Advanced Payments Report 2011: Sponsored by
Advanced Payments Report 2011: Sponsored by
Advanced Payments Report 2011: Sponsored by
www.edgardunn.com
Contents
ADVANCED PAYMENTS PERSPECTIVES ONLINE PAYMENTS CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS MOBILE PAYMENTS APPENDIX 1 PAYMENTS OVERVIEW APPENDIX 2 EDC ADVANCED PAYMENTS MODEL 4 14 18 24 28 32
Contacts
Samee Zafar Director, EDC London O ce [email protected] Telephone: +44 (0)78 250 275 26 www.edgardunn.com
Alex Rolfe Managing Director [email protected] +44 (0) 1263 711800 www.paymentscardsandmobile.com
Published January 2011 Copyright 2011 Edgar, Dunn & Company All rights reserved. Reproduction by any method or unauthorised circulation is strictly prohibited, and is a violation of international copyright law.
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is not the only ingredient in the payment mix. The value proposition must itself tap pools of latent or hidden demand, utilise highly intuitive user interfaces and o er clear value for money to both consumers and merchants. This may sound somewhat oversimpli ed but a quick review of the many technically brilliant internet payment systems that came about in the rst urry of the internet, only to disappear sometime later, illustrates the fact that the road to failure for payment providers is paved with good technologies.
Advanced payments
There is no standard definition of advanced payments. For the purposes of this report, we have included three types of payment categories: Online, contactless, and mobile payments. This categorisation is made in the context of current debates, customer perceptions and our discussions with payment industry professionals undertaken in the course of preparing this report. There are other areas that could be reviewed as advanced payments in the context of specific markets but have not been included primarily to manage the scope of this report. In the 2010 Global Payments Survey undertaken by EDC, technologies relating to the three advanced payments categories were clearly ranked higher than any other, indicating their importance. The results of the EDC 2010 Global Payment Trends Survey are available separately from Edgar, Dunn & Company for review. This report discusses advanced payments and includes the results of the 2010 Advanced Payments Survey as described on the following pages.
WHICH 3 PAYMENT TECHNOLOGIES WILL EXPERIENCE THE GREATEST GROWTH IN IMPORTANCE IN YOUR COUNTRY OVER THE NEXT 5 YEARS?
Contactless/NFC Technology
Security/authentication technology
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
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Market sizing
The market for online payments is already in the hundreds of billions of dollars and will continue to grow even as all forms of contactless and mobile payments begin to go mainstream. While markets are at different stages of development and maturity, the growth of new payment channels is already a global phenomenon. It is interesting to observe that in the future it will not only be the regions as well where some remarkable innovations in payments are taking place. On a global basis, we expect the market size for advanced payments in 2016 to be $3,128 billion increasing threefold from 2012 estimated market size of $976 billion. It is important to mention here that this represents the potential market size in 2016 and assumes that some of the issues identified in this report are appropriately addressed by the stakeholders. But even if takes longer to generate momentum, the future looks bright for advanced payments.
0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
SOURCE: EDC ADVANCED PAYMENTS MODEL CURRENCY UNITED STATES DOLLARS ONLINE PAYMENTS
3000
2500
Online
$ Billions
developed and richer markets that will show the way but developing
2000
1500
1000
500
ONLINE PAYMENTS
Online payments currently dominate the advanced payments market. This trend is expected to continue but contactless card and mobile payments will become significant by 2016. The market size for online payments is expected to be $2,068 billion representing two thirds of the advanced payments market by 2016. Online payments mainly consist of payments for online commerce. Pure person-to-person payments, whether domestic or cross border, represent a significantly smaller proportion of the total.
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Market sizing
CONTACTLESS CARD PAYMENTS
The market size for contactless cards is estimated to be $322 billion by 2016 which represents significant growth. Mobile and other form factors will account for a substantial volume of total contactless transactions but payment cards will play a major role in the contactless future in developed markets because of the widespread issuance and use of credit or debit cards which are not likely to decline in popularity. In developing markets, plastic cards issuance is expected to grow but mobile phones will become the access channel of choice for millions of consumers in Asia, Africa and Latin America.
MOBILE PAYMENTS
Mobile payments are at the cutting edge of innovation in electronic payments and stand to radically reshape the way we think about payments and financial services. The versatility of the mobile device and the continuous advances in technology which seem to be taking place at breakneck speed mean that the mobile device is capable of delivering all types of services which can effectively be combined to make the payment experience more diverse and useful. Mobile contactless or proximity technology allows fast tap-and-go payments but also enables customers to pick up virtual discount vouchers and entertainment content from what are called smart posters. It also enables mobile handsets to receive payments acting as mobile POS terminals. This versatility will ensure that the total market size for mobile payments will be considerable and we estimate it to be $680 billion by 2016.
Proximity $45
SOURCE: EDC ADVANCED PAYMENTS MODEL. NOTE: FOR DEFINITIONS OF PAYMENT CATEGORIES PLEASE SEE APPENDIX 1; FOR A DESCRIPTION OF THE MODEL PLEASE REFER TO APPENDIX 2.
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Viewpoints
While not wishing to provide an all inclusive list, which would be too long, it is worthwhile to point out some of the overarching trends that we believe have important implications for the future of electronic payment systems.
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Viewpoints
2. DONT UNDERESTIMATE THE SOCIAL NETWORKS
The phenomenal rise of social networking in the last few years demonstrates the importance of global communities and the value they bring to their members. Facebook, MySpace, Twitter, Linkedin have all become household names. These sites bring together communities with shared interests, experiences, and friendships from all across the world. Linkedin provides business networking and skills sourcing while Facebook brings friends and families together. These two networks along with Twitter have gone from start-up to success on a global basis. There are others as well that have achieved success in their own specific markets or regions. Payment systems in the future will make it easier for members of social networking sites to make payments to each other and we are already seeing early stage innovations in this area. Grasping the hype but not the real opportunities, some financial institutions have followed me too strategies to embrace new trends in social networking. These entities developed some form of presence on Facebook only because they felt the need to be on Facebook without having a clear vision or strategy linked to their overall organisational objectives. From our perspective, we believe that payment providers ignore these networking sites at their own peril but the key challenge here is to develop a long term and innovative approach for identifying and exploiting social networking and other similar opportunities.
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Viewpoints
4. BEWARE OF SECURE ROADBLOCKS
Perhaps the single most important requirement for the long-term success of a payment service is that it is safe and secure for end users. Security guarantees are important. In the United States and many other markets, credit cards are widely used for making online payments not only because they are highly secure but because they offer protection against potential misuse or fraud. The risk of fraud through someone stealing and misusing payment card information is forever present and fraudsters have evolved from operating as one-man bands to organised global criminal gangs. However, thanks to advancements in security technologies and general consumer awareness there are many avenues available today to combat fraud. New payment products are often scrutinised for potential issues around security but are often held to impossibly high, exacting standards. No payment product can ever be completely secure and while tools and technologies are available to ensure bulletproof security today, tomorrow may bring an unexpected and lethal hacker attack. A new payment product should not be barred from being rolled out because there exist potential scenarios, however remote, for misuse and fraud. As always, innovators must strike a balance between user experience and security risk. Decades ago, if the small plastic card with a magnetic stripe on its back, far from being bulletproof against fraud, had been dismissed due to the potential for fraud, we would not have the thriving card industry we have today. Security is of primary importance but if it comes at the expense of customer convenience and experience, it should be carefully reviewed. If adding yet another security module means making the customer go through additional steps to make a payment, it is quite possible that the security module is negatively affecting product usage. Costs should also be considered. If a security enhancement costs more than the fraud losses it eliminates, there is a clearly no business case for such a measure. Quite often newer players manage the security problems more pragmatically than large financial institutions.
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Viewpoints
5. DONT REINVENT THE WHEEL
To be cost effective, new payment products should leverage existing infrastructure as much as practically possible. Most people today use bank accounts, payment cards, or selected specialist payment systems for their payment needs. Payment systems that attempt to substitute existing and highly familiar methods face an uphill task. Successful online and mobile alternative payment systems have found ways to link up or integrate with banking platforms and products. Existing payment systems have proven transaction processing, risk management and customer dispute resolution processes and procedures. Banks and other payment providers have invested over the years to ensure their internal systems interface and comply with industry standards and common operating rules and regulations. That said, it does not follow that one should always work within the bounds of what is already available and agreed. Often new approaches require new systems and new platforms. To manage initial outlays and optimise ongoing transaction processing costs, it is imperative to consider the economic viability of all the available options. Another argument in favour of leveraging existing infrastructure elements is the added convenience for customers so that funds can be regularly accessed. PayPal, for example, now offers a dynamic payment functionality which does not require pre-funding the account but charges a transaction directly to a linked payment card or bank account making it as easy for the customer to complete a payment.
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Viewpoints
6. PILOT ENVY
Over the past few years there has been a deluge of trials and pilots of all shapes and sizes especially in the field of mobile payments. Pilots are very important and are critical for testing new value propositions. They provide valuable information that helps us understand customer motivations, fine tune product features, improve marketing tactics and identify potential technical, operational and customer service issues. Well thought out, well funded and well-analysed pilot programmes are essential prerequisites of a product development programme. That said, at least in the areas of emerging payments and especially in the context of banks, pilots can prove a double-edged sword. Often a sparsely funded and inadequately supervised pilot can kill a new product faster than anything else. Regularly, pilot marketing has failed to generate customer awareness. The results of such programmes can be underwhelming leading the bank management to delay funding a product roll out or dismiss the proposition all together. The me-too approach to strategy includes pilot programmes with some financial institutions undertaking their own or participating in joint pilot programmes simply because their competitors have embarked on one. Many pilots rarely convert into commercial roll outs. The real hard work is in taking a successful pilot and commercialising it.
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Online payments
Buying over the internet is now business as usual for most people at least in countries where internet broadband access is widely and cheaply available and where electronic payments are in a mature state of development. In addition to large web retailers such as Amazon, most physical or brick-and-mortar merchants are active online with well designed and fully functioning websites. Supermarkets sell products over the internet promising to deliver direct to customers who cannot nd the time to visit their stores. Even in markets where internet access is in early stages of development, customers are increasingly becoming comfortable buying things online at least in urban areas and within certain demographics. Both consumers and merchants like the convenience of online commerce as it can be done from anywhere in the world. Consumers combine the physical and virtual worlds by browsing in a shop but ordering online in order to nd the most competitive price. They also browse and reserve items online which they pay for and pick up at a nearby merchant location. Already some early stage services are available where customers check the best price available in nearby stores through a combination of barcode scanning and location based services on their mobile phones. Certain categories of goods and services are more popular online such as travel where customers can search for the best prices for ights, hotels, and holidays. In addition to travel, consumers comfortably buy other large value items online such as sound systems, television sets, white goods and even motorcycles and cars. Credit, debit and charge cards continue to be the preferred option for making online purchases in many markets with mature payment systems. While there are other methods of payment for online purchases available in some markets, whether indirectly connected to payment cards and bank accounts or completely separate and stand alone, consumers
3.5 Pay with Credit or Debit Cards Global Reach Pay with Methods Linked to Bank Account Get Best Prices Pay with Alternative Payment Solutions Importance (Common Scale)
still use payments cards extensively over the internet. We expect this trend to continue for some time to come. Some of the reasons why payment cards are preferred include: stores prefer to use them for other channels as well so that all purchases appear on one statement o er protection against fraud and also against unacceptable or substandard merchandise. Payment card companies have implemented tried and tested dispute resolution procedures that o er buying comfort to consumers be redeemed for free or discounted o ers, provide cash back for purchases or use other incentives to successfully encourage consumers to prefer their cards for payment over other payment options accept payment cards can utilise their existing relationships, systems and operating processes for the online channel as well. ONLINE PAYMENTS KEY FEATURES
4.5
4.0
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Online payments
The 2010 EDC/PCM Survey validated the trend showing preference for credit or debit cards for online purchases compared to other methods of payment. As indicated above, this is more relevant to mature markets. The developing world offers a different situation where it is likely that mobile internet access will overtake fixed line broadband due to the sheer number of mobile phone subscribers which vastly outnumber the number of personal computer users. Online banking has now become pervasive in developed markets across the globe. These markets have high levels of financial literacy and deep banking penetration. Most adults have regular bank accounts and banks are looking to provide more cost effective and convenient self-servicechannels that are available any time. In a few such markets innovative payment systems have been introduced that leverage the existing banking interface for online payments. The most successful example perhaps is in the Netherlands where iDeal, an online payment service, allows consumers to pay for purchases at merchant websites directly from their bank accounts. All major Dutch banks participate in the service and 90% of all online merchants in the country accept iDeal. When consumers select to pay with iDeal at the merchant website they are redirected to their online banking site where they can make the payment using the same authentication method they use for online banking transactions. The service aims to offer similar experiences for online banking and online payments simplifying online commerce for customers. iDeal reported 69 million payment transactions in 2010 (2009: 45 million). Other examples of similar schemes are Secure Vault Payments (SVP) in the United States and Interac Online Payments in Canada.
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Challenges
The 2010 EDC/PCM Survey confirmed what are generally identified as major and continuing issues facing online payments. Online payments still suffer from a negative perception problem of security of being vulnerable
Importance (Common Scale)
to transaction fraud and theft of identity or payment information. Payment experts we spoke to think that consumers prefer payment cards because of the risk protection implicit in payment card products. But still, even with this protection, there are segments of consumers who tend to hold back from using cards online because they are afraid of potential exposure to fraud. Some consumers either avoid online payments altogether or tend to use alternative payment methods such as online stored value accounts where they feel their exposure is limited to the amount available in the account. It is of course possible to offer a highly secure payment method that uses complex security algorithms, multi factor authentication procedures, and even special hardware but successful payment systems have always been able to strike a balance between customer experience and security. If a payment method is very highly secure there is a possibility of dropped transactions. Such a system, while not reducing or eliminating fraud losses, will struggle to reach acceptance in the marketplace. Consumer experience management and online security considerations are interrelated and must be reviewed together in order to develop processes that are safe but also simple, intuitive and convenient. There is also the cost of security to be considered: if a security enhancement costs $10 million and reduces fraud losses by $1 million, then clearly it is not economically viable. Efficient dispute management is also considered a key challenge. Online buyers cannot always walk into a store to return an unsatisfactory item as the store may be a virtual store or located a great distance away. Buying over the internet from an unknown seller involves an issue of trust that can impede growth in online payments.
4.0
3.5
3.0
Customer Customer Poor Customer Disputes Merchant Cost Fears Fears Experience and of Setting Up Payment Fraud Identity Fraud Chargebacks Websites
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Drivers of growth
Working to mitigate the negative perception around security and ensuring that consumers feel comfortable buying online were identified as important by stakeholders in the 2010 EDC Survey. Consumers should to make payments. Online fraud will never be eliminated even though security technology continues to evolve. Gangs of organised cybercriminals pose an ever present threat and require constant vigilance. Another major driver for growth is the quality of the merchant website. This has to do with the customer experience: how the website works, how fast is it to search and select products, the amount of information both qualitative and quantitative that is available on the website about a certain product and the level of transparency about costs and related charges. For example, a customer buying a dishwasher may want to review and understand the options available for specialised installations to confirm that there are no hidden or stealth charges contained somewhere in the voluminous small print. A website that does not provide the right level of information will result in fewer completed purchases online. Stakeholders surveyed also attached importance to payment services linked to bank accounts as essential for driving online payments. Most respondents are likely to be familiar with the success of iDeal but to implement something similar in another market requires a level of cooperation that may not be forthcoming. In this context markets exhibit different behavior profiles. In markets in Europe consumers and businesses readily provide their bank account details in order to receive payments while in others these are shared only with trusted parties.
3.5 Enhance Merchants to Customer Security Improve Quality Perception of Website and Service Provide New Methods Directly Linked to Bank Account O er Merchant Incentives Importance (Common Scale)
4.0
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Contactless payments
In this section we have included all form factors of contactless payments, whether undertaken with a plastic card, a mobile device, or any other form such as a key chain or wristwatch. In terms of classi cation and formatting the discussion on mobile contactless payments can also be included as part of the next section on mobile payments. Regardless of the form factor, contactless payments o er signi cant bene ts to both consumers and merchants. For consumers, contactless payments o er enhanced convenience as they increase the speed with which payments are made. However, there will be a period of transition as the existing estates of contact based terminals are gradually migrated to the contactless environment. Certain types of retail environments where the bene ts of contactless are more immediate, such as quick service restaurants (QSR), mass public transport, fuel stations, car merchants also bene t from contactless technology to the extent that it results in reducing cash handling costs which include cash insurance and losses from theft or pilferage which can be signi cant. But many merchants tend to see these costs as xed costs and envisage only limited savings. Weighing these savings against the fees they pay for card acceptance, some merchants do not entirely agree with the economic viability of contactless technology from their perspective. However, most merchants that we spoke to understand that suitably deployed contactless technology has substantial bene ts for all stakeholders and concur that in time contactless technology will replace all existing forms of in-store POS payments infrastructure at least in speci c merchant sectors. In other markets there may be rather di erent additional motivations for preferring contactless technologies. For example, in the days of bird u and virus scares, contactless payments are seen as cleaner payments where the card remains in the possession of the cardholder the new technology. The 2010 EDC/PCM Survey identi es the speed of payment as the top success factor for contactless payments. Speed of payment does not simply mean transaction time but includes the time spent waiting to make a the line at a supermarket checkout, the fact that the contactless payment takes a few seconds (compared to several seconds for contact based payments) will not be of much relevance. Contactless transactions o er a practical and viable alternative to cash. For convenience and security carrying less cash in our pockets will be a welcome advance. But from a pragmatic perspective, we know that cash will never be eliminated, not at least in the foreseeable future. While faster throughput means increased sales,
3.5 Customer Convenience Speed of Making Payments Customer Merchant Customer Convenience Cost Savings Convenience Less Time (Cash handling Carry Less Standing Costs) Cash in Line Loyalty and Other Value Added Features Importance (Common Scale)
4.0
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As indicated above, banks and other entities who use the SIM to store their payment or loyalty applications will need to pay fees to the MNO for the privilege. The key question is what those fees or charges will be. This constitutes one of the basic issues in an emerging industry where an element of cooperation is required in order to create a competitive and commercially viable marketplace: Who pays what to whom? is a question that has not been universally answered. In fact, it may never be. Additional fees that are relevant in a mobile proximity eco-system are identified with a question mark in the illustration above. Other fees are the same as for regular card based payments. Before such a commercially viable eco-system can emerge and reach equilibrium, we expect visionary banks, MNOs and other payment providers to develop partnerships and alliances and develop and roll out contactless services within their respective markets or regions of influence, jointly investing in infrastructure while individually developing competitive products and services.
Consumer
Operator Fee? Cardholder Fees
Merchant
Mobile Operator
Merchant Service Commission (MSC) Platform Management Fee?
Platform Manager
Payment Scheme
Fees
Issuer
Interchange Fee
SOURCE: EDGAR, DUNN & COMPANY
Fees
Acquirer
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BRIDGING TECHNOLOGIES
SIM is not the only candidate to serve as the secure element, other possibilities include the phone memory, stickers or tags that can be placed inside or outside the cover of a mobile device, or micro SD (Secure Digital) cards that can work with most mobile phone models and can also be migrated taken off the old and re-attached to the new when a handset is upgraded. These bridging technologies may offer an interim stage towards widespread NFC deployment. Much to the annoyance of proponents of NFC, sceptics abound who do not believe NFC will take off precisely because it faces such daunting infrastructure problems. There are companies offering alternative technologies ranging from barcodes to data over voice approaches. For some of these alternative systems, special but simple merchant terminals are required but some would also work in the phone to phone payments environment (one phone acting as the recipient).
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Form factors
The beauty of contactless technology lies in its versatility. Key chains, wrist watches, and even chips implanted underneath the skin have all proved to be perfectly plausible and pragmatic (if somewhat painful!) ways to pay. As is already available in some markets, personal computers will incorporate built-in contactless readers which will enable consumers to make contactless purchases online in exactly the same manner as at POS terminals in a shop. These terminals are necessary for contactless payments for all form factors. Terminals need to be in place or at least there must be a clear commitment from acquirers and merchants to roll out these devices before issuers can offer contactless form factors to their customers. Respondents also identified lack of merchant demand for the technology as a potential problem but as indicated above, in some cases this is partly the result of strategic posturing where a merchant is reluctant to pay for the necessary infrastructure, pay for payment acceptance or recognise the potential savings in cash handling costs.
CHALLENGES
This promising payments domain is not without some formidable challenges including the ones described below. CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS KEY CHALLENGES
4.5
4.0
3.5
No NFC Phones
Previous surveys have consistently identified the chicken-and-egg problem of lack of terminals as well as lack of NFC enabled mobile devices. The 2010 EDC/PCM Survey puts more emphasis on the problem of lack of contactless POS terminals.
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Drivers of growth
Interestingly, the 2010 EDC/PCM Survey highlighted stakeholder commitment as the most important prerequisite for generating growth in contactless payments. This is a key point that surfaces in other areas of the survey and was often alluded to by our payment industry contacts in recent discussions. It indicates that people involved in the payments industry feel that the time is right to commit to proper payment programmes, invest in the necessary infrastructure and commit to raising user awareness to the many benefits the technology offers. Over the last few years there has been a spate of pilots and trials all across the globe most of which have validated and re-validated the results that contactless technology is robust, secure and beneficial to consumers and merchants. It is time to follow these up with actual programme implementations to unlock the full potential the technology has to offer. Also identified in the survey is an additional factor which often gets overlooked. While many industry players believe that there are significant benefits for merchants in contactless payments, merchants should also be offered incentives to invest in contactless infrastructure.
3.5 Commitment from Issuers and Acquirers to Invest Investment in Marketing and Awareness Programmes Incentives for Merchants Issue Contactless Cards Linked to Mobile Phones Importance (Common Scale)
4.0
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Mobile payments
Mobile contactless or proximity payments are covered in the previous section. This section covers mobile remote payments and mobile money transfers. Unlike POS payments, where the payer is physically present, remote payments cover all types of payments where it is not necessary for the payer to be physically present at the merchant location. Money Transfers (MMT) refer to the exchange of funds between individuals for various purposes such as sending money to dependants for their upkeep or sharing joint expenses. These can be domestic or crossborder / cross-currency. Cross border P2P payments are also generally referred to as international remittances.
PAYMENT TYPES
Mobile remote payments are initiated using a mobile device. These can be of several types:
REGULAR PAYMENTS
services. Transaction fees are payable by the merchant greatly depends on the underlying payment instrument used.
BILL PAYMENTS
household bills such as water or power or other items of regular consumption. In many markets bill presentment is done over the mobile phone: consumer receives a utility bill through a smart application or SMS message. The customer reviews the bill and validates it. Upon con rmation the utility company or any other biller collects the payment through a regular direct debit for which the consumer has already provided a mandate or authorisation.
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Challenges
The 2010 EDC/PCM Survey identifies the problem of lack of cooperation across banks and MNOs as a major issue. Survey respondents see this as a challenge of critical importance facing the mobile payments industry. Mobile proximity eco-systems are complex and require interindustry cooperation to make them work. The various constituent elements within the proximity eco-systems relate to banks, MNOs, handset manufacturers and technology providers. The overall mechanism will not work if its individual components are unable to coordinate and collaborate to complete and support a payment transaction. Mobile remote payment systems, on the other hand, are relatively less complex to develop in the sense that they can be managed by single players, partners in a joint venture or a group of intra-industry players such as banks. Part of the problem of lack of cooperation stems from differences in perspective. Stakeholders with roots in the telecommunications industry have a different perspective on fees related to mobile payment transactions than those whose core business has always been payments. From our discussions with payment industry contacts, financial services professionals see banks as the primary providers of payments with mobile as simply another channel similar to the internet. Industry professionals with experience in the mobile telecommunications industry consider mobile payments as a value added service that must generate an independent and
Importance (Common Scale) 4.0
The survey also identified the uncertainty that continues to be felt across industry stakeholders. A major driver of this issue is the lack of a framework or a standard practice for revenue sharing across a diverse set of stakeholders. The key message here for all stakeholders is that in the early stages of a payment system where some form of cooperation is required, premium pricing strategies by one set of stakeholders will not work. What will work are pricing policies based on reasonable rates of return and in line with the relative contributions of each player. Regulatory hurdles are also potential roadblocks for mobile payments but these vary from market to market. Again, the key challenge here is to develop a balanced approach that protects consumers, monitors and mitigates risks and provides stability and transparency. At the same time, we must acknowledge that nascent industries require new ideas and dynamic new entrants who should not be prevented from participating by the burden of over-regulation or the uncertainty of under-regulation. MOBILE PAYMENTS KEY CHALLENGES
4.5
standalone stream of revenue and see banks and other providers in a secondary role. They want to evaluate a business case for mobile payments on their own merit and not based on indirect benefits such as churn reduction or cost savings resulting from improvements in customer loyalty. While such views are not universal, they are expressed and observed by a number of people close to the industry.
3.5
3.0
2.5
Regulatory Hurdles
Risk Management
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Drivers of growth
In line with the survey results on contactless payments, it is not surprising to see that responses relating to the need for commitment and investment come out at the top throughout the survey. This message was reinforced in our discussions with payment professionals over the last few months. New technologies relating to advanced payments whether online, contactless or mobile are now reliably proven. Adequate risk management processes exist that can successfully limit, if not entirely eliminate the losses suffered from fraudsters. What is now required is a commitment to invest in mobile payment programmes and value propositions that can generate robust and sustainable returns for payment system providers. Validating the results in the previous section on contactless payments, merchant incentives are also identified as crucial if mobile payments are to succeed in the future. This exhibits an appreciation of the fact that in payment systems both users are important the consumer and the merchant. Quite often in our need to understand the demand and behaviour profiles of the former, payment system providers overlook the needs of the latter. Survey respondents understand the difficulties in achieving uniformity across diverse geographies in terms of KYC regulations but acknowledge that regulation should be framed with a view to encourage and support mobile payments. In this sense both overregulated as well as under-regulated payment environments can be equally frustrating to negotiate for new players and for those with innovative products and services to offer.
3.0 Importance (Common Scale) 4.0
3.5
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Appendicies
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There is no universal definition of what is included in advanced payments but for the purposes of this document, we have included online, contactless and mobile as the three core constituents of advanced payments. These are also referred to as emerging payments. This is not entirely accurate as some, such as internet payments, are now mainstream and cannot be classified as emerging anymore. All three continue to benefit from advances in technology, new ideas and improvements in processing efficiencies. payment types:
Mobile payments encompass two core o (a) mobile proximity payments at a POS terminal as described above o (b) mobile remote payments: Physical presence at a POS is not required. A remote transaction can take place with the payer being practically anywhere in the world: these are similar to online payments but initiated on a mobile device and cover transactions such as buying a book from a virtual bookstore payments for digital goods such as mobile apps, entertainment or other content Remote payments between individuals are also called mobile personal payments or mobile money transfers within a country or common area such as Single Euro Payment Area (SEPA) cross border mobile personal payments or money transfers.
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Payment purpose
Payments can be viewed form a number of angles in order to understand and analyse customer behaviour by segment and by channel. A commonly used categorisation of payments is by purpose. This is discussed below: These are also simply referred to as personal payments or money transfers or person-to-person payments (P2P) and consist of exchange of domestic funds between individuals for purposes such as sending money to dependants for their upkeep or for sharing joint expenses. When funds are sent These are Consumer-to-Business payments (but often referred to as Business-to-Consumer or B2C payments). These are more commonly known simply as online purchases where goods or services are ordered and paid for from a formal seller such as a physical or online store. Merchant transaction fees or the fees the seller has to pay to their payment provider depend greatly on the underlying payment instrument used, risk factors as assessed by the provider and other payment terms and conditions. across borders usually in different currencies, such transactions are called cross-border payments more commonly called international remittances.
These are Business-to-Consumer payments and cover such as things as salary credits, rebates, incentives and other credits.
Businesses pay for business expenses or for purchasing raw materials or other inputs to other entities these payments are more commonly referred to business-to-business (B2B) payments.
Low value payments can be expensive to process for certain payment instruments. Examples include payments for newspapers, at parking meters, and automated kiosks. These payments are also sometimes referred to as micropayments. Also included are payments for digital downloads of small apps or entertainment / other digital goods. Definitions of a micropayment vary.
Bill Payments are B2C payments except that they relate primarily to the payment of household utility bills for things such as electricity or other items of regular consumption. 30 EDGAR, DUNN & COMPANY IN ASSOCIATION WITH PAYMENTS CARDS AND MOBILE
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Payment instruments
Each payment type indicated above is supported by one or more of the following payments instruments and their underlying technology and systems infrastructure. These instruments are briefly described below: Advanced Payments Context: A key advantage of payment cards whether debit, credit or charge is that most can be used for all types of online and mobile B2C and also B2B payments as well as contactless POS payments. P2P payments are rarely undertaken with payment cards but there are initiatives underway to make this payment widely if not universally available. For online payments cards are already used extensively and based on existing infrastructure, cards can be used for both proximity and remote mobile payments. Payment card details are supplied securely (often encrypted) to the seller. This information could be stored in a secure format locally or on a remote server. The card details can also be manually entered for every purchase.
Most banks offer payments to be made to businesses or individuals through their online banking services. These payments are processed and completed over automated clearing house (ACH) networks. o Credit: Sending a payment the sender or payer indicates the account details to which the payment is to be credited o Standing Order: Sending a payment of a fixed amount on a regular basis by sender or payer instructing their bank. Advanced Payments Context: Electronic payments from bank accounts are used for all types of remote B2C payments and money transfers but generally not used for POS payments. This is because these payments are not guaranteed and can take up to 3 days in some markets. Initiatives to link mobile phone numbers to bank accounts have been undertaken or are under consideration in some markets. Systems that complete a payment immediately or on the same day are already in place in certain markets. o Direct Debit: is an instruction initiated by the payee or beneficiary to their bank to collect from the account of the payer. The instruction is accompanied with valid payer authorisation. Direct debit are beneficiary originated.
There are a number of different systems that have been rolled out that help consumers make payments to merchants or to each other. These range from wallet based systems that use a prefunded or prepaid account to one time anonymous vouchers which need to be purchased beforehand. PayPal is the best known example of a wallet based system that was initially used extensively for eBay transactions but is used for all types of payment transactions and across multiple markets. PayPal also offers a system by which every transaction is individually funded from a linked payment card or bank account.
Advanced Payments Context: Wallets serve online and mobile channels. Some payment providers already offer that. Also, the market will increasingly see the payment conduit functionality being developed and deployed for wallet based payment systems where each transaction is funded individually from a bank account or payment card. This makes it easier for the consumer to make payments without the need to monitor the wallet account to see if they have enough funds to cover their planned purchases. For mobile, billing to a mobile phone bill has been used for selected items such as purchases relating to digital downloads of online content. Premium / reverse sms messaging has been used for these types of payments.
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EDGAR, DUNN & COMPANY IN ASSOCIATION WITH PAYMENTS CARDS AND MOBILE 31
The EDC Advanced Payments Model is an MS Excel based model that allows the estimation of the different types of advanced payments for multiple markets. It is built into two core sets of input modules: (a) base case assumptions (b) what-if analysis.
32 EDGAR, DUNN & COMPANY IN ASSOCIATION WITH PAYMENTS CARDS AND MOBILE
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3. How important are the following proposals to increase online payment volumes?
4.5
4.0
Importance (Common Scale) Pay with Credit or Debit Cards Global Reach Pay with Methods Linked to Bank Account Get Best Prices Pay with Alternative Payment Solutions
4.0
3.5
3.5
Enhance Merchants to Customer Security Improve Quality Perception of Website and Service
O er Merchant Incentives
2. How signi cant are the following ISSUES for online payments?
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
Customer Customer Poor Customer Disputes Merchant Cost Fears Fears Experience and of Setting Up Payment Fraud Identity Fraud Chargebacks Websites
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Survey Results
SECTION II CONTACTLESS PAYMENTS CARDS + MOBILE
4. How important are the following FEATURES for contactless payments?
4.5
6. How important are the following proposals to further ACCELERATE the growth of contactless payments?
4.5
4.0
Importance (Common Scale) Customer Convenience Speed of Making Payments Customer Merchant Customer Convenience Cost Savings Convenience Less Time (Cash handling Carry Less Standing Costs) Cash in Line Loyalty and Other Value Added Features
4.0
3.5
3.5
5. How signi cant are the following ISSUES for contactless payments?
4.5
4.0
3.5
No NFC Phones
34 EDGAR, DUNN & COMPANY IN ASSOCIATION WITH PAYMENTS CARDS AND MOBILE
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Survey Results
SECTION III MOBILE PAYMENTS
7. How important are the following FEATURES for mobile payments?
4.5
9. How important are the following proposals to further ACCELERATE the growth of mobile payments?
4.5
4.0
Importance (Common Scale) Reach / Consumer Access Mobile Proximity Payments Mobile Money Transfers Mobile Remote (Digital) Payments Carry Mobile Less Cash Remittances
MNO and Bank Lack of Cooperation Uncertain Business case Regulatory Hurdles Risk Management
4.0
3.5
3.5
3.0
3.0
8. How signi cant are the following ISSUES for mobile payments?
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
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EDGAR, DUNN & COMPANY IN ASSOCIATION WITH PAYMENTS CARDS AND MOBILE 35
Co In mm ve i st tm Co by en m Ba t to by m nk M itm s ob en ile t t In ce Op o I nt er nve ive at st or sf s or M er Re ch gu an ts la tio In n no No to S va t H up tio n am po by pe rt O Ne r w er Pr (e N .g ew ov ., A F id er TM ea s Un Ca ture ifo sh s f rm W or ith M AM dr ob L aw ile Ac / K YC al ro ) ss R fo Ge eg r R o ul em gra atio itt ph ns an ie ce s s
Survey Results
SECTION VI ABOUT YOU
16. Position
Other 11% Technologist 6% 3-5 Years 14% Senior Management 51% 10+ Years 50%
36 EDGAR, DUNN & COMPANY IN ASSOCIATION WITH PAYMENTS CARDS AND MOBILE
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Published January 2011 Copyright 2011 Edgar, Dunn & Company All rights reserved. Reproduction by any method or unauthorised circulation is strictly prohibited, and is a violation of international copyright law. EDGAR, DUNN & COMPANY IN ASSOCIATION WITH PAYMENTS CARDS AND MOBILE edgardunn.com | paymentscardsandmobile.com