Models For Environment Analysis 2 - PM
Models For Environment Analysis 2 - PM
Models For Environment Analysis 2 - PM
Contents
The basic models for the analysis of external environment of a business are:
PESTEL analysis
Porter’s diamond
The term ‘macro-environment’ is used to mean general factors in the business environment
of an entity, rather than specific customers, suppliers and competitors. Environmental
influences on an organisation vary with the size of the organisation, and the industry and
the countries in which it operates. The importance of environmental factors for strategic
management arises because:
the factors in the environment that have a significant effect on the entity and what
it does
the key drivers of change: these are the factors in the environment that will have
the greatest effect on the entity, and force the entity to change its strategies in
order to survive and succeed
the difference in impact that key drivers of change in the environment will have on
different industries or different markets, or how changes in the environment might
affect one particular entity more or less than other entities.
It is also important to consider the future impact of factors in the environment. The future
impact might be different from the impact that they have had in the past. Some factors
might grow in significance; others might become less significant.
The PESTEL model is used to identify significant factors in the macro environment of an
entity; while Porter’s Diamond model is used to analyse reasons why entities in particular
countries, or regions within a country, appear to have a significant competitive advantage
over similar entities in the same industry, but operating in other countries or regions.
PESTEL ANALYSIS
Section overview
The nature of PESTEL analysis
Political environment
Economic environment
Social and cultural environment
Technological environment
Ecological influences
Legal environment
1. Political environment
The political environment consists of political factors that can have a strong influence on
business entities and other organisations. Investment decisions by companies will be
influenced by factors such as:
the stability of the political system in particular countries
the threat of government action to nationalise the industry and seize ownership
from private business
wars and civil unrest
the threat of terrorist activity.
Political considerations are particularly important for business entities operating in
countries with unstable political regimes or dictatorships.
2. Economic environment
The economic environment consists of the economic influences on an entity and the effect
of possible changes in economic factors on future business prospects.
Economic factors could affect a decision by a company about where to invest. Tax
incentives, the availability of skilled labour, a good transport infrastructure, a stable
currency, energy (and its impact on the cost of production) and other factors can all
influence strategic choices.
4. Technological environment
The technological environment consists of the science and technology available to an
organisation (and its competitors), and changes and developments in science and
technology. Some aspects of technology and technological change affect virtually all
organisations. Developments in IT and computer technology, including the Internet, are the
most obvious example. Business entities that do not respond to changes in IT and
computerisation risk losing their share of the market to competitors. However,
technological change might also affect particular industries. Scientific developments in
food and drugs, for example, are having a continual impact on companies in these
industries.
For strategic planning, companies need to be aware of current technological changes and
the possible nature of changes in the future. Technology could have an important
influence, for example, on investment decisions in research and development, and
investment in new technology.
5. Ecological/Environmental Influences
The ecological or environmental environment consists of the influences of factors relating
to atmospheric pollution and related regulations. For business entities in some industries,
environmental factors have an important influence on strategic planning and decision-
making. They are particularly important for industries that are:
subject to strict environmental legislation, or the risk of stricter legislation in the future
(for example, legislation to cut levels of atmospheric pollution);
faced with the risk that their sources of raw materials will be used up (for example,
parts of the fishing industry and timber production industry); and
at the leading edge of technological research, such as producers of genetically modified
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foods.
For example, oil companies operating in the Niger Delta area of Nigeria have been forced
to deal with oil pollution due to increasing hostility from the host communities. Major oil
companies are investing in the development of energy from renewable energy sources,
such as the sea, wind and sun.
6 Legal environment
The legal environment consists of the laws and regulations affecting an entity, and the
possibility of major new laws or regulations in the future. Laws and regulations vary
between different countries, although international regulation is accepted in certain areas
of commercial activity, such as banking. Strategic decisions by an entity might be
affected by legal considerations. For example:
an international company might locate some operations, for tax reasons, in a country
with a favourable tax system;
decisions to relocate operations from one country to another could be affected by the
differences in employment law in the two countries, or by new employment legislation;
and
in many industries, companies are faced with environmental legislation or health and
safety legislation, affecting the ways in which they operate, as well as the design of the
products they make and sell.
7 International environment
International or global environment consists of all the factors that operate at the
transnational, cross-cultural and cross-the-border level which have an impact on the
business of an entity. Some of the important factors and influences operating in the
international environment include the following:
Globalisation
Global economic forces
Global financial system, etc
It is easier to use PESTEL analysis to identify environmental influences in the past and
present. It is not so easy to identify the environmental influences that will have the biggest
influence in the future.
PORTER’S DIAMOND
Porter’s Diamond model is used to analyse reasons why entities in particular countries, or
regions within a country, appear to have a significant competitive advantage over similar
entities in the same industry, but operating in other countries or regions. The emphasis in
Porter’s Diamond is National competitive advantage.
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Related and supporting industries
Demand conditions in the home market
Firm strategy, structure and rivalry
Porter’s Diamond model provides an analysis of the factors that give a country or region
a comparative competitive advantage. Porter argued that a key to national or regional
supremacy in a particular industry is the ability to innovate. Firms and industries must
innovate to remain successful: a country must encourage innovation in order to retain a
national comparative advantage.
Porter used a diamond shape to present the factors that create comparative competitive
advantage for a country over other countries. There are four inter-related elements, viz:
Favourable factor conditions
Related and supporting industries
Demand conditions in the home market
Firm strategy, structure and rivalry.
These four elements can be presented in a diagram in a diamond shape, as follows:
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1. Favourable factor conditions
‘Factors’ are the economic factors of production – land, labour, capital (equipment) and
raw materials. ‘Factor conditions’ are conditions in a market with regard to one or more of
these factors of production. Some factor conditions in a national market might be
favourable for companies operating in a particular industry, and give them a strong
national competitive advantage. Factor conditions in a country can be divided into two
categories:
basic factors; and
advanced factors.
Basic factors
Basic factors are factors of production that exist naturally in the country. These might be:
large amounts of suitable land, such as land for agriculture;
large quantities of natural materials, such as timber, fresh water, and mineral
resources such as oil and metals; and
a favourable climate.
For example, the basic factor conditions of climate and suitable soil help to explain why
countries such as France and Australia are successful at wine-making.
Advanced factors
Advanced factors are factors that are ‘created’ and developed over time. Unlike basic
factors, they are not ‘inherited’ and do not exist naturally. A country might be successful
at developing particular factors that make it easier for companies to compete more
successfully.
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Porter argued that the competitive benefits of an innovative supporting industry (or
related industry) are greater when firms in the supporting industry are themselves strong
competitors in global markets. In many industries, innovation depends on research and
development. Another feature of national competitive advantage may therefore be the
existence of companies with strong R&D departments, and universities that have research
departments with specialists in the industry.
As an example, it might be argued that strong local demand for wine, and sophisticated
local customers, has helped France to maintain its strong competitive position in the
global markets for wine. It has also been argued that in the Japanese market for
consumer electrical and
electronic goods, customers have very high expectations about the quality of products.
Companies are therefore forced to produce products to very high quality standards to
satisfy demand in the Japanese market. This creates a competitive advantage for
Japanese producers in foreign markets.
Note that a country is likely to retain a competitive advantage in industries whose key
employees have jobs that give the individual a high status in society. For example, the UK
has some comparative strength in investment banking: jobs as investment bankers have a
high status in UK society. Rivalry between local firms is also an important factor in
maintaining national or
regional competitive advantage. This is because rivalry forces producers to innovate, and
to keep on looking for ways of meeting customer needs better than their competitors. It has
been suggested for example that the international success of beer producing companies in
the Netherlands and Belgium is attributable to keen competition between producers in
those countries. Similarly, the success of pharmaceutical companies in Switzerland may
be attributable to the rivalry between Swiss firms in the industry.
Governments can help to create suitable conditions for national competitive advantage.
They can create an education and training system that develops appropriate labour skills
and knowledge.
They can help companies to raise their performance levels by enforcing strict
product standards.
They can create early demand for new and advanced products by purchasing the
products themselves.
They can stimulate rivalry between local firms by enforcing strict anti-trust
legislation.
Example: London
The success of London as a global financial centre can be explained using Porter’s
Diamond.
Competitive forces
Contents
Competition and markets
Industry competition:
Five Forces model
Life cycle model
Boston Consulting Group matrix (BCG matrix)
Strategic analysis
Analyse the external business environments and examine the opportunities and threats
that could arise from events or potential events at the global, national, industry or
competitive levels.
Analyse the position of a business in terms of its competitive strategy, plans and current
markets, drawing conclusions and giving simple recommendations on the chosen plans.
Note: Models for analysis include SWOT, Porter’s Five Forces, Life Cycle, BCG Matrix
Strategic choice
Evaluate the appropriateness of a chosen strategy that supports business objectives,
considering constraints, conflicts and other issues based on a given scenario. The
following models and tools may be employed in carrying out the evaluation:
Five forces model,
Life-cycle model and
Boston Consulting Group (BCG) model
Exam context
Having considered the external environment in the previous section we now switch the
focus to the internal environment. In this chapter you will see how business strategists
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think about their market and competitors using the Five Forces model. You will also see
how businesses look at their own product offerings using lifecycle and BCG analyses. The
section closes by showing how the external and competitor analyses are brought together
using SWOT analysis as a means for identifying opportunities and threats (i.e. the “OT” of
SWOT).
Companies in the same industry might not compete because they operate in different
markets. For example, a ferry company operating passenger services between the UK
and France is in the same industry as a ferry company operating passenger services
between the Greek islands, but they operate in different markets.
In their analysis of strategic position, management need to recognise which industries and
segments they operate in, and also which markets they are selling to. They also need to
recognise changing conditions in industries, segments and markets, in order to decide what
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their product-market strategies should be in the future.
Fragmented industries. In a fragmented industry, firms are small and sell to a small
portion of
the total market. Examples are dry cleaning services, hairdressing services, and shoe
repairs.
Emerging industries. These are industries that have only just started to develop, and are
likely
to become much bigger and much more significant in the future. An example is the space
travel
industry.
Mature industries. These are industries where products have reached the mature phase
of
their life cycle. (The product life cycle is described later.) Examples are automobile
manufacture
and soft drinks manufacture.
Declining industries. These are industries that are going into decline: total sales are
falling and the number of competitors in the market is also falling. An example is coal
mining in Europe.
Global industries. Some industries operate on a global scale, such as the microprocessor
industry and the professional football industry.
Convergence
Occasionally, two or more industries or industrial segments converge, and become part of
the same industry, with the same customer markets. When convergence happens, or might
happen in the future, this can have a major impact on business strategy.
These industries or industrial segments are now converging into a single industry, serving
the same customers. Voice, data and entertainment services can be delivered over the
same network. They can also be delivered to mobile telephones as well as to households.
As a consequence, these industries have undergone, and continue to undergo, major
strategic changes.
Technology is continuing to develop. It is now possible to download high quality TV
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pictures over the internet. Customers are able to receive voice, data and entertainment
services through the same hardware, anywhere and at any time.
New products and new services will emerge and markets for these products will grow
– examples are on-demand TV programmes, video conferencing, and narrowcasting
(delivering programmes to a targeted audience). Direct advertising services will also be
affected.
Inevitably, some companies will be ‘winners’ and some will be ‘losers’. The companies
that survive in the converging industries will be those that are most successful with their
strategic management.
Note: Porter argued that two factors affect the profitability of a company. These are:
i. industry structure and competition in the industry, and also
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ii. sustainable competitive advantage
When competition in an industry or market is strong, firms must supply their products or
services at a competitive price, and cannot charge excessive prices and make
‘supernormal’ profits. If they do not charge the lowest prices, firms must compete by
offering products that provide extra value to customers, such as higher quality or faster
delivery. When any of the five forces are strong, competition in the market is likely to be
strong and profitability will therefore be low. Analysing the five forces in a market might
therefore help strategic managers to choose the markets and industries for their firm to
operate in.
The significance of this threat depends on how easy or how difficult it would be for new
competitors to enter the market. In some markets, the cost of entering a new market can be
high, with new entrants having to invest in assets and establish production facilities and
distribution facilities. In other markets, the cost of entering the market can be fairly low.
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The costs and practical difficulties of entering a market are called ‘barriers to entry’.
When barriers to entry are low. If new entrants are able to come into the market without
much difficulty, firms already in the market are likely to keep prices low and to meet
customer needs as effectively as possible. As a result, competition in the market will be
strong and there will be no opportunities for high profit margins.
When barriers to entry are high. When it is difficult for new competitors to enter a market,
existing competitors are under less pressure to cut their costs and sell their products at
low prices.
A number of factors might help to create high barriers to entry:
Economies of scale. Economies of scale are reductions in average costs that are achieved
by producing and selling an item in larger quantities. In an industry where economies of
scale are large, and the biggest firms can achieve substantially lower costs than smaller
producers, it is much more difficult for a new firm to enter the market. This is because it
will not be big enough at first to achieve the economies of scale, and its average costs
will therefore be higher than those of the existing large-scale producers.
Capital investment requirements. If a new entrant to the market will have to make a large
investment in assets, this will act as a barrier to entry, and deter firms from entering the
market when they do not want the investment risk.
Access to distribution channels. In some markets, there are only a limited number of
distribution outlets or distribution channels. If a new entrant will have difficulty in gaining
access to any of these distribution channels, the barriers to entry will be high.
Domestic heating systems. Consumers might switch between gas-fired, oil fired and
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electricity-fired heating systems.
Transport. Customers might switch between air, rail and road transport services.
Food and drink products. Consumers might switch between similar products, such as
coffee and tea. When there are substitute products that customers might buy, firms must
make their products more attractive than the substitutes. Competition within a market or
industry will therefore be higher when the threat from substitute products is high. Threats
from substitute products may vary over time. There are many examples in the past of
industries that have been significantly affected by the emergence of new substitute
products.
Plastic containers and bottles became a significant substitute for glass containers and
bottles.
Synthetic fibres became a substitute for natural fibres such as wool and cotton. Word
processors and personal computers became a substitute for typewriters, and the market
for typewriters was destroyed.
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specifications, as a condition of buying. Strong buyers also make rival firms compete to
supply them with their products. In the UK, a notable example of buyer power is the
power of supermarkets as buyers in the market for many consumer goods. They are able
to force down the prices from suppliers of products for re-sale, using the threat of
refusing to buy and switching to other suppliers. As a result, profit margins in the
manufacturing industries for many consumer goods are very low.
Porter suggested that buyers might be particularly powerful in the following situations:
when the volume of their purchases is high relative to the size of the supplier;
when the products of rival suppliers are largely the same (‘undifferentiated’);
when the costs of switching from one supplier to another are low;
when the cost of purchased item is a significant proportion of the buyer’s total
costs;
when the profits of the buyer are low;
when the buyer’s product is not affected significantly by the quality of the goods
that it buys; and
when the buyer has full information about suppliers and prices.
5. Competitive rivalry
Competition within an industry is obviously also determined by the rivalry between the
competitors. Strong competition forces rival firms to offer their products to customers at a
low price (relative to the product quality) and this keeps profitability fairly low. Porter
suggested that competitor rivalry might be strong in any of the following circumstances:
when the rival firms are of roughly the same size and economic strength;
when there are many competitors;
when there is only slow growth in sales demand in the market;
when the products of rival firms are largely the same (‘undifferentiated’);
when fixed costs in the industry are high, so that firms still make some
contribution to profit even when they cut prices;
when supply capacity can only be increased in large incremental amounts (for
example, in electricity supply industry, where increasing total supply to the market
might only be possible by opening another power generation unit); and
when the costs of withdrawing from the industry are high, so that even unprofitable
companies are reluctant to leave the market.
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supplier
Importance of the product to
the firm
Competitive rivalry
Number of competitors
Size of competitors
Quality differences
Other differences
Costs for customers of switching to
a competitor
Customer loyalty
Ease of leaving the market (barriers
to exit)
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PRODUCT LIFE CYCLE MODEL
Section overview
The ‘classical’ product life cycle
Cost implications of the product life cycle
Relevance of the product life cycle to strategic management
Cycle of competition
Introduction phase- During this stage of a product life cycle, there is some sales demand
but total sales are low. Firms that make and sell the product incur investment costs, and
start-up costs and running costs are high. The product is not yet profitable.
Growth phase - During the growth phase, total sales demand in the market grows at a
faster rate. New entrants are attracted into the market by the prospect of high sales and
profits. At an early stage during the growth phase, companies in the market begin to earn
profits.
Maturity phase - During the maturity phase, total annual sales remain fairly stable.
Prices and profits stabilise. The opportunity for more growth no longer exists, although
the life of the product might be extended, through product updates. More companies might
seek to improve profits by differentiating their products more from those of competitors,
and selling to a ‘niche’ market segment.
Decline phase - Eventually, total annual sales in the market will start to fall. As sales
fall, so too do profits. Companies gradually leave the market. At some point in time, it is
no longer possible to produce and sell the product at a profit, and the product is therefore
discontinued by the last of the companies that makes it.
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Note that it is not all products that have a classical life cycle. Unsuccessful products
never become profitable. A business entity might be able to ‘revitalise’ and redesign a
product, so that when it enters a decline phase, its sales can be increased again, and it
goes into another period of growth and maturity. The length of a product life cycle can be
long or short. A broad type of product, such as a motor car, has a longer life cycle than
particular types of the product, such as a Volkswagen Beetle or a Ford Escort. At each
phase of a product’s life cycle:
selling prices will be altered;
costs may differ;
the amount invested (capital investment) may vary; and
spending on advertising and other marketing activities may change.
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withdrawal
Decision might be expensive
Cycle of competition
A cycle of competition is another concept for understanding the behaviour of competitors
in a market. When one company achieves some success in a market, competitors might try
to do something even better in order to gain a competitive advantage. A new initiative by
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one company will result in a counter-measure from another company. Each company in
the market tries to do something different and better. A typical cycle of competition
affects prices and quality. If one company has a large share of a profitable market, a
rival company might start to sell its product at a lower price. Another rival company
might improve the quality of its product, but sell it at the same price as rivals in the
market. The first company might respond to these initiatives by its rivals by improving its
product quality and reducing the selling price. The effect of a cycle of competition in a
growing market is that prices fall and quality might improve. In the maturity phase of a
product’s life cycle, or in the decline phase, it becomes more difficult to lower prices
without reducing quality. Competitors might try to gain a bigger share of the market by
selling at a lower price, but the product quality might be reduced. This can lead to a
‘spiral’ of falling prices and falling quality, to the point where the product is no longer
profitable, and it is less
attractive to customers. The concept of the cycle of competition is useful for strategic
analysis, because it can help to explain the strategies of companies in a market, and to
assess what future initiatives by competitors might be.
Notes
Market growth - The mid-point of the growth side of the matrix is often set at 10% per
year. If market growth is higher than this, it is ‘high’ and if annual growth is lower, it is
‘low’. It should be said that 10% is an arbitrary figure.
Market share - This is usually measured as the annual sales for a particular product or
business unit as a proportion of the total annual market sales. For example, if the product
of Entity X has annual sales of ₦100,000 and total annual sales for the market as a
whole are ₦1,000,000; Entity X has a 10% market share.
In the BCG matrix, however, market share is measured as annual sales for the product as
a percentage or ratio of the annual sales of the biggest competitor in the market. The mid-
point of this side of the matrix represents a situation where the sales for the firm’s product
or business unit are equal to the annual sales of its biggest competitor. If a product or
business unit is the market leader, it has a ‘high’ relative market share. If a product is not
the market leader, its relative
market share is ‘low’.
The BCG matrix is shown as follows. The individual products or business units of the firm
can be plotted on the matrix as a circle. The size of the circle shows the relative money
value of sales for the product. A large circle therefore represents a product with large
annual sales.
BCG matrix
The products or business units are categorised according to which of the four quadrants it
is in. The four categories of product (or business unit) are:
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Question mark (also called ‘problem child’);
Star;
Cash cow; and
Dog.
Question mark
A question mark is a product with a relatively low market share in a high-growth market.
Since the market is growing quickly, there is an opportunity to increase market share, but
initially it will require a substantial investment of cash to increase or even maintain
market share. A strategic decision that needs to be taken is whether to invest more heavily
to increase market share in a growing market, whether to seek a profitable position in the
market, but not as market leader, or whether to withdraw from the market because the
cash flows from the product are negative. The BCG analysis states that a firm cannot last
long with a small market share, as bigger companies will be able to apply great cost and
price pressure as they enjoy economies of scale.
Star
A star has a high relative market share in a high-growth market. It is the market leader.
However, a considerable investment of cash is still required to maintain its leading
position. Initially, they probably use up more cash than they earn, and at best are cash-
neutral. Over time, stars should gradually become self-financing. At some stage in the
future, they should start to earn high returns.
Cash cow
A cash cow is a product in a market where market growth is lower, and possibly even
negative. It has a high relative market share, and is the market leader. It should be
earning substantial net cash inflows, because it has high economies of scale and will have
become efficient through experience. Other companies will not mount an attack as they
perceive that the market is old and near decline. Cash cows should be providing the
business entity with the cash that it needs to
invest in question marks and stars.
Dog
A dog is a product in a low-growth market that is not the market leader. It is unlikely that
the product will gain a larger market share, because the market leader will defend the
position of its cash cow. A dog might be losing money, and using up more cash than it
earns. If so, it should be evaluated for potential closure. However, a dog may be
providing positive cash flows. Although the entity has a relatively small market share in a
low-growth market (or declining market), the
product may be profitable. A strategic decision for the entity may be to choose between
immediate withdrawal from the market (and perhaps selling the business to a buyer, for
example in a management buyout) or enjoying the cash flows for a few more years
before eventually withdrawing from the market. It would be an unwise decision, however,
to invest more capital in ‘dogs’, in the hope of increasing market share and improving cash
flows, because gaining market share in a low-growth market is very difficult to achieve.