What Is The Bitcoin Halving
What Is The Bitcoin Halving
What Is The Bitcoin Halving
In brief
The Bitcoin halving is an event where mining rewards are cut in half.
The event takes place every four years, according to pre-set rules in
Bitcoin's code.
Every four years, the amount of Bitcoin doled out to cryptocurrency miners
halves, in a process imaginatively known as the Bitcoin halving (or
halvening). Here’s why—and how—it works.
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Bitcoin was revolutionary in that it could, for the first time, make a digital
product scarce; there will only ever be 21 million Bitcoin.
The idea of limiting Bitcoin’s supply stands in marked opposition to how fiat
currencies such as the U.S. dollar work. Fiat currencies such as the U.S.
dollar were initially created with firm rules–to create one U.S. dollar, the
U.S. government needed to have a certain amount of gold in their reserves.
This was known as the gold standard.
Satoshi Nakamoto believed that this devaluation of fiat money could have
disastrous effects, and so, with code, prevented any single party from being
able to print more Bitcoin.
However, about every four years, the reward for mining is halved–hence
“the halving.” Each halving reduces the rate of new Bitcoin entering into the
supply, until no more new Bitcoin is created at all in the year 2140.
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A brief history
2009 – Bitcoin mining rewards start at 50 BTC per block
2012 – The first Bitcoin halving reduces mining rewards to 25 BTC
2016 – In the second halving, mining rewards go down to 12.5 BTC
2020 – In the third halving, mining rewards drop to 6.25 BTC
2140 – The 64th and last halving occurs and no new Bitcoin will ever
be created
By writing a total supply and halving event into the Bitcoin code, the
monetary system of Bitcoin is essentially set in stone and practically
impossible to change. This “hard cap” means Bitcoin is a kind of “hard
money” like gold, which has a total supply that is also practically impossible
to change.
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Since the halving reduces mining rewards, the incentive for miners to work
on the Bitcoin network is also reduced over time, leading to fewer miners
and less security for the network.
For this reason, once the last Bitcoin is mined, miners will (assuming there
haven’t been any major changes to the Bitcoin protocol) receive rewards in
the form of transaction fees for maintaining the Bitcoin network.
It’s also possible that the reward mechanism for Bitcoin could change before
the final block is mined. Bitcoin currently runs on a proof of work consensus
mechanism, which has attracted criticism from the likes of Tesla CEO Elon
Musk for its high energy consumption and carbon footprint.
It’s possible that Bitcoin could follow suit. In an interview originally shot for
German TV show Galileo, Niklas Nikolajsen, the founder of Swiss crypto
broker Bitcoin Suisse, was quoted as saying "I’m sure, once *proof of stake+
technology is proven, that Bitcoin will adapt to it as well."
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The halving’s impact on the price of Bitcoin
The debate over whether Bitcoin halvings impact on the cryptocurrency’s
price, or whether they’re already “priced in”, continues to rage.
According to the laws of supply and demand, the dwindling Bitcoin supply
should increase demand for Bitcoin, and would presumably push up prices.
One theory, known as the stock-to-flow model, calculates a ratio based on
the current supply of Bitcoin and how much is entering circulation, with
each halving (unsurprisingly) impacting on that ratio. However, others have
disputed the underlying assumptions upon which the theory is based.
At the time of the June 2016 halving, the price of Bitcoin had was around
$660; following the halving, Bitcoin continued to trade horizontally until the
end of the month, before crashing to as low as $533 in August. But following
the crash, Bitcoin’s price shot up to its then all-time high of over $20,000 by
the end of the year, an increase of 2,916%.
Similarly, in the wake of the 2020 halving, Bitcoin’s price increased from just
over $9,000 to over $27,000 by the end of the year—but in the two months
following the halving the price failed to break $10,000. It’s also important to
note that other factors also influenced Bitcoin’s 2020 bull run, most notably
growing institutional investment from the likes of MicroStrategy, and
PayPal’s decision to enable its users to buy and hold Bitcoin.
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