ps4 Econstat2024-1

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Economic Statistics Problem Set 4

Due June 9th, Friday, 23:59

Q1. A firm produces bulbs whose lifetimes are normally distributed with mean
. The firm randomly sampled 100 bulbs it produced to find that the sample
mean was 5,000 hours and the sample standard deviation was 70 hours.

Q1-1. Assuming that the population standard deviation of the bulb’s lifetime is
60 hours, determine a 95% confidence interval for .
Q1-2. Assuming that the population standard deviation is unknown, determine a
95% confidence interval for .
Q1-3. Assume that the population standard deviation is unknown. The firm
decided to sample 100 bulbs everyday to derive a 95% confidence interval for
the true mean lifetime. Among the 120 confidence intervals the firm will obtain
for the next four months, how many of them are expected to indeed contain ?

Q2. There are two stocks, A and B. The daily return of stock  is normally
distributed with mean  and standard deviation  ( A,B). A random sample
of size    leads to sample mean 
    and sample standard deviation

   . For stock B, 
    and     with    samples.

Q2-1. Perform a chi-sqaure test to decide whether  is greater than  at


the 5% significance level. What is the p-value given your sample?
Q2-2. Perform an F test to decide whether  is different from  at the 5%
significance level. What is the p-value given your samples?

Q3. (NW Exercise 12.91, p.583, modified) In a national poll, 525 out of 1,000
US adults favored Economic Stimulus Plan.

Q3-1. Perform a z test to decide whether more than a half of US adults favored
the plan at the 1% significance level. What is the p-value given your data?
Q3-2. Provide a 99% confidence interval for the population proportion favoring
the plan.
Q3-3. To halve the margin of error computed in Q3-2, how large a sample
would you need?

Useful tables:
(1) z-table: http://www.socr.ucla.edu/Applets.dir/Z-table.html
(2) t-table: http://www.socr.ucla.edu/Applets.dir/T-table.html
(3) -table: http://www.socr.ucla.edu/Applets.dir/ChiSquareTable.html
(4) F-table: http://www.socr.ucla.edu/Applets.dir/F_Table.html

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