Unit 2 Planning
Unit 2 Planning
Unit 2 Planning
PLANNING
DEFINITION
Nature of Planning
1. Planning is goal-oriented: Every plan must contribute in some positive way towards the
accomplishment of group objectives. Planning has no meaning without being related to goals.
2. Primacy of Planning: Planning is the first of the managerial functions. It precedes all other
management functions.
4. Efficiency, Economy and Accuracy: Efficiency of plan is measured by its contribution to the
objectives as economically as possible. Planning also focuses on accurate forecasts.
5. Co-ordination: Planning co-ordinates the what, who, how, where and why of planning.
Without co-ordination of all activities, we cannot have united efforts.
6. Limiting Factors: A planner must recognize the limiting factors (money, manpower etc) and
formulate plans in the light of these critical factors.
8. Planning is an intellectual process: The quality of planning will vary according to the
quality of the mind of the manager.
Purpose of Planning
As a managerial function planning is important due to the following reasons:-
2. To offset uncertainty and change: Future is always full of uncertainties and changes.
Planning foresees the future and makes the necessary provisions for it.
3. To secure economy in operation: Planning involves, the selection of most profitable course
of action that would lead to the best result at the minimum costs.
4. To help in co-ordination: Co-ordination is, indeed, the essence of management, the planning
is the base of it. Without planning it is not possible to co-ordinate the different activities of an
organization.
Features of Planning
• It is an intellectual process
• It is a continuous process
• It is a pervasive function
Classification of Planning
• Strategic Planning
• Tactical Planning
– It involves conversion of detailed and specific plans into detailed and specific
action plans.
– It is the blue print for current action and it supports the strategic plans.
a) Perception of Opportunities:
Although preceding actual planning and therefore not strictly a part of the planning
process, awareness of an opportunity is the real starting point for planning. It includes a
preliminary look at possible future opportunities and the ability to see them clearly and
completely, knowledge of where we stand in the light of our strengths and weaknesses, an
understanding of why we wish to solve uncertainties, and a vision of what we expect to gain.
Setting realistic objectives depends on this awareness. Planning requires realistic diagnosis of the
opportunity situation.
b) Establishing Objectives:
The first step in planning itself is to establish objectives for the entire enterprise and then
for each subordinate unit. Objectives specifying the results expected indicate the end points of
what is to be done, where the primary emphasis is to be placed, and what is to be accomplished
by the network of strategies, policies, procedures, rules, budgets and programs.
Enterprise objectives should give direction to the nature of all major plans which, by
reflecting these objectives, define the objectives of major departments. Major department
objectives, in turn, control the objectives of subordinate departments, and so on down the line.
The objectives of lesser departments will be better framed, however, if subdivision managers
understand the overall enterprise objectives and the implied derivative goals and if they are given
an opportunity to contribute their ideas to them and to the setting of their own goals.
Another logical step in planning is to establish, obtain agreement to utilize and disseminate
critical planning premises. These are forecast data of a factual nature, applicable basic policies,
and existing company plans. Premises, then, are planning assumptions – in other words, the
expected environment of plans in operation. This step leads to one of the major principles of
planning.
The more individuals charged with planning understand and agree to utilize consistent planning
premises, the more coordinated enterprise planning will be.
Planning premises include far more than the usual basic forecasts of population, prices, costs,
production, markets, and similar matters.
Because the future environment of plans is so complex, it would not be profitable or realistic to
make assumptions about every detail of the future environment of a plan.
d) Identification of alternatives:
Once the organizational objectives have been clearly stated and the planning premises
have been developed, the manager should list as many available alternatives as possible for
reaching those objectives.
The focus of this step is to search for and examine alternative courses of action, especially those
not immediately apparent. There is seldom a plan for which reasonable alternatives do not exist,
and quite often an alternative that is not obvious proves to be the best.
The more common problem is not finding alternatives, but reducing the number of alternatives
so that the most promising may be analyzed. Even with mathematical techniques and the
computer, there is a limit to the number of alternatives that may be examined. It is therefore
usually necessary for the planner to reduce by preliminary examination the number of
e) Evaluation of alternatives
Having sought out alternative courses and examined their strong and weak points, the
following step is to evaluate them by weighing the various factors in the light of premises and
goals. One course may appear to be the most profitable but require a large cash outlay and a slow
payback; another may be less profitable but involve less risk; still another may better suit the
company in long–range objectives.
If the only objective were to examine profits in a certain business immediately, if the future
were not uncertain, if cash position and capital availability were not worrisome, and if most
factors could be reduced to definite data, this evaluation should be relatively easy. But typical
planning is replete with uncertainties, problems of capital shortages, and intangible factors, and
so evaluation is usually very difficult, even with relatively simple problems. A company may
wish to enter a new product line primarily for purposes of prestige; the forecast of expected
results may show a clear financial loss, but the question is still open as to whether the loss is
worth the gain.
After decisions are made and plans are set, the final step to give them meaning is to rubberize
them by converting them to budgets. The overall budgets of an enterprise represent the sum total
of income and expenses with resultant profit or surplus and budgets of major balance– sheet
items such as cash and capital expenditures. Each department or program of a business or other
enterprise can have its own budgets, usually of expenses and capital expenditures, which tie into
the overall budget.
If this process is done well, budgets become a means of adding together the various plans and
also important standards against which planning progress can be measured.
Once plans that furnish the organization with both long-range and short-range direction have
been developed, they must be implemented. Obviously, the organization can not directly benefit
from planning process until this step is performed.
In the process of planning, several plans are prepared which are known as components of
planning.
a) Strategic plans
b) Tactical plans
c) Operational plans
Operational plans lead to the achievement of tactical plans, which in turn lead to the attainment
of strategic plans. In addition to these three types of plans, managers should also develop a
contingency plan in case their original plans fail.
a) Strategic plans:
A strategic plan is an outline of steps designed with the goals of the entire organization as a
whole in mind, rather than with the goals of specific divisions or departments. It is further
classified as
i) Mission:
. The mission is a statement that reflects the basic purpose and focus of the organization which
normally remain unchanged. The mission of the company is the answer of the question : why
does the organization exists?
Properly crafted mission statements serve as filters to separate what is important from what is
not, clearly state which markets will be served and how, and communicate a sense of intended
direction to the entire organization.
Mission of Ford: “we are a global, diverse family with a proud inheritance, providing exceptional
products and services”.
Both goal and objective can be defined as statements that reflect the end towards which the
organization is aiming to achieve. However, there are significant differences between the two. A
goal is an abstract and general umbrella statement, under which specific objectives can be
clustered. Objectives are statements that describe—in precise, measurable, and obtainable terms
which reflect the desired organization’s outcomes.
iii) Strategies:
Strategy is the determination of the basic long term objectives of an organization and the
adoption of action and collection of action and allocation of resources necessary to achieve these
goals.
Strategic planning begins with an organization's mission. Strategic plans look ahead over the
next two, three, five, or even more years to move the organization from where it currently is to
where it wants to be. Requiring multilevel involvement, these plans demand harmony among all
levels of management within the organization. Top-level management develops the directional
objectives for the entire organization, while lower levels of management develop compatible
objectives and plans to achieve them. Top management's strategic plan for the entire organization
becomes the framework and sets dimensions for the lower level planning.
b) Tactical plans:
A tactical plan is concerned with what the lower level units within each division must do,
how they must do it, and who is in charge at each level. Tactics are the means needed to activate
a strategy and make it work.
Tactical plans are concerned with shorter time frames and narrower scopes than are strategic
plans. These plans usually span one year or less because they are considered short-term goals.
Long-term goals, on the other hand, can take several years or more to accomplish. Normally, it
is the middle manager's responsibility to take the broad strategic plan and identify specific
tactical actions.
c) Operational plans
The specific results expected from departments, work groups, and individuals are the operational
goals. These goals are precise and measurable. “Process 150 sales applications each week” or
“Publish 20 books this quarter” are examples of operational goals.
An operational plan is one that a manager uses to accomplish his or her job responsibilities.
Supervisors, team leaders, and facilitators develop operational plans to support tactical plans (see
the next section). Operational plans can be a single-use plan or a standing plan.
i) Single-use plans apply to activities that do not recur or repeat. A one-time occurrence,
such as a special sales program, is a single-use plan because it deals with the who, what,
where, how, and how much of an activity.
¬ Budget: A budget predicts sources and amounts of income and how much they are
ii) Standing plans are usually made once and retain their value over a period of years
while undergoing periodic revisions and updates. The following are examples of ongoing
plans:
¬ Policy: A policy provides a broad guideline for managers to follow when dealing
with important areas of decision making. Policies are general statements that explain
how a manager should attempt to handle routine management responsibilities.
Typical human resources policies, for example, address such matters as employee
hiring, terminations, performance appraisals, pay increases, and discipline.
¬ Rule: A rule is an explicit statement that tells an employee what he or she can and
cannot do. Rules are “do” and “don't” statements put into place to promote the safety
of employees and the uniform treatment and behavior of employees. For example,
rules about tardiness and absenteeism permit supervisors to make discipline decisions
rapidly and with a high degree of fairness.
d) Contingency plans
Contingency planning involves identifying alternative courses of action that can be implemented
if and when the original plan proves inadequate because of changing circumstances.
Keep in mind that events beyond a manager's control may cause even the most carefully
prepared alternative future scenarios to go awry. Unexpected problems and events frequently
occur. When they do, managers may need to change their plans. Anticipating change during the
planning process is best in case things don't go as expected. Management can then develop
alternatives to the existing plan and ready them for use when and if circumstances make these
alternatives appropriate.
2.4 OBJECTIVES
Objectives may be defined as the goals which an organisation tries to achieve. Objectives
are described as the end- points of planning. According to Koontz and O'Donnell, "an objective
is a term commonly used to indicate the end point of a management programme." Objectives
constitute the purpose of the enterprise and without them no intelligent planning can take place.
Objectives are, therefore, the ends towards which the activities of the enterprise are aimed. They
are present not only the end-point of planning but also the end towards which organizing,
directing and controlling are aimed. Objectives provide direction to various activities. They also
serve as the benchmark of measuring the efficiency and effectiveness of the enterprise.
Objectives make every human activity purposeful. Planning has no meaning if it is not related to
certain objectives.
Features of Objectives
• A clearly defined objective provides the clear direction for managerial effort.
Advantages of Objectives
• Objectives provide standards which aid in the control of human efforts in an organization.
• Objectives serve to identify the organization and to link it to the groups upon which its
existence depends.
• Objectives contribute to the management process: they influence the purpose of the
organization, policies, personnel, leadership as well as managerial control.
Objectives are the keystone of management planning. It is the most important task of
management. Objectives are required to be set in every area which directly and vitally effects the
survival and prosperity of the business. In the setting of objectives, the following points should
be borne in mind.
• Objectives are required to be set by management in every area which directly and vitally
affects the survival and prosperity of the business.
• While setting the objectives, the past performance must be reviewed, since past
performance indicates what the organization will be able to accomplish in future.
• The objectives should be set in realistic terms i.e., the objectives to be set should be
reasonable and capable of attainment.
MBO was first popularized by Peter Drucker in 1954 in his book 'the practice of
Management’. It is a process of agreeing within an organization so that management and
employees buy into the objectives and understand what they are. It has a precise and written
description objectives ahead, timelines for their motoring and achievement.
The employees and manager agree to what the employee will attempt to achieve in a period
ahead and the employee will accept and buy into the objectives.
Definition
“MBO is a process whereby the superior and the mangers of an organization jointly identify its
common goals, define each individual’s major area of responsibility in terms of results expected
of him, and use these measures as guides for operating the unit and assessing the contribution of
each of its members.”
Features of MBO
1. MBO is concerned with goal setting and planning for individual managers and their units.
2. The essence of MBO is a process of joint goal setting between a supervisor and a
subordinate.
3. Managers work with their subordinates to establish the performance goals that are
consistent with their higher organizational objectives.
5. MBO facilitates control through the periodic development and subsequent evaluation of
individual goals and plans.
Steps in MBO:
1) Establishing a clear and precisely defined statement of objectives for the employee
1) Setting objectives:
For Management by Objectives (MBO) to be effective, individual managers must understand the
specific objectives of their job and how those objectives fit in with the overall company
objectives set by the board of directors.
The managers of the various units or sub-units, or sections of an organization should know not
only the objectives of their unit but should also actively participate in setting these objectives and
make responsibility for them.
Management by Objective (MBO) systems, objectives are written down for each level of the
organization, and individuals are given specific aims and targets.
Managers need to identify and set objectives both for themselves, their units, and their
organizations.
Actions plans specify the actions needed to address each of the top organizational issues and to
reach each of the associated goals, who will complete each action and according to what
timeline. An overall, top-level action plan that depicts how each strategic goal will be reached is
developed by the top level management. The format of the action plan depends on the objective
of the organization.
3) Reviewing Progress:
Performance is measured in terms of results. Job performance is the net effect of an employee's
effort as modified by abilities, role perceptions and results produced. Effort refers to the amount
of energy an employee uses in performing a job. Abilities are personal characteristics used in
performing a job and usually do not fluctuate widely over short periods of time. Role perception
refers to the direction in which employees believe they should channel their efforts on their jobs,
and they are defined by the activities and behaviors they believe are necessary.
4) Performance appraisal:
Performance appraisals communicate to employees how they are performing their jobs, and they
establish a plan for improvement. Performance appraisals are extremely important to both
employee and employer, as they are often used to provide predictive information related to
possible promotion. Appraisals can also provide input for determining both individual and
organizational training and development needs. Performance appraisals encourage performance
improvement. Feedback on behavior, attitude, skill or knowledge clarifies for employees the job
expectations their managers hold for them. In order to be effective, performance appraisals must
be supported by documentation and management commitment.
Advantages
• Motivation – Involving employees in the whole process of goal setting and increasing
employee empowerment. This increases employee job satisfaction and commitment.
• Clarity of goals
• Subordinates have a higher commitment to objectives they set themselves than those imposed
on them by another person.
• Managers can ensure that objectives of the subordinates are linked to the organization's
objectives.
Limitations
There are several limitations to the assumptive base underlying the impact of managing by
objectives, including:
• It over-emphasizes the setting of goals over the working of a plan as a driver of outcomes.
• It underemphasizes the importance of the environment or context in which the goals are set.
That context includes everything from the availability and quality of resources, to relative
buy-in by leadership and stake-holders.
• Companies evaluated their employees by comparing them with the "ideal" employee. Trait
appraisal only looks at what employees should be, not at what they should do.
When this approach is not properly set, agreed and managed by organizations, self-centered
employees might be prone to distort results, falsely representing achievement of targets that were
set in a short-term, narrow fashion. In this case, managing by objectives would be
counterproductive.
2.5 STRATEGIES
The term 'Strategy' has been adapted from war and is being increasingly used in business
to reflect broad overall objectives and policies of an enterprise. Literally speaking, the term
'Strategy' stands for the war-art of the military general, compelling the enemy to fight as per out
chosen terms and conditions.
According to Koontz and O' Donnell, "Strategies must often denote a general programme of
action and deployment of emphasis and resources to attain comprehensive objectives". Strategies
are plans made in the light of the plans of the competitors because a modern business institution
operates in a competitive environment. They are a useful framework for guiding enterprise
thinking and action. A perfect strategy can be built only on perfect knowledge of the plans of
others in the industry. This may be done by the management of a firm putting itself in the place
of a rival firm and trying to estimate their plans.
Characteristics of Strategy
1. Input to the Organization: Various Inputs (People, Capital, Management and Technical
skills, others) including goals input of claimants (Employees, Consumers, Suppliers,
Stockholders, Government, Community and others)need to be elaborated.
3. Enterprise Profile: Enterprise profile is usually the starting point for determining where
the company is and where it should go. Top managers determine the basic purpose of the
enterprise and clarify the firm’s geographic orientation.
answer to the question: What is our business? The major Objectives are the end points
towards which the activates of the enterprise are directed. Strategic intent is the
commitment (obsession) to win in the competitive environment, not only at the top-level
but also throughout the organization.
6. Present and Future External Environment: The present and future external
environment must be assessed in terms of threats and opportunities.
7. Internal Environment: Internal Environment should be audited and evaluated with
respect to its resources and its weaknesses, and strengths in research and development,
production, operation, procurement, marketing and products and services. Other internal
factors include, human resources and financial resources as well as the company image,
the organization structure and climate, the planning and control system, and relations
with customers.
8. Development of Alternative Strategies: Strategic alternatives are developed on the basis
of an analysis of the external and internal environment. Strategies may be specialize or
concentrate. Alternatively, a firm may diversify, extending the operation into new and
profitable markets. Other examples of possible strategies are joint ventures, and strategic
alliances which may be an appropriate strategy for some firms.
9. Evaluation and Choice of Strategies: Strategic choices must be considered in the light
of the risk involved in a particular decision. Some profitable opportunities may not be
pursued because a failure in a risky venture could result in bankruptcy of the firm.
Another critical element in choosing a strategy is timing. Even the best product may fail
if it is introduced to the market at an inappropriate time.
11. Consistency Testing and Contingency Planning: The last key aspect of the strategic
planning process is the testing for consistency and preparing for contingency plans.
TYPES OF STRATEGIES
According to Michel Porter, the strategies can be classified into three types. They are
b) Differentiation strategy
c) Focus strategy
This generic strategy calls for being the low cost producer in an industry for a given level of
quality. The firm sells its products either at average industry prices to earn a profit higher than
that of rivals, or below the average industry prices to gain market share. In the event of a price
war, the firm can maintain some profitability while the competition suffers losses. Even without
a price war, as the industry matures and prices decline, the firms that can produce more cheaply
will remain profitable for a longer period of time. The cost leadership strategy usually targets a
broad market.
Some of the ways that firms acquire cost advantages are by improving process efficiencies,
gaining unique access to a large source of lower cost materials, making optimal outsourcing and
vertical integration decisions, or avoiding some costs altogether. If competing firms are unable to
lower their costs by a similar amount, the firm may be able to sustain a competitive advantage
based on cost leadership.
Firms that succeed in cost leadership often have the following internal strengths:
• Access to the capital required making a significant investment in production assets; this
investment represents a barrier to entry that many firms may not overcome.
• Skill in designing products for efficient manufacturing, for example, having a small
component count to shorten the assembly process.
Each generic strategy has its risks, including the low-cost strategy. For example, other firms may
be able to lower their costs as well. As technology improves, the competition may be able to
leapfrog the production capabilities, thus eliminating the competitive advantage. Additionally,
several firms following a focus strategy and targeting various narrow markets may be able to
achieve an even lower cost within their segments and as a group gain significant market share.
b) Differentiation Strategy
A differentiation strategy calls for the development of a product or service that offers unique
attributes that are valued by customers and that customers perceive to be better than or different
from the products of the competition. The value added by the uniqueness of the product may
allow the firm to charge a premium price for it. The firm hopes that the higher price will more
than cover the extra costs incurred in offering the unique product. Because of the product's
unique attributes, if suppliers increase their prices the firm may be able to pass along the costs to
its customers who cannot find substitute products easily.
Firms that succeed in a differentiation strategy often have the following internal strengths:
• Strong sales team with the ability to successfully communicate the perceived strengths of
the product.
The risks associated with a differentiation strategy include imitation by competitors and changes
in customer tastes. Additionally, various firms pursuing focus strategies may be able to achieve
even greater differentiation in their market segments.
c) Focus Strategy
The focus strategy concentrates on a narrow segment and within that segment attempts to
achieve either a cost advantage or differentiation. The premise is that the needs of the group can
be better serviced by focusing entirely on it. A firm using a focus strategy often enjoys a high
degree of customer loyalty, and this entrenched loyalty discourages other firms from competing
directly.
Because of their narrow market focus, firms pursuing a focus strategy have lower volumes and
therefore less bargaining power with their suppliers. However, firms pursuing a differentiation-
focused strategy may be able to pass higher costs on to customers since close substitute products
do not exist.
Firms that succeed in a focus strategy are able to tailor a broad range of product development
strengths to a relatively narrow market segment that they know very well.
Some risks of focus strategies include imitation and changes in the target segments. Furthermore,
it may be fairly easy for a broad-market cost leader to adapt its product in order to compete
directly. Finally, other focusers may be able to carve out sub-segments that they can serve even
better.
These generic strategies are not necessarily compatible with one another. If a firm attempts to
achieve an advantage on all fronts, in this attempt it may achieve no advantage at all. For
example, if a firm differentiates itself by supplying very high quality products, it risks
undermining that quality if it seeks to become a cost leader. Even if the quality did not suffer, the
firm would risk projecting a confusing image. For this reason, Michael Porter argued that to be
successful over the long-term, a firm must select only one of these three generic strategies.
Otherwise, with more than one single generic strategy the firm will be "stuck in the middle" and
will not achieve a competitive advantage.
Porter argued that firms that are able to succeed at multiple strategies often do so by creating
separate business units for each strategy. By separating the strategies into different units having
different policies and even different cultures, a corporation is less likely to become "stuck in the
middle."
However, there exists a viewpoint that a single generic strategy is not always best because within
the same product customers often seek multi-dimensional satisfactions such as a combination of
quality, style, convenience, and price. There have been cases in which high quality producers
faithfully followed a single strategy and then suffered greatly when another firm entered the
market with a lower-quality product that better met the overall needs of the customers.
2.6 POLICIES
The first step in the process of policy formulation, as shown in the diagram below, is to
capture the values or principles that will guide the rest of the process and form the basis on
which to produce a statement of issues. The statement of issues involves identifying the
opportunities and constraints affecting the local housing market, and is to be produced by
thoroughly analyzing the housing market. The kit provides the user with access to a housing data
base to facilitate this analysis.
The statement of issues will provide the basis for the formulation of a set of housing goals and
objectives, designed to address the problems identified and to exploit the opportunities which
present themselves.
The next step is to identify and analyze the various policy options which can be applied to
achieve the set of goals and objectives. The options available to each local government will
depend on local circumstances as much as the broader context and each local authority will have
to develop its own unique approach to addressing the housing needs of its residents.
An implementation program for realizing the policy recommendations must then be prepared,
addressing budgetary and programming requirements, and allocating roles and responsibilities.
Finally, the implementation of the housing strategy needs to be systematically monitored and
evaluated against the stated goals and objectives, and the various components of the strategy
modified or strengthened, as required.
At each step of the way, each component of the strategy needs to be discussed and debated, and a
public consultation process engaged in. The extent of consultation and the participants involved
will vary with each step.
• A policy should be flexible and at the same time have a high degree of permanency.
Importance of Policies
• They provide guides to thinking and action and provide support to the subordinates.
The word decision has been derived from the Latin word "decidere" which means
"cutting off". Thus, decision involves cutting off of alternatives between those that are desirable
and those that are not desirable.
In the words of George R. Terry, "Decision-making is the selection based on some criteria from
two or more possible alternatives".
• Decision-making may not be completely rational but may be judgmental and emotional.
• Decision-making is goal-oriented.
• Decision-making is a mental or intellectual process because the final decision is made by the
decision-maker.
• Choosing from among the alternative courses of operation implies uncertainty about the final
result of each possible course of operation.
• Decision making is rational. It is taken only after a thorough analysis and reasoning and
weighing the consequences of the various alternatives.
TYPES OF DECISIONS
i) Programmed decisions: Programmed decisions are routine and repetitive and are
made within the framework of organizational policies and rules. These policies and rules
are established well in advance to solve recurring problems in the organization.
Programmed decisions have short-run impact. They are, generally, taken at the lower
level of management.
ii) Non-Programmed Decisions: Non-programmed decisions are decisions taken to
meet non-repetitive problems. Non-programmed decisions are relevant for solving
unique/ unusual problems in which various alternatives cannot be decided in advance. A
common feature of non-programmed decisions is that they are novel and non-recurring
and therefore, readymade solutions are not available. Since these decisions are of high
importance and have long-term consequences, they are made by top level management.
b) Strategic and Tactical Decisions: Organizational decisions may also be classified as
strategic or tactical.
i) Strategic Decisions: Basic decisions or strategic decisions are decisions which are of
crucial importance. Strategic decisions a major choice of actions concerning allocation of
resources and contribution to the achievement of organizational objectives. Decisions like
plant location, product diversification, entering into new markets, selection of channels of
distribution, capital expenditure etc are examples of basic or strategic
decisions.
ii) Tactical Decisions: Routine decisions or tactical decisions are decisions which are
routine and repetitive. They are derived out of strategic decisions. The various features of
a tactical decision are as follows:
• The outcome of tactical decision is of short-term nature and affects a narrow part
of the organization.
• The authority for making tactical decisions can be delegated to lower level
managers because: first, the impact of tactical decision is narrow and of short-
term nature and Second, by delegating authority for such decisions to lower-level
managers, higher level managers are free to devote more time on strategic
decisions.
DECISION MAKING PROCESS
1. Specific Objective: The need for decision making arises in order to achieve certain specific
objectives. The starting point in any analysis of decision making involves the determination of
whether a decision needs to be made.
2. Problem Identification: A problem is a felt need, a question which needs a solution. In the
words of Joseph L Massie "A good decision is dependent upon the recognition of the right
problem". The objective of problem identification is that if the problem is precisely and
specifically identifies, it will provide a clue in finding a possible solution. A problem can be
identified clearly, if managers go through diagnosis and analysis of the problem.
Diagnosis: Diagnosis is the process of identifying a problem from its signs and
symptoms. A symptom is a condition or set of conditions that indicates the existence of a
problem. Diagnosing the real problem implies knowing the gap between what is and what
ought to be, identifying the reasons for the gap and understanding the problem in relation
to higher objectives of the organization.
3. Search for Alternatives: A problem can be solved in several ways; however, all the ways
cannot be equally satisfying. Therefore, the decision maker must try to find out the various
alternatives available in order to get the most satisfactory result of a decision. A decision maker
can use several sources for identifying alternatives:
4. Evaluation of Alternatives: After the various alternatives are identified, the next step is to
evaluate them and select the one that will meet the choice criteria. /the decision maker must
check proposed alternatives against limits, and if an alternative does not meet them, he can
discard it. Having narrowed down the alternatives which require serious consideration, the
decision maker will go for evaluating how each alternative may contribute towards the objective
supposed to be achieved by implementing the decision.
5. Choice of Alternative: The evaluation of various alternatives presents a clear picture as to
how each one of them contribute to the objectives under question. A comparison is made among
the likely outcomes of various alternatives and the best one is chosen.
6. Action: Once the alternative is selected, it is put into action. The actual process of decision
making ends with the choice of an alternative through which the objectives can be achieved.
7. Results: When the decision is put into action, it brings certain results. These results must
correspond with objectives, the starting point of decision process, if good decision has been
made and implemented properly. Thus, results provide indication whether decision making and
its implementation is proper.
An effective decision is one which should contain three aspects. These aspects are given below:
• Action Orientation: Decisions are action-oriented and are directed towards relevant and
controllable aspects of the environment. Decisions should ultimately find their utility in
implementation.
• Goal Direction: Decision making should be goal-directed to enable the organization to meet
its objectives.
• Effective in Implementation: Decision making should take into account all the possible
factors not only in terms of external context but also in internal context so that a decision can
be implemented properly.
4. Generate alternatives
This is the initial step of the rational decision making process. First the problem is identied and
then defined to get a clear view of the situation.
Once a decision maker has defined the problem, he or she needs to identify the decision criteria
that will be important in solving the problem. In this step, the decision maker is determining
what’s relevant in making the decision.
This step brings the decision maker’s interests, values, and personal preferences into the process.
Identifying criteria is important because what one person thinks is relevant, another may not.
Also keep in mind that any factors not identified in this step are considered as irrelevant to the
decision maker.
The decision-maker weights the previously identified criteria in order to give them correct
priority in the decision.
4) Generate alternatives
The decision maker generates possible alternatives that could succeed in resolving the problem.
No attempt is made in this step to appraise these alternatives, only to list them.
The conditions for making decisions can be divided into three types. Namely a) Certainty, b)
Uncertainty and c) Risk
Virtually all decisions are made in an environment to at least some uncertainty However; the
degree will vary from relative certainty to great uncertainty. There are certain risks involved in
making decisions.
a) Certainty:
In a situation involving certainty, people are reasonably sure about what will happen when they
make a decision. The information is available and is considered to be reliable, and the cause and
effect relationships are known.
b) Uncertainty
In a situation of uncertainty, on the other hand, people have only a meager database, they do not
know whether or not the data are reliable, and they are very unsure about whether or not the
situation may change.
Moreover, they cannot evaluate the interactions of the different variables. For example, a
corporation that decides to expand its Operation to an unfamiliar country may know little about
the country, culture, laws, economic environment, and politics. The political situation may be
volatile that even experts cannot predict a possible change in government.
c) Risk
In a situation with risks, factual information may exist, but it may be incomplete. 1o improve
decision making One may estimate the objective probability of an outcome by using, for
example, mathematical models On the other hand, subjective probability, based on judgment and
experience may be used
All intelligent decision makers dealing with uncertainty like to know the degree and nature of the
risk they are taking in choosing a course of action. One of the deficiencies in using the traditional
approaches of operations research for problem solving is that many of the data used in model are
merely estimates and others are based on probabilities. The ordinary practice is to have staff
specialists conic up with best estimates.
Virtually every decision is based on the interaction of a number of important variables, many of
which has e an element of uncertainty but, perhaps, a fairly high degree of probability. Thus, the
wisdom of launching a new product might depend on a number of critical variables: the cost of
introducing the product, the cost of producing it, the capital investment that will he required, the
price that can be set for the product, the size of the potential market, and the share of the total
market that it will represent.