2.2 AFM Investment Appraisal IRR 171223

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Year Amount DF @ 10% DCF DF @ 8% DCF

0 -100,000 1.0000 -100,000 1.0000 -100,000


1 20,000 0.9091 18,182 0.9259 18,519
2 22,000 0.8264 18,182 0.8573 18,861
3 26,000 0.7513 19,534 0.7938 20,640
4 32,000 0.6830 21,856 0.7350 23,521
5 40,000 0.6209 24,837 0.6806 27,223

2,591 8,764

IRR Internal rate of return which the project generates

IRR That discounting rate at which my NPV = ZERO

Hypothetical (not connected to the above table)


Say at the discounting rate of 12%, my NPV is zero
If I reduce my discounting rate, my NPV will become positive

The rate at which NPV is ZERO is my IRR - 12%


My cost of capital is 9%. So, if I discount at 9%, my NPV will become positive

Decision Rule
So, if IRR > Cost of capital, I should accept the project
Cost of capital is my hurdle rate
Which means my project should generate a return of more than my cost of capital for me to accept the projec

14% IRR - Calculated

Year Amount DF @ 9% DCF DF @ 12% DCF


0 -100,000 1.000 -100,000 1.000 -100,000
1 20,000 0.917 18,340 0.893 17,860
2 22,000 0.842 18,524 0.797 17,534
3 26,000 0.772 20,072 0.712 18,512
4 32,000 0.708 22,656 0.636 20,352
5 40,000 0.650 26,000 0.567 22,680

NPV 5,592 -3,062

IRR is that rate at which my NPV is ZERO NPV 0

So, when my DF moves from 9% to 12%, my NPV changes from 5592 to -3062
3.00% 8,654
1.94% 5,592 IRR

IRR 10.939%

You can think of IRR as a growth rate. If someone says "this investment has an IRR of 15%," they are saying that if
to this investment it will grow at a rate of 15% per year (doesn't necessarily have to be on a per year basis but that's t

As for NPV, you can think of that as the difference between (i) what you actually received from an investment vs.
(ii) what you would have received if your investment grew at some benchmark growth rate (the discount rate).

it's helpful to forget the "it's the rate that sets the NPV to 0" definition of IRR for a moment and note that NPV and

With these definitions in place, you can therefore see why investors might use an IRR instead of an NPV
Knowing "by how much is my investment growing per year" is often more helpful than knowing
"by how much is my investment exceeding some benchmark growth rate."
BUT NOT ALWAYS

10% is cost of capital

DF @ 10% DCF DF @ 13%


0 -6,000 1.000 -6,000 1.0000
1 1,000 0.909 909 0.8850
2 1,500 0.826 1,239 0.7831
3 2,000 0.751 1,502 0.6931
4 2,500 0.683 1,708 0.6133
5 3,000 0.621 1,863 0.5428

1,221

When my rate of borrowing / cost of capital is 10%, NPV is 1221


When I raise funds at 10% and employ it in this project, I generate NPV of 1221
1221 indicates increase in shareholder wealth

I need to know, at what rate does my project generate returns?


This rate is my IRR

If I increase my Discounting rate, I make it 13%


Zero Net Present Value means that the rate of return of the project is equal to the
discounting rate of the project. In simple words, at this point project's cash flows are
equal to project's costs. This rate is known as IRR

IRR is the rate of return at which the net present value of a project would be zero. So,
if the cost of capital for a project is higher than its IRR, then the project is not feasible
because then the NPV would be negative (as the present value of inflows will go down
due to a higher rate). Put differently, it means that for a project to be undertaken , its
cost of capital should be lower than its IRR.

100 114 129.96

IRR = 14% Cost of capital = 12%


At IRR, my NPV = ZERO
If I go below 14%, my Discounting Factors will rise
Consequently, my NPV will turn Positive
So, if my IRR is 14% and cost of capital = 12%
Without calculation also, I can safely conclude that
- If I discount at 12%, my NPV will be positive

apital for me to accept the project

DF @ 11% DCF
1.000 -100,000
0.901 18,020
0.812 17,864
0.731 19,006
0.659 21,088
0.593 23,720

8,654 -302 10.8975

** When we discount using IRR of 10.94%, the NPV should come as ZERO
However, the IRR is an approximation. So, we will rarely get NPV of ZERO
= L + [NL /(NL - NH) * (H - L)]
L = Lower Limit
H = Higher Limit NL = NPV at lower limit
NH = NPV at higher limit
= 10.94

RR of 15%," they are saying that if you put your money


to be on a per year basis but that's the typical time period used).

y received from an investment vs.


rowth rate (the discount rate).

a moment and note that NPV and IRR are just ways of describing compound growth.

IRR instead of an NPV


ul than knowing

DCF DF @ 15%
-6,000 1.0000 DCF DF @ 20% DCF
885 0.8696 -6,000 1.0000 -6,000
1,175 0.7561 870 0.8333 833
1,386 0.6575 1,134 0.6944 1,042
1,533 0.5718 1,315 0.5787 1,157
1,628 0.4972 1,429 0.4823 1,206
1,492 0.4019 1,206
607
240 -556

t, I generate NPV of 1221


A project has the following cashflows.
Calculate IRR
Cost of capital is 8%

Year Amount
0 -100,000
1 20,000
2 22,000
3 26,000
4 32,000
5 40,000

Year Amount DF @ 10% DCF DF @ 15%


0 -100,000 1.000 -100,000 1.000
1 20,000 0.909 18,180 0.870
2 22,000 0.826 18,172 0.756
3 26,000 0.751 19,526 0.658
4 32,000 0.683 21,856 0.572
5 40,000 0.621 24,840 0.497
2,574

IRR = L + [NL /(NL - NH) * (H - L)]


L = Lower Limit NL = NPV at lower limit
H = Higher Limit NH = NPV at higher limit

= 10.97%

Let us check whether at 10.97%, NPV is ZERO

Year Amount DF @ 10.97% DCF


0 -100,000 1.000 -100,000
1 20,000 0.901 18,023
2 22,000 0.812 17,865
3 26,000 0.732 19,026
4 32,000 0.659 21,102
5 40,000 0.594 23,770
-213

IRR is an estimate and due to interpolation, the value is an approximate value


DCF
-100,000
17,391
16,635
17,095
18,296
19,887
-10,695

L = NPV at lower limit


H = NPV at higher limit
Internal Rate of Return

Advantages
- Considers the time value of money
- is a percentage and therefore easily understood
- uses cash flows not profits
- considers the whole life of the project
- means a firm selecting projects where the IRR exceeds the cost of capital should increase shareholders' wealth

Disadvantages
- It is not a measure of absolute profitability.
- Interpolation only provides an estimate and an accurate estimate requires the use of a spreadsheet programme.
- It is fairly complicated to calculate.
- Non-conventional cash flows may give rise to multiple IRRs which means the interpolation method can't be used.

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