Maine Question 1 Narrowly Leads Voters Want Gay Marriage
Maine Question 1 Narrowly Leads Voters Want Gay Marriage
Maine Question 1 Narrowly Leads Voters Want Gay Marriage
November 2, 2011
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Q6
Do you favor a law allowing marriage licenses for same-sex couples that protects religious freedom by ensuring no religion or clergy be required to perform such a marriage in violation of their religious beliefs?
Yes.................................................................. 48% No ................................................................... 35% Not sure .......................................................... 17%
Q2
Which system would you prefer for dispensing Maines electoral votes: giving all of them to the statewide winner or giving one to the winner of each individual Congressional District?
Electoral votes should all go to the statewide winner ............................................................. 40% One should be given to the winner of each individual Congressional District ..................... 41% Not sure .......................................................... 20%
Q7
Q8
Q3
Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?
Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry .............................................................. 46% Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry ....................................... 36% There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship ....................................... 17% Not sure .......................................................... 1%
Q4
If you could do last falls election for Governor over again would you vote for independent Eliot Cutler, Republican Paul LePage, or Democrat Libby Mitchell?
Eliot Cutler ...................................................... 43% Paul LePage ................................................... 38% Libby Mitchell .................................................. 16% Not sure .......................................................... 2%
Q9
Do you support or oppose the goals of the Occupy Wall Street movement?
Support ........................................................... 47% Oppose ........................................................... 32% Not sure .......................................................... 21%
Q5
Q10 Do you support or oppose the goals of the Tea Party movement?
Support ........................................................... 33% Oppose ........................................................... 51% Not sure .......................................................... 16%
Q11 Do you have a higher opinion of the Occupy Wall Street movement or the Tea Party movement?
Occupy Wall Street ......................................... 52% Tea Party ........................................................ 33% Not sure .......................................................... 15%
Q15 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 41% Republican...................................................... 35% Independent/Other .......................................... 24%
Q13 Would you describe yourself as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ...................................................... 11% Somewhat liberal ............................................ 23% Moderate......................................................... 33% Somewhat conservative.................................. 19% Very conservative ........................................... 14%
Q17 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29........................................................... 8% 30 to 45........................................................... 23% 46 to 65........................................................... 44% Older than 65 .................................................. 24%
Crosstabs
2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't Base McCain Obam a rem em ber Question 1 Would vote for it 48% Would vote against it 44% Not sure 7% 31% 62% 7% 61% 33% 6% 36% 41% 23%
2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't Base McCain Obam a rem em ber Should EVs Go to Statew ide Winner or By CD? Electoral votes 40% should all go to the statew ide w inner One should be given 41% to the w inner of each individual Congressional District Not sure 20% 37% 42% 36%
48%
37%
30%
15%
21%
34%
2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't Base McCain Obam a rem em ber LePage Approval Approve 43% Disapprove 48% Not sure 9% 81% 11% 7% 18% 73% 8% 33% 43% 24%
Cutler/LePage/Mitchell Redo Eliot Cutler 43% Paul LePage 38% Libby Mitchell 16% Not sure 2%
2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't rem em ber Base McCain Obam a
16% 79% 3% 2%
Crosstabs
2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't rem em ber Base McCain Obam a Collins Approval Approve 54% Disapprove 35% Not sure 10% 56% 33% 12% 53% 38% 9% 56% 26% 18%
2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't rem em ber Base McCain Obam a Favor Gay Marriage w / Religious Exception? Yes 48% No 35% Not sure 17% 29% 54% 17% 61% 22% 17% 39% 33% 28%
2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't Base McCain Obam a rem em ber Sam e-sex Legal/Illegal Legal 51% Illegal 42% Not sure 8% 15% 77% 8% 75% 17% 8% 43% 47% 11%
Gay Marriage/Civ. Unions/No Recognition Gay couples should 46% be allow ed to legally m arry Gay couples should 36% be allow ed to form civil unions but not m arry There should be no 17% legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship Not sure 1%
2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't Base McCain Obam a rem em ber
11%
70%
40%
56%
23%
33%
32%
7%
24%
0%
1%
2%
Crosstabs
2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't Base McCain Obam a rem em ber Support/Oppose OWS Goals Support 47% Oppose 32% Not sure 21% 16% 61% 23% 69% 12% 19% 32% 35% 33% Support/Oppose Tea Party Goals Support 33% Oppose 51% Not sure 16%
2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't Base McCain Obam a rem em ber
6% 81% 13%
2008 Vote John Barack Som eone else/Don't Base McCain Obam a rem em ber Higher Opinion of OWS or Tea Party? Occupy Wall Street 52% Tea Party 33% Not sure 15% 11% 77% 12% 82% 4% 15% 32% 34% 34%
Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Question 1 Would vote for it 48% Would vote against it 44% Not sure 7% 68% 30% 2% 65% 31% 4% 46% 43% 11% 31% 59% 10% 36% 59% 5%
Crosstabs
Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Should EVs Go to Statew ide Winner or By CD? Electoral votes 40% should all go to the statew ide w inner One should be given 41% to the w inner of each individual Congressional District Not sure 20% 42% 46% 40% 33% 35% LePage Approval Approve 43% Disapprove 48% Not sure 42% 32% 40% 48% 45% 9%
Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative
10% 84% 5%
17% 76% 7%
86% 8% 6%
16%
22%
20%
18%
20%
Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Cutler/LePage/Mitchell Redo Eliot Cutler 43% Paul LePage 38% Libby Mitchell 16% Not sure 2% 63% 5% 29% 2% 64% 11% 24% 1% 48% 30% 18% 5% 24% 67% 9% 1% 8% 89% 2% 1% Collins Approval Approve 54% Disapprove 35% Not sure 10%
Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative
45% 52% 3%
63% 30% 8%
Crosstabs
Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Favor Gay Marriage w / Religious Exception? Yes 48% No 35% Not sure 17% 64% 20% 15% 68% 23% 9% 48% 28% 24% 34% 42% 24% 18% 74% 8%
Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very Base liberal liberal Moderate conservative conservative Sam e-sex Legal/Illegal Legal 51% Illegal 42% Not sure 8% 88% 11% 1% 76% 18% 6% 56% 33% 11% 19% 68% 13% 8% 90% 2%
Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Gay Marriage/Civ. Unions/No Recognition Gay couples should 46% be allow ed to legally m arry Gay couples should 36% be allow ed to form civil unions but not m arry There should be no 17% legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship Not sure 1% 86% 74% 46% 16% 7% Support/Oppose OWS Goals Support 47% Oppose 32% Not sure 21% 8% 22% 39% 66% 35%
Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal
77% 16% 7%
6%
4%
14%
17%
58%
1%
1%
1%
Crosstabs
Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal Support/Oppose Tea Party Goals Support 33% Oppose 51% Not sure 16% 8% 84% 8% 12% 80% 9% 18% 60% 22% 62% 18% 20% 83% 4% 13% Higher Opinion of OWS or Tea Party? Occupy Wall Street 52% Tea Party 33% Not sure 15%
Ideology Very Som ew hat Som ew hat Very liberal Moderate conservative conservative Base liberal
83% 10% 7%
82% 6% 11%
4% 87% 9%
Gender Base Wom an Question 1 Would vote for it 48% Would vote against it 44% Not sure 7% 52% 39% 9% 44% 50% 6% Man
Gender Base Wom an Should EVs Go to Statew ide Winner or By CD? Electoral votes 40% should all go to the statew ide w inner One should be given 41% to the w inner of each individual Congressional District Not sure 20% 39% 40% Man
34%
48%
27%
12%
Crosstabs
Gender Base Wom an LePage Approval Approve 43% Disapprove 48% Not sure 9% 34% 55% 11% 53% 41% 6% Man
Cutler/LePage/Mitchell Redo Eliot Cutler 43% Paul LePage 38% Libby Mitchell 16% Not sure 2%
Gender Base Wom an Collins Approval Approve 54% Disapprove 35% Not sure 10% 57% 32% 11% 51% 39% 10% Man
Gender Base Wom an Favor Gay Marriage w / Religious Exception? Yes 48% No 35% Not sure 17% 52% 29% 19% 43% 42% 16% Man
Crosstabs
Gender Base Wom an Sam e-sex Legal/Illegal Legal 51% Illegal 42% Not sure 8% 59% 32% 9% 41% 52% 6% Man
Gender Base Wom an Gay Marriage/Civ. Unions/No Recognition Gay couples should 46% be allow ed to legally m arry Gay couples should 36% be allow ed to form civil unions but not m arry There should be no 17% legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship Not sure 1% 52% 39% Man
33%
40%
15%
20%
1%
1%
Gender Base Wom an Support/Oppose OWS Goals Support 47% Oppose 32% Not sure 21% 51% 25% 24% 43% 39% 18% Man Support/Oppose Tea Party Goals Support 33% Oppose 51% Not sure 16%
Crosstabs
Gender Base Wom an Higher Opinion of OWS or Tea Party? Occupy Wall Street 52% Tea Party 33% Not sure 15% 57% 26% 17% 47% 41% 12% Man
Question 1 Would vote for it 48% Would vote against it 44% Not sure 7%
60% 33% 7%
29% 64% 7%
56% 35% 8%
Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Should EVs Go to Statew ide Winner or By CD? Electoral votes 40% should all go to the statew ide w inner One should be given 41% to the w inner of each individual Congressional District Not sure 20% 44% 35% 39% LePage Approval Approve 43% Disapprove 48% Not sure 34% 48% 40% 9%
15% 76% 9%
80% 12% 7%
21%
17%
21%
Crosstabs
Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Cutler/LePage/Mitchell Redo Eliot Cutler 43% Paul LePage 38% Libby Mitchell 16% Not sure 2% 59% 9% 30% 3% 16% 79% 4% 1% 55% 31% 11% 4%
Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Collins Approval Approve 54% Disapprove 35% Not sure 10% 51% 42% 7% 53% 34% 13% 61% 26% 12%
Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Favor Gay Marriage w / Religious Exception? Yes 48% No 35% Not sure 17% 58% 24% 18% 32% 53% 14% 52% 26% 22%
Sam e-sex Legal/Illegal Legal 51% Illegal 42% Not sure 8%
72% 22% 7%
53% 39% 7%
Crosstabs
Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Gay Marriage/Civ. Unions/No Recognition Gay couples should 46% be allow ed to legally m arry Gay couples should 36% be allow ed to form civil unions but not m arry There should be no 17% legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship Not sure 1% 67% 20% 48%
Support/Oppose OWS Goals Support 47% Oppose 32% Not sure 21%
25%
49%
36%
8%
30%
15%
1%
0%
1%
Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Support/Oppose Tea Party Goals Support 33% Oppose 51% Not sure 16% 8% 79% 14% 70% 14% 16% 24% 58% 18% Higher Opinion of OWS or Tea Party? Occupy Wall Street 52% Tea Party 33% Not sure 15%
Crosstabs
Race Base White Other Question 1 Would vote for it 48% Would vote against it 44% Not sure 7% 48% 45% 7% 62% 30% 9%
Race Base White Other Should EVs Go to Statew ide Winner or By CD? Electoral votes 40% should all go to the statew ide w inner One should be given 41% to the w inner of each individual Congressional District Not sure 20% 40% 34%
40%
47%
20%
20%
Race Base White Other LePage Approval Approve 43% Disapprove 48% Not sure 9% 43% 48% 9% 35% 55% 10%
Cutler/LePage/Mitchell Redo Eliot Cutler 43% Paul LePage 38% Libby Mitchell 16% Not sure 2%
Crosstabs
Race Base White Other Collins Approval Approve 54% Disapprove 35% Not sure 10% 55% 36% 10% 45% 31% 24%
Race Base White Other Favor Gay Marriage w / Religious Exception? Yes 48% No 35% Not sure 17% 49% 35% 17% 35% 31% 34%
Race Base White Other Sam e-sex Legal/Illegal Legal 51% Illegal 42% Not sure 8% 50% 42% 7% 53% 29% 17%
Race Base White Other Gay Marriage/Civ. Unions/No Recognition Gay couples should 46% be allow ed to legally m arry Gay couples should 36% be allow ed to form civil unions but not m arry There should be no 17% legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship Not sure 1% 46% 54%
36%
34%
18%
9%
1%
2%
Crosstabs
Race Base White Other Support/Oppose OWS Goals Support 47% Oppose 32% Not sure 21% 47% 32% 21% 51% 26% 23% Support/Oppose Tea Party Goals Support 33% Oppose 51% Not sure 16%
Race Base White Other Higher Opinion of OWS or Tea Party? Occupy Wall Street 52% Tea Party 33% Not sure 15% 52% 34% 15% 56% 22% 21%
Base Question 1 Would vote for it 48% Would vote against it 44% Not sure 7%
61% 39% -
51% 42% 6%
47% 45% 7%
Crosstabs
Age Base Should EVs Go to Statew ide Winner or By CD? Electoral votes 40% should all go to the statew ide w inner One should be given 41% to the w inner of each individual Congressional District Not sure 20% 37% 30% 41% 48% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65 LePage Approval Approve 43% Disapprove 48% Not sure 47% 48% 39% 34% 9% Base
45% 49% 6%
37% 56% 7%
16%
22%
21%
18%
Age Base Cutler/LePage/Mitchell Redo Eliot Cutler 43% Paul LePage 38% Libby Mitchell 16% Not sure 2% 32% 32% 32% 5% 36% 51% 13% 49% 32% 16% 2% 43% 39% 14% 3% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65 Collins Approval Approve 54% Disapprove 35% Not sure 10% Base
56% 38% 6%
Crosstabs
Age Base Favor Gay Marriage w / Religious Exception? Yes 48% No 35% Not sure 17% 37% 42% 21% 46% 35% 19% 53% 33% 14% 44% 36% 21% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Age Base Sam e-sex Legal/Illegal Legal 51% Illegal 42% Not sure 8% 47% 53% 46% 40% 14% 58% 37% 5% 43% 48% 9% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65
Age Base Gay Marriage/Civ. Unions/No Recognition Gay couples should 46% be allow ed to legally m arry Gay couples should 36% be allow ed to form civil unions but not m arry There should be no 17% legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship Not sure 1% 53% 40% 52% 39% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65 Support/Oppose OWS Goals Support 47% Oppose 32% Not sure 21% 32% 43% 33% 36% Base
16%
17%
14%
25%
1%
0%
Crosstabs
Age Base Support/Oppose Tea Party Goals Support 33% Oppose 51% Not sure 16% 42% 37% 21% 36% 51% 13% 30% 54% 16% 32% 52% 17% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65 Higher Opinion of OWS or Tea Party? Occupy Wall Street 52% Tea Party 33% Not sure 15% Base
47% 53% -