TNB Handbook
TNB Handbook
TNB Handbook
1QFY’15
Prepared by: [email protected]
Investor Relations & Management Reporting Department GROUP FINANCE DIVISION
AGENDA
PART ONE
1. INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA
2. INTRODUCTION TO MESI
3. TARIFF
6. DIVIDEND POLICY
7. OUTLOOK
2
INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA
Three Major Utilities in Malaysia
TNB - Peninsula
11,530 11,462 11,462 10,814 10,698
Installed Capacity (MW)
9%
Total units sold (Gwh) 97,888 102,132 105,479 108,102 27,431
49.2%
34% 57%
Total customers (mn) 8.11 8.36 8.35 8.64 8.71
46.3%
GENERATION MIX Total employees (‘000) 31.9 33.6 35.0 36.1 36.1
TNB : 49.5%
IPP: 50.5%
Total assets (RM bn) 79.1 88.5 99.0 110.7 112.8
Gas & LNG Coal Hydro & Others Oil & Distillate
Empowered
by Electricity
PRIME MINISTER Supply Act
/CABINET
Holds 1990
‘Golden’
Share
31.41%
Ministry of Finance/ MINISTRY of ENERGY,
SEDA
GREEN TECHNOLOGY
Khazanah Nasional Berhad Malaysia
AND WATER (KeTTHA)
1. INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA
2. INTRODUCTION TO MESI
3. TARIFF
6. DIVIDEND POLICY
7. OUTLOOK
6
TRANSFORMATION INITIATIVES BY GOVERNMENT
Aimed at Delivering a Reliable, Transparent, Efficient and Sustainable ESI
Legal &
1st Gen IPP / Subsidy FCPT Nuclear Energy National RE
LNG FIT & RE Fund Regulatory
Restricted Rationalisation Capacity Policy & Action Framework
Bidding Programme Mechanism Importation Building Plan
Enhancement
*Source: MyPower
7
TRANSFORMATION PLAN : TIMELINE
The New Energy Policy Addresses, Economic Efficiency, Security of Supply
and Social & Environmental Objectives
1
Energy
Pricing
2 5
Energy Change
New Management
Supply
Energy
Policy
3 4
Energy
Governance
Efficiency
2016 -
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2020
• Competitive • Development of • Effective service • Open access of gas • Implementation of • Implementation of • Enactment of
Bidding Regulation standard & network competitive bidding IBR (Electricity) Competition
• Account Enhancement Plan regulatory • Implementation of & expansion plan by Regulations
Unbundling • Industry Award monitoring IBR (Gas) Single Buyer • Establishment of
• Technical & Program • Issuance of RIGs Electricity market
Financial • Energy Database • Ring-fenced Authority
Benchmarking • Performance functions of Grid • Formulation of
• Fuel Supply Regulation System Operator & market rules
Security • Activity-based Single Buyer • Operationalisation
• Generation licensing • Commence of liberalised
Development Plan (G,T,D,Retail) outsourcing of market
• Tariff Analysis • Fuel Pricing selected activities
• Transparency in • Implementation of • Operationalisation
dispatching new ACP of a more managed
mechanism market
• Development of • Implementation of
industry codes of new safety regime
Practice & • Collaborative
Guidelines framework with
• Enforcement of Grid other parties in
*Source: EC & Distribution Codes regulatory activities 8
1 ENERGY PRICING – COMPETITIVE BIDDING
Track 1 to Track 3
TRACK 3A 1 X 1,000 MW COAL-FIRED
TRACK 1 1,071 MW CCGT PRAI
COD October 2017
COD January 2016
STATUS TNB has signed agreements on 16 August 2013 for:
LEVELISED 34.7 sen/kWh i. PPA with TNB Manjung Five Sdn Bhd “Manjung 5” to
TARIFF design, construct, own, operate & maintain the coal plant
capacity (25 years term)
STATUS TNB has signed agreements for: ii. SFA “Shared Facilities Agreement” between TNB, Manjung
i. EPC – TNB Northern Energy Bhd & 5 & TNB Janamanjung
Samsung Engineering & Construction iii. CSTA “Coal Supply and Transportation Agreement”
(M) Sdn Bhd between TNB Fuel Services & Manjung 5.
ii. Long term Service – TNB Prai &
Siemens AG EPC contract signed on 21 August 2013 between:
iii. O&M – TNB Prai & REMACO TNB Western Energy Bhd; a wholly owned subsidiary of Manjung
5 with Consortium of Sumitomo Corp, Daelim Industrial Co Ltd,
Sumi-Power M’sia Sdn Bhd and Daelim M’sia Sdn Bhd.
TNB Northern Energy Sukuk has been issued
out on 29 May 2013 for nominal value of TNB Western Energy Sukuk has been issued out on 30 January
RM1.625 billion. 2014 for nominal value of RM3.655 billion.
TECHNOLOGY Siemens Super Critical H-Class technology TECHNOLOGY Ultra Super Critical Boiler Technology
gas turbine combined-cycle efficiency of OEM to EPC is Hitachi
greater than 60%
TRACK 3B 2 X 1,000 MW COAL-FIRED
TRACK 2 RENEWAL OF EXPIRING PLANTS :
2,253 MW CCGT COD November 2018 & May 2019
10
3 4 EFFICIENCY AND GOVERNANCE
Incentive Based Regulation (IBR) - Economic Regulation Methodology
to Promote Efficiency And Transparency
Operational Efficiencies
Financial Efficiencies
Performance Efficiencies
11
3 4 EFFICIENCY AND GOVERNANCE
Incentive Based Regulation (IBR) – The Move Towards Better Regulation
5 Business entities
under IBR (Accounting
Separation)
1. INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA
2. INTRODUCTION TO MESI
3. TARIFF
6. DIVIDEND POLICY
7. OUTLOOK
13
TARIFF
Electricity Tariff Review = Base Tariff + Imbalance Cost Pass-Through (ICPT)
*Source: EC 14
TARIFF
Imbalance Cost Pass-Through (ICPT) Comprises Two Components
Generation Specific
Fuel Cost Pass
Cost Adjustment
Through (FCPT)
(GSCPT)
15
TARIFF
New Tariff of 38.53 sen/kwh is Effective from 1 January 2014
Fuel Components:
18%
Non-fuel component (TNB Base Tariff) 0.90 2.69 Non-fuel 0.9 on base
NEW AVERAGE TARIFF 38.53 14.89
16
TARIFF
82% of Tariff Increase in January 2014 is due to Reduction of Gas Subsidy, Introduction
of LNG at Market Price and Increase in Coal Benchmark Market Price
*Source: EC 17
TARIFF
Frequency of Review & Underlying Assumptions
IBR
Approval date May 2006 Jun 2008 Feb 2009 Jun 2009 May 2011 Dec 2013 Nov 2014
Effective date Jun 2006 Jul 2008 Mar 2009 Jul 2009 Jun 2011 Jan 2014 Jul 2014 Jan 2015
Gas (RM/mmbtu) 6.40 14.31 10.70 10.70 13.70 15.20 15.20 15.20
Coal (USD/MT) 45.00 75.00 85.00 85.00* 85.00* 87.50 ** 87.50 ** 87.50 **
Average Tariff
26.2 32.5 31.3 31.3 33.5 38.5 38.5 38.5
(sen/kWh)
Gas RM10.70
25% Gas RM6.40 per mmBTU
per mmBTU
20%
9
Govt. decided
15% not to review
24% gas price for the Govt. decided to
10% power sector maintain current tariff
4
12.2%
12%
5% (inc. Fuel) 5.1%
2.7%
-1
2%
0%
-3.7%
-5% -6
Jun '06 Jul '08 Mar '09 Jul '09 Jun '11 Jan '14 Jul '14 Jan '15
* Forex (RM/USD) = RM3.6
**Forex (RM/USD) = RM3.14 Base tariff adjustment Fuel adjustment Gas price 18
TARIFF
IBR Timeline
2016 -
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2020
• Implementation of
IBR (Electricity)
*Source: EC 19
AGENDA
1. INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA
2. INTRODUCTION TO MESI
3. TARIFF
6. DIVIDEND POLICY
7. OUTLOOK
20
KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)
Incentive Based Regulation (IBR) - Incentive and Penalty Mechanism Based on
Performance Targets Determined by EC
PERFORMANCE KPIs
• No incentive/penalty if
performance between upper and
lower bound targets
21
KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)
TNB Has Been Improving its Performances Over the Years and
Now in Line with World Standards
Return on Assets (ROA) (%) 6.5 2.2 3.3 6.3 4.6 4.0 4.7
Financial Indicators
Gearing (%) < 60.0 64.9 58.1 49.9 46.9 46.5 42.5
No
T & D Losses (%) 10.5 11.0 10.0 9.5 9.7 9.5
target
Distribution SAIDI (mins) < 100.0 148.0 101.6 83.0 78.0 68.6 65.0
Note:
%
100.0
91.9 93.0
88.9
90.0
83.9 82.1
80.0
70.0
60.0
1Q FY'11 FY'12 FY'13 FY'14 FY'15
mins mins
0.2 0.2
0.2 25.0 22.6
20.0
14.6 15.1
15.0 13.8
0.1 0.1 11.9
0.1
10.0
5.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1Q 1Q FY'11 FY'12 FY'13 FY'14 FY'15
FY'11 FY'12 FY'13 FY'14 FY'15
23
KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)
Financial Indicators
Financial Indicators
1
Company CPU
(sen/kwh) #
Sen/Kwh
36.0 35.0
34.0 32.5
31.9
32.0 30.9 31.0
30.0
28.0
26.0
24.0
FY'11 FY'12 FY'13* FY'14 1QFY'15
# Exclude Finance Cost
Return on Assets 3
Revenue from Non-Regulated
2
(ROA)(%) Business (RM bn)
% RM bn
10.0
3.0
8.3 2.5
2.3 2.2
8.0 1.9
6.2 2.0
6.0
5.6
4.1 4.5
1.0 0.6
4.0
2.0 0.0
FY'11 FY'12 FY'13* FY'14 1QFY'15 FY'11 FY'12 FY'13 FY'14 1QFY'15
* FY2013 restated 24
AGENDA
1. INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA
2. INTRODUCTION TO MESI
3. TARIFF
6. DIVIDEND POLICY
7. OUTLOOK
25
20-YEAR STRATEGIC PLAN
• Excel in:
- All business areas
OVERSEAS - Reputation as a
INVESTMENT 2020 strong business
partner
- Ability to continue
to create
• Improve financial shareholder value
GEOGRAPHICAL position and human
EXPANSION resource readiness of • Tenaga acknowledged
(SERVICES) 2015 Tenaga as amongst the most
admired companies
• Venture into
T7 • Expand works and
power/energy related
globally
SERVICE services related to the
investments in the
EXCELLENCE 2010 energy sector
international arena
• Creation of new revenue
Position for • Improve Core Operations stream leveraging on
Growth
under T7 Strategy Tenaga’s knowledge and
• Place Tenaga as the best competencies in the
performing company in energy business
Malaysia by 2007 and as the
Regional best by 2010 26
INTERNATIONAL FOOTPRINT
Business Expansion in Energy Related Businesses
Source: Company presentation; Note: REMACO is a 100% owned subsidiary with a focus on O&M; MTM is a wholly owned subsidiary manufacturing transformers; TSG is a subsidiary
manufacturing high voltage switchgears; TNEC is a wholly owned subsidiary providing project services and developing energy related projects
27
AGENDA
1. INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA
2. INTRODUCTION TO MESI
3. TARIFF
6. DIVIDEND POLICY
7. OUTLOOK
28
DIVIDEND
Policy and Yield
Tenaga is committed to pay out dividend based on its Dividend Policy whereby:
Dividend is paid out based on 40%-60% of its Company’s Annual Free Cashflow;
Cashflow from Operations less Normalised Capex and Interest Servicing
Sen/Ordinary Share
4.0% 40.0
3.6%
Dividend Paid (gross sen)
3.5% Yield (Dividend Paid per Share/Price) 35.0
2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
3.0% 36.3 30.0
2.5% 29.0
2.5% 2.3% 2.2% 25.0
26.0 25.0
2.0% 1.8% 2.3% 20.0
1.7% 1.6% 20.0 20.1
1.5% 1.3% 18.2 17.8 15.0
16.2 0.9%
1.2%
14.8
1.0% 12.0 10.0
10.0 10.2
0.5% 5.0
4.5
0.0% 0.0
FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 29
AGENDA
1. INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA
2. INTRODUCTION TO MESI
3. TARIFF
6. DIVIDEND POLICY
7. OUTLOOK
30
OUTLOOK FY2015
Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug
31
AGENDA
Nov 2014
PART TWO
32
1QFY2015 RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS
3-Month Ended 30th Nov 2014 Nov 2014
* FY2014 restated 33
GROUP PROFIT ANALYSIS
Higher Normalised Profit due to Growth and Tariff Review Nov 2014
1QFY '14
(RM mn) 1QFY '15
(Re sta te d)
1.3
Normalised Fuel Cost Adjusted Fuel Cost Base tariff Growth Normalised
Profit 1QFY'14 Compensation Profit 1QFY'14 Recovery Profit 1QFY'15
1QFY'14 34
QUARTERLY & YEARLY ANALYSIS
Nov 2014
Higher OPEX Mainly due to Higher LNG Cost, Mitigated by Lower Coal Price
Table 1: 1QFY'14
RM mn 1QFY'15
(Restated)
35.1 38.2
39.8 45.6 46.3
Table 2:
Average Gas Volume
(mmscfd)
1QFY’14 1,321
58.7 55.9
53.8 49.9 49.2 2QFY’14 1,383
3QFY’14 1,405
4QFY’14 1,217
1QFY’15 1,218
36
SYSTEM WEEKLY MAXIMUM DEMAND (PENINSULA)
For FY2011 to FY2015 Nov 2014
New PD:
MW 1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 16,901MW 4th Qtr
(11/06/14)
17,500
17,000
16,500
16,000
15,500
15,000
14,500
14,000
13,500
13,000
12,500
Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug
37
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
Major Projects Represent 63.5% of Total CAPEX Nov 2014
RM’mn
693.2 1,152.0 1,578.7 1,451.3 2,513.3
2,600.0
Capex by Category
2,400.0
4.5% 3.9%
2,200.0 11.0%
20.7% 29.8%
18.8%
2,000.0 52.5%
1,800.0 31.8%
1,596.6
1,600.0
63.5%
66.3%
1,400.0 43.0%
539.0
1,200.0 559.9
357.4
1,000.0 136.8
O
1QFY'14 1QFY'15
O
92.8 O 101.7
800.0 11.0 General Capex
O 105.7
600.0 O 74.7 D 578.3 D 479.3 D 516.9 System Improvement
400.0
D
522.9
D 464.9 New Supply
200.0 T
278.2 289.4 Associated with
T T 281.7
T
135.2 T
152.2 Generation
- G 7.4 G 13.8 G
46.4 G 29.9 G 16.4
1QFY11 1QFY12 1QFY13 1QFY14 1QFY15
38
COAL REQUIREMENT
Nov 2014
Average Coal Price for 1QFY’15 was at USD70.2/MT
FY’05 FY’06 FY’07 FY’08 FY’09 FY’10 FY’11 FY’12 FY’13 FY’14 1QFY’15
Average Coal
Price (CIF)
49.8 52.8 45.3 76.4 90.2 88.2 106.9 103.6 83.6 75.4 70.2
(USD/metric
tonne)
Tonne (mn)
30.0
25.3
25.0 Country Mix
20.8
19.3
20.8 9%
18.9 33% Fixed Price
20.0 6%
17.8
10.0 8.6
7.6 7.9
Indonesia Australia
49% Index Linked
South Africa Russia
5.0
0.0
FY'04 FY'05 FY'06 FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY'11 FY'12 FY'13 FY'14 FY'15(f)
Coal Consumption Estimated Procurement 39
DEBT EXPOSURE & FOREX
Nov 2014
40
DISCLAIMER
All information contained herein is meant strictly for the use of this presentation only
and should not be used or relied on by any party for any other purpose and without the
prior written approval of TNB. The information contained herein is the property of
TNB and it is privileged and confidential in nature. TNB has the sole copyright to such
IR OFFICERS:
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Sherleen +603 2296 6183 [email protected]
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