2.near Miss

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2 Defining near miss

2.1 Near miss: A sequence of events and/or conditions that could have resulted in loss. This loss was
prevented only by a fortuitous break in the chain of events and/or conditions. The potential loss could
be human injury, environmental damage, or negative business impact (e.g. repair or replacement
costs, scheduling delays, contract violations, loss of reputation).
2.2 Some general examples of a near miss help to illustrate this definition:
.1 Any event that leads to the implementation of an emergency procedure, plan or response and thus
prevents a loss. For example, a collision is narrowly avoided; or a crew member double checks a
valve and discovers a wrong pressure reading on the supply side.
.2 Any event where an unexpected condition could lead to an adverse consequence, but which does
not occur. For example, a person moves from a location immediately before a crane unexpectedly
drops a load of cargo there; or a ship finds itself off course in normally shallow waters but does not
ground because of an unusually high spring tide.
.3 Any dangerous or hazardous situation or condition that is not discovered until after the danger has
passed. For example, a vessel safely departs a port of call and discovers several hours into the
voyage that the ship's radio was not tuned to the Harbour Master's radio frequency; or it is discovered
that ECDIS display's scale does not match the scale, projection, or orientation of the chart and radar
images.

3 Overcoming barriers to reporting near misses


3.1 There are many barriers related to the reporting of near misses. In many cases, near misses are
only known by the individual(s) involved who chose to report or not report the incident. Some of the
main barriers to the reporting of near misses include the fear of being blamed, disciplined,
embarrassed, or found legally liable. These are more prevalent in an organization that has a blame-
oriented culture. Amongst other barriers are unsupportive company management attitudes such as
complacency about known deficiencies, insincerity about addressing safety issues and
discouragement of the reporting of near misses by demanding that seafarers conduct investigations
in their own time.
3.2 These barriers can be overcome by management initiatives such as:
.1 Encouraging a "just culture" in the company which covers near-miss reporting.
.2 Assuring confidentiality for reporting near misses, both through company policy and by "sanitizing"
analyses and reports so that personal information (information identifying an individual) of persons
associated with a near miss is removed and remains confidential. Personal information should not be
retained once the investigation and reporting processes are complete.
.3 Ensuring that investigations are adequately resourced.
.4 Following through on the near-miss report suggestions and recommendations. Once a decision
has been made to implement, or not implement, the report's recommendations should be
disseminated widely.

4 The near-miss investigation process


4.1 As a minimum, the following information should be gathered about any near miss:
.1 Who and what was involved?
.2 What happened, where, when, and in what sequence?
.3 What were the potential losses and their potential severity?
.4 What was the likelihood of a loss being realized?
.5 What is the likelihood of a recurrence of the chain of events and/or conditions that led to the near
miss?
4.2 The answer to these questions will determine if an in-depth investigation is needed, or if a cursory
report will suffice. An in-depth investigation is required of those near misses which are likely to recur
and/or which could have had severe consequences.
4.3 Once a decision has been taken to proceed with a full investigation, further decisions are taken
about levels of staffing required, who should be responsible, and what resources are required for the
investigation to be completed successfully. The main steps in the investigation are: gathering near-
miss information
4.4 Regardless of the nature of the near miss, the basic categories of data that should be gathered
include: people, paper documents, electronic data, physical, and position/Iocation. These data are
vital for ensuring that an understanding can be reached about what, how, who, and eventually why
the near miss occurred. Data gathering is done by interviews of key personnel and the collection of
physical, position and location data, using such things as photographs, VDR recordings, charts, logs,
or any damaged components.
Furthermore, information should be gathered regarding safeguards in place to protect the persons on
board and the public, and the operational systems impacting the near-miss event.
Analysing information
4.5 Applying data analysis techniques helps to identify information that still needs to be collected to
resolve open questions about the near miss and its causes. This can make the collection of additional
data more efficient.
The end goal of this activity is to identify all causal factors.
Identifying causal factors
4.6 At this point the who, what, where, why, and when of the near miss is understood, and the human
errors, structural/machinery/equipment/ outfitting problems, and external factors that led to the near
miss, have been identified. The next step is to better understand the causal factors that contributed to
the near miss. There are a variety of identification methods for this purpose, including taxonomies of
causes. These can be used for deep probing past the most evident causes.
Developing and implementing recommendations
4.7 Any recommendations made need to address all of the identified causal factors to improve
organizational and shipboard policies, practices and procedures. Implementing appropriate
recommendations is the key to eliminating or reducing the potential for the reoccurrence of similar
near misses or more serious losses.

5 Completing the investigation


5.1 Completion of the investigation process requires the generation of a report (either brief or
extensive, depending on the depth of analysis performed and the extent of risk), and collating and
storing the information in a way that supports subsequent (long-term) trend analysis.
5.2 The ultimate objective of near-miss reporting and investigating is to identify areas of concern and
implement appropriate corrective actions to avoid future losses. To do so requires that reports are to
be generated, shared, read, and acted upon. Companies are encouraged to consider whether their
report should be disseminated to a wider audience.
5.3 It may take years for safety trends to be discerned, and so reporting must be archived and
revisited on a timely basis. Near-miss reports should be considered along with actual casualty or
incident reports to determine trends. There should be consistency in the identification and
nomenclature of causal factors across near-miss and casualty/incident reports.

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