Forex Strategies
Forex Strategies
Forex Strategies
Introduction
This collection of forex strategies and techniques is dedicated to help traders in their
research and development of trading techniques.
This e book is divided in 6 sections: Simple and advance. The first part are techniques that
can be perform for anyone regarding their skill level. The second part are for those traders
that have more experience trading in Forex. Remember start with the basics and simple
strategies until you develop a more confident trading and maybe you can do your own
strategies. The third part is all about learning about scalping, techniques and analysis, the
fourth part is about the Elliot Wave Theory. The fifth part is about how to trade using
Fibonacci and the Last part but not least important Money Management.
The examples are for showing purposes so please don´t look at the number just see them
as what they are, examples.
We hope you enjoy the book and will help you achieve your forex goals.
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW.
NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR
TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE
RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.
ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH
THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO
HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL
TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN
SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES IS MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.
THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION.
OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF
HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. Any
opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary,
and does not constitute investment advice. The Megaforex group will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without
limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance contained in the trading signals, or in any
accompanying chart analyses.
Sincerely yours,
Jack Vineda
CEO Fx-Megaforex
Table of Contents
Forex Strategies
Part 1
Simple Forex Strategies
In the graphic below the blue line is the EMA 5 and the Aqua line is EMA 10. The
yellow line is the trend.
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Forex Strategies
2. Parabolic SAR + ADX: This 2 indicators are found to work really well side by
side.
• Time Frame: Any
• Currency: Any
• Indicators: Parabolic SAR (0.02, 0.2) ADX 50 (with +DI, -DI lines).
• Entry Rules: SELL when the +DI line is below the -DI line, and Parabolic SAR
gives sell signal. When the +DI line is above the -DI line, all Parabolic Sar sell
signal should be ignored.
• BUY when the +DI line is above the -DI line, and Parabolic SAR gives buy signal.
When the +DI is below the -DI line, all Parabolic SAR buy signal should be ignored.
• Exit: When the +DI line and the -DI lines have crossed again.
3. EUR/USD Simple System: This strategy is only for this specific pair the
EUR/USD.
Currency Pair: EUR/USD
Time Frame: 30 min.
Indicators: MACD (12, 26, 9), Parabolic SAR (0.02, 0.2)
Entry: When Parabolic SAR gives buy signal and MACD lines crosses
upwards-buy.
When Parabolic SAR gives sell signal and MACD lines crosses downwards-
sell.
Exit: exit at the next MACD lines crossover or if the market start trading
sideways for some time.
Forex Strategies
5. Trend Line Tunnel: Creating a support and resistance tunnel on the price
congestion and trading on the break of this tunnel is a milestone strategy.
Time Frame: Any
Currency: Any
Entry: Find consolidation the chart and draw 2 horizontal trend lines-support
and resistance. Once the price breaks trough one of the trend lines and a
current price bar closes outside the tunnel buy/sell in the direction of the
breakout. (If prices pierces the trend line but did not close outside the tunnel,
cancel the previous trend line and draw another one according to the
conditions).
Also very often happens that once the price makes it through support and
resistance it rocks down/up very quickly and so more more aggressive entry
Forex Strategies
can be adopted without waiting for the current price bar to close.
Exit: not set, however, it is believed that the price after breaking the tunnel
will travel the distance equal to the width of that tunnel.
Advantages: very simple and extremely effective. It can provide
100% profitable entries if short profits are taken usually with the close of the
first candle right after the entry.
Disadvantages: very accurate and wll thought entry point should be
picked. Orders place very close to the tunnel can be triggered by sudden
whipsaw early before real breakthrough occur.
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Forex Strategies
6. H4 Bollinger Band:
Time Frame: 4hrs.
Currency: Any
Entry: If you open an H4 EUR/JPY chart and you insert the Bollinger Bands
(20) indicator, if you observe the chart you will see that the bands are simply
a resistance and Support. The Upper Band is the Resistance and the Lower
Band is the Support. If you pay attention to the chart you will see that most of
the time the price hit the upper band then it retraces back to the lower band.
The strategy is very simple: Wait until the price touches´s let´s say the upper
band and closes under it (not above it) and wait until the candle is formed,
when it finishes and the next candle opens under the previous upper band
then I enter a short trade with target =100 pips or until it touches the lower
band. Look at the bollinger band upper and lower, if they are both opened
which means upper band is UP and lower band is DOWN then is a
confirmation of a trade.
Forex Strategies
7. Trend Line simple trading: Trend line place and named. Trade opened
automatically in direction of trend line once price has move 5 points above
trend line in a BUY or 5 points below the trend line in a SELL. This provides a
degree of safety should the trend not go as planned.
Stop loss automatically set at 5 points below entry for a BUY and 5 points
above for a SELL.
Trade will stay active until trend line is broken by X number of points or if the
stop loss is triggered.
Forex Strategies
start chasing the price with a trailing stop by placing the stop just below the
lowest low of the previous 5 min. Or simply exit within 3 consecutive
hourly candles from the moment the trading order was filled.
10. RSI High and Low: If you combine the RSI with other indicators and with a
proper technical analysis can bring a new edge to your Forex trading.
Currency: Any
Time Frame: Any
Indicator: RSI (14) with levels at 70 and 30
Entry: Buy when the RSI has crossed below 30, formed a bottom, and then
crossed back up through 30.
Sell when the RSI has crossed above 30, formed a top, and then crossed
back down through 30.
Exit: Not set.
Advantages: RSI is a good indicator to refer for confirmation for any entry in
Forex Strategies
any simple or complex trading system. For current trading method it advises
well on entries, but opportunities occur not that often.
Disadvantages: monitoring is needed, still false signals take place. Strategy
is suggested to be in combination with others.
1. Multi Conditional:
Currency: Any
Time Frame: 1 hour+30 min+5min
Entry: On 5 minutes charts.
On 5 min. chart, for uptrend: if 14 EMA is above 21 EMA, then if both 14 EMA
and 211 EMA are above 50 EMA, then if 50 EMA is within the bollinger
bands borders, then go and check the 30 min. chart; if price bar is a up-close
bar and sitting on 14 EMA or 21 EMA and same again if 14 EMA is above 21
EMA, then if both 14 EMA and 21 EMA are above 50 EMA, then if 50 EMA is
Forex Strategies
Go short if:
Go to 5 min. chart for the downtrend. If 14 EMA is below 21 EMA then if both
14 EMA and 21 EMA are below 50 EMA, then if 50 EMA is within the
bollinger bands borders, then go and check the 30 min. chart; if price bar is
down close and touching in 14 EMA or 21 EMA, and same again:
If 14 EMA is below 21 EMA then if both 14 EMA and 21 EMA are below 50
EMA, then if 50 EMA is within the bollinger bands borders, then go short.
Or go an check same rules in the 1 hr. chart and then go SHORT. Of at least
one condition is violated stay away.
Exit: when one of the conditions is violated or the profit is high enough to
close the trade.
Forex Strategies
5 min. chart
30 min. chart
The purple line is EMA 50, white line EMA 21 and the yellow one EMA 14. Green Bollinger
band (20, 2).
Forex Strategies
2. Fibonacci trading: This strategy works with a small time frames (5 min., 15
min. 30 min. even and 1 hr.) thats because with the smaller the time frame
the risks of being wrong is always bigger.
Time Frame: over 5 min. and less than 3hr.
Currency: any
Indicators: 5WMA
Look at the price waves. Find the most recent swing high and the most
recent swing low = so called Fibonacci A swing and B swing.
Pull Fibonacci from A to B.
To know which direction to pull (down or up) simply look at the trend; if its
unclear, find appropriate AB swings and set Fibonacci in both directions.
Once set, wait and watch the retracement from AB swing to unfold. During
the retracement there are 3 conditions to be met in order to consider trading:
* The price must touch 5WMA.
* The price must at least touch 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
* The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level must not fail. Here it means the
price should not close below (uptrend) / above (downtrend) 0.618
retracement line. It can touch or poke it but the level withstand the attack.
When all 3 criteria are met, enter once the candle is clearly closed to 5 WMA
for LONG entry, below for SHORT Entry.
Stop order is always placed 4-5 pips above (downtrend) / below (uptrend) the
0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
Profit target is set to 1.618 Fibonacci expansion level derived from point A.
Forex Strategies
Buy when 3 EMA crosses 5 EMA upward in an uptrend market and both 3
and 5 EMAs cross a channel of 13 and 21 EMA and RSI is above 50.
Sell when 3 EMA crosses 5 EMA downward in a downward market and both
3 and 5 EMAs cross a channel of 13 and 21 EMA and RSI is below 50.
Note that additional entries are possible when 3 and 5
EMA cross back and then shortly after make a signaling cross again.
Note: that we get the signal to enter we always wait for the current price bar
to close and only then (if conditions have not change) open a position.
Forex Strategies
Within those 5 candles look for a valid swing high and swing low of the price.
Now, draw a downtrend line connecting your swing high to the most recent swing
high of the previous day. (make sure the last one is also a valid high to draw a
downtrend line through).
Do the same for the swing low.
If a trader sees, for example, no swings high in the 5 candle range that means there
will be no downtrend lines in the morning. Same for a swing low.
The entry is done on the break of either one of the trend lines and is immediate
without waiting for a current candle to close. A protective stop is placed just
above/below the candle that broke through the trend line.
Profit Target:
Usually the whole action is unfolded within the next 3 candles (count the candle that
had violated the trend line but only if it closed on the other side of the trend line).
So, after the actual breakout we have 3 hours or 3 candles to trade after that we will
exit with whatever profits is made.
7. Fibonacci Trading:
Time Frame 3 hr. or 4 hr.
Currency: any
Indicators: Fibonacci Tool, EMA 100-green, SMA 150-red, RSI 14 on a daily
chart.
Fibonacci retracement levels.
Stop Loss: 100 pips but adjust according to the most recent swing high and
low.
Profit Target: No set.
Trading Rules:
Find the closest to the current price wave with a distance from high to Low
over 100 pips.
Apply Fibonacci on it no matter if the wave is going up or down, only size
matters.
The corridor between 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and 0.618
retracement on the chart will be called a ¨must channel¨.
Fibonacci retracement level will be numbered always from bottom to top no
matter whether it is an up or a down wave. At the bottom we will always have
0.250 and so on and finally on top 0.750 Fibonacci retracement level.
Entry:
Always enter only according with both:
*EMA and SMA trend suggestion (ex. Green on top-uptrend, red on top-
downtrend.
*RSI suggestion (ex. Reading below 50 only sell, above only buy orders).
Now, after applying Fibonacci on a wave bigger than 100 pips we wait for the
price to go inside a ¨must channel¨area, at least to make 1 pip into the
channel. Only then the next rules will be valid:
*If a full candle (including shadows) is closed below 0.250 Fibonacci r
retracement, we go short. If we are currently long, it is time to close long
position, it is an exit rule as well.
*If a full candle (including shadows) is closed above 0.750 Fibonacci
Forex Strategies
* Set a Buy and a Sell order 10% above and below current close price.
* Set a Target Profit at 10% above or below your Buy or Sell order.
Keeping Equity Management in mind set a new order before each major
session open.
Forex Strategies
Example:
10. Big Ben Trading Strategy: Big Ben is a currency-specific trading strategy designed to
capture the first directional intraday move that often occurs within the first few hours after
the Frankfurt/London market openings, which begin at approximately 1 a.m. ET.
The strategy works best with the British pound/U.S. dollar (GBP/USD) rate.
Because this currency rate trades lightly outside of London trading hours, the surge in
trading every morning in the U.K. gives it a “real” market opening, which the strategy looks
to exploit. Figure 1 shows pound/dollar trading is virtually nonexistent during Asian trading
hours. When London opens, however, the pound/dollar accounts for nearly one-quarter of
all forex trading. Currency rates with more continuous, 24-hour trading will have less of a
distinct open/close as they pass through the different money centers. For example, the
dollar/yen rate (USD/JPY), which dominates fore x activity during Asian trading hours (78
percent of volume), still accounts for 17 percent of trading during European
hours. B e f o re explaining the specific logic behind the methodology, let’s take a look
at what needs to occur for a trade to set up.
The rules
The following rules are for short trades, but the strategy can be reversed to trade
on the long side.
Setup:
1. The pair makes a new range low at
least 25 pips (a pip is the forex equivalent
Forex Strategies
1. ADX and Bollinger Bands: Some scalpers receive help by using ADX
(Average Directional Index) and Bollinger Bands. ADX does not show the direction of the
current trend but the strength. Reading below 20 indicates a weak trade, reading just
above 20 gaining new strength and reading above 40 very strong trend.
It is that simple scalping when the market is weak-below 20 or just above 20-keep out.
Bollinger bands can help you determine trends and specially upcoming trend reversals.
When price moves outside Bollinger bands it suggests a continuation of the current trend,
while bottoms and tops made outside the Bollinger bands change to bottoms and tops
made later inside the Bollinger Bands suggests upcoming trend reversal.
2. Economic News Release: Look for the important news to be release. Choose the most
influential ones that are expected to shake market well. Once got news, find out which
currency pair is going to be affected.
Forex Strategies
1. Now, 15 minutes before the data is released place buy/sell stop orders in both sides 15
pips away from th current price. Half an hour prior to the big news Forex market usually
flats out.
When the big news is release, the currency will move easily producing large pip
movements in either direction. Using this scalping strategy, traders will be able to get in
and out of the trade in seconds at almost zero risk.
Another Strategy wait 15 min. after the news is released: wait for a 15 min. candle to
close. Then place 2 orders -a buy 2 pips above the high of the close 15 min. candle and a
sell 2 pip below the low. Waiting for a 15 min. candle to close allows the market to settle
and move to one direction. Set a 20 pip take profit and 20 pip stop loss. Don´t trade if the
range is bigger than 70 pips and obviously don´t trade if the spreads are too big during this
volatile period.
If your order is triggered and the trade moves against you, let your stop loss kick you out
and watch reached the next order. In most cases if the initial trade goes against you and
the other ones fires you will recover your losses with the 2 trade.
3. Morning Scalping: Place 2 orders: above and below the last candle´s high and low at
8:00 am EST and join morning stretching having your 5 pips daily and safely. Use it with
the currencies pairs: EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
4. Tops and Bottoms:
Time Frames: 5. 15, 30 min. 1, 3 hr. and 1 day-just one chart at a time.
Indicators: 20 EMA and 40 EMA for all time frames.
ADX 14 for all time frames.
Currency: Any
Entry: Find the chart with ADX being over 30 mark, which will indicate a strong trend. We
start with a daily chart and continue the search moving downwards until we find the chart
with ADX over 30 mark.
In case several times frames meet requirements we opt for the highest time frame.
Having chosen the time frame, we are ready to trade the first bounce off on the 20 EMA.
We set a limit order close to 20 EMA: accordingly: in a downtrend we expect the price to
touch 20 EMA from below, then reverse and move down, in an uptrend from above reverse
Forex Strategies
moment of the entry there is only one dot on the chart-set stop at this dot.
Profit target: 1st. 5Pips
2nd only when an opposite signal appears both SARs change direction or when the stop
(by that time is usually a profit stop or at least a break even situation) is hit. If before that
you feel that profits are already high to keep lock them earlier.
Want an even better entry? Then open an additional 1 min. chart with the same settings
and once got a signal from 5 min. chart, look at 1 min. Does the price confirms/moves in
your direction or it is going the opposite way. Wait until the price on 1 min. chart aligns with
5 min. chart.
Forex Strategies
Parte 4
Elliot Wave Guide
In the 1930s, Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered that freely traded markets are patterned.
More specifically, he discovered that moves in
the direction of the larger trend unfold in 5 waves and that moves against the larger trend
(corrections) unfold in 3 waves.
Elliott studied multiple time frames, ranging from yearly to half-hourly, of the Dow Jones
Industrial and Dow Jones Transport
(considered more important at the time) indexes. He found the same patterns, regardless
of time frame. This concept, that a market
exhibits a similar structure at all degrees of trend (much like tree, which is made up of
smaller versions of itself), would later come to be
known as fractal (see Figure 1).
Although initially concentrated on stock markets, Elliott expanded his study to various
commodities markets and found the same
patterns! He wondered why markets that are supposedly driven by different outside events
would exhibit the same patterns. The
answer is that market trends are not a product of outside forces, but are instead a product
of human psychology, which follows the
wave principle.
FIGURE 1: The basic 5-3 pattern is evident at all degrees of trend
This advanced guide expands on the basic Elliott Wave guide by presenting in more detail
the patterns that Elliott discovered.
Forex Strategies
Motive Waves
Movements in the direction of the trend of one larger degree trend unfold in 5 waves are
referred to as motive waves. Notice in Figure
1 that waves 1, 3, 5, A, and C each divide into 5 waves. These waves are with the trend of
one larger degree, which divide into 5
waves. On the other hand, waves 2, 4, and B divide into 3 waves because these waves
are against the trend of one larger degree.
Forex Strategies
Diagonal
Diagonals are known to traditional chartists as wedges. A diagonal is most common in the
5th wave position that follows an especially
strong 3rd wave. In such instances, the pattern is referred to as en ending diagonal. In an
ending diagonal, each wave (1,2,3,4,5)
consists of 3 waves and waves 2 and 4 can overlap.
Figure 3: An ending diagonal in the 5th wave position following an especially strong 3rd
wave
Reversals from ending diagonals are sharp and the entire diagonal is usually fully
retraced. The position is initiated near the line that
connects waves i and iii (this estimates the end of wave v). The initial stop is not clearly
defined since the position is initiated near the
5th wave extreme.
Triangles
Triangles are common as 4th waves, B waves (and X waves…see combinations). The
pattern consists of 5 overlapping (and usually
contracting) waves labeled A, B, C, D, and E. Each one of these waves is composed of 3
waves.
Forex Strategies
Elliot in Action
Elliott wave practitioners will often say that “it’s all about 5’s and 3’s”. 5 waves in one
direction indicate that the larger degree trend is in that direction. Knowing the larger
degree trend enables the trader to position for the big move.
Part 5
Fibonacci Trading
Who was Fibonacci?
Leonard Fibonacci was a famous Italian mathematician and discovered a simple series of
number that created ratios describing the natural proportions of things in the universe.
This series of numbers is derived by starting with 1 followed by 2 and then adding 1+2 to
get 3, the third number. Then, adding 2+3 to get 5, the fourth number, and so on.
After the first few numbers in the sequence, if you measure the ratio of any number to that
of the next higher number you get .618.
These ratios are called the golden mean.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
0.236, 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, 0.764
Fibonacci Extension Levels
0, 0.382, 0.618, 1.000, 1.382, 1.618
Traders use the Fibonacci retracement levels as support and resistance levels. Since so
many trader watch these same levels and place buy and sell on them to enter trades or
place stops, the support and resistance leveles become a self fulfilling expectation.
Traders use the Fibonacci extension levels as profit taking level.
Most charting software include both Fibonacci retracement levels and extension level
tools. In order to apply Fibonacci levels to your charts, you will need to idetify swing High
and Swing Low points.
A swing High is a candlestick with at least 2 lower highs on both left and right itself.
A swing Low is a candlestick with at least 2 higher lows on both left and right of itself.
Forex Strategies
Fibonacci Retracement
In an uptrend, the general idea is to go long the market on a
retracement to a Fibonacci support level. In order to find the
retracement levels, you would click on a significant Swing Low and
drag the cursor to the most recent Swing High. This will display each
of the Retracement levels showing both the ratio and corresponding
price level.
Forex Strategies
The placement of stops is a challenge. It´s probably best to place stops below the Last
swing low (on an uptrend) or above the swing high (on a downtrend), but this requires a
high level of risk proportion to the likely profit potential in the trade.
Another problem is determining which swing Low and Swing High points to start from to
create Fibonacci Retracement Levels. The point is there is no one right way to do it, but
the bad thing is sometimes it becomes a guessing game.
use is to move your stop below/above each new candle only after the market moves
in your favor.
Now matter what indicator/method you choose for stop trailing purposes, the goal is
to achieve a break even point as soon and as safe as possible.
In order to successfully use this alternative method, your entries should never be
taken near or exactly at reversal levels (because such entries often develop into a
negative trade first before turning into a winner not the best option in this case)
instead you should look to enter with a trend on a move that´s already in progress.
Either way both scenarios had one thing in common free trades.
3. Lot size management:
*Rule #1: If you win your first trade in a series you count it as a win and start a new
series.
*Rule #2: When you lose, you keep trading the same size lot until you hit a winner.
After 1 win you trade equal to the aggregate of the previous losses (example after
4 losses at 1 lot followed by 1 win at 1 lot you increased your trading size to the
sum of the 4 losses-4 lots in this example).
*Rule #3: If you have a series of losses, one win, then another series of losses you
trade the size of your most recent bet multiplied by the length of the larger losing
streak;
Example: after 2 losses at 1 lot, 1 win at 1 lot, 3 losses at 2 lots, and 1 win at 2 lots,
you are now betting at 6 lots (3 losses by 2 lots).
A natural result of this system is that there are circumstances where the trader will
be break even before two consecutive wins. This happens when a second win is
achieved within the number of trades equal to the largest losing streak of the series.
Example: LLLLWLLW would actually result in a break even case.
The biggest risk is a big series of losses with intermittent wins that are not
consecutive. Example: LLLLWLLLLLLLW translates to trading at 28 lots per trade
following that second win. Add 2 losses to this examples and you are down 56 lots
and still looking for 2 consecutive wins.
Forex Strategies
Conclusions
• Forex is the largest financial market in the world. With over $3 trillion trade every
day.
• Forex is high risk investment, but if you are discipline, educated and follow a trading
system your investment will increase in a constant, easy way.
• Always use a stop loss, remember the formula low risk, high leverage.
• Trading in Forex is not about gamble, you have to have a set of rules. You need a
plan to make money.
• Good money management is required to be a successful trader in Forex.
• Before you count your profits be sure to know how much are you willing to lose.
• Trading in Forex is a psychological event. Always losing or gaining money is a
psychological event you need to be responsible. Not been greedy and also cutting
losses is the key in this game.
• And finally every successful trader likes to learn every time he has the opportunity,
so never stop searching and learn.