BCL Industries
BCL Industries
BCL Industries
Company Overview
BCL is a part of the Mittal Group founded in 1976, by Late Shri D. D. Mittal. Under the
stewardship of Mr. Rajinder Mittal. The company is in the edible oil and distillery business in
India.
The manufacturing facility of the company has an integrated distillation plant with a total
capacity of 200 KLPD in Bathinda, Punjab and 200 KLPD in Kharagpur, West Bengal
The company can manufacture ENA/ethanol from multiple crops (rice, millet and maize), hence
reducing the risk of raw material price fluctuations.
Bathinda Plant:
The Company is currently expanding the capacity of the distillery in Bathinda by adding a 200
KLPD Grain Based Biofuel Distillery. The Company aims to bring this plant to production by the
end of FY 2022-23. Post expansion, the capacity of the Bathinda unit will be of 400 KLPD.
Edible Oil Segment:
Edible oil and Vanaspati contribute ~73% of the total revenue, the EBIDTA margin is 4.2%.
Indian edible oil market is stagnant and has remained range-bound. India largely relies on oil
imports for about 60% to cater the domestic edible oil requirement. However, domestic players
largely remain hesitant to increase their oil production capacity, and mainly relies on the
government to implement policies which can push domestic edible oil production. This shows
the extent to which edible oil is dependent on government policies for a growth driver.
This segment has seasonality wherein the demand dips a bit in the summer months and goes
back up in monsoon and colder months.
Growth Driver:
India is the second largest consumer of edible oils in the world. The edible oil market in India is
projected to grow from around $21.5 billion in 2019 to $35.2 billion by 2025 due to increasing
disposable income and changing eating routines and habits. (CAGR ~8.5%) – FY22
Positive Points:
BCL is also relaunching its country liquor an IMFL brand which they had to discontinue in 2015
due to excise policy.
BCL Industries has received order from OMCs and Reliance to supply ethanol. While OMCs
enjoy payment terms of 21-day credit, BCL fixed credit cycle with Reliance to 15-day credit
cycle.
The company has won a case against a 6 acre land which was on dispute. BCL is thinking of
selling the area as plots by giving basic facility of roads, sewage etc, and not converting it into
residential flats.
The management has forgone taking dividend from the company and gave to other
shareholders which is a positive sign of perception change towards management. (Happened
twice now)
ROE and ROCE have been above 15% on an average over the years.
NFAT has been on an increasing trend. With the new capex in place, the number might dip
midway but will start going up again once the sale will increase due to new live capacity.
Cumulative CFO= 234 and PAT= 222. Which is a good sign of profit conversion to cash.
Debtor days, Inventory days, working capital cycle have gone down.
Number Crunching:
5-year CAGR= 25%
Sales went from 642 to
1988cr
PAT CAGR= 54%
BCL has will start its West Bengal plant at 100% utilization from September and Bathinda will
start by December month. Hence company’s’ total capacity will almost double. Assuming the
growth will be half of previous sales growth. Assuming 13% CAGR till FY 2026, expected sales
growth will come around 2900cr.
Taking average NPM of last 4 years= 4%
NPM in 2026 will be ~116cr
PE ratio from future earnings comes out to be 6.9
The median PE for the last five years is 8.7. Looking at the arrived PE value from the above
assumption, the stock looks under-valued (provided sales growth and profit comes aligned to
our view)
Looking at the above ratios, BCL is looking attractive to add at the current Mcap and watch
closely as and when company’s sales go up with new capacity in place.