Lesson 1
Lesson 1
Lesson 1
There is no better way of starting the discussions in this book except through
defining what risk is. Risk provides opportunities while exposing us to outcomes that
we may not desire. It is the coupling of risk and reward that lies at the core of the risk
definition, and the innovations that have been generated in response make risk central
to the study of not just finance but to all the business.
(http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/pdfiles/valrisk/ch1). The definition of risk here
implies awareness that risk is something foreseeable in every kind of business even
in the tourism and hospitality world. The exposure to something that we do not desire
should not be a barrier for us to execute what is being expected and demanded from
us. Our knowledge of risk should be considered as a better opportunity for us to plan
and mitigate its adverse effect in our undertakings.
Risk, according to World Tourism Organization (UNWTO), is a situation that
exposes someone or something to danger harm or loss. Risk can be a physical safety
matter, a risk of property loss, a financial business risk, and more. From the moment
a person engages himself in the business of tourism and hospitality, whether a sole
proprietorship, partnership, or corporation, the risk immediately attaches.
Examples:
1. Food handling is one issue that must be adequately addressed whenever
someone prepares food for the customers. The danger of food poisoning due
to the contamination of food is high if the necessary precaution based on
standards will not be followed. The government has provided regulations that
must be complied with by any business ventures to make sure that the danger
or harm is mitigated. Food sanitation permit is a mandatory requirement for
businesses in the food industry.
The business dictionary has defined risk as the probability of threat of damage, injury,
liability, or any other adverse occurrence that is caused by external or internal
vulnerabilities, and that may be avoided through pre-emptive action
(http://www.businessdictionary.com/definition/risk.htmloccur). The same has stressed
out the definition of risk as applied to the food industry: the possibility that due to a
particular hazard in food, there will be an adverse effect on absolute magnitude.
Tourism like hospitality is a trade or a business. It may sometimes reach its
desired outcome, but the possibility of not realizing it should not be set aside. Engaging
in a business, like tourism and hospitality has a probability of threat or damage as
there are events beyond the contemplation of man. The weather as of the time of
entering an agreement with clientele may be entirely different from the actual day of
the event. Those actual occurrences must have a pre-emptive action.
The recent declaration of the World Health Organization about the novel
coronavirus as a pandemic has resulted to business losses in the industries of
aviation, tourism, and hospitality. The lockdown and Enhanced Community Quarantine
were implemented not only in the Philippines but as well as whole world, causing
limitations in the movement of the people and goods.
In the point of view of economics, risk implies future uncertainty about deviation
from expected earnings or expected outcome. Risk measures the uncertainty that an
investor is willing to take to realize a gain from an investment
(https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/definition/risk). The very reason why people
engage themselves in business is to realize gains that could address their respective
economic interests.
However, realizing gain is not an easy thing because of the hazards and risks
attaching to it. There is a need to plan on time and think of the best possible means to
address the risks and hazards barring the full implementation of the desired plan of
the business.
When one is in the business of simple sari-sari store, there is a hazard of the
proliferation of minor and major competitors. The same would make one realize the
need to deviate to usual strategy of capturing the market to a more relevant and
significant strategy. When a person is in the business of transportation, they have to
think of the erratic agency, prices of the oil in the market. When a person is in the
business of travel there is a chance to deviate the tour packages as an effect of the
peso equivalency in the foreign exchange.
Let us explain further the distinction between the risk and hazard using the
hospitality and tourism industry-related activities as the framework.
Sources of Risks
Risk can come from varied sources like:
1. Financial market uncertainty;
2. Threats from failure of project (at any phase in the life-cycle);
3. Legal liabilities;
4. Credit risk;
5. Accidents;
6. Natural happenings or disasters;
7. Attack that is deliberate from an adversary;
8. Uncertainty or unpredictable root causes
One consideration that a manager should take into in the conduct of his or her
business is the uncertainty in the financial markets. Managers must be vigilant enough
in determining those uncertainties that could give more impact in the entirety of his
business. The press briefing statement of Former US Defense Secretary Donald
Rumsfeld was quoted in https://www.ezonomics.com/whti/ uncertainty (retrieved,
2018). “We know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some
things we do not know. However, there are also unknown unknowns – the ones we do
not know we do not know.” The statement of Rumsfeld is a reminder to everyone that
the awareness on the distinction between certainty and uncertainty could be helpful in
many circumstances like the reduction of so much confidence for investors and the
protection of wealth for an extended period.
In the paper of Nick Bloom, an economist, he argued that uncertainty can hit
different groups in different ways. He gave oil-price spike as an example, contending
that it may give a good impact for the producers of oil, but not for airlines. As pointed
out by Bloom, the OPEC oil embargo in 1973 had tipped the US into recession by
tripling oil prices and increasing uncertainty over future oil prices.
In the paper of Slovik (n.d.), he said that although the efficient market prices
already enunciated the known factors, the primary sources of market sources are
considered unknown factors. According to him, the said unknown factors should be
referred as market uncertainty. He finally concluded that from the perspective of
market stability, the most critical aspect is not the market risk, but the degree of market
uncertainty embedded in different assets or business models.
The Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) Law or RA 10963 which
took effect on January 01, 2018, overhauled the National Internal Revenue Code
(NIRC) which was adopted twenty years ago. Although the TRAIN may be considered
as beneficial to some extent as it decreases the tax on personal income, estate, and
donation, it could somehow also produce uncertainty to the financial market as it
increases the tax on certain passive incomes, documents (documentary stamp tax) as
well as excise tax on petroleum products, minerals, automobiles, and cigarettes.
The primary commodities for food and hospitality industry were likewise
affected by the TRAIN law when it imposes excise taxes on sweetened beverages and
non-essential services (invasive cosmetic procedures) and removes tax exemption of
Lotto and other PCSO winnings amounting to more than Php 10,000.
Credit Risk
Credit is another source of risk that could impact the tourism and hospitality
industries. Credit risk as defined in Principles for the Management of Credit Risk,
https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbsc125, is the potential that a bank borrower or
counterparty will fail to meet its obligations following agreed terms. The goal of credit
risk management is to maximize a bank’s risk-adjusted rate of return by maintaining
credit risk exposure within acceptable parameters. Banks need to manage the credit
risk inherent in the entire portfolio as well as the risk in individual credits or
transactions. Banks should also consider the relationships between credit risk and
other risks. The effective management of credit risk is a critical component of a
comprehensive approach to risk management and essential to the long-term success
of any banking organization.
Accidents
Risks and accidents are sometimes being used interchangeably, but they are
different, though they complement each other. Accidents are reactive while risks are
preventive. The effects are well known in an accident. There is a possibility of shock
on the part of the injured, anger at the one in fault, and confusion on the thing that is
supposed to be done immediately after the accident. Accident management is
necessary to reduce the costs pertinent to the accident, to wit: damage to property,
rental costs, maximization of subrogation recovery.
To emphasize, the management of risk is preventive as it would like to limit the
occurrence of accidents (automotive-fleet.com). It pertains to the precautionary
measures that a manager should do to limit or avoid the accidents.
Under the law, the innkeepers, tavernkeepers, and proprietors of establishments are
liable for the presence of the following elements:
1. The innkeeper, tavernkeepers, and proprietor of establishments or his employee
violated a municipal ordinance or some general or police regulation;
2. A crime is committed in such inn, tavern or establishment;
3. The person criminally liable is insolvent.
In the second paragraph of Article 102, when all of the following elements are present,
the innkeeper is subsidiarily liable:
1. The guests have notified in advance the innkeeper or the person representing him
of the deposit of their goods within the inn.
2. The guests have followed the direction of the innkeeper or his representative
concerning the care and vigilance of their goods.
3. Robbery or theft took such goods of the guests lodging in therein.
It must be noted that even if the guests did not deposit their goods and a notice of
disclaimer of liability was posted in a hotel, it does not free the owner from secondary
liability. It is enough that the goods were stolen from the inn.
In the Inquirer section by Castillo (2011), it was alleged that a mass food poisoning
happenedpreparation measures. a 5-star hotel. Victims were participants of the convention
at Edsa Shangri-la,
of heart specialists from all over the country. He lamented that “It is quite discomforting
thought that the source of the problem has not been identified, yet there was no effort to
report it to the proper health authorities.”
There was also a report of food poisoning in the National Athletics Meet held at
Dumaguete City in 2013. A total of 158 athletes and coaches were hospitalized after they
allegedly suffered food and water poisoning before the official start of a national
competition. The athletes and coaches were brought to Negros Oriental Provincial
Hospital after they complained of fever, dizziness, headache diarrhea, and vomiting.
(Dacanay, 2013)
The said modes of transportation are not free to danger of meeting an accident
no matter how diligent the operators are because of the different perils attaching to it.
Notable land-sea-air transportation disasters based on https://www.rappler.
Com/world/ 46909- 2013- land are as follows:
“The MV Our Lady of Mt. Carmel sank in Masbate, Philippines last June 2013 and
cost the lives of two of the 57 documented passengers on the ship. At least 91 people
died on June 16, 2013 when the ferry St. Thomas Aquinas collided with cargo ship MV.
Sulpicio Express 7 while both vessels were traversing the sea off Talisay City in the
province of Cebu. Several more bodies were recovered which gave rise to at least 116
dead.”
“Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 became the world’s greatest aviation mystery
when it disappeared without a trace flying from Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia to Beijing,
China, in March 2014.” (https://www.thesun.co.uk/ news/2100795/flight-mh370-
malaysia-airlines-search-latest-news/)
Sinai said in his article that “In response to such terrorist threats, the hotel
industry around the world has beefed up its security departments, implementing a
range of security measures to protect guests at their properties, ranging from armed
guards to concrete barriers and metal detectors.”
Terrorism, according to Albu (2016), has become one of the more and more
active and threatening calamities that affect the international community. He
concluded that tourists avoid the tourist areas where terrorist events have occurred,
their confidence in the respective destination being very hard to recover. The attacks
had resulted in the strengthening of security sectors in the states affected, review of
domestic boarding policy, and the strict passenger’s control, even if the purpose of
travel is tourism.