Equirus Securities - Protean EGov - Initiating Coverage Note
Equirus Securities - Protean EGov - Initiating Coverage Note
Equirus Securities - Protean EGov - Initiating Coverage Note
Initiating Coverage
Tax
Services
NPS
Identity
Solutions
Data
Stack
ONDC
Cloud
Inter- Services
national
Expansion
Estimate Revision
➢ Protean eGov Technologies (PROTEAN) is amongst the select set of Indian private entities
Forecasts % Change
providing technology solutions for e-governance projects and Digital India initiatives. It
(Rs mn) FY24E FY25E FY24E FY25E
leads the market in tax infrastructure (TIN/PAN issuance), retirement (NPS-CRA), and
identity authentication & management services. Incrementally, PROTEAN aims to build Revenue 9,636 12,093 - -
core capabilities around India stack, open digital ecosystem, and cloud services. EBITDA 1,990 2,912 - -
➢ PROTEAN offers diversified, granular, and annuity-based services, earning less than a PAT 1,332 1,764 - -
sixth of its revenues from the government; also, ~80% of revenues are transaction-based. EPS 32.9 43.6 - -
➢ We expect new businesses of Open Network for Digital Commerce (ONDC), cloud, Stock Information
and international expansion to drive growth ahead. Over FY23-FY26E, we model for
Market Cap (Rs Mn) 48,900
a ~26% revenue CAGR, a ~38% core EBITDA CAGR, and a ~28% PAT CAGR. Core
52 Wk H/L (Rs) 1,618/775
EBITDA margins should touch 20.9% by FY26E vs. 15.9% in FY23.
Avg Daily Volume (1yr) 870,263
➢ Initiate coverage with LONG and a Mar’25 TP of Rs 1500 based on FCFE discounting.
Avg Daily Value (Rs Mn) 955
This translates into a P/E ratio of 26.8x based on FY26 EPS.
Equity Cap (Rs Mn) 8,571
A play on Digital India initiatives: PROTEAN has an indomitable presence in its traditional Face Value (Rs) 10
businesses: PAN card issuance (~2/3rd market share), e-TDS/TIN filings (~60%) and Share Outstanding (Mn) 40.4
NPS-CRA (~97%). Further, it has been diversifying into new segments (ecommerce, Bloomberg Code PROTEAN IN
mobility, healthcare, agriculture, education) on open digital ecosystems. This apart, it is a
Ind Benchmark -
founding shareholder and has been a key contributor to the Open Network for Digital
Commerce (ONDC). PROTEAN also looks to go global and has bid for e-governance Ownership (%) Recent 3M 12M
projects internationally. With solutions around identity verification/ e-Sign/ authentication
Promoters 0.0 0.0 0.0
in place and the account aggregator license already secured, it is now focusing on data
analytics solutions. Driven by its competence in managing large databases and servers with DII 78.9 (10.0) (10.0)
strong security measures, PROTEAN has launched ‘Made in India’ public cloud services. FII 9.4 (1.7) (1.7)
We thus see PROTEAN as a play on the rapid digital transformation India is undergoing. Public 11.7 11.7 11.7
Diversified, granular and annuity-based service offerings: PROTEAN earns ~80% of its
revenues on per-transaction basis across services offered to consumers, businesses, and
the government. The company has been generating free cashflows while being profitable
and dividend-paying for almost two decades. It now has ~Rs 6.5bn of B/S cash.
Valuation & view: We build in a ~26% revenue CAGR over FY23-FY26E with new
Relative price chart
businesses contributing ~45% of incremental growth, and identity services and NPS-CRA PROTEAN IN EQUITY Nifty Index
driving existing businesses. Core EBITDA margins should touch ~20.9% by FY26E 1,500
(FY23:15.9%) as the revenue share of PAN services (lowest EBITDA-margin business) 1,350
declines. In terms of net profit, we anticipate a ~28% CAGR over FY23-FY26E. We view 1,200
PROTEAN is a good bet on the India digitization story given its (a) strong management, (b) 1,050
good corporate governance standards, (c) solid FCF record, (d) the probability of being a 900
unique play on developments around India stack, and (e) limited revenue share from the 750
Nov-23
government. Initiate coverage with LONG with a Mar’25 TP of Rs 1500 at 26.8x FY26EPS
of Rs 56. Source: Bloomberg
Financial Summary
Analsyts
Y/E Mar Core EV/ Rohan Mandora
Sales PAT EPS BPS P/E (x) P/B (x) ROE (%)
(Rs mn) EBITDA EBITDA (x)
[email protected]
FY23A 7,422 1,180 1,070 26 212 46 5.7 36 13.0% +91-79 6901 5014
Shreyash Kumath
FY24E 9,636 1,449 1,332 33 233 37 5.2 28 14.8%
[email protected]
FY25E 12,093 2,303 1,764 44 263 28 4.6 17 17.6%
+91-79 6901 5012
FY26E 14,683 3,076 2,265 56 302 22 4.0 13 19.8%
Source: Company, Equirus Securities
Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report December 26, 2023 | 2
Protean eGov Technologies Ltd (PROTEAN IN) India Equity Research | Initiating Coverage
Table of Contents
Company Overview ............................................................................................... 4
Prominent player delivering population scale e-governance projects ........................... 4
Key business lines................................................................................................... 4
Investment Thesis ..................................................................................................13
A play on Digital India initiatives............................................................................ 13
Diversified, granular, and annuity-based service offerings ........................................ 13
Limited revenue dependence on government .......................................................... 14
Extensive physical infrastructure ............................................................................. 15
Healthy B/S cash of Rs 6.5bn ................................................................................ 16
Experienced senior management, strong corporate governance ............................... 16
PROTEAN – Recent Developments/News .................................................................18
Core EBITDA margins to improve .......................................................................... 20
Healthy operating cashflows.................................................................................. 20
RoEs suppressed due to excess cash on balance sheet ............................................. 21
Valuation & View ..................................................................................................22
Initiate coverage with LONG ................................................................................. 22
Key risks .............................................................................................................. 23
Comparable Valuation ..........................................................................................24
Company Overview
Prominent player delivering population scale e-governance projects
PROTEAN is amongst the select set of Indian private entities working on e-governance projects and
PROTEAN’s offerings have helped
the Digital India initiative. It is the market leader in its service offerings like tax infrastructure (TIN/PAN
address national-level issues,
issuance, tax collections & payments), retirement (NPS-CRA), and identity authentication &
redefined delivery of public services,
management services. Incrementally, PROTEAN intends to build core capabilities around India stack
and lowered service delivery costs
and data-led businesses.
The company is a founding member of ONDC and intends to position itself as an enabler to create
sustainable public digital infrastructure in healthcare, agriculture, education & skilling, cloud services,
and cyber security. PROTEAN is also looking to take its capabilities globally and has bid for tax, social
security, authentication, and identity solutions linked projects in other countries.
• During FY22/FY23, 2.12bn/2.41bn PANs were verified by users of the service. Cumulatively
around 7.9bn PANs have been verified so far.
(in mn)
PROTEAN has a ~2/3rd market share 400
379
100
0
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
Exhibit 3: Cumulatively, ~460mn PANs have been issued by PROTEAN till 1HFY24
50
CAGR 17%
40
11 16
30
7
20
23 26 25
10
0
FY21 FY22 FY23
Cumulatively, PROTEAN has processed No. of PAN Cards Verified Annually (mn)
Rs 460mn PAN applications and 3,000
verified 7.9bn PANs so far
2,412
2,500
2,122
1,986
2,000
(in mn)
1,500
874 937
1,000
355 410
500
123 191 188 180
0
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 1HFY24
• The TIN portal automates assimilation of information on direct tax collected at source under
various heads.
• PROTEAN is engaged in processing applications for the issuance of Tax Deduction and
Collection Account Number (TAN).
• Over the years, the company has collaborated with various tax collecting banks to enable
As of 9MFY23, PROTEAN had a 60% convenient uploading of tax collection data across their branch networks.
share in e-filing of income tax
• TIN provides a facility to furnish Statement of Financial Transactions (SFT) containing
information regarding high value transactions undertaken by various taxpayers.
• PROTEAN has established connectivity with 20 tax collecting banks to upload tax collection
data from more than 19,800 branches.
60%
40% 78%
71% 69%
62% 60%
20%
0%
FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 9mFY23
CRA for National Pension Scheme (NPS) and Atal Pension Yojana (APY)
PROTEAN serves as the Central Recordkeeping Agency (CRA) for National Pension Scheme (NPS) -
Government and private sectors, as well as for Atal Pension Yojana (APY). The company has also
conceptualized and implemented an online platform for account opening, registration, contribution to
NPS, and account maintenance to simplify the procedure and make the benefits more accessible.
No. of PMJDY accounts No. of APY Accounts APY Accounts/ PMJDY Accounts - RHS
9.4%
APY penetration in Jan Dhan accounts 700 10%
just 9.4%, indicating huge growth 600
8.1% 9%
potential 8%
6.6%
500 7%
5.5% 487
400 451 6%
(mn)
422
383 5%
300 4%
314 4.2%
353 3%
200
3.1%
2%
100 36.3 45.9
9.6 15.0 21.1 28.0 1%
0 0%
FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23
Source: PFRDA, GOI, Equirus Securities
Identification services
PROTEAN provides fundamental identity solutions like e-KYC, e-authentication, e-Sign, online PAN
Has ~2,500+ regulated entities as verification, and online Aadhaar verification to various regulated entities. The company has ~2,500+
clients for digital entity services regulated entities as its clients for digital entity services.
• Aadhar authentication: This allows residents to provide their identity seamlessly, in turn
enabling service providers to extend benefits as provided by the government. Facilitated by
a centrally stored database, Aadhaar authentication services enable real-time Aadhaar
verification without manual intervention.
2500 110
2000 100
1500 90
1000 80
500 70
2,099
1,738
2,042
1,176
1,527
1,719
1,582
1,878
2,033
1,713
1,292
669
0 60
Jun-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
Jul-23
Oct-23
Feb-23
Sep-23
Apr-23
Aug-23
Mar-23
Jan-23
May-23
E-Auth (mn)
200 179
100
0
FY21 FY22 FY23
OPV (mn)
3,000
CAGR 60%
2,413
2,123
2,000
937
1,000
0
FY21 FY22 FY23
300 16
200 14
100 12
246
346
297
269
313
254
317
302
319
342
324
181
0 10
Jun-23
Nov-23
Dec-23
Jul-23
Apr-23
Sep-23
Oct-23
Feb-23
Aug-23
Jan-23
Mar-23
May-23
E-KYC (mn)
300
246
CAGR 64%
200 174
91
100
0
FY21 FY22 FY23
• e-Sign services: e-Signature technology enables a user to sign documents electronically, thus
eliminating the need for signing by hand. PROTEAN’s e-Sign platform automates and
simplifies this process by providing a secure way to sign legally-binding documents through
trustworthy channels – anytime, anywhere, and from any device.
E-sign (mn)
CAGR 56%
100
86
82
80
60
36
40
20
0
FY21 FY22 FY23
• Account Aggregator (AA): In Jan’23, PROTEAN obtained the certificate of registration for the
account aggregator business for its subsidiary, NSDL e-Governance Account Aggregator.
The company intends to use technologies like artificial intelligence, machine learning, and
advanced analytics to build intelligent AA solutions that deliver inclusion and can potentially
evolve to provide services such as lending, wealth management and personal financial
management that have, thus far, been availed of largely by the affluent strata.
Cloud services
The India public cloud services (PCS) market, including infrastructure-as-a-service (IaaS), platform-as-
a-service (PaaS), and software-as-a-service (SaaS), revenue totaled Rs 0.3trn for FY22, as per
NASSOM’s Cloud Adoption Report. The Indian public cloud services market is expected to reach Rs
1.1trn by 2027, growing at a 30% CAGR over 2021-27.
Given PROTEAN’s rich experience in managing infrastructure and data to enterprises, the company
PROTEAN has secured the MeitY now provides advanced cloud infrastructure coupled with enterprise-grade security framework and
certification for its cloud services governance. It has collaborated with Vigyanlabs Innovations, a technology innovator in AI driven
computing and holder of global patents, to roll out cloud services in India.
• Desktop as a Services (DaaS): Virtual Office Setup & Cloud PC With Thin-client
• Indigenously built using Open-Source Software & Open Standards to meet the needs of
Target segments for PROTEAN Cloud
Indian industry.
are MSME, Government, BFSI, IT
companies, Manufacturing & SaaS, • Green Cloud and Patented Technology: An energy efficient cloud designed to lower carbon
HealthCare, ecommerce; who lack footprint. Comprehensive Monitoring tools with AI enabled power management that makes
digitization as well as qualified the offering as a ‘Green Cloud’.
manpower to support their IT
• Practitioners Approach: Decades of IT management experience of building & managing
infrastructure. Go-to-market strategy
population scale e-governance projects for India, ranging from tax information systems to
involves building a wide channel
NPS.
partner/ distributor network to cover
Tier 2, 3 and 4 cities. • Focus on Lower TCO and predictable pricing with certainty in billing.
Exhibit 15: Cloud service market to clock a 30% CAGR over 2021-27
0
FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23E FY24E FY25E FY26E FY27E
Source: CRISIL, NASSOM Cloud Adoption Report, Equirus Securities
Factors to support growth of ONDC: (a) Rapid digital adoption is expected to continue, by 2030,
India’s digital consumption is poised to grow from US$ 60bn-70bn to US$ 340bn, (b) ONDC could
accelerate this growth across multiple parameters as Digital commerce users increase from 165mn
(FY22) to 500mn (FY30), ecosystem witnesses a 7x growth in MSMEs on digital platforms (from 6Mn
to 40Mn) and more than 60% new shoppers will be from Tier III-IV towns.
International expansion
Given PROTEAN’s expertise in handling IT/ ITES projects and its ability to provide diversified services
and solutions, the company looks to develop similar projects for other countries. The Ministry of External
Affairs, Government of India, has enlisted PROTEAN under its ‘Development Partnership Frameworks’
to promote India’s capabilities globally. As an example, The Ministry of Health and Family Welfare,
Government of India has made CoWIN (an open-source platform) available to different countries for
managing COVID vaccinations and has empaneled PROTEAN as an IT services firm for customization,
implementation and roll out of CoWIN for countries.
PROTEAN is in active discussions with governments on various projects in Africa and South East Asian
PROTEAN is in advanced discussions region. It has participated in bids in five countries (4 in Africa, 1 in Southeast Asia) in the areas of
with multiple governments; some CYCK solutions, digital onboarding, ITAS/Taxation, and National identity/social security. PROTEAN is
international projects are set to also shortlisted for bids submitted for providing solutions in areas of ITAS/taxation and social
materialize soon security/national ID in the African region. The company is committed to taking the following key
components of the India stack to global markets
• National ID
• Public Health Care Platform stack: PROTEAN is one of the four companies empaneled by
GOI for international deployment of CoWin
Investment Thesis
A play on Digital India initiatives
PROTEAN commands indomitable market share in its traditional businesses:
1. PAN card issuance (~60% market share in PANs issued since FY11; 2.4bn PAN verifications
in FY23)
2. e-TDS/TIN filings (~60% share in such filings)
3. NPS-CRA (~97% share)
Besides, it has been working on the open digital ecosystem for e-commerce, mobility, healthcare,
Powering India’s rapid digital
agriculture, and education segments. PROTEAN is a founding shareholder and has implemented
transformation
ONDC. With solutions around identity verification/authentication/e-Sign already in place and with
the AA license already secured, PROTEAN will look to build on data analytics solutions. Moreover,
with its competence in managing large databases and servers with strong security measures, the
company has launched ‘Made in India’ cloud services. It also aims to take its knowledge global
and has bid for e-governance-linked projects in other countries. We thus believe PROTEAN offers
a play on India’s rapid digital transformation underway currently.
Tax Services Pension Services Identity Services Open Digital Ecosystems Others
1% 1%
12%
26%
59%
TAX Services
New PAN issuance 91 Applicant
PAN Service PAN Reprint 42 Applicant
e-PAN Download 7 Applicant
Up to 100 deductees -
Rs.25/-
101 to 1000 deductees Paid by the
TIN e-TDS return filing charges
Rs.150/- Assessee
More than 1000 deductees
Rs.500/-
TAN TAN Application Rs 65
OPV PAN Verification Rs 0.05-Rs 0.30
NPS Services
Exhibit 20: Revenue split across B2G and non-B2G channels for 2QFY24
12%
88%
Transactional Annuity
20%
80%
20.9%
20% 19.0%
17.9%
15.9%
15.0%
15% 14.1%
10%
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Source: Company Data, Equirus Securities
• The MD & CEO, Mr. Suresh Sethi, has 30+ years of experience with financial services
companies such as Citi Group, Yes Bank, and Vodafone M-Pesa. Previously, he was MD &
CEO of India Post Payments Bank, where he was recognized as CEO of the Year.
• Other senior management is a combination of lateral recruits and employees who have been
MD & CEO has 30+ years of with the company for more than two decades.
experience; past associations were
• Recent lateral recruits: (a) Mr. Bertran Dsouza – Chief Product & Innovation officer (earlier
with Citi Group, Yes Bank, and
EVP Digital banking, Kotak Bank). (b) Mr. Metesh D B – Chief Digital Officer (earlier SVP &
Vodafone M-Pesa
Head Internal Systems, Digital Innovation & API Banking, HDFC Bank).
• PROTEAN also has a strong Board of Directors with six independent directors with diverse
backgrounds.
Promoter - 0.00%
Public 4,04,46,732 100.00%
NSE Investments Limited 82,34,605 20.4%
IIFL Special Opportunities Fund 1,03,19,847 25.5%
Administrator Of The Specified Undertaking Ofthe Unit Trust Of
24,88,825 6.2%
India-Unit Scheme 1964
State Bank of India 20,00,000 4.9%
HDFC Bank Limited 12,94,326 3.2%
Axis Bank Limited 12,87,923 3.2%
Deutsche Bank A.G. 12,87,923 3.2%
Citicorp Finance India Limited 12,50,000 3.1%
HSBC Limited 12,50,000 3.1%
Standard Chartered Bank 12,50,000 3.1%
Union Bank of India 7,24,457 1.8%
Punjab National Bank 9,13,000 2.3%
Bank of Baroda 6,25,000 1.6%
Canara Bank 5,00,000 1.2%
Others 70,20,826 17.4%
Total 4,04,46,732 100.0%
Source: Company Data, Equirus Securities
PROTEAN Unveils RISE – Offering digital building block APIs (link): PROTEAN has launched a new platform with
over 300 operationalized APIs that offer digital building blocks to solve diverse use cases such as (a) digital
onboarding, (b) regulatory compliances, (c) identity verification, (d) ONDC plug-&-play journeys, (e) healthcare
ABDM connectors, and (f) open network connectors. This platform is a single window for businesses to select
multiple product bundles. These APIs can cater to diverse business requirements across banking, insurance, capital
markets, payments, logistics & e-commerce, lending, payments, merchant onboarding and gaming sectors.
PROTEAN launches cKYC solutions (link): PROTEAN's cKYC solution is specifically engineered to surmount the
challenges faced by financial institutions in adhering to cKYC regulations. Its innovative platform reduces
operational costs, ensures seamless compliance with regulations, all within reduced timeframes, increasing the ease
of on-boarding and reporting KYC-verified customers.
RBI to establish cloud facility for financial sector for enhanced data security (link): The RBI in its Dec’23 monetary
policy has announced setting up of a cloud facility for the financial sector in India. This would enhance the security,
integrity, and privacy of the financial sector. It is also expected to facilitate stability and business continuity. We
believe PROTEAN could be a key player to benefit as a service provider; this is because, if RBI was comfortable with
Amazon web services or Google cloud, it would have likely not proposed setting up of a separate cloud.
Meta announces partnership with ONDC to support small businesses in India (link): Meta has recently announced
a partnership with government-backed ecommerce network, ONDC, to upskill small businesses and leverage
Meta’s business and technical solutions for seamless conversational buyer and seller experiences on Whatsapp.
Meta will look to support ~500k small businesses to get trained in digital marketing and become e-commerce
ready. We believe as volumes pick up on ONDC, PROTEAN will likely be a beneficiary with its array of offerings.
Google Maps, ONDC, Namma Yatri tie up to provide seamless mobility experience (link): A three-way partnership
between Google Maps, Namma Yatri, and ONDC will help users get an end-to-end seamless experience in open
mobility. They look to add local trains, autos, metros as well as cab bookings on the ONDC platform. Incrementally,
ONDC may include long-distance trains and flights bookings. ONDC’s long-term objective is to create an
integrated cart with any product or service catalogueable to be there on ONDC. We believe the expanding set of
use cases on ONDC would be a positive for PROTEAN.
Financial Analysis
We expect a 26% revenue CAGR over FY23-FY26E
PROTEAN reported an 11% CAGR in operating revenues over FY21-FY23. We expect existing
businesses to grow at an ~16% revenue CAGR over FY23-FY26E and bulk of the incremental revenue
growth to come from newer initiatives of ODE, Cloud, and international business. We anticipate a
~126% operating revenue CAGR from newer businesses over FY23-FY26E.
Exhibit 26: Uptick in revenue CAGR over FY23-FY26E to be driven by newer initiatives
15,000
(Rs mn)
10,000
Bulk of incremental revenue growth to
come from new initiatives: ODE,
Cloud, and international business 5,000
0
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Source: Company Data, Equirus Securities
14,000
3,985
12,000
Share of account maintenance fees to
3,031
increase as cloud revenues come in 10,000
(Rs mn)
2,050
8,000
1,570
6,000 1,391
1,493 10,698
9,062
4,000 7,587
5,505 5,839
2,000 4,527
0
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Source: Company Data, Equirus Securities
A lower revenue share of tax services Exhibit 28: Core EBITDA margins
and faster growth in higher-margin
non-PAN businesses to drive margins Core EBITDA Margin
20.9%
20% 19.0%
17.9%
15.9%
15.0%
15% 14.1%
10%
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Source: Company Data, Equirus Securities
Operating Cash/PBT
120%
102.3%
97.6%
100%
86.3%
76.0%
80%
72.3%
60%
50.8%
40%
FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Source: Company Data, Equirus Securities
77.0%
80% 72.3%
60% 53.1%
39.4%
36.0%
40%
18.9%
20%
The value of existing business lines as of Mar’25 works to Rs 51bn (Rs 1,260/Share) by valuing these
businesses on FCFE basis as they are free cash generating in nature with minimal incremental capex.
This implies an option value for newer businesses at Rs 9.5bn (Rs 240/Share). Assign LONG
Key risks
Dependency on government
PROTEAN has been working largely in e-governance and has secured various projects from the
government. Incrementally too, it is working on projects of population scale or of national significance
like ONDC, health stack, and agri stack. Even internationally, projects will be linked to
e-governance. While PROTEAN earns less than 15% of its revenues from the government, dependence
on the government for projects remains a risk.
Comparable Valuation
EPS RoE (%) DPS (Rs) P/E Dividend Yield
Company CMP
FY23A FY24E FY25E FY23A FY24E FY25E FY23A FY24E FY25E FY23A FY24E FY25E FY23A FY24E FY25E
Exhibit 33: PROTEAN has traded at an avg. 1 year fwd. P/E of 32.6x
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10-Dec
20-Dec
10-Nov
20-Nov
30-Nov
Exhibit 34: PROTEAN has traded at an avg. 1 year fwd. P/B of 4.5x
6.0
5.5
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
20-Nov
10-Dec
20-Dec
10-Nov
30-Nov
Quarterly performance
Y/E Mar (Rs mn) 1QFY23 2QFY23 1QFY24 2QFY24 3QFY24E 4QFY24E
Margin (%)
Return metrics
YoY Growth (%) FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Revenue -5.2% -15.8% 14.6% 7.4% 29.8% 25.5% 21.4%
EBITDA -9.7% -28.2% 51.9% -21.4% 24.7% 46.3% 28.7%
Core EBITDA -16.5% -42.6% 46.0% -4.7% 22.8% 58.9% 33.6%
PAT -34.9% -24.3% 56.1% -25.6% 24.4% 32.5% 28.4%
Key Ratios
Profitability FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Gross Margin 46.3% 48.0% 51.3% 56.1% 53.7% 55.4% 56.9%
Core EBITDA Margin 20.6% 14.1% 17.9% 15.9% 15.0% 19.0% 20.9%
PAT Margin 17.0% 15.3% 20.8% 14.4% 13.8% 14.6% 15.4%
ROE 20.6% 17.1% 19.8% 13.0% 14.8% 17.6% 19.8%
Core RoE 34.4% 18.9% 36.0% 39.4% 53.1% 72.3% 77.0%
Dividend Payout 32.8% 191.6% 28.1% 37.5% 35.0% 31.2% 30.4%
Balance Sheet
Y/E Mar (Rs mn) FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Share Capital 400 401 404 404 404 404 404
Reserves & Surplus 7,136 6,275 7,476 8,165 9,031 10,244 11,821
Non-Controlling Interest 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Networth 7,534 6,675 7,880 8,569 9,435 10,649 12,225
Trade Payables 887 988 957 1,318 1,589 1,941 2,295
Other Liabilities 978 961 1,050 1,153 1,215 1,280 1,349
Total Liabilities 9,399 8,624 9,888 11,041 12,238 13,870 15,868
Cash & Cash Equivalents 501 1,151 2,335 1,375 1,280 1,688 1,409
Investments 4,061 2,851 3,636 5,285 6,594 6,921 8,295
Trade Receivables 2,107 1,977 1,998 2,089 1,584 1,988 2,414
Fixed Assets 680 579 690 747 1,180 1,611 2,020
Other Assets 2,049 2,065 1,228 1,545 1,601 1,662 1,730
Total Assets 9,399 8,624 9,888 11,041 12,238 13,870 15,868
Cash Flow
Y/E Mar (Rs mn) FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Cash Flow from Operations
PBT 1,576 1,160 1,856 1,404 1,757 2,327 2,989
Depreciation 270 168 170 183 220 585 761
Others/ Other Income -369 -480 -788 -407 -541 -609 -673
Tax Paid -501 -319 -478 -426 -412 -563 -723
Changes in Working Capital -442 472 183 616 773 -57 -81
Net Cash from Operations 535 1,001 943 1,370 1,797 1,683 2,272
Net Change in Cash and Cash Equivalent 17 324 1,333 -1,896 -96 408 -278
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Analyst Certification
I, Rohan Mandora/Shreyash Kumath, author to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject company or
companies and its or their securities. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in
this report.
Disclosures
Equirus Securities Private Limited (ESPL) having CIN: U65993MH2007PTC176044 is registered in India with Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) as Research Analyst (Reg. No.
INH000001154), Stock Broker:(Reg. No. INZ000251536), RA: INH000001154, DP: (Reg. No. IN-DP-324-2017) NSE Mem id: 13017|BSE Mem id: 3309|DP ID:84500| having its
Registered office at A 2102 B, A wing, 21st Floor, Marathon Futurex, N. M. Joshi Marg, Lower Parel, Mumbai-400013.. There are no disciplinary actions taken by any regulatory authority
against ESPL for Research Analyst activity. ESPL is a subsidiary of Equirus Capital Private Limited (ECPL) which is registered with SEBI as Category I Merchant Banker and provides investment
banking services including but not limited to merchant banking services, private equity, mergers & acquisitions and structured finance.
As ESPL and its associates are engaged in various financial services business, it might have: - (a) received compensation (except in connection with the preparation of this report) from
the subject company for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services or any other product or services in the past twelve months;(b) managed or co-managed public
offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months; or (c) received a mandate from the subject company; or (d) might have other financial, business or other interests
in entities including the subject company (ies) mentioned in this Report. ESPL & its associates, their directors and employees may from time to time have positions or options in the company
and buy or sell the securities of the company (ies) mentioned herein. ESPL and its associates collectively do not own (in their proprietary position) 1% or more of the equity securities of
the subject company mentioned in the report as the last day of the month preceding the publication of the research report. ESPL or its Analyst or Associates did not receive any compensation
or other benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither ESPL nor Research Analysts have
any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or
brokerage service transactions. ESPL has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject company.
The Research Analyst engaged in preparation of this Report:-
(a) has not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months; (b) has not managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in
the past twelve months; (c) has neither received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months
nor received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months;
(d) has not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report; (e) might have served as an officer, director or
employee of the subject company; (f) is not engaged in market making activity for the subject company.
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Disclosure of Interest statement for the subject Company Yes/No If Yes, nature of such interest
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