Bodie Essentials of Investments 12e Chapter 16 PPT

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Chapter

Option Valuation
16
Bodie, Kane, and Marcus
Essentials of Investments
12th Edition
16.1 Option Valuation: Introduction

• Intrinsic Value
• Stock price minus exercise price, or profit that
could be attained by immediate exercise of in-
the-money call option
• Time Value
• Difference between option’s price and intrinsic
value

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16.1 Option Valuation: Introduction

• Determinants of Option Value


• Stock price
• Exercise price
• Volatility of price
• Time to expiration
• Interest rate
• Dividend rate

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Figure 16.1 Call Option Value before Expiration

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Table 16.1 Determinants of Call Option Values

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16.2 Binomial Option Pricing
• Two-State Option Pricing
• Assume stock price can take one of two values
• Increase by u = 1.2, or fall by d = .9

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16.2 Binomial Option Pricing
• Two-State Option Pricing
• Compare payoff to one share of stock,
borrowing of $81.82 10% interest

• Outlay is $18.18; payoff is three times call


option

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16.2 Binomial Option Pricing
• Two-State Option Pricing
• Portfolio of one share and three call options is
perfectly hedged

• Hedge ratio for two-state option

Cu  Cd
H
uS0  dS0

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16.2 Binomial Option Pricing
• Generalizing the Two-State Approach
• Break up year into two intervals

• Subdivide further using the same pattern

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Figure 16.2A Probability Distributions for Final Stock Price,
Three Subintervals

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Figure 16.2B Probability Distributions for Final Stock Price, Six
Subintervals

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Figure 16.2C Probability Distributions for Final Stock Price, 20
Subintervals

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16.3 Black-Scholes Option Valuation
• Black-Scholes Pricing Formula Inputs
• Let
• 𝐶0 = Current call option value
• 𝑆0 = Current stock price
• e = Base of natural log function, roughly 2.71828
• δ = Annual dividend yield of underlying stock
• N(di) = Probability of random draw < di
• X = Exercise price

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16.3 Black-Scholes Option Valuation

• Black-Scholes Pricing Formula Inputs


• Let
• r = Risk-free interest rate
• T = Time until expiration
• ln = Natural logarithm
• σ = Standard deviation of annualized continuously
compounded rate of return (RoR)

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16.3 Black-Scholes Option Valuation

• Black-Scholes Pricing Formula

C0  S0 e  T N (d1 )  Xe  rT N (d 2 )
where
ln( S0 / X )  (r     2 / 2)T
d1 
 T
d 2  d1   T

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Figure 16.3 Standard Normal Probability Function

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Spreadsheet 16.1 Black-Scholes Call Option Values

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16.3 Black-Scholes Option Valuation
• Implied volatility
• Standard deviation of stock returns consistent with
option’s market value

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Figure 16.5 Implied Volatility of S&P 500

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16.3 Black-Scholes Option Valuation

• Put-Call Parity Relationship


• Represents relationship between European put
and call prices:
C  P  S0  Xe  rT
• Extension for European call options on
dividend-paying stocks

P  C  S0  PV ( X )  PV (dividends)

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Figure 16.6 Payoff-Pattern of Long Call–Short Put Position

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Table 16.3 Arbitrage Strategy

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16.3 Black-Scholes Option Valuation

• Put Option Valuation


• Black-Sholes formula for European put option

 rT  T
P  Xe [1  N (d 2 )]  S0e [1  N (d1 )]

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16.4 Using the Black-Scholes Formula

• Hedge Ratios and Black-Scholes Formula


• Hedge ratio or delta
• Number of shares required to hedge price risk of
holding one option
• Option elasticity
• Percentage increase in option’s value given 1%
increase in value of underlying security

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Figure 16.7 Call Option Value and Hedge Ratio

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16.4 Using the Black-Scholes Formula

• Portfolio Insurance
• Portfolio strategies that limit investment losses
while maintaining upside potential
• Dynamic hedging
• Constant updating of hedge positions as market
conditions change

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Figure 16.8 Profit on Protective Put Strategy

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Figure 16.9 Hedge Ratios Change as Stock Price Fluctuates

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16.4 Using the Black-Scholes Formula
• Option Pricing and the Crisis of 2008-2009
• When banks buy debt with limited liability, they
implicitly write put option to borrower

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Figure 16.10 Risky Loan

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Figure 16.11 Value of Implicit Put Option on Loan Guarantee as
% of Face Value of Debt

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Figure 16.12 Implied Volatility

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