Lecture 3 - Valuation Principle
Lecture 3 - Valuation Principle
Lecture 3 - Valuation Principle
2
Chapter 3
• Valuation Principle
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Valuation Principle
• Cost-Benefit Analysis
– Any decision in which the value of the benefits exceeds the costs
will increase the value of the firm.
– To compare the costs and benefits, we first need to convert them
to a common unit.
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Valuation Principle
• Valuation Principle
– The value of a commodity or an asset to the firm or its investors
is determined by its competitive market price.
– When the value of the benefits exceeds the value of the costs,
the decision will increase the market value of the firm.
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Time Value of Money
• An Old Question
– Borrow $1000 today, return $1000 in 10 years – Yes/no?
– $1,480 in 10 years, $2,191 in 20 years, $3,243 in 30
years … (given a 4% annual interest rate)
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Future Value
• Example 1:
– You invest $100 in an account paying simple interest
at the rate of 6% per year.
– How much will the account be worth in 5 years?
• Formula:
– FV = PV x (1+ t x r) = $100 x (1+ 5 x 6%) = $130
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Future Value
• Example 2:
– You invest $100 in an account paying compound
interest at the rate of 6% per year.
– How much will the account be worth in 5 years?
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Future Value
• Answers:
– You earn interest on interest
– Interest earned per year = Previous year’s balance x
interest rate
– Interest earned in Year 1 = $100.00 x 6% = $6.00
– Interest earned in Year 2 = $106.00 x 6% = $6.36
– Interest earned in Year 3 = $112.36 x 6% = $6.74
– Interest earned in Year 4 = $119.10 x 6% = $7.15
– Interest earned in Year 5 = $126.25 x 6% = $7.57
• Formula:
– FV = PV x (1+ r ) t = $100 x (1+ 6%) 5 = $133.82
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Future Value
• Compound interest:
= $133.82 - $100 = $33.82
• Simple interest:
= $130 - $100 = $30
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Future Value
• Example 3:
– You invest $100 in an account, compounded at an
annual rate of 10%.
– How much will the account be worth in 5 years?
– What about in 10 years, in 20 years, and in 30 years?
• Answers:
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Calculator Method
• Five keys on your financial calculator
N: number of periods
I/Y: interest rate
PV: present value
FV: future value
PMT: annuity cash flow
• Always remember to clear previous TVM before
a new calculation
– Click “2ND” + “FV” to clear TVM on TI BA II Plus
• Read textbook page 131-133
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Future Value
• In Example 3:
Don’t forget “-”
PV = -$100
FV = ???
N = 5 years Input 10, not 0.10
I/Y = 10 % per year
PMT = 0
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Future Value
• Example 4:
– A super-rare Pokémon card,
Japanese Illustrator Pikachu,
was sold at an auction for
$220,000 in 2019.
– Suppose the original card
costed $1 in 1998.
– What was the annual compound
rate of return if the original
owner sold the card in 2019?
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Future Value
• Answers
FV = PV x (1+ r ) t
$220,000 = $1 x (1 + r)2019-1998
$220,000 = $1 x (1 + r)21
220,000 = (1 + r)21
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Present Value
• Let’s turn things around…
– How much do you need to invest today into an
account paying compound interest at the rate of 6%
per year, in order to receive $133.82 at the end of five
years?
Today Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5
6% 6% 6% 6% 6%
$133.82
?
PV FV
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Present Value
$133.82
?
PV FV
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Future Value vs. Present Value
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Future Value vs. Present Value
• FV = PV x (1+ r ) t • PV = FV / (1+ r ) t
– FV = Future Value – FV = Future Value
– PV =Present Value – PV =Present Value
– r = compounding – r = discounting rate,
rate, “the return” “the return”
– t = number of – t = number of
periods periods
– (1 + r) t = – 1/(1 + r ) t =
compounding factor discounting factor
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Present Value
• Example 5:
– Assume you need $1,000,000 to retire, how much do
you need now if you plan to retire at 60 and you are
20 now. Your expect your rate of return to be 8%
annually.
– What if you are 30 now?
• Answers
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Present Value
• Example 6:
– Assume the total cost of a university education will be
$75,000 when your child enters university in 18 years.
Grandparents have given you $7,000 to invest.
– What rate of return must you earn on your investment
to cover the total cost?
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Present Value
• Answers
FV = PV x (1+ r ) t
$ 75,000 = $ 7,000 x (1 + r)18
10.71 = (1 + r)18
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Present Value
• Example 7:
– If you can earn 12% per year compounded annually,
how long would it take to double your money?
• Answers
– FV = PV x (1+ r ) t
Rule of 72:
– FV/PV = (1+ r ) t
– 2 = ( 1+12%) t Year to double ~
72/interest rate in %
– log 2 = log 1.12 t
– log 2 = t log 1.12
– t = 6.1163 years
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Present Value
• In Example 7:
PV = -$1
FV = $2
Type in 12, not 0.12
N =??? years
I/Y= 12 % per year
PMT = 0
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Multiple Cash Flows
• Future Value
– Example 8:
You deposit $1,200 in your bank account today;
$1,400 one year later; and $1,000 two years from
today. If your bank offers you an 8% interest rate on
your account, how much money will you have in the
account three years from today?
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Multiple Cash Flows
0 1 2 3
8% 8% 8%
$1,400x(1+0.08)2=$1,632.96
$1,200x(1+0.08)3=$1,511.65
FV = $4,224.61
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Calculator Method
• CF buttons on your financial calculator
CF: cash flows starting from t=0
NPV: net present value or net future value
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Multiple Cash Flows
• In Example 8:
– First click “CF”:
CF0 = $1200
C01 = $1400
F01= 1 (frequency of C01)
C02 = $1000 This is very important
to get FV at t=3
F02= 1 (frequency of C02)
C03 = $0
F03= 1 (frequency of C03)
– Then click “NPV”:
I= 8 % per year
NFV =??? (click “CPT”)
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Multiple Cash Flows
• Present Value
– Example 9:
Your auto dealer gives you the choice to pay $15,500
cash now, or make three payments: $8,000 now and
$4,000 at the end of the following two years.
If your investment has a rate of return of 8%, which do
you prefer?
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Multiple Cash Flows
• Problem definition
– Option 1: $15,500 today
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Multiple Cash Flows
• PV of Option 2:
0 1 2
8% 8%
$4,000/(1+0.08)=$3,703.70
$4,000/(1+0.08)2=$3,429.36
PV = $15,133.06
• PV of Option 1: $15,500.00
• Which option costs you less?
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Multiple Cash Flows
• In Example 9:
– First click “CF”:
CF0 = $8000
C01 = $4000
F01= 2 (frequency of C01)
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