Batch Code as an Indicator of Adverse Outcomes

By Craig Paardekooper

All the Pfizer batch codes were ordered alphabetically. For each Pfizer batch the number of adverse reports in VAERS
was divided by the size of the batch shipped in doses, in order to get adverse reactions per dose shipped. This is not
per dose used, but per dose shipped.

Here are the results

code adr size tox ordinal

Eh9899 2069 810225 25.53612 1
Ej1685 1679 773175 21.71565 2
EJ1686 1587 620100 25.59265 3
EK4176 1213 322725 37.58618 4
Ek5730 2512 875550 28.69054 5
EK9231 3443 1089075 31.61398 6
EL0140 1235 726375 17.00224 7
EL0142 1790 632775 28.2881 8
EL1283 2262 1159275 19.5122 9
EL1284 2300 1010295 22.76563 10
El324? 1 1121250 0.008919 11
EL3246 2164 995475 21.73837 12
EL3247 2506 1077375 23.26024 13
EL3248 1930 993525 19.42578 14
EL3249 1987 1121250 17.72129 15
EL3302 1475 1083225 13.61675 16
EL8982 1917 1274325 15.04326 17
EL9261 1782 1210950 14.71572 18
EL9262 1929 1303575 14.79777 19
EL9263 666 568425 11.71659 20
EL9263* 2 568425 0.035185 21
EL9264 1423 1269450 11.20958 22
EL9265 1186 961350 12.33682 23
EL9266 1132 1219725 9.280781 24
EL9267 1104 992550 11.12287 25
EL9269 1438 1374750 10.46008 26
EM9809 1173 1101750 10.6467 27
EM9810 1110 1014975 10.93623 28
EN???? 1 544050 0.018381 29
EN?208 1 3149640 0.003175 30
EN5318 2619 2644200 9.904697 31
EN6198 2253 2589210 8.701496 32
EN6199 2129 2696850 7.894395 33
EN6200 2337 2388555 9.784158 34
EN6201 2686 2620800 10.24878 35
EN6202 2279 2615145 8.714622 36
EN6203 2069 2218125 9.327698 37
EN6204 2057 2697240 7.626314 38
EN6205 2626 3224130 8.144833 39
EN6206 2224 2960100 7.51326 40
EN6207 2436 3334500 7.305443 41
EN6208 2537 3149640 8.054889 42
EN9581 702 544050 12.90323 43
EP6955 2460 3443310 7.144288 44
Ep7533 1996 2935530 6.799454 45
ep7534 2106 2930850 7.185629 46
ER???? 1 2764710 0.003617 47
ER2613 3177 2764710 11.49126 48
ER8727 2153 2950740 7.296475 49
ER8729 2213 3216330 6.880513 50
ER8730 2023 2896920 6.983279 51
ER8731 1653 3140280 5.263862 52
er8732 2554 3180060 8.031295 53
ER8733 2562 3335670 7.680616 54
Er8733** 1 3335670 0.002998 55
ER8734 1964 3017430 6.50885 56
ER8735 1876 2877030 6.520613 57
ER8736 1519 3140280 4.837148 58
ER8737 1941 3081780 6.298308 59
EW0150 2322 3539250 6.560712 60
EW0151 2248 2606760 8.623732 61
ew0153 1783 2808000 6.349715 62
Ew0158 1724 2645370 6.517047 63
EW0161 1579 3100500 5.092727 64
EW0162 1832 3060720 5.98552 65
EW0164 1753 2638350 6.644304 66
EW0165 277 611910 4.526809 67
ew0167 1415 3079440 4.594991 68
EW0168 1222 2946060 4.147913 69
EW0169 1645 2652390 6.201954 70
EW0170 1403 2953080 4.750972 71
EW0171 1706 3545100 4.812276 72
EW0172 2019 3182400 6.344268 73
EW0173 1806 3140280 5.75108 74
EW0175 1357 2638350 5.143366 75
EW0176 1417 3022110 4.688777 76
EW0177 1486 3189420 4.659154 77
EW0178 1267 2822040 4.48966 78
EW0179 1692 3837600 4.409006 79
EW0180 1417 3078270 4.603235 80
EW0181 1327 2984670 4.446053 81
ew0182 1330 2885220 4.6097 82
EW0183 1243 2965950 4.1909 83
EW0185 1437 3492450 4.11459 84
EW0186 1311 3033810 4.321299 85
EW0187 1442 3065400 4.704117 86
ew0191 1380 3281850 4.204945 87
EW0196 1384 2922660 4.735412 88
EW0198 1181 2373930 4.974873 89
ew0202 257 650520 3.950686 90
EW0217 1271 2857140 4.448504 91
 EY0584 374 413010 9.055471 92
FA6780 1437 3032550 4.738586 93
FA7484 883 2182500 4.045819 94
FA7485 1187 2993850 3.964794 95
FC3180 1195 3046950 3.921955 96
FC3181 1125 3129750 3.594536 97
FC3182 991 3254400 3.045108 98
FC3183 1191 3179250 3.746167 99
FC3184 1374 3209400 4.281174 100
FD0809 639 3357750 1.90306 101
FD0810 68 542400 1.253687 102
FD7218 180 2720250 0.661704 103
FD7220 1 10530 0.949668 104
FD8448 955 2771550 3.445725 105
FE3590 851 3309930 2.571051 106
FE3592 897 3085290 2.907344 107
FE3594 292 3548610 0.822857 108
FF2587 954 2889900 3.301152 109
FF2588 784 3015090 2.600254 110
FF2589 829 3045510 2.72204 111
ff2590 976 3213990 3.036724 112
FF2593 764 3338010 2.288789 113
FF8839 927 2783430 3.330423 114
FF8841 1230 2961270 4.153623 115
fg3527 654 3287700 1.989233 116
FH8020 1325 2868840 4.618591 117
FH8027 570 2992860 1.904533 118
FH8028 560 2944890 1.901599 119
fh8030 501 2996370 1.672023 120
fj1611 216 2757690 0.783264 121
FJ1614 1 2808000 0.003561 122
FJ1620 514 3252600 1.580274 123
FJ8757 342 3368430 1.01531 124
FJ8762 402 2989350 1.344774 125
FK5127 2006 10556600 1.900233 126
FK5618 1095 8891300 1.231541 127
FL0007 331 11777900 0.281035 128
fl3197 134 2928510 0.457571 129
fl3198 40 3086460 0.129598 130
fl3209 2 2812680 0.007111 131
FL8094 5 5447200 0.009179 132
FL8095 30 5468800 0.054857 133

This dataset was reduced to 127 records after removing records with batch codes containing * or ?
This is simply from an ordering of batch codes by alphabet from A to Z. Here is how the adverse reactions per dose
varied.

The chart shows a very clear pattern where number of reports of adverse events per doses shipped decreases
steadily over the whole of 2021
Using Machine Learning to Get a Read-out on Toxicity

Random Forest Regression

Accuracy = 86.46% (tested against 127 random samples)

Dataset = 127 batches

Predicted Adverse Events per 10,000 Doses

Ordinal Position = 0 Toxicity = 25.2 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses

Ordinal Position = 1 Toxicity = 25.2 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 2 Toxicity = 23.67 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 3 Toxicity = 25.6 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 4 Toxicity = 34.09 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 5 Toxicity = 31.13 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 6 Toxicity = 31.6 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 7 Toxicity = 30.47 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 8 Toxicity = 26.03 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 9 Toxicity = 22.53 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 10 Toxicity = 22.39 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 11 Toxicity = 22.26 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 12 Toxicity = 22.48 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 13 Toxicity = 20.33 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 14 Toxicity = 18.87 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 15 Toxicity = 16.89 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 16 Toxicity = 15.13 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 17 Toxicity = 14.76 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 18 Toxicity = 14.38 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 19 Toxicity = 12.41 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 20 Toxicity = 11.52 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 21 Toxicity = 11.76 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 22 Toxicity = 10.5 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 23 Toxicity = 10.02 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 24 Toxicity = 10.46 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 25 Toxicity = 10.61 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 26 Toxicity = 10.79 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 27 Toxicity = 10.14 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 28 Toxicity = 8.94 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 29 Toxicity = 8.33 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 30 Toxicity = 9.29 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 31 Toxicity = 9.85 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 32 Toxicity = 9.29 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 33 Toxicity = 9.21 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 34 Toxicity = 8.97 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 35 Toxicity = 8.06 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 36 Toxicity = 7.71 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 37 Toxicity = 7.59 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 38 Toxicity = 8.37 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 39 Toxicity = 11.16 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 40 Toxicity = 8.47 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 41 Toxicity = 7.53 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 42 Toxicity = 8.33 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 43 Toxicity = 10.02 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 44 Toxicity = 8.32 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 45 Toxicity = 7.57 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 46 Toxicity = 7.16 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 47 Toxicity = 7.75 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 48 Toxicity = 7.84 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 49 Toxicity = 7.67 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 50 Toxicity = 6.82 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 51 Toxicity = 6.4 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 52 Toxicity = 5.47 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 53 Toxicity = 6.03 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 54 Toxicity = 6.71 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 55 Toxicity = 7.73 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 56 Toxicity = 6.68 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 57 Toxicity = 6.1 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 58 Toxicity = 5.46 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 59 Toxicity = 5.71 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 60 Toxicity = 6.26 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 61 Toxicity = 5.07 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 62 Toxicity = 4.83 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 63 Toxicity = 5.04 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 64 Toxicity = 5.83 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 65 Toxicity = 5.14 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 66 Toxicity = 5.02 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 67 Toxicity = 5.88 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 68 Toxicity = 5.82 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 69 Toxicity = 5.25 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 70 Toxicity = 4.91 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 71 Toxicity = 4.84 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 72 Toxicity = 4.56 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 73 Toxicity = 4.52 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 74 Toxicity = 4.54 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 75 Toxicity = 4.56 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 76 Toxicity = 4.49 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 77 Toxicity = 4.28 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 78 Toxicity = 4.19 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 79 Toxicity = 4.31 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 80 Toxicity = 4.51 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 81 Toxicity = 4.34 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 82 Toxicity = 4.57 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 83 Toxicity = 4.51 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 84 Toxicity = 4.23 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 85 Toxicity = 4.39 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 86 Toxicity = 4.46 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 87 Toxicity = 4.48 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 88 Toxicity = 4.18 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 89 Toxicity = 3.98 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 90 Toxicity = 3.91 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 91 Toxicity = 3.63 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 92 Toxicity = 3.3 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 93 Toxicity = 3.61 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 94 Toxicity = 3.99 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 95 Toxicity = 2.42 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 96 Toxicity = 1.96 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 97 Toxicity = 1.92 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 98 Toxicity = 3.05 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 99 Toxicity = 3.05 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 100 Toxicity = 2.98 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 101 Toxicity = 3.14 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 102 Toxicity = 3.21 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 103 Toxicity = 2.93 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 104 Toxicity = 2.93 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 105 Toxicity = 2.98 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 106 Toxicity = 3.09 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 107 Toxicity = 3.19 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 108 Toxicity = 3.52 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 109 Toxicity = 3.82 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 110 Toxicity = 3.01 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 111 Toxicity = 3.64 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 112 Toxicity = 2.56 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 113 Toxicity = 1.95 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 114 Toxicity = 1.64 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 115 Toxicity = 0.96 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 116 Toxicity = 0.39 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 117 Toxicity = 1.16 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 118 Toxicity = 1.12 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 119 Toxicity = 1.24 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 120 Toxicity = 1.47 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 121 Toxicity = 1.26 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 122 Toxicity = 0.49 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 123 Toxicity = 0.36 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 124 Toxicity = 0.19 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 125 Toxicity = 0.06 Adverse reactions per 10,000 Doses
Ordinal Position = 126 Toxicity = 0.03 Adverse reactions per 10,000
Discussion - What Can Explain This ?

A Change in Uptake

1. Fewer people were taking the vaccines as time passed, so a larger % of batches would remained unused, and
consequently batches of equal size would register fewer adverse reports.

A Change in Recipient Demographic

1. The initial recipients were the aged, who would be more vulnerable to any physical stress or harm caused by
the jabs.
2. The initial recipients had more comorbidities, and/or were in care. So their physiology was already
compromised.

A Test to Determine if Change in Uptake is the Reason

To assess whether the trend is due to change in toxicity rather than change in uptake, the % of reports indicating a
serious outcome can be used. If this still falls over time, then that would indicate that a higher % of the early batches
were causing severe outcomes.

Here it can be seen that for the first 35 Pfizer batch codes in alpha numeric sequence, many of these batches have a
high % of reports of death, compared to subsequent Pfizer batches. The % of reports resulting in an outcome of
death is elevated in these early batches. All of them were above 1 % – most between 2% and 5%. When we look at
the subsequent batches between ordinal positions 35 and 52, we see that the % of reports resulting in death is
focused between 1% and 2 %. After batch 52, nearly all subsequent batches are focused in the 0 to 1 % range.

So there appears to be a significant decline in % of reports with an outcome of death between the batches from 0 to
80 in ordinal position.
Size of Batch and Toxicity

Here is a chart of the size of the batches vs their ordinal position in the alpha numeric batch code sequence –

As you can see, the early batches (batches 0 to 36), were smaller than subsequent batches. So as a general rule, we
can say that the smaller batches were more toxic because a higher % of reports for these batches eventuated in
death. Now here is a curious thing. In the subsequent batches you can see that most of the sizes are in the range of
about 3 million doses, but there are three batches that have a small size in the range of 600,000 each – these are
batch 40, batch 62 and batch 85.

Batch 40 also happens to have a high % (5 %) of reports resulting in death ! And both Batch 62, and batch 85 are
associated with peaks of death.

The other odd thing about these 3 small batches is that they were introduced periodically – every 22 or 23 batches.

Its possible that highly toxic batches were small, so that they could target small populations, whilst larger batches
were low toxicity, so that they would garner the support of the majority !

In the next chart you can see Toxicity plotted against batch size. Notice that the smaller batches form a distinct
cluster separated from the larger batches. Also notice that they have an elevated toxicity compared to the larger
batches. This toxicity also forms a distinct cluster – because it begins where the lower toxicity range of the larger
batches ends.
In the above chart, toxicity is measured by adverse reactions / batch size (doses shipped), where each dot is a batch.
The % of reports with hospitalization for each batch, where batches are ordered alpha numerically. This chart is very
similar to the chart for reports with death. Notice that in both cases the highest % of severe effects are occurring for
batches 15 to 40, and after 40 there is a steady decline.
The Life Threatening chart above shows a decline in life threatening conditions that parallels the decline in
hospitalizations and deaths. Note that there appears to be a higher line running parallel to the main decline, and this
higher line consists of batches 40, 62, 85, 97 – all of which are small batches interspersed amongst the large ones.
A Test to Determine if Change in Age of Recipients is the Reason

If the results are filtered for people of specific ages, and it is found that people of any chosen age still demonstrate a
higher % of serious outcomes for early batches, then this would show that the effect was independent of age of
recipients.

A Change in Toxicity

The vaccines became less toxic over time – due to

1. Improved formulation
2. Reduced dosages
3. Decay of harmful ingredients
Conclusion

As you can see from the results above, there is a steady and constant decline in reports of adverse reactions per
doses shipped for each batch when ordered alpha numerically.

Using the snake analogy, when bitten by a relatively harmless snake one would expect fewer occasions to visit a
hospital compared to when one is bitten by a snake with potent venom. So it is logical that a more toxic batch will
produce a higher percentage of reports where there is a severe outcome. When I looked at the % of report with an
outcome of –

1. Death or
2. Disability or
3. Hospitalization or
4. Life Threatening illness

in every case the initial batches generated a significantly higher % of reports where the outcomes was severe –
followed by a steady decline in severe outcomes over the subsequent large batches.

In conclusion, COVID-19 vaccine effects display large variability between batches. The product is therefore
inconsistent from one batch to another.

Further research is needed to determine the cause/s.

So much is Unknown

It should always be remembered that you have a fundamental legal right to refuse ANY medical intervention. This is a
legal and constitutional right, and cannot be superseded by ANY health regulation, pandemic treaty or any new laws
passed by government.

In a situation like this, were a new experimental gene therapy is being rolled out, with a mechanism that is known to
be harmful, then you have a right to say no. When so little is known it is not even possible to exercise informed
consent.