85 WHJJ Oct 5688
85 WHJJ Oct 5688
85 WHJJ Oct 5688
Abstract
The aim of this research is to analyze the psychological factors of investor on
investment decision in the equity market. The investment decision (ID), accounting information
(AI), self-image/ firm image coincidence (SIFIC), advocate recommendation (AR), personal
financial needs (PFN) and neutral information (NI) were the variables used in the study. The
study had adopted descriptive and analytical research design. The mean, standard error, t-test
statistic, correlation and regression analysis were used to analyze the data collected from self-
administered structured questionnaire. SIFIC was highly positively correlated with ID. AI, AR
and PFN were moderately correlated with investment decisions and NI had low positive
correlation with investment decisions. The self-image and firm image coincidence, accounting
information, advocate recommendation and personal financial needs factors had significant
impact on the psychology of investors while making investment decision in stock market.
However, the other factors such as word of mouth, reputation, goodwill of the company, market
analysis etc also affect the decision of investors in the stock market.
Keywords: image, information, recommendation, needs, accounting
JEL Codes: D10; G11; G40; G41
1. Introduction
Nepal is not the exception for creating the financial market for prominent investors. The
stock market provides the financial instruments for the investors. Investors have option to invest
in stock and debt markets. The decisions of investors are guided by stock market trading
mechanism. The dividends, expected returns, and also the firm’s financial stability are the
major attributes that induce individual investors to take investment decisions (Haslem and
Baker, 1974). The investor’s wealth increases with a decrease in risk aversion, while there are
arguments that the risk aversion decreases with an increase in age, income and education
(Schlarbaum, Lewellen, and Cohn, 1975). The risk-return tradeoff has been taken rationally by
the researchers (Haslem, Haargrove, and Baker, 1977). LeBaron, Farrelly, and Gula, (1992)
have taken the individuals’ risk aversion as the function of intuition instead of rational
considerations. Utility theory claims that the investors are expected to be rational and risk
avoiders and infrequently opt for the investment avenues which might maximize the satisfaction
(Obenberger and Nagy, 1994). Obenberger and Nagy (1994) pointed out as the major
determinants to market characteristics, the risk profiles of the individuals and accounting
The investors within the market are well exposed with the constant flow of knowledge
on quantitative financial data, financial news of the medias, socially exchanged opinions and
suggestions (Soffer and Francis, 1997). Nofsinger and Richard (1999) argued that the
knowledge configuration and the features of capital market participants scientifically influence
individuals’ decisions on stock market in behavioral finance. The happiness and over-reaction
within the ups and downs in security markets have affected the investment decision on the stock
market (Odean and Barber, 2000). The investors generally would form the portfolios to abate
riskso as to achieve same amount of yield and vice-versa (Markowitz, 1952; Civan, 2007). The
stock market investment decisions are based the fundamental, technical, and judgmental
analysis. The sacrifice of current rupees for a future return is the investment in a certain time
period.
The investment return compensates the investor for the time the funds are committed,
the expected rate of inflation during the investment period, and future payment uncertainty
(Reilly and Brown, 2011). Chaffai and Medhioub (2014) revealed that high level of education
in the investors have behavioral biases. The data on the market is not only the indicator to guide
the market efficiency but the behaviour of the investors is also important. The behavior of
investors is guided by the principle of psychology of deciding that specifies the explanations for
the buy and sale of stocks. The efficient transfer of funds between borrowers and lenders is the
intermediary role of the capital market. Individuals transform their savings into investments
utilising capital market and can be a positive signal of growth in the economy. Costa, Carvalho,
and Moreira (2018) revealed that the behavioral finance is more focused on the study of errors
explained that the Financial self-efficacy (FSE) was the psychological trait thatinfluencethe
individual’s financial behavior from credit market participation to saving, and investing
behavior. Risal and Khatiwada (2019) revealed the connection between hasty decisions and
herding behavior.
The study focused on some parameters such as mood, insights, peer pressure, market
factor, motivation, and other dimensions of behavioural finance needs to be considered while
making investment decisions. After review the past studies the research found the study gap i.e.
ROI depends on the time duration that is always vary. The dividends, growth rate of dividend,
saving for investment, and gains from tradingare the confined variables that affect the
individual investment decisions. Other macro businesses environments like political, social,
cultural, and economic also play the significant role. Hence, themain objective of the paper is to
focuses on the impact of the psychological behaviour of the Nepalese investors in investment
decision.
2. Literature Review
The regret theory, the theory of mental accounting, prospect/loss aversion theory, over/under-
reacting theory, and overconfidence theoryare five major theirs that explains the behaviour of
Regret Theory
Regret theory states that the emotional reaction of people on wrong purchase decision anticipate
regret that dissuading investors from buying and selling of the stock. The likelihood of feeling
of regret was avoided and the individual investors rationalized the choice by following the
The theory explains the thought of individuals that affects spending, saving, and other
household behaviour. The people’s thinking and habit to spend the money are explained by the
theory of mental accounting. The investors havecarried out mental assessment of achievement
from the investment that causes them to attend the return of such gainful period (Thaler, 1999).
The mental accounts are wont to simplify the investors’ financial decisions on the stock
People become happier on gains. The emotional behaviour of mankind is more prone to gain
than loss. The individuals become panic on prospective losses compared to happiness from
equal gains. Investors react differently to losing the gain. Hence, the investors remain within the
risky stock position with positive hope in increment in current price. Investors prefer something
higher than the value normally prepared topay it. Investors often have made the error of chasing
market action by investing in stocks or funds which draw the foremost attention (Tversky and
Kahneman, 1979).
Stein and Hong, (1999) explained that investors become optimistic about an increase in market
value and hope for its continuation. The investors become pessimistic when the market goes
down. The knowledge provided by the news sources also persuades for ignoring historical data.
Thus, the market ups and downs are resulted from good and bad news. Optimism of investors
Theory of Overconfidence
The investors used tobelieve in their own knowledge. They, generally, do not go through
literatures and existing knowledge. The investors make decisions without taking the base of
past facts because of over confidence which ultimately affects the longer-term benefits of
investors. The investors used to believe in their consistent wining to others in the market.
on different heads of expenditures and some other investors takes decision emotionally and
some get fear to persuade their investment because of fear of potential loss. Thus, these
behaviours of the investors can be measured using the stated theories. Therefore, these theories
Related Review
The investor decisions depend on the past events and performance of the company, expected
split, dividend policy, expected corporate earnings, andso on. The religious value, rumours,
products, services, families’ opinion, expected loss, expected gain, firms’ reputation, status of
the board members, the status ofthe firms, corporate social responsibility, perceived ethics of
firm, firms’ image were the least influencing factors in investors’ cognitive process (Obamuyi,
2013; Kalli and Al-Tamimi, 2009). The firms’ position and performance, returns in investment,
economic conditions, goodwill of the firms, accounting information, environmental factors, and
risk minimization were the other major factors in individual investor’s decisions (Mutswenje
and Jagongo, 2014). The contradictions in public and private information had created a biased
self-attribution and indicated to the dismissal of the data as noise (Stein and Hong, 1999).
Investor’s overconfidence about the precision of personal information and biased self-
attribution had caused asymmetric shifts in investor’s confidence because of the function of
their investment outcomes (Subrahmanyam, Hirshleifer, and Daniel, 1998). The majority of the
involvement from the company for investment decision (Freedman and Epstein, 1994). The
accountants, managers, bankers, tax officers, academics, financial analysts, stockbrokers and
investors had prioritized the financial statements as the important source of data that could be
statements in making investment decisions (Michael, 2013). In addition, the financial plan
mightalso be used for investment decisions (Onoja and Blessing, 2015). The priority was given
to the financial accounting information for influencing investor and making investment
In the Egyptian securities market, the dividend was the detrimental factor for individual
investment decision (Khaled and Gamal, 2013). In addition to dividend, the varied alternatives
should be judged for its usefulness to come to a decision on the simplest option (Goetzmann,
2011). Similarly, the announcement of the bonus share was another determinant that affects the
investment decision of investors (Dhar and Chhaochharia, 2008) The lower perceptions of
earnings led the investors to look at the firms audited financial statements to know the causes
of lower earnings which becomes the factor for investment decision (Hodge, 2003). The bold
and accurate forecast made by the investors likely to infer the analyst to possess the highest
credibility and consequently most willing to depend upon the long-run analysis (Thayer,
The investors, within the favourable market condition and in wining position,was least likely to
sell the stock on the strong analyst recommendation and likely to sell when there was no
positions werelikely to sell the stock on the advice of the analyst as against the weak
recommendation of the analyst, and least likely to sell when there was any recommendation
Shanthikumar and Malmendier, (2003) revealed that the large investors had generated an
unusual number of buyers who initiated trades after the positive recommendation from the
unaffiliated analyst. The small traders had exerted abnormal buying pressure after the positive
recommendations of both affiliated and unaffiliated analysts. The incentives given to the
buying stock could affect the investment decision of the investor (Soffer and Francis, 1997).
The investor judged the lower stock potential and influenced by the strength of argument
(Simko, Koonce, and Hirst, 1995).Thus, there was the relationship between the behavioral
finance theory, andthe individual behaviour of dynamic investors (Vozikis, Prasad, Merikas and
Merikas, 2004). Under efficient market hypothesis, the anomalies were chance results, the
The post-event continuation of pre-event abnormal returns was about as frequent as post-event
The asymmetric overreaction effect was larger for losers than for winners. When stocks were
ranked on past returns, past winners tend to be future losers and the other way around. The
investors had emphasized the past performance of the firm, and also the performance tends to
mean-revert while forming the expectations (Thaler, 1985). Thoseinvestors were found
successful who were able to incur the sunk cost by inflating their estimate of the project than
those who were not able to inflate sunk cost(Blumer and Arkes, 1985). The determinants of
dividends, quick access to funds, risk minimization, expected losses in the international
financial markets, and in other local investments (Kalli and Al- Tamimi, 2009) The replacement
theories had provided the higher explanation than self-justification. However, theories designed
to supplement self-justification were likely to steer to the more complete explanation (Brockner,
image/firm image coincidence, and individual investor are the variables used by Salman, et al.,
investment decisions. The psychological factors as compared to economic factors are found
more influential in deciding the behaviour of the investors (Sarwar, Afaf, and McMillan, 2016).
Adhikari (2010) concluded that Nepalese investors invested in the stock market for both
financial and non-financial reasons. The behavioural factors such as information availability,
overconfidence, herding behaviour were found most influential in the investment decisions.
Kadariya (2012) concluded that Nepalese stock market had attracted young investors. The
investors were well educated. The investors had preferred capital gain rather than dividend gain.
The fundamental analysis, market noise, media and informal talks were the major determinants
of investment decision. Shrestha and Subedi (2014) concluded that the availability of liquidity
and low interest rates had stimulated the performance of Nepalese stock market. The political
environment and policy in Nepal were other determinants of stock market performance.Ghimire
and Mishra (2018) concluded that the market to book value, price earnings ratio were the major
determinants of stock price in Nepalese market.Joshi (2018) concluded that Nepalese capital
market had erratic trend. The firm’sreputation in the industry and opinion of firms were the
Operational Definition
advocate recommendation, neutral information and personal financial needs. The dependent
variable is an investment decision. SIFIC is the ethical works performed by the organization.
SIFIC is additionally the investors' perception of the moral activities of the organization. The
financial information has been collected using the accounting information. The annual report
and bulletins of authorized organizations like SEBON, NEPSE, and concerned government
offices have been used in the study. Such information is referred as the neutral information. NI
is expected to be unbiased information. The character of the investment remains different from
one investor to others. The investors invest to create their portfolio to attenuate the risk. The
other investors invest considering accessibility to money market. Meaning individual investors
invest as per their personal financial needs (PFN), suggestions and advice from various
stakeholders like brokerage houses, lawyers, academicians, businessmen, friends, and family
members while taking investment decisions. This sort of investment behaviour is referred as
AR. The variable ID refers to the decisions taken by the individual investors while investing in
stock market.
3. Research Methods
The descriptive and analytical research design was adopted in the study. The survey method
was used to undertake research. The population was the active individual investors taken from
brokerage firms operating inside the Kathmandu Valley. The convenient sampling method was
accustomed to collect primary data from the active investors of Kathmandu Valley. The 384
individual investors were taken as sample ( Daniel, 1999). Theprimary data was collected for
the study through structured questionnaires. The statistical tools; mean, variance, t-statistic,
correlation, and multivariate analysis wereapplied for data analysis. SPSS software version 20
was used to manage and analyse data. Cronbach's Alpha value was calculated to measure the
internal consistency of the items within the questionnaire. The collinearity diagnosis was done
using VIF value. The Friedmans Ranking Scaling had been used in the study. The pilot test had
been conducted to validate the questionnaire. The unrelated and unnecessary items within the
questionnaire were omitted. The SIFIC, AI, AR, NI, and PFN were regressed with the
Model Specification
Y = a + b1SIFIC+b2AI+b3AR+b4NI+b5PFN+µ
4. Results
Initially, 500 questionnaires were distributed to the active individual investors who work from
brokerage house operating within Kathmandu valley, Bagmati province. Out of the distributed
variables; age, gender, marital status, education, source of income, and monthly income level
Table 1 hasshown that 195 were from the age group20-40 years which had covered 50.78
percentages of the total sample. Therewere46.36 percentages respondents from the age group
40-60 years and 2.86 percentages respondents were above 60 years. Male respondents
comprised 74.48 percentages and female respondents comprised 25.52 percentages. The
married respondents comprising 89.32 percentages and the remaining were unmarried and eight
divorcee respondents. Therespondents having school level education was 22.14 percentages,
college education was 78 percentages, the professional was 3.12 percentages. The 39.84
percentages respondents were using amount in the purchase of stock from the amount earned
from the trading of stock in the past and 60.16 percentages weremaking the investment from the
income generated from the stock investment, and other sources. The respondents having an
income level of less than rupees.25000 were 13.02percentages, rupees 25000-50000 were 66.93
percentages and above rupees 50000 were 20.05 percentages. This description has shown that
the majority of the respondents were male, married, highly educated and adult with 20-60 years
of age. The majority of the respondents were from high income group and they managed fund
for investment out of the stock market. This analysis had indicated that investors in Kathmandu,
Nepal could analyze the market properly by using their educational background and
experiences. In addition, the back support from other sources of income had motivated investors
The majority of the respondents were investing in stock market with the expectation of high
return in time horizon, risk minimization, capital appreciation, and access in the capital market.
In general observation, other investment alternatives in Nepal were gold, silver, poultry
Reliability test
All the used variables had more than 0.70 alpha values (Shemwell, Chase &Schwart, 2015).
Thus, the reliability of the variables had become sufficient for further analysis.
The psychology of individual investors towards self/firm image coincidence was measured
using feelings to become rich quickly, firm status in the industry, perceived ethics, company
products, and firms' involvement in solving community problems in 5-point Likert scale. The
mean values obtained from the analysis are 4.51, 3.76, 3.54, 3.43, and 3.12 respectively.
Investors emphasized on getting rich quickly (4.51) but social involvement is less emphasized.
The summated mean score is 3.672. It is towards agree band. Thus, the position of the SIFIC
Table 4 has shown that the average for five statements as 4.53, 4.45, 4.23, 4.21, and 3.99
respectively. All mean values obtained nearer to agree band. The individual investors consider
all types of accounting information while taking investment decisions. Individual analysis
shows that the Nepalese individual investors invest on the stock of those companies whose past
performance track record are good, investor friendly dividend policy, strong income statement
and balance sheet, potentiality of earning and reasonability of stock price. The summated mean
score is 4.282. It had indicated that the individual investors of Kathmandu, Nepal analysed the
Table 5 has shown the mean values for the given statements as 4.36, 3.87, 3.51 and 3.46
respectively. The mean values shown the friend’s recommendation was most influencing
approach in investment decisions. The other factors presented were also influential because
their mean values were more than 3 (nearer to agree band). The summated mean value is 3.80.
It indicates that advocates’ recommendation plays positive role in taking investment decisions.
Table 6 has shown the mean values for given items as 4.54, 4.44, 4.11, 4.09 and 4.01
respectively. The economic indicators and governmental officials’ statements were considered
the foremost detrimental factors for investment decisions. Mean values of all other factors were
more than 4. It means all the respondents were agreed that neutral information variable was
important for taking investment decisions in the stock market. The summated mean score is
4.238. It had indicated that individual investors’ investment decision had been affected by
neutral information.
Table 7 has shown that the mean values of items under personal financial needs were 3.87,
3.84, 3.78 and 3.73 respectively. All the mean values were nearer to 4. Thus, all the items
presented in the questionnaire under PFN were significant for taking investment decision of
individual investors. The overall mean score was 3.805 which indicated that individual
investors responded positively that PFN affected investment decision of individual investors.
The factors affecting the investment decision was ranked using Friedman’s Ranking Scale. The
prominent factor affecting the investment decision was the economic indicators whereas the
lowest factors that affected the investment decision were corporate social responsibility. The
analysis of the company, feeling of getting rich quickly, dividend policy and organizational
financial statements were the most prominent five determinants for taking investment decisions
to individual investors in Kathmandu, Nepal. The investors were not found ethical and
responded less to the family recommendations while making investment decisions. The
brokers’ advice, portfolio investment, the status of the company, etc. were negligible
determinants of the investment decision in Nepal. However, the investors were always curious
and alerted on the fluctuation in the market index, review of annual statements, news coverage
and friends help at the time of purchasing and selling the stock.
Correlation Analysis
decisions
Table 9 has explained the association between psychology of investors and investment decision
in the stock market. The significance level has been checked at 5 percent level of significance.
The matrix has shown the positive and significant relationships between SIFIC, AI, AR, and
PFN with the variable investment decisions at 5 percent level of significance. NI was positive
and insignificant at 5 percent level of significance with investment decisions. Hence, the further
regression analysis could be conducted in between SIFIC, AI, AR, PFN and ID. NI has been
less prioritized that means investors have been based on over/under reacting theory of
overconfidence.
Model Specification
Table 10 has shown R square value 0.785, which means 78.5 percentages of the variation in
investment decision have been explained by the independent variables used in the study. DW
value was found 2.86 which shown the minimal significance of error with dependent variable.
The value of 2.0 means no autocorrelation detected in the sample. The values from 2 to 4
indicate the negative autocorrelation (Kenton, 2019). Thus, there was no autocorrelation among
the independent variables. Additionally, VIF value was calculated to check the
multicollinearity. All VIF values was around 1 and indicating no multicollinearity problem in
the model. The variable neutral information has been removed because of its insignificant
correlation with the dependent variable investment decision. SIFIC, AI, AR and PFN were
significant at 5 percent level of significance. Thus, they were the detrimental factors for
investment decision of individual investors in Nepalese stock market. Hence the hypothesis H1,
H2, H3, H4, H5 are accepted and result found the impact of all these four variables on
Investors are lien on their own knowledge in investment decision making process. The
continuous flow of knowledge through financial statements has an impact on the psychology of
the investor. The finding is according to the findings from Soffer and Francis (1997); Hodge
(2003); Civan (2007); Zoysa and Rudkin (2010); Michael (2013); Lawerance (2013); and Onoja
and Blessing (2015). The finding is contradicted with findings from Chaffai andMadhioub
(2014). The analysis has supported the theory of overconfidence in investment decision. The
study found the link between dividends related decisions, market value and expected return and
have the positive impact on the psychology of the investor. The finding is in line with the
prospect and loss aversion theory. The finding is in keeping with Haslem and Baker (1974);
Dhar &Chhaochharia (2008); Khaled and Gamal (2013); and Risal and Khatiwada (2019). The
psychological factors and economic indicators both are the most significant factors affecting the
investment decision. The finding is contradicted with the findings from Sarwar, Afaf, and
McMillan (2016) and Thaler (2019). This means, the economic conditions of Nepalese
investors are not similar to the economic conditions of the investors from other countries. The
researchers have given more priority to psychological factors. The finding is additionally not in
keeping with the prospect/loss aversion theory and findings from Tversky and Kahneman
(1979). The investors were investing in the available market to induce rich quickly in short
period of time. The finding is persistent with the research findings of Kalliand AU-
Tamimi(2009) and Obamuvi (2013). The friends’ recommendations have worked within the
psychology of investors. The finding is contradicted with findings from Krishnan and Booker
(2002). The finding is in line with the findings from Shanthikumar and Malmendier (2003).
Investors are emotional; the analysis has supported the regret theory in investment decision
making process. The investors are generating the funds from the loan. The finding is in line
with the findings fromKalli and Al-Tamimi (2009). The moral value, community involvement,
employee relations are the least important determinants of investment decisions. The finding is
contradicted with Freedman and Epstein (1994). The contextual and content differences might
exist within the research. The hasty decisions, confidence, inflation, social media, personality,
etc., do not seem to be included within the research that may have influenced the investment
behaviour.
The investors have to analyze the investment factors carefully using reasonable business
knowledge before making an investment decision. The investors should be able to analyze the
market and economic indicators since they influence the performance of share market. The
study findings had been hoped to feature value on behavioural finance theories. The
academicians, professional and policy-makers were the targeted reader of this research. The
generalization of the research findings would be possible provided that the research had been
5.3 Conclusions
The results reveal that the majority of respondents belong to the age group of 20-40 years of age
in which the male respondents were over the female. The majority of the respondents were
married. The respondents were interested in investing in the market from the source of stock
investment as well as other income sources. The study found that majority of people choice
investment assets were gold, silver, farming, and land. The investors were agreed on firms’
image and self-worth coincidences while making investment decision on stock. The company's
social responsibility factor was not taken in high priority at the time of investment decision. The
investors were making past performance of the corporate because the basis of investment
decision. The dividend policy, value was the factors that were used because the indicator of
the another hand, the rate of economic indicators and stock price movements has impeccable
role on investor investment decision. The investors were generating the funds from loan. The
five most vital factors affecting the psychology of investors in investment decisions were
current economic indicators, study of past performance of the firm’s stock, feeling to urge rick
quickly, dividend policy, and statement of governmental officials. Whereas, the five least
important factors affecting individual investment decisions were ethical value, suggestions from
broker houses, opinion of the relations, feelings for a company’s products and firm’s
involvement in solving community problems. SIFIC was highly positively correlated with ID.
AI, AR and PFN were moderately correlated with investment decisions and NI had low direct
correlation with investment decisions. In conclusion, self-image and firm image coincidence,
accounting information, advocate recommendation, and private financial needs have significant
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Appendices
Figure: 1
Accounting Information
(AI)
Investment Decisions (ID)
Advocate
Recommendations (AR)
Female 98 25.52
Unmarried 33 8.59
Divorced 8 2.09
Professional 12 3.12
Others 0 0
Decision
investment decision.
investment decision.
stock.
decision.
a share.
investment decision
investment decision
investment decision
attractiveness of non-stock
stock.
decision.
decision
investment decision
share.
investment decision
access of loans.
capital required.
diversification
as real estate
investment decision.
decision.
decisions
ID SIFIC AI AR NI PFN
ID 1
SIFIC 0.721 1
(0.000)*
AI 0.512 0.786 1
(0.000)* (0.315)