Perhitungan Estimasi Cadangan
Perhitungan Estimasi Cadangan
Perhitungan Estimasi Cadangan
6002.5
0
12000
0
25000
0
0
1400
25000
1700
33000
0
20000
0
1000
0
0
0
800
16000
3600
0
17000
0
800
0
5000
14000
0
0
11000
0
0
5857.65152
800
0
9175.07037
DATA (GAS)
MMB BPD
In_Gas
N x-ẋ (x-ẋ)^2 (x-ẋ)(y-ẏ) N
BCF (x)
1 57.9 -61.58 3791.57 -8919.15518825 1
2 30 -89.48 8005.91 524117.806933 2
3 450 330.52 109246.27 2030195.07966 3
4 94.5 -24.98 623.79 146299.2842057 4
5 175 55.52 3082.94 1062864.397842 5
6 0.5 -118.98 14155.23 696918.5266299 6
7 20 -99.48 9895.43 582694.3220845 7
8 610 490.52 240614.03 -2186586.13246 8
9 418 298.52 89116.72 5714455.07966 9
10 18.9 -100.58 10115.48 418158.9508724 10
11 478 358.52 128539.63 9731189.928145 11
12 17.8 -101.68 10337.96 595581.1554178 12
13 57 -62.48 3903.22 -883553.935491 13
14 2.2 -117.28 13753.60 686960.5190542 14
15 18.2 -101.28 10256.78 491962.337236 15
16 30 -89.48 8005.91 524117.806933 16
17 5.9 -113.58 12899.45 665287.2084481 17
18 3.9 -115.58 13357.76 677002.5114784 18
19 20 -99.48 9895.43 503113.7160239 19
20 256 136.52 18638.87 1384676.443297 20
21 100 -19.48 379.31 43969.47359963 21
22 4.8 -114.68 13150.53 671730.6251148 22
23 69 -50.48 2547.80 -562418.480946 23
24 65.4 -54.08 2924.19 316756.9432966 24
25 12.2 -107.28 11508.09 542563.3978421 25
26 11.4 -108.08 11680.37 633070.1251148 26
27 58.5 -60.98 3718.04 52295.95087236 27
28 779 659.52 434972.23 5370076.216024 28
29 0.1 -119.38 14250.57 699261.587236 29
30 1 -118.48 14036.51 693989.7008724 30
31 77 -42.48 1804.19 -218425.147612 31
32 0.5 -118.98 14155.23 696918.5266299 32
33 0 -119.48 14274.46 699847.3523875 33
∑ 3942.7 0.00 1257637.50 32996172.12 ∑
∑/N 119.476 ∑/N
ẋ 119.476 ẏ
STDEV 198.2452317 STDEVẏ
Varian 39301.17189 Varian
r 0.5668934352
R 0.32136816687
These above are the result of the r and R.
)
BPD
Peak_Gas
y-ẏ (y-ẏ)^2
MCFD (y)
6002.5 144.85 20981.08
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
12000 6142.35 37728444.91
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
25000 19142.35 366429505.52
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
1400 -4457.65 19870657.03
25000 19142.35 366429505.52
1700 -4157.65 17286066.12
33000 27142.35 736707081.27
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
20000 14142.35 200006020.67
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
1000 -4857.65 23596778.24
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
800 -5057.65 25579838.85
16000 10142.35 102867232.79
3600 -2257.65 5096990.36
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
17000 11142.35 124151929.76
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
800 -5057.65 25579838.85
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
5000 -857.65 735566.12
14000 8142.35 66297838.85
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
11000 5142.35 26443747.94
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
0 -5857.65 34312081.27
193302.5 0 2693821324.24
5857.65
5857.65
9175.0703748
84181916.383
DATA (OIL)
MMB BPD
In_Oil
N x-ẋ (x-ẋ)^2 (x-ẋ)(y-ẏ) N
MMB (x)
1 5 -10.48 109.74 18161.78916437 1
2 0.6 -14.88 221.29 26905.73764922 2
3 38.9 23.42 548.70 -16600.6896235 3
4 4.7 -10.78 116.12 17334.92855831 4
5 0 -15.48 239.50 27990.95583104 5
6 2 -13.48 181.60 23025.98613407 6
7 0.2 -15.28 233.35 26101.64067952 7
8 103.9 88.42 7818.85 -151090.235078 8
9 5.5 -9.98 99.52 16047.97098255 9
10 9 -6.48 41.94 11634.97401286 10
11 119.4 103.92 10800.25 1370896.174013 11
12 0.4 -15.08 227.28 27267.47704316 12
13 0 -15.48 239.50 27990.95583104 13
14 0.4 -15.08 227.28 0 14
15 13.1 -2.38 5.64 733.389164371 15
16 0 -15.48 239.50 27990.95583104 16
17 34.1 18.62 346.86 -33685.6108356 17
18 0.9 -14.58 212.45 26363.12855831 18
19 0 -15.48 239.50 27990.95583104 19
20 0.1 -15.38 236.41 26272.51037649 20
21 20.1 4.62 21.38 -7901.42901745 21
22 5.7 -9.78 95.57 17681.38310377 22
23 62 46.52 2164.51 1125482.04674 23
24 6.9 -8.58 73.54 15510.94674013 24
25 14.8 -0.68 0.46 -805.03204775 25
26 12.6 -2.88 8.27 5201.374012856 26
27 4.7 -10.78 116.12 18412.50431589 27
28 0 -15.48 239.50 27990.95583104 28
29 1 -14.48 209.55 26182.25886134 29
30 24.7 9.22 85.09 75558.56492195 30
31 10 -5.48 29.98 -1047.52901745 31
32 5 -10.48 109.74 18947.47098255 32
33 5 -10.48 109.74 18947.47098255 33
∑ 510.7 0.00 25648.70 2841493.98 ∑
∑/N 15.476 ∑/N
ẋ 15.476 ẏ
STDEV 28.311162 STDEVẏ
Varian 801.5218939 Varian
r 0.58933090115
R 0.34731091105
These above are the result of the r and R from the graph result.
L)
BPD
Peak_Oil BPD
y-ẏ (y-ẏ)^2
(y)
75 -1733.70 3005705.18
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
1100 -708.70 502251.39
200 -1608.70 2587905.94
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
100 -1708.70 2919645.33
100 -1708.70 2919645.33
100 -1708.70 2919645.33
200 -1608.70 2587905.94
12 -1796.70 3228120.00
15000 13191.30 174010475.64
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
0 0.00 0.00
1500 -308.70 95293.82
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
100 -1708.70 2919645.33
100 -1708.70 2919645.33
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
26000 24191.30 585219142.30
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
3000 1191.30 1419202.91
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
100 -1708.70 2919645.33
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
10000 8191.30 67097445.33
2000 191.30 36596.85
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
0 -1808.70 3271384.73
59687 1808.70 906378688.242
1808.70
1808.70
5322.0610676
28324334.008
R from the graph result.
Estimation for Next Discovery Time
Discovery In_Oil In_Gas
No Field Status Time (x)
date MMB BCF
1 BANGADUA Producing 1938 mid 1938 5 57.9
2 JATIBARANG Producing 1970.02.12 1970 119.4 478
3 SINDANG Producing 1970.08.01 1970 4.7 58.5
4 RANDEGAN Producing 1973.07.01 1973 6.9 65.4
5 PAMANUKAN SELATANProducing 1973.07.15 1973 0 20
6 GANTAR Producing 1973.12.10 1973 5.5 418
7 KANDANG HAUR TIMURProducing 1974.05.24 1974 13.1 18.2
8 PEGADEN Producing 1975.11.01 1975 5.7 4.8
9 CEMARA BARAT Producing 1976.09.30 1976 38.9 450
10 CEMARA TIMUR Producing 1976.12.31 1976 4.7 94.5
11 WALED Discovery 1978.02.16 1978 5 0
12 TUGU BARAT Producing 1979.05.15 1979 10 77
13 CILAMAYA SELATAN Producing 1980.12.13 1980 2 0.5
14 CILAMAYA UTARA Producing 1981.04.06 1981 103.9 610
15 TURUN Discovery 1981.12.22 1981 5 0.5
16 HAURGEULIS Producing 1982.09.07 1982 9 18.9
17 KANDANG HAUR BARA Producing 1984.03.18 1984 0.4 2.2
18 PASIR JADI Producing 1984.09.01 1984 0.1 256
19 SAMBIDOYONG Development 1985.11.02 1985 12.6 11.4
20 KAPETAKAN Discovery 1986.04.16 1986 0 30
21 CICAUH P Producing 1988 early 1988 0 175
22 RENGASDENGLOK L Producing 1988.02.23 1988 14.8 12.2
23 JATINEGARA Appraisal 1989.10.24 1989 0.4 17.8
24 CILAMAYA TIMUR Producing 1990 early 1990 0.2 20
25 TAMBUN Producing 1992.01.17 1992 24.7 1
26 PASIRCATANG Producing 1992.02.29 1992 20.1 100
27 JATIRARANGON Producing 1992.04.16 1992 0 57
28 BOJONGRAONG Appraisal 1993.05.08 1993 0.6 30
29 SUBANG Producing 1995.01.20 1995 0 779
30 SUKAMANDI Development 1997.11.25 1997 1 0.1
31 MELANDONG Discovery 2000.07.28 2000 0.9 3.9
32 PONDOK TENGAH Producing 2003.12.31 2003 62 69
33 KARANG BARU Development 2004.01.01 2004 34.1 5.9
2007 14.20 89.26
Prediction 2010 14.05 85.47
The guess/estimation of reserves size and hydrocarbon type for the next 2 discoveries are those in blue color.
The estimation is conducted using 'TREND' and 'FORECAST' on Excel.
Peak_Oi Peak_Gas
BPD MCFD
75 6002.5
15000 33000
100 5000
0 0
0 800
200 25000
1500 1000
0 0
1100 12000
200 0
0 0
2000 11000
100 0
100 1400
0 0
12 1700
0 0
100 16000
0 0
0 0
0 25000
3000 800
0 0
100 0
10000 0
100 3600
0 20000
0 0
0 14000
0 0
0 0
26000 17000
0 0
3704.73 4352.04
3942.34 4163.36