Kaplanlearn - Key Concepts 14

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27/01/2023, 11:07 Kaplanlearn - Key Concepts

SCHWESERNOTES - BOOK 2

Key Concepts

LO 14.a
A continuous uniform distribution is one where the probability of X occurring in a
possible range is the length of the range relative to the total of all possible values.
Letting a and b be the lower and upper limit of the uniform distribution, respectively,
then for a ≤ x1 ≤ x2 ≤ b,

(x2 −x1 )
P (x1 ≤ X ≤ x2 ) =
(b−a)

The binomial distribution is a discrete probability distribution for a random variable, X,


that has one of two possible outcomes: success or failure. The probability of a specific
number of successes in n independent binomial trials is:
n! n−x
x
p (x) = P (X = x) = p (1 − p)
(n−x)!x!

where p = the probability of success in a given trial


The Poisson random variable, X, refers to a specific number of successes per unit. The
probability for obtaining X successes, given a Poisson distribution with parameter λ, is:
x −λ
λ e
P (X = x) =
x!

The normal probability distribution has the following characteristics:


The normal curve is symmetrical and bell-shaped with a single peak at the exact
center of the distribution.
Mean = median = mode, and all are in the exact center of the distribution.
The normal distribution can be completely defined by its mean and standard
deviation because the skew is always 0 and kurtosis is always 3.
A standard normal distribution is a normal distribution with a mean of 0 and a standard
deviation of 1. A normal random variable, x, can be normalized (changed to a standard
normal, z) with the transformation z = (x – mean of x) / standard deviation of x.

A lognormal distribution exists for random variable Y, when Y = eX, and X is normally
distributed.
The t-distribution is similar, but not identical, to the normal distribution in shape—it is
defined by the degrees of freedom and has fatter tails. The t-distribution is used to
construct confidence intervals for the population mean when the population variance is
not known.

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Degrees of freedom for the t-distribution is equal to n − 1; Student's t-distribution is


closer to the normal distribution when df is greater, and confidence intervals are
narrower when df is greater.
The chi-squared distribution is asymmetrical, bounded below by zero, and approaches
the normal distribution in shape as the degrees of freedom increase.
The F-distribution is right-skewed and is truncated at zero on the left-hand side. The
shape of the F-distribution is determined by two separate degrees of freedom.

LO 14.b
Mixture distributions combine the concepts of parametric and nonparametric
distributions. The component distributions used as inputs are parametric while the
weights of each distribution within the mixture are based on historical data, which is
nonparametric.

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