Macro Notes
Macro Notes
Macro Notes
Factors of production
Determinants of demand for goods and services
GDP nominal vs real
Aggregate demand
Fiscal policy vs monetary policy
Labor market
Consumption function
Classical vs Keynesian school of thoughts
Business cycle
Polices for inflation and unemployment
Equilibrium and interest rate
Real interest vs nominal interest
Unemployment
PRIVATE SECTOR- the part of economy that is run by individuals and companies for profits
FACTOR PAYMENT- payment for the factors of production (rent, wages, interest, profits)
FACTORS OF PRODUCTION
LAND: the income that resource owners earn in return for land resources is called RENT
LABOUR: labour is the effort that people contribute to the production of goods and services.
The income earned by labour resources is called WAGES
CAPITAL: the income earned by owner of capital resources is called INTEREST
(because businesses generally take out loans to purchase physical capital and the interest
rate is a primary factor in determining how much physical capital is purchased)
ENTERPRENEURSHIP: an entrepreneur is a person who combines the other factors of
production to earn profit
LAND-RENT
LABOUR-WAGES
CAPITAL-INTEREST
TRANSFER PAYMENTS- payments from the government to an individual for which no goods
or services are exchanged, rather income is redistributed from one group to another
DERIVED DEMAND
• Derived Demand: The demand for resources is directly related to the demand for the
products produced by those resources. As a result, it is said that the demand for
resources is a derived demand. That means if the demand for houses increases, the
demand for construction workers will also increase. If the demand for corn increase,
the demand for farmland to grow corn will increase. The reason for that derived
demand comes from changes in product demand causing changes in a resource’s
marginal revenue product.
• When the demand for a product is tied to the purchase of some parent product, it is
called derived or induced demand.
• Example – all raw materials
• Opposite- Autonomous Demand
TYPES OF RESOURCES
• Fixed resources – Fixed resources are fixed. They don’t change as you produce more.
• Variable resources – Variable resources do change with the more that you produce.
Ø When it comes to producing things economists like to differentiate between the
short run and long run.
Ø A company is in short-run when they have at least one fixed resources .
Ø Long run is more about what could potentially happen in the future. So in long run all
resources are variable.
The law of diminishing marginal utility states that all else equal, as consumption increases,
the marginal utility derived from each additional unit declines. Marginal utility is the
incremental increase in utility that results from the consumption of one additional unit.
"Utility" is an economic term used to represent satisfaction or happiness.
PRODUCTION FUNCTION
Key terms
• Total Product (TP) is the number of units a firm can produce with a given quantity of
inputs.
• Average Product (AP) is the total number of units a firm produced divided by the
quantity of inputs used.
• Marginal Product (MP) is the change in total product (the number produced by all
workers) from hiring one more worker. If more than one worker is hired, the
marginal product is the change in output (Q) divided by the change in the quantity of
labor.
Number of workers Number of Cakes Calculate Marginal Product
0 0 -
1 5 (specialization) 5
3 20 5
4 22 2
5 22 0
1 $10 9 $90
2 $10 13 $130
3 $10 10 $100
4 $10 7 $70
5 $10 4 $40
6 $10 1 $10
7 $10 -2 -$20
• A firm’s demand for labor is equal to the marginal rvenue product of those workers
( the most a firm would be willing to pay for a worker= money that worker brings in
by hiring them)
EQUILIBRIUM WAGES
• The equilibrium comes from the interaction between supply and demand.
SHIFTS IN AD CURVE
FINANCIAL MARKET
There are four main determinants of the demand for goods and services
1. Consumption (C)
2. Investment (I)
3. Government purchases (G)
4. Net Export (NX)
The structure of total demand
Category % of GDP
Us, 2021, q4
CONSUMPTION, C
def: Disposable income is total income minus total taxes: Y D=Y −T
(Disposable income is closest to the concept of income as generally understood in economics.
Household disposable income is income available to households such as wages and salaries,
income from self-employment and unincorporated enterprises, income from pensions and
other social benefits, and income from financial investments (less any payments of tax, social
insurance contributions and interest on financial liabilities).
} Suppose a family’s aggregate income is $150,000, along with an effective tax rate of
27%. The disposable income for the family will be $109,500 [$150,000 – (27% x
$150,000)].
The Keynesian consumption function expresses the level of consumer spending depending
on three factors.
} Yd = disposable income (income after government intervention – e.g. benefits, and
taxes)
} a =autonomous consumption(consumption when income is zero. e.g. even with no
income, you may borrow to be able to buy food)
} b =marginal propensity to consume (the % of extra income that is spent). Also known
as induced consumption.
C = a + b Yd
} Consumption is primarily determined by the level of disposable income (Yd). Higher
Yd leads to higher consumer spending.
This model suggests that as income rises, consumer spending will rise. However, spending
will increase at a lower rate than income.
} At low incomes, people will spend a high proportion of their income. The average
propensity to consume could be one or greater than one. This means people spend
everything they have. When you have low income, you don’t have the luxury of being
able to save. You need to spend everything you have on essentials.
} However, as incomes rise, people can afford the luxury of saving a higher proportion
of their income. Therefore, as incomes rise, spending increases at a lower rate than
disposable income. People with high incomes have a lower average propensity to
spend.
The consumption function is the relationship between consumption and disposable income.
It is represented by an equation that models the factors that alter consumer spending—the
total individual and household purchases of consumer goods and services. The equation
indicates a reliance on changing incomes.
∂ C(Y D )
MPC=
∂YD
} Subjective factors
ü Unforeseen contingencies
ü Desire for self-display
ü Occupational motive
ü Far-sightedness
ü To leave a fortune foe one’s heirs
ü Improvement in production techniques
} Objective factors
ü Changes in income level
ü Wages and profit level
ü Windfall gains and losses
ü Changes in the rate of interest
ü Discovery of new product
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
} Current spending
} Capital spending
} Welfare spending
} Debt interest payment
TAXES AND GOVERNMENT PURCHASES
INVESTMENTS
Investmetns
The
investment function is I = I (r ),
where r denotes the real interest rate,
the nominal interest rate corrected for inflation.
} The real interest rate is
◦ the cost of borrowing
◦ the opportunity cost of using one’s own funds to finance investment
spending.
So, r I
r
Spending on investment goods
depends negatively on the real interest
rate.
INTEREST RATE
Two interest rates
} a nominal interest rate
} a real interest rate
Nominal interest rate: interest rate paid to banks for loans
MONETARY POLICY
Every state today needs an effective economic policy in order to function well. It consists,
among other things, of fiscal policy and monetary policy.
Fiscal policy is about tax rates. It regulates them so that both businesses and citizens are as
active as possible, which promotes the development of the state.
Monetary policy, on the other hand, concerns interest rates. The Monetary Policy Council
adjusts the level of rates so as to raise or lower economic activity in the country.
Fiscal policy results in lower or higher tax rates.
Monetary policy regulates interest rates Fiscal policy regulates state budget revenues
• Monetary policy is the branch of economic policy which manipulates the money
supply in society to regulate the aggregate market and manage the economy.
• Monetary base
The monetary base (or M0) is the total amount of a currency that is either in general
circulation in the hands of the public or in the form of commercial bank deposits held in the
central bank's reserves.
Eg: Narodowy Bank Polski the central bank of Poland
MONETARY BASE
MARKET
INCREASE/DECREASE IN MONEY SUPPLY
MONETARY POLICY TOOLS
• Buying securities adds money to the system, making loans easier to obtain and
interest rates decline.
• Selling securities from the central bank's balance sheet removes money from the
system, making loans more expensive and increasing rates.
2) Discount Rate
Discount rate, also called rediscount rate, or bank rate, interest rate charged by a central
bank for loans of reserve funds to commercial banks and other financial intermediaries.
The discount rate serves as an important indicator of the condition of credit in an economy.
Because raising or lowering the discount rate alters the banks’ borrowing costs and hence
the rates that they charge on loans, adjustment of the discount rate is considered a tool to
combat recession or inflation.
On the other hand, for controlling inflation, the CRR is generally increased, thereby
decreasing the lending power of banks, which in turn reduces the money supply in an
economy
BUISINESS CYCLE
Business cycle is the sequence of following periods of economic growth and crises, affecting
the whole range of economic activities.
Conclusions:
• Business cycle influence the whole economy (not just one or few sectors).
• Periods of growth and crises follow each other
• A business cycle is a cycle of fluctuations in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) around
its long-term natural growth rate. It explains the expansion and contraction in
economic activity that an economy experiences over time.
• A business cycle is completed when it goes through a single boom and a single
contraction in sequence. The time period to complete this sequence is called the
length of the business cycle.
• A boom is characterized by a period of rapid economic growth whereas a period of
relatively stagnated economic growth is a recession. These are measured in terms of
the growth of the real GDP, which is inflation-adjusted
• William Stanley Jevons points out that climatic conditions- good or bad create boom
and depression
• Pigou is of opinion that variations in business confidence and other psychological
factors cause fluctuations in business.
• Caused by innovations ( Schumpeter)
• Under or over-consumption ( JA Hobson)
• Non-monetary factors (Hawtrey)
• Excess of investment over voluntary savings
• Autonomous investment and induced investment(JR Hicks)
PHASES
We typically distinguish two phases
• Expansion
• Contraction
Phases are separated by
• Trough: end of contraction
• Peak: end of expansion
STAGES
1. Expansion
The first stage in the business cycle is expansion. In this stage, there is an increase in
positive economic indicators such as employment, income, output, wages, profits,
demand, and supply of goods and services.
Debtors are generally paying their debts on time, the velocity of the money supply is
high, and investment is high. This process continues as long as economic conditions
are favourable for expansion.
• Recovery or revival
It is a period wherein, economic activities receive stimulus and recover from the shocks.
• Prosperity or full-employment – Full employment may be defined as a situation
wherein all available resources are fully employed at the current wage rate.
• According to Prof. Haberler “Prosperity is a state of affair in which the real income
consumed, produced and the level of employment is high or rising and there are no
idle resources or unemployment workers or very few of either.”
2. Peak
• The economy then reaches a saturation point, or peak, which is the second stage of
the business cycle. The maximum limit of growth is attained. The economic indicators
do not grow further and are at their highest. Prices are at their peak. This stage
marks the reversal point in the trend of economic growth.
3. Recession
The recession is the stage that follows the peak phase. The demand for goods and
services starts declining rapidly and steadily in this phase. Producers do not notice
the decrease in demand instantly and go on producing, which creates a situation of
excess supply in the market. Prices tend to fall. All positive economic indicators such
as income, output, wages, etc., consequently start to fall.
4. Depression
There is a commensurate rise in unemployment. The growth in the economy
continues to decline, and as this falls below the steady growth line, the stage is called
a depression.
5. Trough
In the depression stage, the economy’s growth rate becomes negative. There is
further decline until the prices of factors, as well as the demand and supply of goods
and services, contract to reach their lowest point. The economy eventually reaches
the trough. It is the negative saturation point for an economy. There is extensive
depletion of national income and expenditure
6. Recovery
After the trough, the economy moves to the stage of recovery. In this phase, there is
a turnaround in the economy, and it begins to recover from the negative growth rate.
Demand starts to pick up due to low prices and, consequently, supply begins to
increase. The population develops a positive attitude towards investment and
employment and production starts increasing.
INFLATION
• Inflation refers to a general progressive increase in the prices of goods and services
in an economy. When the general price level rises, each unit of currency buys fewer
goods and services; consequently, inflation corresponds to a reduction in the
purchasing power of money.
• Some degree of inflation is natural, but excessive inflation can hurt consumers and
other participants in the aggregate economy.
INFLATION RATE
MARKET BASKET
The market basket is a sampling of the most commonly purchased goods and services in the
aggregate economy year to year.
• The market basket is a representative sample of the consumer goods and services
that are most frequently purchased in the aggregate economy year after year.
• It typically includes goods purchased on a regular basis by consumers to determine
their value.
• To determine the current year's market basket of consumer goods and services, the
prices of each good in the market basket are added together.
• The inflation rate is calculated by taking the difference in the same market basket
sample between two years and dividing it by the sum of the market basket in the
base year of comparison.
• So, in 2020 we can conclude the price increase in Poland by 20% (2/10*100) between
2019 and 2020.
• Inflation rate shows the percentage increase or decrease in prices of goods and
services in the aggregate economy in a given year.
P Q P Q P Q
Q2- What was the rate of inflation from 1990 to 1991, using the CPI you calculated in (Q1)?
DEFLATION
• When the overall price level decreases so that the inflation rate becomes negative, it
is called deflation. It is the opposite of the often-encountered inflation.
• General decrease in prices is a good thing because it gives consumers
greater purchasing power.
• Consumers are able to buy more with every dollar of disposable income.
• Maximize consumer utility
INFLATION
CAUSES OF INFLATION
It is supported and calculated by using the Fisher Equation on Quantity Theory of Money.
M*V= P*Y
where,
M = Money supply
V = Velocity of money
P = Price level
• P= MV/Y
• That means, if prices are changing there are 3 possible causes
• Y- Real GDP
• V- velocity of money – the average number of times that the dollar is used to
purchase final goods and services in a year.
• So of V and Y are relatively stable, that implies the only thing that cause an increase is
_____
• When money chases the same amount of goods and services , prices must _____
HYPERINFLATION
• Demand pull inflation is defined as a situation where the total monetary demand
persistently exceeds the total supply of goods and services so that prices are pulled
upwards by the continuous upward shift of the AD function.
• It arises as a result of an excessive aggregate effective demand over an aggregate
supply of goods and services in a slowly growing economy.
• It occurs when the aggregate demand for a good or service outstrips aggregate
supply, and it starts with an increase in consumer demand. Sellers try to meet the
higher demand with more supply. If they can't, then they raise their prices.
• Supply of goods and services will not match with rising demand.
• When AD shifts to the right there is greater pressure on existing factors of production
to produce more output.
• Prices go up – wages, price of capital, price of land goes up and that will increase the
cost of production.
• Thus, firms will then pass on that higher cost via higher prices of goods and services.
Causes Of Demand-Pull Inflation: Demand-pull inflation is typically caused by consumer
demand out-pacing total available supply. The demand of consumers may be caused by a
number of things, including:
1. Rising Inflation Rate
When the inflation rate rises then demand for goods and services usually rises as well
because people want to protect their money by buying goods while they are still affordable.
For example, the costs of homes are driven greatly by demand in any given market. When
demand increases faster than houses are being built, home prices grow.
2. Overall Economic Growth
When the economy is doing well, demand for goods and services usually goes up because
people have more money to spend. This is a result of more people being employed or a
competitive job market that has driven salaries up for many. Consumers also tend to spend
more money when they aren't worried about the status of their job. A growing economy
gives consumers peace of mind.
3. Technological Innovations
When new technologies are introduced, demand for the products and services that support
them often goes up. For example, when a new iPhone is released there becomes an
immediate demand for a case that will protect that phone. When iPhones were fairly new,
the number of suppliers making these cases was few, which meant the demand often
outweighed the supply and people paid more than they might be willing to pay today.
While these are the main three causes of demand-pull inflation, they can also be triggered
by things like government spending, an increase in printing money, or asset inflation when a
currency is undervalued.