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TNB HANDBOOK

MAYBANK NON DEAL ROADSHOW, SINGAPORE


4th – 6th FEBRUARY 2015

1QFY’15
Prepared by: [email protected]
Investor Relations & Management Reporting Department GROUP FINANCE DIVISION
AGENDA

PART ONE

1. INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA

2. INTRODUCTION TO MESI

3. TARIFF

4. KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)

5. BUSINESS STRATEGY & DIRECTION

6. DIVIDEND POLICY

7. OUTLOOK

2
INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA
Three Major Utilities in Malaysia

Sabah Electricity Sdn Bhd


Tenaga Nasional Bhd (A 83% TNB Subsidiary)
(TNB) 1,392MW*
20,944MW* BRUNEI SABAH
PENINSULAR
695MW
MALAYSIA
3,650MW
SARAWAK
10,974MW
SINGAPORE
* Includes IPPs

3.4% 1.1% INSTALLED CAPACITY


TNB : 51.1%
IPP: 48.9% FY’11 FY’12 FY’13 FY’14 1QFY’15

TNB - Peninsula
11,530 11,462 11,462 10,814 10,698
Installed Capacity (MW)
9%
Total units sold (Gwh) 97,888 102,132 105,479 108,102 27,431
49.2%
34% 57%
Total customers (mn) 8.11 8.36 8.35 8.64 8.71
46.3%
GENERATION MIX Total employees (‘000) 31.9 33.6 35.0 36.1 36.1
TNB : 49.5%
IPP: 50.5%
Total assets (RM bn) 79.1 88.5 99.0 110.7 112.8

Gas & LNG Coal Hydro & Others Oil & Distillate

Installed Capacity vs. Generation mix 3


INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA
No of Customer vs. Sales Value vs. Unit Sales

100% 0.8% 1.4% 1.9%


17.5% 21.3% Sectoral Sales Analysis (Gwh)
80%

42.1% 34.6% 1QFY'15 42.2 34.6 21.3 1.9


60% 81.8%
FY14 42.0 35.4 21.6 1.8
40%
FY13 42.5 34.4 21.3 1.8

20% 39.0% 42.2% FY12 43.6 34.1 20.6 1.7


17.1%
0.3% FY11 44.3 33.8 20.3 1.6
0%
No of Sales (RM) Sales (Gwh) FY10 44.8 33.4 20.3 1.5
1QFY’15
Customer
FY09 44.1 33.9 20.4 1.7
Industrial Commercial Domestic Others
FY08 48.0 31.9 18.7 1.4

Average Tariff by Sector FY07 48.2 31.6 18.9 1.4

FY06 47.7 29.9 18.1 4.3


sen/kwh

55.0 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%


47.9
50.0 Commercial Industrial Commercial Domestic Others
45.0
Average Tariff 38.5 • Shift from Industrial-based to Service-based economy
40.0
Industrial • Increasing market share from Commercial sector
35.0 36.2
• Commercial sector contributes the highest electricity
30.0 Domestic 31.7 sales margin
25.0
4
INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA
Industry Regulatory Framework

Empowered
by Electricity
PRIME MINISTER Supply Act
/CABINET
Holds 1990
‘Golden’
Share

31.41%
Ministry of Finance/ MINISTRY of ENERGY,
SEDA
GREEN TECHNOLOGY
Khazanah Nasional Berhad Malaysia
AND WATER (KeTTHA)

36.34% 6.71% 25.54%

Other Govt. Agencies & ECONOMIC PLANNING UNIT (EPU)


Public Foreign - Develops and complements
Corporations
Privatisation Policy
ENERGY COMMISSION - Evaluates and selects IPPs
(Regulator) - Recommends ESI policies
- Promote competition
- Protect interests of
consumers Policy Maker
Shareholders - Issue licenses
- Tariff regulation
As at 30th Nov’14

Tenaga Nasional Berhad


IPPs

Market Cap (2nd)


RM79.9bn (USD22.4bn)
- As at 9th Jan’15 - Consumers
5
AGENDA

1. INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA

2. INTRODUCTION TO MESI

3. TARIFF

4. KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)

5. BUSINESS STRATEGY & DIRECTION

6. DIVIDEND POLICY

7. OUTLOOK

6
TRANSFORMATION INITIATIVES BY GOVERNMENT
Aimed at Delivering a Reliable, Transparent, Efficient and Sustainable ESI

Legal &
1st Gen IPP / Subsidy FCPT Nuclear Energy National RE
LNG FIT & RE Fund Regulatory
Restricted Rationalisation Capacity Policy & Action Framework
Bidding Programme Mechanism Importation Building Plan
Enhancement

*Source: MyPower
7
TRANSFORMATION PLAN : TIMELINE
The New Energy Policy Addresses, Economic Efficiency, Security of Supply
and Social & Environmental Objectives
1
Energy
Pricing

2 5
Energy Change
New Management
Supply
Energy
Policy

3 4
Energy
Governance
Efficiency

2016 -
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2020
• Competitive • Development of • Effective service • Open access of gas • Implementation of • Implementation of • Enactment of
Bidding Regulation standard & network competitive bidding IBR (Electricity) Competition
• Account Enhancement Plan regulatory • Implementation of & expansion plan by Regulations
Unbundling • Industry Award monitoring IBR (Gas) Single Buyer • Establishment of
• Technical & Program • Issuance of RIGs Electricity market
Financial • Energy Database • Ring-fenced Authority
Benchmarking • Performance functions of Grid • Formulation of
• Fuel Supply Regulation System Operator & market rules
Security • Activity-based Single Buyer • Operationalisation
• Generation licensing • Commence of liberalised
Development Plan (G,T,D,Retail) outsourcing of market
• Tariff Analysis • Fuel Pricing selected activities
• Transparency in • Implementation of • Operationalisation
dispatching new ACP of a more managed
mechanism market
• Development of • Implementation of
industry codes of new safety regime
Practice & • Collaborative
Guidelines framework with
• Enforcement of Grid other parties in
*Source: EC & Distribution Codes regulatory activities 8
1 ENERGY PRICING – COMPETITIVE BIDDING
Track 1 to Track 3
TRACK 3A 1 X 1,000 MW COAL-FIRED
TRACK 1 1,071 MW CCGT PRAI
COD October 2017
COD January 2016
STATUS TNB has signed agreements on 16 August 2013 for:
LEVELISED 34.7 sen/kWh i. PPA with TNB Manjung Five Sdn Bhd “Manjung 5” to
TARIFF design, construct, own, operate & maintain the coal plant
capacity (25 years term)
STATUS TNB has signed agreements for: ii. SFA “Shared Facilities Agreement” between TNB, Manjung
i. EPC – TNB Northern Energy Bhd & 5 & TNB Janamanjung
Samsung Engineering & Construction iii. CSTA “Coal Supply and Transportation Agreement”
(M) Sdn Bhd between TNB Fuel Services & Manjung 5.
ii. Long term Service – TNB Prai &
Siemens AG EPC contract signed on 21 August 2013 between:
iii. O&M – TNB Prai & REMACO TNB Western Energy Bhd; a wholly owned subsidiary of Manjung
5 with Consortium of Sumitomo Corp, Daelim Industrial Co Ltd,
Sumi-Power M’sia Sdn Bhd and Daelim M’sia Sdn Bhd.
TNB Northern Energy Sukuk has been issued
out on 29 May 2013 for nominal value of TNB Western Energy Sukuk has been issued out on 30 January
RM1.625 billion. 2014 for nominal value of RM3.655 billion.
TECHNOLOGY Siemens Super Critical H-Class technology TECHNOLOGY Ultra Super Critical Boiler Technology
gas turbine combined-cycle efficiency of OEM to EPC is Hitachi
greater than 60%
TRACK 3B 2 X 1,000 MW COAL-FIRED
TRACK 2 RENEWAL OF EXPIRING PLANTS :
2,253 MW CCGT COD November 2018 & May 2019

LEVELISED 25.33 sen/kWh


PLANTS GENTING SEGARI TNB
TARIFF
PASIR GUDANG
STATUS TNB has signed agreements on 22 July 2014 :
EXTENSION 10 years 10 years 5 years i. PPA with Jimah East Power Sdn. Bhd., the incorporated
(to 2026) (to 2027) (to 2022) company of the consortium of 1MDB and Mitsui & Co. Ltd,
to design, construct, own, operate and maintain the coal
LEVELISED 35.3 36.3 37.4 sen/kWh plant (25 years term) at Mukim Jimah, Port Dickson,
TARIFF sen/kWh sen/kWh Negeri Sembilan.
ii. CSTA “Coal Supply and Transportation Agreement” with
TNB Fuel Services Sdn. Bhd.
STATUS Reduction rates of CP effective 1 March 2013
until expiry of current PPA TECHNOLOGY 2 units of IHI Ultra Super Critical Technology Steam Generator
& 2 Units of Toshiba Turbo Generator 9
1 ENERGY PRICING
Track 4A

TRACK 4A 1,000 – 1,400 MW CCGT


COD June 2018

STATUS TNB has signed heads of agreement on 24 July 2014 with:


i. SIPP Energy Sdn. Bhd., signifying the principal terms of the
proposed joint venture which will undertake to build, own and
operate a power plant of approximately 1000MW-1400MW on a
land in Pasir Gudang, Johor.
TECHNOLOGY -

10
3 4 EFFICIENCY AND GOVERNANCE
Incentive Based Regulation (IBR) - Economic Regulation Methodology
to Promote Efficiency And Transparency

Operational Efficiencies

• Rewarded for seeking efficiencies in


operational and capital expenditure

Financial Efficiencies

• Rewarded for maintaining an efficient


capital structure

Performance Efficiencies

• Rewarded for delivering improvements in


network performance

11
3 4 EFFICIENCY AND GOVERNANCE
Incentive Based Regulation (IBR) – The Move Towards Better Regulation

IBR mechanism to strengthen the following:

The Economic Regulatory Framework for


Regulating TNB

The Tariff Setting Mechanism and Principles for


Tariff Design

Incentive Mechanisms to Promote Efficiency and


Service Standards

The Process of Tariff Reviews

Creation of Regulatory Accounts and Its Annual


Review Process

5 Business entities
under IBR (Accounting
Separation)

11 Regulatory Implementation Guidelines (RIGS) were Developed for IBR Implementation


*Source: EC 12
AGENDA

1. INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA

2. INTRODUCTION TO MESI

3. TARIFF

4. KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)

5. BUSINESS STRATEGY & DIRECTION

6. DIVIDEND POLICY

7. OUTLOOK

13
TARIFF
Electricity Tariff Review = Base Tariff + Imbalance Cost Pass-Through (ICPT)

*Source: EC 14
TARIFF
Imbalance Cost Pass-Through (ICPT) Comprises Two Components

Imbalance Cost Pass-Through (ICPT)

Generation Specific
Fuel Cost Pass
Cost Adjustment
Through (FCPT)
(GSCPT)

Adjustment in the Adjustment in the


Actual cost of
following 6 month FCPT following 6 month
generation
period, subject to (gas/LNG and period, subject to
(eg. distillate and
government coal only) government
fuel oil)
approval approval

15
TARIFF
New Tariff of 38.53 sen/kwh is Effective from 1 January 2014

Average electricity tariff rate in Peninsular Malaysia is increased by 4.99 sen/kWh


(14.89%) from 33.54 sen/kWh to 38.53 sen/kWh, from 1st January 2014, to cover:

Tariff Components sen/kWh % increase

Current Overall Average Tariff 33.54

Fuel Components:

• Piped-gas regulated price


(from RM13.70/mmBTU to RM15.20/mmBTU @1,000 0.51 1.52 4.99 sen/kwh
mmscfd)
Piped-gas 0.51
Coal 0.17

• Coal (market price)


0.17 0.51
(from USD85/tonne to USD87.5/tonne CIF@CV 5500kcal/kg) 82%
LNG 3.41 on fuels
• LNG RGT market price at RM41.68/mmBTU
(for gas volume > 1000 mmscfd) 3.41 10.17

18%
Non-fuel component (TNB Base Tariff) 0.90 2.69 Non-fuel 0.9 on base
NEW AVERAGE TARIFF 38.53 14.89

16
TARIFF
82% of Tariff Increase in January 2014 is due to Reduction of Gas Subsidy, Introduction
of LNG at Market Price and Increase in Coal Benchmark Market Price

*Source: EC 17
TARIFF
Frequency of Review & Underlying Assumptions
IBR
Approval date May 2006 Jun 2008 Feb 2009 Jun 2009 May 2011 Dec 2013 Nov 2014
Effective date Jun 2006 Jul 2008 Mar 2009 Jul 2009 Jun 2011 Jan 2014 Jul 2014 Jan 2015

Quantum 12% 23 – 24% (3.7%) Neutral 7.1% 14.9% Neutral Neutral

Gas (RM/mmbtu) 6.40 14.31 10.70 10.70 13.70 15.20 15.20 15.20
Coal (USD/MT) 45.00 75.00 85.00 85.00* 85.00* 87.50 ** 87.50 ** 87.50 **
Average Tariff
26.2 32.5 31.3 31.3 33.5 38.5 38.5 38.5
(sen/kWh)

Gas RM14.31 Gas RM15.20


Gas RM13.70 per mmBTU
30% per mmBTU per mmBTU
14
Quantum of tariff review

Gas RM10.70
25% Gas RM6.40 per mmBTU
per mmBTU
20%
9
Govt. decided
15% not to review
24% gas price for the Govt. decided to
10% power sector maintain current tariff
4
12.2%
12%
5% (inc. Fuel) 5.1%
2.7%
-1
2%
0%
-3.7%
-5% -6
Jun '06 Jul '08 Mar '09 Jul '09 Jun '11 Jan '14 Jul '14 Jan '15
* Forex (RM/USD) = RM3.6
**Forex (RM/USD) = RM3.14 Base tariff adjustment Fuel adjustment Gas price 18
TARIFF
IBR Timeline

2016 -
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
2020
• Implementation of
IBR (Electricity)

*Source: EC 19
AGENDA

1. INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA

2. INTRODUCTION TO MESI

3. TARIFF

4. KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)

5. BUSINESS STRATEGY & DIRECTION

6. DIVIDEND POLICY

7. OUTLOOK

20
KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)
Incentive Based Regulation (IBR) - Incentive and Penalty Mechanism Based on
Performance Targets Determined by EC

PERFORMANCE KPIs

• Incentive/penalty is capped at +/-


0.3% to 0.5% of annual revenue
requirement

• No incentive/penalty if
performance between upper and
lower bound targets

• Any incentive/penalty to be given


in the next regulatory period
*Source: EC

21
KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)
TNB Has Been Improving its Performances Over the Years and
Now in Line with World Standards

1ST PHASE : HEADLINE KPIs

INITIATIVES TARGET ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL


FY’10 FY’05 FY’06 FY’07 FY’08 FY’09 FY’10

Return on Assets (ROA) (%) 6.5 2.2 3.3 6.3 4.6 4.0 4.7
Financial Indicators

Gearing (%) < 60.0 64.9 58.1 49.9 46.9 46.5 42.5

Company CPU (sen/kwh)

Revenue from Non-


Regulated Business (RM bn)

Unplanned Outage Rate No


6.1 4.7 2.2 3.3 2.9 2.7
(UOR)(%) target
Technical Indicators

No
T & D Losses (%) 10.5 11.0 10.0 9.5 9.7 9.5
target

Transmission System 9.3 6.6 1.0 0.9


9.0 14.0 7.3
Minutes (mins)

Distribution SAIDI (mins) < 100.0 148.0 101.6 83.0 78.0 68.6 65.0
Note:

Not track as TNB Headline KPI during 1st phase 22


KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)
Technical Indicators

2nd PHASE : HEADLINE KPIs


Equivalent Plant Availability Factor
1
Technical Indicators (EAF) (%)

%
100.0
91.9 93.0
88.9
90.0
83.9 82.1
80.0

70.0

60.0
1Q FY'11 FY'12 FY'13 FY'14 FY'15

2 System Minutes (mins) 3 SAIDI (mins)

mins mins
0.2 0.2
0.2 25.0 22.6

20.0

14.6 15.1
15.0 13.8
0.1 0.1 11.9
0.1
10.0

5.0

0.0
0.0
0.0
1Q 1Q FY'11 FY'12 FY'13 FY'14 FY'15
FY'11 FY'12 FY'13 FY'14 FY'15
23
KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)
Financial Indicators

2nd PHASE : HEADLINE KPIs

Financial Indicators
1
Company CPU
(sen/kwh) #

Sen/Kwh
36.0 35.0
34.0 32.5
31.9
32.0 30.9 31.0
30.0
28.0
26.0
24.0
FY'11 FY'12 FY'13* FY'14 1QFY'15
# Exclude Finance Cost

Return on Assets 3
Revenue from Non-Regulated
2
(ROA)(%) Business (RM bn)
% RM bn
10.0
3.0
8.3 2.5
2.3 2.2
8.0 1.9
6.2 2.0
6.0
5.6
4.1 4.5
1.0 0.6
4.0

2.0 0.0
FY'11 FY'12 FY'13* FY'14 1QFY'15 FY'11 FY'12 FY'13 FY'14 1QFY'15

* FY2013 restated 24
AGENDA

1. INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA

2. INTRODUCTION TO MESI

3. TARIFF

4. KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)

5. BUSINESS STRATEGY & DIRECTION

6. DIVIDEND POLICY

7. OUTLOOK

25
20-YEAR STRATEGIC PLAN

THE PLAN LAYS DOWN THE PATH TOWARDS


REALISING OUR VISION OF GLOBAL LEADERSHIP GLOBAL
It builds upon the progress of T7 LEADERSHIP 2025

• Excel in:
- All business areas
OVERSEAS - Reputation as a
INVESTMENT 2020 strong business
partner
- Ability to continue
to create
• Improve financial shareholder value
GEOGRAPHICAL position and human
EXPANSION resource readiness of • Tenaga acknowledged
(SERVICES) 2015 Tenaga as amongst the most
admired companies
• Venture into
T7 • Expand works and
power/energy related
globally
SERVICE services related to the
investments in the
EXCELLENCE 2010 energy sector
international arena
• Creation of new revenue
Position for • Improve Core Operations stream leveraging on
Growth
under T7 Strategy Tenaga’s knowledge and
• Place Tenaga as the best competencies in the
performing company in energy business
Malaysia by 2007 and as the
Regional best by 2010 26
INTERNATIONAL FOOTPRINT
Business Expansion in Energy Related Businesses

REMACO O&M for 225MW


Leverage on Tenaga’s Sabiya Power Generation &
capabilities (in Middle East Water Distillation Plant
region) in pursuing overseas (KUWAIT)
investment and services e.g.
O&M, project management REMACO O&M for Shuaiba
etc. in power related North Co-Gen (USD320m)
businesses 780MW Power; 204,000 m3 /
day water (KUWAIT)
TNEC JV Al Reef District
Cooling, UAE 8,000 RT

TNEC JV BMC District Cooling,


Utilise existing related UAE 30,000 RT
services (consultation &
training) and IPP: Liberty Power Ltd
manufacturing products as (USD272m)
stepping stone for future MTM supply of transformers to 235MW
business in new frontier Saudi Arabia
countries
MTM supply of transformers to
Brunei
REMACO O&M Services for
Shuaibah IWPP

IWPP: Shuaibah (USD2.7bn)


900MW Power
880,000 m3 / day water 150,000 Development of the Sumatera
m3 / day water – Peninsular Malaysia HVDC
Interconnection, Coal-fired
power plant & coal mine mouth
projects
TNEC JV with Abu Dhabi Al
Samah for District Cooling

IPP, IWPP & Development Projects


REMACO O&M services for REMACO O&M services
Bong Hydro Plant in Pakistan for Liberty Power Ltd
Supply & Services

ILSAS continues to provide services for


power companies in emerging countries REMACO O&M services – TSG supply of switchgears
including Vietnam, Yemen, Mongolia, HUBCO (Narowal) to Pakistan
Laos, Indonesia, Thailand, Nepal, Egypt
and Pakistan

Source: Company presentation; Note: REMACO is a 100% owned subsidiary with a focus on O&M; MTM is a wholly owned subsidiary manufacturing transformers; TSG is a subsidiary
manufacturing high voltage switchgears; TNEC is a wholly owned subsidiary providing project services and developing energy related projects
27
AGENDA

1. INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA

2. INTRODUCTION TO MESI

3. TARIFF

4. KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)

5. BUSINESS STRATEGY & DIRECTION

6. DIVIDEND POLICY

7. OUTLOOK

28
DIVIDEND
Policy and Yield

Tenaga is committed to pay out dividend based on its Dividend Policy whereby:
Dividend is paid out based on 40%-60% of its Company’s Annual Free Cashflow;
Cashflow from Operations less Normalised Capex and Interest Servicing

Interim Single-Tier Dividend Total FY’14: 29.0 sen


of 10.0 sen per ordinary share per ordinary share

Single-Tier Dividend 58.3%


of 19.0 sen per ordinary share free cashflow

Sen/Ordinary Share
4.0% 40.0
3.6%
Dividend Paid (gross sen)
3.5% Yield (Dividend Paid per Share/Price) 35.0
2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
3.0% 36.3 30.0
2.5% 29.0
2.5% 2.3% 2.2% 25.0
26.0 25.0
2.0% 1.8% 2.3% 20.0
1.7% 1.6% 20.0 20.1
1.5% 1.3% 18.2 17.8 15.0
16.2 0.9%
1.2%
14.8
1.0% 12.0 10.0
10.0 10.2
0.5% 5.0
4.5
0.0% 0.0
FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 29
AGENDA

1. INTRODUCTION TO TENAGA

2. INTRODUCTION TO MESI

3. TARIFF

4. KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs)

5. BUSINESS STRATEGY & DIRECTION

6. DIVIDEND POLICY

7. OUTLOOK

30
OUTLOOK FY2015

1 DEMAND 2 GAS VOLUME 3 COAL PRICE


“The growth is expected to Daily average gas
volume (mmscfd)
remain on a strong trajectory 1QFY’14 1,321
Coal price is expected to
with revised GDP growth in remain stable for the next
2QFY’14 1,383
the range of 4.5% - 5.5% for 1 year.
3QFY’14 1,405
2015”. 4QFY’14 1,217
Prime Minister –
1QFY’15 1,218
Special Address, 20th Jan 2015
Average Coal Price
Average Gas Volume (CIF) (USD/MT)
The electricity demand (mmscfd)

growth is expected to be in FY’14 1,332mmscfd FY’11 106.9


line with the projected FY’13 1,121mmscfd
FY’12 103.6
economic growth.
GAS SUPPLY FY’13 83.6
1,600
1,500 FY’14 75.4
1,400
1,300
1QFY’15 70.2
1,200
1,100
1,000
900
800
700
wk 1
wk 4
wk 7
wk 10
wk 13
wk 16
wk 19
wk 22
wk 25
wk 28
wk 31
wk 34
wk 37
wk 40
wk 43
wk 46
wk 49
wk 52

Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug

*Source: EC FY 2014 FY2015

31
AGENDA
Nov 2014

PART TWO

1QFY2015 RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS

32
1QFY2015 RESULTS HIGHLIGHTS
3-Month Ended 30th Nov 2014 Nov 2014

• Profit After Tax of RM2.35 billion (1QFY2014: RM1.73 billion).

• 73.2% increase in Capital Expenditure; total amount of RM2.51 billion


(1QFY2014: RM1.45 billion).

• 3.3% unit electricity demand growth in Peninsular Malaysia.

• 3.6% increase in Operating Expenses; total amount of RM8.42 billion


(1QFY2014: RM8.12 billion).

* FY2014 restated 33
GROUP PROFIT ANALYSIS
Higher Normalised Profit due to Growth and Tariff Review Nov 2014

1QFY '14
(RM mn) 1QFY '15
(Re sta te d)

Profit After Tax 1,732.4 2,351.0


Less: Forex Translation Gain 252.7 45.9
Profit Before Forex & After Tax 1,479.7 2,305.1
Adjustments for Non-Comparative Items:
Change in Corporate Tax Rate (186.7)
Normalised Profit Before Forex and After Tax 1,293.0 2,305.1
RM bn
0.1 2.3
25.7% 0.2
0.2
0.5 1.8

1.3

Normalised Fuel Cost Adjusted Fuel Cost Base tariff Growth Normalised
Profit 1QFY'14 Compensation Profit 1QFY'14 Recovery Profit 1QFY'15
1QFY'14 34
QUARTERLY & YEARLY ANALYSIS
Nov 2014
Higher OPEX Mainly due to Higher LNG Cost, Mitigated by Lower Coal Price

Table 1: 1QFY'14
RM mn 1QFY'15
(Restated)

Total Units Sold (GWh) 27,431.2 26,717.4


Revenue 11,027.1 9,572.4
Operating Expenses (before
7,161.8 6,966.4
depreciation)
Operating Income 136.9 69.4
EBITDA 4,002.2 2,675.4
EBITDA Margin (%) 36.3% 27.9%
Depreciation and Amortisation 1,257.4 1,157.9
EBIT 2,744.8 1,517.5
EBIT Margin (%) 24.9% 15.9%
Finance Cost 253.9 227.5
Profit Before Tax & Forex
2,574.9 1,363.9
Translation
Net Profit Before Forex Translation 2,306.0 1,497.6
Translation Gain 45.9 252.7
Net Profit attributable to :
Owners of the Company 2,351.9 1,750.3
Non-controlling Interest (0.9) (17.9)

COAL PRICE & CONSUMPTION 1QFY'14 1QFY'15 Var (%)


Table 2: Averag e Coal Price Consumed
(USD/MT)
FOB 67.5 60.4 -10.5%
Freight 9.1 9.3 2.2%
Others 0.6 0.5 -16.7%
CIF 77.2 70.2 -9.1%
Averag e Coal Price Consumed
249.0 230.2 -7.6%
(RM/MT) (CIF)

Coal Co nsumption (mn MT) 4.7 5.6 19.1%


35
QUARTERLY ANALYSIS: GENERATION MIX (PENINSULA)
Fuel Mix Shifting Back to Coal Nov 2014

Table 1: UNIT GENERATED


% 2.8
5.2 4.7 2.9 3.4
1.2 1.5 1.1
3.0 1.7

35.1 38.2
39.8 45.6 46.3

Table 2:
Average Gas Volume
(mmscfd)
1QFY’14 1,321
58.7 55.9
53.8 49.9 49.2 2QFY’14 1,383
3QFY’14 1,405
4QFY’14 1,217
1QFY’15 1,218

1QFY'14 2QFY'14 3QFY'14 4QFY'14 1QFY'15

Gas Coal Oil&Distillate Hydro

36
SYSTEM WEEKLY MAXIMUM DEMAND (PENINSULA)
For FY2011 to FY2015 Nov 2014

New PD:
MW 1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 16,901MW 4th Qtr
(11/06/14)
17,500

17,000

16,500

16,000

15,500

15,000

14,500

14,000

13,500

13,000

12,500

12,000 Peak Demand YoY Growth (%)


FY 2011 15,476 MW 9/5/2011 2.7
11,500
FY 2012 15,826 MW 20/6/2012 2.3
11,000 FY 2013 16,562 MW 13/5/2013 4.7
FY 2014 16,901 MW 11/6/2014 2.0
10,500
FY 2015
10,000
WEEK NO. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52

Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug
37
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE
Major Projects Represent 63.5% of Total CAPEX Nov 2014

RM’mn
693.2 1,152.0 1,578.7 1,451.3 2,513.3
2,600.0
Capex by Category
2,400.0
4.5% 3.9%
2,200.0 11.0%
20.7% 29.8%
18.8%
2,000.0 52.5%
1,800.0 31.8%
1,596.6
1,600.0
63.5%
66.3%
1,400.0 43.0%
539.0
1,200.0 559.9
357.4
1,000.0 136.8
O
1QFY'14 1QFY'15
O
92.8 O 101.7
800.0 11.0 General Capex
O 105.7
600.0 O 74.7 D 578.3 D 479.3 D 516.9 System Improvement
400.0
D
522.9
D 464.9 New Supply
200.0 T
278.2 289.4 Associated with
T T 281.7
T
135.2 T
152.2 Generation
- G 7.4 G 13.8 G
46.4 G 29.9 G 16.4
1QFY11 1QFY12 1QFY13 1QFY14 1QFY15

Recurring Generation, Transmission, Distribution, Others Generation Capacity

38
COAL REQUIREMENT
Nov 2014
Average Coal Price for 1QFY’15 was at USD70.2/MT

FY’05 FY’06 FY’07 FY’08 FY’09 FY’10 FY’11 FY’12 FY’13 FY’14 1QFY’15

Average Coal
Price (CIF)
49.8 52.8 45.3 76.4 90.2 88.2 106.9 103.6 83.6 75.4 70.2
(USD/metric
tonne)
Tonne (mn)
30.0

25.3
25.0 Country Mix
20.8
19.3
20.8 9%
18.9 33% Fixed Price
20.0 6%
17.8

Ongoing negotiations 50%


15.0 18% (to be negotiated &
12.6 12.5 to be sourced) 35%
11.6

10.0 8.6
7.6 7.9
Indonesia Australia
49% Index Linked
South Africa Russia
5.0

0.0
FY'04 FY'05 FY'06 FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY'11 FY'12 FY'13 FY'14 FY'15(f)
Coal Consumption Estimated Procurement 39
DEBT EXPOSURE & FOREX
Nov 2014

0.1% RM0.03bn RM0.05bn 0.2% Statistics 30th Nov'14 31st Aug'14

10.6% 10.3% Total Debt (RM bn) 25.3 25.5


RM2.68bn RM2.64bn
Net Debt (RM bn) 20.4 17.3
12.0% 12.9%
RM3.04bn RM3.28bn Gearing (%) 35.6 36.9

77.3% 76.6% Net Gearing (%) 28.7 25.2


Fixed : Floating (%) 99.6 : 0.4 99.3 : 0.7
Final Exposure (%) 100.0 : 0.0 100.0 : 0.0
RM19.57bn RM19.51bn Weighted Average Cost of Debt (%) 4.91 4.86
Final Exposure (%) 4.96 4.92

30th Nov'14 31st Aug'14

USD/RM 3.38 3.15


30th Nov’14 31st Aug’14
100YEN/RM 2.86 3.04
USD/YEN 118.18 103.62
RM YEN USD Others

40
DISCLAIMER

All information contained herein is meant strictly for the use of this presentation only

and should not be used or relied on by any party for any other purpose and without the

prior written approval of TNB. The information contained herein is the property of

TNB and it is privileged and confidential in nature. TNB has the sole copyright to such

information and you are prohibited from disseminating, distributing, copying,

re-producing, using and/or disclosing this information.


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