Capital Budgeting Techniques PDF
Capital Budgeting Techniques PDF
Capital Budgeting Techniques PDF
Introduction
➢ If the payback period is less than the maximum acceptable payback period,
accept the project.
➢ If the payback period is greater than the maximum acceptable payback
period, reject the project.
Example:
We can calculate the payback period for Bennett Company’s projects A and B using the
data in Table 9.1. For project A, the payback period is 3.0 years ($42,000 initial
investment ÷ $14, 000 cash inflow). Because project B generates a mixed stream of cash
inflows, the payback period is not as clear-cut. By the end of year 2, $ 40,00 cash inflow
will have been recovered. At the end of year 3, $50, 000 will have been recovered. Only
50% of the year 3 cash inflow is needed to complete the payback of the initial $45, 000
dollars. The payback period for project B is 2.5 years. So, if Bennett’s maximum
acceptable payback period were 2.75 years, project A would be rejected and project B
would be accepted.
Pros and Cons of Payback Period
The pay back period is widely used by large firms to evaluate small projects and by small
firms to evaluate most projects. This technique has several advantages. Firstly, it
provides a straightforward and easy-to-understand measure of investment risk, helping
businesses assess the liquidity and cash flow characteristics of a project. It also
promotes a focus on short-term profitability, which can be particularly useful for
businesses with limited liquidity or those operating in rapidly changing industries where
quick returns are essential. Additionally, it aids in setting investment time horizons,
thereby assisting in aligning investment decisions with the company’s overall financial
strategy.
However, the payback period method also has notable limitations. The major weakness
of the payback period is that the appropriate payback period is merely a subjectively
determined number. It cannot be specified in light of the wealth maximization goal
because it is not based on discounting cash flows to determine whether they add to the
firm’s value. A second weakness is that this approach fails to take fully into account the
time factor in the value of money.
Example:
A third weakness of payback period is its failure to recognize cash flows that occur
after the payback period.
Example:
The payback period for project X is 2 years; for project Y is 3 years. Payback approach
suggests that project X is preferable to project Y. However, if we look beyond the
payback period, we see that project X returns only an additional $1,200, whereas
project Y returns an additional $7,000. On the basis of this information, project Y
appears preferable to X.
Net Present Value (NVP) considers the time value of money. It is considered a
sophisticated capital budgeting technique. All such techniques in one way or another
discount the firm’s cash flows at a specified rate. This rate—often called the discount
rate, required return, cost of capital, or opportunity cost—is the minimum return that
must be earned on a project leave the firm’s market value unchanged. It considers the
time value of money by discounting future cash flows back to their present value using
a specified discount rate. A positive NVP indicates that the investment is expected to
generate returns higher than the discount rate and is, therefore, profitable. On the other
hand, a negative NVP suggests that the investment may not meet the desired rate of
return and may not be financially viable.
The Net Present Value (NVP) is found by subtracting a project’s initial investment
(CFo) from the present value of its cash inflows (Cft) discounted at a rate equal to the
firm’s cost capital (k).
When NVP is used, both inflows and outflows are measured in terms of present
dollars. Because we are dealing only with investments that have conventional cash
flow patterns, the initial investment is automatically stated in terms of today’s dollars.
If it were not, the present value of a project would be found by subtracting the present
value of outflows from the present value of inflows.
The Decision Criteria:
Spreadsheet Use- The NVPs can be calculated as shown on the following Excel
spreadsheet.
➢ If the IRR is greater than the cost of capital, accept the project.
➢ If the IRR is less than the cost of capital, reject the project.
The actual calculation by hand of the IRR is no easy chore. It involves complex trial
and error technique. Fortunately, many financial calculators have a preprogrammed
IRR function that can be used to simplify the IRR calculation. Computer software,
including spreadsheet, is also available for simplifying these calculations.
Figure 9.3 uses time lines to depict the framework for finding the IRRs for Benett’s
projects A and B., both of which have conventional cash flow patterns. It can be seen in
the figure that the IRR is the unknown discount rate that causes the NPV just to equal
$0.
Calculator Use- To find the IRR using preprogrammed function in a financial calculator,
the key strokes for each project are the same as shown for the NPV calculation, except
that the last two NVP keystrokes are replaced by a single IRR keystroke.
Spreadsheet Use- The internal rate of return also can be calculated as shown on the
Excel spreadsheet below.
It is interesting to note that the IRR suggests that project B, which has an IRR of 21.7
%, is preferable to project A, which has an IRR of 19.9 %.
Comparing NPV and IRR Techniques
Net Present Value (NPV) and Internal Rate Return (IRR) are both crucial capital
budgeting techniques used to evaluate the viability of investment projects. NPV
calculates the present value of expected cash flows by discounting them at a specified
rate, whereas IRR determines the discount rate that equates present value of cash
inflows with the initial investment. While NPV provides the net monetary value of an
investment, IRR offers the percentage return generated by the investment. NPV is
preferred when comparing mutually exclusive projects, considering varying cash flow
patterns, while IRR is more suitable for assessing the profitability of potential
investments and identifying the optimal rate of return.
IV. How to Address the Challenges and Criticisms of Capital Budgeting Techniques
1. Sensitivity Analysis: Conduct sensitivity analyses to assess the impact of
changing variables on the investment outcome, providing insights into the
potential risks and uncertainties associated with the project.
2. Incorporating Qualitative Factors: Integrate qualitative considerations such as
environmental impact, social implications, and managerial flexibility into the
evaluation process.
3. Scenario Planning: Utilize scenario planning to anticipate and prepare for various
future possibilities, enabling a more robust evaluation of the project’s resilience
under different economic, market and regulatory conditions.
4. Dynamic Discounting: Implement dynamic discounting techniques that account
for varying risk profiles and cash flow patterns.
5. Continuous Education and Training: Provide continual education and training
for managers and decision makers to enhance their understanding of capital
budgeting techniques.
V. Conclusion:
Financial managers must apply appropriate decision techniques to assess whether
the project creates value for stakeholders. Net present value (NPV) and internal rate
return (IRR) are the generally preferred capital budgeting techniques. Both use the cost
capital as the required return needed to compensate share-holders for undertaking
projects with the same risk as that of the firm. The appeal of NPV and IRR stems from
the fact that both indicate whether a proposed investment creates or destroys
shareholder value.