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Late Corners System

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Late Corners System

The Corner Betting System: Late

Corners
Welcome to the 3rd betting system of this 10-part series. In this system, we will be
focusing on corners, specifically first-half asian corners. If you are unfamiliar with
corner markets, or how to find stats to take advantage of them, please visit our recent
academy article on betting on corners.

Whilst other articles in this series give you strict guidelines on the odds and markets to
bet on, this system will act as more of a guide on how to look for value whilst a game is
being played. As always, you will need to have a degree of control and responsibility.
We will be betting on late first-half corners using the Asian Corners market.

Navigation:

Donʼt Bet If…

Finding Leagues
Finding Teams
Important Stats
Placing Your Bets
System Summary

First, a piece of advice that follows on from our academy post. Know your teams and do
as much research as you possibly can. It goes without saying that betting blind, based
on little stats or on a “hunch” you have will leave you winning only if youʼre lucky. That
luck will eventually run out.

Knowing your teams is important, especially for corners. Of the thousands of teams on
FootyStats, there are those that will attack relentlessly, regardless of the scoreline.
Then, there are teams that will sit back as soon as they get that first goal and be content
with defending their lead, or sporadically hitting their opponents on the break. The way
teams play is important. A side that continues to attack despite taking the lead will
continue to get corners.

A side thatʼs currently behind, but the better side statistically, will also continue to press
and is likely to get more corners. These are key factors to keep in mind when placing
your bets, and itʼs also why this betting system will focus on in-play betting rather than
pre-match corner betting.

Donʼt Bet If…

Early Goal

As I mentioned previously. Goals change games, especially early goals. Tactics can o en
go out the window so if you have done your research before the game and had an
expectation coming into this, it might have changed dramatically. Teams will naturally
lower their tempo and attacking intent a er going in-front. Some teams wonʼt, but why
take that risk?

Lack of Knowledge

If youʼre looking at a fixture thatʼs starting soon or is currently in-play but you donʼt
know the teams, or the league, leave it. We are creatures of impulse and we love to
think that we know more than we should, but if thereʼs a gap in your knowledge either
fill it by doing your research or save your money. You canʼt lose it if you donʼt spend it.

Odds Donʼt Match Your Value

When youʼre doing your research pre-match or during the game, think about what odds
you would consider valuable. Why? Because you can be sure that the bookmakers have,
and they will rarely be the odds that you see when the game gets underway. If those
odds are not quite there yet, wait. This is where you exercise patience and discipline.

Early In The Season

Unless you know the team well enough, leave the fixture completely if the league
campaign is still getting underway. These rules are all about mitigating the risk you
take. Teams are still finding their way and we see plenty of upsets early in the season.
The same goes for pre-season friendlies, just leave them alone. Donʼt bet and you donʼt
lose.

Acting against impulse is like training a muscle. The more you do it, the better at flexing
it you will become. We have all placed bets that we later regretted, even if they won.
Sometimes the worst thing that can happen is that they win, justifying our poor betting
strategies.

Finding Leagues

I will start my research journey on the Corner Stats page, looking specifically at the
table towards the bottom of the page that contains the top competitions for the
number of corners awarded in the first-half of games. You can view the following stats:

+4.5 Corners %
+5.5 Corners %
+6.5 Corners %
Total Corners
AVG Corners

At the time of writing this, the top league for first-half corners is the 1 Deild in Iceland.
Iʼll open that league in a new tab, as well as a few others from this list and start to
explore the upcoming fixtures.

Finding Teams

From the individual league pages, we have a couple of useful options. First, we can sort
the table by the number of corners awarded per team. Using the 1 Deild as an example,
I can see that UMF Grindavík leads the charts with an average of 8.50 awarded per
game. Thatʼs pretty good.

Letʼs dig deeper. Head to “Detailed Stats” and then “Corner Stats”. You will find a table
like the one below.

Look for the following stats:

First-Half Corners
Second-Half Corners
Corners For
Corners Against
AVG Corner Stats

These stats are very useful and what do you know, it shows us that the majority of
Grindavíkʼs corners come in the second-half. This is why you should never base your
bets on a single stat or thesis.

Important Stats

Using the same tables, we can see how the corners awarded di ers when a team is
playing at home or away. I will typically go for teams towards the top of the table,
playing a side that have conceded an above average amount of corners. You donʼt
always need to go for the team rock bottom of the charts. In most cases, the stronger
side will be awarded corners regardless of the opponent, given they are not also a top
side.

Key Stats:

AVG First-Half Corners

Average Corners For
Average Corner Against (Opponent)
AVG Home Corners For
xG
AVG Goals Scored
AVG Possession

If the team doesnʼt score that many goals, donʼt worry. That can actually be a good sign.
Why? Because teams get more corners when they fail to score, as long as they are still
attempting to score they should be considered for you bets. Look for teams with xG
thatʼs higher than the AVG goals scored, and teams that have a decent amount of the
ball.

For more details on how to find specific teams for all corner markets, please visit our
recent academy post on betting on corners.

Placing Your Bets

The first thing to understand about betting in-play is that no matter how much research
you have done previously, games might not go the way you plan. Sometimes, the more
research you do, the more confident you become. With corners, goals change games.

With this in mind, I have one key rule that I follow when betting on this market: If the
team is winning, leave it.

This follows on from one of the aforementioned basic rules. If the team is going into ~30
minutes with the lead, leave this game. You might feel that because you did the
research you need to bet, but this is also part of the discipline training. You will need to
do a lot of this, as not every fixture can match the criteria required for this market.

Pro Tip: Try not to stay glued to bookmakers in-play screen, as youʼll only be tempted to
bet on something that hasnʼt passed your filter. You can set reminders on your phone.
You might think this is overkill, but I firmly believe that the amount of e ort and
preparation you put in will have a direct e ect on the output you get out. If you fail to
prepare, then prepare to fail. The harsh reality of betting.

The Market: First-Half Asian Corners

We will be betting on First-Half Asian Corners. This is a personal favourite market of

mine, so let me break it down. First, thereʼs less risk involved than other markets due to
your money being returned in some cases.

If UMF Grindavík is playing at home and there is currently just a single corner in the
game a er ~25-30 minutes, I would expect the First-Half Asian Corners market to be
~2.00 for 2+ First-Half Corners.

Possible Outcomes:

Corners at HT: 3+, Bet Wins.

Corners at HT 2, Push (Money Back)
Corners at HT 1, Bet Loses

You can see why people love this market. As soon as those odds hit, you have 15
minutes (or more) for either side to get a corner. The stats available on FootyStats, and
the research you have done will give you authentic confidence going into a market like
this and a er a while you will start to feel like you really do have a strategy when it
comes to betting on corners.

Hereʼs what you should be looking for when placing this bet:

~25-30 Mins
First-Half Asian Corners
Odds Usually ~2.00
0/1 Corners Currently

System Summary

I have avoided mentioning a required stake as I understand that everyone bets in

di erent ways. The key is just find a bankroll system that works for you. Some key rules
I personally follow include never betting all of your bankroll on a single bet. This is
painfully obvious, but also painfully familiar for far too many bettors. Another would be
to adopt a proper bankroll management technique. Personally, I bet 5% or 10% of my
bankroll on all bets, depending on the confidence and the odds available.

We are betting on:

First-Half Goals
~25-30 Mins
Strong Team vs Average / Poor Team
Strong Team Preferably at Home
Consistently Gets 1H Corners
0/1 Current Corners
Odds ~2.00
First-Half Asian Corners 2+

However you decide to progress, do so with real discipline and research. Treat betting
like a business and I believe you will be successful. I hope you enjoyed this betting
strategy. If you have any thoughts, feedback or would like to discuss betting on corners
further, please comment on Twitter.

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