SSRN Id4201107
SSRN Id4201107
SSRN Id4201107
Corresponding Author:[email protected]
ABSTRACT
For a nation, economic growth is crucial since the amount of economic growth impacts people's standard of living and is
regarded as a good proxy for human progress. Corruption is one of the ideologies recognized to have an impact on a nation's
economic prosperity. Scholarly research on the subject of the various effects of corruption on economic performance is
examined in this study. As a case study, we've used India as an example. We used a correlation study to support our claims that
corruption has a detrimental impact on economic growth. Data on corruption perception (CPI), GDP, GDP growth rate, and
FDI have all been used in our analysis. It is thus an attempt to investigate the empirical link between corruption and economic
development.
I. INTRODUCTION
Corruption has been widely recognized for decades as a threat to democracy's integrity. It stifles economic progress
and weakens social cohesion in developing countries. According to Transparency International, "corruption is the abuse of
entrusted power for private gain." The World Bank defines corruption as "the misuse of public office." In other words,
Zakiuddin and Haque (2002) argue that corruption cannot be treated as a discrete and self-contained problem that must be dealt
with on its own. That's what they say. "There are numerous variables that go into corruption, including human behaviour and
many others that are difficult to detect or quantify."
In light of international initiatives like the OECD Anti-Bribery Convention, the UN Anti-Corruption Convention, the
Inter-American Convention Against Corruption (IACAC), the Organization of American States (OAS), and the Council of
Europe (CE), which place a heavy emphasis on international business, "corruption" may be treated as merely "bribery".
Corruption, on the other hand, is a more general term that includes acts of bribery. It's critical to remember that corruption is
more than just a money exchange or a backroom deal. It has a negative impact on the state's public, private, and individual
lives, and its culture, politics, and economy.Bribery is only one type of corruption. There are many forms of corruption in our
society.
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It's common in India for large numbers of people to evade taxes each year. As a result, the government suffers a
significant revenue shortfall. A report from the State of Tax Justice (2020) said that India lost $10.3 billion in taxes owing to
global tax abuse, which is 0.41 percent of the country's GDP. Multinational corporations (MNCs) lose more than $10 billion a
year in tax abuse, while private individuals lose $200 million a year in tax avoidance. As a result, 44.70 percent of the health
budget and 10.68 percent of the education budget have been squandered. Paying the salary of 4,230,656 nurses annually is also
an option. $11.3 billion, or 0.4 percent of India's GDP, constitutes 0.1 percent of the worldwide offshore wealth. Moreover, the
survey identifies Mauritius (23.6 percent), Singapore (17.2 percent), and the Netherlands (11.2 percent) as the three countries
most responsible for India's vulnerability to outward foreign direct investments. According to this report, corruption appears to
be wreaking havoc on the Indian economy.
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State-level corruption was more prevalent in the districts of Uttar Pradesh, Telangana, Rajasthan (Karnataka), Bihar,
Jharkhand, Punjab, and Tamil Nadu. Property registration and land issues emerged as the most major authorities where citizens
had to pay a bribe, with 26% of citizens voting in favour of it in an analysis of corruption in various authorities and
departments. Only 13 percent indicated they paid bribes to other officials, including the police and the municipal corporation
(13%), the energy board (3%), as well as the transportation office (8%), the tax department (9%), and the water department
(5%).
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There is widespread corruption in the legal system, particularly in the lower courts. Bribes are exchanged for
favorable court outcomes in some cases. The judiciary's effectiveness is harmed by widespread corruption and an already-
existing problem of resource constraints. Despite the massive backlog of cases, it takes far longer (1420 days on average) than
it should to enforce a contract in this region. Because businesses don't view the court system as a barrier, it has a negative
effect on the business climate because they don't see it as a necessity.
IV. METHODOLOGY
As a result of the existing literature, we plan to investigate the relationship between corruption and economic growth
in India in more detail. For this, we've used scatterplots and correlation to analyze the data. On the other hand, correlation is a
statistical measure of how closely two variables move with respect to one another. The correlation coefficient values will
represent the linearity of the relationship if it is found to be such. Even if the link is non-linear, a scatterplot is a useful tool for
capturing it. STATA, a statistical analysis programme, was used to conduct our empirical research.
For the years 1995–2019, we looked at statistics on India's perception of corruption via the Corruption Perception
Index (CPI), GDP, GDP growth, and foreign direct investment (FDI) in billions of dollars. Transparency International has
released the Corruption Perception Index (CPI) every year since 1995. Expert assessments and public opinion surveys establish
the index's rankings, which are based on countries' perceived levels of public sector corruption. GDP (in constant 2010 US
dollars), GDP Growth Rate (annual percentage), and Foreign Direct Investment (in billion dollars) are all calculated using
World Bank data.
Table 1: Coefficients between CPI and GDP, GDP Growth Rate, and FDI.
Variables Correlation Coefficient
GDP (at constant 2010 US$) 0.5243
GDP Growth Rate( annual % ) 0.0484
FDI 0.5038
V. ANALYSIS
The CPI and GDP (in constant 2010 US dollars) were found to have a positive relationship, correlation between them
was found to be 0.5243. They are moderately connected with each other. According to the study conducted, the CPI and GDP
growth rates in India are not shown to have a linear association. It is merely 0.0484 which means absence of a relationship
between them. CPI and FDI are also having moderately positive relationship between them. It's important to remember that as
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the CPI rises, so does the country's level of corruption. If India’s GDP and foreign direct investment (FDI) are expected to rise
then country's CPI will also expected to be on a higher side.
VI. CONCLUSION
Corruption, as discussed in the preceding section, has a detrimental effect on economic progress. Correlation studies
undertaken in India support this, as evidenced by the following:
The relationship between the CPI and GDP is moderately positive.
There is a moderate correlation between the CPI and foreign direct investment (FDI).
The CPI does not appear to have a significant linear association with the GDP growth rate.
It is very important to break the positive association between economic growth indicator and CPI. Transparent governance and
artificial intelligence can be used to curb the menace.
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