Stock Valuation Model
Stock Valuation Model
Stock Valuation Model
Mean
Current P/E NA
EV / EBITDA NA
EV / EBIT NA
EV / SALES NA
EV / (EBITDA - CAPEX) NA
P/B NA
g to formulas
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
NA NA NA NA
NA NA NA NA
NA NA NA NA
NA NA NA NA
NA NA NA NA
NA NA NA NA
NA NA NA NA
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
NA NA NA NA
NA NA NA NA
NA NA NA NA
NA NA NA NA
NA NA NA NA
NA NA NA NA
NA NA NA NA
WACC 9.01%
Assumption
Revenue Growth 23.42% 18.30%
COGS % of Rev 43.87%
Operating Exp % of Rev 29.98%
Depreciation Growth 6.08%
Current Assets Growth 9.15% 12.46%
Current Liabilities Grw 43.16% 30.62%
CAPEx Growth -6.33%
Terminal Growth Rate 2.80%
Period End Date 3/31/2017 3/31/2018 3/31/2019
Total Revenues 110855 136819 161857
Cost of Goods Sold 45583 59549 71896
Gross Profit 65272 77270 89961
Operating Expenses 36358 44675 54033
EBITDA 28914 32595 35928
Less: D&A 6899 9029 11651
EBIT 22015 23566 24277
Less: Income Tax 4623 4949 5098
EBIAT 17392 18617 19179
Add:D&A 6899 9029 11651
CFO 24291 27646 30830
$250.00
$200.00
$150.00
$100.00
$50.00
$0.00
DCF Base Case (+- 20) DCF Upside Case (+- 40) DCF Downside Case (+-10)
Other Charts
12%
12%
13% 63%
60,000.00 25.00%
2017; 21.43%
2020; 19.72% 2022; 17.19%
50,000.00
20.00%
2019; 15.56%
2018; 15.06%
40,000.00
15.00%
10.00%
20,000.00
5.00%
10,000.00
0.00 0.00%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
45,000.00 40.00%
40,000.00 35.00%
35,000.00
30.00%
30,000.00
25.00%
25,000.00
20.00%
20,000.00
15.00%
15,000.00
10.00%
10,000.00
5,000.00 5.00%
0.00 0.00%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
35,000.00
30,000.00
25,000.00
20,000.00
15,000.00
10,000.00
5,000.00
0.00
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
70,000.00
60,000.00
50,000.00
40,000.00
30,000.00
20,000.00
10,000.00
0.00
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
-10,000.00
-20,000.00
CapEx M&A
Cash investment in Security Share Repurchase
160,000.00
140,000.00
120,000.00
100,000.00
80,000.00
60,000.00
40,000.00
20,000.00
0.00
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
2018 2019
Revenue Growth % 23.42% 18.30%
45.00%
40.00%
35.00%
30.00%
25.00%
40.00%
35.00%
30.00%
25.00%
15.00%
2018; 23.42%
10.00% 2019; 18.30%
2020; 12.77%
5.00% 2022; 9.50%
0.00%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Sep-21 Dec-21
Q Revenues 65,118.00 75,325.00
Q Revenue Growth % 1.89% 15.67%
78,000.00
76,000.00
74,000.00
72,000.00
70,000.00
68,000.00
66,000.00
64,000.00
62,000.00
60,000.00
Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 May-22
1.00
0.92
36684.83
d Chart
Close
$132.71
$202.56
$78.02
$152.10
arts
Google Services
90%
25.00%
2022; 17.19%
20.00%
15.00%
21; 19.29%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
21 2022
40.00%
35.00%
30.00%
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
21 2022
xp % Margin
2020 2021 2022
22,281.00 24,640.00 30,273.00
2021 2022
2021 2022
hase
1 2022
5%
5%
2022; 9.50%
2022
20.00%
15.00%
10.00%
5.00%
0.00%
-5.00%
-10.00%
-15.00%
an-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22
309300.10161582
524650.960336159
-215350.858720338
-79602
187442.436715315
165807.17
2744773.34
10.00
0.42
1219967.79