Felicia Irene - Week 4
Felicia Irene - Week 4
Felicia Irene - Week 4
W E E K 4
FELICIA IRENE - 202250351
Answer
A L P O L
S C I C
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FELICIA IRENE
202250351
The Federal Budget
Congress begins its work on the budget with the president’s proposal. The
House of Representatives and the Senate develop their own budget ideas
in their respective House and Senate Budget Committees.
The Employment Act
of 1946
Fiscal policy operates within the framework of the
landmark Employment Act of 1946 in which
Congress declared that "… it is the continuing
policy and responsibility of the Federal
Government to use all practicable means … to
coordinate and utilize all its plans, functions, and
resources … to promote maximum employment,
production, and purchasing power."
The relationship between the tax rate and the amount of tax
revenue collected is called the Laffer curve.
The Supply -
Side Debate
Supplyside economics became tarnished because of its
association with Laffer and came to be called “voodoo
economics.” But mainstream economists, including
Martin Feldstein, a Harvard professor who was Reagan’s
chief economic adviser, recognized the power of tax cuts
as incentives but took the standard view that tax cuts
without spending cuts would swell the budget deficit
and bring further serious problems.
Generational Accounting
and Present Value
Income taxes and Social Security taxes are paid
by people who have jobs. Social Security
benefits are paid to people after they retire. So
to compare taxes and benefits, we must
compare the value of taxes paid by people
during their working years with the benefits
received in their retirement years.
The Social Security Time
Bomb
To assess the full extent of the government’s obligations,
economists use the concept of fiscal imbalance. Fiscal imbalance
is the present value of the government’s commitments to pay
benefits minus the present value of its tax revenues. Fiscal
imbalance is an attempt to measure the scale of the government’s
true liabilities. Gokhale and Smetters consider four alternatives.
They are : Raise income taxes, Raise Social Security taxes, Cut Social
Security benefits, and Cut federal government discretionary
spending.
e n e r a t i o n a l I m b a l a n ce
G
A fiscal imbalance must eventually be
corrected and when it is, people either pay
higher taxes or receive lower benefits. The
concept of generational imbalance tells us
who will pay. Generational imbalance is the
division of the fiscal imbalance between the
current and future generations, assuming
that the current generation will enjoy the
existing levels of taxes and benefits.
Fiscal Stimulus
Fiscal stimulus can be either automatic or discretionary. A
fiscal policy action that is triggered by the state of the
economy with no action by government is called automatic
fiscal policy.
A fiscal policy action initiated by an act of Congress is called
discretionary fiscal policy. It requires a change in a spending
program or in a tax law.
Automatic Changes in Tax
Revenues
The tax laws that Congress enacts don’t
legislate the number of tax dollars the
government will raise. Rather they define
the tax rates that people must pay
Needs Tested Spending
The government creates programs that
pay benefits to qualified people and
businesses. The spending on these
programs results in transfer payments
that depend on the economic state of
individual citizens and businesses.
Automatic Stimulus
Because government receipts fall and
outlays increase in a recession, the
budget pro vides automatic stimulus
that helps to shrink the recessionary gap.
Similarly, because receipts rise and
outlays decrease in a boom, the budget
provides automatic restraint to shrink an
inflationary gap.
Cyclical and Structural
Budget Balances
To identify the government budget deficit that
arises from the business cycle, we distinguish
between the structural surplus or deficit, which
is the budget balance that would occur if the
economy were at full employment, and the
cyclical surplus or deficit, which is the actual
surplus or deficit minus the structural surplus or
deficit.
Fiscal Stimulus and
Aggregate Demand
The government expenditure multiplier is the
quantitative effect of a change in government
expenditure on real GDP. Because government
expenditure is a component of aggregate expenditure,
an increase in government spending increases
aggregate expenditure and real GDP.
Fiscal Stimulus and
Aggregate Supply
An increase in government expenditure
financed by borrowing increases the demand
for loanable funds and raises the real interest
rate, which in turn decreases investment.
Magnitude of Stimulus
Economists have diverging views about the size of the government
spending and tax multipliers because there is insufficient empirical
evidence on which to pin their size with accuracy.
Time Lags
Discretionary fiscal stimulus actions are also seriously hampered
by three time lags : Recognition lag, Lawmaking lag, and Impact lag