EDA Probability Theory I Quiz

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ENGINEERING DATA ANALYSIS

QUIZ NO. 3 SET A (MIDTERMS)

Name: ___________________________________ Date: __________________

Course Code/Section: _______________________ Score: _________________

DIRECTIONS: scrapped. Furthermore, assume that of those valves that are


reground, 90% meet the specification, and 10% are scrapped.
• STRICTLY NO ERASURES ON THE FINAL ANSWERS. USE BLACK PEN OR (a) Given that a valve is not reground, what is the probability
BLUE PEN ONLY ON THE FINAL ANSWERS. that it is scrapped?
• FINAL ANSWERS MUST BE EXPRESS IN 4 DECIMAL PLACES AND MUST (b) Given that a valve is scrapped, what is the probability
BE BOXED.
that it was ground twice?
• ROUNDING OFF SHOULD ONLY BE DONE IN THE FINAL ANSWER.
• ANSWERS MUST BE PUT IN THE SPACE PROVIDED.
(c) Given that a valve meets the specification (after either
• NO CREDIT POINTS: NO SOLUTION the first or second grind), what is the probability that it
• ANY FORM OF CHEATING WILL GET A 0% MARK ON THIS QUIZ. was ground twice?
(d) Given that a valve meets the specification, what is the
I. Let S be the event that a randomly selected college student probability that it was ground only once?
has taken a statistics course, and let C be the event that the
same student has taken a chemistry course. Suppose P(S) = VIII. A population of 600 semiconductor wafers contains wafers
0.4, P(C) = 0.3, and P(S ∩ C) = 0.2. from three lots. The wafers are categorized by lot and by
(a) Find the probability that a student has taken statistics, whether they conform to a thickness specification. The
chemistry, or both. following table presents the number of wafers in each
category. A wafer is chosen at random from the population.
(b) Find the probability that a student has taken neither
statistics nor chemistry. Lot Conforming Nonconforming
(c) Find the probability that a student has taken statistics A 88 12
but not chemistry. B 165 35
C 260 40
II. Six hundred paving stones were examined for cracks, and 15 (a) If the wafer is conforming, what is the probability that it
were found to be cracked. The same 600 stones were then is not from Lot C?
examined for discoloration, and 27 were found to be (b) If the wafer is not from Lot C, what is the probability that
discolored. A total of 562 stones were neither cracked nor it is conforming?
discolored. One of the 600 stones is selected at random.
(a) Find the probability that it is cracked, discolored, or both. IX. A certain delivery service offers both express and standard
(b) Find the probability that it is both cracked and delivery. Seventy-five percent of parcels are sent by standard
discolored. delivery, and 25% are sent by express. Of those sent standard,
(c) Find the probability that it is cracked but not discolored. 80% arrive the next day, and of those sent express, 95% arrive
the next day. A record of a parcel delivery is chosen at random
III. A system contains two components, A and B. The system will from the company’s files.
function only if both components function. The probability (a) What is the probability that the parcel was shipped
that A functions is 0.98, the probability that B functions is express and arrived the next day?
0.95, and the probability that either A or B functions is 0.99. (b) What is the probability that it arrived the next day?
What is the probability that the system functions? (c) Given that the package arrived the next day, what is the
probability that it was sent express?
IV. A test consists of 15 questions. Ten are true-false questions,
and five are multiple-choice questions that have four choices X. A lot of 10 components contains 3 that are defective. Two
each. A student must select an answer for each question. In components are drawn at random and tested. Let A be the
how many ways can this be done? event that the first component drawn is defective, and let B
be the event that the second component drawn is defective.
V. A computer password consists of eight characters. (a) Find P(A).
(a) How many different passwords are possible if each (b) Find P(B|A).
character may be any lowercase letter or digit? (c) Find P(Ac ∩ B).
(b) How many different passwords are possible if each (d) Find P(B).
character may be any lowercase letter or digit, and at
least one character must be a digit? Answers:
(c) A computer system requires that passwords contain at
least one digit. If eight characters are generated at I. (a) 0 5 .

VII. (b) 0 12 .

random, and each is equally likely to be any of the 26 I. (b) 0 5 .

VII. (c) 0 2015 -

letters or 10 digits, what is the probability that a valid


I. (c) 0 2 .
VII. (d) 0 7955 .

password will be generated?


II. (a) 0 0633 .

VIII. (a) 0 +432 .

VI. A drawer contains 6 red socks, 4 green socks, and 2 black II. (b) 0 00671

VIII. (b) 0 8433 .

socks. Two socks are chosen at random. What is the II. (c) 0 0183.

IX. (a) 0 2375


.

probability that they match? III. 0 97


.

IX. (b) 0 8375


.

IV. 10+ 8576 IX. (c) 0 2836 .

VII. In the process of producing engine valves, the valves are


subjected to a first grind. Valves whose thicknesses are within V. (a) 2 8211 x /012 .

X. (a) 0-3000
the specification are ready for installation. Those valves V. (b) 2 6123x1012 . X. (b) 0 2222
.

whose thicknesses are above the specification are reground, V. (c) 0 9260 .

X. (c) 0 2333
.

while those whose thicknesses are below the specification VI. 0 3333.

X. (d) 0 3006
-

are scrapped. Assume that after the first grind, 70% of the
valves meet the specification, 20% are reground, and 10% are
VII. (a) 0 8 .
ENGINEERING DATA ANALYSIS
QUIZ NO. 3 SET B (MIDTERMS)

Name: ___________________________________ Date: __________________

Course Code/Section: _______________________ Score: _________________

DIRECTIONS:
(d) Given that the student plays club sports, what is the
• STRICTLY NO ERASURES ON THE FINAL ANSWERS. USE BLACK PEN OR
probability that the student is not majoring in
BLUE PEN ONLY ON THE FINAL ANSWERS.
• FINAL ANSWERS MUST BE EXPRESS IN 4 DECIMAL PLACES AND MUST
engineering?
BE BOXED.
• ROUNDING OFF SHOULD ONLY BE DONE IN THE FINAL ANSWER. VIII. A population of 600 semiconductor wafers contains wafers
• ANSWERS MUST BE PUT IN THE SPACE PROVIDED. from three lots. The wafers are categorized by lot and by
• NO CREDIT POINTS: NO SOLUTION whether they conform to a thickness specification. The
• ANY FORM OF CHEATING WILL GET A 0% MARK ON THIS QUIZ. following table presents the number of wafers in each
category. A wafer is chosen at random from the population.
I. Let V be the event that a computer contains a virus, and let
Lot Conforming Nonconforming
W be the event that a computer contains a worm. Suppose
A 88 12
P(V) = 0.15, P(W) = 0.05, and P(V ∪ W) = 0.17.
B 165 35
(a) Find the probability that the computer contains both a
C 260 40
virus and a worm.
(a) If the wafer is from Lot A, what is the probability that it
(b) Find the probability that the computer contains neither
is conforming?
a virus nor a worm.
(b) If the wafer is conforming, what is the probability that it
(c) Find the probability that the computer contains a virus
is from Lot A?
but not a worm.
IX. Items are inspected for flaws by two quality inspectors. If a
II. All the fourth-graders in a certain elementary school took a
flaw is present, it will be detected by the first inspector with
standardized test. A total of 85% of the students were found
probability 0.9, and by the second inspector with probability
to be proficient in reading, 78% were found to be proficient
0.7. Assume the inspectors function independently. If an item
in mathematics, and 65% were found to be proficient in both
has a flaw, what is the probability that it will be found by both
reading and mathematics. A student is chosen at random.
inspectors?
(a) What is the probability that the student is proficient in
(a) If an item has a flaw, what is the probability that it will be
mathematics but not in reading?
found by at least one of the two inspectors?
(b) What is the probability that the student is proficient in
(b) Assume that the second inspector examines only those
reading but not in mathematics?
items that have been passed by the first inspector.
(c) What is the probability that the student is proficient in
(c) If an item has a flaw, what is the probability that the
neither reading nor mathematics?
second inspector will find it?
III. A system contains two components, A and B. The system will
X. A lot of 1000 components contains 300 that are defective.
function so long as either A or B functions. The probability
Two components are drawn at random and tested. Let A be
that A functions is 0.95, the probability that B functions is
the event that the first component drawn is defective, and let
0.90, and the probability that both function is 0.88. What is
B be the event that the second component drawn is defective.
the probability that the system functions?
(a) Find P(A).
(b) Find P(B|A).
IV. A college math department consisting of 10 faculty members
(c) Find P(Ac ∩ B).
must choose a department head, an assistant department
head, and a faculty senate representative. In how many ways (d) Find P(B).
can this be done?
Answers:
V. License plates in a certain state consist of three letters
followed by three digits. I. (a) 0 03 .

VII. (b) 0 5800 .

(a) How many different license plates can be made? I. (b) 0 83 .

VII. (c) 0 6467 .

(b) How many license plates are there that contain neither I. (c) 0 12 .

VII. (d) 0 5000 .

the letter “Q” nor the digit “9”?


(c) A license plate is drawn at random. What is the
II. (a) 0 13 .

VIII. (a) 6 88 .

probability that it contains neither the letter “Q” nor the II. (b) 8 20 .

VIII. (b) 0 1715 .

digit “9”? II. (c) 0 02 .

IX. (a) 0 63 .

III. 0 97.

IX. (b) 0 97
S .

VI. One drawer in a dresser contains 8 blue socks and 6 white


socks. A second drawer contains 4 blue socks and 2 white IV. 728 IX. (c) 0 07 .

socks. One sock is chosen from each drawer. What is the V. (a) 17576008 X. (a) 0 3 .

probability that they match?


V. (b) 11390625 X. (b) 8 2993
.

VII. At a certain college, 30% of the students major in engineering, V. (c) 0 6181 .

X. (c) 0-2102
20% play club sports, and 10% both major in engineering and VI. 0 5238
.

X. (d) 0 3 .

play club sports. A student is selected at random. VII. (a) 0 3333 .

(a) Given that the student is majoring in engineering, what


is the probability that the student plays club sports?
(b) Given that the student plays club sports, what is the
probability that the student is majoring in engineering?
(c) Given that the student is majoring in engineering, what
is the probability that the student does not play club
sports?

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