Rural Finance Handout
Rural Finance Handout
Rural Finance Handout
Rural Finance
AgEc2092
ECTS = 5
Compiled By:
MIDEKSA DABESSA (MSc, in Agricultural Economics)
Compiled By Mideksa D.
Rural Finance
Rural finance is an important subject matter for small scale farmers and modern farming
businesses. However, rural finance has faced various problems and challenges in which
case there is a common opinion to follow a new approach for successful operation in
rural area, and agriculture as well.
Recently, rural and agricultural finance have changing and emerging paradigm whereby
various facts and opinions are commonly understood and developed as to how to bring
about development and decrease poverty in rural areas of least developing countries. By
now, there is a great focus and commitment to follow a new paradigm for rural finance
based on past experiences learnt.
There is a great deal of ambiguity among finance, rural finance, agricultural finance, and
microfinance. Finance is narrowly interpreted as capital in monetary form that is in terms
of funds lent or borrowed, normally for capital purposes, through financial markets or
institutions.
Rural finance, as defined by the World Bank, is the provision of a range of financial
services such as savings, credit, payments and insurance to rural individuals, households,
and enterprises, both farm and non-farm, on a sustainable basis. It includes financing for
agriculture and agro processing.
Microfinance is the provision of financial services for poor and low income people and
covers the lower ends of both rural and agriculture finance.
Financial analysis related to farm income, repayment capacity, and risk management
indicates the total amount of capital the farm business can profitably and safely use.
Information and knowledge on the legal aspects of borrowing, leasing, and contractual
arrangements helps the farmer select the means of acquiring and controlling resources
that will contribute most to the farming operation.
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1.2. Roles of Rural Finance and Financial Systems
What are the roles of finance for growth and development? How does the duty of finance
be smoothly operated? Finance and financial systems are highly related concepts.
Acquisition of finance for some business objectives will be effective if the acquired
finance is managed by appropriate financial systems.
Policy should be directed at developing a market-based financial system for rural finance,
but because of market failures to support disadvantaged groups, a special-priority
program may be needed to get credit to women, smallholders and the rural non-formal
sector. Subsidizing interest rates is not the way to help marginal borrowers. Instead, they
can be helped through fixed-cost subsidies and self-selected targeting. Commercial banks
should be encouraged to lend on other bases than the mortgage and passbook system.
They should consider lending for such downstream agricultural activities as agro-
processing. To improve rural financing, the system of property rights, title and default
enforcement must also be strengthened, among other reforms.
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The financial system plays a key role in a market economy because of its importance in
mobilizing and allocating resources to finance agricultural investment projects that are
necessary for economic development. A poorly functioning financial system can be a
major constraint to private investment and entrepreneurship without which growth would
be difficult to sustain over the long run. Investment can be constrained by low returns on
investment or high cost of finance. In turn, high cost of finance can be traced to bad
external finance or bad local finance, while bad local finance can be caused by low
savings or poor financial intermediation.
Financial systems ease market frictions and in the process influence the allocation of
resources across space and time. The costs of acquiring information, enforcing contract,
and making transactions create incentives for the emergence of particular types of
financial contracts, markets and intermediaries.
It is recognized that rural areas and populations remain underserved, yet economic
development for these areas and populations are key components in the overall
development of a country. The donor community and providers entering the market have
shown a renewed interest in economic growth leading to poverty reduction within rural
populations. In spite of their renewed commitment, significant challenges to the
successful implementation of effective delivery of services and outreach remain
prevalent. Given these facts the question remains: what are these challenges and what can
institutions do to respond to them to make agriculture credit work?
Some factors unique to rural and agricultural markets that constrain both the supply and
demand for finance in those areas could be economic, political, legal, institutional, and
weather related.
Economic challenges: Rural finance faces varieties of challenges resulting from the
economic reality of a country including the following:
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1) Transaction costs – High transaction costs for both borrowers and lenders;
2) Economic activities – Often limited economic opportunities available to local
populations;
3) Risk – High risks faced by potential borrowers and depositors due to the variability of
incomes, exogenous economic shocks and limited tools to manage risk;
4) Concentration of activities – Heavy concentration on agriculture and agriculture
related activities exposes clients and institutions to multiple risks;
5) Crowding – Crowding out effect due to subsidies and directed credit;
6) Portfolio concentration – Increased risks associated with the concentration of a
portfolio on agricultural activities;
7) Collateral – Lack of adequate or usable collateral (lack of assets, unclear property
rights);
8) Infrastructure – Undeveloped or inadequate infrastructure;
9) Land fragmentation – Land held may be too small to be sustainable in an optimal use;
and
10) Sources of income – Individuals may be dependent upon only one crop with no other
external sources of income.
Political, legal and institutional challenges: The following are some of the political,
legal, and institutional challenges faced in rural finance.
1) Institutional capacity – Weak institutional capacity including poor governance and
operating systems, low staff and management skills;
2) Political intervention – Risk of political intervention, which can undermine payment
morale through debt forgiveness and interest rate caps;
3) Policy – Inhospitable policy, legal and regulatory frameworks;
4) Legal systems – Undeveloped legal systems, inadequate contract enforcement
mechanisms;
5) Information – Lack of reliable information about borrowers; and lack of market
information and/or market access
Cultural and geographical challenge: Cultural and geographical challenges are the
common problems faced in rural finance some of which are listed below:
1) Population density and demand – Generally lower population density and dispersed
demand;
2) Repayment culture – History of poor repayment culture, many in the rural
populations historically associate poverty reduction efforts with charity from NGO’s
and view the microfinance institutions in the same way making it a challenge to
develop good repayment behavior; and
3) Accessibility – It is sometimes difficult to gain access to the communities and to get
the community to accept credit terms.
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Rural Finance
2) Natural disaster – Susceptibility to natural disasters which can cause sudden and
severe devastation to livelihoods; and
3) Seasonality – potentially affecting both the client and the institution
Unfortunately, financial services providers in rural markets are not able to choose which
challenges they will face. More often than not the various challenges reinforce and
compound each other. For example, the high risk inherent in agriculture means increased
importance in screening and monitoring of clients and therefore higher transaction costs
for both clients and institutions, which are exacerbated by the dispersion of the client
base and small loan sizes. Calvin Miller (2004) has identified 12 key challenges in rural
finance. These challenges can be grouped into four as vulnerability constraints,
operational constraints, capacity constraints, and political and regulatory constraints in a
country.
Operational constraints: These constraints are caused by low investment returns, low
investment and asset levels, and low geographical dispersions of the rural financial
institutions in a country. These constraints include: (1) low growth potential, (2) low
velocity of capital, (3) non-competitive technologies, (4) lack of market integration, (5)
lack or quality of roads and communication, (6) low efficiencies of business operations,
and (7) high operating costs.
Political and regulatory constraints: These challenges include political and social
interference, and regulatory framework. They are related to the following challenges: (1)
political interference, (2) NGO donation interference, (3) cultural and gender constraints,
(4) land tenure laws, and (5) financial regulations and tax policy.
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UNIT TWO: RESOURCE ACQUISITION AND USE OF CREDIT IN
AGRICULTURE
The capital requirements of a farm or ranch business are large and increasing due to
inflation, technological change, and increase in farm size. With the need to control land,
machinery, livestock, and other resources worth hundreds of thousands of dollars, many
prospective young farmers as well as policymakers are asking with increasing concern,
"How can the capital needed for a viable farming operation be acquired?"
The questions related to the amount, type, timing, and benefits of credit are very
important for a farmer's decision in acquiring additional funds using credits. How should
a farmer decide how much credit to use in the farm operation and where to use it? What
are the contributions that credit can make? What types of credit are available? How a
farmer can work with a lender for successful credit?
Resources of a farm business are limited in which case an owner of a farm business
should try to acquire the optimum size of financial and other resources in order to involve
in an optimum size of operation. These resources have various sources including internal
and external sources.
Sources of funds used to control capital assets can be classified as equity and non-equity
or debt financing. Equity capital is the capital owned by the operator while nonequity
capital is the capital gained from debt financing. They include savings and retained
earnings, gifts and inheritance, pooling equity capital through a partnership or
corporation, leasing, contract farming, and borrowing.
Assume you get a certain amount of capital. Let its source be either from your own
earnings, or borrowing from your friend or bank. Which source makes you more
confident to use? Is there any source which makes you less confident?
Despite the growing financial barriers to farm business entry, on going farm business
firms can use their own capital sources to improve and diversify their farms. However,
accumulating the beginning equity base needed to start farming by saving part of one's
earnings from farm or non-farm employment is difficult. Because of this limitation of
equity capital, farm operators are required to use nonequity capital.
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Because of the dominance of family farm in most countries' agriculture, much of the
owner equity in agriculture can be acquired through gifts and inheritances from the
previous generation of farm operators. The disadvantage of this type of source of capital
is that such funds are often not received when needed most. The availability of such
funds for young farmers depends on the average life expectancy in a country.
There are several methods of combining equity capital in a farm business. One of the
most common is the case where older farmers furnish capital to younger family members
through partnership, incorporation, or some other type of formal or informal agreement.
Although these arrangements are usually made among members of the same family, two
or more unrelated individuals can pool their equity in a farm business. Formal agreements
are not always necessary to use the equity in an existing operation as a base for growth
and expansion. Informal arrangements for exchanging labor for machinery or possibly
renting land from a successful neighbor or relative can reduce the need for large capital
investments and provide management assistance in the early years.
The primary advantages of pooling equity capital are to take advantage of economies of
size and to distribute risk among two or more persons. Generally, the participants in a
farm business venture should share profits in direct proportion to their respective
contributions of labor, management, and capital. Failure to recognize this basic rule is
almost certain to result in an unsatisfactory arrangement. Other essentials of a successful
business organization involving two or more farmers include the following:
The goals of all participants should be compatible;
They should be capable of getting along together and respecting each other's
judgment;
The business must be large enough to provide an adequate living for all parties; and
Good records, sound farm management, and common sense in the handling of money
will help to avoid disagreement.
The pooling of equity capital follows various organizations including partnerships, and
incorporation to pool capital from family members, and non-farm equity capital from
nonfarm investors.
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incorporating a farm business. The advantage of a corporation from a financing stand
point is that the owners have limited liability. There are also a number of disadvantages
associated with incorporating a farm business, and they should be carefully and
thoroughly considered. Management of the farm not in line with the interest of minority
owners, and additional time, expenses, and taxes paid unlike other farm business
organizations are some of the major disadvantages.
Nonfarm equity capital in agriculture: Most farm partnerships and corporations are
formed for the purpose of pooling equity capital of family members, to reduce taxes, or to
facilitate estate planning. In some cases, however, the objective may be to bring in capital
from nonfarm investors. The most common legal entities used are corporations and
partnerships involved in cattle feeding, livestock breeding, vineyards, orchards, poultry
operations, vertical integration, and various types of real estate, equipment, and livestock
leases.
2.1.4. Leasing
A lease is basically a capital transfer agreement that gives the lessee (the user farmer)
control over assets owned by the lessor for a specific period of time for an agreed-upon
payment or rent. Leasing is an alternative to purchase an asset in order to acquire the
services of that asset. By leasing an asset the lessee essentially acquires its use value from
the lessor, who actually purchased and owns the asset.
There are various types of leasing facilities. The major types of leasing common in
agriculture include financial lease, operating lease, and leverage lease. Financial lease is
a contract that is non-cancelable and the lease period is usually shorter than the useful life
of the asset being leased. During the life of the contract all of the cost of the property plus
financing and servicing charges should be recovered through periodic payments. The
lease assumes complete financial responsibility for the leased asset; and, if operated
successfully, the lessor or owner will recover original investment.
Operating lease is a service available for which there is an established leasing and
second-hand market. Assets are leased over periods from around six months, shorter
periods being more in the nature of plant hire, up to three years for most types of
equipment and machinery. An operating lease may be alternative when a firm requires a
machine for a relatively short period. The operating lessor's function in assuming the
obsolescence risk in uncertain circumstances is comparable to an insurance contract.
Under leverage lease the lessee assigns his interest in a purchase order to lessor who
agrees to advance only a portion of the total asset cost, and arranges to borrow the
remaining portion from institutional lenders.
Leasing covers various assets including real estate, machinery, and livestock leasing.
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Real-estate leasing: Leasing is a common way for farmers to obtain control of additional
land. Real estate leases can be the share lease or the cash lease. With a share lease part of
a crop or livestock production is paid to the lessor as rent. With cash leasing
arrangements, the lessor is paid a specified cash payment and usually furnishes the land,
building, and other improvements. The concepts of cash and share rent are sometimes
combined in what is called standing rent. In this case, in place of cash, the rental payment
is made in a fixed measure of products, i.e. the dollar amount of rent the lessor receives
varies with the price of the product, as it would with share rent, but the amount of product
he will receive is known in advance.
Machinery leasing: Purchase of machinery often with borrowed funds is the traditional
method of acquiring control over farm machinery. However, rapidly rising machinery
prices have prompted many farm operators to consider leasing as an alternative to
ownership of farm equipment. It can be operating lease, or financial lease. An operating
lease is a short term contract in which case the farm operator leases the equipment by the
hour, day, week, and month, etc. The lessor is responsible for insurance, taxes, and major
repairs, and the lessee covers variable expenses such as fuel, lubricants, and routine
maintenance.
However, there are many variations of operating lease including custom hiring, an
operating lease arrangement whereby the owner of the equipment furnishes the machine
operator in addition to covering all operating expenses, and a full-service lease, an
operating lease contract under which the lessor assumes total responsibility for all repairs
and maintenance costs. The financial lease, in contrast to the operating lease, is a long
term contract under which the lessor essentially provides financing to the lessee. Usually
the lessee is responsible for all repairs and maintenance just as if he had purchased the
equipment outright.
Livestock leasing: The typical livestock-share lease contract usually covers land,
buildings, and livestock. These contracts cover basic herd livestock such as dairy cows,
beef cows, and sows. The lessor assumes fixed ownership costs including depreciation,
taxes, and interest on investment, while the lessee is responsible for variable costs such as
feed, housing, veterinary services, and labor.
Advantages of leasing to the lessee: Some of the merits of leasing from a lessee's point
of view are the following:
1. Asset procurement: Leasing may be the cheapest means of obtaining the use of the
most suitable machinery or equipment because of import or export controls or patent
rights.
2. Additional source of finance: By leasing, the use of asset is obtained without capital
outlay. It also raises debt capacity of the firm as additional source of finance.
3. Certainty: It has the fixed nature of a leasing contract to the lessor and to the lessee.
This assures the availability of an asset with certainty.
4. Flexibility: Leasing arrangements are very flexible.
5. Convenience: Leasing is regarded by lessees as a simple and convenient method of
financing the acquisition of capital assets.
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6. Disposal problem: There is no disposal problem associated with leasing.
7. Higher incomes: An operating lease tend to inflate the incomes of early years of life
compared with the expenses resulting from buying the asset.
8. Step-by-step financing
9. A well-defined cost
10. Maintenance is cheap and certain: With leasing the maintenance may be contracted
and this contract may be attractive.
Disadvantages of leasing to the lessee: The advantages of leasing over other forms of
finance in any given circumstances need to be weighted against the possible
disadvantages listed below:
1. Ownership flexibility: A purchaser of asset avoids any of the restrictions found in
leasing agreements concerning the operation of the asset and the requirement to
obtain the lessor's approval to the insurance arrangements.
2. Residual value: A lessee gives up some or all of the benefit of the residual value of
the asset at the end of lease period.
3. Security value: A lessee is unable to include the leased asset in a pool of assets which
is then available as security for general borrowing.
4. Understatement of assets: The right to use asset for a major part of its useful life is an
intangible asset which is not shown on a lessee's balance sheet unless leased assets
are capitalized at economic value.
5. Prestige: Ownership may be thought to be prestigious and to give an emotive sense of
satisfaction denied to lessees.
An increasing amount of resources used in the farming sector can be furnished by farm
input suppliers, processors, and distributors under various types of producer contracts.
Contract faming is, therefore, a way for an operator to obtain additional funds.
Forward contract refers to a futures contract to buy or sell a specific physical commodity
at some time in the future. There are three basic types of forward contracts used in
farming namely market specification contracts, production-management contracts, and
resource-providing contracts. When the traditional open-market form of market
coordination fails to provide the needed market outlet for input suppliers or farm products
of the proper specification at reasonable prices for marketing firms, market specification
contracts can be used. It is an agreement under which farm inputs or products will be
exchanged at some specified future date at an agreed-upon price (or basis for calculating
price). This contract specifies the acreage to be grown, the price per ton, and in some
cases the delivery schedule.
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implications for the farmer because lenders tend to look more favorably on a loan
application if marketing arrangements are guaranteed by a producer contract. Under
resource-providing contracts the farmer receives financing from the marketing firm as
well as guaranteed market outlet and production-management assistance.
As with any method of acquiring control of assets, contracting has its weaknesses and
strengths. The most important advantage is the financing the farmer receives both directly
from the contracting firms and indirectly through other lenders, who are more assured of
loan repayment when a contract is in existence. In addition to financial help, the farmer
usually receives managerial advice and technical assistance such as production
scheduling, high-quality breeding stock and seed varieties, fertilizer recommendation,
veterinary services, custom-blend feed, the latest equipment, and other supplies and
services that might not otherwise be available. Contracting also leads to better
coordination of production and marketing phases, thereby resulting in higher profits and
reduced risk for both farmers and contracting firms.
Perhaps the most obvious disadvantage of contract production is the loss of managerial
control. The farmer may become little more than a hired hand and may also have to
accept lower net returns to compensate the contracting firm for providing financing and
sharing production and marketing risks. Finally the farmer loses the opportunity to
benefit from higher market prices if forward prices are specified in the contract.
2.1.6. Borrowing
Borrowing constitutes the remaining method of farmers use to acquire funds. The word
'borrow' means to receive some thing with the understanding that it or its equivalent will
be returned as agreed upon. Stated another way borrowing means the ability to command
capital or services currently for a promise to repay at some future time. In terms of
money, borrowing involves obtaining a certain amount of funds to be repaid as specified
in the note.
Borrowing is not the exact synonym of credit. The word credit comes from the Latin
word credo meaning "I believe." Hence credit is based upon confidence. The term credit
means the capacity to borrow. Hence, one's credit can be used by borrowing, or it can be
held in reserve.
Since credit is a resource that can be used or held in reserve, borrowers and nonborrowers
alike are concerned with several questions. For example, a farmer might ask: How much
credit is available, and how much should be used? What are the costs of credit? What are
my legal obligations as a borrower? Which lender is most likely to be able to serve my
credit needs?
How much credit? Credit use will increase return to equity and firm growth rates as long
as the rate of return on capital invested exceeds the cost of borrowing. However, financial
risk limits the amount of credit one can actually use without jeopardizing the survival of
the business. The question can be answered by understanding the factors that lenders
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consider in evaluating loan application. The steps are indicated by the three R's of credit
in section 2.2.3.
Credit costs: Borrowing involves several costs, including finance charges, legal fees,
closing costs, etc., and it is sometimes difficult to identify and compare these costs. The
only meaningful way of measuring the cost of credit is to express all charges and fees in
terms of a compound annual rate of interest.
Legal aspects: Since widespread access to reasonably priced credit is vitally important in
the growth and development of a market economy, a standardized set of laws,
regulations, and procedures has evolved that protects the rights of borrowers and lenders.
Sources of credit: If there is widespread use of credit, there will be many borrowers with
different needs and characteristics. As a result, specialization among lenders will be
developed so that all borrowers will be served efficiently.
Credit is important and necessary in nearly all commercial farm businesses. The potential
to improve net farm income should be one of the determining factors in the decision of
whether to use credit. Credit can contribute in the improvement of net income in several
ways:
1. Create and maintain an adequate size. Most farms exhibit decreasing costs as the
size of the business increases because of economies of size;
2. Increase efficiency. Use of credit increases substitution, utilization of idle
resources, and intensity of production to secure efficient use of resources;
3. Adjust to changing economic conditions of technology and market;
4. Meet to seasonal and annual fluctuations in income and expenditures;
5. Protect against adverse conditions of weather, disease, and price; and
6. Provide continuity of business during transfer.
There are many different types of business credit, and proper classification will facilitate
communication and financial analysis. Four primary classifications are presented here
based on time, purpose, and lender.
Classification by time: Based on the length of the terms of loans, credit can be classified
into three:
a. Short-term credit (production credit):
Monthly credit (0-3 months);
Seasonal credit (3-9 months); and
Annual credit (9-1 year).
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1. Character: Character or integrity is the most important factor of confidence. The first
step in selling one's credit to a lender is to be honest in all business and personal
dealings, because the confidence factor is vitally important.
2. Capacity (or risk-bearing ability: Risk-bearing ability measures whether the farm
operation can withstand financial losses without being forced into liquidation or
insolvency. If production and prices decline and losses occur, they must be absorbed
or covered by equity capital or net worth. The basic document used to measure the
risk-bearing ability of the farm business is the balance sheet. The key ratios used in
the analysis of risk-bearing ability are those related to total assets, or debt to equity.
These ratios show the proportion of the business financed with debt compared to
owner's equity and thus indicate the claims by others on the asset if liquidation should
occur.
3. Collateral: Collateral security is any security (other than personal security such a
guarantee) taken by a bank or lender when it tends to make an advance to a borrowing
customer, and which it is entitled to claim in the event of default. Hence, the
presence or absence of collateral matters to get credit.
4. Capital (or repayment capacity): A lender wants to be paid in cash; he has little
interest in repossessing the security or collateral as satisfaction of the debt obligation.
The ability to repay a loan is consequently an important determinant of whether credit
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should be extended and is influenced by the income-generating capacity of the
business; the liquidity of the farm as indicated by the balance sheet, and the cash flow
of the firm. In short run an indication of repayment capacity is that if current assets
are not sufficient to pay current liabilities a repayment problem will very likely occur
as an indication of repayment capacity in short run. In long run the key issue is
whether there is sufficient revenue after paying for operating expenses, family living,
and farm expansion to repay any debt obligation.
5. Condition (or return): It is a combination of all the relevant facts about an
agribusiness firm and its situation in the existing economic environment. The basic
question with respect to returns is whether or not the use of credit will add to potential
profits. Only if the profits of the business will be increased will there be additional
income available to make principal and interest payments on the borrowed capital.
Two questions are of interest in evaluating income or returns. The first is the issue of
whether the planned use of credit is the most profitable use in the farm business. The
second question with respect to the returns is whether the farm business is generating
an adequate income to compensate for contributions of family labor and management
as well as for equity accumulation. The profitability of the entire farm operations
must be evaluated to assess the possibility of income generated from profitable
enterprises to cover losses on unprofitable ones.
6. Courage: This is the courage of the credit executive when faced with a difficult
decision making situation.
7. Competition: The extent of competition to extend credit also matters to get credit. If
there is no sufficient number of competitors involved in the financial market (in credit
extension), getting credit may be difficult and vice versa.
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Modern economy is said to be a credit economy. Credit is of vital importance for the
working of an economy. It is the oil of the wheel of trade and industry and helps in the
economic prosperity of a country in the following ways:
1. Economical: Credit instruments economize the use of metallic currency. They are
cheaper than coinage. The metal used in coins can be used for other productive
purposes.
2. Increases productivity of capital: Credit increases the productivity of capital. People
having idle money deposit it in banks and with non-bank financial institutions which
is lent to trade and industry for productive uses.
3. Convenient: Credit instruments are a convenient mode of national and international
payments. They help in transferring payments with little cost and without the use of
actual money from one place to another quickly.
4. Internal and external trade: As a corollary to the above by facilitating payments
quickly, credit helps in the expansion of internal and external trade of a country.
5. Encourages investment: Credit is the payment along which production travels, and
that bankers provide facilities to manufacturers to produce to full capacity. Credit
encourages investment in the economy. Financial institutions help mobilizing savings
of the people through deposits, bonds, etc. These are, in turn, given as credit to trade,
industry, agriculture, etc. which lead to more production and employment.
6. Increases demand: A variability of cheap and easy credit increases the demand for
goods and services in the country. This leads to increase in the production of such
durable consumer goods. These raise the standard of living of the people when they
consume more goods and services. Consumption loans by banking and non-banking
financial institutions coupled with the use of credit cards have made these possible.
7. Utilizes resources: Credit helps in the proper utilization of a country's manpower and
other resources. Cheap and easy credit encourages people to start their own
businesses which provide them employment. Agriculture develops when farmers get
seeds, fertilizers, pumping sets, tractors, etc. on credit. Similarly transport,
communications, industry, mines, plantations, power, etc. develop with the help of
credit.
8. Price stability: Credit helps in maintaining price stability in a country. The central
bank controls price fluctuations through its credit control policy. It reduces the credit
supply to control inflation and increases the supply of credit to control deflation.
9. Helpful to government: Credit helps the government in meeting exigencies or
emergencies when the usual fiscal measures fail to fill the financial needs of the
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government. Government resorts to deficit financing for economic development by
creating excess credit.
Credit is a dangerous tool if it is not properly controlled and managed. The following are
some of the defects of credit:
1. Too much and too little credit harmful: Too much and too little of credit are harmful
for the economy. Too much of credit leads to inflation which causes direct and
immediate damage to creditors and consumers. On the contrary, too little of credit
leads to deflation which brings down the level of output, employment and income.
2. Growth of monopolies: Too much of credit leads to the concentration of capital and
wealth in the hands of a few capitalists. This leads to growth of monopolies which
exploit both consumers and workers.
3. Wastage of resources: When banks create excessive credit, it may be used for
productive and unproductive purposes. If too much of credit is used for production, it
leads to over capitalization and over production, and consequently to wastage of
resources. Similarly, if credit is given liberally for productive purposes, it also leads
to wastage of resources.
4. Cyclical fluctuations: When there is an excess supply of credit, it leads to a boom.
When it contracts, there is a slump. In a boom, output, employment and income
increase which lead to over production. On the contrary, they decline during a
depression thereby leading to under consumption. Such cyclical fluctuations bring
about untold miseries to the people.
5. Extravagance: Easy availability of credit leads to extravagance on the part of people.
People indulge in conspicuous consumption. They buy those goods which they do not
need. With borrowed money, they spend recklessly on luxury articles. The same is the
case with businessmen and even governments who invest in unproductive enterprises
and schemes.
6. Speculation and uncertainty: Over issue of credit encourages speculation leading to
abnormal rise in prices. The rise in prices, in turn, brings an element of uncertainty
into trade and business. Uncertainty hinders economic progress.
7. Black money: Excessive supply of credit encourages people to amass money and
wealth. For this they tend to adopt underhand means and exploit others. To become
rich, they evade taxes, conceal income and wealth and thus, hoard black money.
8. Political instability: Over issue of credit leading to hyper-inflation leads to political
instability and even the downfall of government.
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A farmer maximizes his utility if the expected returns are maximized and the risk is
minimized. The theory of financial management defines the manager's role as
maximizing the utility of the owner of the business, where utility is assumed to be a
function of return and risk. Most business decisions can be thought of as a problem of
selecting a portfolio of risky assets. Principles of financial management in agriculture are
the main subject matters of this unit.
Financial management can be defined as the management of capital sources and uses so
as to attain the desired goals of the firm, i.e. maximization of owner's wealth. The firm's
capital consists of items of value that are owned and used, and items that are used but not
owned. Examples of the use of the capital of the firm are receivables, inventories, and
fixed assets.
As an area of study, financial management has two distinct functions: financing function
and investing function. The financing function represents the management of the sources
of capital, whereas the investing function indicates the type, size, and percentage of
composition of capital uses. Investing function deals with the question "how much of the
total capital provided by the financing sources should be invested in receivables,
marketable assets, inventories, and fixed assets?" The specialized set of management
duties and responsibilities that center the financing and investing functions are referred to
as financial management.
The problems and opportunities that a financial manager faces and the business decisions
he makes entirely depend on the goals of his organization. Profit seeking firms should
behave in a way they maximize the wealth of the owners. It is also important to
distinguish between wealth maximization and profit maximization as goals of business
firms.
Finance, in general, consists of three interrelated areas: money and capital markets,
investments, and financial management. The money and capital markets are deals with
asset markets and financial institutions. To succeed in doing such jobs, we need to have a
general knowledge on all aspects of farm business administration, because the
management of financial institutions involves accounting, marketing, personnel
management, as well as financial management. The investments area deals with the
decision of both individual and institutional investors as they choose among enterprises
for their investment portfolios.
Financial management involves the actual management of business firms. The types of
decisions encountered in agricultural financial management range from farm plant
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expansion to choosing what type of enterprises to include to financial expansion of the
farm business. Financial management has three objectives:
Determining the size and growth rate: Financial management aims at determining
how large the business firm should be and how fast should it grow.
Determining asset composition: Financial management aims at determining the best
percentage composition of the firm's assets.
Determining the composition of liabilities and equity: Financial management aims at
determining the best percentage composition of the firm's combined liabilities and
equity decision related to capital sources.
The scope of the finance function overlaps production and marketing activities. Decision
on what to produce and how much to produce, for example, determines in part the
amount of capital the business needs. Similarly, marketing and finance are interrelated
because the selection of input suppliers and product marketing outlets as well as the
timing of purchase and sales are often dictated by the amount and terms of available
finance.
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Goal setting is a continuous process whose establishment involves weighing interests and
needs, and modifying either the goals or the methods of attaining them. Goals ordinarily
define specific objectives. Since they indicate investments that will be called for,
expenses to be met, and income to be realized, goals are important in financial
management. They should be formulated with these resources in mind and sufficiently
explicit and nonduplicating so that associated finances can be estimated. The timing of
goals should be recorded to indicate when funds will be needed and/or when income will
be forthcoming.
Although the terms "risk" and "uncertainty" are frequently used interchangeably, there is
a classical distinction between them. Both define a situation in which a number of
outcomes are possible. Risk describes a situation in which these outcomes follow a
known probability distribution, while uncertainty refers to cases where the probabilities
of different outcomes are unknown. The two major sources of risk are business risk and
financial risk.
Business risk is the variation in net earnings arising from the nature of the kinds of
enterprises in which the firm is engaged, including weather, disease, and price changes.
The profit maximization rule, which compares mean or average returns, could be used to
select superior projects with more profit, while standard deviation is used to select
projects with less risk. A project with higher return and low risk can be considered as a
profitable project. However, the choice is largely subjective depending on personal
preference for risk versus returns as well as on financial ability to carry the greater degree
of risk involved.
Financial risk determines how much capital should be acquired. Financial mangers really
have only two basic capital sources: their own equity capital and nonequity capital.
However, the use of nonequity capital creates a fixed financial commitment in the form
of principal, interest, rent, or other obligations. This commitment to the supplier of
nonequity capital results in financial risk. As leverage, the amount of nonequity capital
relative to equity capital, increases, the financial commitment increases, so that the risk
increases also.
The primary objective of a farm business may be profit maximization. However, profit
maximization is associated with a variety of risks involved in every business. While we
are planning to maximize our returns from a farm business activity, we are planning to
face risk and uncertainty. How can we measure risk and uncertainty in agriculture? What
are the major decision rules applicable to select an optimal portfolio of enterprises? The
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major problem of agricultural investment is the high variability in returns associated with
various factors and constraints prevalent in the sector. It is also difficult to measure the
risk associated with the environment and individual enterprises. In this section, returns
and risk are set as goals of a business, and the principles of diversification to maximize
returns and to minimize risk from an investment are introduced with relevant
applicability in agriculture.
Before we go to the details of return and risk, it is important to explain what risk is. Risk
can be defined in terms of variability of returns. It is the potential for variability in
returns. Risk refers to the chance that some unfavorable event will occur. An investment
whose returns are fairly stable is considered to be a low-risk investment, whereas an
investment whose returns fluctuate significantly is considered to be a high-risk
investment.
The measures of profitability and risk can be used in two cases of analyses. Assets,
businesses, investments, or enterprises can be analyzed:
a) On a stand-alone basis, where the enterprise is considered in isolation to estimate
the expected return and risk involved in a single business; and
b) On portfolio basis, where the enterprise is held as one of a number of enterprises
in a portfolio to select among alternative enterprises or investments.
Thus, an enterprise’s stand-alone risk is the risk an operator would face if he held only
this one enterprise. Most enterprises are held in portfolio, but it is necessary to understand
stand-alone risk in order to understand risk in a portfolio context.
In financial management, the profit maximization goal can be modified to account for the
fact that decision makers actually consider both expected return and risk. The financial
manager is assumed to have a goal of maximizing the utility of the owner of the business,
where utility is a function of both risk and expected returns. In this case, utility is the
capacity of the business to satisfy the profit wants of the owner, i.e. maximum return and
minimum risk. It is generally assumed that the manager prefers a higher return (or profit)
over a lower value. It is also assumed that the manager is risk-avert in which case lower
amount of risk is preferred. The general utility function for a profit-maximizing, risk-
averse decision maker is given by
U f ( E ,V ); (3.1)
U
Profit maximizing: 0; (3.2)
E
U
Risk-aversion: 0 (3.3)
V
Where U Utility,
E Expected return, and
V Risk
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e4
e3
e2
e1
0 v1 v2 v3 v4
Risk
Figure 3.1 also illustrates the utility increases with movements up and to the left to higher
indifference curves. Such a shift represents less risk for any amount of expected return or
greater expected return for any given amount of risk.
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Figure 3.2: Illustration of varying degrees of risk aversion.
Expected I I’
return
e2
e1
0 v1 v2 v3
Risk
Decision makers will vary in their willingness to accept risk. In Figure 3.2, risk-return
preference function I illustrate more risk aversion than I’. For a given increase in
expected returns e1e2, the decision maker whose risk-return preference function is I is
willing to assume v1v2 units of additional risk. For the same increase in expected return
the decision maker represented by I’ is willing to assume v1v3 units of additional risk.
However, even though I’ illustrates less risk aversion than I, both indifference curves
illustrate the general rule of risk-averse behavior.
Thus far the analysis of the risk-return or E-V trade-off has been in terms of undefined
units. The basic issue in analyzing the benefit of investments is how to measure the
expected returns and the risk associated with returns. Before proceeding, we must define
units for measuring both return and risk.
The expected return of an investment is the probability weighted average of all the
possible returns. The concept of return provides operators with a convenient way of
expressing the financial performance of an investment or business. There are two
measures of returns: monetary terms and rate of return. The monetary return is the
amount received less the amount invested. Although expressing return in monetary terms
is easy, two problems arise
a. To make a meaningful judgment about the adequacy of the return, you need to
know the scale (size) of the investment; and
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b. You also need to know the timing problems of monetary returns. A $100 return
on a $110 investment is a very good return if it occurs after one year, but the same
return after 20 years would not be very good.
The solution to the scale and timing problems of monetary returns is to express
investment results as rates of return, or percentage returns. The rate of return is the
monetary returns per unit of investment. The rate of return standardizes the return by
considering the return per unit of investment.
i n
E Ei P( Ei ) (3.4)
i 1
The mean or average value of returns is used as a measure of expected reruns estimated
as
in
E ( Ei ) / n (3.5)
i 1
3.4.2. Risk
Risk can be measured in different ways, and different conditions about an asset’s
riskiness depending on the measure used. This can be confusing, but, it will help if you
remember the following five issues:
1. Cash flow risk: All financial assets are expected to produce cash flow, and the
riskiness of an asset is judged in term of the riskiness of its cash flow;
2. Stand-alone risk versus Portfolio risk: The riskiness of an asset can be considered in
two way: on a stand-alone basis, where the asset’s cash flows are analyzed by
themselves, or in a portfolio context, where the cash flows from a number of assets
are combined and then the consolidated cash flows are analyzed;
3. Diversifiable risk versus market risk: In a portfolio context, an asset’s risk can be
divided into tow components: a diversifiable risk component, which can be
diversified way and hence is of little concern to diversified investors, and a market
risk component, which reflects the risk of a general asset market decline and which
cannot be eliminated by diversification, hence does concern investors. Only market
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risk is relevant, diversifiable risk is irrelevant to most investors because it can be
eliminated;
4. High risk and high return: An asset with a high degree of relevant (market) risk must
provide a relatively high expected rate of return to attract investors. Investors in
general are averse to risk, so they will not own risky assets unless those assets have
high expected returns;
5. Financial assets and physical assets: Financial assets such are socks and bonds, are
different from physical assets such as machines, crops, land, and livestock. However,
the basic concepts apply to both types of assets.
The variance and the standard deviation measure the extent of variability of possible
returns from the expected return. The variance is computed as
in
2 [( Ei E ) 2 P( Ei )] (3.6)
i 1
Example 3.1: Assume a single crop A and its hypothetical possible returns (in monetary
terms) and the associated probability of occurrence of these returns as indicated in the
first two columns of Table 3.1. Compute the expected return, standard deviation, and
variance of the returns.
Table 3.1: Estimation of expected return (pay-off matrix) and risk for a single enterprise.
Possible returns, Probability, (%) Deviation, ($) ( Ei E ) 2 Product
Ei ($) P(Ei) (Ei-E) (Ei- E )2P(Ei)
30 0.10 -18 324 32.4
40 0.30 -8 64 19.2
50 0.40 2 4 1.6
60 0.10 12 144 14.4
70 0.10 22 484 48.4
Solution: Here, the sum and the mean of the returns are 250 and 50, respectively. The
expected return from the business is estimated to be 48. However, expected return will
not indicate the variability of the return or the risk associated to the expected return. The
expected returns, the variance, and the standard deviation are 48, 116, and 10.8,
respectively. These figures will enable to know the absolute magnitude of returns and
variability for a single business.
This widely used approach for assessing risk is known as mean-variance approach.
However, variance or standard deviation provides a measure of the total risk associated
with an enterprise or business. The total risk comprises two components, namely
systematic risk and unsystematic risk. Systematic risk is the variability in business returns
caused by changes in the economy or the market, whereas unsystematic risk is the risk
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Example 3.2: Assume further, in addition to crop A, that there is a second crop B with
possible returns and the probability of occurrence of the returns. The computational
procedures of expected returns and standard deviations are similar as in Example 3.1. A
reasonable basis for measuring expected return is past performance. For the two cropping
alternatives, hypothetical data on 10 years of past performance are given in Table 3.2.
Table 3.2: Selection of alternative enterprises (portfolio selection) using expected returns
and standard deviation.
Year Net returns above fixed costs (birr per acre)
Return for crop A Return for crop B
1 136 86
2 88 64
3 104 92
4 148 102
5 62 82
6 176 78
7 192 62
8 142 90
9 48 94
10 34 60
Mean return (E) 113 81
Variance ( 2 ) 2953.11 215.33
Standard deviation ( ) 54.34 14.67
Solution: This example illustrates the general problem of selecting a portfolio of risky
assets when resources are limited. The limited resource is land, and the risky assets are
crops A and B. As shown in the table, the mean annual returns are 113 for crop A and 81
fro crop B. Using this measure, crop A is more profitable on average. However, the
standard deviation is 54.34 for crop A and 14.67 for crop B indicating that crop A is more
risky business with a greater degree of year-to-year variability.
If a producer is assumed to produce only one crop, there are several decision rules to
follow when choosing between A and B on the basis of expected return and risk
However, if a choice must be done between two investments which have the expected
rate of return but different standard deviation, most people would choose the one with
lower standard deviation, and therefore, the lower risk. Similarly, given a choice between
two investments with the same risk (standard deviation) but different expected rates of
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returns, investors would generally prefer the investment with the higher expected rerun.
But, how do we choose between two investments when one has the higher expected rate
of return but the other has the lower standard deviation? To help answer this question, we
use other measures of risk known as coefficient of variation and highest lower bound.
It may be desirable to select the alternative that offers the least amount of risk per dollar
of net return. The measure for this decision rule is given by the coefficient of variation.
The coefficient of variation shows the risk per unit of return, and it provides a more
meaningful basis for comparison when the expected returns on two alternatives are not
the same. The coefficient of variation is estimated as the percentage of the standard
deviation to the expected return as
CV _
100 (3.7)
E
The CV is 48% for crop A and 18% for crop B indicating that crop B offers less risk per
dollar of expected return and would be preferred over A.
Another decision rule would involve selecting the alternative with the highest lower
bound. This rule is useful in a situation where the decision maker feels that net return
below a certain level would be insufficient to meet financial obligations. One statistical
measure of the lower bound is two standard deviations below the mean computed as
L E 2 (3.8)
For our hypothetical crop data the lower bounds (in birrs) are
For crop A: 113-2(54.34) = 4.32;
For crop B: 81-2(14.67) = 51.66.
According to the highest lower bound rule, the decision maker would select crop B in
Example 3.2 because its lower bound is birr 51.66 compared with birr 4.32 for crop A.
Note that both the coefficient of variation and the highest lower bound have resulted in
selection of the same crop B. It is also sometimes possible that the two measures may end
with different results. However, neither rule accounts for the risk-return trade-off shown
by the decision maker's risk-return utility function, because it is difficult to get numerical
estimates of utility functions. Nevertheless, the concept of risk-return indifference curves
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is useful for explaining why some decision makers would rationally choose to grow crop
A while others would prefer crop B.
3.6. Diversification
In our analysis in the previous subsection, it was suggested that the choices were limited
to crop A or crop B, a conservative decision maker would choose B, while a decision
maker who displays comparatively less risk aversion would choose A. Both decisions
would be rational according to the utility-maximizing approach using the standard
deviation as the measure of risk. There is a possibility that some combination of crops A
and B can be grown, known as portfolio.
Diversification among two or more enterprises will generally be desirable if returns tend
to be independent, or negatively correlated. The covariance and the coefficient of
correlation between two random variables such as net returns of two crops provide
statistical measures of the degree of independence if it is less significant, and the degree
of interdependence if it is more significant.
3.6.1. Covariance:
Covariance is the statistical measure that indicates the interactive risk of a business
relative to others in a portfolio of enterprises. In other words, the way business returns
vary with each other affects the overall risk of the portfolio. The covariance between the
two crops A and B can be calculated using the following formula.
i n
( E a ,i E a )(Eb ,i Eb )
CovEab i 1
(3.9)
n
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The covariance is a measure of how returns of two investments move together. If the
returns from the two crops move in the same direction consistently, the covariance would
be positive. If the two returns move in opposite direction consistently, the covariance
would be negative. If the movements of returns are independent of each other, covariance
would be close to zero. Covariance is an absolute interactive risk between two enterprises
or businesses.
Example 3.3: The two enterprises in Example 3.2 are again considered in Table 3.3 to
discuss the covariance and the correlation analysis. What is the covariance of reruns from
crops A and B?
Table 3.3: Covariance and correlation analysis between returns of crops A and B.
Solution: The covariance of the returns from crops A and B is computed by equation
(3.9).
510
CovEab 51.
10
The value of the covariance is 51 indicating that the returns from the two crops move
together in the same direction. The co-movement of the two variables indicates the
interdependence of the returns from the two crops. This positive value of the covariance
may indicate the lower level of gains expected from diversification. However, the
covariance is an absolute measure of interdependence in which case the degree of
independence or interdependence, and comparison across portfolios may not be
accurately indicated. It is difficult to interpret the magnitude of the covariance term, so a
related statistic known as correlation coefficient is generally used to measure the degree
of comovement between two variables.
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CovEab
rab (3.10)
a b
Where rab Correlation coefficient of net returns between crops A and B, (0 rab 1)
and n is paired sample size);
a Standard deviation of returns of crop A; and
b Standard deviation of returns of crop B.
If we solve for the covariance using the formula for the coefficient of correlation, the
covariance of returns may also be computed as
Being the weighted average of the standard deviation of individual enterprises, the
portfolio standard deviation will lie between the standard deviations of the two individual
enterprises. Thus, when the returns from alternative enterprises are perfectly positively
correlated, diversification provides only risk averaging, not risk reduction. This is
because the portfolio risk cannot be reduced below the individual enterprise risk. Hence
diversification is not a productive activity when enterprises are perfectly positively
correlated.
When enterprises are perfectly negatively correlated, the diversification may become
entirely risk-free even though the portfolio contains risky assets. Hence, diversification
becomes a highly productive activity when enterprises are perfectly negatively correlated,
because portfolio risk can be considerably reduced and sometimes even eliminated.
Example 3.4: What is the correlation coefficient between returns of the two crops in
Table 3.3?
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Solution: The correlation coefficient between the net returns of crops A and B in Table
3.3 becomes
510
rab 0.071.
(163.03)(44.02)
Significance level: 0.845 (two-tailed, t-test).
This value of the correlation coefficient close to zero suggests that diversification
between crops A and B would be a useful risk-reducing strategy because of the almost
complete lack of correlation between their net annual returns. The correlation coefficient
is not also significant indicating that the estimated 7.1% correlation between the two time
series returns is not a significant relationship.
Diversification does nothing to reduce risk if the portfolio consists of perfectly positively
correlated assets. Returns on two perfectly positively correlated assets would move up
and down together, and a portfolio consisting of two such assets would be exactly as
risky as the individual assets.
An asset held as part of a portfolio is less risky than the asset held in isolation. From an
operator stand point, the fact that return from a particular enterprise goes up or down is
not very important. What is important is the return on his portfolio and the portfolio’s
risk. The risk and return of an individual enterprise should be analyzed in terms of how
that enterprise affects the risk and return of the portfolio in which it is held. One
important use of portfolio concepts is to select efficient portfolios, defined as those
portfolios that provide the highest expected return for any degree of risk, or the lowest
degree of risk for any expected return.
To determine the exact benefits of diversification, the expected return (E) and standard
deviation ( ) values from various combinations of crops A and B must be calculated.
Assuming one risky asset of cropland and only two crops, the total proportion of cropland
used to both crops (100%) less the proportion of cropland used to production of crop A
equals the proportion of cropland used to production of crop B. The variance of the
returns from a combination of the two random variables is given by
Where ab
2
Portfolio variance;
La Proportion of cropland planted to crop A; and
1 La Proportion of total cropland used to crop B.
Portfolio standard deviation can be computed by taking the square root of the portfolio
variance.
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E ab La E a (1 La ) Eb (3.13)
Example 3.5: Consider the data in Table 3.3. If 20% of the available cropland is planted
to crop A and the remaining 80% is planted to crop B, what is the variance of this product
combination?
Solution
ab2 (0.2) 2 (2953.11) (0.8) 2 (215.33) 2(0.071)(0.2)(0.8)(54.34)(14.67) 274.05
As indicated in Table 3.4, the standard deviation of the net returns from the 20% to 80%
combination of crops A and B is, therefore, 16.55. Using equation (3.13), for the 20%-
80% combination of crops A and B, respectively, the expected net return is 87.40 =
0.2(113) + 0.8(81).
Table 3.4: Expected returns, standard deviations, coefficients of variation, and lower
bounds for selected combinations of crops A and B.
Cropland used (%) Expected Standard Coefficient of Lower
Crop A Crop B return (birr) deviation variation (%) bound (birr)
(birr)
0 100 81.00 14.67 18 51.66
20 80 87.40 16.55 19 54.30
40 60 93.80 24.02 26 45.76
60 40 100.20 33.54 33 33.12
80 20 106.60 43.78 41 19.04
100 0 113.00 54.34 48 4.32
Table 3.4 shows the expected returns, standard deviations, coefficients of variation, and
lower bounds for several combinations of crops A and B. The results of the two crops
illustrate the gains from diversification. Using the coefficient of variation as a basis for
the decision, complete specialization in crop B is the best among the other combinations
shown. If the choice is based on the combination providing the maximum lower bound,
the 20%-80% combination of crops A and B, respectively, is best.
To illustrate the effects of diversification with two enterprises, we will see two perfectly
correlated enterprises called M and N, or M’ and N’. The enterprises are assumed to have
perfect negative correlation or perfect positive correlation.
Case I: Perfectly negatively correlated enterprises: The data in Table 3.5 shows the five-
year time series expected returns and standard deviations of the two perfectly negatively
correlated enterprises. The opposite movement of the rate of return from the two
enterprises enables to neutralize the individual risk associated with each enterprise so that
the rate of return after diversification remains unchanged.
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Table 3.5: Rate of return and risk for two perfectly negatively correlated enterprises and
their portfolio (percentage).
Year Enterprise M Enterprise N Portfolio MN
1 40.0 -10.0 15.0
2 -10.0 40.0 15.0
3 35.0 -5.0 15.0
4 -5.0 35.0 15.0
5 15.0 15.0 15.0
Average return 15.0 15.0 15.0
Standard deviation 22.6 22.6 00.0
Case II: Perfectly positively correlated enterprises: In this case, perfectly positively
correlated enterprises are considered in order to compare the result of diversification if
the two enterprises are combined. Table 3.6 shows the data on these enterprises. As the
returns from these enterprises are perfectly moving in the same direction, both the
expected rate of return and the risk after diversification remain unchanged.
Table 3.6: Rate of return and risk for two perfectly positively correlated enterprises and
their portfolio (percentage).
Year Enterprise M’ Enterprise N’ Portfolio M’N’
1 -10.0 -10.0 -10.0
2 40.0 40.0 40.0
3 -5.0 -5.0 -5.0
4 35.0 35.0 35.0
5 15.0 15.0 15.0
Average return 15.0 15.0 15.0
Standard deviation 22.6 22.6 22.6
We can illustrate graphically the effect of diversification if two enterprises are perfectly
positively correlated in a similar fashion as we did in the first case. The combination of
the two enterprises has nothing to reduce the amount of risk associated with the
individual enterprises before diversification. Note that the risk explained by the standard
deviation is unchanged after diversification. Hence, the variability of the rate of returns is
still there if the two enterprises are perfectly positively correlated.
We can observe that the two perfectly negatively correlated enterprises have zero
standard deviation if they are held in a portfolio. However, diversification does nothing to
reduce risk if the portfolio consists of perfectly positively correlated as indicated by the
second assumption in the table. The portfolio expected returns and risk (standard
deviation) are unchanged.
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What would happen if we include more than two enterprises in the portfolio? As a rule
the riskiness of a portfolio will decline as the number of enterprises in the portfolio
increases. If we can find a set of enterprises whose correlations are zero or negative, all
risk can be eliminated. In the real world, where correlations among individual enterprises
or assets are generally positive but less than 100%, some, but not all, risk can be
eliminated.
So far we have considered a portfolio with only two enterprises of crops A and B. The
benefits from diversification increase as more and more enterprises with less than
perfectly positively correlated returns are included in the farm business. As the number of
enterprises added to a portfolio increases, the standard deviation of the portfolio becomes
smaller. Hence, an owner of a farm business can make the portfolio risk arbitrarily small
by including a large number of enterprises with negative or zero correlation in the
portfolio.
Adding enterprises to a portfolio reduces risk because in reality enterprises are not
perfectly positively correlated. However, the effects of diversification are exhausted
rapidly because the enterprises are still positively correlated to each other though not
perfectly correlated. Had they been negatively correlated, the portfolio risk would have
continued to decline as portfolio size increased. Therefore, in practice, the benefits of
diversification are limited.
The total risk of an individual enterprise comprises two components; the market related
risk called systematic risk and the unique risk of that particular enterprise called
unsystematic risk. By combining enterprises into a portfolio, the unsystematic risk
specific to different enterprises is cancelled out. Consequently, the risk of the portfolio as
a whole is reduced as the size of the portfolio increases. Ultimately when the size of the
portfolio reaches a certain limit, it will contain only the systematic risk of enterprises
included in the portfolio.
The systematic risk, however, cannot be eliminated. Thus, a fairly large portfolio has
only systematic risk and the relatively little unsystematic risk. That is why there is no
gain in adding enterprises to a portfolio beyond a certain portfolio size. Figure 3.3 shows
the diversification of risk in a portfolio. It indicates the portfolio risk declining as the
number of enterprises in the portfolio increases. But, the risk reduction ceases when the
unsystematic risk is eliminated. The risk that remains after diversification is market risk,
or the risk that is inherent in the market, and it can be measured by the degree to which a
given enterprise tends to move with the market.
Risk
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Unsystematic
risk
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Systematic risk
risk
0
Number of enterprises held in the portfolio
Portfolio returns: The expected return of a portfolio is the weighted average of the
returns of individual enterprises in the portfolio, the weight being the proportion of
investment assets in each enterprise. The formula for calculation of expected portfolio
return is the same for a portfolio with two enterprises and for portfolio with more than
two enterprises. It is computed as
i n
E p X i Ei (3.14)
i 1
Example 3.6: Consider a hypothetical portfolio of a farm business with four enterprises
of livestock development called A, B, C and D (we may consider each enterprise as
various types of livestock enterprises like cattle or sheep production, beef production,
dairy farming, and poultry). The rate of returns and proportion of capital investment is
indicated in Table 3.7.
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Portfolio risk: Two key concepts in portfolio analysis are the covariance and the
correlation coefficient. Covariance is the measure which combines the variance
(volatility) of an enterprise’s return with the tendency of those returns to move up or
down at the same time with other enterprises.
The portfolio variance and standard deviation depend on the proportion of investment in
each enterprise, as also the variance and covariance of each enterprise included in the
portfolio. The variance of a portfolio with more than two enterprises can be estimated as
i n j n
p2 X i X j CovEij (3.15)
i 1 j 1
If we substitute the previous formula for the covariance by its equivalent in equation
(3.15), then portfolio variance will be estimated as
i n j n
p2 X i X j rij i j (3.16)
i 1 j 1
The double summation operator indicates that n2 number of values is to be summed up.
These values are computed by substituting the values of the three variables for each
possible pair of enterprises.
A convenient way to obtain the result is to set up the data required for computation in the
form of a variance-covariance matrix as indicated in Table 3.8. Similarly, the variance-
covariance matrix can be used to compute portfolio variances using matrix algebra.
The variance of each enterprise and the covariance of each possible pair of enterprises
may be set up as a matrix shown in Table 3.8 for three enterprises called X, Y, and Z.
Compiled by Mideksa D.
0.2 X 52 63 36
0.3 Y 63 38 74
0.5 Z 36 74 45
The entries along the diagonal of the matrix represent the variances of enterprises A, B
and C. The other entries in the matrix represent the covariances of the respective pairs of
enterprises as A and B, A and C, and B and C. Each cell in the matrix represents a pair of
two enterprises. There are three combinations of the three enterprises. The variance or the
covariance in each cell has to be multiplied by the weights of the respective enterprises
represented by that cell. When all these products are summed up, the resulting figure is
the portfolio variance. The square root of the variance gives the portfolio standard
deviation.
Generally, the proper goal of portfolio construction would be to generate a portfolio that
provides the highest return and the lowest risk. Such a portfolio is known as the optimal
portfolio. The process of finding the optimal portfolio is described as portfolio selection.
With a limited number of enterprises, a farm business owner can create a very large
number of portfolios by combining these enterprises in different portfolios. These
constitute the feasible set of portfolios in which the operator can possibly invest. This is
also known as portfolio opportunity set.
The selection of efficient portfolios by the operator will be guided by two criteria:
1. Given two portfolios with the same expected return, the operator would prefer the
one with the lower risk;
2. Given two portfolios with the same risk, the operator would prefer the one with
the higher expected return.
Financial statements report both on a farm's position at a point in time (the balance sheet)
and on its operations over some past period (the income statement and statement of cash
flows). However, the real value of financial statements lies in the fact that they ca be used
Compiled by Mideksa D.
Rural Finance
to help predict future earnings. From an investor's standpoint predicting the future is what
financial statement analysis is all about, while from management's standpoint, financial
statement analysis is useful both to help anticipate future conditions and, more important,
as a starting point for planning actions that will affect the future course of events.
The structure of the balance sheet is obtained from the basic accounting equation
This relationship essentially indicates that the value of the claims on assets by the owner
and creditors is equal to the value of the assets. Thus the balance sheet is always divided
into three parts:
1. the assets or value of things owned;
2. the debts owed (liabilities); and
3. the difference between items 1 and 2, which is the owner's equity (or deficit if
debts exceed assets). This last item makes the statement balance.
The balance sheet for a hypothetical farm known as Highland Farms as of December 31,
2004 is shown in Table 4.1. The first point to observe is the date. A balance sheet
represents a snapshot of the business at just one instant, in this example at the close of
Compiled by Mideksa D.
business on December 31, 2004, and the beginning of business on January 1, 2005. Since
the ending of one year is the beginning of the next, the instant is midnight, December 31.
The statement given does not hold for the end of the day on January 2 because, for
example, a load of grain may have been sold during the day. Obviously, this transaction
would affect the picture. It is important, therefore, that the balance sheet be recognized
for what it is a statement of the financial position of the farm business as of a certain
date. The income and cash flow statements are more like moving pictures that show what
happens over time.
The general form in Table 4.1 is the conventional one used in accounting. The assets or
items owned on January 1, 2005, are listed on the left side of the statement. The total of
these assets as shown is birr 389,840. This is the amount that would be received if the
farm business was sold or liquidated, given a reasonable amount of time. On the right
side of the statement are the debts owed, totaling birr 176,190. The difference between
the assets and the debts outstanding is birr 213,650, which represents the equity or net
worth of Highland Farms. The amount of net worth, not assets, and the relationship
between assets and liabilities indicate the solvency of the business. A farmer may be
operating a business with assets of birr 300,000; but if there are debts of birr 250,000, net
worth is only birr 50,000.
The question is often raised as to why the net worth figure is placed on the liabilities side
of the statement. It is placed there to show that the owner, like the creditors, has a claim
against the assets of the business equal to the net worth figure. Thus, once the assets of
the business have been valued, the people and businesses that have provided credit are
allotted a portion of the assets equal to their total loans. The remainder of the assets is
considered as belonging without qualification to the owner. If the assets were sold, the
creditors would come first and the owner would get what was left, which would be more
or less than the net worth, depending on whether the assets actually sold for more or less
than their value on the balance sheet. So the net worth actually is an obligation or liability
of the business, for the business owes that amount to the owner just as it owes stated
amounts to the lenders.
When the amount of debt outstanding is greater than the value of assets, the difference is
called the net deficit and the farmer is insolvent to the extent. A net deficit is placed on
the assets side of the balance sheet because it represents a shortage of assets. Thus when
the assets or shortage of assets are added, they will equal the total liabilities and the two
sides of the balance sheet really balance.
Compiled by Mideksa D.
Rural Finance
4.1.1.1. Assets
Assets are usually listed or classified according to the time required to convert them into
cash with a minimal loss. To facilitate financial analysis, it is best to place assets into
three major categories: current assets, intermediate assets, and long-term or fixed assets.
Current assets include cash and inventory items that will be converted into cash during
the year in the normal course of business. Inventory items would include grain and forage
inventories as well as chemicals, supplies, and feeder or market livestock that will be sold
during the upcoming year.
Intermediate assets include those resources used to support farm production that will not
be sold or converted into cash during the coming year, such as breeding stock,
machinery, and equipment. Intermediate assets typically have a useful life of one to ten
years and are part of the productive plant (as contrasted with inventory) of the farm
business.
Long-term or fixed assets are also part of the productive plant, but more permanent in
nature and consist primarily of farmland and improvements.
4.1.1.2. Liabilities
The same classification system should be used for both assets and liabilities as current
liabilities, intermediate-term liabilities, and long-term liabilities.
Current liabilities are the debts payable on demand or within the operating year, normally
12 months. Examples include operating notes, cattle notes, accounts payable, and taxes.
The statement of Table 4.1 also includes a portion of intermediate and long-term debt that
is due within the next 12 months as a current liability. This is done because, just like
operating notes, the funds that will be used this year's payments on intermediate-term and
long-term debts must come from the sale of current assets. So including the portion of
these long-term obligations due this year as a current liability provides a better indication
of the repayment and liquidity requirements of the business. Any interest obligation on
short-term, intermediate-term, or long-term liabilities that have accrued up to the date of
the balance sheet should also be included as current liabilities.
Compiled by Mideksa D.
Cash Accounts payable 1,472
1,000
Corn, 6800 ton 17,000 Bank note, feeder cattle 7,800
Oats, 400 ton 560 Bank note, operating 25,121
Soybeans, 2100 9,660 Portion of intermediate-term due this year 1,040
Silage, 130 ton 2,730 Portion of long-term due this year 6,600
Hay, 45 ton 1,925 Total 42,033
Feeder cattle, 81, head 11,692 Intermediate
Market hogs, 208 head 10,400 Tractor and machinery 1,040
Total 54,967 Long-term
Intermediate Real-estate contract 118300
Beef cows, 33 head 7,260 TOTAL LIABILITIES 161,373
Bulls, 2 head 1,000 OWNER EQUITY 138845
Sows, 31 head 4,960 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND OWNER 300,218
EQUITY
Boars, 2 head 400
Machinery, trucks, auto 12,931
Total 26,551
Fixed
Real-estate and buildings, 216,000
320 acres (cost – birr
184,000)
Other
Cash value of life 2,700
insurance
TOTAL ASSETS 300,218
Ratio comparisons can be made against other farm firms, but some of the most valuable
comparisons are among ratios for the same firm over time. Based on this, the most
important financial ratios of balance sheet are discussed hereunder.
Current ratio: A classic measure of financial condition used in balance sheet analysis is
the current ratio (CR), which indicates the extent to which current assets, if liquidated,
would cover current liabilities outstanding computed as
Current Assets
CR (4.2)
Current Liabilities
Standards as to what is good or minimum acceptable current ratio are rather difficult to
establish. A 2 to 1 ratio (birr 2 of current assets for each birr 1 of current liabilities) is
frequently used, but this standard may be too high for larger farm firms. A ratio below 1
to 1 would be unacceptable except in unusual circumstances. In general, any sudden
decrease in the current ratio or a steady downward trend should be investigated.
Compiled by Mideksa D.
Rural Finance
Since current ratios include those normally turned into cash within one year, the current
ratio in effect reflects liquidity within one year's time. If this period is too long, the quick
ratio (also referred to as acid test) may be used to reflect the adequacy of cash, accounts
receivable, and marketable securities (bonds, stocks, etc.) to cover all current liabilities.
Example 4.1: Consider the balance sheet in Table 4.2. Compute the current ratio for
Highland Farms.
Over an intermediate period of time both current and intermediate assets will be
converted into cash in the normal operation of the business. The ratio reflects the
likelihood that cash derived in this process will be adequate cover debt payments coming
due during the same time. A decline of trend of the intermediate ratio is not a favorable
sign. In contrast, an upward trend reflects added risk-bearing ability as to the use of
intermediate credit.
Compiled by Mideksa D.
Example 4.2: Consider again the balance sheet in Table 4.2. Compute the intermediate
ratio.
Solution: The total of current and intermediate assets and current and intermediate
liabilities are given in the table and the ratio is computed as
Total Assets
NCR (4.4)
Total Liabilities
This is probably the most important measure of overall financial position on the business
because it reflects the likelihood that the sale of all assets would produce sufficient cash
to cover all debt outstanding. The net capital ratio will be reduced if there is any major
expansion using debt, because the purchase of additional assets does not change the
equity base of the farm but increases both assets and debt. If leverage is used, the percent
change in assets will typically be les than the percent change in debt, and the net capital
ratio will decline.
The net capital ratio is considered a long-run concept, since real-estate is involved. Since
good land is not converted into cash through the production process, as are other assets,
this ratio is a measure of financial solvency if the farm is sold.
Example 4.3: Consider the balance sheet in Table 4.2 again. Compute the net capital
ratio.
Total Liabilities
DER (4.5)
Owner Equity
Relatively large real-estate debt incurred by use of purchase contracts may cause a
farmer's debt-to-equity ratio to be high (but this should not be interpreted as meaning that
real-estate debts will always cause a high ratio). Conventional mortgage loans on real-
Compiled by Mideksa D.
Rural Finance
estate usually do not run much over 70% of the value, and periodic payments will
gradually reduce this debt.
Example 4.4: Consider the balance sheet in table 4.2. Based on the table, compute the
debt-equity ratio.
Equity-to-value ratio (EVR): Equity is often related to the value of assets. This ratio is:
Owner Equity
EVR (4.6)
Total Assets
Equities of less than 40%-50% of value of the assets are usually scrutinized with extreme
care by lenders. But this figure is by no means a strict borderline. A 20% equity position
for a well-managed farm business may be safer than a 60% equity where the management
is questionable. The types of assets involved also have a bearing on the size of ratio that
may be considered safe.
While the equity-to-value ratio may be used to reflect overall financial strength, it is also
commonly used to depict owner equity in an individual item. The amount or percent paid
down to purchase an asset reflects the ratio of owner equity to value of the asset.
Since the basic balance sheet relationship is total assets = total debt + owner equity, the
equity-to-value ratio, the debt-to-equity ratio, and the net capital ratio are alternative
ways of expressing the overall leverage position of the business. A decreasing debt-to-
equity ratio is equivalent to increasing net capital and equity-to-value ratios.
The income statement provides a measure of return from the business or the ability to
meet financial obligations such as debt payments, rent, payroll, and other expenses during
the year. Thus, the income statement reveals the success or failure of a farm business
Compiled by Mideksa D.
over time as well as the costs and returns associated with the use of varying amounts of
capital and credit.
Preparation and analysis of an income statement for a typical farm business can be
accomplished using a single-entry accounting system that lists the receipts and
expenditures in general categories. However, even a single-entry system may appear to
be a complex and involved undertaking due to the wide range of activities included in the
farm business.
An income statement, also called a profit and loss statement, is a measure of receipts and
gains during a specified period, usually year, less expenses and losses during the same
period, with net income or loss as a result.
4.2.1.1. Receipts
Receipts are derived from sales of crops, livestock, and livestock products during the year
and also from government payments and miscellaneous sources. On Highland Farms,
receipts from these sources totaled birr 74,498 in 2004 (Table 4.3). Any farm products
used in the home should be valued and also included in receipts.
The objective of the receipts section in the income statement is to show as accurately as
possible the gross production of the farm, in monetary terms, during the year. This
facilitates comparison of a given farm with others in the area as well as analysis of the
trend in income on that farm over a period of years. Therefore, adjustments should be
included to account for changes in the inventory value of livestock, crops, and other
liquid assets during the year. The procedure of adjusting cash receipts for changes in
inventory to determine gross income is called the accrual method of accounting. While
relatively few farmers use the accrual basis to report income for tax purposes, recognition
of inventory changes is very important in accurately analyzing the financial performance
of a business.
Table 4.3: Income statement for Highland Farms, for year ended December 31, 2004.
RECEIPTS
Livestock sales
Cattle 28,045
Hogs 36,173
Total 64,218
Crop sales 9,450
Government payments …
Miscellaneous income 830
Gross cash receipts 74,498
Increase (decrease) in current inventory 3,8555
Less Livestock purchased 10,381
Feed purchased 12,675 23,056
Compiled by Mideksa D.
Rural Finance
OPERATING EXPENSES
Machinery and power (fuel, lubricant, repairs) 8,630
Hired labor 1,476
Livestock (feed, veterinary, expenses, etc.) 1,416
Seed, fertilizer, herbicides, lime, etc. 8,546
Interest on operating loans 2,635
Utilities 958
Miscellaneous 820
Total operating expenses 24,481
FIXED EXPENSES
Property taxes 2,401
Interest on intermediate- and long-term debt 9,299
Repairs and insurance 2,401
Depreciation on intermediate assets 4,233
Depreciation on fixed assets 1,000
Total fixed expenses 19,334
The sum of total receipts plus changes in inventories for farms with large purchases of
feeder livestock and feed overstates the income actually produced on the farm. It is
customary, therefore, to correct this overstatement by deducting purchases of livestock
and feed to obtain gross income. The adjustment is analogous to subtracting "cost of
goods sold" to obtain gross income in conventional double-entry accounting. The
purchase of livestock for Highland Farms in 2004 totaled birr 10,381 and feed amounted
to birr 12,675. These amounts deducted from birr 78,353 left a gross income of birr
55,297 for the year.
For purposes of financial analysis, receipts from the sale of assets such as real-estate or
machinery are generally not considered as income, since such income is not really
produced or earned during the period. However, for tax purposes income is adjusted for
any gains (or losses) resulting from the sale of capital assets. A gain, for example, would
be realized if the amount received from the sale of a capital item exceeds it depreciated or
book value. This gain may be reported for tax purposes; or if the capital item is replaced
by a similar asset, the potential gain could be subtracted from the basis of the new asset.
4.2.1.2. Expenses
All expenses or costs involved in the operation of the business during the period covered
by the income statement should be included. Thus all operating and fixed expenses are
entered. However, capital expenditures to purchase fixed and working assets such as real-
estate, machinery, milk cows, and breeding stock are excluded, since such items usually
are used in the business for several years. The depreciation that occurs on these items
during the period covered by the income statement is an expense, however, and should be
included.
Compiled by Mideksa D.
Operating or variable costs and fixed costs are shown separately in Table 4.3. Operating
expenses or costs include items such as seed, fertilizer, and fuel, which vary with the
level of production. Fixed expenses such as depreciation, taxes, insurance, and interest on
intermediate-term and long-term debt remain relatively constant regardless of the level of
production.
Consistent with the procedures used in most farm accounting systems, the income
statement of Table 4.3 does not include an expense entry for operator or family labor or
management. In larger incorporated businesses a salary for management and wages for
operator and family labor would be entered as an expense. However, farmers who operate
as sole proprietor or in a partnership typically do not draw a salary or wages, so the net
farm income after expenses is really compensation for the operator's management and
labor input as well as his capita contributions.
Three net income (loss) figures are useful in analysis of the business:
net cash income;
net operating income; and
net farm income
Net cash income equals cash receipts less cash expenses during the period covered by the
income statement, excluding purchases and sales of capital assets. The net cash income
figure provides an indication of the annual net cash flow of the business. It also is useful
in preparing the income tax return when it is made on the cash basis.
Net operating income is computed by subtracting operating expenses from gross income.
The net operating income of Highland Farms was birr 30,816 in 2004 as indicated in
Table 4.3. This measure of income facilitates comparison of farms with various fixed-
cost structures such as different mortgage debt and depreciation schedules. It also
facilitates comparing operating income on the same farm over a period of years, even
though fixed costs change due to changes in mortgage indebtedness, etc.
Net farm income is computed by deducting fixed costs from net operating income. The
net farm income of Highland Farms amounted to birr 11,482 in 2004. Net farm income
represents the income accruing to operator and family labor, management, and equity
capital. Of the three measures of income it is perhaps the most useful. It represents more
accurately than the other two the true return of the business during the period covered by
the income statement. Provided the data used in its depreciation are accurate and realistic,
net farm income approximates the amount available for family living, income taxes, and
savings. Principal payments on debts (which are not accounted for in expenses) such as
loans incurred to purchase land must be paid out of net income.
Compiled by Mideksa D.
Rural Finance
Inventory adjustments are of paramount importance if a reliable net farm income figure is
to be obtained. Increases or decreases in inventory values from the beginning to the end
of the year are caused by changes in quantities and prices. Changes in quantities usually
do not cause major problems, except possibly where quality or weight per unit or per
head changes. But changes in prices may cause distortions in the income picture, making
it difficult to judge the farmer's ability to produce income. These points can be clarified
by reference to the 2004 beginning and ending inventory of current assets of Highland
Farms in Table 4.4.
Table 4.4: Beginning and ending inventory of current assets for Highland Farms, 2004.
January 1, 2004 December 31, 2004
Corn, 6800 ton 17,000 Corn, 7600 ton 16,340
Oats 400 ton 560 Oats, 600 ton 780
Soybeans 2100 ton 9,660 Soybeans, 2050 ton 12,812
Silage, 130 ton 2,730 Silage, 140 ton 2,800
Hay, 45 ton 1,925 Hay, 45 ton 2,475
Feeder cattle, 81 head 11,692 Feeder cattle, 85 head 14,825
Market hogs, 208 head 10,400 Market hogs, 205 head 7,790
Total 53,967 Total 57,822
Different prices were used to value the corn, soybeans, and livestock inventoried at the
beginning and end of 2004. These adjustments in prices for inventory items were made to
more accurately reflect changes in market relationships.
Compiled by Mideksa D.
pertinent ratios provide useful information. Progressive lenders generally use financial
tests of various kinds in loan analysis. Working with a large number of farms, they are in
a position to develop ratio standards, formally or otherwise, to provide the basis for
comparison needed to effectively use this type of information.
Operating ratio: The operating ratio (OR), as the name implies, relates variable or
operating expenses to gross income:
Fixed ratio: The fixed ratio relates fixed expenses to gross income:
Fixed Expenses
FR (4.8)
Gross Income
Gross ratio: The operating and fixed ratios comprise the gross ratio (GR):
Total Expenses
GR
Gross Income
Example 4.5: Consider the income statement in Table 4.4. Based on the table, compute
and interpret
a) the operating ratio
b) the fixed ratio
c) the gross ratio
Solution
Compiled by Mideksa D.
Rural Finance
In 2004 Highland Farms had an operating ratio of 0.44. This means that total operating
expenses amounted to 44 cents per birr of gross income.
b) The fixed ratio is computed as
Total Expenses
GR OR FR
Gross Income
43,815
0.44 0.35
55,297
0.79
This means that gross ratio of Highland Farms in 2004 amounted to 0.79 indicating 79
cents total expense per birr of gross income. Alternatively, net farm income of Highland
Farm in 2004 amounted to about 21 cents per birr of gross income.
4.2.2.2. Income-to-investment ratios
Income-to-investment ratios are used to indicate the efficiency with which capital is
being employed in the business.
Capital turnover ratio: The capital turnover ratio (CTR) is commonly used as a quick
appraisal of efficiency of capital use:
Gross Income
CTR (4.9)
Average Capital Investment
The unadjusted gross income figure is used purposely in the capital turnover calculation
because feeder livestock and purchased feed inventories are part of capital investment;
thus gross income, which is not adjusted for "cost of goods sold," is the appropriate
income figure to use.
The average capital investment (ACI) figure is the average of beginning-of-year total
assets (BTA) and end-of-year total assets (ETA). On January 1, 2004, Highland Farms
Compiled by Mideksa D.
had total assets of birr 300,218; on December 31, 2004, assume total assets were birr
317,840. Average total assets are birr 309,029 computed as
BTA ETA
ACI (4.10)
2
300,218 317,840
2
309,029
Rate of return on capital: The rate of return on capital (RRC) is obtained by dividing net
return to capital (NRC) by average capital investment (total assets) for the year:
NRC
RRC 100
ACI
Net return to capital used in the business is derived from net farm income by adding back
interest paid (to get adjusted net farm income) and subtracting an allowance for unpaid
operator and family labor and management. The calculations for Highland Farms for
2004 are as follows:
Net farm income 11,482
Plus: Interest paid during the year 11,934 (= 2,635 + 9,299)
Equals adjusted net farm income 23,416
Less: Allowance for operator and
family labor and management -10,000 (given)
Equals return to total capital 13,416
Re turn to Equity
RRE 100
Average Net Worth
Example 4.6: Consider the income statement in Table 4.3 for highland Farms. Based on
the statement compute
a. the capital turnover ratio;
b. the rate of return on capital; and
c. the rate of return on owner equity given the owner equity at the end of 2004 to
be birr 141,650.
Solution
a) The unadjusted gross income for 2004 was birr 78,353; thus the capital turnover ratio
was 0.25 computed as
Gross Income 78,353
CTR 0.25
Average Capital Investment 309,029
This indicates that for each dollar of capital invested, Highland Farms generated 25 cents
in gross income in 2004.
Compiled by Mideksa D.
Rural Finance
b) Dividing the return to capital by the average amount of capital invested in the
business in 2004 gives a 4.3% return on investment computed as
NRC 13,416
RRC 100 100 4.3%
ACI 309,029
c) Using the figure given above for 2004, the return to equity of Highland Farms was
birr 1482 (birr 11,482 – birr 10,000). Owner equity at the beginning and end of 2004
are birr 138,845 and birr 141,650 which gives the average owner equity during 2004
to be birr 140,248. Therefore, the ratio can be computed as
Re turn to Equity
RRE 100
Average Net Worth
1482
100
140,248
1.1%
4.2.2.3. Management and labor factors
Various additional measures of efficiency can be used to indicate the income-producing
ability of a farm business. Several of the most common are discussed here.
Management return: Management return is derived from net farm income by deducting
a wage for operator and family labor and a return on equity capital used in the business.
Using 2004 data for highland Farms we have:
Net farm income 11,482
Less: Operator and family labor -8,000 (given)
Interest on equity capital
(birr 140,248 for 2004, 10%) -14,025
Equals management return (loss) -(10,543)
It will be observed that management return is derived from net farm income by following
a procedure similar to that used in computing the return on capital. The amount deducted
for operator and family labor is estimated on the basis of wage rates for farm labor in the
area (the opportunity cost of labor). The objective is to deduct an amount that would have
to be paid hired labor to do the work performed by the operator and his family, exclusive
of management and supervision. Similarly, the objective in arriving at interest on equity
capital is to estimate the opportunity return the operator could realize by investing his
capital elsewhere (the opportunity cost of capital).
Compiled by Mideksa D.
rather perplexing situation can frequently be diagnosed and resolved by analyzing the
cash flow of the business.
The income statement is the starting point for the cash flow statement; however, the two
statements differ in their treatment of several important accounting entries. A complete
cash flow statement or budget will include several nonfarm business items such as taxes,
nonfarm income, and living expenses. Cash withdrawals for management salary and
stock dividends would correspond to family living expenses in an incorporated farm
business. Cash flow analysis also gives a more complete accounting of debt transactions
by showing principal payments and interest payments. The cash flow statement or budget
reflects the cash transactions that occur with the purchase and/or sale of capital items
such as breeding livestock, machinery, and real-estate.
On the income statement, expenses associated with capital items are determined by
allocating the money outlay for a capital item over its useful life through the use of a
relatively constant annual depreciation allowance. Furthermore, the income statement
includes changes in inventories, whereas a cash flow includes sales and purchases as they
occur, with no adjustment for inventory changes.
4.3.2. Sources and Uses of Funds
The sources and uses of funds for Highland Farms are summarized in Table 4.5 the year
ended December 31, 2004. Note that total cash inflows (or sources of cash) are equal to
total cash outflows (or uses of cash).
A close examination of the sources and uses columns of the table will illustrate the major
characteristics of cash flow analysis and show its relationship to the balance sheet and
income statement. Cash receipts and cash operating expenses were taken directly from
the income statement of Table 4.3 and are reflected as cash inflows and cash outflows,
respectively. In addition to operating income and expenses the sources and uses statement
summarizes the cash flows associated with capital items as well.
The following are specifically indicated in the cash flow statement, unlike the income
statement, of Highland Farms
Capital purchase of a tractor as a cash outflow
Family living expenses and income taxes
Cash and credit transactions of the business during the year.
Table 4.5: Cash flow and sources and uses of funds for Highland Farms for the year
ended December 31, 2004.
Item Annual Sources Uses
total
CASH INFLOW …
Hogs 36,173 36,173 …
Cattle 28,045 28,045 …
Crops 9,450 9,450 …
Government payments … … …
Miscellaneous 830 830 …
Nonfarm income … … …
Capital sales … … …
Total inflow 74,498 … …
Compiled by Mideksa D.
Rural Finance
CASH OUTFLOW … …
Machinery and power 8,630 … 8,630
Hired labor 1,476 … 1,476
Livestock expense 1,416 … 1,416
Seed, fertilizer, etc. 8,548 … 8,548
Feed purchases 12,675 … 12,675
Livestock purchases 10,381 … 10,381
Rent … … …
Utilities 958 … 958
Miscellaneous operating 820 … 820
Taxes, property 2,401 … 2,401
Repairs and insurance 2,401 … 2,401
Interest 11,934 … 11,934
Capital purchases 19,000 … 19,000
Total outflow 80,638 … …
FAMILY LIVING AND INCOME TAXES $8,677 … 8,677
CASH SURPLUS OR DEFICIT (14,817) … …
CASH TRANSACTIONS
Beginning cash balance 1,000 1,000 …
Cash surplus or deficit (14,817) … …
Debt repayment 63,792 … 63,792
New debt added 78,609 78,609 …
Ending cash balance 1,000 … 1,000
CREDIT TRANSACTIONS
Beginning loan balance 161,373 … …
Debt repaid 63,792 … …
New debt added 78,609 … …
Ending loan balance 176,190 … …
Total 154,107 154,107
+ NET INCOME
+ GIFTS
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INHERITANCES
+ ASSET VALUE CHANGES
Farms can be used to specifically document changes in the balance sheet from one year to
the next. Thus, the value of assets at the end of 2004 (or January 1, 2005) should be equal
to:
This is exactly the amount of assets shown on the balance sheet for January 1, 2005.
Highland Farms had birr 161,373 of total liabilities on January 1. 2004. During the year,
the cash flow sources and uses statement indicates that birr 63,792 of debt was repaid and
birr 78,609 of new dent was added. Thus liabilities at the end of 2004 should be equal to:
This is exactly the amount of liabilities shown on the balance sheet for January 1, 2005.
The balance sheet for January 1, 2004, shows owner equity of birr 138,845. During the
year, Highland Farms generated birr 11,482 of net farm income (from the income
statement), family living and income taxes used birr 8677 (from the cash flow sources
and uses statement), and land appreciated by birr 0. Thus owner equity at the end of 2004
should be equal to:
This should be exactly the amount of owner equity on the balance sheet for January 1,
2005 after adjustment.
The coordination between the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow sources
and uses statement provides useful insight into the reasons for financial progress (or lack
thereof) and can assist in assessing the potential for further gai
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Livestock enterprises also involve production uncertainty. Death losses from diseases and
adverse weather conditions are common. Losses from contagious disease may strike an
individual farmer unusually hard. Losses from bad weather conditions at furrowing,
calving, or lambing time also affect production.
Generally, natural hazards in all types of production are great. These factors need to be
given full recognition in financial planning.
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a major consideration in farming, and farm commodity prices have fluctuated
dramatically in recent years.
The rapidity of technological change can also continue to uncertainty. A new method
may be adopted, but still better method may follow close behind, making the first
investment obsolete. In such cases a substantial portion of the value of a machine
disappears as soon as new model comes on the market, and risk-bearing ability is needed
to stand the loss.
A third type of uncertainty associated with change stems from the possibility of being left
behind by not adopting new techniques and adjusting the business to make full use of
them. Many farmers who a decade or so ago had sufficient earning capacity and risk-
bearing ability to use credit successfully now have become questionable credit risks.
They have been slow to adopt new and improved practices and are operating the same
size of units as formerly.
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If the corn is stored for later sale, the possible net prices (after paying storage costs) and
the associated probabilities (which reflect the decision maker’s evaluation of the
likelihood of occurrence for each possible outcome) are indicated in Table 5.1. The prices
of hogs in birr per head in the three market conditions are also indicated. Total direct
costs for feeding 100 hogs, excluding corn, are birr 7000.
The decision tree for this situation as indicated in Figure 5.1 clearly depicts that the
possible outcome of alternative courses of action at the tips of the branches and thus
helps the manager to more clearly visualize the consequences of various courses of
action. The three possible courses of action are represented by three act branches
emanating from A, the node of the act fork. In this example, the possible outcomes in
terms of net income range from a low of birr 1,500 to a high of birr 3,000. However, the
―best‖ decision cannot be identified unless one has a rule for selecting among the
alternatives.
Figure 5.1: decision tree for hypothetical corn marketing problem
180
5000
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These rules depend upon the decision maker’s attitude toward risk. Based on the attitudes
toward risk, selection criterion might be maximin, maximax or safety-first rule
Maximin rule: Some conservative decision makers appear to use a maximin rule
(maximum of the minimum), which results in selection of the alternative with best of the
worst outcomes. In this example, the maximin rule would result in the choice of selling
the 1000 quintals of corn now for birr 2 per kilogram because the worst (and the best)
outcomes for this alternative is birr 2000.
Maximax rule: A risk seeker might use the maximax rule (maximum of the maximum),
which leads to the alternative with highest possible income. In our example, the maximax
rule would result in deciding to market the corn by feeding it to 100 hogs, even though
this alternative could result in a return of as little as birr 1500. One might question the
wisdom of a risk seeker following the maximax rule. Consider, however, a situation
where the decision maker believes that a return of at least birr 2500 is needed to stay in
business. In this example, feeding the corn to hogs offers the only possibility of staying in
business. Moreover, feeding hogs gives a 50% probability of achieving this goal.
Safety-first rule: The safety-first rule represents a compromise between the maximin and
maximax rules. With a safety-first approach the alternative with highest expected return
is selected, subject to an acceptably low chance that the income will fall below some
minimum level. Suppose in our example, the decision maker believes that if the income
from marketing of corn is birr 1800 or less the business will fail, but is willing to assume
12.5% of income being below this disaster level. The hog-feeding alternative would be
ruled out because it involves a 20% chance that the income will be less than birr 1800.
Storing the corn would be the best alternative; it offers a higher expected return than does
selling the corn now, but the probability that income will fall to the birr 1800 disaster
level is only 10%.
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There are many strategies that can be used to reduce risk and uncertainty. These include
the following:
financial strategies,
marketing strategies, and
Production strategies.
One way of reducing the consequences of adverse events is to carry adequate financial
reserves. The cost of holding reserves is the difference between the rate of returns earned
on reserves and the rate of return offered by alternative reinvestment opportunities in the
business.
Farmers carry other resources in reserve besides cash savings. Most livestock farmers
hold carryover feed supplies to protect themselves against low crop yields and /or high
prices for purchased feeds. Also many farmers buy larger machines and equipment than
might be needed in an average year to protect against crop losses in unusually bad
seasons.
Reserve borrowing capacity is another very important form of protection against
uncertainty. In fact, most rational businesses hold low amounts of cash or near cash
reserves in comparison to the amount of unused credit because the cost of unused credit
is lower than the cost of holding cash or savings. The cost of holding cash reserves is the
difference between the rate earned on the savings account and the rate that could be
earned in the business. If money invested in the farm business, for instance, offers a
return of 15% per annum, reserve funds held in a savings account earn 6%, and money
can be borrowed at 10%, the cost of holding cash reserves is 9% (= 15% - 6%). The cost
of holding credit in reserve is the rate of return earned in the business (15%) minus the
cost of borrowing money (10%), which is 5% (= 15% - 10%) in this example.
The cost of holding cash reserves can also be reduced by making certain that these funds
are invested in high-yielding investment alternatives. Only a minimum amount of reserve
funds should be held as cash. Most should be kept in savings accounts or invested in
short-term securities that can be liquidated on relatively shorter notice. The cost of
holding credit can also be minimized by borrowing from low-cost sources of credit and
holding higher-cost sources in reserve. Other risk-reducing financial strategies include
cash flow projections based on realistic estimates of variables, maintaining an appropriate
balance between short-term, intermediate-term, and long-term debts. These will help to
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ensure that cash inflows are adequate to cover financial commitments even when yields
and/or prices fall below normal.
5.2.2.2. Marketing Strategies
Fluctuations in commodity prices can virtually wipe out a farmer’s profit margin even
though he may be a very efficient producer. Thus many producers as well as processors
and wholesalers of agricultural commodities use strategies such as hedging, options,
forward contracting, and spreading of sales or purchases to protect themselves against
price changes. The proper use of marketing strategies can be an effective means of
dealing with price risk. However, the improper use of these techniques can increase risk
and reduce returns. These issues have complicated technicalities the details of which
should be discussed in your marketing course.
Hedging: Hedging on the futures market allows buyers and sellers to establish now the
prices of products they intend to buy or sell on some future date.
Commodity options: Commodity options offer sellers and buyers of many farm
commodities an opportunity to ensure against adverse price movements without
eliminating the possible gains from favorable price movements.
Forward contracting: Forward contracting is another method locking in prices. For many
farmers forward contracting has some important advantages over hedging or options
because problems such as an unstable basis, margin calls, premiums, or the minimum size
of the contract are eliminated.
Spreading sales: spreading sales is a marketing technique that can be used for storable
commodities if storage space is available.
5.2.2.3. Production Strategies
In addition to financial and marketing strategies, production strategies such as
diversification, flexibility, and the use of commonsense practices to produce a stable and
dependable income are important.
Diversification: As you might remember from the discussion in unit three, diversification
is one of the more common methods employed to alleviate risk and uncertainty. By
distributing the eggs among several baskets, the chance of a large loss from a single
misfortune or at any one time is reduced. Similarly, by having more than one enterprise
in the farm business, the chance of a large loss from a given hazard is reduced.
Flexibility: Flexibility has some advantages over diversification in contributing to
stability and dependability of income. As time passes and added information is obtained,
a flexible business can be adjusted to meet new circumstances, whereas an inflexible one
allows little room for change. Flexibility in organization of a farm business can be of
three types:
time flexibility,
cost flexibility, and
product flexibility.
Time flexibility refers to the time involved in producing a product. Cost flexibility is
attained by keeping fixed costs low in relation to total costs. Product flexibility refers to
the possibility of adjusting the product produced to meet changing conditions.
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5.3. Insurance in Agriculture
Insurance serves one basic purpose – to provide protection against economic losses
arising from adverse events. Automobile insurance protects the policyholder against
losing the asset itself because of accident, theft, fire, or other calamity. In addition, the
liability component of auto insurance protects the policyholder’s other assets and future
income against claims for damages or injuries suffered by others. The basic purpose of
life insurance is to protect surviving dependents against the loss of income and added
expenses that occur when a family member dies.
By paying a proportionate share of the losses for the group as a whole plus a share of the
expenses of running the company, it is possible for a person to avoid the burden of a loss
that, if borne alone, might cause business failure or a major financial setback. The
premium paid by the individual can be charged as an expense to take care of the
particular risk involved.
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Predictable frequency and volume of cases: Personal hazards such as illness, accidents,
and death lend themselves to insurance because they occur with predictable frequency
when large numbers are included. It is unlikely that all individuals in any one area will be
affected. It is, however, essential that the agency doing the insuring have a large volume
of cases so it can be assured of experiencing about average frequency of loss.
Widespread and unpredictable risk: Price fluctuations do not lend themselves to
insurance as well as natural hazards because they are not as predictable and are likely to
affect wide areas or even the whole nation at the same time. Prices do not oscillate about
a predictable average because they are the result of unpredictable factors such as weather
conditions and other natural hazards as well as regulations, and the like. It is true that
normal prices are estimated, but there are no forces that make prices average this normal
over time. Hence any agency that attempts to insure against low prices has little actuarial
basis on which to operate. Therefore, central governments are the only agencies with a
large enough resource base to attempt any sizable program of price insurance.
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2. Legal and proper subject matter: The subject matter of the contract must be legal and
proper. Contracts that are themselves illegal (e.g., a price fixing agreement in a free
marker economy) or require one or more parties to commit an illegal act are not
legally enforceable in a court of law.
3. Offer and acceptance of the contract: There must be evidence that all parties
willingly consented to the agreement, as evidenced by an offer and an acceptance.
4. Consideration: There must be consideration, which in essence means that something
of value must be received and/or given up by both parties.
With some exceptions, contracts do not have to be in writing to make them legally
enforceable. However, virtually all loan contracts are in written form. As a practical
matter all contracts should be written to minimize the possibility of misunderstanding.
6.1.1.2. Credit instruments
There are many credit instruments used in farm credit transactions of which the most
important are:
Promissory notes,
Real property,
Personal property, and
Other credit instruments
Promissory note: A promissory note is the primary legal document in most loan
contracts. It is the written promise of the borrower to repay the loan. When advancing
loan funds, the lender receives in exchange a note signed by the borrower promising to
pay the lender a certain stated principal amount with interest on a certain date or dates as
specified in the note.
Real property: the deed is the instrument used to transfer ownership of real property. The
mortgage is the instrument used to ―perfect‖ (to bring into conformity with low) the
lender’s (mortgagee’s) security interest in real property owned by the borrower
(mortgagor).
Personal property: This includes both tangible and intangible properties. Tangible
personal property includes items such as (1) consumer goods, (2) equipment, (3) farm
products, and (4) inventory. Intangible personal property includes (1) instruments
(negotiable instruments such as notes, bonds, stock certificates, etc.), (2) documents of
title (warehouse receipts, dock receipts, gin tickets, etc.), (3) chattel paper, which refers
to the combination of evidence of debt (i.e., note) and a security interest in specified
property, (4) accounts (such as accounts receivable), (5) contract rights, and (6) other
intangibles. It should be noted that the use of these credit instruments to get farm loans is
determined by the laws and regulations in the country.
Other credit instruments: A large number of written instruments may be encountered in
farm credit transactions. Of theses the most important are abstracts, title insurance, liens,
waivers, nondisturbance agreements, assignments, and releases. A real-estate abstract
contains a brief account of all deeds, mortgages, foreclosures, and other pertinent facts
that affect the title to the land.
In many areas title insurance is used in place of the real-estate abstract. It is used by a
licensed title insurance company upon payment of a premium and insures the buyer or
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mortgagee against defects in the title other than those that may have been specifically
excluded.
A lien is a claim or encumbrance on a property. Tax liens generally arise from property
taxes. A claim to insure payment for work done on a property is also a lien.
A waiver is relinquishment of a claim. Sometimes a lender will make loan only if parties
having priority claims or liens waive their interest in property offered as security for the
loan.
An assignment is a transfer of notes, mortgages and other property from one party to
another. A common assignment is the transfer of a mortgage from the lender that makes
the original loan (such as a bank) to a second party such as an insurance company that
buys the note and mortgage. The bank in this instance is the assignor, and the insurance
company is the assignee.
The return of funds from users to suppliers also is a function of the financial market, but
it comprises an auxiliary service function and is not dealt with here.
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financially self-sufficient. Expenditures of each unit would be limited to internal funds.
Moreover, there would be no outlet for unused savings.
Two basic economic functions are involved in the transfer of funds that in turn are
packaged and loaned. These are:
primary market activities, and
secondary market activities.
Primary market activities: The funds may be acquired, as from an individual who
deposits funds in a bank, or they may be acquired by selling a new issue of a financial
instrument in which case an intermediary is involved. These transfers are often referred to
as primary market activities because they involve the acquisition of new funds and the
issuing of new financial instruments.
Secondary market activities: The second transfer function consist of the allocation of
outstanding financial instruments among financial units, such as those reflected by
quotations in financial papers. This function does not involve the issuing of new
instruments but the buying and selling of instruments that are already in the market. The
transfers usually involve the services of an agent such as a broker or dealer in securities.
Transactions of this type, generally referred to as secondary market activities, are
essential to provide liquidity.
Without a secondary market the original purchaser of a financial instrument would have
to hold it to maturity. Under such circumstances financial instruments would need to have
very short maturities, or portfolios would become frozen because a purchaser of a long-
term instrument could not sell it to move funds elsewhere. Either alternative would
seriously limit the usefulness of financial instruments and the functioning of financial
markets. Moreover, short maturities for financial instruments related to fixed instruments
such as land would reduce the inclination to borrow and might at times endanger the
stability of the financial market. If financial instruments were not transferable or
negotiable, fewer buyers would be willing to participate in the market, and thus the
volume of new issues would be reduced and interest rates would increase.
The market mechanism for rationing funds among users is based on the concepts of
demand and supply. The demand function or curve for funds indicates the amount that
buyers or users desire at various interest or yield rates and repayment terms at a given
time. As indicated in Figure 6.1, the demand curve (D) is downward sloping in traditional
fashion. The supply function or curve (S) provides comparable information regarding the
amount suppliers are willing to provide and is upward sloping, indicating the increased
cost that is necessary to supply increasing amounts of funds to the market. The
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intersection of the two curves indicates the equilibrium quantity Q of funds that are
transferred from suppliers to users (demanders) and the equilibrium interest rate i or yield
and terms. The demand and supply functions or curves for the various financial
instruments in various markets are closely interrelated, but they are not the same.
Figure 6.1: The allocation or rationing mechanism in the capital markets.
S
Interest rate
i ---------------------------------
Q
Quantity of funds
Availability of funds in various financial markets depends on the direct flow of funds into
them and also on the ability of financial instruments to obtain funds in one market and
make them available in another.
In addition to the suppliers and users of funds, intermediaries are the principal
participants in financial markets. The position of intermediaries in the financial markets
is illustrated in Figure 6.2. They occupy an intermediate position between suppliers and
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users of funds. They provide the linkage between suppliers and users as, for example, a
rural commercial bank links depositors and farm borrowers.
Figure 6.2: Flow of capital from suppliers to users with and without intermediaries
Capital Capital
Suppliers Financial Users
Intermediaries
The role of financial intermediaries is to carry out the transfer and rationing functions of
the financial market. They do this by creating various utilities of funds including time
utility, place utility, form utility, and other characteristics of funds supplied by suppliers
to make them available for users.
Instruments traded in the national market generally are of high quality, broadly
acceptable to a wide range of investors, and readily marketable. The national financial
market provides large suppliers and users of capital an effective and efficient means of
placing and obtaining funds.
The effectiveness of local financial markets in the overall financial framework of a nation
depends in large measure on their connection or linkage with other and the national
market. It would be possible for local markets to achieve optimum intermediation
between locally originated funds and the local demand for capital. Linkages between
local and national markets reduce the potential of vastly different rates in local markets
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3. other financial contracts --supplier credit, leasing and equipment rentals, bonded
warehouses, contract farming;
4. deposit services;
5. secured transactions (the creation, perfection, and execution of security interests);
6. improvements in the transparency and disclosure of information such as credit
bureaus, and
7. Innovations in microcredit technology and products.
The underlying premise of the rural finance strategy should be that rural enterprises must
be made more profitable and less risky in order to become more bankable. Without
rigorous analysis of elements that contribute to client creditworthiness and enterprise
profitability, it will be difficult to design appropriate remedial action and in turn build
market-based, sustainable rural financial markets.
Macroeconomic stability
The existence of a stable macroeconomic environment, marked by price and exchange
rate stability is a necessary but not sufficient condition for the orderly and sound
development of a financial market. Consistent and rational economic policies foster
investor and consumer confidence. In rural areas, the production of agricultural goods,
many of which are tradeables, makes the sector very susceptible to foreign exchange
movements, both in nominal and real terms. An improper management of the foreign
exchange rate can have adverse effects on the soundness of rural financial intermediaries,
especially if inflationary and recessionary effects swamp the demand boost for rural
export and import substitute products. Massive devaluations can lead to repayment crises.
On the other hand, the maintenance of an overvalued currency acts as a tax on
agricultural export producers, making them less profitable and less bankable clients. The
result is that farmers will tend to plant less of the taxed export crop, which is likely to
have much better established marketing distribution channels and thus represents an
investment of lower default risk for the banker to finance. In another scenario, where the
commodity is domestic staple, an overvalued currency dampens export demand but
stimulates urban import demand for foreign foods that are substitutes, thereby reducing
farm income, and increasing bank default risk. In comparison, processed or transformed
agricultural commodities (textiles or canned food) can benefit from a devaluation if the
product is exported and most inputs are domestically sourced. In an overvalued regime,
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when the outputs are import substitutes, demand for the good will fall. Rural, off-farm
service enterprises and rural municipalities, are directly linked to the vagaries of
agricultural price and yield movements, and tend to see demand for their services and tax
bases move accordingly. If the fiscal management of the economy is weak, the use of
tight monetary policy to control inflation, stifles rural loan demand, lowers investments in
productive assets, and creates adverse selection risks.
Appropriate sectoral economic policies
The rural sector of most developing countries has historically suffered a legacy of urban
biased polices, namely, administratively set low food prices and investments in
infrastructure, health, and education skewed to urban areas. As a result, profitably
investment opportunities in rural areas were restricted, making fewer rural residents
commercially bankable. The rapid creation of non-farm jobs hinges on favorable
infrastructure and a pool of well educated workers. Improvements in on-farm
productivity and profitability depend on the quality and density of infrastructure and
investments in agricultural crop research and post harvest handling technologies.
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and maintenance of system integrity without imposing onerous and uneconomic burdens
on financial intermediaries.
Competitive environment
In order to develop deeper, more efficient and more complete markets, competitive forces
have to be unleashed. In most parts of Ethiopia and other African countries, competition
in rural financial services is absent. The predominant actors are publicly owned
specialized intermediaries, credit granting non-governmental organizations, and informal
suppliers. The clientele of each is segmented. The terms and conditions for each typical
provider range tremendously. Financial costs are lowest for the publicly owned
institutions but the transaction costs are the highest. The reverse is true for the informal
lender. Each private intermediary (non-regulated or informal) has a very limited range of
products to offer, usually one or two. Part of the solution requires a detailed analysis of
barriers to entry, restrictions on foreign financial institutions, and other legal or
regulatory restrictions that may impede competition. Another part of the solution requires
building and strengthening trade finance. Savings and loan institutions are not the only
and predominant actors in rural finance—supplier finance and interlinked contracts also
have a significant role to play.
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institutions demonstrate that rural residents can save and would like access to deposit
services that are liquid, safe, and offer returns. The challenges for interested parties are
how to design savings product attractive to rural residents, how to lower the cost of
deposit mobilization in environments where population densities tend to be low so that
these illiquid savings can be converted to monetarized savings, and how to assure asset
quality and maintain sufficient liquidity in order to honor withdrawals and project an
image of solvency.
Typically, deposit taking institutions, with the exception of credit unions, focuses on
attracting a large volume of deposits from a small number of clients for a term in order to
minimize transaction costs and volatility. Besides a lack of conveniently located
branches, small savers are either ignored or discouraged through minimum opening
amounts and minimum balances. In other cases, some deposit taking institutions, are
plagued by perceptions of impermanence and high risk, therefore savers are reluctant to
accumulate large deposits.
References
Alexander Hamilton Institute, Inc, 1998. Financial Management Handbook. USA.
Brigham, E.F., L.C. Gapenski, and M.C. Ehrhardt, 1999. Financial Management: Theory
and Practice. The Dryden Press, Texas.
Degye Goshu, 2008. Rural Finance (Module II for distance education), Haramaya
University, Ethiopia.
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Degye Goshu and Mikle Tesfaye, 2008. Rural Finance (Module I for distance education),
Haramaya University, Ethiopia.
Elton, E. and M.J. Gruber 2001. Modern Portfolio and Investment Analysis. John and
Sons, Singapore.
Lee, W.F., M.D. Boehlje, A.G. Nelson, and W.G. Murray (1988). Agricultural Finance,
5th edition, Iowa State University Press, Ames, Iowa.
Khubchandani, B.S., 2000. Practice and Law of Banking. The Indian Institute of Bankers.
New Delhi.
Year Retur Return E a ,i E a E b ,i E b ( E a ,i E a ) 2 ( Eb ,i Eb ) 2 Product
(t) ns s from of
from crop B deviation
(1) crop (3) s
(4) (5) (6) (7)
A (8 = 4*5)
(2)
1 136 86 23 5 529 25 115
2 88 64 -25 -17 625 289 425
3 104 92 -9 11 81 121 -99
4 148 102 35 21 1225 441 735
5 62 82 -51 1 2601 1 -51
6 176 78 63 -3 3969 9 -189
7 192 62 79 -19 6241 361 -1501
8 142 90 29 9 841 81 261
Total 1048 656 -144 -34 -16112 1328 -304
Mean 131 82 -18 -4.25 -2014 166 38
Varience for crop A=2956.33 and for crop B=216.51
Depending up on the above table find;
A) Coefficient of variation and interpret your answers
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