Solución

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x q'x(1) q'x(2) q'x(3) px(t) qx(t) = 1- px(t) qx(1) qx(2) qx(3) qx(t) = suma( qx(i) ) lx(t) dx(1) dx(2)

) = suma( qx(i) ) lx(t) dx(1) dx(2) dx(3)


18 0.00043 0.00051 0.27600 0.72332 0.27668 0.86179 0.86182 0.99953 0.00407 1,000,000 861,792 861,825 999,531
19 0.00046 0.00051 0.26700 0.73229 0.26771 0.86629 0.86631 0.99952 0.00433 723,320 626,605 626,620 722,970
20 0.00049 0.00051 0.25800 0.74126 0.25874 0.87079 0.87080 0.99950 0.00462 529,680 461,239 461,244 529,415
21 0.00053 0.00051 0.25200 0.74722 0.25278 0.87379 0.87378 0.99948 0.00488 392,629 343,074 343,071 392,424
22 0.00058 0.00051 0.24600 0.75318 0.24682 0.87679 0.87676 0.99945 0.00519 293,381 257,232 257,224 293,220
23 0.00063 0.00052 0.24000 0.75913 0.24087 0.87978 0.87974 0.99943 0.00552 220,967 194,403 194,393 220,841
24 0.00069 0.00052 0.23400 0.76508 0.23492 0.88278 0.88271 0.99940 0.00591 167,743 148,080 148,068 167,642
25 0.00076 0.00052 0.23000 0.76902 0.23098 0.88478 0.88468 0.99936 0.00629 128,336 113,549 113,536 128,254
26 0.00083 0.00052 0.22800 0.77096 0.22904 0.88578 0.88565 0.99932 0.00660 98,692 87,420 87,407 98,626
27 0.00090 0.00052 0.22600 0.77290 0.22710 0.88678 0.88662 0.99929 0.00694 76,088 67,473 67,461 76,033
28 0.00097 0.00053 0.22500 0.77384 0.22616 0.88728 0.88709 0.99925 0.00724 58,808 52,179 52,168 58,764
29 0.00106 0.00053 0.21000 0.78874 0.21126 0.89477 0.89454 0.99920 0.00825 45,508 40,719 40,709 45,472
30 0.00114 0.00054 0.19000 0.80864 0.19136 0.90476 0.90450 0.99916 0.00969 35,894 32,476 32,466 35,864
31 0.00123 0.00055 0.16500 0.83352 0.16648 0.91726 0.91695 0.99911 0.01195 29,025 26,624 26,615 29,000
32 0.00132 0.00055 0.15000 0.84841 0.15159 0.92475 0.92441 0.99906 0.01390 24,193 22,373 22,364 24,170
33 0.00141 0.00056 0.13600 0.86230 0.13770 0.93174 0.93136 0.99901 0.01619 20,526 19,125 19,117 20,505
34 0.00151 0.00057 0.12500 0.87318 0.12682 0.93724 0.93681 0.99896 0.01860 17,699 16,588 16,581 17,681
35 0.00161 0.00058 0.11600 0.88206 0.11794 0.94173 0.94126 0.99890 0.02112 15,455 14,554 14,547 15,438
36 0.00172 0.00060 0.11000 0.88794 0.11206 0.94472 0.94420 0.99884 0.02349 13,632 12,878 12,871 13,616
37 0.00183 0.00062 0.10200 0.89580 0.10420 0.94871 0.94815 0.99878 0.02675 12,104 11,483 11,477 12,089
38 0.00194 0.00064 0.09700 0.90067 0.09933 0.95120 0.95059 0.99871 0.02962 10,843 10,314 10,307 10,829
39 0.00206 0.00067 0.08900 0.90851 0.09149 0.95518 0.95453 0.99864 0.03417 9,766 9,328 9,322 9,753
40 0.00219 0.00070 0.08400 0.91335 0.08665 0.95767 0.95697 0.99855 0.03834 8,873 8,497 8,491 8,860
41 0.00232 0.00074 0.07900 0.91818 0.08182 0.96015 0.95940 0.99847 0.04313 8,104 7,781 7,775 8,091
42 0.00245 0.00078 0.07300 0.92400 0.07600 0.96313 0.96233 0.99838 0.04935 7,441 7,166 7,160 7,429
43 0.00261 0.00083 0.06900 0.92780 0.07220 0.96510 0.96426 0.99828 0.05545 6,875 6,635 6,629 6,863
44 0.00276 0.00089 0.06300 0.93359 0.06641 0.96808 0.96718 0.99818 0.06426 6,379 6,175 6,169 6,367
45 0.00293 0.00094 0.05900 0.93736 0.06264 0.97005 0.96909 0.99806 0.07269 5,955 5,777 5,771 5,944
46 0.00311 0.00101 0.05300 0.94311 0.05689 0.97301 0.97200 0.99794 0.08559 5,582 5,432 5,426 5,571
47 0.00330 0.00108 0.04600 0.94983 0.05017 0.97648 0.97540 0.99781 0.10394 5,265 5,141 5,135 5,253
48 0.00351 0.00115 0.04000 0.95553 0.04447 0.97944 0.97829 0.99767 0.12577 5,000 4,898 4,892 4,989
49 0.00374 0.00124 0.03300 0.96219 0.03781 0.98290 0.98167 0.99751 0.15907 4,778 4,696 4,690 4,766
50 0.00399 0.00133 0.02700 0.96783 0.03217 0.98585 0.98454 0.99734 0.20125 4,597 4,532 4,526 4,585
51 0.00426 0.00144 0.02100 0.97343 0.02657 0.98879 0.98740 0.99715 0.26278 4,450 4,400 4,393 4,437
52 0.00456 0.00156 0.01500 0.97898 0.02102 0.99173 0.99024 0.99694 0.35930 4,331 4,295 4,289 4,318
53 0.00489 0.00170 0.01100 0.98249 0.01751 0.99366 0.99207 0.99671 0.46696 4,240 4,213 4,207 4,226
54 0.00525 0.00185 0.01000 0.98298 0.01702 0.99408 0.99239 0.99645 0.51946 4,166 4,141 4,134 4,151
55 0.00556 0.00203 0.00500 0.98746 0.01254 0.99649 0.99473 0.99621 0.76053 4,095 4,081 4,074 4,080
56 0.00609 0.00223 0.00300 0.98872 0.01128 0.99739 0.99546 0.99584 0.92884 4,044 4,033 4,025 4,027
57 0.00658 0.00247 0.00100 0.98998 0.01002 0.99827 0.99621 0.99548 1.14281 3,998 3,991 3,983 3,980
58 0.00712 0.00275 0.00000 0.99015 0.00985 0.99862 0.99644 0.99507 1.27497 3,958 3,953 3,944 3,939
59 0.00772 0.00310 0.00000 0.98921 0.01079 0.99845 0.99614 0.99460 1.28195 3,919 3,913 3,904 3,898
60 0.00839 0.00351 0.00000 0.98813 0.01187 0.99824 0.99581 0.99406 1.29034 3,877 3,870 3,861 3,854
61 0.00912 0.00402 0.00000 0.98690 0.01310 0.99799 0.99544 0.99344 1.30065 3,831 3,823 3,813 3,806
62 0.00994 0.00464 0.00000 0.98546 0.01454 0.99768 0.99503 0.99272 1.31233 3,781 3,772 3,762 3,753
63 0.01058 0.00540 0.00000 0.98408 0.01592 0.99730 0.99471 0.99203 1.33116 3,726 3,716 3,706 3,696
64 0.01186 0.00633 0.00000 0.98189 0.01811 0.99684 0.99407 0.99093 1.33995 3,666 3,655 3,645 3,633
65 0.01298 0.00745 0.00000 0.97967 0.02033 0.99628 0.99351 0.98982 1.35548 3,600 3,586 3,576 3,563
66 0.01422 0.00880 0.00000 0.97710 0.02290 0.99560 0.99289 0.98853 1.37187 3,527 3,511 3,502 3,486
67 0.01506 0.01043 0.00000 0.97466 0.02534 0.99478 0.99247 0.98731 1.39733 3,446 3,428 3,420 3,402
68 0.01713 0.00000 0.00000 0.98287 0.01713 1.00000 0.99144 0.99144 1.00000 3,359 3,359 3,330 3,330
69 0.01883 0.00000 0.00000 0.98117 0.01883 1.00000 0.99059 0.99059 1.00000 3,301 3,301 3,270 3,270
70 0.02071 0.00000 0.00000 0.97929 0.02071 1.00000 0.98965 0.98965 1.00000 3,239 3,239 3,205 3,205
71 0.02279 0.00000 0.00000 0.97721 0.02279 1.00000 0.98861 0.98861 1.00000 3,172 3,172 3,136 3,136
72 0.02510 0.00000 0.00000 0.97490 0.02510 1.00000 0.98745 0.98745 1.00000 3,100 3,100 3,061 3,061
73 0.02765 0.00000 0.00000 0.97235 0.02765 1.00000 0.98618 0.98618 1.00000 3,022 3,022 2,980 2,980
74 0.03048 0.00000 0.00000 0.96952 0.03048 1.00000 0.98476 0.98476 1.00000 2,938 2,938 2,893 2,893
75 0.03361 0.00000 0.00000 0.96639 0.03361 1.00000 0.98320 0.98320 1.00000 2,849 2,849 2,801 2,801
76 0.03707 0.00000 0.00000 0.96293 0.03707 1.00000 0.98147 0.98147 1.00000 2,753 2,753 2,702 2,702
77 0.04088 0.00000 0.00000 0.95912 0.04088 1.00000 0.97956 0.97956 1.00000 2,651 2,651 2,597 2,597
78 0.04509 0.00000 0.00000 0.95491 0.04509 1.00000 0.97746 0.97746 1.00000 2,542 2,542 2,485 2,485
79 0.04973 0.00000 0.00000 0.95027 0.04973 1.00000 0.97514 0.97514 1.00000 2,428 2,428 2,367 2,367
80 0.05484 0.00000 0.00000 0.94516 0.05484 1.00000 0.97258 0.97258 1.00000 2,307 2,307 2,244 2,244
81 0.06046 0.00000 0.00000 0.93954 0.06046 1.00000 0.96977 0.96977 1.00000 2,181 2,181 2,115 2,115
82 0.06664 0.00000 0.00000 0.93336 0.06664 1.00000 0.96668 0.96668 1.00000 2,049 2,049 1,980 1,980
83 0.07341 0.00000 0.00000 0.92659 0.07341 1.00000 0.96330 0.96330 1.00000 1,912 1,912 1,842 1,842
84 0.08083 0.00000 0.00000 0.91917 0.08083 1.00000 0.95959 0.95959 1.00000 1,772 1,772 1,700 1,700
85 0.08895 0.00000 0.00000 0.91105 0.08895 1.00000 0.95553 0.95553 1.00000 1,629 1,629 1,556 1,556
86 0.09781 0.00000 0.00000 0.90219 0.09781 1.00000 0.95110 0.95110 1.00000 1,484 1,484 1,411 1,411
87 0.10747 0.00000 0.00000 0.89253 0.10747 1.00000 0.94627 0.94627 1.00000 1,339 1,339 1,267 1,267
88 0.11789 0.00000 0.00000 0.88211 0.11789 1.00000 0.94106 0.94106 1.00000 1,195 1,195 1,124 1,124
89 0.12910 0.00000 0.00000 0.87090 0.12910 1.00000 0.93545 0.93545 1.00000 1,054 1,054 986 986
90 0.14114 0.00000 0.00000 0.85886 0.14114 1.00000 0.92943 0.92943 1.00000 918 918 853 853
91 0.15403 0.00000 0.00000 0.84597 0.15403 1.00000 0.92298 0.92298 1.00000 788 788 728 728
92 0.16780 0.00000 0.00000 0.83220 0.16780 1.00000 0.91610 0.91610 1.00000 667 667 611 611
93 0.18247 0.00000 0.00000 0.81753 0.18247 1.00000 0.90877 0.90877 1.00000 555 555 504 504
94 0.19806 0.00000 0.00000 0.80194 0.19806 1.00000 0.90097 0.90097 1.00000 454 454 409 409
95 0.21457 0.00000 0.00000 0.78543 0.21457 1.00000 0.89272 0.89272 1.00000 364 364 325 325
96 0.23201 0.00000 0.00000 0.76799 0.23201 1.00000 0.88400 0.88400 1.00000 286 286 253 253
97 0.25038 0.00000 0.00000 0.74962 0.25038 1.00000 0.87481 0.87481 1.00000 219 219 192 192
98 0.26966 0.00000 0.00000 0.73034 0.26966 1.00000 0.86517 0.86517 1.00000 165 165 142 142
99 0.28983 0.00000 0.00000 0.71017 0.28983 1.00000 0.85509 0.85509 1.00000 120 120 103 103
100 1.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 1.00000 1.00000 0.50000 0.50000 1.00000 85 85 43 43
Decremento Nombre
1 Muerte

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