Central Limit Theorem

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The distribution of SAMPLE MEAN

Case 1: Normal Population Distribution


Let X1, X2, X3 ….., Xn be a random sample from a normal distribution
with mean µ and standard deviation σ. Then for any n, X̅ is normally
distributed (with mean µ and standard deviation σ/√ n ).
i.e X̅ ̴ N( µ, σ/√ n )
Similarly T = X1 + X2 + …. + Xn is also normally distributed with mean
nµ and standard deviation √ nσ.
i.e T ̴ N( nµ, √ nσ)
Ques 1. The lives of a certain brand of batteries are known to be normally
distributed with a mean of 415 hours and a standard deviation of 20 hours.
Calculate the probability that :
(a) A randomly selected battery will have a life of 412 hours or more.
(b) A random sample of 10 batteries will have a mean life of 412 hours or
greater.
(c) A sample of 100 batteries selected randomly will have a mean life of
atleast 412 hours.
Solution: Mean of X = 415
Std deviation of X = 20
a) X = Life of a battery
We have to obtain P(X> 412). Converting X to standard normal (z)
Z = (X - µ)/σ
For x= 412, Z= (412-415)/20
= -0.15
P(z> -0.15) = 0.5 + 0.0596 = 0.5596 (using the normal table)

b)
X̅ is normally distributed with mean 415 and standard deviation (20/√ 10)
= 6.32
X̅ is normally distributed
Now we have to find out, P(X̅ > 412) . Converting X̅ into standard normal,
Z = (412-415)/6.32 = -0.47
P(z > -0.47) = 0.5 + 0.1808 = 0.6808 (using the normal table)

Case 2: Central limit theorem


Let X1, X2, X3, …. Xn be a random sample from a distribution with
mean µ and standard deviation σ. Then if n is sufficiently large, X̅
(sample mean) has approximately a normal distribution with mean
as µ and standard deviation as (σ/√ n).
Similarly, T = X1 + X2 + ……+ Xn will be approximately normally
distributed with mean nµ and standard deviation√ nσ.
Rule of thumb : If n>30 we apply CLT

Ques 2. Based on CLT : A random sample of 100 discs is taken from a


production line which produces discs having mean = 120 gm and standard
deviation = 16 gm. Find the probability that the sample mean will be
A) Greater than 124 gm
B) Between 118 and 121.6 gm

Solution: X̅ approximately follows normal distribution with mean = 120 gm


and standard deviation = 1.6 gm by CLT ,since n is large enough.
(a) We have to find P(X̅ >124) . Converting X̅ into standard normal,
z = (124 – 120)/ 1.6 = 2.5
P(z > 2.5) = 0.5 – 0.4938 = 0.0062 (using the normal table)
(b) We have to calculate P(118< X̅ < 121.6). Thus,
Z1 = (118-120)/1.6 = -1.25
Z2 = (121.6-120)/1.6 = 1
From the normal area table, we find the area between z = -1.25 and z = 1.
P(-1.25<z<1) = 0.3944 + 0.3413
= 0.7357 (using the normal table)

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