also take on all the administration burden. The balance over the 80%
advance is paid to the client an agreed number of days after the initial advance.
Recourse v Non-Recourse Factoring - with non-recourse factoring the business knows that it will get
paid, no matter what happens but protection only applies to credit-approved debts and it is not
always easy to get this approval for doubtful ones. Recourse factoring allows more funding to be
made available against less credit-worthy debtors and the business is in control of when and how
individual debts are to be pursued and collected.
The cost of finance through factoring is usually slightly above overdraft rates. The administration
charges vary between 0.6% and 2.5% approx.
Advantages of Factoring
1. It is an alternative source of finance if other sources are fully utilised, particularly for a
company with a high level of debtors.
2. It is especially useful for growth companies where debtors are rising rapidly and funds
available from the factor will rise in tandem.
3. Security for the finance is the company‟s debtors, leaving other assets free for
alternative forms of debt finance.
4. The factor may be able to manage the company‟s sales ledger more efficiently by
employing specialist staff, leading to lower costs for the company and freeing management to
concentrate on growing the business.
5. Bad debts will be reduced or guaranteed by credit insurance.
6. Due to the greater guarantee of cash flow the company will have a better opportunity for
taking up cash discounts from suppliers.
7. The factor will be more efficient in collecting monies. Evidence in Europe suggests that, on
average, it takes over 75 days for an invoice to be paid, whereas the average debt turn of
companies using factoring is 60 days.
8. The company replaces a great many debtors with one - the factor - who is a prompt payer.
Disadvantages of Factoring
1. It may be more expensive than other sources.
2. When fixing credit terms and limits the factor will be concerned with minimising risk and,
therefore, certain risky but potentially profitable business may be rejected.
3. The factor may be “pushy” when collecting debts. This may lead to ill-feeling by
customers.
4. Use of a factor might reflect adversely on a company‟s financial stability in the eyes of
some ill-informed people. Factoring is more acceptable nowadays but this problem could be
overcome by undisclosed factoring, which leaves the company to collect payment as agent
for the factor.
Invoice Discounting
This is similar to factoring but only the finance service is used. Invoices are discounted (like
Bills Receivable) and immediate payment, less a charge, is received. The company still collects the
debt as agent for the financial institution and is also liable for bad debts. The service tends to be
used on an ad hoc basis and is provided by factors for clients who need finance but not the
administrative service or protection. Invoice Discounting is confidential and solely a matter
between the lender and borrower, unlike Factoring where the bank assumes a direct and visible
role between the company and its debtors. Also, the company retains full control over the
management of its debtor‟s ledger, including credit control.
Trade credit is often used as a source of finance. The costs of this source of finance are the costs of
any discounts forgone and any interest charges which the creditor charges on overdue bills. Of
course, excessive use of this source may lead to poor relations with a supplier (or even no relations)
which can be damaging.
Credit from suppliers is a very important source of short-term finance.
The credit is mistakenly believed to be cost-free. The costs include the following:
1. Loss of Supplier‟s Goodwill - this is difficult to quantify. If the credit period is regularly
overdone suppliers may put a low priority on the quality of service given; further orders may
be refused; cash on delivery or payment in advance demanded.
2. Higher Unit Costs - the supplier may try to recoup the cost of longer credit by charging
increased prices.
3. Loss of Cash Discounts - if the credit period is used then discounts are not being taken.
Thus, the cost of credit is the cost of not taking the discount.
Example
Your company normally pays within 45 days. The supplier offers a 2% discount for payment
within 10 days. If the company refuses the discount the implied cost of not taking the
discount is:
2 365
----- x ----- = 21.3% p.a.
98 35
The cost of not taking the discount (opportunity cost) is 21.3% p.a.
Despite the above costs trade credit is the largest source of short-term funds for companies.
Among the advantages are:
1. Obtaining credit is informal.
2. It is a flexible source of finance - but payment should not be delayed regularly.
3. It is a relatively stable source of finance - it is available continuously.
4. No security is required - unlike other forms of credit.
EOQ = √ 2 cd
h
where: c = cost per order
d = annual demand for item of stock
h = annual cost of holding a unit in stock
The EOQ Model makes a number of assumptions:
Order cost is constant regardless of the size of the order.
Use of the item of stock is constant.
No stock-outs occur.
Purchase price is constant.
Example:
A company has annual demand for 2,000 units. Each unit can be purchased for RWF20. The
cost of placing each order is RWF20 and the annual cost of holding an item in stock is RWF2.
Calculate the Economic Order Quantity.
EOQ = √2 x 20 x 2,000
2
= 200 units
Discounts
If the supplier offers a discount for larger orders this may alter the position. The discount will
offer two savings - a reduced purchase price and lower ordering costs because fewer orders are
placed. Using the above example, suppose that a discount of 2% is offered on orders of
400 or more.
Calculate the total costs with and without the discount. Total costs will now consist of
ordering costs + holding costs + purchase price.
200 units
2,000
Ordering: RWF20 x RWF200
200
200
Holding: RWF2 x RWF200
2
400 units
2,000
Ordering: RWF20 x RWF100
400
400
Holding: RWF2 x RWF400
2
With a JIT system there is little room for manoeuvre in the event of unforeseen delays – e.g. on
delivery times. The buyer is also dependent on the supplier for the quality of materials, as
expensive downtime or a production standstill may arise, although guarantees and penalties may be
included in the contract as protection.
Study Unit 7
Portfolio Theory
Portfolio Theory
INTRODUCTION
A portfolio is a collection of different investments which comprise an investor‟s total
investments. For example, a property investor‟s portfolio may consist of many investment
properties in different locations and which are used for varied purposes. Other examples of a
portfolio are an investor‟s holding of shares, or a company‟s investment in many different capital
projects. Portfolio Theory is concerned with setting guidelines for selecting suitable shares,
investments, projects etc. for a portfolio.
PORTFOLIO RISK AND RETURN
By investing all of one‟s funds in a single venture the whole investment may be lost if the venture
fails. However, by spreading the investment over a number of ventures the risk of losing everything
will be reduced. If one of the ventures fails only a proportion of the investment will be lost and
hopefully, the remainder will provide a satisfactory return.
Example
An investor has RWF100,000 to invest. He is considering two companies A and B but is
unsure as to which company to select. He expects that either company will produce a return of
12%, which is acceptable. As he is a little worried about the risk of the investments he eventually
decides to invest RWF50,000 in each company.
What actually transpires is that company A produces a return of 22% but company B
produces a disappointing return of only 2%. By diversifying – i.e. by holding shares in both
companies - the investor achieves an overall return of 12% (1/2 x 22% + 1/2 x 2%). If he had
invested all of the RWF100,000 in company B a return of only 2% would have been
achieved. Thus, the risk of achieving a less than satisfactory return has been reduced by
investing in both companies. The exceptional return of company A has offset the poor return of
company B.
Investors are generally risk-averse and will seek to minimise risk where possible. The objectives of
portfolio diversification are to achieve a satisfactory rate of return at minimum risk for that return.
A portfolio is preferable to holding individual securities because it reduces risk whilst still offering a
satisfactory rate of return – i.e. it avoids the dangers of “putting all your eggs in one basket”
When investments are combined, the levels of risk of the individual investments are not important.
It is the risk of the portfolio which should considered by the investor. This requires some
measure of joint risk and one such measure is the coefficient of correlation. The relationship
between investments can be classified as one of three main types:
1. Positive Correlation – when there is positive correlation between investments if one
performs well (or badly) it is likely that the other will perform similarly. For example, if you
buy shares in one company making souvenirs and another which owns tourist hotels you
would expect poor tourist numbers to mean that both companies suffer. Likewise, good
tourist numbers should bring additional sales for both companies.
2. Negative Correlation – if one investment performs well, the other will do badly and vice
versa. Thus, if you hold shares in one company growing coffee and another which makes soft
drinks such as lemonade, the change in fashion for a type of drink will affect the companies
differently.
3. No Correlation – the performance of one investment will be independent of how
another performs. If you hold shares in a mining company and a leisure company it is likely
that there would be no obvious relationship between the profits and returns from each.
The Coefficient of Correlation can only take values between –1 and +1. A figure close to +1
indicates high positive correlation and a figure close to –1 indicates high negative correlation. A
figure of 0 indicates no correlation.
It is argued that if investments show high negative correlation then by combining them in a portfolio
overall risk would be reduced. Risk will also be reduced by combining in a portfolio
securities which have no significant correlation at all. If perfect negative correlation occurs portfolio
risk can be completely eliminated but this is unlikely in practice.
Usually returns on securities are positively correlated, but not necessarily perfectly positively
correlated. In this case investors can reduce portfolio risk by diversification.
You may be asked to calculate the expected return of individual investments and also their risk
(Standard Deviation). You may also be expected to calculate an expected return if the individual
investments are then combined in a portfolio.
Example:
Your client is planning to invest in a portfolio of investments. Details are as follows:
Investment 1
Investment of RWF300,000 in Cape Verde property. Expected annual returns are as follows:
Deviation S Deviation =
% Return Probability Expectation Deviation Squared Square Root
x P x*p x – EV (x-EV)2 P((x-EV)Sq)
8 0.9 7.2 -0.4 0.16 0.144
12 0.1 1.2 3.6 12.96 1.296
Expected Value (EV) 8.4 1.44 1.2
Introduction
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is an extension of Portfolio Theory, which is concerned
with the risk and return of portfolios and the process by which risk can be reduced by efficient
diversification. The CAPM assumes that all investors are efficiently diversified and examines the
risk and return of any capital asset. A capital asset can be a portfolio, an individual share or
security, a portfolio of projects or investments made by a company or even an individual project.
The CAPM gives the required rate of return on a capital asset, based on its contribution to total
portfolio risk, called systematic risk. It gives a very neat way of calculating risk- adjusted discount
rates.
The diversifiable risk is that risk which the investor can be able to eliminate if he held an efficient
portfolio.
The non-diversifiable risk on the other hand is those risks that still exist in all well diversified efficient
portfolios.
The investor therefore seeks to eliminate the diversifiable risk. This can be shown below:
From the graph shown above as the number of assets increases, the portfolio risk reduces up to point M.
At this point the lowest risk has been achieved and adding more assets to the portfolio will not reduce
the portfolio risk.
Note: The non-diversifiable risk can also be referred to as the market risk.
EFFICIENT SET OF INVESTMENT
If consider many assets, the feasible set of investment will be given by the following graph
Figure 7.2
The shaded area is the attainable set of investment. However, investors will invest in a portfolio with the
highest return at a given risk or the lowest risk at a given return. The efficient set of investment,
therefore, will be given by the frontier B C D E. This frontier is referred to as the Efficient Frontier.
Any point on the efficient frontier dominates all the other points on the feasible set.
When securities are combined in a portfolio part of each security‟s total risk (its standard deviation) is
eliminated. This is the basis of diversification. That part of an individual security‟s total risk which
can be eliminated by combining that security with an efficient portfolio is called unsystematic (or
specific) risk. The balance of an individual security‟s total risk (that part which cannot be
eliminated by diversification) is called systematic (or market) risk.
Systematic Risk – risk which cannot be eliminated by diversification. This is the fluctuation in
returns due to general factors in the market affecting all companies e.g. inflation, government
policy, economic conditions etc. It is that part of the fluctuations in returns which is correlated with
those of the market portfolio.
When a capital asset (S) is combined with no other assets, the risk of the portfolio is simply the
standard deviation of (S). When further assets are added, however, the contribution of (S) to the
portfolio risk is quickly reduced – diversification is eliminating the unsystematic risk. It takes a
surprisingly low number of shares in a portfolio to eliminate the majority of unsystematic risk
(twenty shares in a portfolio will eliminate approximately 94% of unsystematic risk). All
unsystematic risk could only be eliminated when the market portfolio is held.
Only systematic risk is relevant in calculating the required return on capital assets. This is because,
on the assumption that investors hold efficient portfolios, unsystematic risk is automatically
eliminated when another asset is incorporated within that portfolio. The only effect an asset has on
portfolio risk is through its systematic risk.
Rs = Rf + (Rm - Rf )
Where:
Rs = The expected return on a capital asset(s)
Rf = The risk-free rate of return
= A measure of the systematic risk of the capital asset (the Beta factor)
Rm = The expected return from the market as a whole
This is a very important formula. Note that the expected return (Rs) is equal to the risk-free rate of
return (Rf) plus an excess return or premium (Rm - Rf ) multiplied by the asset‟s Beta factor.
You may see different symbols in many textbooks but the same principles apply.
The Beta factor is a measure of the systematic risk of the capital asset. Thus, if shares in ABC
Ltd tend to vary twice as much as returns from the market as a whole, so that if market returns
increase by, say, 3%, returns on ABC Ltd shares would be expected to increase by
6%. Likewise, if market returns fall by 3%, returns on ABC Ltd shares would be expected to fall by
6%. The Beta factor of ABC Ltd shares would, therefore, be 2.0.
All correctly priced assets will lie on the security market line. Any security off this line will either be
overpriced or underpriced.
The security market line therefore shows the pricing of all asset if the market is at equilibrium. It is a
measure of the required rate of return if the investor were to undertake a certain amount of risk.
Example
The returns from the market as a whole have been 15% for some time, which compares with a risk-
free rate of return of 7%. Alpha Ltd‟s shares have a Beta factor of 1.25. What would be the
expected returns for Alpha‟s shares if:
Market returns increased to 16%
Market returns slumped to 9%
1. Rs = Rf + (Rm - Rf )
= 7% + 1.25(16% - 7%)
= 7% + 11.25%
= 18.25%
2. Rs = Rf + (Rm - Rf )
= 7% + 1.25(9% - 7%)
= 7% + 2.5%
= 9.5%
The CAPM provides a useful technique for calculating costs of capital and discount rates appropriate
to capital projects based on their individual levels of risk. However, there are two drawbacks to the
practical application of the CAPM. Firstly, the data necessary to calculate Beta factors and the
difficulty in obtaining them. Secondly, the assumptions on which the model is based, which
question the validity of the model itself.
In conclusion, although the CAPM can be criticised it is nevertheless a very useful model in dealing
with the problem of risk.
LIMITATIONS OF CAPM
CAPM has several weaknesses e.g.
a. It is based on some unrealistic assumptions such as:
i. Existence of Risk-free assets
ii. All assets being perfectly divisible and marketable (human capital is not divisible)
iii. Existence of homogeneous expectations about the expected returns
iv. Asset returns are normally distributed.
b. CAPM is a single period model—it looks at the end of the year return.
c. CAPM cannot be empirically tested because we cannot test investors expectations.
d. CAPM assumes that a security's required rate of return is based on only one factor (the stock
market—beta). However, other factors such as relative sensitivity to inflation and dividend payout,
may influence a security's return relative to those of other securities.
The Arbitrage pricing theory is designed to help overcome these weaknesses.
APT assumes that, in equilibrium, the return on an arbitrage portfolio (i.e. one with zero investment,
and zero systematic risk) is zero. If this return is positive, then it would be eliminated immediately
through the process of arbitrage trading to improve the expected returns. Ross (1976) demonstrated
that when no further arbitrage opportunities exist, the expected return (E(Ri)) can be shown as follows:
E(Ri)=Rf + β1(R1-Rf)+β2(R2 -Rf)+--------+ βn(Rn-Rf)+έi
Where,
E(Ri) is the expected return on the security
Rf is the risk free rate
Βi is the sensitivity to changes in factor i
έi is a random error term.
APT and CAPM compared
The Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) is much more robust than the capital asset pricing model for several
reasons:
a) The APT makes no assumptions about the empirical distribution of asset returns. CAPM assumes
normal distribution.
b) The APT makes no strong assumption about individuals’ utility functions (at least nothing stronger
than greed and risk aversion).
c) The APT allows the equilibrium returns of asset to be dependent on many factors, not just one (the
beta).
d) The APT yields a statement about the relative pricing of any subset of assets; hence one need not
measure the entire universe of assets in order to test the theory.
e) There is no special role for the market portfolio in the APT, whereas the CAPM requires that the
market portfolio be efficient.
f) The APT is easily extended to a multi-period framework.
Since APT makes fewer assumptions than CAPM, it may be applicable to a country like Kenya. However,
the model does not state the relevant factors. Cho(1984) has, however, shown the security returns are
sensitive to the following factors: Unanticipated inflation, Changes in the expected level of industrial
production, Changes in the risk premium on bonds, and Unanticipated changes in the term structure of
interest rates
Illustration
Security returns depend on only three riskfactors-inflation, industrial production and the aggregate
degree of risk aversion. The risk free rate is 8%, the required rate of return on a portfolio with unit
sensitivity to inflation and zero-sensitivity to other factors is 13.0%, the required rate of return on a
portfolio with unit sensitivity to industrial production and zero sensitivity to inflation and other factors is
10% and the required return on a portfolio with unit sensitivity to the degree of risk aversion and zero
sensitivity to other factors is 6%. Security i has betas of 0.9 with the inflation portfolio, 1.2 with the
industrial production and-0.7 with risk bearing portfolio—(risk aversion)
Assume also that required rate of return on the market is 15% and stock i has CAPM beta of 1.1
REQUIRED:
Compute security i's required rate of return using
a. CAPM
b. APT
Cost of New Finance – The costs associated with raising new equity/debt can be quite high.
If debt is raised interest rates may be high at that particular point in time.
Transaction Costs – Some shareholders may depend on dividends. If earnings are
retained they can create “home-made” dividends by selling some shares (capital).
However, this may be inconvenient and costly (brokerage fees etc.).
Control – If high dividends are paid the company may subsequently require capital and this
may be obtained by issuing shares to new shareholders. This may result in a dilution of
control for existing shareholders.
Inflation – In periods of high inflation companies may have to retain funds in order to
maintain their existing operating capability. On the other hand, shareholders require
increased dividends in order to maintain their purchasing power.
Information Content – The declared dividend provides information to the market about
the company‟s current performance and expected future prospects. An increase or a
reduction will be reflected in the share price.
Existing Debt – Restrictive covenants in existing loan agreements may limit the dividend
payout or prohibit the company from arranging further borrowing. Existing debt which may be
due for repayment will require funds and may cause a reduction in the level of dividend.
Legal Restrictions – Dividends can only be paid out of realized profits. Past losses must first
be made good.
Perceived Risk – The earnings from retained dividends may be perceived as being a more
risky return than actual cash dividends, thereby causing their perceived value to be lower
(the “Bird in the Hand Theory”).
Stable Dividends – Generally, shareholders require a stable dividend policy and
hopefully, steady dividend growth.
Note: Some companies adopt a constant payout ratio, whereby a fixed percentage of earnings
is paid out as dividends. This has the drawback that dividends will rise and fall with earnings.
However, this may not be a problem for a company which is not subject to cyclical factors and whose
earnings grow steadily.
Conclusion: There is unlikely to be a single dividend policy which will maximize the wealth of
all shareholders. The company should try to ascertain the composition of its shareholders in order
to pursue a dividend policy which is acceptable. Maybe, the best is to adopt a consistent policy and
hope to attract a “clientele of shareholders” to whom it appeals.
ALTERNATIVE DIVIDENDS POLICIES
a) Constant payout ratio
This is where the firm will pay a fixed dividend rate e.g. 40% of earnings. The DPS would therefore
fluctuate as the earnings per share changes.
Dividends are directly dependent on the firms earnings ability and if no profits are made no dividend is
paid.
This policy creates uncertainty to ordinary shareholders especially who rely on dividend income and
they might demand a higher required rate of return.
b) Constant amount per share (fixed D.P.S.)
The DPS is fixed in amount irrespective of the earnings level. This creates certainty and is therefore
preferred by shareholders who have a high reliance on dividend income.
It protects the firm from periods of low earnings by fixing, DPS at a low level.
This policy treats all shareholders like preferred shareholders by giving a fixed return. The DPS could be
increased to a higher level if earnings appear relatively permanent and sustainable.
c) Constant DPS plus Extra/Surplus
Under this policy a constant DPS is paid every year. However extra dividends are paid in years of
supernormal earnings.
It gives the firm flexibility to increase dividends when earnings are high and the shareholders are given a
chance to participate in super normal earnings
The extra dividends is given in such a way that it is not perceived as a commitments by the firm to
continue the extra dividend in the future. It is applied by the firms whose earnings are highly volatile e.g
agricultural sector.
d) Residual dividend policy
Under this policy dividend is paid out of earnings left over after investment decisions have been
financed. Dividend will only be paid if there are no profitable investment opportunities available. The
policy is consistent with shareholders wealth maximization.
Forms of dividends
1. Cash and Bonus issue
2. Stock split and reverse split
3. Stock repurchase
4. Stock rights/rights issue (Scrip Dividend)
1. Cash and bonus issue
For a firm to pay cash dividends, it should have adequate liquid funds.
However, under conditions of liquidity and financial constraints, a firm can pay stock dividend (Bank
issue)
Bonus issue involves issue of additional shares for free (instead of cash) to existing shareholders in their
shareholding proportion.
Stock dividend/Bonus issue involves capitalization of retained earnings and does not increase the wealth
of shareholders. This is because R. Earnings is converted into shares.
Advantages of Bonus Issue
a) Tax advantages
Shareholders can sell new shares, and generate cash in form of capital gains which is tax exempt unlike
cash dividends which attract 5% withholding tax which is final
b) Indication of high profits in future:
A Bonus issue, in an inefficient market conveys important information about the future of the company.
It is declared when management expects increase in earning to offset additional outstanding shares so
that E.P.S is not diluted.
c) Conservation of cash
Bonus issue conserves cash especially if the firm is in liquidity problems.
d) Increase in future dividends
If a firm follows a fixed/constant D.P.S policy, then total future dividend would increase due to increase
in number of shares after bonus issue.
Journal entry in case of bonus issue
Dr. R. Earnings (par value)
Cr. Ordinary share capital (par value)
NB: A firm can also make a script issue where bonus shares are directly from capital reserve.
2. Stock Split and Reverse Split
This is where a block of shares is broken down into smaller units (shares) so that the number of ordinary
shares increases and their respective par value decreases at the stock split factor.
Stock split is meant to make the shares of a company more affordable by low income investors and
increase their liquidity in the market.
Illustration
ABC Company has 1000 ordinary shares of frw.20 par value and a split of 1:4 i.e one stock is split into 4.
The par value is divided by 4.
1000 stocks x 4 = 4000 shares
par value = 40 = frw.5
5
Ordinary share capital = 4000 x 5 = frw.20,000
A reverse split is the opposite of stock split and involves consolidation of shares into bigger units
thereby increasing the par value of the shares. It is meant to attract high income clientele shareholders.
E.g incase of 20,000 shares @ frw.20 par, they can be consolidated into 10,000 shares of frw.40 par. I.e.
(20,000 x ½) = 10,000 and frw.20 = x 2 = 40/=
3. Stock Repurchase
The company can also buy back some of its outstanding shares instead of paying cash dividends. This is
known as stock repurchase and shares repurchased, (bought back) are called treasury Stock. If some
outstanding shares are repurchased, fewer shares would remain outstanding.
Assuming repurchase does not adversely affect firm’s earnings, E.P.S. of share would increase. This
would result in an increase in M.P.S. so that capital gain is substituted for dividends.
4. Scrip dividends
A scrip dividend is where a company offers existing shareholders a choice of new shares in lieu of
their cash dividend. This effectively converts reserves into issued share capital.
The advantage for the company is that it conserves cash and increases the capital base,
thereby improving gearing. The shareholders can increase their holdings without incurring brokerage
fees.
Some companies have offered enhanced scrip dividends, where the value of the shares offered
is greater than the cash alternative. Thus the shareholder is enticed to choose the scrip
dividends.
Study Unit 9
BUSINESS VALUATIONS
A. INTRODUCTION
A business may be valued for different reasons such as for merger, takeover, acquisition, or outright sale
or liquidation. In purchasing a business, a buyer will be interested in not only the assets but also the
future income this business is expected to generate.
B. VALUATION BASES
1. Earnings
*P/E Ratio - the P/E Ratio is the relationship of a company‟s share price to its EPS.
Price
P/E = EPS
Therefore: P/E x EPS = Price
If the prospective EPS can be estimated and a suitable P/E Ratio selected it should be possible
to arrive at a price (value) for the company. Where an unquoted company is being valued a
“best fit” P/E can be obtained from similar quoted companies (same industry, similar size,
gearing etc.). When an appropriate P/E has been selected this should then be reduced by
20% - 30% to recognise that shares in unquoted companies are more risky and less marketable
than those of quoted companies.
*Accounting Rate of Return (ARR) - the estimated maintainable earnings of the target
can be capitalised using the ARR.
Estimated Maintainable Earnings
= Value
ARR
Example:
If maintainable earnings are estimated at RWF1.5m. and the ARR is 10% the value is:
RWF1.5m
.10 = RWF15m
RWF15m is the absolute maximum which could be paid in order to achieve the 10% rate of
return. When estimating the maintainable earnings it may be necessary to adjust them to
bring them into line with the bidder‟s policies.
*Super Profits - if super profits are expected these are reflected in the valuation. A normal
rate of return for the industry is applied to the net tangible assets in order to establish
normal profits. These are then compared with the expected annual profits and if the
expected profits are higher the difference is regarded as a super profit. The valuation is the
net assets plus a number of years (say, 3) of super profits. This method has become less
fashionable than previously.
2. Assets
The valuation is based on the Net Tangible Assets which are attributable to the equity.
Any intangible assets and the interests of other capital providers are deducted.
Net Assets per Balance Sheet X
Less Intangibles (e.g. Goodwill) (X)
X
Less Other Parties:
Preference Shares X
Loan Capital X
(X)
Net Tangible Assets – Equity (Valuation) X
The figure attached to an individual asset may vary considerably depending on whether it is
valued on a going-concern or a break-up (asset stripping ?) basis.
While an earnings basis might be more relevant the Net Assets basis is useful as a
measure of the “security” in a share value.
3. Dividends
The Dividend Valuation Model may be used to value the company‟s stream of expected
future dividends. It is suitable for the valuation of small shareholdings in unquoted
companies.
(i) Constant Dividends
d
Value =
r
d o (1 + g)
Value =
r-g
C. DEFENCE TACTICS
Where an unwelcome or hostile bid is received from another company there are a number of steps
that can be taken to thwart it:
Reject the bid on the basis that the terms are not good enough.
Issue a forecast of attractive future profits and dividends to persuade shareholders to hold
onto their shares.
Revalue any undervalued assets.
Mount an effective advertising and P.R. campaign.
Find a “White Knight” that is more acceptable - in 1986 Distillers Co. (U.K.) received an
unwelcome bid from Argyll and found a white knight in Guinness. In Ireland in
1988 Irish Distillers Group found Pernod in their battle with G.C. & C. Brands (Grand
Metropolitan).
Make a counter bid – generally only possible if the companies are of a similar size.
Arrange a Management Buyout.
Attack the credibility of the offer or the offeror itself, particularly if shares are offered
- e.g. commercial logic of the takeover, dispute any claimed synergies, criticize the track
record, ethics, future prospects etc. of the offeror.
Appeal to the loyalty of the shareholders.
Encourage employees to express opposition to the merger
Persuade institutions to buy shares.
D. DUE DILLIGENCE
The main objective of Due Diligence is to confirm the reliability of the information which has
been provided and has been used in making an investment decision. Changes in these primary
assumptions may have a significant impact on the price to be paid and possibly even raise questions
on the wisdom of proceeding with the transaction. This is a very useful process and at minimum
will provide additional information on the potential target.
The following should be considered:
1. Earnings – audited financial statements are prepared to comply with statutory/tax
requirements. To assess the true quality of earnings an in-depth review of the business and
detailed management accounts must be performed. Adjustments may need to be made for
one-off events, lost customers, discontinued products, changes in cost structure etc.
Also, evaluate non-financial information e.g. quality of risk management, quality of
management, corporate governance etc.
2. Forecasts – may be prepared on a high-level basis with oversimplified assumptions.
The assumptions may be difficult to reconcile with historical performance.
3. Assets – write-offs for aged debtors, obsolete stock, idle assets, capitalised costs etc. may
need to be made. Also, clarify which assets are to be included in the transfer and agree
valuations.
4. Undisclosed Liabilities – substantial hidden tax liabilities, penalties and exposures may
subsequently arise. Evaluate and possibly, seek protection by obtaining warranties or
indemnities against future potential tax issues.
5. Trading Performance – related party transactions are often conducted under special
pricing terms (e.g. business support services not charged by parent company). The impact
on the business of a change in ownership should be assessed to reflect normal commercial
arrangements.
6. Controls – additional investment in new reporting systems may be required to obtain the
quality of information needed to properly monitor performance. Also, ensure the necessary
staff are locked-in for an appropriate period.
7. Balanced View – issues should be weighed against the upside potential in a balanced way.
Examples of the upside might include synergies, optimal financing structure, access to new
markets, new management team etc.
8. Tax Structure – effective tax planning is a key component in delivering value as quickly
as possible.
Study Unit 10
2 0·980 0·961 0·943 0·925 0·907 0·890 0·873 0·857 0·842 0·826 2
3 0·971 0·942 0·915 0·889 0·864 0·840 0·816 0·794 0·772 0·751 3
4 0·961 0·924 0·888 0·855 0·823 0·792 0·763 0·735 0·708 0·683 4
5 0·951 0·906 0·863 0·822 0·784 0·747 0·713 0·681 0·650 0·621 5
7 0·933 0·871 0·813 0·760 0·711 0·665 0·623 0·583 0·547 0·513 7
8 0·923 0·853 0·789 0·731 0·677 0·627 0·582 0·540 0·502 0·467 8
9 0·914 0·837 0·766 0·703 0·645 0·592 0·544 0·500 0·460 0·424 9
10 0·905 0·820 0·744 0·676 0·614 0·558 0·508 0·463 0·422 0·386 10
12 0·887 0·788 0·701 0·625 0·557 0·497 0·444 0·397 0·356 0·319 12
13 0·879 0·773 0·681 0·601 0·530 0·469 0·415 0·368 0·326 0·290 13
14 0·870 0·758 0·661 0·577 0·505 0·442 0·388 0·340 0·299 0·263 14
15 0·861 0·743 0·642 0·555 0·481 0·417 0·362 0·315 0·275 0·239 15
(n) 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20%
2 0·812 0·797 0·783 0·769 0·756 0·743 0·731 0·718 0·706 0·694 2
3 0·731 0·712 0·693 0·675 0·658 0·641 0·624 0·609 0·593 0·579 3
4 0·659 0·636 0·613 0·592 0·572 0·552 0·534 0·516 0·499 0·482 4
5 0·593 0·567 0·543 0·519 0·497 0·476 0·456 0·437 0·419 0·402 5
7 0·482 0·452 0·425 0·400 0·376 0·354 0·333 0·314 0·296 0·279 7
8 0·434 0·404 0·376 0·351 0·327 0·305 0·285 0·266 0·249 0·233 8
9 0·391 0·361 0·333 0·308 0·284 0·263 0·243 0·225 0·209 0·194 9
10 0·352 0·322 0·295 0·270 0·247 0·227 0·208 0·191 0·176 0·162 10
12 0·286 0·257 0·231 0·208 0·187 0·168 0·152 0·137 0·124 0·112 12
13 0·258 0·229 0·204 0·182 0·163 0·145 0·130 0·116 0·104 0·093 13
14 0·232 0·205 0·181 0·160 0·141 0·125 0·111 0·099 0·088 0·078 14
15 0·209 0·183 0·160 0·140 0·123 0·108 0·095 0·084 0·074 0·065 15
Annuity Table
1 – (1 + r)–n
Present value of an annuity of 1 i.e. r
Where r = discount rate
n = number of periods until payment
Discount rates (r)
Periods
(n) 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
2 1·970 1·942 1·913 1·886 1·859 1·833 1·808 1·783 1·759 1·736 2
3 2·941 2·884 2·829 2·775 2·723 2·673 2·624 2·577 2·531 2·487 3
4 3·902 3·808 3·717 3·630 3·546 3·465 3·387 3·312 3·240 3·170 4
5 4·853 4·713 4·580 4·452 4·329 4·212 4·100 3·993 3·890 3·791 5
6 5·795 5·601 5·417 5·242 5·076 4·917 4·767 4·623 4·486 4·355 6
7 6·728 6·472 6·230 6·002 5·786 5·582 5·389 5·206 5·033 4·868 7
8 7·652 7·325 7·020 6·733 6·463 6·210 5·971 5·747 5·535 5·335 8
9 8·566 8·162 7·786 7·435 7·108 6·802 6·515 6·247 5·995 5·759 9
10 9·471 8·983 8·530 8·111 7·722 7·360 7·024 6·710 6·418 6·145 10
11 10·37 9·787 9·253 8·760 8·306 7·887 7·499 7·139 6·805 6·495 11
12 11·26 10·58 9·954 9·385 8·863 8·384 7·943 7·536 7·161 6·814 12
13 12·13 11·35 10·63 9·986 9·394 8·853 8·358 7·904 7·487 7·103 13
14 13·00 12·11 11·30 10·56 9·899 9·295 8·745 8·244 7·786 7·367 14
15 13·87 12·85 11·94 11·12 10·38 9·712 9·108 8·559 8·061 7·606 15
(n) 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20%
2 1·713 1·690 1·668 1·647 1·626 1·605 1·585 1·566 1·547 1·528 2
3 2·444 2·402 2·361 2·322 2·283 2·246 2·210 2·174 2·140 2·106 3
4 3·102 3·037 2·974 2·914 2·855 2·798 2·743 2·690 2·639 2·589 4
5 3·696 3·605 3·517 3·433 3·352 3·274 3·199 3·127 3·058 2·991 5
7 4·712 4·564 4·423 4·288 4·160 4·039 3·922 3·812 3·706 3·605 7
8 5·146 4·968 4·799 4·639 4·487 4·344 4·207 4·078 3·954 3·837 8
9 5·537 5·328 5·132 4·946 4·772 4·607 4·451 4·303 4·163 4·031 9
10 5·889 5·650 5·426 5·216 5·019 4·833 4·659 4·494 4·339 4·192 10
12 6·492 6·194 5·918 5·660 5·421 5·197 4·988 4·793 4·611 4·439 12
13 6·750 6·424 6·122 5·842 5·583 5·342 5·118 4·910 4·715 4·533 13
14 6·982 6·628 6·302 6·002 5·724 5·468 5·229 5·008 4·802 4·611 14
15 7·191 6·811 6·462 6·142 5·847 5·575 5·324 5·092 4·876 4·675 15