Election Campaign Recommendation Analytics

For
Chamrajnagar Constituency
2023 Assembly Election
by
Analytics. Data Science And Machine Learning Department
Hunnarvi Technologies Bangalore

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 Contents
1 INTRODUCTION ABOUT THE CONSTITUENCY..............................................................................................................3
2 CURRENT CANDIDATES WITH THEIR PARTY NAMES....................................................................................................4
3 SUMMARY.................................................................................................................................................................... 5
4 BOOTH ANALYSIS.........................................................................................................................................................6
Breakup for Booth Analysis given below:...................................................................................................................6
Deep Focus Booth Analysis.........................................................................................................................................7
Focus Booth Analysis...................................................................................................................................................8
Normal Booth Analysis................................................................................................................................................9
5 PREDICTION................................................................................................................................................................10
6 SWING ANALYSIS........................................................................................................................................................33
2019 Parliamentary Elections Swing...........................................................................................................................33
1.1 2018 Assembly elections swing............................................................................................................................42
7 NETWORK GRAPH- FOR EFFECTIVE CAMPAIGN (first 100 rules)...............................................................................50
8 TEAM MEMBERS.........................................................................................................................................................54

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ELECTION DATE 10.5.2023
 1 INTRODUCTION ABOUT THE CONSTITUENCY

The Karnataka state in southern India contains the constituency of Chamarajanagar. Since
the delineation of constituencies in 2008, it has existed as one of the 28 Lok Sabha (lower
house of the Indian Parliament) constituencies in the state. It is the third least populous
district in Karnataka (out of 30), after Kodagu and Bangalore Rural.

About the District

Population 10,20,791
Eligible Voters 2,04,142
Literacy Rate 38%
Villages 509

Several political parties fought it out for the support of the electorate in the recent elections
in Chamarajanagar, which were hotly contested. The three primary parties running for
office in the seat are the Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP), Indian National Congress (INC), and
Janata Dal (Secular) (JDS).
The BJP is looking to replicate its performance from the 2019 Lok Sabha elections when it
won the seat by a substantial majority. The party has put out a strong candidate who
belongs to the Lingayat caste, which is the dominant caste in the area.

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 2 CURRENT CANDIDATES WITH THEIR PARTY
NAMES

CANDIDATE NAME PARTY NAME

A. M. MALLIKARJUNA SWAMYA JANATA DAL (SECULAR)

C. PUTTARAGA SHETTY INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS

V. SOMMANA BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY

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 3 SUMMARY

1. BJP lost in 2018 assembly election with a margin of 4,913 votes securing 72,761 votes
(39.9% of the total votes polled).
2. But in parliament 2019 election, BJP won this assembly segment with a margin of 1,817
votes. However national politics influence play’s great role in the margin of 2019.
3. Also the winning margins are very less in any elections between winner and runner up
party.
4. Given that just a week is left to focus on canvassing votes and more than 149 booths are
there.
5. We analyzed the patterns of various booths and their performance based on last few
elections.
6. Categorizing the polling stations as strong, medium and weak based on patterns, we have
recommended a big list of booths that can be least focused but more focus only on selected
Booths to garner more than 11k votes compared to 2018 election for comfortable win over
INC.
 Focus labelled booths require moderate aggressive campaigning.
 Booths marked deep focus means areas attached to the respective booths require
aggressive campaign
 Normal booths require campaigning to hold the existing vote base and increase slightly.
 Less Focused booths can be campaigned at lesser level just to retain the votes secured at
same level as 2018 elections
7. Due to paucity of time we are putting prediction for few booths which can also be done
for more specific booths, if asked.
8. We are also adding machine learning algorithms-based classification of booths for
effective campaign at the last which can also be focused by BJP if time permits.

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 4 BOOTH ANALYSIS

Insights:
1. The chart shows the no of strong polls has increased over the years.
2. The orange line represents the medium category polls which are decreasing in the past
two years so we need to focus on them.
3. In 2013 there was a dip because there was split in BJP votes due to KJP.

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Breakup for Booth Analysis given below:

Deep Focus Booth Analysis

There are 87 deep focus booths, should target at least 75 votes more for each Polling station then, in total
they will gain 6050 more votes for BJP.

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The list of the booths are given below-

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 Focus Booth Analysis
Focus booths, should get 100 votes more when compared to 2018 elections, so that in total
35 Focus booths, BJP can gain 3200 more votes.
The list of the booths are given below-

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 Normal Booth Analysis

Normal booths of 27 with increase by at least 40 votes per station then 920 votes can be
increased. The list of the booths are given below-

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These are the 3 charts where we added 40, 100, 75 votes to Normal (920), Focus (3200),
Deep focused (6050). So, after adding the total votes for BJP comes about (920+3200+6050)
= 10170 for 149 polling stations.

5 PREDICTION

These are all indicative predictions based on the normal trend, without getting influenced
by any swing factors, aggressive campaigning by either party. if this trend continues, BJP will
win by a margin of approximately 4000 votes. However, we strongly recommend aggressive
campaign in the booths identified in Deep Focus and Focus segment to increase the margin.
The network analysis can also be used to improve the effectiveness of the campaign.
Extrapolation: BJP
Winner Party Votes 2009 2013 2014 2018 2019 2023
Anganavadi Center Sappayyanapura 76 337 171 158 104 160
Anganavadi Kendra-3 Room No. 5 Galipura 81 238 281 297 301 411
Anganawadi Building Doddamole 166 302 770 679 467 797
Ashrama School Kyathedevaragudi 162 553 204 244 101 170
Assistant Director Veternary Hospital Double 144 125 154 139 210 193
Road, (New Building) Chamarajanagar
Asst Director of Sericulture Office, Behind 264 238 281 194 301 250
Old Taluk Office (North)
Asst Director Of Sericulture Officedouble 277 48 476 250 206 231
Road
Community Hall Big Adikrnataka Road, 279 238 281 297 301 308
Ramasamudra
Forest Guest House Bedaguli 133 238 281 297 301 384
Girijana Ashrama School Bedaguli 261 307 348 329 80 176
Gnana Bharathi Vidya 345 144 67 27 390 144
Samsthebhujangeshwara
Govt. Boys Highe Primary School 264 238 127 297 301 297
Ramasamudra
Govt. Boys Higher Primary School (South 340 167 166 308 475 403
Wing) Ramasamudra
Govt. Boys Higher Primary School 416 170 67 103 483 226
Chamarajanagar
Govt. Boys Higher Primary School 264 238 617 297 366 407
Ramasamudra
Govt. Boys Higher Primary School 300 158 250 121 180 89
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 Ramasamudra_1
Govt. Boys Higher Primary School 226 195 208 323 258 310
Ramasamudra_2
Govt. Composite High School (North) 566 238 281 297 301 158
Nanjedevanapura
Govt. Composite High School (North) Room 153 127 662 410 250 454
No. 2 Bandigere
Govt. Composite High School (North) Room 264 238 281 542 301 472
No. 2 Bandigere_1
Govt. Composite High School (North) Room 264 238 281 390 301 375
No. 2 Bandigere_2
Govt. Composite High School (South) 316 238 281 297 301 289
Nanjedevanapura
Govt. Composite High School (South) Room 77 260 281 297 301 413
No. 1 Bandigere
Govt. Composite High School (South) Room 264 238 569 758 301 645
No. 1 Bandigere 1
Govt. Composite Pu College (North) 185 222 454 236 542 524
Amachavadi
Govt. Composite Pu College (South) 168 155 248 356 443 509
Amachavadi
Govt. Girijana Ashrama School Rangasandra 225 270 107 170 183 143
Govt. Girls Higher Primary School (North 264 238 281 297 437 420
Wing) Ramasamudra
Govt. Girls Higher Primary School (North 264 238 460 297 301 338
Wing) Ramasamudra_1
Govt. Girls Higher Primary School (North 264 238 182 297 301 304
Wing) Ramasamudra_2
Govt. Girls Higher Primary School (South 340 245 281 297 301 276
Wing) Ramasamudra
Govt. Girls Higher Primary School (South 264 238 281 297 431 415
Wing) Ramasamudra_1
Govt. Girls Higher Primary School (South 264 238 281 297 542 500
Wing) Ramasamudra_2
Govt. Girl'S Higher Primary School (South) 264 238 281 513 301 453
Ramasamudra
Govt. Girls Higherprimary School 218 156 336 412 320 435
Chamarajanagar
Govt. High School (North) (Room No 1) 444 196 360 293 377 287
Thammadahalli
Govt. High School (North) Thammadahalli 264 238 281 297 333 340
Govt. High School (North) Yaraganahalli 261 169 213 297 286 298
Govt. High School (South) (Room No 2) 446 215 343 432 414 401
Thammadahalli
Govt. High School (South) Haradanahalli 264 238 281 297 405 395

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 Govt. High School (South) Yaraganahalli 261 202 488 153 198 172
Govt. High School (West Wing) , Aluru 347 113 435 660 111 378
Govt. High School Balavardhane (South) 264 238 281 297 277 297
Govt. High School Haradanahalli 264 238 281 297 316 327
Govt. High School Megalahundi 264 238 281 297 106 166
Govt. High School, (East Wing) Aluru 485 313 183 138 80 -83
Govt. Higher Girls Primary School (North) 264 238 281 145 301 219
Ramasamudra
Govt. Higher Primary Girls School (North) 422 195 281 297 301 234
Ramsamudra
Govt. Higher Primary School (East Wing) 264 231 281 297 301 316
Karinanjanapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (East Wing) 264 238 136 297 522 467
Karinanjanapura_1
Govt. Higher Primary School (East Wing) 264 238 249 297 242 267
Karinanjanapura_2
Govt. Higher Primary School (East Wing) 261 162 345 326 333 369
Madapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) (Roomno 324 619 401 321 611 550
2) Udigala
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) Bisalavadi 203 184 556 532 252 494
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 372 203 229 276 438 345
Jyothigowdanapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) Kagalavadi 473 55 338 366 207 187
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 264 238 281 131 301 210
Karinanjanapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) Kilagere 261 137 201 194 352 281
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) Kodimole 254 333 307 508 395 530
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) Koodluru 261 346 373 341 372 410
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) Nagavalli 443 238 281 297 301 222
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 261 440 580 773 114 513
Nagavalli_1
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 261 152 300 334 409 427
Nagavalli_2
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) Nalluru 580 116 353 437 340 280
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) Room No. 364 238 281 297 301 264
2 Kotthalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (New Building) 261 289 160 174 371 277
(East Wing) Bedarapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (New Building) 261 393 485 412 131 284
(Eastwing) Shivapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (New Building) 261 113 341 383 316 392
(West Wing) Bedarapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (New Building) 261 434 202 219 153 143
(Westwing) Shivapura
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 Govt. Higher Primary School (New Building) 261 357 397 362 485 513
Chandakavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (New Building) 261 185 559 568 225 466
Kagalavadi Molle
Govt. Higher Primary School (New Building) 220 454 318 500 195 390
Kariyanakatte
Govt. Higher Primary School (New Building) 365 215 281 166 426 275
Melajipura
Govt. Higher Primary School (New Building) 264 238 313 297 301 320
Melajipura_1
Govt. Higher Primary School (New Building) 264 238 256 297 301 313
Melajipura_2
Govt. Higher Primary School (New Building) 369 64 360 513 401 486
Saragurumole
Govt. Higher Primary School (Newbuilding) 264 238 377 297 337 355
Govt. Higher Primary School (Newbuilding- 128 525 617 748 267 688
Room No 1) Jalahallihundi
Govt. Higher Primary School (Newbuilding- 261 260 379 496 205 382
Room No 2) Jalahallihundi
Govt. Higher Primary School (Newbuilding- 264 238 281 747 430 702
South)Chennipuradamole
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) , 299 548 446 520 151 343
Doddarayapete
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 301 183 262 255 363 315
Arakalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 261 155 158 176 127 92
Attugulipura
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 395 253 330 291 582 465
Badanaguppe
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 173 547 386 298 360 420
Basavapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 563 81 384 419 297 248
Hebbasuru
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 376 253 319 280 194 169
Heggothara
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 606 212 358 176 593 294
Kagalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 261 234 133 112 563 382
Kalanahundi Room No -1
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 261 234 672 786 204 603
Kalanahundi Room No -2
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) Room 411 238 281 297 301 239
No. 1 Kalanahundi
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) Uttuvalli 120 238 281 297 301 391
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 265 199 306 286 511 472

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 Yanagahalli
Govt. Higher Primary School (North), New 264 238 281 619 301 521
Building Chennipuramole
Govt. Higher Primary School (Old Building) 261 293 200 349 206 267
(East) Dadadahally
Govt. Higher Primary School (Old Building) 261 262 134 314 190 225
(West) Dadadahally
Govt. Higher Primary School (Room No 1) 540 216 148 106 773 396
(East Wing) Somavarapete
Govt. Higher Primary School (Room No 2) 431 296 291 198 408 248
(West Wing) Somavarapete
Govt. Higher Primary School (Room No 4) 158 309 585 724 260 649
Amachavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (Room No 5) 108 125 649 779 379 810
(East) Amachavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (Room No 6) 62 77 105 123 107 141
(West) Amachavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (South Wing) , 364 391 236 140 539 339
Doddarayapate
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) (Room 395 75 240 131 705 447
No 1) Udigala
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 261 368 266 209 477 393
Arakalavadi_1
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 261 202 182 150 404 291
Arakalavadi_2
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 497 169 164 86 493 193
Attugulipura
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 488 94 410 276 584 419
Badanaguppe
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 261 234 241 343 300 341
Dollipura
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 181 77 301 329 315 394
Hebbasuru
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 554 238 281 297 301 164
Heggothara
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 261 101 153 149 519 375
Heggothara_1
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 261 130 285 221 518 436
Heggothara_2
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 388 23 106 202 490 315
Kolipalya
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) Nalluru 285 238 281 297 301 305
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 261 234 235 215 349 296
Nanjedevanapura_1
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 261 234 305 211 606 499

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 Nanjedevanapura_2
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) Room 216 361 281 297 301 340
No. 1 Basavapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) Room 779 192 293 123 813 330
No. 1 Kotthalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) Room 131 238 281 297 301 385
No. 2 Kalanahundi
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) Uttuvalli 348 238 281 297 301 272
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 261 755 274 228 525 441
Uttuvalli_1
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 261 89 410 519 147 358
Uttuvalli_2
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 90 93 125 505 456 640
Yanagahalli
Govt. Higher Primary School (West Wing) 261 284 262 216 226 205
Madapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) 352 234 138 249 322 238
Jyothigowdanapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) 264 193 281 269 301 298
Karinanjanapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) Kilagere 261 125 301 258 399 371
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) Kodimole 171 95 444 705 381 707
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) Koodluru 261 240 214 238 348 307
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) 309 117 281 297 301 293
Kottalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) 261 234 340 229 642 543
Kotthalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) Nagavalli 300 151 379 421 277 370
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) Nalluru 261 290 244 404 161 273
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) Room 329 238 281 297 301 282
No. 1 Bisalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) Room 269 238 281 297 301 313
No. 3 Udigala
Govt. Higher Primary School Ammanapura 408 348 257 267 262 188
Govt. Higher Primary School 522 273 258 104 669 337
Ankanashettipura
Govt. Higher Primary School Aralipura 362 260 290 426 306 352
Govt. Higher Primary School Badagalapura 131 238 235 159 357 334
Govt. Higher Primary School 403 204 425 247 488 373
Bandigowdanahalli
Govt. Higher Primary School Basappanapalya 132 532 293 405 108 305
Govt. Higher Primary School Basavapura 261 234 383 302 436 436
Govt. Higher Primary School Bedarapura 438 238 281 297 301 225
Govt. Higher Primary School Bendaravadi 256 291 399 285 432 427
Govt. Higher Primary School Bhogapura 443 152 385 356 475 407
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 Govt. Higher Primary School Bisalavadi 261 426 353 377 534 555
Govt. Higher Primary School Boodithittu 119 171 243 361 253 391
Govt. Higher Primary School Byadamudlu 145 238 281 297 301 378
Govt. Higher Primary School Byadamudlu_1 261 567 537 713 360 657
Govt. Higher Primary School Byadamudlu_2 261 229 343 470 237 386
Govt. Higher Primary School Dadadahalli 542 238 281 297 301 171
Govt. Higher Primary School Dodda 264 238 281 297 447 428
Angadistreet
Govt. Higher Primary School Doddamole 132 534 623 657 497 805
Govt. Higher Primary School Double Road A J 259 53 235 300 272 293
Colony Chamarajanagar
Govt. Higher Primary School Hondarabalu 117 56 196 229 92 179
Govt. Higher Primary School Honnahalli 354 33 450 443 594 609
Govt. Higher Primary School 37 608 604 581 141 530
Kaduvinakattehundi
Govt. Higher Primary School Kagalavadi 261 234 330 268 283 291
Govt. Higher Primary School Kagalavadi Mole 311 41 281 297 301 292
Govt. Higher Primary School Karinanjanpura 643 238 281 297 301 118
Govt. Higher Primary School Katnavadi 541 200 212 172 708 395
Govt. Higher Primary School Kellamballi 199 245 419 434 306 458
Govt. Higher Primary School Kilgere 662 238 281 297 301 108
Govt. Higher Primary School Kiragasuru 230 351 340 308 300 346
Govt. Higher Primary School Kodi Ugane 175 352 307 275 144 230
Govt. Higher Primary School Koodluru 268 238 281 297 301 314
Govt. Higher Primary School 411 140 57 158 114 -20
Kumbheshwaracolony
Govt. Higher Primary School Madalavadi 403 238 333 401 484 456
Govt. Higher Primary School Madapura 427 238 281 297 301 231
Govt. Higher Primary School Mallayyanapura 251 335 447 609 318 554
Govt. Higher Primary School Mallupura 196 285 76 86 162 84
Govt. Higher Primary School Mariyala 553 292 287 184 722 416
Govt. Higher Primary School Muneshwara 264 179 281 297 301 316
Colony
Govt. Higher Primary School Mutthige 264 238 281 326 108 186
Govt. Higher Primary School Muttige 46 100 281 297 301 430
Govt. Higher Primary School Nallurumole 115 595 519 700 61 493
Govt. Higher Primary School Narasamangala 189 109 192 152 180 159
Govt. Higher Primary School New Building 149 238 281 297 301 376
Shivapura
Govt. Higher Primary School Nijalinganapura 261 84 62 57 139 14
Govt. Higher Primary School Panyadahundi 94 219 148 122 145 157
Govt. Higher Primary School Parivarastreet 489 103 354 225 794 540
Govt. Higher Primary School Punajanur 264 238 281 365 301 359
Govt. Higher Primary School Punajanuru 415 118 281 297 301 238
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 Govt. Higher Primary School Pwd Colony 326 241 187 214 301 219
(East Wing) Chamarajanagar
Govt. Higher Primary School Pwd Colony 219 136 201 203 472 401
Chamarajanagar
Govt. Higher Primary School Room No. 1 142 541 281 297 301 377
Chennipuradamole
Govt. Higher Primary School Room No. 1 264 238 281 345 301 346
Galipura
Govt. Higher Primary School Room No. 1 395 295 235 232 504 356
South Mangala
Govt. Higher Primary School Room No. 2 264 238 281 580 301 496
(North) Galipura
Govt. Higher Primary School Room No. 2 516 238 281 297 301 184
Arakalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School Room No. 2 135 1027 281 297 301 378
Chennipuradamole
Govt. Higher Primary School Room No. 2 124 340 439 540 312 571
North Mangala
Govt. Higher Primary School Saraguru 233 99 515 645 107 435
Govt. Higher Primary School Siddayyanapura 611 238 281 297 301 135
Govt. Higher Primary School 261 121 174 385 174 264
Siddayyanapura_1
Govt. Higher Primary School 261 87 171 334 170 228
Siddayyanapura_2
Govt. Higher Primary School Uganedahundi 412 246 405 319 572 476
Govt. Higher Primary School Uppara Beedi 191 375 281 297 301 353
Chamarajanagar
Govt. Higher Primary School 526 550 202 45 706 317
Venkatayyanachatra
Govt. Higher Primary School Yanagahalli 536 238 281 297 301 174
Govt. Higher Primary School, (South) Room 261 328 406 142 646 498
No. 2 Kotthalavadi
Govt. Higher School (South) New Building 264 238 379 297 301 328
Chennipura Mole
Govt. Higher School Big Store Road 334 157 43 74 301 108
Chamarajanagar
Govt. Lower Primary School (East Wing) 261 337 197 301 169 208
Ramasamudra
Govt. Lower Primary School (East) 261 298 348 416 239 353
Chandakavadi
Govt. Lower Primary School (Kannada) 49 322 43 33 49 36
Chikkaholecheckpost
Govt. Lower Primary School (New Building) 341 405 47 14 416 153
Mudlupura
Govt. Lower Primary School (Newbuilding) 21 140 348 406 102 368

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 Hullepura
Govt. Lower Primary School (North) 360 238 281 297 301 266
Chandakavadi
Govt. Lower Primary School (Room No 1) 106 400 296 297 201 322
(East Wing) Galipura
Govt. Lower Primary School (Room No 2) 163 271 434 297 257 353
(West Wing) Galipura
Govt. Lower Primary School (South Wing) 157 12 543 297 101 252
(Kannada) Galipura
Govt. Lower Primary School (South) 264 238 281 418 301 393
(Kannada) Galipura_1
Govt. Lower Primary School (South) 264 238 281 400 301 381
(Kannada) Galipura_2
Govt. Lower Primary School (South) 357 238 281 297 301 267
Chandakavadi
Govt. Lower Primary School (South) 220 33 75 140 271 191
Veerayyanapura
Govt. Lower Primary School (West) Big 206 91 281 297 301 347
Adhikarnataka Road, Ramasamudra
Govt. Lower Primary School (West) 333 94 261 179 572 411
Chandakavadi
Govt. Lower Primary School Acchattipura 261 130 94 106 57 -14
Govt. Lower Primary School Ambedkar 264 238 243 297 373 366
Extensionramasamudra
Govt. Lower Primary School Ayyanapura 304 243 196 85 336 176
Govt. Lower Primary School B 252 62 107 128 392 264
Mallaiahanapura
Govt. Lower Primary School Bevinathalapura 190 164 148 192 198 192
Govt. Lower Primary School Bokkepura 20 170 143 116 56 123
Govt. Lower Primary School 43 86 333 410 389 578
Chandukattemole
Govt. Lower Primary School 369 171 269 273 337 272
Chennappanapura
Govt. Lower Primary School 261 234 270 219 62 83
Chikkakempihundi
Govt. Lower Primary School Chikkamole 14 41 289 336 177 378
Govt. Lower Primary School Devalapura 6 94 211 141 62 160
Govt. Lower Primary School Dodda Adi 264 238 281 185 301 244
Karnataka (West) Ramasamudra
Govt. Lower Primary School Dodda Adi 264 238 200 297 361 352
Karnataka Street (West Wing)
Govt. Lower Primary School Dollipura 73 87 281 297 301 416
Govt. Lower Primary School Handrakallimole 179 510 346 520 212 440
Govt. Lower Primary School Hongalavadi 156 156 89 125 34 34
Govt. Lower Primary School 260 445 128 199 176 139
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 Huralinanjanapura
Govt. Lower Primary School K Basavanapura 160 205 287 278 173 261
Govt. Lower Primary School K 216 281 234 210 294 274
Mbasavanapura
Govt. Lower Primary School Kadahalli 385 284 333 348 441 399
Govt. Lower Primary School Kalikambacolony 261 169 50 85 139 30
Govt. Lower Primary School Kallahalli 261 195 271 234 101 123
Govt. Lower Primary School Kokkanahalli 261 277 188 235 83 99
Govt. Lower Primary School Kulluru 127 104 224 202 89 158
Govt. Lower Primary School Kurubarahundi 261 143 96 31 78 -46
Govt. Lower Primary School Lakshmipura 44 58 170 242 156 272
Govt. Lower Primary School Linganapura 290 261 180 200 424 322
Govt. Lower Primary School Mahanthalapura 144 215 189 191 197 220
Govt. Lower Primary School Malladevanahalli 99 333 129 216 95 173
Govt. Lower Primary School 122 130 238 220 158 226
Mangaladahosuru
Govt. Lower Primary School Mariyaladahundi 182 344 335 304 336 396
Govt. Lower Primary School Masagapura 134 205 389 341 183 335
Govt. Lower Primary School 185 106 197 222 377 358
Moodahallicolony
Govt. Lower Primary School 157 184 152 92 247 184
Moodalahosahalli
Govt. Lower Primary School Mukanapalya 247 267 217 256 294 285
Govt. Lower Primary School Nagavalli 285 173 516 593 340 553
Govt. Lower Primary School Puthanapura 286 181 148 86 352 193
Govt. Lower Primary School Ramasamudra 193 153 281 297 301 353
Govt. Lower Primary School Sanegala 261 163 78 75 71 -25
Govt. Lower Primary School 126 532 294 318 316 412
Thavarekattemole
Govt. Lower Primary School Vaddarahalli 223 273 292 224 344 325
Govt. Lower Primary School Vadgalpura 169 262 252 306 243 323
Govt. Lower Primary School 323 190 118 106 469 272
Vadgalpuradahundi
Govt. Lower Primary School Veeranapura 401 234 144 94 408 180
Govt. Lower Primary School Yadapura 34 189 91 101 56 100
Govt. Lower Primary School Yadiyuru 268 172 287 266 369 347
Govt. Lower Primary School Yanagumba 251 182 327 285 372 375
Govt. Lower Primary School, Ambedkar 264 238 281 423 301 396
Badavane Ramasamudra
Govt. Lower Primary School, 264 238 374 297 456 446
Bhagirathanagara
Govt. Model Higher Primary School (North 337 583 506 880 524 846
Wing) Uppara Street
Govt. Model Higher Primary School (South 379 597 247 383 651 573

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 Wing) Uppara Street
Govt. Model Higher Primary School (West 264 238 281 297 147 198
Wing) Uppara_1
Govt. Model Higher Primary School (West 264 238 281 297 409 398
Wing) Uppara_2
Govt. Model Higher Primary School, Uppara 264 238 341 571 301 498
ST (West Wing) Chamarajanagar
Govt. Pu College (East) Venkatayyanachathra 212 238 281 297 301 343
Govt. Pu College (East) 261 354 371 380 187 293
Venkatayyanachathra_1
Govt. Pu College (East) 261 370 364 442 352 458
Venkatayyanachathra_2
Govt. Tamil Higher Primary School (West 264 238 281 374 75 191
Wing)
Govt. Tamil Higher Primary School 133 221 666 297 57 244
Chamarajanagar
Govt. Tamil Higher Primary School 164 448 92 132 166 135
Chikkahole
Govt. Tamil Higher Primary School, 264 238 281 404 301 384
Chamarajanagar
Govt. Upgraded Higher Primary School 213 154 448 618 294 563
(Room No.03) (South) Mangala
Govt. Upgraded Higher Primary School 411 284 323 253 503 371
Handrakalli
Govt. Upgraded Higher Primary School 552 115 286 185 630 348
Yalakkuru
Govt. Urdu Boy'S Higher Primary School 264 238 70 297 301 290
Govt. Urdu Boy'S Higher Primary School 264 238 281 297 203 241
(Behind
Govt. Urdu Boys Lower Primary School 150 140 281 297 301 376
Haradanahalli
Govt. Urdu Boyslower Primary School 264 238 281 118 444 311
Govt. Urdu Girls Higher Primary School (New 60 142 801 297 301 486
Building) Chamarajanagar
Govt. Urdu Girls Higher Primary School (New 264 238 281 576 68 315
Building) Chamarajanagar_1
Govt. Urdu Girls Higher Primary School (New 264 238 281 466 42 225
Building) Chamarajanagar_2
Govt. Urdu Girls Higher Primary School 345 69 93 170 493 318
Chamarajanagar
Govt. Urdu Higher Primary School (Mekka 264 238 281 297 206 243
Mohalla)
Govt. Urdu Higher Primary School Beedi 40 80 281 297 301 433
Workers
Govt. Urdu Higher Primary School Beedi 264 238 281 297 50 123

22 | P a g e
 Workers_1
Govt. Urdu Higher Primary School Beedi 264 238 281 297 70 139
Workers_2
Govt. Urdu Higher Primary School Beedi 264 429 281 297 13 94
Workerscolony Galipura
Govt. Urdu Higher Primary School Beedi 264 238 943 809 301 724
Workerscolony Galipura_1
Govt. Urdu Higher Primary School Beedi 264 238 809 592 301 569
Workerscolony Galipura_2
Govt. Urdu Lower Primary School 264 238 281 297 371 369
Haradanahalli
Govt. Urdu Lower Primary School 264 238 388 297 301 329
Haradanahalli_1
Govt. Urdu Lower Primary School 264 238 122 297 301 296
Haradanahalli_2
Govt. Urdu Model Higher Primary School 241 389 369 489 260 429
Near Masjid,
Govt. Urdu School, Beedi Workers Colony 264 238 281 909 301 706
Galipura
Govt. Women'S First Grade College (Room No 264 238 281 297 224 257
2) Double Roadchamarajanagar
Govt. Women'S First Grade College (Roomno 264 238 281 297 364 364
11) Double Road
Grama Panchayath Building Aluru 209 247 71 146 62 39
Grama Panchayath Building Nagavalli 422 221 450 444 187 260
Grama Panchayath Office Amachavadi 241 73 219 168 379 299
Grama Panchayath Office Building 264 238 305 167 301 236
Haradanahalli
Grama Panchayath Office Haradanahalli 227 500 281 297 301 333
Grama Panchayath Office Udigala 261 234 322 280 470 441
Grama Panchayathbuilding 312 189 379 622 346 545
Jyothigowdanapura
Kannada Sahithya Parishath Near Subjail 190 491 356 485 222 421
Rathada Beedi
Kuvempu Century Model Govt. Higher 102 697 730 988 226 836
Primary School Megalahundi
Nagarasabhe Office Nearchamarajeshwara 190 214 66 52 240 125
Office of the Asst. Director of Animal 296 244 281 297 301 299
Husbandary, Double Road, Chamarajanagar
Pete Govt. Higher Primary School (North 247 104 193 133 428 307
Wing)
Pete Higher Primary School (North Wing) 268 82 196 374 272 331
Chamarajanagar
Pete Higher Primary School (South Wing) 362 225 130 111 513 290
Chamarajanagar

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 Prathamika Krushi Pattina Sahakarasangha 264 238 281 297 729 644
Niyamita
Sakshara Suvarna Samanya 261 254 448 595 215 462
Shikshanamunduvarike
Silk Filature Office (New Building) 229 174 372 759 497 791
Santhemarahalli
St Govt. Ashrama School, Punajanuru, 261 234 290 292 80 146
Muneshwara Colony
St Joseph Nursery School Double 204 45 404 437 345 486
Roadchamarajanagar
Sub-Division Forest Office Social 184 84 276 399 317 435
Forestdivision Sulthan
Urban Area Govt. Higher School 235 42 281 297 301 332
Chamarajanagar
Urban Area Govt. Lower Primary School 261 234 74 76 350 188
Chamarajanagara
Urdu Girls Lower Primary School (West) 184 194 281 323 301 374
Haradanahalli
Urdu Govt. Higher Primary School (Behind 158 759 281 60 301 217
Shikshara Bhavan) Chamarajanagar
Women Welfare Centre Social Welfare Dept. 252 238 281 297 301 322
K.P Mohalla Harijanabeedi Chamarajanagar

Extrapolation: INC (Runner Up)

Runner Party Votes 2009 2013 2014 2018 2019 2023
Anganavadi Center Sappayyanapura 87 19 103 104 159 155
Anganavadi Kendra-3 Room No. 5 525 26 254 288 253 135
Galipura
Anganawadi Building Doddamole 375 7 111 285 536 411
Ashrama School Kyathedevaragudi 45 5 87 92 237 228
Assistant Director Veternary Hospital 196 26 299 317 253 331
Double Road, (New Building)
Chamarajanagar
Asst Director of Sericulture Office, Behind 196 26 254 205 253 254
Old Taluk Office (North)
Asst Director Of Sericulture Officedouble 221 15 342 193 260 249
Road
Community Hall Big Adikrnataka Road, 240 26 254 288 253 284
Ramasamudra
Forest Guest House Bedaguli 122 26 254 288 253 345
Girijana Ashrama School Bedaguli 196 12 29 83 324 203
24 | P a g e
 Gnana Bharathi Vidya 45 32 359 371 37 285
Samsthebhujangeshwara
Govt. Boys Highe Primary School 196 26 357 288 253 319
Ramasamudra
Govt. Boys Higher Primary School (South 77 46 412 447 210 456
Wing) Ramasamudra
Govt. Boys Higher Primary School 59 25 448 440 73 361
Chamarajanagar
Govt. Boys Higher Primary School 196 26 436 288 160 258
Ramasamudra
Govt. Boys Higher Primary School 95 15 254 411 253 438
Ramasamudra_1
Govt. Boys Higher Primary School 241 21 254 596 253 480
Ramasamudra_2
Govt. Composite High School (North) 100 26 254 288 253 357
Nanjedevanapura
Govt. Composite High School (North) 514 12 227 288 253 138
Room No. 2 Bandigere
Govt. Composite High School (North) 196 26 254 92 253 182
Room No. 2 Bandigere_1
Govt. Composite High School (North) 196 26 254 95 253 183
Room No. 2 Bandigere_2
Govt. Composite High School (South) 131 26 254 288 253 340
Nanjedevanapura
Govt. Composite High School (South) 269 30 254 288 253 268
Room No. 1 Bandigere
Govt. Composite High School (South) 196 26 216 178 253 232
Room No. 1 Bandigere 1
Govt. Composite Pu College (North) 229 17 279 581 331 539
Amachavadi
Govt. Composite Pu College (South) 227 5 302 445 228 377
Amachavadi
Govt. Girijana Ashrama School 36 46 195 169 168 242
Rangasandra
Govt. Girls Higher Primary School (North 196 26 254 288 529 518
Wing) Ramasamudra
Govt. Girls Higher Primary School (North 196 26 344 288 253 318
Wing) Ramasamudra_1
Govt. Girls Higher Primary School (North 196 26 482 288 253 335
Wing) Ramasamudra_2
Govt. Girls Higher Primary School (South 356 25 254 288 253 223
Wing) Ramasamudra
Govt. Girls Higher Primary School (South 196 26 254 288 376 401
Wing) Ramasamudra_1
Govt. Girls Higher Primary School (South 196 26 254 288 117 202

25 | P a g e
 Wing) Ramasamudra_2
Govt. Girl'S Higher Primary School 196 26 254 466 253 420
(South) Ramasamudra
Govt. Girls Higherprimary School 271 33 338 290 417 405
Chamarajanagar
Govt. High School (North) (Room No 1) 194 9 338 539 220 453
Thammadahalli
Govt. High School (North) Thammadahalli 196 26 254 288 93 184
Govt. High School (North) Yaraganahalli 196 10 448 325 279 374
Govt. High School (South) (Room No 2) 242 7 483 554 290 509
Thammadahalli
Govt. High School (South) Haradanahalli 196 26 254 288 480 481
Govt. High School (South) Yaraganahalli 196 8 243 213 141 172
Govt. High School (West Wing) , Aluru 322 8 310 158 612 440
Govt. High School Balavardhane (South) 196 26 254 288 277 325
Govt. High School Haradanahalli 196 26 254 288 230 289
Govt. High School Megalahundi 196 26 254 288 270 320
Govt. High School, (East Wing) Aluru 185 34 501 564 100 401
Govt. Higher Girls Primary School (North) 196 26 254 515 253 451
Ramasamudra
Govt. Higher Primary Girls School (North) 107 6 254 288 253 353
Ramsamudra
Govt. Higher Primary School (East Wing) 196 25 254 288 253 307
Karinanjanapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (East Wing) 196 26 507 288 165 270
Karinanjanapura_1
Govt. Higher Primary School (East Wing) 196 26 310 288 299 349
Karinanjanapura_2
Govt. Higher Primary School (East Wing) 196 11 226 314 305 360
Madapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 224 12 426 647 345 613
(Roomno 2) Udigala
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 319 24 310 388 511 511
Bisalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 183 16 379 452 251 432
Jyothigowdanapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 333 2 327 292 290 275
Kagalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 196 26 254 542 253 469
Karinanjanapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 196 6 292 356 177 296
Kilagere
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 158 118 328 262 342 387
Kodimole
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 196 10 190 335 264 337
26 | P a g e
 Koodluru
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 436 26 254 288 253 181
Nagavalli
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 196 21 128 70 844 605
Nagavalli_1
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 196 6 192 378 245 350
Nagavalli_2
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) 221 11 408 356 420 484
Nalluru
Govt. Higher Primary School (East) Room 94 26 254 288 253 360
No. 2 Kotthalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (New 196 12 260 370 127 263
Building) (East Wing) Bedarapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (New 196 12 53 178 484 389
Building) (Eastwing) Shivapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (New 196 10 180 285 302 333
Building) (West Wing) Bedarapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (New 196 27 202 165 252 221
Building) (Westwing) Shivapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (New 196 27 306 426 267 412
Building) Chandakavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (New 196 46 147 184 545 451
Building) Kagalavadi Molle
Govt. Higher Primary School (New 188 24 276 169 456 393
Building) Kariyanakatte
Govt. Higher Primary School (New 132 107 254 427 223 405
Building) Melajipura
Govt. Higher Primary School (New 196 26 152 288 253 294
Building) Melajipura_1
Govt. Higher Primary School (New 196 26 334 288 253 316
Building) Melajipura_2
Govt. Higher Primary School (New 215 11 295 281 378 393
Building) Saragurumole
Govt. Higher Primary School 196 26 249 288 327 363
(Newbuilding)
Govt. Higher Primary School 533 6 120 40 474 126
(Newbuilding-Room No 1) Jalahallihundi
Govt. Higher Primary School 196 60 23 92 322 206
(Newbuilding-Room No 2) Jalahallihundi
Govt. Higher Primary School 196 26 254 82 367 263
(Newbuilding-South)Chennipuradamole
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) , 354 12 376 214 359 273
Doddarayapete
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 132 50 293 405 208 385
Arakalavadi

27 | P a g e
 Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 196 24 128 136 172 132
Attugulipura
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 192 146 381 536 307 523
Badanaguppe
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 214 31 269 337 276 348
Basavapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 298 81 337 391 478 501
Hebbasuru
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 319 258 269 281 199 197
Heggothara
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 292 113 392 689 252 528
Kagalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 196 26 497 563 125 414
Kalanahundi Room No -1
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 196 26 114 118 698 522
Kalanahundi Room No -2
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 110 26 254 288 253 351
Room No. 1 Kalanahundi
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 317 26 254 288 253 243
Uttuvalli
Govt. Higher Primary School (North) 193 26 245 473 205 388
Yanagahalli
Govt. Higher Primary School (North), 196 26 254 214 253 259
New Building Chennipuramole
Govt. Higher Primary School (Old 196 64 288 207 302 296
Building) (East) Dadadahally
Govt. Higher Primary School (Old 196 30 320 146 195 180
Building) (West) Dadadahally
Govt. Higher Primary School (Room No 1) 59 27 625 741 118 609
(East Wing) Somavarapete
Govt. Higher Primary School (Room No 2) 195 66 409 437 252 420
(West Wing) Somavarapete
Govt. Higher Primary School (Room No 4) 325 24 110 154 538 355
Amachavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (Room No 5) 392 1 133 163 532 324
(East) Amachavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (Room No 6) 59 2 77 102 104 124
(West) Amachavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (South 133 15 357 505 184 438
Wing) , Doddarayapate
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 116 7 515 740 150 590
(Room No 1) Udigala
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 196 89 309 420 202 358
Arakalavadi_1
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 196 24 306 417 160 324

28 | P a g e
 Arakalavadi_2
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 222 14 425 562 164 421
Attugulipura
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 221 5 523 598 300 561
Badanaguppe
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 196 26 183 186 196 189
Dollipura
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 91 94 360 419 380 555
Hebbasuru
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 194 26 254 288 253 308
Heggothara
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 196 72 408 486 141 366
Heggothara_1
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 196 66 280 514 186 402
Heggothara_2
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 71 15 435 425 138 393
Kolipalya
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 104 26 254 288 253 355
Nalluru
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 196 26 308 358 228 339
Nanjedevanapura_1
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 196 26 452 578 234 501
Nanjedevanapura_2
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 253 9 254 288 253 277
Room No. 1 Basavapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 180 65 639 908 111 649
Room No. 1 Kotthalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 367 26 254 288 253 217
Room No. 2 Kalanahundi
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 141 26 254 288 253 335
Uttuvalli
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 196 11 344 484 177 384
Uttuvalli_1
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 196 9 359 173 335 309
Uttuvalli_2
Govt. Higher Primary School (South) 243 6 199 318 401 408
Yanagahalli
Govt. Higher Primary School (West Wing) 196 0 175 220 246 248
Madapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) 195 12 429 385 250 388
Jyothigowdanapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) 196 5 254 230 253 270
Karinanjanapura
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) 196 3 307 384 218 348
Kilagere

29 | P a g e
 Govt. Higher Primary School (West) 183 18 249 105 426 329
Kodimole
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) 196 35 287 339 177 285
Koodluru
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) 220 27 254 288 253 294
Kottalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) 196 26 322 497 194 403
Kotthalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) 363 141 435 322 428 397
Nagavalli
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) 196 19 391 175 367 339
Nalluru
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) Room 354 26 254 288 253 224
No. 1 Bisalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School (West) Room 259 26 254 288 253 274
No. 3 Udigala
Govt. Higher Primary School 184 136 350 337 256 357
Ammanapura
Govt. Higher Primary School 179 15 608 789 156 604
Ankanashettipura
Govt. Higher Primary School Aralipura 210 41 408 310 326 388
Govt. Higher Primary School 119 17 210 341 155 300
Badagalapura
Govt. Higher Primary School 184 34 305 564 324 550
Bandigowdanahalli
Govt. Higher Primary School 265 95 225 131 387 269
Basappanapalya
Govt. Higher Primary School Basavapura 196 26 240 417 262 394
Govt. Higher Primary School Bedarapura 322 26 254 288 253 241
Govt. Higher Primary School Bendaravadi 294 89 303 348 328 357
Govt. Higher Primary School Bhogapura 246 5 422 443 362 484
Govt. Higher Primary School Bisalavadi 196 12 469 628 451 702
Govt. Higher Primary School Boodithittu 191 8 202 153 272 231
Govt. Higher Primary School Byadamudlu 435 26 254 288 253 182
Govt. Higher Primary School 196 24 247 172 565 471
Byadamudlu_1
Govt. Higher Primary School 196 33 181 139 378 298
Byadamudlu_2
Govt. Higher Primary School Dadadahalli 214 26 254 288 253 297
Govt. Higher Primary School Dodda 196 26 254 288 54 154
Angadistreet
Govt. Higher Primary School Doddamole 242 20 239 292 478 456
Govt. Higher Primary School Double Road 209 31 351 222 340 336
A J Colony Chamarajanagar
Govt. Higher Primary School Hondarabalu 156 7 170 65 251 173
30 | P a g e
 Govt. Higher Primary School Honnahalli 283 2 497 617 392 608
Govt. Higher Primary School 457 36 48 133 556 279
Kaduvinakattehundi
Govt. Higher Primary School Kagalavadi 196 26 332 377 262 380
Govt. Higher Primary School Kagalavadi 290 210 254 288 253 256
Mole
Govt. Higher Primary School 259 26 254 288 253 274
Karinanjanpura
Govt. Higher Primary School Katnavadi 177 28 643 732 160 576
Govt. Higher Primary School Kellamballi 395 11 313 326 465 397
Govt. Higher Primary School Kilgere 222 26 254 288 253 293
Govt. Higher Primary School Kiragasuru 224 22 214 320 299 343
Govt. Higher Primary School Kodi Ugane 281 13 293 216 273 237
Govt. Higher Primary School Koodluru 551 26 254 288 253 121
Govt. Higher Primary School 47 11 284 152 177 243
Kumbheshwaracolony
Govt. Higher Primary School Madalavadi 212 94 455 464 349 508
Govt. Higher Primary School Madapura 355 26 254 288 253 224
Govt. Higher Primary School 430 18 426 271 426 328
Mallayyanapura
Govt. Higher Primary School Mallupura 42 19 145 174 80 168
Govt. Higher Primary School Mariyala 197 17 591 611 176 494
Govt. Higher Primary School Muneshwara 196 18 254 288 253 307
Colony
Govt. Higher Primary School Mutthige 196 26 254 98 339 251
Govt. Higher Primary School Muttige 332 40 254 288 253 236
Govt. Higher Primary School Nallurumole 288 22 55 21 616 342
Govt. Higher Primary School 108 143 142 222 191 248
Narasamangala
Govt. Higher Primary School New 535 26 254 288 253 130
Building Shivapura
Govt. Higher Primary School 196 8 107 139 56 43
Nijalinganapura
Govt. Higher Primary School 88 54 278 296 301 408
Panyadahundi
Govt. Higher Primary School 188 69 548 672 189 542
Parivarastreet
Govt. Higher Primary School Punajanur 196 26 254 310 253 321
Govt. Higher Primary School Punajanuru 246 5 254 288 253 281
Govt. Higher Primary School Pwd Colony 147 31 286 243 226 287
(East Wing) Chamarajanagar
Govt. Higher Primary School Pwd Colony 131 59 448 452 259 473
Chamarajanagar
Govt. Higher Primary School Room No. 1 281 44 254 288 253 262

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 Chennipuradamole
Govt. Higher Primary School Room No. 1 196 26 254 169 253 231
Galipura
Govt. Higher Primary School Room No. 1 85 6 330 475 145 410
South Mangala
Govt. Higher Primary School Room No. 2 196 26 254 306 253 318
(North) Galipura
Govt. Higher Primary School Room No. 2 192 26 254 288 253 309
Arakalavadi
Govt. Higher Primary School Room No. 2 222 16 254 288 253 293
Chennipuradamole
Govt. Higher Primary School Room No. 2 234 14 170 165 408 317
North Mangala
Govt. Higher Primary School Saraguru 356 47 172 101 624 378
Govt. Higher Primary School 307 26 254 288 253 249
Siddayyanapura
Govt. Higher Primary School 196 17 472 178 302 301
Siddayyanapura_1
Govt. Higher Primary School 196 8 373 175 220 224
Siddayyanapura_2
Govt. Higher Primary School 145 0 461 562 341 601
Uganedahundi
Govt. Higher Primary School Uppara 266 23 254 288 253 270
Beedi Chamarajanagar
Govt. Higher Primary School 125 12 510 755 77 538
Venkatayyanachatra
Govt. Higher Primary School Yanagahalli 254 26 254 288 253 276
Govt. Higher Primary School, (South) 196 18 484 792 193 610
Room No. 2 Kotthalavadi
Govt. Higher School (South) New Building 196 26 265 288 253 308
Chennipura Mole
Govt. Higher School Big Store Road 83 23 443 411 253 467
Chamarajanagar
Govt. Lower Primary School (East Wing) 196 46 294 127 232 193
Ramasamudra
Govt. Lower Primary School (East) 196 38 368 293 339 390
Chandakavadi
Govt. Lower Primary School (Kannada) 34 25 77 92 54 92
Chikkaholecheckpost
Govt. Lower Primary School (New 7 57 325 425 12 316
Building) Mudlupura
Govt. Lower Primary School 298 4 95 105 334 179
(Newbuilding) Hullepura
Govt. Lower Primary School (North) 177 26 254 288 253 316
Chandakavadi

32 | P a g e
 Govt. Lower Primary School (Room No 1) 236 5 207 288 272 295
(East Wing) Galipura
Govt. Lower Primary School (Room No 2) 263 10 216 288 465 430
(West Wing) Galipura
Govt. Lower Primary School (South Wing) 358 14 190 288 626 500
(Kannada) Galipura
Govt. Lower Primary School (South) 196 26 254 122 253 201
(Kannada) Galipura_1
Govt. Lower Primary School (South) 196 26 254 100 253 187
(Kannada) Galipura_2
Govt. Lower Primary School (South) 164 26 254 288 253 323
Chandakavadi
Govt. Lower Primary School (South) 49 16 284 262 146 288
Veerayyanapura
Govt. Lower Primary School (West) Big 184 13 254 288 253 313
Adhikarnataka Road, Ramasamudra
Govt. Lower Primary School (West) 233 10 427 568 184 434
Chandakavadi
Govt. Lower Primary School Acchattipura 196 10 81 85 98 37
Govt. Lower Primary School Ambedkar 196 26 420 288 289 355
Extensionramasamudra
Govt. Lower Primary School Ayyanapura 67 30 245 342 96 287
Govt. Lower Primary School B 96 41 307 326 88 263
Mallaiahanapura
Govt. Lower Primary School 140 10 245 235 177 243
Bevinathalapura
Govt. Lower Primary School Bokkepura 219 12 8 58 122 17
Govt. Lower Primary School 174 192 149 136 177 149
Chandukattemole
Govt. Lower Primary School 138 2 322 358 227 370
Chennappanapura
Govt. Lower Primary School 196 26 15 92 269 164
Chikkakempihundi
Govt. Lower Primary School Chikkamole 213 69 103 131 297 212
Govt. Lower Primary School Devalapura 110 10 38 97 98 84
Govt. Lower Primary School Dodda Adi 196 26 254 349 253 345
Karnataka (West) Ramasamudra
Govt. Lower Primary School Dodda Adi 196 26 326 288 119 213
Karnataka Street (West Wing)
Govt. Lower Primary School Dollipura 104 32 254 288 253 355
Govt. Lower Primary School 137 15 243 26 438 311
Handrakallimole
Govt. Lower Primary School Hongalavadi 54 42 150 33 121 104
Govt. Lower Primary School 88 21 254 158 120 178
Huralinanjanapura
33 | P a g e
 Govt. Lower Primary School K 415 2 150 209 302 167
Basavanapura
Govt. Lower Primary School K 98 7 217 310 248 363
Mbasavanapura
Govt. Lower Primary School Kadahalli 193 7 471 409 263 420
Govt. Lower Primary School 196 9 204 159 122 118
Kalikambacolony
Govt. Lower Primary School Kallahalli 196 16 72 94 163 92
Govt. Lower Primary School Kokkanahalli 196 37 32 12 151 25
Govt. Lower Primary School Kulluru 100 7 55 58 175 126
Govt. Lower Primary School 196 8 37 86 58 2
Kurubarahundi
Govt. Lower Primary School Lakshmipura 94 9 109 72 159 132
Govt. Lower Primary School Linganapura 109 24 327 419 175 385
Govt. Lower Primary School 121 9 148 180 164 196
Mahanthalapura
Govt. Lower Primary School 65 23 86 53 134 113
Malladevanahalli
Govt. Lower Primary School 119 9 166 168 189 210
Mangaladahosuru
Govt. Lower Primary School 309 10 245 210 289 224
Mariyaladahundi
Govt. Lower Primary School Masagapura 303 14 155 237 386 308
Govt. Lower Primary School 146 18 397 365 215 370
Moodahallicolony
Govt. Lower Primary School 57 15 185 261 87 226
Moodalahosahalli
Govt. Lower Primary School Mukanapalya 89 5 165 277 266 355
Govt. Lower Primary School Nagavalli 339 6 289 373 445 438
Govt. Lower Primary School Puthanapura 50 54 211 340 42 249
Govt. Lower Primary School 180 47 254 288 253 315
Ramasamudra
Govt. Lower Primary School Sanegala 196 20 50 50 56 -21
Govt. Lower Primary School 156 16 157 222 213 243
Thavarekattemole
Govt. Lower Primary School Vaddarahalli 143 13 191 281 192 275
Govt. Lower Primary School Vadgalpura 139 29 200 269 258 321
Govt. Lower Primary School 104 22 353 391 116 327
Vadgalpuradahundi
Govt. Lower Primary School Veeranapura 46 26 342 449 128 402
Govt. Lower Primary School Yadapura 70 16 132 67 94 94
Govt. Lower Primary School Yadiyuru 220 3 300 382 257 363
Govt. Lower Primary School Yanagumba 251 13 311 392 301 388
Govt. Lower Primary School, Ambedkar 196 26 254 309 253 320

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 Badavane Ramasamudra
Govt. Lower Primary School, 196 26 368 288 418 447
Bhagirathanagara
Govt. Model Higher Primary School 318 19 440 206 467 378
(North Wing) Uppara Street
Govt. Model Higher Primary School 182 19 603 558 208 494
(South Wing) Uppara Street
Govt. Model Higher Primary School (West 196 26 254 288 109 196
Wing) Uppara_1
Govt. Model Higher Primary School (West 196 26 254 288 316 355
Wing) Uppara_2
Govt. Model Higher Primary School, 196 26 322 177 253 244
Uppara ST (West Wing) Chamarajanagar
Govt. Pu College (East) 554 26 254 288 253 120
Venkatayyanachathra
Govt. Pu College (East) 196 5 214 208 417 377
Venkatayyanachathra_1
Govt. Pu College (East) 196 6 188 190 286 261
Venkatayyanachathra_2
Govt. Tamil Higher Primary School (West 196 26 254 70 411 289
Wing)
Govt. Tamil Higher Primary School 518 33 229 288 465 298
Chamarajanagar
Govt. Tamil Higher Primary School 91 66 242 190 157 223
Chikkahole
Govt. Tamil Higher Primary School, 196 26 254 39 253 148
Chamarajanagar
Govt. Upgraded Higher Primary School 197 30 311 177 458 399
(Room No.03) (South) Mangala
Govt. Upgraded Higher Primary School 213 11 404 501 230 434
Handrakalli
Govt. Upgraded Higher Primary School 191 11 495 554 226 488
Yalakkuru
Govt. Urdu Boy'S Higher Primary School 196 26 189 288 253 299
Govt. Urdu Boy'S Higher Primary School 196 26 254 288 59 158
(Behind
Govt. Urdu Boys Lower Primary School 108 84 254 288 253 352
Haradanahalli
Govt. Urdu Boyslower Primary School 196 26 254 309 320 371
Govt. Urdu Girls Higher Primary School 556 140 97 288 253 99
(New Building) Chamarajanagar
Govt. Urdu Girls Higher Primary School 196 26 254 39 575 395
(New Building) Chamarajanagar_1
Govt. Urdu Girls Higher Primary School 196 26 254 48 471 321
(New Building) Chamarajanagar_2

35 | P a g e
 Govt. Urdu Girls Higher Primary School 91 52 438 420 112 360
Chamarajanagar
Govt. Urdu Higher Primary School (Mekka 196 26 254 288 390 412
Mohalla)
Govt. Urdu Higher Primary School Beedi 771 2 254 288 253 7
Workers
Govt. Urdu Higher Primary School Beedi 196 26 254 288 809 733
Workers_1
Govt. Urdu Higher Primary School Beedi 196 26 254 288 696 646
Workers_2
Govt. Urdu Higher Primary School Beedi 196 21 254 288 862 774
Workerscolony Galipura
Govt. Urdu Higher Primary School Beedi 196 26 44 40 253 123
Workerscolony Galipura_1
Govt. Urdu Higher Primary School Beedi 196 26 82 50 253 134
Workerscolony Galipura_2
Govt. Urdu Lower Primary School 196 26 254 288 80 174
Haradanahalli
Govt. Urdu Lower Primary School 196 26 284 288 253 310
Haradanahalli_1
Govt. Urdu Lower Primary School 196 26 280 288 253 310
Haradanahalli_2
Govt. Urdu Model Higher Primary School 266 13 253 241 463 401
Near Masjid,
Govt. Urdu School, Beedi Workers Colony 196 26 254 19 253 135
Galipura
Govt. Women'S First Grade College 196 26 254 288 210 274
(Room No 2) Double
Roadchamarajanagar
Govt. Women'S First Grade College 196 26 254 288 162 237
(Roomno 11) Double Road
Grama Panchayath Building Aluru 37 14 188 98 132 167
Grama Panchayath Building Nagavalli 443 85 478 271 472 362
Grama Panchayath Office Amachavadi 110 11 220 391 141 327
Grama Panchayath Office Building 196 26 438 674 253 575
Haradanahalli
Grama Panchayath Office Haradanahalli 330 21 254 288 253 237
Grama Panchayath Office Udigala 196 26 412 505 221 440
Grama Panchayathbuilding 325 14 400 274 443 394
Jyothigowdanapura
Kannada Sahithya Parishath Near Subjail 250 24 224 208 532 438
Rathada Beedi
Kuvempu Century Model Govt. Higher 462 17 185 103 308 84
Primary School Megalahundi
Nagarasabhe Office 45 21 208 230 59 194

36 | P a g e
 Nearchamarajeshwara
Office of the Asst. Director of Animal 100 67 254 288 253 356
Husbandary, Double Road,
Chamarajanagar
Pete Govt. Higher Primary School (North 170 36 359 361 138 291
Wing)
Pete Higher Primary School (North Wing) 143 18 321 156 276 276
Chamarajanagar
Pete Higher Primary School (South Wing) 69 9 463 490 149 448
Chamarajanagar
Prathamika Krushi Pattina 196 26 254 288 158 234
Sahakarasangha Niyamita
Sakshara Suvarna Samanya 196 34 403 209 640 571
Shikshanamunduvarike
Silk Filature Office (New Building) 323 56 291 113 369 222
Santhemarahalli
St Govt. Ashrama School, Punajanuru, 196 26 32 73 315 190
Muneshwara Colony
St Joseph Nursery School Double 265 32 295 360 420 450
Roadchamarajanagar
Sub-Division Forest Office Social 188 54 274 233 275 295
Forestdivision Sulthan
Urban Area Govt. Higher School 54 71 254 288 253 380
Chamarajanagar
Urban Area Govt. Lower Primary School 196 26 374 334 49 194
Chamarajanagara
Urdu Girls Lower Primary School (West) 266 56 254 406 253 345
Haradanahalli
Urdu Govt. Higher Primary School 36 19 254 194 253 330
(Behind Shikshara Bhavan)
Chamarajanagar
Women Welfare Centre Social Welfare 392 26 254 288 253 204
Dept. K.P Mohalla Harijanabeedi
Chamarajanagar

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 6 SWING ANALYSIS
Swing analysis examines the shift in voters' preferences from BJP to INC or from INC to BJP.
2019 Parliamentary Elections Swing

2019 PARLIAMENTARY (swing in favor of BJP)

Votes Of Winner
(BJP) Votes Of Runners (INC) VOTE MARGIN

Before Swing 76099 66418 9681

After 5% Swing 79904 63097 16806

After 10%Swing 83709 59776 23933

2019 PARLIAMENTARY (swing in favor of INC)

Votes Of Winner (BJP) Votes Of Runners (INC) VOTE MARGIN

Before Swing 76099 66418 9681

After 5% Swing 72294 69739 2555

After 10%Swing
68489 73060 -4571

38 | P a g e
 10% SWING IN 2019 FAVOR OF BJP
Winner Winner Runner Runner DIFF new new DIFF AFTER
Party Party Party Party BEFORE winners runners
Polling Station SWING
Name Votes Name Votes SWING vote vote

Govt. Higher Primary School

(West Wing)
BJP 226 INC 246
Madapura
-20 249 221 27

Govt. Lower Primary School

Mangaladahosuru BJP 158 INC 189

-31 174 170 4

Govt. Higher Primary BJP 253 INC 272

School Boodithittu -19 278 245 34

St Joseph Nursery School Double

Roadchamarajanagar BJP 345 INC 420

-75 380 378 2

Pete Higher Primary School

(North Wing)
BJP 272 INC 276
Chamarajanagar
-4 299 248 51

Govt. Girls Higher Primary School

(North
BJP 437 INC 529
Wing) Ramasamudra
-92 481 476 5

Anganawadi Building BJP 467 INC 536

Doddamole -69 514 482 31

Govt. Higher Primary BJP 381 INC 426

School (West) Kodimole -45 419 383 36

Govt. Higher Primary

School (Old Building) (West) BJP 190 INC 195

39 | P a g e
Dadadahally -5 209 176 34

Govt. Higher Primary BJP 306 INC 326

School Aralipura -20 337 293 43

Govt. Higher Primary

School (South) Hebbasuru BJP 315 INC 380

-65 347 342 5

Govt. Lower Primary School

(Kannada)
BJP 49 INC 54
Chikkaholecheckpost
-5 54 49 5

Govt. High School BJP 405 INC 480

(South) Haradanahalli -75 446 432 14

Govt. Lower Primary BJP 156 INC 159

School Lakshmipura -3 172 143 29

Govt. Higher Primary BJP 180 INC 191

School Narasamangala -11 198 172 26

Govt. Lower Primary BJP 243 INC 258

School Vadgalpura -15 267 232 35

40 | P a g e
 5%swing in 2019 favor BJP
Winne Winne Runne Runne Diff New New
Diff after 5%
Clean Name of r party r party r party r party before winner runners
swing swing
Polling Station name votes name votes s vote vote

Govt. Higher
Primary School
Bjp 226 Inc 246 -20 237.00 233.00 3
(West Wing)
Madapura

Govt. Higher
Primary School Bjp 253 Inc 272 -19 265.00 258.00 7
Boodithittu

Pete Higher Primary

School (North Wing) Bjp 272 Inc 276 -4 285.00 262.00 23
Chamarajanagar

Govt. Higher
Primary School (Old
Bjp 190 Inc 195 -5 199.00 185.00 14
Building) (West)
Dadadahally

Govt. Higher
Primary School Bjp 306 Inc 326 -20 321.00 309.00 11
Aralipura

Govt. Lower Primary

School (Kannada)
Bjp 49 Inc 54 -5 51.00 51.00 0
Chikkaholecheckpos
t

Govt. High School

Balavardhane Bjp 277 Inc 277 0 290.00 263.00 27
(South)

Govt. Lower Primary

Bjp 156 Inc 159 -3 163.00 151.00 12
School Lakshmipura

Govt. Higher
Primary School Bjp 180 Inc 191 -11 189.00 181.00 7
Narasamangala

Govt. Lower Primary

Bjp 243 Inc 258 -15 255.00 245.00 10
School Vadgalpura

41 | P a g e
42 | P a g e
 10% SWING IN 2019 FAVOR OF INC
new new
Winner Runnr Runner
Polling Station winners runners diff after 5%swing
Winner Votes Party Votes difference
vote vote

Govt. Higher Primary

School (New Building)

(West Wing) Bedarapura BJP 316 INC 302 14 300 317 -17

Govt. Higher Primary

School (East Wing)

Madapura BJP 333 INC 305 28 316 320 -4

Govt. Higher Primary

School Kiragasuru BJP 300 INC 299 1 285 314 -29

Govt. Lower Primary

School,

Bhagirathanagara BJP 456 INC 418 38 433 439 -6

Govt. Women'S First

Grade College (Room No
2) Double

Roadchamarajanagar
BJP 224 INC 210 14 213 221 -8

Govt. Higher Primary

School Doddamole BJP 497 INC 478 19 472 502 -30

Govt. Higher Primary

School (New Building)

Saragurumole BJP 401 INC 378 23 381 397 -16

Govt. Higher Primary

School Kagalavadi BJP 283 INC 262 21 269 275 -6

Govt. Girijana Ashrama

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School Rangasandra BJP 183 INC 168 15 174 176 -3

Govt. Lower Primary

School Mukanapalya BJP 294 INC 266 28 279 279 0

Govt. Higher Primary

School (Newbuilding) BJP 337 INC 327 10 320 343 -23

Govt. Tamil Higher

Primary School Chikkahole

BJP 166 INC 157 9 158 165 -7

Govt. High School

Balavardhane (South) BJP 277 INC 277 0 263 291 -28

Govt. Higher Primary

School (Room No 6)

(West) Amachavadi BJP 107 INC 104 3 102 109 -8

Govt. High School

(North) Yaraganahalli BJP 286 INC 279 7 272 293 -21

44 | P a g e
 5% SWING 2019 IN FAVOR OF INC
Winner Runner Runner New
Winner Party Diff before New winners runners
Party Party Party
swing Diff after
Votes Vote
Polling Station Name Name Votes Vote 10%swing

Govt. Higher Primary School

(New Building)

(West Wing) Bedarapura BJP 316 INC 302 14 284 332 -48

Govt. Higher Primary School

(East Wing)

Madapura BJP 333 INC 305 28 300 336 -36

Govt. Higher Primary

School Kiragasuru BJP 300 INC 299 1 270 329 -59

Govt. Lower Primary

School Mahanthalapura BJP 197 INC 164 33 177 180 -3

Govt. Higher Primary School

(Newbuilding-

South)Chennipuradamole BJP 430 INC 367 63 387 404 -17

Govt. Lower Primary

School, Bhagirathanagara BJP 456 INC 418 38 410 460 -49

Sub-Division Forest Office

Social Forestdivision

Sulthan BJP 317 INC 275 42 285 303 -17

Govt. Women'S First Grade

College (Room No 2) Double

Roadchamarajanagar

BJP 224 INC 210 14 202 231 -29

Govt. Model Higher Primary

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School (North

Wing) Uppara Street BJP 524 INC 467 57 472 514 -42

Govt. Girls Higher Primary

School (South

Wing) Ramasamudra_1 BJP 431 INC 376 55 388 414 -26

Govt. Higher Primary

School Doddamole BJP 497 INC 478 19 447 526 -78

Govt. Lower Primary

School K Mbasavanapura BJP 294 INC 248 46 265 273 -8

Govt. Higher Primary

School (East) Kodimole BJP 395 INC 342 53 356 376 -21

Govt. Higher Primary

School (New Building)

Saragurumole BJP 401 INC 378 23 361 416 -55

Govt. Higher Primary

School Kagalavadi BJP 283 INC 262 21 255 288 -34

Govt. Higher Primary

School Ammanapura BJP 262 INC 256 6 236 282 -46

Govt. Lower Primary

School Kalikambacolony BJP 139 INC 122 17 125 134 -9

Govt. Girijana Ashrama

School Rangasandra BJP 183 INC 168 15 165 185 -20

Govt. Lower Primary

School Mukanapalya BJP 294 INC 266 28 265 293 -28

Govt. Higher Primary

School (Newbuilding) BJP 337 INC 327 10 303 360 -56

Govt. Lower Primary

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School Bevinathalapura BJP 198 INC 177 21 178 195 -17

Govt. Higher Primary

School Bisalavadi BJP 534 INC 451 83 481 496 -16

Govt. High School

Balavardhane (South) BJP 277 INC 277 0 249 305 -55

Govt. Higher Primary School

(Room No 6)

(West) Amachavadi BJP 107 INC 104 3 96 114 -18

Govt. Higher Primary School

(South)

Yanagahalli BJP 456 INC 401 55 410 441 -31

Govt. High School (North)

Yaraganahalli BJP 286 INC 279 7 257 307 -50

Based on these observations, it appears that if there is a swing of 10% in favor of BJP they are highly likely
to win the 2023 parliamentary elections with a significant margin. On the other hand, if there is a swing of
10% in favor of INC, the BJP could potentially face a tough competition from the opposition party, but they
are still likely to hold their position as the leading party in the parliamentary elections.

47 | P a g e
1.1 2018 Assembly elections swing

2018 ASSEMBLY(swing in favor of BJP)

Votes of Votes of VOTE

Column1 Winner(INC) Runners(BJP) MARGIN

Before swing 75404 70503 4901

After 5%

Swing 71634 74028 -2394

After

10%swing 67864 77553 -9690

2018 ASSEMBLY(swing in favor of INC)

Votes of Votes of VOTE

Column1 Winner(INC) Runners(BJP) MARGIN

Before swing 75404 70503 4901

After 5%

Swing 79174 66978 12196

After
82944
10%swing 63453 19492

48 | P a g e
 10% SWING 2018 IN FAVOR OF BJP

new diff after

Winner Winner Runner Runner diff new new the 10%
Party Party Party Party before winners runners
Polling Station swing
Name Votes Name Votes swing vote vote

Govt. Higher Primary School

(East Wing)
INC 326 BJP 314
Madapura 12 293 345 -52

Govt. Lower Primary

INC 191 BJP 180
School Mahanthalapura 11 172 198 -26

Govt. Higher Primary INC 341 BJP 335

School (East) Koodluru 6 307 369 -62

St Joseph Nursery School

Double Roadchamarajanagar INC 437 BJP 360

77 393 396 -3

Govt. Girl'S Higher Primary

School (South)
INC 513 BJP 466
Ramasamudra 47 462 513 -51

Govt. Higher Primary School

(West)
INC 269 BJP 230
Karinanjanapura 39 242 253 -11

Govt. Higher Primary

INC 419 BJP 391
School (North) Hebbasuru 28 377 430 -53

Govt. Higher Primary School

Kumbheshwaracolony INC 158 BJP 152

6 142 167 -25

Govt. Girijana Ashrama

INC 170 BJP 169
School Rangasandra 1 153 186 -33

Govt. Higher Primary

INC 365 BJP 310
School Punajanur 55 329 341 -13

Govt. Higher Primary School

(Room No 6)
INC 123 BJP 102
(West) Amachavadi 21 111 112 -2
49Primary
Govt. Lower |Page
INC 306 BJP 269
School Vadgalpura 37 275 296 -21
50 | P a g e
 5% SWING IN 2018 FAVOR OF BJP
Winner Winner Runner Runner diff new new

Party Party Party Party before winners runners diff after

Name Votes Name Votes swing vote vote 5%swing
Polling Station

Govt. Higher Primary

School (East Wing)

Madapura
INC 326 BJP 314 12 310 330 -20

Govt. Lower Primary

School Mahanthalapura INC 191 BJP 180 11 181 189 -8

Govt. Higher Primary

School (East) Koodluru INC 341 BJP 335 6 324 352 -28

Govt. Girl'S Higher Primary

School (South)

Ramasamudra
INC 513 BJP 466 47 487 489 -2

Govt. Higher Primary

School (North) Hebbasuru INC 419 BJP 391 28 398 411 -13

Govt. Higher Primary School

Kumbheshwaracolony

INC 158 BJP 152 6 150 160 -10

Govt. Girijana Ashrama

School Rangasandra INC 170 BJP 169 1 162 177 -16

51 | P a g e
 10% SWING IN 2018 FAVOR OF INC
Winner Runner Runner diff new new
Party Name Party Party before
Winner Party winners runners
Polling Station Name Votes swing
Votes vote vote
diff after
swing

Govt. Higher Primary INC 334 BJP 378

School (East) Nagavalli_2 -44 367 340 27

Govt. Higher Primary INC 285 BJP 348

School Bendaravadi -63 314 313 0

Govt. Higher Primary

School (North) Heggothara INC 280 BJP 281

-1 308 253 55

Govt. Lower Primary INC 348 BJP 409

School Kadahalli -61 383 368 15

Govt. Higher Primary

School (West Wing) Madapura INC 216 BJP 220

-4 238 198 40

Govt. Higher Primary INC 308 BJP 320

52 | P a g e
School Kiragasuru -12 339 288 51

Govt. Higher Primary

School Pwd Colony (East Wing) INC 214 BJP 243

Chamarajanagar
-29 235 219 17

Govt. Higher Primary

School (New Building) Chandakavadi INC 362 BJP 426

-64 398 383 15

Govt. Lower Primary INC 256 BJP 277

School Mukanapalya -21 282 249 32

Govt. Higher Primary

School (North) Basavapura INC 298 BJP 337

-39 328 303 25

Govt. High School INC 297 BJP 325

(North) Yaraganahalli -28 327 293 34

Govt. Higher Primary INC 401 BJP 464

School Madalavadi -63 441 418 24

53 | P a g e
 5% SWING IN 2018 FAVOR OF INC
Runner Runner diff before new new runners
Party Party swing winners vote
Winner Party Winner Name Votes vote diff after 5%
Name Party Votes swing
Polling Station

Govt. Higher

Primary School
(North) Heggothara
INC 280 BJP 281 -1 294 267 27

Govt. Higher

Primary School
(West Wing)
Madapura
INC 216 BJP 220 -4 227 209 18

Govt. Higher

Primary School
Kiragasuru
INC 308 BJP 320 -12 323 304 19

Asst Director of

Sericulture Office,
Behind Old Taluk
Office (North)

54 | P a g e
 INC 194 BJP 205 -11 204 195 9

Govt. Lower

Primary School
Mukanapalya
INC 256 BJP 277 -21 269 263 6

Govt. High School

(North)
Yaraganahalli
INC 297 BJP 325 -28 312 309 3

Based on these observations, it appears that if there is a swing of 10% in favor of BJP,
they are highly likely to win the 2023 assembly elections with a significant margin. On
the other hand, if there is a swing of 10% in favor of INC, the BJP could potentially
lose the assembly elections to the opposition party.
If there is a swing of 5% in favor of BJP, they are likely to hold their position as the
leading party in the assembly elections, but the margin of victory may not be as high
as in the case of a 10% swing. Similarly, if there is a swing of 5% in favor of INC, the
BJP could potentially face a tough competition from the opposition party in the
assembly elections.

55 | P a g e
7 NETWORK GRAPH- FOR EFFECTIVE CAMPAIGN (first
100 rules)

Campaign Network Algorithm

This is based on machine learning algorithm wherein we are trying to predict
the campaign influencing factor. For example, if campaign is done in specific
place a, which are all the other places it will have an impact. This is done for
one booth only on pilot basis. In case if the party requires more booths, that
can be worked out and given for effective campaign management. By this way,
the BJP party can combine deep focus booths and also manage the booths in
focus booths in one shot, thereby the time of campaign will get saved and also
ensure that more votes are canvassed by effective use of time.

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57 | P a g e
58 | P a g e
According to the rule with antecedent 'Community Hall Big Adikrnataka Road,
Ramasamudra' and consequent 'Anganavadi Kendra-3 Room No. 5 Galipura'
has a lift value of 5.0, which means that the presence of one location in an area
increases the campaigning effort of the other location being present by 5
times.This information can be used by campaign managers to identify areas
where their message is likely to resonate better.

A strong association between 'Asst Director of Sericulture Office, Behind Old

DFO Office, Chamarajanagar' and 'Assistant Director Veterinary Hospital
Double Road Chamarajanagar', which indicates that voters who live near the
former are also likely to live near the latter.

According to the rule with antecedent 'Forest Guest House Bedaguli' and
consequent 'Govt. Composite High School (North) Nanjedevanapura' has a
support value of only 0.1, which means that this combination of locations is
not very common among the voters.

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High lift booths and Low lift booths:--
The analysis is focusing on identifying booths that may have a higher or lower
voter turnout due to factors such as the number of voters assigned to the
booth and the availability of resources such as voting machines and poll
workers.

Potentially, this can be used to target campaign efforts or allocate resources

more efficiently during elections.

For example: -
Consider first row of data

frozenset({'Anganavadi Kendra-3 Room No. 5 Galipura'}), frozenset({'Forest

Guest House Bedaguli'}),
frozenset({'Govt. Composite High School (North) Nanjedevanapura'}),
frozenset({'Govt. Composite High School (South) Nanjedevanapura'}),
frozenset({'Govt. Higher Primary School (East) Nagavalli'}),
frozenset({'Govt. Higher Primary School (East) Room No. 2 Kotthalavadi'}),
frozenset({'Govt. Higher Primary School (North) Room No. 1 Kalanahundi'}),
frozenset({'Govt. Higher Primary School (North) Uttuvalli'})

According to the voter’s perspective, Forest Guest House Bedaguli has less number
of voting machines than Anganavadi Kendra.In this situation voters likely go to
Anganavadi which will not be time consuming for them. so, the campaigning
manager can focus on Top 3 booths.

60 | P a g e
 8 TEAM MEMBERS
 Dr.S.Jayaprakash, PhD
 Rohit Ahirrao
 Umesh Pal
 Siddharth Gupta
 Mohit khade
 Pranav Nigam
 Md. Nashat Ali
 Hitansh Lakkad
 Aniket Shukla
 Ayushi Pandey
 Lalita Sri
 Aakash S
 Gokul G
 Sujitha Reddy
 Vikash
 Narsimha
 Krishna Sai
 Amarjit Dhal

&

Ranganath, CEO, Hunnarvi Technologies

Disclaimer: Utmost care has been taken to consolidate, classify and analyse data.
Regret for any manual small errors. Suggestions are unbiased and based on objective
analysis.

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