Indian Economic Policy
Indian Economic Policy
Indian Economic Policy
Indian Economic
Policy
VOLUME-I
(Block 1 and 2)
PRINT PRODUCTION
Mr. Yashpal
Assistant Registrar (Publication)
IGNOU, New Delhi
April, 2021
©Indira Gandhi National Open University, 2021
ISBN :
All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced in any form, by mimeograph or any
other means, without permission in writing from the Indira Gandhi National Open University.
Further information about the School of Social Sciences and the Indira Gandhi National Open
University courses may be obtained from the University’s office at Maidan Garhi, New Delhi-
110 068, India or the Official Website of IGNOU: www.ignou.ac.in
Printed and published on behalf of the Indira Gandhi National Open University, New Delhi, by
Registrar, MPDD, IGNOU, New Delhi.
Lasertypeset by Tessa Media & Computers, C-206, Shaheen Bagh, Jamia Nagar, New Delhi-25
Printed at:
CONTENTS
This Block presents the evolution of the Indian economy since the Colonial period.
Covered in this block is the status and structure of the Indian economy since
independence which will enable us to know the evolution and analysis of Indian
economic policy in historical context. This block comprises of 5 Units.
Unit 2: Growth and structure of the Indian economy identifies the growth
path of Indian Economy since 1951, the stages of growth through which Indian
Economy has evolved.
Unit 4: Natural Resources provides the status of natural resources i.e. land and
soils, water resources, biodiversity, forest mineral resources etc as availability
of these resources, their utilisation and capacity to mobilise determine the
economy’s ability to overcome the constraints on its development.
8
Indian Economic
UNIT 1 INDIAN ECONOMIC Development – A Historical
Perspective
DEVELOPMENT - A HISTORICAL
PERSPECTIVE
Structure
1.0 Objectives
1.1 Introduction
1.2 India in the Eighteenth Century
1.3 British Rule: State of Colonial Economy
1.3.1 Disruption of the Traditional Economy
1.3.2 Impoverishment of the Peasantry
1.3.3 Commercialisation of Agriculture
1.3.4 Agricultural Labourers
1.3.5 Lack of Modernisation
1.3.6 Ruin of Artisans and Handicrafts
1.3.7 Status of Modern Industries
1.4 Drain of Wealth
1.5 Poverty and Famines
1.6 Macroeconomic Policy
1.6.1 Savings and Investments
1.6.2 Fiscal Policy
1.6.3 Trade Policy
1.7 Programme of Economic Reconstruction for Independent India
1.8 Let Us Sum Up
1.9 Key Words
1.10 Term-end Exercises
1.11 References
1.12 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
1.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to:
get an overview of the state of India’s colonial economy during the British
period;
explain the process resorted by British rulers to disrupt the traditional Indian
economy that resulted in pauperisation of Indian people;
discuss the macroeconomic policies particularly trade and fiscal policies
during British rule; and
appreciate the important milestones of Indian National Movement which
will help you to understand the evolution of Indian Economic Policy in
post-independence period.
9
Indian Economic Development:
An Overview 1.1 INTRODUCTION
British rule drastically transformed India. British penetration and control brought
to India modern business and political institutions, technology, capital and
administrative practices. Many positive developments took place in the field of
agriculture, industry, finance, transport and communication. One positive feature
was the growth of the means of transport and communication. In the 1940s,
India had 65,000 miles of paved roads and nearly 42,000 miles of railway track.
Roads and railways unified the country and made rapid transit of goods and
persons possible. The Government of India also established an efficient and
modern postal and telegraph system. But this did not produce a type of economic
development capable of generating real momentum. The reason was that these
changes took place within and as part of colonial framework. To make available
to their home industry, the cheapest raw material, the British destroyed the rural
economy. To make the immense Indian market available for their industrial goods
they ruined the handicraft industry. The colonial relationship subordinated Indian
to British political and economic interests; it stimulated Indian economic
development in some way and inhibited it in other ways.
Our industry had stunted growth. Colonial government. was not keen to develop
modern industries such as automobile, aviation, chemical, etc. They did construct
a network of railway tracks criss-crossing the length and breadth of this country
but did not invest as much in social sector such as in education, technical education
or enhancement of managerial skills. They did not encourage the growth of
ancillary industry. Construction of railways in India, unlike in Europe, did not
lead to comprehensive expansion of technical base, engineering institutes and of
local managerial skill. Indians were not involved at higher levels in managing
the transport, commercial and technical side of the venture. More or less similar
was the case with our financial institutions and trade. There was no dearth of
entrepreneurial spirit in the country. Indian owned business and industry thrived
whenever imperial world was in crisis such as during two World Wars (Ist 1914-
18 and IInd 1939-45). Against this background, after reading this unit, one can
understand how India — with abundance of natural resources and having a
thriving trade with both East and the West, where every western trading company
wished to open trading centres, became a country with a stigma attached to it of
a country with a begging bowl. To understand the evolution of the Indian economic
policy post-independence, we have to get a bird’s eye view of economic
developments of pre-colonial and colonial India.
10
Table 1.1: Share of Major Countries in World GDP 1-2003 AD Indian Economic
(Per cent of World Totals) Development – A Historical
Perspective
Countries 1 1000 1500 1600 1700 1820 1870 1913 1950 1973 2003
12 Country* 10.6 7.0 15.5 17.1 19.1 20.5 30.5 30.8 24.1 22.8 16.5
Total
Total Western 13.7 9.1 17.8 19.8 21.9 23.0 33.1 33.0 26.2 25.6 19.2
Europe
USA 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.8 8.9 18.9 27.3 22.1 20.6
China 25.4 22.1 24.9 29.0 22.3 32.9 17.1 8.8 4.6 4.6 15.1
India 32.0 28.1 24.4 22.4 24.4 16.0 12.1 7.5 4.2 3.1 5.5
Other 4.6 7.5 8.4 7.4 7.7 5.2 4.8 4.5 4.8 5.2 9.6
East Asia
Total of 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
World
Source: Adapted from Table A.6 of the Book ‘The Contours of World Economy 1-2030 AD by Late British
Professor Angus Maddison, Oxford University Press 2007, p.p. 381.
*Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland
and the UK.
The trend in the share of major countries in the world economy during the period
1-2003 A.D. has been plotted in the Figure 1.1:
Some observations from the above table and figure showing the evolution of
global economies over 2000 years in terms of percentage contribution of GDP
can be summarised as follows:
1) Before the 18th century, India and China were the two largest economies in
terms of their share in the world GDP.
2) During the period from the First millennia CE (i.e. from 1 CE to 1000 CE)
till 14thcentury CE (where CE stands for Common Era) India has been the
largest GDP contributor to the world economy.
3) During the first 17 centuries of Common Era (i.e. from 1 CE to 1700 CE),
11
Indian Economic Development: India has been the largest GDP contributor world-wide (ranging between
An Overview
32 per cent to 24.4 per cent), with the exception of two centuries (16th and
17th), where she stood second to China by a margin of about 0.5 percentage
points at the turn of century 1500 and by about 7 percentage points at the
turn of century 1600.
4) During the period from 1700 to 1870, India’s GDP contribution slowed down
to more than half, dropping around 12 percentage points from 24.4 per cent
to 12 per cent. In the same period Western Europe shoot up by approximately
33 per cent and 11 percentage points, from ~22 per cent to 33per cent.
At the beginning of British rule in mid-18th century, India supplied quarter of all
manufacture goods in the world and Indian handicrafts constituted chief export
items of European trade. While India produced about 25 per cent of world
industrial output in 1750, this figure fell to just two per cent by 1900. The four
great textile export regions in the eighteenth century were Punjab, Gujarat,
Coramandal and Bengal.
The decline of Mughal empire did not lead to anarchy as it is sometimes believed.
There was shift in economic activity from centre to periphery. In Bengal,
Hyderabad and Awadh, former provincial governors established effectively
independent rules. A number of new successor states thus came into being, the
most powerful being dominion of Marathas.
By early 18th century, Bengal became a key region for the English Company’s
trade in textiles, and Bengal goods came to comprise nearly 60 per cent of the
English imports from Asia. The Bengal trade was often described by the factors
as ‘the best flower of the Company’s garden’ or the ‘choicest jewel’.
However, the influx of bullion stopped completely after defeat of Nawab of Bengal
Siraj-ud-daula in the Battle of Plassey (June 1757).This marked the beginning of
political supremacy of the English East India Company in India. Now the
resources of Bengal financed the English Company’s investments.
The Company replaced the existing land tenure system and introduced three
different systems – the zamindari in the eastern India, the ryotwari in the southern
and western India and the mahalwari in the western Gangetic plains. The purpose
was to secure the maximum guaranteed land revenue returns, at the expense of
cultivators well-being. The zamindari system or Permanent Settlement gave
property rights to zamindars and revenue was fixed in perpetuity. The peasantry
became tenants of zamindars. The ryotwari settlement gave property rights to
the peasants and the mahalwari settlement gave property rights to dominant
kinship lineages in the village. In both the ryotwari and mahalwari systems
revenue was subject to revision, approximately every 30 years. In the zamindari
areas, the peasants were left to the mercies of the zamindars who raised rents to
unbearable limits. The peasants were compelled to pay illegal cesses and were
oppressed in diverse ways. In the ryotwari and mahalwari areas, the condition
of the cultivators was no better. Here the government took the place of the
zamindars and levied excessive land revenue which was fixed as high as one-
third to one-half of the produce.
Since the primary aim of the Company was to maximise revenue income, a
common feature of all the settlements was over-assessment. One of the main
causes of the increase in poverty and the deterioration of agriculture in the 19th
century was heavy revenue assessment of the land. The rates fixed fell beyond
the paying capacity of the cultivators. Ultimately the cultivators had to rely on
the support from the local money lender, an informal source of credit. The farmer’s
assets got transferred to the money lender. Landlords and rich farmers found
lending far more profitable and safer than making productive investment in land
they owned or controlled. There were thus arrears of payment, mounting debt,
increasing land sales and dispossession. However, subsequent research established
that the effects of these changes were less spectacular than once imagined. “Land
transfers from the peasant to the professional lender,” remarks Tirtankar Roy
13
Indian Economic Development: “happened on a limited scale”(The Economic History of India 1857-1947,OUP,
An Overview
2011, p.134). He further adds, “For the very reason that land transfers between
peasants and non-peasants posed large transaction costs, much rural credit
business came into the hands of the rich peasant rather than professional
lender”.(ibid. p.135)
Agriculture suffered. It stagnated in most parts of the country and even deteriorated
over the years, resulting in extremely low yields per acre,. There was a decline in
the per capita agricultural production which fell by 14 per cent between 1901
and 1941. The fall in per capita food grains availability was even greater, being
over 24 per cent.
Agricultural education was completely neglected. In 1946, there were only nine
agricultural colleges. There was hardly any investment in terracing, flood-control,
drainage, or desalination of soil. Irrigation was the only field in which some
progress was made.
Thus, the peasantry was crushed under the triple burden of the government, the
zamindar or landlord, and the moneylender. After these three had taken their
share not much was left for the cultivator and his family to subsist on. It has been
calculated, remarks Bipan Chandra “that by the end of the colonial period, the
rent and interest paid by the peasantry amounted to Rs. 1,400 million per year.
By 1937, the total rural debt amounted to Rs. 18,000 million” (India Since
Independence, Penguin, 2008 The Digital Edition, 2011, P.23).
In the wake of the industrial revolution, there was a sudden collapse of urban
handicrafts industry which had for centuries made India’s name a byword in the
European markets. Not only did this export demand gradually evaporate, but
colonial rule opened Indian markets for British manufactured goods. After 1813,
the British imposed a policy of oneway free trade upon India and the invasion
of British manufactures, in particular cotton textiles, followed immediately. Indian
goods made with primitive techniques could not compete with goods produced
on a mass scale by powerful steam-operated machines. The worst hits were cotton-
weaving and spinning industries. Other industries that suffered were silk and
woollen textiles, oil-pressing, tanning, dyeing, iron, pottery, metals, and shipping
industries. This led to ‘deindustrialisation’ or destruction of the indigenous
industry. While India produced about 25 per cent of the world’s industrial output
15
Indian Economic Development: in 1750, this figure fell to only 2 per cent by 1900. The decline of Indian handicrafts
An Overview
was reflected in the collapse of the industrial towns and cities, such as Surat,
Dacca, Murshidabad.
Although all basic requirements for economic growth were available in India:
labour (skilled), capital, market, and spirit of enterprise, yet the economy could
not regain the path it had traversed in the past. All this was largely due to the
colonial rule and the policies that were followed to sustain that regime. Indeed,
most analysis of the colonial India has attributed the unsatisfactory performance
of the economy and the absence of modern industrial development to either British
policy, which inhibited local initiative. Every time colonial grip became weak
due to crisis faced by the government, Indian industry thrived. This happened,
for instance, when Britain was drawn into the two World Wars.
The machine age in India began when cotton textile, jute and coal-mining
industries were started in the 1850s. The first textile mill was opened in Bombay
by Cowasjee Nanabhoy in 1853, and the first jute mill in Bengal in 1855.These
industries gradually expanded. By first decade of the 20thcentury, India had 206
cotton mills employing nearly 1,96,000 persons. In 1901, there were over 36
jute mills employing nearly 1,15,000 persons. The coal-mining industry employed
nearly one lakh persons in 1906.Other mechanical industries which developed
during the second half of the 19thand the beginning of the 20thcentury were cotton
gins and presses, rice, flour and timber mills, leather tanneries, woollen textiles,
sugar mills, iron and steel works, and such mineral industries as salt, mica and
saltpetre. Cement, paper, matches, sugar, and glass industries developed during
the 1930s. But all these industries had a very stunted growth.
Most of the modern Indian industries were owned or controlled by the British
capital. Only in the cotton textile industry did Indians have a large presence
from the very beginning, and in the 1930s, the sugar industry was developed by
16
Indians. There were many reasons for the domination of enterprise by British Indian Economic
Development – A Historical
managing agencies. Banks were mostly controlled by British financers. It was Perspective
not easy for Indians to get credit from Banks. Even when they got loans, they
had to pay high interest rates while foreigners could borrow on much easier
terms. Of course, Indians began to develop their own banks and insurance
companies gradually. In 1914, foreign banks held over 70 per cent of all bank
deposits in India; by 1937, their share had decreased to 57 per cent. British
enterprises in India also took advantage of their close connection with British
suppliers of machinery and equipment, shipping, insurance companies, marketing
agencies, government officials and political leaders to maintain their dominant
position in the Indian economy. Moreover, the government followed a conscious
policy of favouring foreign capital as against Indian capital.
The railway policy of the government also discriminated against Indian enterprise;
railway freight rates encouraged imports at the cost of trade in domestic products.
It was more difficult and costlier to distribute Indian goods than to distribute
imported goods. Another serious weakness of Indian industrialisation in the
colonial period was the almost complete absence of heavy or capital goods
industries, without which there can be no rapid and independent development of
industries. India lacked such basic industries as steel, metallurgy, machine,
chemical and oil in 1950. The country met about 90 per cent of its needs of
machine tools through imports. India also lagged in the development of electric
power.
The 19thcentury also witnessed the growth of plantation industries such as indigo,
tea and coffee. They were almost exclusively owned by Europeans. Indigo
manufacturing was introduced into India at the end of the 18thcentury and
flourished in Bengal and Bihar. It was used as dye in manufacturing textile.
Peasants were compelled to cultivate indigo instead of food crops. This oppression
of indigo planters was vividly portrayed by the famous Bengali writer Dinbandhu
Mitra in his play Neel Darpan in 1860. With the invention of a synthetic dye the
indigo industry gradually declined.
The tea industry developed in Assam, Bengal, south India, and the hills of
Himachal Pradesh. It was assisted by the government with grants of rent-free
land and other facilities. In time, the use of tea spread across India and it also
became an important item of export. Coffee plantations developed during this
period in south India.
The plantation and other foreign-owned industries were of hardly any advantage
to the Indian people. Their profits went out of the country. Most of their products
were sold in foreign markets and the foreign exchange so earned was utilised by
Britain. A large part of their salary bill was spent on highly paid foreign staff.
They purchased most of their equipment abroad. Most of their technical staff
was foreign. The only advantage that Indians got out of these industries was the
creation of unskilled jobs. Most of the workers in these enterprises were, however,
extremely low paid, and they worked under extremely harsh conditions for very
long hours.
The share of modern industries in national income at the end of British rule was
only 7.5 per cent. In terms of production as well as employment, the modern
industrial development of India was insignificant as compared with the economic
development of other countries or in keeping with the requirements of India’s
economic development. In 1950, out of a population of 357 million only
2.3 million were employed in modern industries.
The process of the economic drain actually started after 1757. The East India
Company ceased to export bullion to Bengal as of that year, although some
marginal export of bullion occurred to other places. All the purchases in Bengal
and other parts of India were made out of the surplus of the territorial revenue of
Bengal. The part of revenue devoted to such purchases was known as ‘investment’.
Later more components got added to this economic drain. Montgomery Martin
who made a survey of the condition of the people of Bengal and Bihar from 1806
to 1816 realised the enormity of the economic drain. He concluded: “The annual
drain of £3,000,000 on British India has amounted , in thirty years at twelve per
cent (the usual Indian rate) compound interest, to the enormous sum of
£723,000,000 sterling….So constant and accumulating a drain, even in England,
would soon impoverish her.” (adopted from William Digby, Prosperous British
India p.223). Nearly one century later, William Digby too concluded that the
primary cause of India’s deplorable condition was the Economic Drain. The view
of William Digby was that the total drain amounted to £60,080 millions up to the
end of the 19th century (p.230).
There were several components of this drain of wealth. These were interest on
foreign debt incurred by the East India Company, military expenditure, guaranteed
return on foreign investments in railways, irrigation, road transport and finally,
“home charges” or paying for the secretary of state and his establishment at the
India Office in London, as well as pay and pension of civilian and military
personnel. It has been estimated that 5 to 10 per cent of the total national income
of India was in a way unilaterally exported out of the country. To find out the real
cause of poverty in India, more than hundred years ago, Dadabhai Naoroji in his
‘Poverty and Un-British Rule in India’ (1876) developed explicitly a ‘drain theory’
and according to him, this ‘economic drain’ by the alien ruler was “potential
surplus” that could have supported domestic capital formation, generating
economic expansion, had it been invested in India.
A series of famines that ravaged all parts of India in the second half of the 19th
century contributed significantly to the incidence of poverty and deprivation in
the country. There were regular scarcities and minor famines in one or the other
part of the country throughout the British rule. In 1770, a third of the population
of Bengal reportedly died in a famine. In 1865-66 a famine engulfed Odisha,
19
Indian Economic Development: Bengal, Bihar and Madras and took a toll on nearly two million lives with Odisha
An Overview
alone losing one million people. Between 1876 and 1878, 4 million people died,
mainly in Bombay and Madras Presidencies. In 1897-97, more than 5 million
perished. Apart from these major famines, many other local famines and scarcities
occurred. William Digby, a British writer, estimated that in all over 28.8 million
people died during famines from 1854 to 1901. Another famine in 1943 accounted
for nearly a million people in Bengal. These famines and the high losses of life
indicate the extent to which poverty and hunger had taken root in India.
The grim reality of India’s poverty during the 19th century was recognised by
many English officials. “I do not hesitate to say,” remarked Charles Elliott, a
member of the Governor-General’s Council, “that half the agricultural population
do not know from one year’s end to another what it is to have a full meal.”
William Hunter, the compiler of the Imperial Gazetteer, conceded that “forty
million of the people of India habitually go through life on insufficient food.”
( British rule in India: Condemned by the British Themselves, issued by the
Indian National Party, London, p.67). “Why is it India” remarked William Digby,
“is more liable to devastation by famine than are other countries? – because
India is steadily and rapidly growing poorer.”(ibid.p.140)
In the 20th century the situation became worse. The quantity of food available to
an Indian declined by as much as 29 per cent in the 30 years between 1911 and
1941. India along with China had the lowest per capita incomes during the period
1925-34 as per the estimates of Colin Clark, whereas, the per capita income in
England was five times that of India. Moreover, the life expectancy of an Indian
during the 1930s was only 32 years while most of the West European and North
American countries, enjoyed a life expectancy of over 60 years already.
20
Indian Economic
1.6 MACROECONOMIC POLICY Development – A Historical
Perspective
Indian economy during the British era suffered from low levels and growth rates
of national and per capita income, stagnant agriculture sector, falling share of
indigenous handicraft industry, weak capital goods industry base, foreign trade
oriented to feed the Industrial Revolution in Britain, prevalence of rampant poverty
and unemployment and what not. The state of the economy could be clearly
depicted with the help of the following macroeconomic indicators:
The two centuries (1757-1947) recorded major structural changes in the trade
policy. The period can be divided into four parts: 1759-1813, 1813-1850, 1850-
1914, and 1914-1947.
i) 1759-1813
The first period can be termed as the age of Mercantilism. During this period,
the East India Company established its political supremacy, attempted to
enforce exclusive monopolistic trade between India and Britain.
Nevertheless, the company was largely unsuccessful due to activities of
private traders. The important characteristics of the trade was that Indian
trade continued to flow along the traditional channels and its composition
was based on an exchange of fine textiles, foodstuffs and other raw materials
for precious metals and certain manufactured products. The East India
Company financed a large volume of its trade through the surplus from the
budgetary sources of its India possessions.(see 1.4 Drain of Wealth).
The East India Company used its dominant position to compel weavers and
other producers of export commodities to supply their output to the English
Company at a specified price determined by the latter. Thus the principle of
freely negotiable contract was now increasingly abandoned. The use of
budgetary surplus to finance export of goods to Europe and the silver to
finance the Company purchase of tea and silk in China led to contraction of
money supply, threw out of balance the whole banking and monetary system,
and provoked loud complaints from native traders and foreign merchants.
Due to the pressure by the private traders and the decline of Mercantilist
doctrines in England, exclusive monopoly in Indian trade was abolished in
1813, and the East India Company was debarred from trading in 1833.
ii) 1813-1850
A major structural change took place during this period in the commodity
composition of the Indian trade, which continued until the end of World
War I. India was gradually transformed from being an exporter of
22
manufacture products (largely textiles) into a supplier of primary Indian Economic
Development – A Historical
commodities, importing finished consumer goods and certain intermediate Perspective
industrial goods in return. In 1811-12, the percentage share of piece goods
(fabrics, made in standard widths and lengths) in total export values from
Calcutta was 33 per cent, in 1814-15 it was 14.3 per cent, and in 1839-40
just 5 per cent. Between 1814 and 1850, four commodities that dominated
the exports baskets were indigo, raw silk, opium and cotton.
iii) 1850-1914
The construction of railway lines in India during 1850’s and the outbreak of
Crimean War gave new impetus to the sub-continental trade. In the following
two decades, volume and value of foreign trade increased phenomenally
due to American civil war and opening of Suez Canal. There was general
reduction in oceanic freight. Rapid industrialisation of continental countries,
the US and Japan created a new level of demand for raw materials and food
stuffs. This was the great age of multilateral trade and international payments.
iv) 1914-1947
The age of multilateral trade and the frictionless gold standard exchange
system ended abruptly in 1914. The conditions under which Indian foreign
trade was conducted in post-war period were dictated by– worldwide
industrial reorganisation, growth of bilateral trading arrangements, a policy
of tariff protection, and foreign exchange controls. In addition, India, along
with the other exporters of primary commodities suffered from the World
Depression of 1929. As a result of these developments, the general trend of
India’s foreign trade during the inter-war period were showed wide
fluctuations. The last seven years from the outbreak of the World War II to
1946 were characterised by wartime controls and large-scale political
upheaval preceding India’s independence in 1947, influencing the trade
flows.
Before the uprising of 1857 the commercial policy was guided by the twin
principles of extending protection to British imports and using tariffs for revenue
mobilisation. In Bengal, the rates of duties on exports and imports were fixed at
5 to 10 percent in 1810. In line with the principle of favouring British trade and
shipping, next year the duty rates on goods carried by foreign ships were doubled.
Subsequently, the duty on British imports was reduced to 2.5 per cent. Similarly,
in view of the serious state of public finances in post-1857 period, the government
in 1859 sharply raised duties on goods including cotton textiles from Britain.
There was a public outcry in Britain and in 1862 import duty on cotton was
reduced from 10 to 5 per cent.
Throughout the period an unusual characteristic of India’s foreign trade was the
existence of a large export surplus which was not accompanied by either a rise in
her foreign exchange reserves or an increase in overseas lending. This surplus
was used for unilateral transfer of funds that India had to make to Britain as part
of the political charges or the political “tribute’’. This was debited to her external
account. It was also used to partly settle Britain’s trade deficit with US and Europe.
Tariff policy was looked upon by India nationalists as the main instrument of
British economic imperialism. Until the First World War, there was no import
duty, which could possibly offer any sort of protection to any of the Indian
23
Indian Economic Development: industries. This was, as A.K. Bagchi noted, “quite contrary to the trend in the
An Overview
rest of the world, including the British Dominions”. After 1918, under the pressure
of the national movement, the Government of India was forced to grant some
tariff protection to a few industries. But this was inadequate and ineffective.
Newspaper the Bengalee in its edition on January 18, 1902 argued that: ‘The
agitation for political rights may bind the various nationalities of India together
for a time. The community of interests may cease when these rights are achieved.
But the commercial union of the various Indian nationalities, once established,
will never cease to exist. Commercial and industrial activity is, therefore, a bond
of very strong union and is, therefore, a mighty factor in the formation of a great
Indian nation.’ (adopted from Bipan Chandra, Rise and Growth of Economic
Nationalism in India, 2010, pp70-71) It was in context of this vision of
industrialisation that nationalists took up the issues of foreign trade, railways,
tariffs, currency and exchange, finance, and labour legislation. During the First
World War and after, when the social base of the national movement became
more broad-based with involvement of workers and peasant, the issue of interests
of workers and peasants were endorsed by the Indian National Congress in its
Karachi session held in March 1931. The Karachi session became memorable
for its resolution on Fundamental Rights and the National Economic Programme.
In its resolution on National Economic Programme, it declared that ‘in order to
end the exploitation of the masses, political freedom must include real economic
freedom of the starving millions.’ It, besides promising substantial reduction in
rent and revenue and living wages for workers, also emphasised state ownership
or control of key industries, mines and means of transport.
However, it was realised that the problems of poverty and unemployment and of
the economic regeneration in general cannot be solved without industrialisation
to which end a comprehensive scheme of national planning’was required.
In 1938, Subhas Chandra Bose was elected the President of the Indian National
Congress and presided over the 51st session at Haripura. In his presidential address,
he spoke of the planned economic development of independent India on socialistic
lines. He said, “I have no doubt in my mind that our chief national problems
relating to the eradication of poverty, illiteracy and disease, and to scientific
production and distribution can be effectively tackled only along socialist lines.
The very first thing which our future national government will have to do would
25
Indian Economic Development: be to set up a commission for drawing up a comprehensive plan for
An Overview
reconstruction.”
In October 1938, the Congress President, Subhas Chandra Bose, set up the
National Planning Committee (NPC) with Jawaharlal as its Chairman. The NPC
was an exception in bringing together a striking group of policymakers, politicians,
and experts from various fields covering the widest spectrum of activities in the
economy. Equally important, several business leaders actively participated in
this deliberative process led by Jawaharlal Nehru. The committee had fourteen
members selected from occupationally diverse backgrounds, four industrialists—
Ambalal Sarabhai, Puroshottam Thakurdas, Walchand Hirachand and A.D. Shroff,
five scientists, Meghnad Saha, A.K. Saha, Nazir Ahmed, J.C. Ghosh and V.S.
Dubey, three economists, K.T. Shah, Radha Kamal Mukherjee and M.
Visvesvaraya. The two other members were J. C. Kumarappa, who with his
Gandhian ideals represented the All-India Village Association and N.M. Joshi, a
representative of industrial workers.
The massive architecture of planning that the NPC sought to undertake was
evident from the division of work among its members. Eight themes were
identified, namely, agriculture, industry, demographic relations, trade, transport,
public welfare, education, and women’s role. The work of this group was an
important step in evolving a national consensus.
Indian business leaders, with some of the most astute minds of the period in their
ranks, developed a fairly comprehensive economic critique of imperialism in all
its manifestations, whether it be direct appropriation through-home charges or
exploitation through trade, finance, currency manipulation or foreign investments.
As Sir Purshottamdas, President of FICCI, declared at its second annual session
in 1928: ‘Indian commerce and industry are intimately associated with and are,
indeed, an integral part of the national movement — growing with its growth
and strengthening with its strength.’ In a statement issued to the Press on December
25,1942, FICCI asserted: “India’s vital interests in the economic, financial an[d]
fiscal spheres have hitherto been subordinated to those of Britain and whenever
they have been in conflict, . . . Indian interests have in the past been sacrificed or
relegated to a second place.” (FICCI, Correspondence and Relevant Documents
Relating to Important Questions Dealt with by the Federation during the Year
1942-43.)
During Second World War, big three of the Indian business world — J.R.D. Tata,
G.D. Birla and Lala Sri Ram issued A Plan of Economic Development for India.
This came to be known as ‘the Bombay Plan’. The other signatories to this plan
26
were Ardeshir Dalal, Kasturbha Lal bhai, Ardeshir Darabshaw Shroff, Indian Economic
Development – A Historical
Sir Purshottamdas Thakurdas and John Mathai. Two among them– Ardeshir Perspective
Darabshaw Shroff and Sir Purshottamdas Thakurdas were the member of the
NCP of the Congress. The attitude of Indian industrialists to the economic structure
of independent India was encapsulated in the Plan. This plan too visualised far-
reaching land reforms, a large public sector and massive public and private
investment. It laid great emphasis on public investment in social and economic
infrastructure, in both rural and urban areas, importance of agrarian reforms and
agricultural research, setting up educational institutions and a modern financial
system. The views of the Indian business were, by this stage, closely aligned
with those of the Indian National Congress. The Plan therefore contained a strong
endorsement of state economic intervention and planning.
The Plan represented a turning point in the history of Indian business. It marked
the institutionalisation of a long relationship between business and nationalist
leadership as well as a historic moment when business groups, for the first time,
unhesitatingly aligned themselves with nationalist aspirations. Underlying the
Bombay Plan was the idea of a close partnership between business and the State.
It anticipated in real sense the Five-Year Plans and the industrial policies of the
future Congress governments in independent India.
In the 18thcentury the subcontinent was a major commercial hub of the world
economy. At the beginning of the British rule in mid-18th century, India supplied
quarter of all manufacture goods to the world markets and Indian handicrafts
constituted a major export item along with spices for European trade.
Colonial rule laid the foundation of a new economy based on peasant exports
and dependence on global industrial enterprise. India became a major market for
British manufactures, the big source for raw materials and food, and an important
region for the investment of British capital. It resulted in a stagnant agriculture,
a limited modern industry but with stunted growth, the pauperisation of the people,
especially the peasantry and the artisans.
The response to the colonial rule was Indian national movement for independence,
which represented the interests of the different classes and strata of Indian society.
It sought an independent self-reliant economic development as a common goal
for the people of India. A broad consensus evolved in the decade preceding
independence which laid the path to be followed for national development.
1.11 REFERENCES
1) Angus Maddison. (2007). ‘The Contours of World Economy 1-2030 AD,
Oxford University Press 2007, p.p. 381.
2) Bagchi, A.K. (1972). Private Investment in India,1900-1939, Cambridge.
CUP
3) Bose, Sugata, and Ayesha Jalal (1998). Modern South Asia: History, Culture,
Political Economy. London: Routledge.
4) Chandra, Bipan, (1979). Nationalism and Colonialism in Modern India,
New Delhi; Orient Longman.
5) Chaudhuri, K.N. (1978). The Trading World of Asia and The English East
India Company. Cambridge. CUP.
6) Desai, A.R. (1959). Social Background of Indian Nationalism. 3rd edition.
Bombay. PBD
7) The Cambridge Economic History of India. Vol 2, ed. Dharma Kumar.
Cambridge. CUP
8) R. C. Dutt’sEconomic History of India in the Victorian Age (London, 1904;
reptd. Delhi, 1960),
9) Roy, Tirthankar, (2000). The Economic History of India, 1857-1947, New
Delhi: OUP.
10) Sarkar, Sumit. (1983). Modern India, 1885-1947. New Delhi: Macmillan.
30
Indian Economic
UNIT 2 GROWTH AND STRUCTURE OF Development – A Historical
Perspective
THE INDIAN ECONOMY
Structure
2.0 Objectives
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Overall Trends
2.3 Structural Change in the Economy
2.3.1 Composition of Gross Domestic Product
2.3.2 Sectoral Share of Employment
2.3.3 Share of Organised and Unorganised Sector in Output and Employment
2.3.4 Share of Rural and Urban sectors in Output and Employment
2.3.5 Share of Consumption, Government Spending, Investment and Net Exports in
GDP
2.3.6 Share of the Public and the Private Sector in GDP
2.4 The Rise of Tertiary Sector: Composition, Causes and Prospects
2.4.1 Composition of the Service Sector
2.4.2 Causes of Rapid Increase in Tertiary Sector
2.4.3 Prospects and Opportunities
2.4.4 Limitations
2.4.5 Need for an Integrated Policy
2.5 Medium and Long-Term Growth Prospects of the Economy
2.5.1 Major Policy Initiatives in the Recent Decades
2.5.1.1 Containing Inflation and Soaring Fiscal Deficits
2.5.1.2 Beneficiary Focus and Targeted Delivery
2.5.1.3 Infrastructure
2.5.1.4 Federalism
2.5.1.5 Corporate Exits
2.5.1.6 Demonetisation
2.5.1.7 Goods and Services Tax (GST)
2.5.2 The Challenges that Remain
2.5.2.1 Non-farm Employment Opportunities
2.5.2.2 Demographic Transition and Dividend
2.5.2.3 Urbanisation
2.5.2.4 Poverty and Inequality
2.5.2.5 Environment and Climate Change
2.5.2.6 Infrastructure
2.6 Let Us Sum Up
2.7 Term- end Exercises
2.8 Key Words
2.9 References
2.10 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
31
Indian Economic Development:
An Overview 2.0 OBJECTIVES
As you go through this unit, you will be able to:
• identify the growth path of the Indian economy since 1951;
• differentiate the stages of growth through which the Indian economy has
evolved;
• recognise the factors that contributed to rapid growth in different stages;
• become familiar with the structural change that the Indian economy has
gone through post-independence; and
• understand the medium to long-term prospects of India’s economic growth.
2.1 INTRODUCTION
Different sectors of the economy, such as agriculture, industry or services employ
natural, human, and material resources and contribute to the aggregate flow of
goods and services during a given time period which may normally be specified
as a year. This aggregate flow of final (as distinct from intermediate) goods and
services constitutes the national product of the economy. Alternately, if the
economic activity comprising the aggregate flow of goods and services is
measured in terms of the income earned by all the different factors of production
(land, labour, capital, and entrepreneurship) employed in the production process
during the year it is termed as national income. The national income, it may be
recalled, can also be measured as the aggregate expenditure in the economy in
terms of private consumption, government spending, investment and the spending
on net exports. The production, income and expenditure methods are three
methods of estimating Gross Domestic Product and other national account
aggregates. The rate of growth of the national income when compared with the
rate of growth of population indicates whether the economy is declining, stagnant
or growing. It is only when the national income grows at a rate faster than the
rate of growth of population that the per capita income shows a rising trend; the
people are able to improve their living standards and the economy is able to add
to its stock of capital, which along with technology and labour supports economic
growth. However, economic growth does not necessarily improve every citizen’s
living standards, something captured by a much broader and complex issue of
development. While the country has been performing well in terms of growth, it
seems to be lacking behind in terms of development.
The Central Statistical Office (CSO) has been producing annual official estimates
of national income and other national accounts aggregates of India since 1955
and publishing it annually in National Accounts Statistics (NAS). It is with the
help of this data that we shall study the trend in India’s national income over the
last seven decades.
1
.Prof. Raj Krishna had believed that the economy was caught in the “low level equilibrium trap
of slow growth” of 3.5 per cent annual growth rate. This came to be known as ‘Hindu Rate of
Growth’. 33
Indian Economic Development: that capacity addition comes in spurts, exceeding immediate requirements but
An Overview
anticipating a subsequent catch-up in demand. Investment spending, consequently,
goes up sharply at the beginning of a cycle and declines just as abruptly once the
desired capacity has been created. The investment cycle was on upswing. Three,
exports of both goods and services were the third engine of growth. India’s
merchandise exports got getting diversified geographically and, therefore, were
not very vulnerable to localised business cycles. All these three engines gained
an additional boost by what appears to be a sustained, across-the-board increase
in productivity.
But this phase also shared one major weakness with the previous phase: labour-
intensive manufacturing remained sluggish. The end to licensing and to the small-
scale industries reservation in most labour-intensive products did not have the
intended outcomes in this sector. The reasons for this are well-known (labour
market rigidities facing large-scale producers, infrastructure bottlenecks and
bureaucratic red tape). Unfortunately, without rapid expansion of the unskilled-
labour-intensive industry, progress towards poverty reduction and transition to a
modern economy will remain far slower than is feasible.
India’s GDP growth moderated to 5 per cent in 2019-20 as compared to 6.8 per
cent in 2018-19, amidst a weak environment for global manufacturing, trade and
demand. The economic state of the Indian economy from 2019 onwards may be
identified as ‘pause phase’. During the pause phase the clouds over India’s
economic performance and prospects are getting bigger and darker. First, India’s
economic growth has slowed, aggregate investment has slackened and it could
get worse. Second, inflation needs to be monitored. Third, the country’s external
imbalances are growing at a time when capital flows are becoming more volatile.
Fourth, with investment momentum remaining significantly below its trend, the
persistent weakness in consumption is a concern. Consumption has typically
provided a steady and elevated floor for India’s growth. Fifth, the sub-segment
of “trade, hotels, transport and communications,” which is typically an important
source of resilience for the services sector, is slowing consistently. Sixth, growth
in agriculture may take some hit. Seventh, the fiscal-monetary mix is completely
out of work and there is hardly any flexibility on the fiscal front. More importantly,
some fiscal responsibility will warrant spending cuts and revenue enhancement
in order to shrink the fiscal deficit. Likewise, the RBI is expected to anchor
expectations without offering one-or two-year forward guidance. Finally,
the impact of Covid-19 pandemic on the Indian economy has been largely
35
Indian Economic Development: disruptive in terms of economic activity as well as a loss of human lives. Almost
An Overview
all the sectors have been adversely affected as domestic demand and exports
sharply plummeted with some notable exceptions where high growth was
observed. Tourism, Hospitality and Aviation were among the worst affected
sectors. Consumption also got impacted due to job losses and decline in income
levels of people particularly the daily wage earners. Greater uncertainty about
the future course and repercussion of Covid-19 also made the financial market
extremely volatile. There is likelihood that the three major components of
aggregate demand — consumption, investment, and exports are likely to stay
subdued for a prolonged period of time. On the supply side, shutdown of factories
and the resulting delay in supply of goods from China affected many Indian
manufacturing sectors. Some sectors like automobiles, pharmaceuticals,
electronics, chemical products etc. faced an imminent raw material and component
shortage.
36
Growth and Structure of
2.3 STRUCTURAL CHANGE IN THE ECONOMY Indian Economy
Table 2.1: Sectoral Distribution of India’s GDP at Factor Cost (2011-12 prices) (%)
Sector 1960-61 1990-91 2000-01 2010-11
Primary 51.0 33.0 25.0 17.0
Secondary 18.0 24.0 24.0 24.5
Tertiary (Service) 31.0 43.0 51.0 58.5
Source: Economic Survery (Various issues)
Services sector is the largest sector of India. Gross Value Added (GVA) at current
prices for Services sector is estimated at Rs. 92.26 lakh crore (54.40 per cent of
total India’s GVA) in 2018-19. With GVA of Rs. 50.43 lakh crore, Industry sector
contributes 29.73 per cent, while, agriculture and allied sector shares 15.87 per
cent.
This pattern of structural change in Indian economy has deviated from the
development pattern of Western and South East Asian economies. Those
economies experienced first a shift from primary to secondary sector and only in
their advanced stage did they experience a significant shift in favour of tertiary
sector. This pattern of development enabled them to transfer growing labour 37
Indian Economic Development: force from primary to secondary sector. In India this has not been possible because
An Overview secondary sector has not expanded fast enough to absorb growing labour force.
Although the manufacturing sector has grown at a fast pace the section’s
contribution less as compared to countries. The unskilled and uneducated rural
masses have continued to struggle in the primary sector and those who have
been forced out by economic, social and political factors have joined the urban
slum sector. Moreover, the sharp increase in the share of tertiary sector in GDP
in India has occurred at a much lower level of per capita income than that in the
developed countries when they experienced a similar expansion. This pattern of
growth underlines the link between the growing poverty and unemployment and
the inadequate growth of manufacturing and building activity in the country.
This failure in turn could be attributed to absence of structural attributes like a
basic literacy in the workforce upon which further skills can be imparted, physical
infrastructure (i.e., power, roads, railways and access to ports), access to financial
capital and, crucially, policies that encourage allocation of resources through
export-oriented manufacturing.
India has also become more integrated into the global economy, with its trade
ratio– the ratio of exports and imports to GDP– adding up to about 40 per cent of
GDP in 2017, five times the ratio of 7.6 per cent in 1971, yet lower than the peak
ratio of 57 per cent in 2014. Exports as a per cent of GDP tripled from 7.3 per
cent in 1991 to 22 per cent in 2007, and were 25.5 per cent of GDP in 2014. The
contribution of net exports to growth has been muted, with import growth
exceeding export growth in a majority of years.
40
Check Your Progress 2 Growth and Structure of
Indian Economy
1) Discuss the significant factors highlighting the structural change in the Indian
Economy.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
2) Consumption spending as a component of national income has been
contributing majorly to the economic growth in India. Do you agree?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
3) Discuss the reasons behind growing contribution of the Rural Economy in
India.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
ii) A large part of the service sector consists of infrastructure such as banking,
insurance, finance, transport and communication and social and community
services such as educational and medical facilities. An urgent requirement
of development is the proper expansion of infrastructure to cater to the needs
of other sectors of the economy and the expansion of the social and
community services for the well-being of the people.
iii) Public services grow more rapidly where national Governments have
significant role in planning and production in the economy as a whole. In
fact, the ‘visible hands’ of the modern governments as reflected in the
government policies and in the expansion patterns of the national and
international authorities during the last few decades are directed towards
the creation of fast economic and social infrastructures.
42
viii) Another factor, albeit very important, has been the favourable international Growth and Structure of
Indian Economy
environment. The changing liberalised environment opened up immense
possibilities for the exports of India’s service sector. An important
contribution has been made by the IT sector, as also entertainment industry,
etc. India and the ASEAN, the 10-member regional grouping, moved closer
to completing a bilateral trade pact, but finalising a free-trade agreement
(FTA) on services and investment. The pact will enable free movement of
professionals from here such as doctors, engineers, architects and
management consultants across the ASEAN markets.
In addition to the above factors, an increase in the share of the non-commodity
sector in the GDP can also be attributed to slow growth in the commodity
producing sector. While a part of this is explained by difficulties inherent in
bringing about a fast rate of growth in the primary sector, a part is undoubtedly
due to the failure of the secondary sector and its major component, which is
manufacturing and construction, to grow at the much faster rate that was necessary
to give the commodity sector a comparable status with the non-commodity sector
in the growth rate.
iii) Unlike most other prices, world prices of transport and communication
services have fallen dramatically. The cost of communication is becoming
independent of distance. India’s geographical distance from several important
industrial markets is no longer an important element in the cost-structure of
skill-based activities.
iv) India does not necessarily have to be a low-cost producer of certain types of
goods (e.g., computers or discs) before it can become an efficient supplier
of services embodied in them (e.g., software or music). It is possible now to
provide value added services without waiting to ‘catch up’ in technology
for production of sophisticated equipment or products.
vi) The aging of population in the developed world implies that the demand for
services will continue to grow.
2.4.4 Limitations
However, the service sector, as at present, suffers from low productivity and
quality in spite of fairly large investment in technology. The sector faces multiple
challenges for sustained growth over the years. A number of services where India
enjoys comparative advantages experience lack of clear policy thrust. A number
of services in India are either predominantly associated with the Government or
are not liberalised enough to ensure growth through organised private initiatives.
Services like professional, legal, postal, accountancy and insurance need further
liberalisation to harness their potential. Unless sustained efforts are put in to
improve these, with the increasing importance of the services in wake of structural
adjustment and liberalisation in the economy we may get into two alternate
scenarios.
a) Economic and social position of workers in the service sector will steadily
go down– since real incomes cannot be higher than productivity for any
44
extended length of time. This means economic stagnation and consequent Growth and Structure of
Indian Economy
social tensions; or
b) The workers in this sector will use their numerical strength to get wages
higher than their economic contribution justified. This will impoverish
others– reducing everyone’s income and increasing unemployment.
45
Indian Economic Development: Check Your Progress 3
An Overview
1) Discuss in brief the causes of the rapid increase in tertiary sector in India.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
2) Discuss in brief the limitations from which the service sector suffers in India.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
3) Outline the need for an integrated service sector policy in India.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
Discipline was also imposed on the Gross Fiscal Deficit (GFD). The Fiscal
Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act of 2003, which got a new
lease of life since 2016, determines the glide path for the ratio of GFD to GDP to
reach an eventual target of 3 per cent. The ratio declined from 4.5 per cent in
2013-14 to 3.4 per cent in 2018-19. Other macro-stability indicators have similarly
improved.
Another pathway for the trickle-down is the Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana
(PMJDY), a financial inclusion initiative. The linking of mobile numbers with
bank account numbers and subsequently Aadhaar, created a JAM (Jan Dhan,
Aadhaar, Mobile) trinity that further secured Direct Benefit Transfers (DBT) to
the intended beneficiaries.
2.5.1.3 Infrastructure
2.5.1.4 Federalism
When the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) was introduced in 2016, it
consolidated the insolvency resolution process into a single law by repealing/
amending multiple rules and processes earlier in operation. IBC set a time limit
for closing of insolvency and bankruptcy cases within which assets of a defaulting
borrower are auctioned to pay off the debt owed to lending institutions. Following
the operationalisation of IBC since 2017, a significant number of non-performing
assets have been brought under its ambit. In addition to the large sums recovered
by creditors from resolution or liquidation, the introduction of a framework for
exit has improved the overall business culture of the country.
2.5.1.5 Demonetisation
The government of India took a bold step to demonetise Rs. 500 and Rs. 1000
currency with effect from 8 November 2016 midnight. It was a major decision
which had its impact on all sections of the society. It was aimed to reduce funds
to terrorism, decrease the corruption rate, eliminate counterfeit notes, and open
gates for a cashless economy. Through the demonetisation exercise, the
government has been pressing hard to become a cashless economy and is
encouraging more and more people to adopt the digital payments system for
their transactions.
Implemented on July 1, 2017, the Goods and Services Tax (GST)is regarded as
the biggest and substantial indirect tax reform since independence. GST has
replaced a number of Central and State taxes, made India more of a national
integrated market, and brought more producers into the tax net. It has subsumed
all sorts of indirect taxes like Central Excise Tax, VAT/Sales Tax, Service tax,
48
etc. and implement one taxation system in India. The main aim of GST is to Growth and Structure of
Indian Economy
create a single, unified market which will benefit in the development of country’s
economy. GST taxes only the final consumer. Hence the cascading of taxes (tax-
on-tax) is avoided and production costs are cut down. The system is expected to
improvise tax collections and boost up India’s economic development and break
all tax barriers between Central and State Governments.
Aided by all these features, the Indian economy rebounded back on high growth
trajectory. While rest of the world was cooling off with growth rates slowing
down, the Indian economy recorded highest-ever growth rates during the period
2014-19, clocking an average of about 7.5 per cent per annum. It is widely-
accepted that India cannot meaningfully regain its economic momentum unless
corporate investments are brought on track. The sort of demand stimulus that the
government has preferred despite supply constraints will only add to inflationary
pressures. Public investment cannot play a major role in the recovery unless
there is a significant shift of public spending away from subsidies and towards
asset creation. A private investment revival is thus the magic key. Unwinding the
current policy tangle is key to reviving animal spirits.
2.5.2.3 Urbanisation
India is both a major greenhouse gas emitter and one of the most vulnerable
countries in the world to projected climate change. The country is already
experiencing changes in climate and the impacts of climate change, including
water stress, heat waves and drought, severe storms and flooding, and associated
negative consequences on health and livelihoods. With a 1.3 billion but growing
population and dependence on agriculture, India probably will be severely
impacted by continuing climate change. This calls for innovations, new
technologies, and new approaches to economic development.
2.5.2.6 Infrastructure
India’s ambition of sustaining its relatively high growth depends on one important
factor: infrastructure. The country, however, is plagued with weak infrastructure
incapable of meeting the needs of a growing economy and growing population.
The corporate growth and investments can also be hampered if the government
fails to close the infrastructure deficit, which some experts estimate costs 4-5 per
cent of GDP due to inefficiencies. Also in order to fulfil Sustainable Development
Goal number 9, India needs to develop quality, reliable, sustainable and resilient
infrastructure, including regional and trans-border infrastructure to support
50
economic development and human well-being, with a focus on affordable and Growth and Structure of
Indian Economy
equitable access for all.
2.9 REFERENCES
1) Ishwar C. (2019) Dhingra, Indian Economy in the Twenty-First Century,
Manakin Press, New Delhi.
2) The World Bank, (March 2018). India Development Update: India’s Growth
Story. Retrieved from http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/
814101517840592525/pdf/India-development-update-Indias-growth-
story.pdf
3) Patnaik I and Pandey R. (2019). Savings and capital formation in India.
Retrieved from https://macrofinance.nipfp.org.in/PDF/PatnaikPandey-
savings_and_capital_formation_in_India.pdf
52
4) Kumar P. (May 2020). The Economic Impact of COVID 19 with special Growth and Structure of
Indian Economy
reference to India. Retrieved from http://164.100.47.193/Refinput/
New_Reference_Notes/English/06072020_125312_1021205239.pdf
53
Indian Economic Development:
An Overview UNIT 3 DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION AND
ITS IMPLICATIONS
Structure
3.0 Objectives
3.1 Introduction
3.2 The Theory of Demographic Transition
3.3 Demographic Profile of India
3.3.1 Size and Growth Rate of Population in India
3.3.2 Birth Rates and Death Rates
3.3.3 Gender Composition of the Population
3.3.4 Literacy and Gender Composition
3.3.4.1 Gender Selective Abortions in India
3.3.4.2 Government Response
3.3.5 Age Composition
3.3.6 Life Expectancy
3.3.7 Rural-Urban Migration
3.4 Population Growth and Development
3.4.1 Population Policy
3.4.2 National Population Policy, 2000
3.5 Demographic Change and Economic Growth
3.5.1 Age Structure and Economic Growth
3.5.2 Concept of Demographic Dividend
3.5.3 Population Health
3.6 Demographic Dividend and Policy Interventions
3.6.1 Capturing India’s Demographic Dividend
3.7 Let Us Sum Up
3.8 Term-end Exercises
3.9 References
3.10 Key Words
3.11 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
3.0 OBJECTIVES
After reading this unit, you will be able to:
understand the impact of demography on economic growth and comprehend
the concept of demographic dividend in detail;
assess the role of health, education, and employment in harnessing the
demographic window of opportunity;
recognise the constraints that a nation faces in harnessing the benefits of the
demographic dividend;
know the demographic profile of India; and
54 analyses how the population growth affects economic development.
Demographic Transition and
3.1 INTRODUCTION Its Implications
The relationship between population growth and economic development has been
debated for several decades. The early Malthusian view was the pessimistic
argument stating that population growth impedes economic growth resulting in
reduction in per-capita income and resources which results in deterioration of
quality of life. The optimistic argument emphasises that population growth
promotes economic development as experienced by several East Asian countries.
A young educated population increases productivity and contributes to invention
and innovation of technologies.
An increase in the proportion of working age population (15-59) and fall in the
proportion of dependent population of age groups (0-15) and 60+ gives birth to
a window of opportunity termed as demographic dividend. The working age
population helps in increasing savings, investment and improves the economic
prosperity and standard of living of people. However, the benefits of demographic
dividend are not automatic or guaranteed. It depends upon several factors like
education, health, employment, infrastructure, right economic policies, and good
governance. The potential demographic dividend if not actualised may turn into
demographic disaster where young population becomes a liability or permanent
burden on the economy.
India has around 2.4 per cent of the total land area of the world and approximately
17 per cent of the world population residing in this country. In 2011 the population
of India was 1210 million, making it the second largest in the world. Area-wise,
India is at the seventh position in the world.
Phase IV: 1981-2011 (High growth with definite signs of slowing down)
India entered the fourth phase of demographic transition marked by high
population growth with definite sign of slowing down. Total population increased
from 683 million in 1981 to 1210 million in 2011 indicating an increase of 77.2
per cent during the 30 year period. The compound annual growth rate of population
reduced from 2.14 per cent (1991-2001) to 1.64 per cent (2001-2011). Most
Indian states such as Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, West Bengal, Punjab,
Himachal Pradesh, Gujarat and Assam have recorded low birth rates during this
phase. States like Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and Rajasthan will take
some more years for complete implementation of family planning programme.
57
Indian Economic Development: Table 3.2: Compound annual Growth Rate of Population
An Overview
Year Growth Rate
1891-1921 0.19
1921-1951 1.22
1951-1981 2.15
1981-2001 1.93
2001-2011 1.64
Source: Census of India 2001
Although the results from the Census 2021 have been delayed due to COVID 19,
there are indications that India is moving faster than earlier projected towards
attaining replacement level fertility rates at the state level and the consequent
stabilisation of population. Recent surveys show that in majority of Indian states
fertility rate has fallen well below the replacement level of 2.1 and the country is
fast approaching the replacement level itself. The total fertility rate of India stands
at 2.2 as of 2017.
2) After 1921 the gap between birth rate and death rate widened. There was
fall in the death rate from 48.6 per thousand in 1911-20 to 7.1 per thousand
58 in 2001-2010.
3) The birth rate also showed a decline after 1971 due to family planning Demographic Transition and
Its Implications
programs. States like Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh,
West Bengal, Karnataka and Punjab achieved a birth rate below 20 per
thousand. But states like Haryana, Gujarat, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Bihar,
Madhya Pradesh had high birth rates ranging from 27-28 per thousand. Hence
India as a whole did not enter third stage of demographic transition.
4) The high growth rate of population in India is an outcome of consistently
high birth rate but relatively fast declining death rate.
As a consequence, in 2011 females per thousand males were 940, while in Russia
it was (1,140), in Japan (1041) and in U.S.A (1029). The imbalance in gender
59
Indian Economic Development: ratio can be seen at state level. The gender ratio varied from 818 in Chandigarh
An Overview
to 1084 in Kerala in 2011. In case of Child Sex Ratio (CSR) Haryana was at the
bottom with CSR of 834 while Meghalaya and Mizoram were at the top with
CSR of 970. Pondicherry and Kerala have maximum number of women in India
while Haryana and Daman & Diu have lowest gender ratio. Few states like
Maharashtra, Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh showed improvement in gender
ratio in 2011.
There has been sharp deterioration in the gender ratio in Bihar from 946 in 1981
to 916 in 2011. In Punjab, U.P and Haryana gender ratio varies from 877 to 908
per 1000 males.
Table 3.5: Gender Ratio (female per 1000 males) in Major States of India
Arranged in Descending Order on the Basis of 1991, 2001 and 2011 Census
The proportion of female in India’s total population has been low and declining
since several decades. The declining gender ratio or sex imbalances have been
the cause of grave concern since it reflects the mindsets of people. India is a
country where son is given strong preference compared to daughters in many
families. There are various social, cultural, and economic factors like economic
support, property inheritance, old age security, prestige, beliefs about religious
rituals and salvation that leads to preference for sons over daughters. The son is
seen as an insurance against old age in the absence of strong social security
system. The discriminatory allocation of good diet, medical care and other family
resources in favour of sons over daughters is due to the consideration of potential
benefits that puts sons above daughters. Daughters in many families in India are
still considered as financial liability by their parents. A study conducted by CARE
(Co-operative for American Relief Everywhere) for pre-school children in Punjab
showed that 29 per cent of male children suffered from severe malnutrition but
the proportion was 71 per cent in case of females. Consequently, infant mortality
rates are high among girl child even in states like Punjab which has the highest
per-capita income.
The sudden fall in the number of girls aged 0-6 years age group shows linkages
between invention of new medical technologies such as pre-natal diagnostic
techniques and increased incidence of sex selective abortions or female foeticide.
The advancement in medical technologies has led to misuse of sex determination
technologies such as ultrasound scanning and amniocentesis. These technologies
were introduced to determine genetic abnormalities among fetus and were used
to detect sex of the child.
In the age group 0-14 the male population is about 1 per cent more than the
female population. A higher proportion of male and female in the working age
group 15-59 live in the urban areas as compared to rural areas. The Table 3.6
shows that a declining child population (0-14) and old age group (60+) reflects a
declining dependency ratio in the rural and urban areas. An increasing working
age population reflects that India is enjoying the benefits of favourable
demographics and potential demographic dividend in near future. This youth
bulge can be demographic dividend or demographic disaster depending upon
governance, infrastructure, education, health, employment opportunities etc.
62
Table 3.6: Percentage distribution of population by Broad Age Groups to Total Demographic Transition and
population by Gender and Residence, India, 2011 Its Implications
Note: Total percentage may not add to 100 on account of rounding in broad age groups
Source: Census of India (2011)
By early 1970’s India experienced very high rate of population growth. The
1971 Census showed a decadal increment of 109 million. Consequently, there
was renewed emphasis on targets, compensation payments and male sterilisation.
In the fifth five-year plan Prime Minister Indira Gandhi tried to implement
population control using coercive and dictatorial powers. The Emergency in 1975
-77 saw forced sterilisation in mass camps that ended up being a failure and
undermining family planning in the country.
The rhetoric of the population control and forced sterilisation largely disappeared
in the Sixth Plan (1980-85). However, family planning became more widespread
in practice. Since Seventh Plan there were efforts to tailor family planning
programme to the conditions prevailing in different states and adoption of multi-
sectoral approach that recognised linkages between birth control and education
programmes.
To achieve family planning goals government adopted following measures:
1) Motivation programme to spread knowledge of family planning through
newspapers, radio, T.V., film, etc.
2) Involvement of private sector in contraceptive delivery to all rural and urban
population.
3) Financial incentives and political restrictions to encourage family planning.
4) Extensive sterilisation of both males and females.
With the fall in fertility rate, there was preference for boys over girls that resulted
in problem of missing women in India. In 2010, the ratio of males to females in
India had reached 108 to 100, one of the highest in the world. Kerala emphasised
on poverty reduction and human development and achieved a sharp decline in
fertility rate in India. In Kerala, more than 85 per cent of women are literate,
which means they have more power in household and opportunities in the work
force. The success of Kerala suggested that by bringing in women empowerment,
literacy, and human development we can bring in reduced fertility rates and
preferences for small family could be improved.
66
Immediate Objective Demographic Transition and
Its Implications
The immediate objective is to provide for facilities to meet the unmet needs for
contraception, health care infrastructure and health personnel and an integrated
service delivery for basic reproductive and child health care.
Medium-term Objective
The medium objective is to bring Total fertility rate (TFR) to replacement level
by 2010.
Long-term Objective
The long-term objective is to stabilise population by 2045, at a level consistent
with requirements of sustainable economic growth, social development, and
environmental protection.
67
Indian Economic Development: Achievements
An Overview
It has been estimated that 320 million births have been averted during the period
1956-2011 through family welfare programme. The incidence of acceptance of
family planning methods peaked at 62.9 million at the beginning of 2011. The
couple protection rate has gone up to 48.0 per cent (against the world average of
61 per cent).
It brings out that the demographic transition has already set in India and is moving
swiftly to its final stage. The resulting differential impact on fertility level and
on population growth rate is clearly reflected in 2011 census. India will reach the
threshold of the Net Reproduction Rate of 1 within a decade from now. The
desired family size is already close to replacement level in 10 states. In other
states it is much lower than the actual number of children born.
The population policy seems to have great potential for attaining the goal of a
stable population in the stipulated time frame. There are opportunities that are
untapped. If we seize these opportunities we can reduce birth rate, infant mortality
rate and promote adoption of small family norms in the country.
Limitations
1) Population control programme is led by government bureaucracy, which
can be effective in addressing technical matters, but here we need
transformation in the attitudes of people in the favour of small family norm.
2) The main targets laid down in the Population policy are over-ambitious.
Goals like making school education up to age of 14 free and compulsory,
reducing school drop-out rates to below 20 per cent for both girls and boys,
achieving TFR of 2.1 by 2010, reducing infant mortality rate to 42 per 1000
live births, reducing maternal mortality rate to below 100 (from 437) per
100000 live births, achieving universal immunisation of children against all
vaccine preventable diseases are too ambitious to be achieved in the stipulated
timeframe.
3) The incentives mostly in cash resulted in widespread corruption and cooking
of data. These incentives did not reach people who were living in areas
where the fertility is high (urban slums, tribal communities). The social
transformation can only be brought with effective implementation of policies
at the grass root level and requires an active participation of people.
The age structure of the population can have a large effect on economic growth.
This can be due to shifts as a result of baby booms and busts and their echo
effects. The baby boom is not caused by increase in births but by the sharp
reduction in infant and child mortality due to increased access to vaccines
antibiotics, safe water and sanitation. This type of baby-boom starts with higher
survival and fertility declines as couples recognise that fewer births are needed
to reach their targets for surviving children and those targets are moderated.
Presence of more children requires more resources for food, clothing, housing,
medical care, and schooling. This gives boost to consumption led growth. The
babies born will reach working ages with period of 15-25 years where they become
productive and contribute to the process of economic growth and development.
India began reaping the benefits of demographic dividend in the early 1980’s,
70 more concretely in 1990s and is expected to reap till 2040. India has 20 more
years to realise the benefits of this demographic dividend. India needs visionary Demographic Transition and
Its Implications
policies in the field of education, health and employment and speedy decision
making to increase and sustain GDP, reduce poverty, and enhance human
capabilities of our citizens. We need to ensure employment-intensive growth
and social inclusion for the next quarter century to capitalise on the demographic
window of opportunity.
India’s health and nutrition indicators are very poor relative to the developed
and developing nations. This is because healthcare has been one of the most
neglected sectors of development and has suffered from persistent neglect in the
public policy. The lack of effective public involvement with health matters in
India has played no small part in the resilience of India’s health predicament.
(Dreaze and Sen, 2013)
It is important for India to develop a comprehensive vision of health care for the
country. This should be accompanied by better health delivery mechanism through
institutional change and by devoting greater proportion of GDP to public
expenditure on health. This has to go hand in hand with cultivation of greater
efficiency and accountability in public services. Lessons can be learnt from states
like Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Himachal Pradesh that have demonstrated the
possibility of making rapid progress in health at an early stage of development.
India can also learn from countries like Thailand, Brazil, Mexico, and China that
have transformed health policies for the well-being of their citizens.
According to the Economic Survey 2014-15 ‘300 million youth will enter the
labour force by 2025 and 25 per cent of the world’s workers in the next three
years will be Indians. Population projections indicate that in 2020, the average
age of India’s population will be lowest in the world around 29 years compared
to 37 years in China and United States of America, 45 years in West Europe and
48 years in Japan.’ Consequently, while the global economy is expected to witness
71
Indian Economic Development: a shortage of young population of around 56 million by 2020, India will be only
An Overview
country with a youth surplus of 47 million. (Report on Education, Skill
Development and Labour Force (2013-14) Volume III, Land Bureau, 2014). India
will not only have a young work force to fulfil its domestic needs but also an
opportunity to become the global hub for skilled work-force. ( Niti Aayog, 2017).
According to Dyson “More than half of the demographic growth during 2001-
2026 will occur in the northern states like Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan
and U.P. The populations of these four states will increase around 45-55 per cent
over this period, but those of other states will grow by only about 20-30 per
cent.” Unleashing the demographic dividend is one of the biggest challenges
that India faces today. Some states like Kerala, Goa, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh,
Punjab, Himachal Pradesh and West Bengal have surpassed average age of 29
years and hence shall be experiencing population ageing soon. States like Bihar,
Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh have huge potential demographic
dividend that can be utilised if timely action is taken. Equipping the young
population with health, education, employment opportunities and adequate skills
is of paramount importance.
Education empowers youth with skills and vision that help them contribute
productively in today’s knowledge economy. India dreams of becoming skill
capital in today’s world. For that we need to work on the quality of India’s
primary, secondary and tertiary education. Quality education augments
knowledge, skills and productivity of students who later on get employed
productively in different sectors of the economy. Hence education is the
back-bone of young India’s ability to harness the demographic dividend.
Girl’s education can further serve as an instrument for promoting fertility
decline. Education raises the opportunity cost of having children and hence
working and educated women prefer having less number of children. The
cost of investment per child also goes up as parents invest more in health
and education of each child raising productive capacity of future generation.
States need to adopt specific policy measures in the field of education-
i) Improving access to education considering high dropout rates among
senior students.
ii) Removing gender disparity in the higher age group and in the rural
areas.
72
iii) Improving quality of education, including pupil-teacher ratios and Demographic Transition and
Its Implications
provision of amenities in schools, especially in view of the declining
learning levels. (Economic Survey 2014-15).
Southern states had harnessed the benefits of demographic dividend since
they had higher education enrolment and better quality of education and
learning levels. The northern states have huge demographic potential due to
declining fertility rate. They have time to plan and pursue policies in several
areas like education, health, gender issues and employment generation to
garner the benefits of demographic opportunity.
2) Employment
The benefits of demographic bonus with diminishing dependency ratio
cannot be reaped unless the country’s working age population to total
population improves in the face of expansion in employment opportunities.
The benefits of demographic dividend are neither automatic nor guaranteed.
India’s economic growth has not been very employment friendly. The quality
of available employment has fallen as the share of unorganised and casual
work in total employment has risen. Roughly 93 per cent of the workforce
is employed in the informal sector. India’s high rate of informality is a drag
on its economic development and source of economic inequality. Informal
workers lack job security and are vulnerable to shocks such as loss of income
and illness. They earn less, work in unsafe environment and are hence less
productive compared to the formal workers.
India experienced three paradoxes of economic growth (Santosh Mehrotra,
2016)
i) There has been social inclusion but very little inclusive growth. Inclusive
growth can be defined as one where output growth is accompanied by
employment growth. When the growth is inclusive, the benefits of
growth reach the bottom sections of the society. It was found that, despite
high growth rate of national income, most of the increase in the
employment took place in unregistered enterprises in the form of
informal employment.
ii) In the period of sustained rapid economic growth from 2005-10
manufacturing employment declined in the absolute terms and services
employment barely grew at all. Employment increase has been
concentrated in construction sector which absorbed unskilled workers
leaving agriculture, due to slow agricultural growth and chronic rural
distress driven by shrinking farm size.
iii) The female labour force participation rates have been falling, despite
rising per-capita income. Women’s labour force participation rate
dropped from 42.7 per cent in 2004-05 to 31.2 per cent in 2011-12 and
further to 27.4 per cent in 2015-16. The participation rates are lower in
urban areas and among the educated women.
A) Efficient Infrastructure
Economic infrastructure includes reliable roads, railways, telecommunications,
water supply, sanitation, agricultural needs etc. Social infrastructure also
comprises of education and health services that needs to be improved
considerably. Investment in education and training will equip the youth with
different skills and enhance their employability capabilities. Expansion of
primary and secondary schools along with quality up gradation can help in
achieving goal of universalisation of literacy and promote employment
opportunities. Expansion of health services will promote demand for doctors,
paramedical personnel and other diagnostic centre that will enlarge
employment.
5) Good Governance
In a nation where institutions function efficiently there is transparency in
legal system, low level of corruption, respect for property rights and sanctity
of contracts exist, the development accelerates at a fast pace. A good
governance model is the key ingredient to balanced growth, equity and
stability in the nation. It helps in channelising the resources in an efficient
manner so that youth gets productively absorbed in the agriculture,
manufacturing and services sector. Policies that promote inclusive economic
growth avoid severe trade imbalances and reduce inflation should be
encouraged. The governance model comprises not only of prudent fiscal
and monetary policies but also well developed and competitive financial
markets. Labour markets with labour reforms can ensure that rights of
workers are protected and secured.
The daunting challenge of training large workforce and skilling them while
ensuring quality and speed with the help from private and public sector is
before us. To realise the benefits of demographic dividend India needs
reforms in primary, secondary and higher education along with health
infrastructure that can equip the young population. We also need to correct
the mismatch between demand and supply of skills and address these issues
in time-bound manner. Massive effort is needed in improving investment in
social infrastructure, empowerment of women and skill development. 75
Indian Economic Development: In the long run population growth shall necessitate administrative reforms
An Overview
and decentralisation of governance. With millions of people getting added
every year we need modern technology and strong public service delivery.
With the help of information and digital technology India can remove
multiple layers of governance. Schemes like direct benefit transfer, Jandhan
yojana, e-payment under Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment
Guarantee facilitated the beneficiaries and were useful social sector
programmes. The success, however, depends upon greater degree of
accessibility to information for the public, greater accountability,
transparency, efficiency and proper execution of policies of the government.
Poor states like Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh have been
experiencing falling fertility rates and rising share of working age population.
But favourable demographics are not supported by quality education and
productive employment opportunities for millions of youth entering labour force.
Hence the untapped demographic potential will go waste if not acted upon at the
right time. The role of government is to identify skill gaps in different states and
execute the policies that are suitable to capture the demographic dividend.
Check Your Progress 3
1) Explain the concept of Demographic Dividend. Is India’s demographic
transition supportive of enabling her to harness this dividend?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
76
....................................................................................................................... Demographic Transition and
Its Implications
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
2) In order to realise the demographic dividend India needs reforms in education,
health and employment generation. Explain.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
3) Youth unemployment is one of the biggest challenges that our nation is
facing today. Explain. What are the policies that government should adopt
to overcome this challenge?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
3.9 REFERENCES
1) Agrawal, A.N. & Agarwal, M.K. (2017). ‘INDIAN ECONOMY’ Problems
of Development and Planning. New Age International (P) Limited,
Publishers.
2) Bloom, David (2011). “Population Dynamics in India and Implications for
Economic Growth”, PGDA, Harvard School of Public Health. Working paper
no.65.
3) Dreze,Jean and Amartya Sen (2013). An Uncertain Glory: India and its
Contradiction. Penguin.
4) Dyson, Tim, Robert Cassen and Leela Visaria (eds.) (2004). Twenty-first
Century India: Population, Economy, Human Development and the
Environment, Ch.2 New Delhi: OUP.
5) Government of India, Economic Survey various issues including 2012-13,
2013-14, 2014-15, 2015-16 (Vol.II)
6) Government of India, NITI Aayog (2017). Three Year Action Agenda 2017-
18 to 2019-20 (April).
7) Government of India, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare. National
Family Health Survey, 2005-2006.
8) Kapila, Uma. (2017). “Demography and Development”, Academic
Foundation Publication.
9) Mahajan, Madhur M. (2020) INDIAN ECONOMY, Pearson India Education
Services Pvt. Ltd.
10) Mehrotra, S., (2016). “Realising the Demographic Dividend” Policies to
Achieve Inclusive Growth in India, Cambridge University Press.
11) Todaro, Michael P. & Smith, Stephen C. (2017). Economic Development
Published by Pearson Education, Limited.
78
12) Ruddar Datt & Sundharam (2018). “Human Resources and Economic Demographic Transition and
Its Implications
Development”,S. Chand Publishing.
13) Sen, Amartya. (1999). Development as Freedom. New York: Knopf.
14) Sen, Amartya. “Missing women.” British Medical Journal 304 (1992): 587-
588.
80
Demographic Transition and
UNIT 4 NATURAL RESOURCES Its Implications
Structure
4.0 Objectives
4.1 Introduction
4.1.1 Knowledge of Natural Resources
4.2 Land and Soils
4.2.1 Land Utilisation in India
4.2.2 Issue of Land acquisition
4.2.3 Need for a Comprehensive Land-Use Policy
4.2.4 Soils
4.3 Cropping Pattern in India
4.3.1 Crop Diversity
4.3.2 Future Cropping Pattern in India
4.4 Water Resources
4.4.1 Water Issues and Solutions
4.4.2 National Law on Water
4.5 Biodiversity
4.5.1 The Biological Diversity Act, 2002
4.6 Forest Resources
4.6.1 Present Position
4.6.2 National Forest Policy
4.7 Mineral Resources
4.7.1 Features of Minerals
4.7.2 New Mineral Policy, 2008
4.7.3 Acquiring Mineral Sources Abroad
4. 8 Allocation of Natural Resources
4. 9 Environment and Economic Development
4.9.1 Environmental Protection in India
4.9.2 National Environment Policy, 2006 (NEP)
4.10 Let Us Sum Up
4.11 Term-end Exercises
4.12 Key Words
4.13 References
4.14 Answers or Hints to Check your Progress Exercises
4.0 OBJECTIVES
As you go through this Unit, you will begin to appreciate the:
importance of natural resources in the growth process of an emerging
economy like India;
significance of policies to create an eco-system for optimum utilisation of
natural resources;
81
Indian Economic Development: the present status of knowledge and availability of different natural resources
An Overview
in India;
policy framework guiding the use of natural resources in India; and
need for a comprehensive resources-use policy and suggested outline for
such a policy.
4.1 INTRODUCTION
The availability of resources, their utilisation, and the capacity to mobilise
additional resources, determine an economy’s ability to overcome the constraints
on its development. As the world’s resources grow scarce, India faces an uphill
task to secure the resources required for its progress and future. On the demand
side, growth in population and urbanisation is increasing competition for all kinds
of resources. Meanwhile, resource supplies are being constrained by geopolitical
factors and inadequate complementary infrastructure to support resource
exploration and generation at a required pace. As a result of this double-edged
scarcity, concerns are growing over the availability and prices of resources. Yet,
approached imaginatively, the quest for efficiency of resource use can become
an important source of economic growth and job creation.
B) Non-agricultural Land
This includes land under forests, permanent pastures and other non-agricultural
uses (towns, villages, roads, railways, etc.) and land classified as cultivable waste
as well as barren and uncultivated land of mountain and desert areas.
Three important changes in the land utilisation witnessed during the last seven
decades are:
reclamation of waste and fallow lands
a significant increase in the ‘area sown more than once’.
a significant fall in the land area under cultivation.
Perspective. It is clear that the total supply of land is a fixed factor. Therefore,
what is required is that an effective rationing of land among the varied uses be
made. As far as possible, no further encroachments on cultivable land should be
allowed; priority should be given to the use of non-cultivable land for non-
agriculture uses. This will not only save cultivable land for agriculture but will
also promote a balanced regional development.
One view is that governments should not coerce landowners to part with their
lands for profit-led corporate entities. Let private industry negotiate with
landowners, and give them what they demand, if they voluntarily agree to sell
their lands. The problem with this view is that it would amount to exposing
powerless farmers to highly unequal negotiations with powerful corporate bodies,
which might arm-twist or short-change them. In addition, a just land acquisition
law needs to recompensate agricultural workers and tenants; provide land for
land, jobs, and a house. None of these would be on offer by unregulated purchases
by private industry.
A fair deal for all persons who will be displaced by industry can be ensured only
if all or most affected persons first freely consent to the purchase. It should then
be mandatory for industry to approach government, at least above a certain
threshold and for public purpose; and for government to ensure that they get
paid fairly that the landless and tenants are also compensated, and all are humanely
rehabilitated.
Distortions in land markets are much bigger than those in labour markets. A
comparison of factor misallocation indices at the district level has shown that an
increase in the misallocation of all factors is associated with a huge decrease in
output per worker in the manufacturing sector. Most of this decline originates
from the misallocation of land and buildings. This appears to be at the root of 85
Indian Economic Development: much of the misallocation of output, and it accounts for a large share of the
An Overview
differences in productivity.
The two are interconnected. Most bank loans require some form of collateral to
guarantee the loan. Land is simply the best form of collateral due to its immobility
(i.e. the debtor cannot run off with land). While borrowers can often pledge 80
per cent of the land value against loans, for most other forms of fixed investment,
the loan-to-collateral value ratio is substantially lower.
Distorted land markets are a breeding ground for crony capitalism and political
subsidies. While the policy focus on improving land administration and regulation
is well-placed, there are bigger growth benefits that can be derived from shifting
the policy focus from reducing land “regulatory tax” to increasing land revenue
tax. This will enable more efficient firms to grow faster and increase the budgetary
revenue to maximise finance for development, and additional revenues needed
for investments in infrastructure, urbanisation, housing, and social programmes.
Broadening the tax base will not only enable India to improve efficiency in
resource use and accelerate growth, but it will also make growth more inclusive.
4.2.4 Soils
Long ago, Aristotle described soil as the stomach of the plant. Even now over 90
per cent of the world’s food comes from the soil and less than 10 per cent comes
from both inland water and the oceans.
The cropping pattern of the country is greatly influenced by the soils and the
elements of the physical environment. The Indian Council of Agricultural
Research divides the soils found in the country into eight major groups which
are: (i) Alluvial soils including the coastal and deltaic alluvium; (ii) Black soils
of varying types; (iii) Red soils, including red loams; (iv) Laterite and lateritic
soils; (v) Forest soils; (vi) Arid and desert soils; (vii) Saline and alkaline soils;
and (viii) Peaty and organic soils. Keeping in view their extent and agricultural
importance, the first four, viz., alluvial, black, red and laterite soils in that order,
form the most important soil groups in the country. Almost the entire cultivated
area in the country is covered by these soils.
Alluvial soils are suitable for the cultivation of almost all kinds of cereals,
pulses, oilseeds, cotton, sugarcane, and vegetables.
Black soils are known for their fertility. They give good yields despite
continued cultivation and without proper manuring. Cotton, cereals, oilseeds
and many kinds of vegetables and citrus fruits are some of the crops suited
to black soils.
86
Almost all kinds of crops can be grown on red soil, although it seems to be Natural Resources
more suitable for the cultivation of rice, ragi, tobacco and vegetables.
Laterite soils are suitable, among others, for rice and sugarcane.
Different types of soils distributed evenly throughout the country, abounding in
fertility and higher yields, and highly responsive to improved inputs are found in
the country. For example, we find the desert-like region of Rajasthan on the one
hand and the rich cultivable land of Gujarat on the other. The variety of soils
coupled with the fact that we have in the East the world’s highest rainfall zone
and in the West one of the driest regions along with every shade of climate
throughout the country, makes possible the production of almost every kind of
crop starting from those of the temperate zone to tropical production.
However, through constant use the quality of these soils has deteriorated.
Moreover, large tracts of land have been eroded. It has been estimated that about
106 million hectares is suffering from varying degrees of soil degradation.
Localised soil waterlogging and salinity are most severe in India (27 per cent of
irrigated land), Pakistan (20 per cent) and China (15 per cent).
Although our Plans have given priority to soil conservation and land stock
improvement, we can identify the following difficulties in containing the
degradation of land resources and bringing them back to productive uses:
i) issues related to management of community land;
ii) lack of infrastructural development;
iii) high investment and long gestation;
iv) non-availability of institutional finance due to low credit worthiness of the
beneficiaries having marginal and sub-marginal lands.
Recent trends indicate that agriculture mix has been undergoing a silent and
steady shift away from grains (refer Figure 4.1). With rising incomes, this change
is driven by consumers’ tastes and preferences. The composition of the production
basket is also changing as is evident from the rising share of high value
commodities (fruits, vegetables, fisheries, and livestock products). The value of
output of these commodities has gone up from 40.6 per cent in Triennium Ending
(TE) 1992-93 to 47.4 per cent in TE 2018-19, while the share of foodgrains has
come down from 31 per cent to 24.7 per cent over the same period. This will be
good for the farmers as it helps augment their incomes and achieve household
food security.
Within the broad group of food crops, cereals like Wheat and Rice dominate.
About 82 per cent of the land area under food crops has been put to the cultivation
of cereals.The attraction of cereal crops, as already stated, is explained by their
relatively better prices and less risk in production, and finally, the availability of
better-quality seeds. As a result of this tendency per capita availability of cereals
has improved from 334.2 gms. per day in 1951 to 407.4 gms. in 2018, and India
has successfully transformed itself into a ‘net exporter’ of cereals from the position
of a ‘net importer’, the per capita availability of pulses (otherwise a nutrition
rich food) has declined from 60.7 gms. per day in 1951 and 74.9 gms in 1959 to
only 35.5 gms in 2018. Since 2015 there has been a major break-through in
production of pulses. Their total output has gone up by more than 50 per cent in
this short-period.
Inferior cereals like jowar, bajra, maize, millets, barley, etc. account for a little
less than one-fourth of the total area under cereal cultivation.
These crops are cultivated under dry conditions. Although the productivity is
low, the crops are safer and are not sensitive to the vagaries of monsoon. Therefore,
the farmers often have resorted to their cultivation as an insurance against misery
arising out of crop failure.
88
4.3.2 Future Cropping Pattern in India Natural Resources
In India, the policy objectives regarding the future crop pattern should be based
on the following considerations:
As the economy grows, the level of income will rise. It is only to be expected
that this would involve an increasing demand for superior cereals. Simultaneously,
as the size of India’s middle class increases, there will be changes in consumption
patterns leading to significantly increased demand for higher value crops.
Therefore, in the long run it is imperative that crop pattern is adjusted to the
changing requirements by shifting land under cultivation from inferior crops to
superior crops.
There is a need for diversifying the crop pattern by encouraging the cultivation
of different crops, due to the following reasons:
It will ensure stability in over-all agricultural production, in as much as
some crops may always compensate for fall in output of some other crops.
The shift to high-valued crops will raise the total value of agricultural output.
It will provide a base for increasing surplus of those products that are in
increasing demand abroad. It will help to raise foreign exchange for the
economy.
The farmers with a reasonably-sized land, co-operatives with land of very
small farmers pooled in, will gain from stable or higher incomes.
C) Need to adapt to Water Scarcity
It is high time that crop pattern changes should be introduced in regions
increasingly faced with water shortages. Crops like rice and sugarcane have been
described as “parasites on water”. These crops may be substituted by light
irrigated crops like millets, pulses, oilseeds, cotton, fruit, flowers and vegetables,
especially in water scares areas. There is no case in the present context of India’s
food economy to grow rice in Punjab and Haryana or Western Utter Pradesh or
sugarcane in Parts of Maharashtra.
This last point calls for a little further attention. At a global level, India is one of
the richest nations in terms of biological diversity. India supports 15,000 species 89
Indian Economic Development: of flowering plants, 317 species of mammals, 969 species of birds, 389 species
An Overview
of reptiles, 206 species of amphibians, and so on. In any sustainable agricultural
system, the concern regarding bio-diversity cannot be ignored.
The important sources of water can be classified into: (i) surface water, and (ii)
ground water. Surface water is available from such sources as rivers, lakes, etc.
Ground water is available from wells, springs, etc. Other sources of water which
have not as yet been tapped in the country, but nevertheless represent a potential
source are: wastewater, saline lakes, saline springs, etc. Surface water sources
are replenished by rainfall.
Of the two sources, surface water is more important and possesses potential for
growth in future. Surface water is available in the form of vast network of rivers
available in the country.
Overall, India possesses large reservoirs of water, but these are inadequate as
compared to country’s requirements. Compared to countries such as the USA,
which stores about 5,000 cubic meters per capita and China, which stores around
1,000 cubic meters per capita, India’s dams can only store 200 cubic meters per
person.
Through the decades, profligacy in the use of water by industrial units and during
irrigation has brought the country close to a “water famine”. In fact, many parts
of India are already water-stressed, with per capita availability significantly less
than the national average. At about 1,000 cubic meters, the national average, too,
falls way short of the ‘comfort point’ set by the World Bank. No wonder many
states remain at daggers drawn over sharing water from rivers that flow through
them.
90
4.4.1 Water Issues and Solutions Natural Resources
The principal issues facing the country are as follows: (i) Demand for water is
increasing from all sectors, (ii) Lack of a rational water pricing policy between
and within sectors is further driving demand, (iii) Policies and institutions
mandated to solve conflicts are directly or indirectly contributing to further
conflicts, (iv) New conflicts are increasingly arising within states rather than
between states, and (v) Conflicts over groundwater are widespread across the
country.
Solutions
The following solutions suggest themselves:
1) The one over-riding lesson from the global resolution in the provision of
public services is that competition matters. Hence, it is important to unbundle
the bulk provider of the irrigation system from the distribution function.
Further, there should be variety of forms– cooperatives, and private sector
players– to handle water distribution to farmers.
2) There is a need to increase user charges for the services provided, as well as
to increase budgetary support. But user charges or tariffs linked to costs can
only be possible if services are provided in an efficient and accountable
manner.
3) It is by ensuring the economic and social development of local communities
and their participation that India can hope to build major dams.
4) The government should give formal water entitlements to people as with
land and other property rights. Once established, such entitlements give rise
to a fundamental and healthy changes including improvement in efficiency
of resource use.
Four interconnected programmes as follows assume significance in this context:
(i) watershed development programme, (ii) renovation of all water bodies linked
to agriculture which have fallen into disuse, (iii) correcting the deterioration of
public irrigation works, notably state canal systems, due to cumulative neglect
of maintenance and repair over the years, and (iv) rainwater harvesting.
91
Indian Economic Development: d) the pollution of rivers and other water sources, turning rivers into sewers
An Overview
or poison and contaminating aquifers;
e) the long-term environmental, ecological and social implications of
projects to augment the availability of water for human use;
f ) the equity implications of the distribution, use and control of water;
g) the international dimensions of some of India’s rivers; and
h) the emerging concerns about the impact of climate change on water
and the need for appropriate responses at local, national, regional, and
global levels.
It is clear that the above considerations cast several responsibilities on the
Central government, apart from those of the State governments. Given these
and other concerns, the need for an overarching national water law is self-
evident.
2) Several States are enacting laws on water and related issues. These can be
quite divergent in their perceptions of and approaches to water. Some
divergences from State to State may be inevitable and acceptable, but extreme
and fundamental divergences will create a very muddled situation. A broad
national consensus on certain basics seems very desirable.
4) Water is one of the most basic requirements for life. If national laws are
considered necessary on subjects such as the environment, forests, wildlife,
biological diversity, etc., a national law on water is even more necessary.
Water is as basic as (if not more basic than) those subjects.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
3) Highlight the different issues related to water availability and its use in
India.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
4.5 BIODIVERSITY
India contains a great wealth of biological diversity in its wetlands and in its
marine areas. There are about 350 species of mammals, 1,224 species of birds,
408 species of reptiles, 197 species of amphibians, 2,546 species of fishes, and
15,000 flowering plants. The importance of these biological resources cannot be
over emphasised for the continued wellbeing of Indian population.
A large number of both flora and fauna are faced with threat of extinction because
of the increasing demand being made on natural resources.
The area under forests in India is low not only as compared to the forest area in
countries like Japan (64 per cent), Sweden (66 per cent), South Korea (63 per
cent), Canada (27 per cent), and USA (25 per cent), but is also much less than the
norm of 33 per cent of the total reported area recommended in the National
Forest Policy of 1952. The per capita forest land in India is 0.06 hectares as
against the world average of 2.06 hectares. Further, the productivity of Indian
forests is very low: 1.2 cubic meters per hectare per year as against the world
average of 2.1 cubic meters.
Forests in India are still under huge pressure and are shrinking over time. Firstly,
the rate of forest land diverted towards development projects has been happening
at an unprecedented rate. But this diversion also happens because there is no
value seen in forests– other than the cost that has to be paid for diversion of land
by the project proponent. Instead, there is value in the dam, road or mine for
which the land is needed. So, this pressure on forest land is bound to increase.
We must also note that forests are the last remaining public lands in the country
and the acquisition of private land will become even more expensive and
contentious in future.
Secondly, the compensatory plantation done to replace the original, natural forests
during diversion of forestlands for projects have so far yielded no impactful
results. Some of these new areas were even earmarked for other projects or
expansion of existing ones, even though they remain classified under
government’s Recorded Forest Area ( in terms of legal status).
Thirdly, forests are under pressure to meet local needs and on account of illegal
extraction. Today, it is an inconvenient truth that the poorest people in India live
in the country’s richest forests. The management of this green wealth has not
brought any benefits to the locals. Amid all this, while deforestation arid forest
diversion will grow, we do not have any viable strategies for re-greening these
lands. Thus, we will lose them gradually.
Two, we need to use this methodology to pay for standing forests. The 12th and
13th Finance Commissions allocated funds for standing forests, but this is a
pittance. We, then, need states to transfer payment for standing forests– protected
94
for biodiversity, watershed, or other purposes– to local custodians. This will Natural Resources
build local economies and local support for forest protection.
Three, at least 60 per cent of districts in India are affected by forest fires each
year, and the top 20 districts in terms of fire frequency are located mainly in the
Northeast, a joint report by the Ministry of Environment and Forests and Climate
Change (MoEFCC) and World Bank has brought that out.
The top 20 districts in terms of area affected by fire from 2003 to 2016 account
for 48 per cent of the total fire-affected area, the report found. In line with other
parts of the world, people are the main driver of fires in India and forest fires are
distributed close to people and infrastructure. Forest fires contribute to climate
change by releasing carbon stored in trees, undergrowth, and soil into the
atmosphere.
The Union government to provide 90 per cent of the funds for implementing the
scheme in the north-eastern states, and 75 per cent of the funds for other states.
State governments to meet the balance requirement.
All this makes for serious collective action problems. As a result, formulating
coherent policies for forest and wildlife conservation and implementing them
effectively are well-nigh impossible.
The various minerals can also be classified into three categories based on their
nature and end use. These three categories are: (i) Fuels like coal, lignite, natural
gas and petroleum; (ii) Metallic minerals like bauxite, iron-ore, manganese, etc.;
(iii) Non-metallic minerals like phosphorite, graphite, gypsum, limestone, mica,
etc.
96
4.7.1 Features of Minerals Natural Resources
Minerals provide a base for the rapid industrialisation of the economy. The
changeover to an open market economy has opened further avenues for faster
industrial growth and greater requirement of minerals, “besides the fact that the
geological setting of the country holds great promise for a boom in mineral
productions.” [Expert opinion is that given the size of deposits in South Africa
and Australia, large reserves can be expected in India also (because of similar
geological structures). A recent Price Waterhouse Report has identified India as
the most promising mining location worldwide.]
Notwithstanding this, India’s spending on exploration is only about 0.8 per cent
of the global spending with private sector contributing only 3 per cent of that.
There are a few essential aspects that need to be worked into a proper mineral
policy.
Nearly 80 per cent of the present domestic demand is being met by imports.
In view of the rising prices of these minerals in international markets, it
would be necessary, on the one hand, to curb their growing use in the
economy, and, on the other hand, sustained efforts should be made to augment
the domestic sources of supply of these minerals.
3) There are minerals which are lucrative foreign exchange earners. Efforts
should be made to devise a suitable policy to have a proper utilisation of
these minerals keeping in view the national interests.
97
Indian Economic Development:
An Overview
4.7.2 New Mineral Policy, 2008
A committee was set up in the late-2005 under the chairmanship of Anwar-ul-
Hoda. The New Mineral Policy, 2008 has incorporated most of the
recommendations made in the Hoda Committee Report.
i) The new policy manifestly recognises that private sector will be the main
source of investment in reconnaissance and exploration. It takes a pragmatic
view of the risks associated with the business of finding/producing minerals
and therefore ensures security of tenure and rights of transferability of various
awards– reconnaissance permits (RPs), prospecting licenses (PLs) and
mining leases (MLs).
ii) The new policy provides for introducing Long Area Prospecting Licences
to help the investors achieve economies of scale. These licences will be
given only with regard to non-bulk minerals which, from the investors’ point
of view, is a high-risk, high reward area.
iii) The policy emphasise that mining is a standalone industrial activity, it can
thrive in conjunction with value-addition activities.
iv) Export policies will be formulated after taking stock of the mineral
inventories and short, medium and long-term needs of the country. It is
stated in the policy document that efforts shall be made to export minerals
in value-added forms as far as possible.
v) The policy envisages steps to be taken by the governments to facilitate
financing of mine development and exploration which are integral to the
mining projects.
vi) There is also a plan to develop appropriate capital market structures to attract
risk investment in survey and prospecting. Flow of ‘risk funds’– from capital
market and venture funds– will be eased with policy interventions. The public
private partnership model would be useful for building mining infrastructure.
vii) The policy seeks to bring certain level of uniformity in mineral administration
in the country.
98
Improved iron ore availability in Karnataka after mines restart operation Natural Resources
following implementation of Resettlement and Rehabilitation (R&R)
schemes;
Continued downfall in iron ore output and exports from Goa and Odisha at
the back of allegations of illegal mining.
But this method also suffers from various limitations. (i) Designing an auction
requires prior consideration about how many licenses should share the
resource to ensure an adequate level of competition– and that is a judgement
call that can be distorted by ulterior motives. (ii) Any workable auction will
also have to have some qualifying criteria on who is eligible to complete
and that is even more liable to manipulation. (iii) The experience shows that
disclosure requirements are often lax which allows interested parties to
corner resources through front companies. (iv) This method can be used
when there are technical or logistical reasons for apportioning and giving
licensees de facto ownership rights. But that is not always necessary. The
Supreme Court has also held this view.
iii) Open Access. An alternative is to provide open access to the resources to all
eligible users against a usage charge, which could be calibrated to ensure
that the demands on the resources match availability. Open access with pay-
per-use is better for maintaining competition and easing entry by new players.
Open access will not work when the resource deplete with overuse. It would
lead to what has been described as the tragedy of commons, where it is in the
commercial interest of each user to extract as much as possible without regard to
optimum rates of exploitation. When a resource can be over-exploited, the right
of access to the resource has to be organised so as to create checks for staying
within sustainable yields or by setting up barriers to excessive exploitation. One
approach, typically followed in mineral and oil concessions, is to give the licensee
long-term rights over a well-defined resource block. In principle, the licensee
should be interested in avoiding unsustainable rates of exploitation that reduce
the total return over time.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
3) Examine the different methods used in natural resource allocation. Based
on your understanding and India’s recent experience in undertaking those
allocations, suggest the preferred approach in that regard.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
There are many different models of the relationship between the environment
and the economy. The simple model depicted in Figure.4.3 illustrates the four
functions of the environment in supporting economic activity and the effects of
this activity on the environment. These four functions are life-support, supply of
natural resources, absorption of waste products and supply of amenity services.
The economy is represented in Figure 4.3 by households consuming goods and
services, and firms producing with natural resources provided by the environment,
with labour and man-made capital provided by households.
101
Indian Economic Development:
An Overview Goods and Services
Firms Households
Labour and Capital
The economy
The environment
Waste
Life support
absorption
Amenity
Natural resources
Fig. 4.3
Man’s desire for joy and comfort has led him to exploit nature’s free goods to the
extent of reducing its natural capacities for self-stabilisation. As countries
industrialise, they increase their global footprint, which is the pressure they put
on the Earth’s resources. The footprints of Europe and Japan are about 4.7 global
hectares per person, and the USA’s is 9.7. India’s footprint at present is 0.8 and
China’s has reached 1.6. Mankind’s overall global footprint, which was about 60
per cent of the global biocapacity in the 1960s, has already reached 130 per cent.
This gets reflected in growing environmental problems. Environmental problems
centre on human activities resulting in pollution of the atmosphere, oceans, and
land. These range from the global (greenhouse warming and ozone depletion) to
the regional (acid rain and desertification), national (deforestation) and local
(soil erosion, contamination of freshwater resources and urban pollution). The
relevance of such concerns and the priority attached to each varies between the
developing and developed countries.
102
loss of forest cover, especially owing to mining projects since a very large Natural Resources
proportion of the unexploited mineral wealth of India, including coal, lies
in forest land; and
a substantial increase in the air and water pollution load which may be of
local, regional, national, or even global concern.
The environmental consequences of rapid urbanisation will become a growing
concern. Vehicle ownership is expected to go up by a factor of seven. But with
higher vehicle efficiency standards, more public transport in cities and a shift of
freight traffic to rail and coastal shipping, growth in energy consumption for
transport and the consequential environmental impact may go up by about five
times. The requirements of the growing urban population for living and working
space, water and waste disposal will have environmental consequences that will
have to be managed. Rural-urban conflicts for scarce water and landfill sites for
solid waste disposal will arise.
For example, used paper cups thrown outside juice and coffee shops (indicators
of rising incomes) could be behind the disappearing population of honeybees
that pollinate 80 per cent of all crops. The same is true of the use of plastic in our
daily lives, which is finding its way into our food chains, plant and animal based.
As World Wildlife Fund Study shows that India is already using 50 per cent
more ecological resources each year than can be replenished by nature.
India is ranked a disappointing 101st out of 146 countries for which the
Environmental Sustainability Index (ESI) was prepared in early 2005 (The most
sustainable country is Finland and the least sustainable is North Korea). The ESI
is based on 21 indicators and 76 measurements, including natural resource
endowments, past and present pollution levels, and policy efforts. Another waking
reminder comes from the Environmental Performance Index 2012 which has
placed India at 125th place.
State-wise, the best performing state in India in terms of the ESI is Manipur,
followed by Jammu and Kashmir and Tripura. All these states are sustaining
their stocks of natural resources. They face less stress on their environmental
systems and are exerting lower impacts on environment and health. The lowest
ranking states are Gujarat, Punjab and Haryana. These states have diminished
stocks of natural resources, especially in terms of air and water quality. They
also score low on land use pattern.
Environmental degradation and diseases are responsible for 23 per cent of child
mortality, according to a World Bank report. Moreover, the costs of environmental
damage are equivalent to 5.7 per cent of the country GDP (in 2009). However,
the report says, India can make green growth a reality by putting in place strategies
to reduce the damage at a minimal cost of 0.02 per cent to 0.04 per cent of its
average annual GDP growth rate.
The NEP builds on the earlier policies, like the National Forest Policy, 1988,
National Conservation Strategy and Policy Statement on Environment and
Development, 1992, National Agricultural Policy, 2000, National Population
Policy, 2000, and National Water Policy, 2012.
Its major features are as follows:
i) The dominant theme of the policy is to ensure that the livelihood of people
dependent on forest products is secured through conservation.
ii) It focuses on conservation of critical environmental resources, livelihood
security for the poor, integration of environmental concerns in economic
and social development and judicious use of the resources.
iii) To achieve sustainable development, environmental protection shall
constitute an integral part of the development process and cannot be
considered in isolation from it.
iv) Environmental Impact Assessment will continue to be the principal
methodology for appraisal and review of new projects.
v) The assessment processes are being revised. Under the new arrangement,
there will be significant devolution of powers to the State/Union Territory
level.
vi) It also seeks to revisit the Coastal Regulation Zone notifications to make
the approach to coastal environmental regulation more holistic and, thereby,
ensure protection to coastal ecological systems, waters, and the vulnerability
of some coastal areas to extreme natural events and potential sea level rise.
vii) Involvement of Panchayati Raj Institutions and urban local bodies has been
highlighted.
104
2) Discuss in brief the different steps taken in India for protection of Natural Resources
environment.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
3) State in brief the principal features of national environment policy 2006.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
Undoubtedly, India is blessed with a variety of resources. But the supply of these
resources is to be viewed against their requirements on the one hand and possible
utilisation within the given range of technology, on the other. The potential
available in a number of resources matches requirements, but the present
utilisation of almost all resources falls short of the requirements. Therefore, what
is immediately required is:
1) Intensive surveys should be undertaken within the country to explore and to
identify the hitherto unknown utilisable resources. This is true in the case of
both renewable and non-renewable resources. This will require chalking
out an integrated multi-pronged national policy.
Equally important is the need to make an efficient use of available recorded
or proven resources. This requires several interrelated steps: better
technology, use of by-products, multipurpose use of resources, location of
industries such that the transport cost of combining resources from different
areas are minimised, etc.
2) There is the need to take such conservation measures that sustain the output
over a longer period. Our forefathers designed institutions and practices to
cope with the divergence between the individual and social rates of discount
and its adverse effect on sustainable resource use. In good times and bad, by
invoking the spirits or scriptures, and by creating institutions for conservation
from above or below, our forebearers ensured sustainable use of natural
resources. It is possible even now to revive the institutions by nurturing
community consciousness.
3) All the above considerations will call for an effective organisational set-up.
Privatisation by itself cannot be an end. In the recent past there has been
105
Indian Economic Development: clear evidence of deals and attempts at deals for the transfer of publicly-
An Overview
owned resources to private hands on terms which are more than generous to
the private parties and involve substantial losses in potential income as well
as other costs to the public exchequer.
4) With rapid globalisation under way demand for scarce natural resources
like land, water, mines etc. has been increasing at a fast rate. These natural
resources are increasingly being grabbed by the mafia who have seen in
these resources an opportunity for their sustainability. The mafia can easily
hold on to this loot by bribing politicians, bureaucrats and other officials at
different tiers of governance. Further, adverse consequences of the recent
loosening up of the forest laws needs to be closely watched.
107
Indian Economic Development:
An Overview UNIT 5 PHYSICAL AND SOCIAL
INFRASTRUCTURE
Structure
5.0 Objectives
5.1 Infrastructure in India
5.1.1 Meaning and Significance
5.1.2 Nature of Infrastructure
5.1.3 Types of Infrastructure
5.1.4 Infrastructure and Economic Growth
5.1.5 Role of Public Private Partnership in Infrastructure
5.1.6 Budget Allocations for Infrastructure Sector
5.1.7 Social and Physical Infrastructure
5.2 Privatisation and Commercialisation of Infrastructure
5.2.1 Need for Privatisation and Commercialisation
5.2.2 Prerequisites for Private Investment
5.3 Physical Infrastructure: Growth and Policy Issues
5.3.1 Transport
5.3.1.1 Road
5.3.1.2 Railways
5.3.1.3 Shipping and Ports
5.3.1.4 Aviation
5.3.2 Telecommunications
5.3.3 Power
5.3.4 Banking
5.3.5 Housing and Urban Infrastructure
5.4 Social Infrastructure: Growth and Policy Issues
5.4.1 Education
5.4.2 Health
5.5 Infrastructure: Challenges and Way Ahead
5.6 Let Us Sum Up
5.7 Key Words
5.8 References
5.9 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
5.0 OBJECTIVES
After reading this unit, you will be able to:
state the need for infrastructural development in India;
distinguish between physical and social infrastructure sector;
explain why both physical and social infrastructure are crucial for India’s
growth;
identify the issues requiring policy attention arising out of India’s economic
108 growth; and
pinpoint the issues crucial in infrastructure policy in the Indian economy. Physical and Social
Infrastructure
This unit focuses on both the physical and social infrastructure sector; its
importance in the economic growth, recent trends and government policies
towards infrastructural development and challenges faced by the sector.
Infrastructural facilities are vital for the smooth functioning of the economy.
They are like wheels of development without which the economy will not be
able to function properly. Provision of adequate infrastructure, both in terms of
quantity and quality, is essential for sustenance of economic growth. They
contribute to improvement in factor productivity and by providing amenities
that enhance the quality of life. The role of infrastructure development in economic
growth has been well recognised in the literature. Discussed below are some of
the most critical significance of economic infrastructure and its impact on the
economy.
One of the most significant has been the setting up of the National Investment
and Infrastructure Fund (NIIF), with the government contributing around
Rs. 20,000 crore. A number of policy-related measures aimed at improving
liquidity in infrastructure investments have also been taken such as announcement
of Infrastructure Investment Trust guidelines by SEBI in September 2015,
promulgation of the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, 2016 and the November,
2018 directive by SEBI to large corporates to fund at least 25 per cent of their
borrowings through the corporate bond market with effect from Financial Year
(FY) 19-20.
While these initiatives are steps in the right direction, there are a few other areas
which need to be addressed on a priority basis given the global experience in
public private partnerships. Firstly, there is a need to consolidate and update the
existing PPP guidelines based on the experience gained across individual sectors
over the last few years as well as best practices in other countries. Secondly,
need to formulate an enabling framework to renegotiate concession
112 agreements. Finally, there is an urgent need for a dispute-resolution process for
Public Private Partnership (PPP) arrangements, as long-pending disputes have Physical and Social
Infrastructure
significantly adverse financial impact and act as a deterrent for private partners.
Physical Infrastructure
Physical infrastructure implies those infrastructures which directly support the
process of production and distribution in the economy. It is directly concerned
with the needs of such production sectors as agriculture, industry, trade, etc.
They indirectly increase the factor productivity and the economy sees the impact
immediately. Physical infrastructure leads to growth in the short run. A few such
examples are energy, irrigation, transportation, telecommunication, banking,
insurance, technology, finance, etc.
114
Check Your Progress 1 Physical and Social
Infrastructure
1) What is the importance of infrastructure in a country’s development? What
kind of activities does it comprise?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
2) What are the types of infrastructure?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
3) Describe the relationship between infrastructure and Economic Growth with
reference to the experience of the Indian Economy.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
4) Distinguish between social infrastructure and physical infrastructure and
there importance for the economy.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
New Dynamism in World Capital Market: Since 1990s the capital markets,
domestic as well as global, have witnessed a significant re-emergence. During
this period there has been a nearly four-fold increase in gross private capital
flows to the developing countries. Private flows are now around three times the
official development assistance. Thus, the private sector now has access to the
kind of resources needed for infrastructural development.
Pricing Policy: The role of private sector is not restricted to that of provident of
funds. It has to play the role of efficient and accountable operator of the facility.
116
The issue of pricing of infrastructure services becomes critical here. In this sphere Physical and Social
Infrastructure
the long track record of uneconomic pricing and prevalence of subsidies will be
major obstacles.
The challenge for policy is to find appropriate market signals which indicate the
future trend of infrastructure demand and to coordinate the supply of such facilities
in such a manner that investment in infrastructure provides appropriate returns.
5.3.1.1 Roads
India has the one of largest road network across the world, spanning over a total
of 59 lakh km of road length. This road length includes National Highways (NHs),
Expressways, State Highways (SHs), district roads, PWD roads, and project roads.
In India, road infrastructure is used to transport over 60 per cent of total goods
117
Indian Economic Development: and 85 per cent of total passenger traffic. Road transportation has gradually
An Overview
increased over the years with the improvement in connectivity between cities,
towns, and villages in the country.
Market size
As of March 01, 2019, the total length of National Highways in India stood at
132,499 km. Huge investments have been made in the sector with total investment
increasing more than three times from Rs. 51,914 crore in 2014-15 to Rs. 158,839
crore in 2018-19. The total national highways length increased to 122,434 kms
in FY18 from 92,851 kms in FY14.
However, the roads sector has been facing several issues including:
i) lack of equity with developers,
ii) higher cost of financing,
iii) shortfall in funds for maintenance,
iv) unavailability of land for the expansion of NHs,
v) significant increase in land acquisition cost,
vi) bottlenecks and checkpoints on NHs which could adversely impact benefits
of GST, and
vii) the value of NPAs in the infrastructure sector (including roads and highways)
has been increasing, with NPAs at around Rs. 2.6 lakh crore as of August
2016.
Issues with financing
As observed by the Standing Committee on Transport (2016), the Ministry of
Road Transport and Highways does not have its own source of revenue other
than budgetary support from the central government, also huge budget allocations
by the central government would be unsustainable in the long-run. Hence, there
is a need to set up Ministry’s own dedicated financial institutions to generate
funds for development of the road sector.
Targets vs Performance
Achievement of construction targets (for NHs) has ranged between 55 per cent
and 70 per cent during the period 2014-15 to 2019-20. The targets could not be
met due to shortage of funds as noted by the Standing Committee on Transport
(2017). Other reasons for incomplete projects include delays in obtaining
clearances, poor financial and technical performance of the contractors, and law
and order issues. The Economic Survey 2018-19 also highlighted issues, such
as time and cost overruns, due to delays in project implementation, procedural
delays, and lesser traffic growth than expected, which increased the risk factor
of the projects resulting in stalling of projects.
119
Indian Economic Development: 5.3.1.2 Railways
An Overview
The Indian Railways is among the largest rail networks in the world. The Indian
Railways route length network is spread over 1,23,236 km, with 13,452 passenger
trains and 9,141 freight trains from 7,349 stations plying 23 million travellers
and 3 million tonnes (MT) of freight daily. The railway network is ideal for long-
distance travel and movement of bulk commodities, apart from being an energy
efficient and economic mode of conveyance and transport. Indian Railways is
the preferred carrier of automobiles in the country.
Government initiatives
Few initiatives taken up by the Government are:
Freight on Priority: Railways has embraced a “Freight on Priority” policy
by pushing for an aggressive customer-centric approach to expand the freight
carried not only from the traditional segments but also by attracting new
customers to its fold.
India entered a new era of mobility with Vande Bharat Express - India’s
first high-tech, energy-efficient, self-propelled train. This is a prime example
of the success of Make in India movement. This train will be proliferated
across India and also exported globally.
The Railways is undertaking measures for improving speed of both passenger
and freight trains. Indian Railway is constructing more than 3000 km of
Dedicated Freight Corridor (DFC), which would enable freight trains to run
at speed of 100 kmph.
Dedicated Freight Corridors which are special tracks and arrangements for
goods trains are getting completed at unprecedented speed. They are expected
to decongest the existing Indian Railway network, increase the average
speed of goods trains from existing 25 to 70 kmph., run Heavy Haul trains,
facilitate the running of longer (1.5 km) and double stack container trains,
connect the existing ports and industrial areas for faster movement of goods,
ensure an energy efficient and environment friendly rail transport system as
per global standards, increase the rail share from existing 30 per cent to 45
per cent and reduce the logistic cost of transportation.
New Services in Passenger Operations with PPP in Train Operations:
Railways is now undertaking a partnership approach for passenger train
operations in order to enhance overall service quality and operational
efficiency. This aims at improving the passenger experience and bringing
modern technologies and private investments
India has made a huge leap of self-sufficiency in manufacturing related
activities of the Railways. India is now building modern trains for itself and
exporting it as well. For instance, in Uttar Pradesh only, the Locomotive
120
Works in Varanasi is becoming a big electric locomotive centre in India. Physical and Social
Infrastructure
The railway coaches which are being built here are now being exported to
foreign countries also.
A National Rail Plan (NRP) 2030 has been developed with a view to develop
infrastructure by 2030 to cater to the traffic requirements upto 2050. Based
on the NRP, a Vision 2024 document has been prepared to develop
infrastructure by 2024 to enhance modal share of Railways in freight
transportation to more than 40 per cent and to cater to the traffic requirements
upto 2030.
Electrification has been accorded high priority as a part of the national goal
to transform India into a green nation. 66 per cent of track length has been
electrified by November 2020. Railways aim to complete electrification of
its entire broad-gauge network by 2023. The speed of electrification has
been greatly scaled up from a level of 1176 km in 2014-15 to 5276 in 2018-
19 and 4378 km in 2019-20.
Government has enhanced the role of the PPP beyond providing maintenance
in the areas such as redevelopment of stations, building private freight
terminals and private container train operations.
Ports are economic and service provision units of remarkable significance since
they act as a place for the interchange of two transport modes, maritime and
land, whether by rail or road. With a coastline of about 7,517 km. Indian ports
and shipping industry plays a vital role in sustaining growth in the country’s
trade and commerce. According to the Ministry of Shipping, around 95 per cent
of the country’s trading by volume and 70 per cent by value is done through
maritime transport. The country has 12 major ports and 212 notified non-major
(minor/intermediate) ports along the coast-line and sea-islands. Many ports in
India (such as Mundra Port, Sikka Port, Hazira Port, etc.) are evolving into
specialised centres of economic activities and services and are vital to sustain
future economic growth of the country. Over the last decade, there has been a
steady increase in handling of cargo traffic at Indian ports (refer Table 5.3). The
compound annual growth rate of total cargo throughput at Indian ports during
the period 2001-02 to 2018-19 was 7.4 per cent.
Table 5.3: Growth of Cargo at Indian Ports
Parameters 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19
Trends in India’s Select: Macro Parameters
Total Cargo 2.2 4.1 8.2 1.9 5.8 6.6 6.1
Source: Based on Data from Major ports and Non-major ports.
Government initiatives
The Indian Government plays an important role in supporting the ports sector. It
has allowed Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) of up to 100 per cent under the
automatic route for port and harbour construction and maintenance projects. Ports
sector in India has received a cumulative FDI of US $ 1.64 billion between April
2000 and March 2019. In March 2018, a revised Model Concession Agreement
(MCA) was approved to make port projects more investor-friendly and make
investment climate in the sector more attractive. In addition to this, project
UNNATI has been started by Government of India to identify the opportunity
areas for improvement in the operations of major ports. Under the project, 116
initiatives were identified out of which 91 initiatives have been implemented as
of November 2018.
122
Achievements Physical and Social
Infrastructure
Some of the achievements of the government include: Turnaround time at major
ports in India has decreased at a rapid pace from 82.32 hours in FY17 to 59.51
hours in FY19. Five times more growth in major ports’ traffic recoded during
2014-18, compared to 2010-14. Increased efficiency has led three times increase
in net profits of major ports between FY14-18.
5.3.1.4 Aviation
As of 2019, India is the ninth largest aviation market with a passenger throughput
of 344 million. As of 2021, the sector has 91 international carriers comprising of
5 Indian carriers and 86 foreign carriers connecting over 40 countries; and the
sector is contributing US $ 72 billion to GDP. The Ministry of Civil Aviation is
the nodal authority responsible for the formulation of national policies and
programmers for development and regulation of the civil aviation industry in the
country. The growth of airlines traffic in the Indian aviation industry is almost 4
times above the international average. In the year 1991, a total of 10,717,400
passengers were carried in Indian airlines. This number grew multifold to
139,822,450 in 2017. In addition to a robust GDP growth driving increased spends
on air travel, low fares have led to a rise in demand in smaller-towns of India.
India Airlines market despite of being the fastest growing market, has been one
of the toughest aviation markets in the world due to–
- High fuel prices (a sales tax of nearly 30 per cent is levied on jet fuel which
jacks up flight operations for airlines; also, there is an excise duty of 11 per
cent levied on jet fuel since October 2018);
- Poor and insufficient infrastructure (air traffic is increasing, consequently
space is decreasing to accommodate them);
- Low cost carriers have made the market extremely price sensitive, rigid
regulations, i.e., ample regulations and laws still hold back the industry and
do not provide room for improvement and profits.
Post reforms of 1991, aviation sector saw a major reform in its structural and
operational context. The major reforms that redesigned the aviation sector were:
1) Liberalisation: Repealing of the monopolistic Air Corporation Act in 1994
was followed by heavy disinvestment in the two public sector airlines– Indian
Airlines Corporation and Air India International, leading to the opening up
of the domestic sector to private players, bringing in more competition and
the resulting benefit of reduced fares.
PPP model: Amidst the constrained fiscal position, the government has given
way to new financing models for the development of airports. Public Private
Partnership (PPP) model i.e. Build Operate and Transfer (BOT), Build Own
Operate and Transfer (BOOT) have been tried for development of Airports
in India. For instance, in November 2018, the Government of India approved
a proposal to manage six AAI airports under public private partnership (PPP)
situated in Ahmedabad, Jaipur, Lucknow, Guwahati, Thiruvananthapuram
and Mangaluru.
2) Open Sky Policy: The Open Sky Policy which allows foreign airlines of
any country or ownership to land at any port on any number of occasions
123
Indian Economic Development: and with unlimited seat capacity brought in a massive change in the aviation
An Overview
sector. That is, the Government opened the skies to private players.
3) FDI Policy: Government has put in place an investor friendly policy on FDI
in the aviation sector, under which 100 per cent FDI (Automatic up to 49
per cent and Government route beyond 49 per cent) is permitted in scheduled
Air Transport Service/Domestic Scheduled Passenger Airline, while for NRIs
100 per cent FDI is permitted under the automatic route. Also, foreign
investment in M/s Air India Ltd is brought on a level playing field with
other scheduled airline operators with the amended FDI policy which enables
foreign investment by NRIs into M/s Air India Ltd. up to 100 per cent under
automatic route. According to data released by the Department of Industrial
Policy and Promotion (DIPP), FDI inflows in India’s air transport sector
(including air freight) reached US$ 1,904.37 million between April 2000
and June 2019.
4) Low Cost Carriers (LCC): In 2003 Low Cost Carrier (LCC) entered the
domestic aviation industry which led to substantial fall in the market
share of Legacy carriers such as Air India, Indian Airlines and Jet
Airways giving rise to fierce price wars between various airlines. The
period following the introduction of the LCCs has been one of rapid
growth for the Indian airline industry as they enhanced the affordability
of air travel and hence the demand for air travel in India.
5) Greenfield Airports: A greenfield airport denotes a project that lacks
constraints, imposed upon it by prior work or existing infrastructure. In
2007, the Indian government finalised the policy on greenfield airports.
According to the new policy, state governments wanting to set up a greenfield
airport could either do so themselves or through any designated entity or a
joint venture company. For instance, the Government of Andhra Pradesh is
to develop Greenfield airports in six cities under the PPP model.
5.3.2 Telecommunications
India is currently the world’s second largest telecommunications market with a
subscriber base of 1.19 billion and has registered strong growth in the past decade
and half. The telecommunication industry in India is rapidly growing and
witnessing many developments. The sector is becoming more competitive day-
by-day, with the introduction of new players (which in turn has led to sharp and
steady decline of average revenue per user) and has truly revolutionised the way
we communicate and share information The exponential growth is primarily
driven by affordable tariffs, wider availability, roll out of Mobile Number
Portability, expanding 3G and 4G coverage and the onset of 5G technologies,
evolving consumption patterns of subscribers and a conducive regulatory
environment. The industry has undergone a major process of transformation
through several policy reforms and regulations. These include:
4) New Telecom Policy of 1999: Laid down a clear road map for future reforms
by opening by all the sectors in telecommunications to private players.
8) FDI Policy: FDI cap in the telecom sector has been increased to 100 per
cent from 74 per cent; out of 100 per cent, 49 per cent will be done through
automatic route and the rest will be done through the approval route. FDI of
up to 100 per cent is permitted for infrastructure providers offering dark
fibre, electronic mail and voice mail. FDI inflows into the telecom sector
during April 2000 – March 2019 totaled to US$ 32.82 billion, according to
Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT).
5.3.3 Power
Power is one of the most critical components of infrastructure crucial for the
economic growth and welfare of people. India’s power sector is one of the most
diversified in the world. Sources of power generation range from conventional
sources such as coal, lignite, natural gas, oil, hydro and nuclear power to viable
non-conventional sources such as wind, solar, small hydro and biomass. The
country’s achievements in the power sector in the recent years have been
outstanding. Electricity generation (both from conventional and non-conventional
sources) increased from 808.5 billion units (BU) (in 2009-10) to 1389.1 BU (in
2019-20), a growth of around 72 per cent. As of January 2021 the national electric
grid in India has an installed capacity of 377.261 Giga Watts (GW).
Pricing Reforms: The country is taking advantage of the important energy pricing
reforms in the coal, oil, gas, and electricity sectors which are fundamental to
further opening the energy market and improving its financial health.
Energy Security: India’s electricity security has improved markedly through the
creation of a single national power system and major investments in thermal and
renewable capacity. It is taking significant steps to enhance its energy security
by fostering domestic production through the most significant upstream reform
of India’s Hydrocarbon Exploration and Licensing Policy (HELP) and building
up dedicated oil emergency stocks in the form of a strategic petroleum reserve.
Around 750 million people in India gained access to electricity between 2000
and 2019, reflecting strong and effective policy implementation. As of April 28,
2018, 100 per cent village electrification achieved under Deen Dayal Upadhyaya
Gram Jyoti Yojana (DDUGJY). The country’s energy deficit reduced to 0.7 per
cent in Financial Year (FY) 18 from 4.2 per cent in FY14. Also, the country’s
rank jumped to 24 in 2018 from 137 in 2014 on World Bank’s Ease of doing
business - “Getting Electricity” ranking.
The power generation situation in the country has improved in the last few years.
In June 2017, the Minister of Power announced that India has become a power
surplus country, with no shortage of electricity or coal. Despite this, the sector
continues to face several issues. Access to power and the quality of power supplied
to consumers is still poor. India also continues to face both energy deficit (0.7%)
and peak deficit (2%). The deficit situation is worse in certain states such as
Jammu and Kashmir, and the north-eastern states. Despite all villages being
126
electrified, continuous supply of electricity continues to remain a challenge. Physical and Social
Infrastructure
Another key issue is the poor financial health of the electricity distribution
companies, which is affecting their ability to buy power and improve the supply
network. While their debt to banks was addressed to a certain extent by UDAY,
the debt they owe to power plants remains a concern.
5.3.4 Banking
The Indian banking system consists of 18 public sector banks, 22 private sector
banks, 46 foreign banks, 53 regional rural banks, 1,542 urban cooperative banks
and 94,384 rural cooperative banks as of September 2019. The banking industry
infrastructure has been undergoing revolution wherein the information technology
and electronic funds transfer system have emerged as the twin pillars of modern
banking development. Online infrastructure and internet connectivity allow digital
and direct transfer of Government services and subsidy benefits to the citizens’
bank accounts. The industry has undergone structural transformation through
the years as directed by the following policies and reforms:
Merger of Public Sector Banks: Since 2016, effective action has been undertaken
to consolidate Public Sector banks by way of amalgamation. The merger of banks
is expected to facilitate the creation of strong and competitive banks in the Public
Sector space to meet the credit needs of a growing economy, absorb shocks and
have the capacity to raise resources without depending unduly on the State
exchequer.
Policy Initiatives
The urbanisation in India is inevitable thus, the need for solving the various
problems associated with it requires a combination of actions, starting with
increased investment; strengthening the framework for governance, and most
importantly capacity building for the people and the institutions engage in urban
affairs.
Recognising the vast impact that Urbanisation has on the environment, the Indian
government committed its Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC)
to United Nation Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 2015.
The INDC centres around India’s policies and programmes on promotion of clean
energy, resilient urban centres, promotion of waste to wealth, safe, smart and
sustainable green transportation network, abatement of pollution and efforts to
fight the build-up of carbon by enhancing the carbon sink through creation of
forest and tree cover.
The Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Act, 2016 (RERA): The RERA
is one of the significant reforms implemented in the real estate sector with an
objective to ensure regulation and promote real estate sector in an efficient and
transparent manner and to protect the interest of home buyers.
The Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana- Urban (PMAY-U)– which envisions ‘Housing
for All-Urban’, was launched in June, 2015 to provide pucca house with basic
amenities to all eligible urban poor by 2022.
The country is participating in the United Nations’ “New Urban Agenda”, which
aims to make cities more networked, closer to their citizens and more sustainable
in the future. In the “Housing for all” project, the government aims to provide
affordable housing even for the poorest – a total of 20 million houses in more
than 2,500 cities. And with the “Smart Cities Mission”, more than 100 urban
spaces are to be transformed into digitally networked conurbations.
India has seen a rapid expansion in the higher education sector since 2001. There
has been a dramatic rise in the number of higher education institutions (HEIs)
and enrolment has increased fourfold. The Indian higher education system is
now one of the largest in the world, with 993 Universities, 39931 Colleges and
10725 Stand Alone Institutions. Despite the increased access to higher education
in India, challenges remain. Low employability of graduates, poor quality of
teaching, weak governance, insufficient funding, and complex regulatory norms
continue to plague the sector. India’s gross enrolment ratio (GER) in 2018-19
was 26.3 per cent but still far from meeting the MHRD’s target of achieving 50
per cent GER by 2035.
Government Initiatives
Indian educational policy and reforms emphasised on overcoming challenges to
improve low enrolment ratio in higher education, low quality of teaching and
learning, constraints on research capacity and innovation, uneven growth and
access to learning opportunities, etc. Some of the major initiatives taken by the
Government of India are:
SWAYAM (Study Webs of Active learning for Young Aspiring Minds)– a
programme initiated by Government of India and designed to achieve the
three cardinal principles of Education Policy viz., access, equity and quality.
The National Digital library of India (NDLI)– a project initiated under the
National Mission on Education through Information and Communication
Technology (NMEICT) to develop a virtual repository of learning resources
with a single-window search facility.
The Mission of Unnat Bharat Abhiyan to leverage the intellectual capital of
higher educational institutions for the upliftment of rural India.
The Pandit Madan Mohan Malaviya National Mission on Teachers and
Teaching (PMMMNMTT) to address issues related to teachers and teaching.
Prime Minister Research Fellows (PMRF) scheme to support 1000 bright
undergraduate students every year, for direct admission in the research
programmes in the reputed institutions like IISc, IITs.
The National Institutional Ranking Framework (NIRF) adopted by the
MHRD to rank institutions of higher education in India.
Sarva Shiksha Abhiyan – a Centrally Sponsored Scheme in partnership with
State Governments for universalising elementary education across the
country.
National Education Policy 2020: The National Education Policy (NEP),
2020 – approved by the Union Cabinet on 29th July 2020 to make way for
large scale, transformational reforms in both school and higher education
sectors – is built on the foundational pillars of Access, Equity, Quality,
130
Affordability and Accountability. Key highlights of the policy include: Physical and Social
Infrastructure
- Ensuring Universal Access at all levels of school education;
- Early Childhood Care and Education with new Curricular and
Pedagogical Structure;
- Reforms in school curricula and pedagogy;
- Emphasis on promoting multilingualism and Indian languages;
- Assessment reforms;
- Equitable and inclusive education;
- Robust and transparent processes for recruitment of teachers and merit-
based performance;
- Exposure of vocational education in school and higher education system;
- Increasing GER in higher education to 50 per cent by 2035;
- Holistic Multidisciplinary Education with multiple entry/exit options;
- Expansion of open and distance learning to increase GER.
- The Centre and the States to work together to increase the public
investment in Education sector to reach 6 per cent of GDP at the earliest.
In pursuance with the Prime Minister’s vision for ‘Transforming India’,
Ministry of Human Resource Development took a leap forward in
transforming education sector with the motto of “Education for All, Quality
Education”. MHRD has launched—
(i) Pradhan Mantri Innovative Learning Program– DHRUV; (ii) NISHTHA–
National Initiative for School Heads’ and Teachers’ Holistic Advancement;
(iii) Integrated Online junction for School Education ‘Shagun’; (iv) a five-
year vision plan named Education Quality Upgradation and Inclusion
Programme (EQUIP); (v) Several new schemes in Higher Education
Department to boost research and Innovation culture in the country.
Degree level full-fledged online education programme started to provide
quality education to students of deprived sections of the society as well as
those who do not have access to higher education. Through this initiative
Gross Enrolment Ratio will be increased.
Looking ahead
In 2030, it is estimated that India’s higher education will adopt transformative
and innovative approaches and will emerge as a single largest provider of global
talent, with one in four graduates in the world being a product of the Indian
higher education system.
5.4.2 Health
Depending on the level of care required, healthcare in India is broadly classified
into three types. This classification includes primary care (provided at primary
health centres), secondary care (provided at district hospitals), and tertiary care
institutions (provided at specialised hospitals like AIIMS). Primary health care
infrastructure provides the first level of contact between health professionals
and the population. Broadly, based on the population served and the type of
131
Indian Economic Development: services provided, primary health infrastructure in rural areas consists of a three-
An Overview
tier system. This includes Sub-Centres (SCs), Primary Health Centres (PHCs),
and Community Health Centres (CHCs). A similar set up is maintained in urban
areas.
Government Initiatives
Some of the major initiatives taken by the Government of India to promote Indian
healthcare industry are as follows:
Pradhan Mantri Swasthya Suraksha Yojana (PMSSY): a Central Sector
Scheme, announced in August 2003 to address imbalances in availability of
tertiary care hospitals and improve medical education in the country. It has
two components– Setting up of new AIIMS, and up-gradation of existing
State/Central Government Medical College/Institutions (GMC).
Mission Indradhanush: launched in 2014 to strengthen and re-energise the
programme and achieve full immunisation coverage for all children and
pregnant women at a rapid pace.
Ayushman Bharat Yojana: a national initiative launched as the part of
National Health Policy 2017, in order to achieve the vision of Universal
Health Coverage (UHC). The Ayushman Bharat comprises of two inter-
related components, (i) Establishment of Health and Wellness Centres, and
(ii) Pradhan Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana (PM-JAY)
Pradhan Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana (PMJAY): Launched in September 2018
under the Ayushman Bharat programme, PMJAY aims to provide a cover of
Rs. five lakh per family per year to 10.7 crore families (no cap on family
size and age) belonging to poor and vulnerable population for secondary
and Tertiary Healthcare.
The National Medical Commission Act, 2019: A legislation passed by
Parliament to provides for a medical education system which ensures: (i)
132 availability of adequate and high quality medical professionals, (ii) adoption
of the latest medical research by medical professionals, (iii) periodic Physical and Social
Infrastructure
assessment of medical institutions, and (iv) an effective grievance redressal
mechanism.
The Government of India is planning to increase public health spending to
2.5 per cent of the country’s GDP by 2025.
Looking Ahead
Healthcare has become an important cornerstone in India’s development plan,
with various initiatives including Ayushman Bharat- Health and Wellness Centers
(HWCs) and Pradhan Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana (PM-JAY), Swachh Bharat,
Digital India, Skill India, Start-up India, Make in India etc. In synergy, these
initiatives will comprehensively address the healthcare challenges of India, such
as reducing overall burden of diseases, lowering out-of pocket expenditure,
augmenting healthcare infrastructure and promoting access to quality care.
However, to provide assurance of healthcare for all, the government must
recognise and address the rising concerns and sustainability of the private
healthcare providers, which account for 70 per cent of bed capacity expansion
over the past decade and cater to 60 per cent of inpatient care demands of the
country. As healthcare services and coverage expand, successful implementation
will require a parallel concerted push towards quality assurance, appropriate
governance and regulation, improving referral pathways as well as leveraging
appropriate technologies and innovations at all levels. This will be possible only
with effective collaborations between all the stakeholders, including the private
sector.
Way ahead
Land acquisition: Earlier, the government had made cabinet approval mandatory
for leasing, licensing, or transferring land. By relaxing transfer regulations for
land it owns, the government has taken a positive that should resolve the delay
of projects by procedural issues, and complement the guidelines to resolve land
issues.
5.8 REFERENCES
1) The Concise Oxford Companion to Economics in India by Kaushik Basu;
Annemie Maertens (Editor) ISBN: 9780198063131.
2) India’s Economic Reforms and Development by Isher Judge Ahluwalia; I.
Little (Editor) ISBN: 9780198082231.
3) Handbook of the Indian Economy in the 21st Century by Ashima Goyal
(Editor) ISBN: 9780198097532.
4) Facilitating Infrastructure Development in India, ADB’s Experience and
Best Practices in Project Implementation by Asian Development Bank.
5) IEG paper on ‘Infrastructure in India: Challenges and the Way Ahead’ by
Pradeep Agrawal, IEG Working Paper No. 350, 2015.
6) Economic. Survey 2019-20. Volume 1. Government of India. Ministry of
Finance. Department of Economic Affairs. Economic Division.
7) IBEF Indian Infrastructure- Industry Analysis Reports 2019
136
Physical and Social
Infrastructure
Block 2
Development Strategies
137
Development Strategies
BLOCK 2 DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES
The state and market as institutions play significant role in the process of economic
development. However, the role of these two institutions in India as an instrument
of economic development has changed over time.
During the first four decades of development planning, India relied heavily on
the public sector which was favoured as the engine of development. During this
period, the state played mainly the regulatory, entrepreneurial and planning role.
However, after 1991 the inward-looking development strategy was replaced by
outward-oriented strategy popularly known as liberalisation, privatisation and
globalisation (LPG) strategy, wherein private sector is considered as an engine
of growth. Under this strategy, free functioning market acts as the guiding force
in the major policy decisions and state works more as facilitator and promoter of
economic activities and less as regulator. This block deals with re-defining the
role of state and market and changing development strategies adopted over a
period of time. The Block comprises three units.
Unit 6: State and Market: Indian Context throws light on the various forms of
state intervention in economic activities, state’s intervention for achieving the
goal of efficiency and promoting equity and state’s intervention in market as
envisaged in Indian Constitution.
138
State and Market: Indian
UNIT 6 STATE AND MARKET: INDIAN Context
CONTEXT
Structure
6.0 Objectives
6.1 Introduction
6.2 State and Market
6.2.1 State and Government
6.2.2 Market: Meaning and Forms
6.2.3 Premises of Market
6.3 State Intervention in Market: Instruments and Institutions
6.3.1 Ownership and Operation
6.3.2 Regulation and Control
6.3.3 Promotion and Support
6.3.4 Protection
6.4 State Intervention in Market for Efficiency
6.4.1 Rationale for State Intervention in Market
6.4.2 Public Goods
6.4.3 Externalities
6.4.4 Monopoly Power
6.4.5 Information Asymmetries
6.4.6 Merit and Demerit Goods
6.5 State Intervention in Market to Promote Equity
6.5.1 Goods Markets
6.5.2 Factor Markets
6.6 State Intervention in Market and Indian Constitution
6.6.1 General Direction
6.6.2 Particular Areas
6.7 State Intervention and State Interference
6.8 Let Us Sum Up
6.9 Term-end Exercises
6.10 Key Words
6.11 References
6.12 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
Appendix 6.1
6.0 OBJECTIVES
After reading this unit, you will be able to:
differentiate between State and Government;
describe different meanings of Market;
139
Development Strategies identify different forms/instruments of State intervention;
delineate the neoclassical rationale for State intervention in Market for
efficiency;
discuss the rationale for State intervention in Market for equity;
explain State intervention mandated in the Constitution of India; and
distinguish between intervention and interference.
6.1 INTRODUCTION
Political economy as evolved in the last few centuries in the West, dealt with the
role of State in relation to economic affairs– both of public nature and private
nature. As managing the State paraphernalia and making it help run the economy
needed resources, fiscal operations of finding ways of mobilising resources and
expending them had been an important aspect of a State’s economic activities.
With evolving complexities, monetary operations were generally parted from
treasury functions of the government and entrusted with an independent and
specialised agency, mostly within government domain and invariably under a
separate law.
Societies and countries could progress because there were in existence certain
institutions, which evolved over time practically in all civilised societies with
variations and at differing pace. A legal framework ensuring existence of private
property, an inheritance system for some assets and protection of contractual
obligations has been a ubiquitous feature. It was realised quite early that many
of resources are consumed in common and there had to be institutions to resolve
issues should they arise in possession or use of such resources. In State-led
societies, this task was given to or assumed by the State. State intervened in the
economy for improving efficiency, enhancing equity, stabilising its activity level
and balancing tradeoffs when they arose.
Relationship between State and Market across space and time has not been the
same. So-called capitalism where quality and quantity of state invention distinctly
differed from so-called socialism but both existed side by side for pretty long
time. When most countries allowed market better, individual countries and regions
differed not necessarily in proportion to the level of development. Over time, it
appears that market dominated state and sought state to be a facilitator rather
than a competitor by devising such formal institutions and designing them in
such a way that market flourish and help the country grow. However, when crises
struck such as the Great Depression of 1930s, the Great Recession of 2008-09 or
Covid-19, the market operators sought the help from the State. In other times,
either market sought or state sought the partnership between private sector and
public sector in many development arenas which were traditionally taken up in
140
public sector for a pretty long time. This partnership had to be in terms of sharing State and Market: Indian
Context
of resources, risk and revenue. Anyway, there have been swings in the relationship
between the two, market and state, in terms of domination, competition and
cooperation. However, the unit, given the limitation of space, would not devote
much time on this aspect.
The focus of this unit is on State intervention in individual markets for improving
both the efficiency and equity of outcomes. In addition, State plays paternal role
of encouraging or discouraging consumption of certain goods. It also chooses to
regulate as well as promote quite a few private activities, including those of
economic nature. The unit devotes space to discuss the nature of State and market,
the rationale of State intervention in market for efficiency and equity. It also
discusses State intervention in the context of India.
State supposedly evolved to perform watch and ward functions, to defend the
society from external aggression and internal disturbances while market evolved
to benefit from voluntary exchange of goods (and services) which was greatly
facilitated with the invention of money as medium of exchange.
However, State has often been intervening in, some would argue even meddling
in, the economic spheres of life. Justifications varies from time to time, giving
impression that State and market are hand in glove. Property rights and inheritance
laws as well as people’s entitlements and obligations, which were traditionally
evolved have been recognised by the State which either accorded sanction or
tweaked them a little here and there. Nevertheless, formal state institutions always
alongside informal societal institutions where institutions mean the rules of
conduct for individuals and other entities to avoid conflicts should they arise.
Generally, there is a tendency for State to assume greater scope by formalising
institutions and occasions arise for them.
Government keeps coming and going as per rules of the State– best codified in
the Constitution. While State may appear to be abstract, it is which asserts
sovereignty of a community of people. All individuals living in the territory, 141
Development Strategies except those belonging to foreign States, are members of the State as its citizens.
In India, there are 130 crore people, with 99.5 per cent being the citizens. While
a few Indian citizens may be non-resident, few foreign citizens may be residents
in India. In contrast, government is concrete, visible, and active, and involves a
subset of people– some as representatives of people and some as employees in
their service. For example, in India, there are around 545 MPs in the House of
People, over 4000 MLAs in Stare Assemblies and over 30 lakh members in
Panchayats and Municipalities, who are direct representatives of the people at
some level of government.
Further, the form of government may vary from State to State. Government may
be monarchial, aristocratic, dictatorship or democracy. It may have a presidential
form or parliamentary one. It may be federal– with several fixed or flexible
constituents, or unitary with centralised or decentralised administrative set-up.
If federal, it may have several levels or tiers of governments. State exists
independently of the form of government while people may choose the form of
government.
However, the word State may have several meanings in popular usage. For
example, in the Constitution of India, India is a State as well as a Union of
States. (So is the case of the US.) Modern government normally has three wings,
legislature, executive and judiciary. But the Constitution of India, for legal
purposes, defines the State in Art 12, in relation to Fundamental Rights which
must be adjudicated by Judiciary, as:
… “the State” includes the Government and Parliament of India and the
Government and Legislature of each of the States and all local or other authorities
within the territory of India or under the Government of India.
Size of market depends on the level of specialisation and division of labour, said
Adam Smith. He is in fact referring to the size of economy in today’s parlance,
which is generally measured in terms of Gross Value Added (GVA). Another
connotation, as in microeconomics, is a market for a commodity– good or service,
or for a factor. Still another connotation is regular market referring to market
place or periodic market referring to frequency. Nowadays, it may be real or
virtual!
142
Market expanded as many goods got commoditised or commodified. For example, State and Market: Indian
Context
labour was not directly bought and sold earlier on wages, the labour price per
unit of time– notwithstanding existence of slavery wherein a person can be bodily
sold; later, it became like any other commodity. Many services like legal advocacy,
consultancy, teaching, training, research, marketing, are also now on sale. In
management science, market may mean a verb for advertisement.
Normally, we associate market with a place where we carry out purchase and
sale of goods. Some are regular and some organised on periodic basis and some
on occasions like festivals. There are virtual markets as well, as we are now
becoming used to. However, in Economics, for analytical purposes, markets can
be classified as asset markets, goods markets, and service markets; goods markets
and factor markets; financial market, bond market and money market, etc. They
present a platform with certain conditions to facilitate voluntary exchange of
goods and services. Based on level of competition, they may be called monopoly,
monopolistically competitive or oligopoly. The nature of State intervention
invariably depends on the structure of the market. However, State intervention
always take the form of influencing either the prices, quantity, or quality standards,
or all of them.
Chattel (i.e., personal possession not related to real estate) seems to be the first
form that came to be accepted as property and slaves appear to be the worst form
of property. Both are the cases of means of production as are land, workshops,
tools, and equipment. Socialist thinkers believe that means of production which
occasion the employment of a sizeable number of workers have to be socially
owned whereas capitalist proponents support private ownership. While some
believe that private property provides incentive to exert harder, there are some,
like Ludwig von Mises, who think that prices cannot be formed in the absence of
private property over means (factors) of production.
There is often a distinction made between private property and personal property
and another between consumption goods (means of consumption) and capital
goods (means of production).
However, market may not exist in certain cases as goods may have peculiar
characteristics. Or market may exist but may not yield efficient outcomes. So,
private property may be a necessary condition for market to function, but not
sufficient. Likewise, rules for succession or inheritance of certain properties are
a necessary institution for a society but not sufficient.
144
4) What are essential premises of market in terms of voluntary exchange? State and Market: Indian
Context
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
Likewise, there are variety of institutions through which interventions are carried
out. These institutions are named as agency, association, authority, bureau, boards,
committee, commission, corporation, council, foundation, institution, office,
organisation, society or trust, which all have somewhat different legal status and
organisational complexion. There may be ad hoc task forces, working groups,
panels of experts, etc. Similarly, broad sectoral interventions take the shape of
plan, scheme, programme, project, campaign, and mission.
For the purpose of elaboration, this unit chooses to classify micro interventions
as they are, into four groups in terms of (i) Ownership and Operation, (ii)
Regulation and Control, (iii) Promotion and Support, and (iv) Protection.
6.3.4 Protection
Certain industries may need protection, besides support, from competition with
easily substitutable products. There were hundreds of items which were reserved
for production by small scale industries (micro and small enterprises). Under
WTO obligations, slowly, protection by reservation has been withdrawn. However,
there is still Purchase Preference Policy and Price Preference Policy. Under the
former, government departments are supposed to give preference for products
from small scale industries and under the latter, they could pay up to 15 per cent
higher price than the lowest quotation from industry of any scale.
146
Check Your Progress 2 State and Market: Indian
Context
1) List the various instruments of specific market interventions.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
2) List the institutions and modes of State intervention in market.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
3) Explain the meaning of regulation in the context of intervention in market.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
State is often pressed into service to intervene in the market should its legitimate
functioning result in socially undesirable consequences. State is also asked to
intervene in the market if the latter is found to be inadequate or incomplete in
certain respects. Such a situation is called market failure as it results in higher
prices and lower quantities compared to efficient operation of market.
In the case of perfect competition, marginal revenue (MR) of the producer, often
called marginal benefit (MB), is equivalent to marginal social benefit (MSB) as
there are no spillovers of benefit. So, MR=MB=MSB. Likewise, marginal cost
(MC) is equivalent to marginal social cost (MSC) as no cost is externalised. So,
MC=MSC. Usual equilibrium condition of MR=MC (or MB=MC) translates
into MSB=MSC and thus efficient voluntary exchange ensures efficient social
outcome. There is neither excess production nor shortage. When there is
divergence between the two– private and social, this parity breaks down. Market
will fail to produce socially efficient output or outcome. In such a situation, an
external intervention in the market is required. For long, it has been suggested in
neoclassical tradition that the intervention should come from the State. This is
the rationale for State intervention. We briefly discuss these five instances of
market failure to produce efficient social outcome, leading to State intervention.
Public goods are goods which are non-rival in consumption and non-excludable
from consumption whereas private goods which are both rival and excludable.
However, it is not true that all goods in existence can be categorised in these two
mutually exclusive groups. Goods may be non-rival but still excludable. Few
more students may be accommodated in the class as marginal cost of teaching
them is zero and consumption is non-rival up to a limit when the class size becomes
too large for effective learning to take place. Such goods are often called club
goods. There are goods, such as fishing in international water, where fishers are
non-excludable, but extraction of fish is rival: more for me and less for you or
more today and less tomorrow. So may be the case with oil extraction from two
nearby wells with common stock underground. Such goods are often referred to
as commons or common goods. Club goods and common goods are also referred
to as quasi-public goods or semi-public goods.
For pure private goods, equilibrium condition MSC = MBA= MBB where A and
B are two consumers, decides the quantum of good that would be produced
while in case of pure public goods, equilibrium condition MSC = MBA+ MBB
should decide that quantum. In the case of a private good, marginal benefit curves
are horizontally added while in the case of public good, they have to be vertically
added. Needless to say, market may not produce any such good. State is therefore
called for, for production of public goods.
We may further note that (1) public goods may be national or local or global
depending upon their area of outreach and (2) there also exist public bads (global,
national and local), like variety of pollutions, which have to be reduced or removed
by the State.
6.4.3 Externalities
Most activities related to production of goods, and some involving consumption
of goods, also produce bads, which impact others, called third parties– as they
are neither producer (first party) nor consumers (second party) who benefit from
production of the good. This phenomenon is known as externalities. Sugar or
textile or leather factories produce effluents which find way into local water
streams impacting those living nearby or depending on them for water. People
living in the vicinity suffer from the polluted streams in terms of health hazards
and incur expenditure on protection or medical treatment. Some of the production
activities do produce benefits which accrue to those who do not pay for those
benefits. A classic example is beekeeping. While collecting nectar bees pollinate
the trees in the orchard. Free software or basic education are treated in the same
category. Thus, we see externalities are negative or positive. The short point is
that social cost or social benefit diverge from their private counterpart. Third
party cost/benefits are also known as external cost/external benefit (EC/EB).
Generally, marginal equilibrium conditions are written as:
149
Development Strategies For Negative Externality: MSC = MC (MPEC) + MEC while MR=MSB
For Positive Externality: MSB = MR (MPEB) + MEB while MC=MSC
where Marginal Private Economic Cost (MPEC) represents marginal cost and
Marginal Private Economic Benefit (MPEB), marginal revenue. MEC and MEB
are Marginal External Cost borne and Marginal External Benefit enjoyed by a
third party. Since private parties tend to equate marginal (private) cost with
marginal (private) benefit, quantum produced may not be socially efficient. While
focusing on negative externalities, it was argued by Pigou to adopt ‘polluter
pays’ principle. The suggestion is externalities should be internalised. Since then,
many other suggestions have been offered. Allocation of tradable pollution permits
is one. Subsidisation sought by private parties to adopt technologies to help reduce
pollution is another. Coase had argued for assignment of property rights and
private negotiation, but negotiation need to be enforced by State. So, State
intervention is needed in such cases as well.
There may be good reason to permit monopolies in certain cases. Like in natural
monopolies, it benefits the society to harness potential of a technology in terms
of economies of scale. However, if producers are few or if a producer controls a
good proportion of market, they enjoy market power, which manifests in the
form of goods offered at a higher prices. In both cases, State is invited to intervene
by regulating prices in addition to quantity and quality so that social outcomes
are optimum. Monopoly restricting laws have been enacted in most countries.
Competition Commissions are also instituted by the governments in many
countries, including in India, to oversee that market power or market dominance
is not misused to the disadvantage of consumers.
151
Development Strategies 3) What is meant by a demerit good? How does government intervene in the
market for demerit goods?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
Labour Market
State often imposes Minimum Wage Act to improve wage levels in the labour
market. It is generally welcome though quite a few economists find it
counterproductive, not without logic, as it might increase unemployment by
discouraging use of labour intensive techniques in production. The law is
applicable for low level of workers– unskilled, semi-skilled and skilled. Beside
price intervention, there are several other interventions seeking job security and
income security. However, for most of India’s independent history, minimum
wages have not been fully enforced in most states. Of late, it has been argued
that a floor on wages has been created by the MGNREGA guaranteed wages in
many states, including in the backward states where minimum wages were not
enforced in reality.
Credit Market
State may use a policy of differential rates of interest for different sectors to
ensure adequate flow of credit, interest subvention for equity consideration and
even in the context of tax policy. In India, such lending is called priority sector
lending and sectors include agriculture, micro enterprises, higher education,
affordable housing, etc. where certain floors in terms of credit flows are also
enforced.
Entrepreneurship
State encourages private initiative if the promoters have good workable ideas by
extending tax benefits, concessional credit and even training. Recent examples
are Startup India and Standup India initiatives. Besides, there are interventions
at creating skill sets among youth through state intervention or attempting
vocational education.
153
Development Strategies 3) How is intervention for development of entrepreneurial skill helpful in
promoting equity considerations in a society?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
(b) that the ownership and control of the material resources of the community
are so distributed as best to sub-serve the common good; and
(c) that the operation of the economic system does not result in the concentration
of wealth and means of production to the common detriment.
From these two clauses, it appears that the State accepts the primacy of private
ownership of material resources (Clause 39 (b)) and of market price mechanism
(Clause 39 (c)) but asserts its interventionist power to correct distribution of
material resources as well as to influence price mechanism so as to secure best
welfare outcomes. There are several other Articles, all in Part IV, which can be
seen as construing market intervention: Right to work (Art 41), Provision of just
and human condition of work (Art 42), Living wage for workers (Art 43), and
Participation of workers in management of industries (Art 43A). Organisation of
agriculture and animal husbandry on modern and scientific lines (Art 48) and
Protection and improvement of environment and safeguarding of forests and
wild life (Art 48A) can also be accepted to fall in the same category.
154
6.6.2 Particular Areas State and Market: Indian
Context
One can well see that there are suggested areas of market intervention– whether
regulation or promotion, in the Seventh Schedule under Art 246 that delineates
subject-matter of laws to be made by Parliament and by the Legislatures of States.
List I (Union List) roughly enumerate them generally under entries 22 through
61, List II (State List) does so under entries 13 through 32, and List III (Concurrent
List) lists them under 20 through 38. Many other entries also have relevance for
market intervention while some of the entries noted above may not strictly be
related with market intervention. Generally, there is separation in intervention
between the two level of governments, Union and State. But there may be areas
where Union and States are dealing with separate aspects of the same area, like
mining or industry or communication. There may be an area where both the
governments are competent to legislate, like electricity, but if there is conflict
then the Parliamentary Act shall prevail over the Legislative ones. For rough
mapping of entries of three lists across sectors, see the Appendix.
State may not always be right. It is quite possible that State is unnecessarily
intervening without good reasons. It is also possible that a State intervention
may continue beyond the time it is needed. It is possible that it might become
excessive and found to become interference. It is also possible that government
has not well understood the situation and may have unnecessarily intervened.
Something considered good in 1950s might not be needed in 2000s, suggesting
that such moves have outlived their utility. There may be generational shift or
ideological shift about the role of State. Their continuance might have
counterproductive. Yet, a party may be gaining at the cost of another or the country
as a whole.
It may be pointed that 1500 Parliamentary Acts that were found archaic, were
repealed in recent years– quite a few of them were economic, impinging upon
market functioning.
In India, we often discuss the movement from LPQ (License, Permit and Quota)
raj to LPG (Liberalisation, Privatisation and Globalisation) regime. Reforms of
1950s are said to have been relevant during that period. Reforms of 1990s are
currently continuing in the same direction. For example, liberalisation means
removal of restrictions. So, restrictions are being removed gradually.
There may be several reasons for unnecessary intervention. One of them is rent-
seeking nature of politicians and bureaucracy. Another is regulatory capture by
industrial biggies whereby regulators get willingly captured by private interests.
Still another is pursuit of self-interest by regulators. Similarly, often electorate
demand, or political objectives of a ruling party may not be very rational or in
the larger interest of the country. There are several others. Scholars of late have
asserted that there exists what one can call government failure.
156
State and Market: Indian
6.8 LET US SUM UP Context
State is perhaps the most important institution humans have evolved to sustain
social living and resolve conflicts that may arise in societal affairs. Market is
one of such societal affairs. It intervenes in market in general but also in specific
markets to influence level of production, level of prices, quality of products or
standards of service, etc. It devises several instruments as well as institutions
through which it intervenes. It is to be appreciated that the relationship between
State and Market has not been the same across space or time in terms of
dominance, competition and cooperation. Despite a tendency of assertion by
market, State is called for stabilisation in terms of crises; at other times, market
seeks its entry through partnership into the development areas that for a long
time were preserve of the State.
Neoclassical economists have over time enumerated the reasons as to when and
where State is called upon to intervene in market for specific goods under the
assumption that State is most efficacious institution to improve the outcomes.
Microeconomic interventions can be undertaken for both purposes– improving
efficiency and enhancing equity.
The unit has also broadly touched the direction for intervention in market generally
and specific markets through legislation as suggested in the Constitution of India
which divides the areas of legislation between the Union and the States. It also
hints that State may not always be right in intervening or choosing right kind of
institution and instrument.
6.11 REFERENCES
Books on Microeconomics, Public Finance, and Environmental Economics which
include relevant chapters, would be good enough for the Unit. www.britannia.com
and www.tutor2u.net could be websites among those which can be consulted.
Constitution of India contains reasons for intervention in market in Part IV and
Part XI– particularly Chapter I. For swings in the relative importance between
market and State and changing complexion of the relationship between the World
Development Reports of 1996 and 1997 would be an interesting read. However,
one can profitably read following books/articles for advanced understanding:
158
3) Gordon Tullock et al. (2002). Government Failure: A Primer in Public Choice, State and Market: Indian
Context
Cato Institute, Washington.
160
State and Market: Indian
APPENDIX 6.1 Context
161
Development Strategies
UNIT 7 ECONOMIC REFORMS IN INDIA
Structure
7.0 Objectives
7.1 Introduction
7.2 Economic Reforms: Meaning and Nature
7.3 India’s Path to Economic Transformation
7.3.1 Planned Economic Development
7.3.2 Import Substitution in Industrialisation
7.3.3 License Permit Quota Raj
7.3.4 Public Sector Expansion and Nationalisation
7.3.5 Beginning of Economic Reforms
7.4 Onset of Current Economic Reforms
7.4.1 The Crisis
7.4.2 Assessment and the Response
7.4.3 Some Initial Steps Taken by the Government
7.5 Reforms for Macroeconomic Stabilisation
7.5.1 Fiscal Reforms
7.5.2 Monetary and Financial Reforms
7.5.3 Currency Exchange Reforms
7.6 Reforms for Microeconomic Structural Adjustment
7.6.1 Liberalisation of Business
7.6.2 Privatisation of Public Sector Units and Disinvestment
7.6.3 Globalisation of the Economy
7.7 Generations and Waves of Economic Reforms
7.8 Let Us Sum Up
7.9 Term-End Exercises
7.10 Key Words
7.11 References
7.12 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
7.0 OBJECTIVES
After reading this unit, you will be able to:
define economic reforms;
contrast efficiency-seeking reforms with equity-seeking reforms;
delineate the nature of neoliberal economic reforms;
narrate the crisis brewing in 1980s and precipitated by Gulf War in 1990;
shed light into the background necessitating current genre of reforms;
explain macroeconomic stabilisation and structural adjustment programmes;
and
make a distinction between the first generation and the second generation
reforms.
162
Economic Reforms in India
7.1 INTRODUCTION
Every day, we in India keep hearing, or reading news about some or the other
economic reforms that have been brought in or would be brought in shortly.
They are either introduction of new interventions or withdrawal of old
interventions by the government in managing the economic affairs of the country–
particularly in the structure and operation of markets.
In the previous Unit, it was discussed as to why and how government intervenes
in the market and also why and how, at times, it chooses to withdraw certain
interventions. Introduction, modification, and withdrawal of government
interventions depend partly on ideology, partly on evolving situation– both internal
and external, and partly on the efficacy of the prevalent institutions to meet the
development objectives.
In India, there were a set of reforms carried out after independence in several
institutional arrangements, the first being in the sphere of land relations. They
were duly referred to as reforms by policymakers and scholars though in legislative
parlance few of the Acts were named ‘reforms’ (Even introduction of expenditure
tax in mid-1950s was called a tax reform). Likewise, when in early 1990s steps
were taken to liberalise business, privatise government enterprises, and open the
economy for international trade and investment, they have been called reforms
by policymakers and scholars alike but not necessarily in legalese where the
word often used is regulation or management.
This unit proposes to explain the meaning and nature of economic reforms carried
out since independence and post 1991, and discuss the features and contours of
reforms carried out during these two different periods.
The unit is, however, intended to explain rather than assess the neoliberal reforms
in terms of the political economy, which may not be very charitable. Assessment
is invariably coloured by one’s ideological persuasion.
167
Development Strategies A new industrial policy resolution was passed in 1956 in the Parliament, following
the resolution on socialistic pattern of society. This policy resolution expanded
the sphere of public sector and contracted that of private sector. With a view to
creating and expanding infrastructure, generating financial resources,
redistributing income and wealth, balancing regional development, and
substituting imports by domestic production, quite a few industries were
nationalised for one or the other reason– some for strategic importance of the
industry, some in the interest of working class when industries were found falling
sick, and some to safe keep technology.
Reserve Bank of India, after its nationalisation in 1949, was entrusted with
regulation of banks through Banking Regulation Act of 1949.Imperial Bank was
nationalised as State Bank of India in 1955. Life Insurance of India was created
in 1956 by merging more than 200 insurance and provident fund companies—
including 16 foreign insurers. Most people recall nationalisation of 14 major
banks in 1969, of 6 major banks in 1980, and of 107 general insurance companies
(55 into companies and 52 insurance arms of companies) into General Insurance
Corporation of India in 1972 with four subsidiaries for operations.
With independence, Government had asserted that it could nationalise any private
or foreign venture. Starting with Air Corporation Act in 1953, Air India (an
initiative of TATA) was nationalised and half a dozen regional airlines were
merged and nationalised as Indian Airlines. One by one, electricity, steel, iron,
coal, and oil industries were nationalised.
With Rajiv Gandhi in power in 1984, and a new generation of ideas, easing of
State control on industries in terms of expansion, import requirement, lowering
of taxes, were also attempted. Capacities created beyond authorised levels were
regularised with some limits. Under ‘broad-banding’ diversification into related
168
product did not now require a new license. Cement, steel, and fertilizers industries Economic Reforms in India
were decontrolled. Licensing for companies with investment below a certain
level, willing to locate away from urban centres was not necessary. Definition of
MRTP firms was relaxed. Imports for modernisation were liberalised. List of
open general license (OGL) for import of capital and intermediate items was
expanded, which permitted imports without tariff. Diversification was made
liberal. Security and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) was constituted in 1988
by an executive order, to oversee the security market as price rigging was rampant.
Communication infrastructure was laid out. Political reservations on Planning
Commission came to the fore: Rajiv Gandhi called it a pack of jokers. These
steps had to be halted as political support was lacking and bureaucracy was
recalcitrant. These steps were held as hesitant reforms. It was also the time, the
USSR adopted glasnost and perestroika and by the end of 1989, expediting the
breakdown of the iron-curtain that divided the West from the Soviet East
Noticing that growth rate had considerably slowed down in 1970s for several
reasons not the least of which was the bureaucratic over-zealousness in keeping
control over everything, certain measures were taken in mid-1980s to relax the
controls, particularly on imports. Such measures helped improve the growth
performance of the economy, however macroeconomic imbalances also gained
current.
Changes in the international context associated with the gulf war, triggered by
Iraq attacking Kuwait in mid-1990, put India into a serious crisis as its import
bill swelled and export receipts plummeted, and, thus, current account deficit on
balance of payment accentuated. In this scenario, NRIs started withdrawing their
deposits in foreign currency from banks. Short-term foreign capital also out-
flowed. As a consequence, forex reserves depleted down to $1.2 billion in January
1991 and further depleted to $0.6 billion by June 1991– just equivalent to about
three-weeks’ imports. There was thus a full-blown BoP crisis at hand.
India sought help from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to tide over BoP
crisis by seeking an emergency loan of $2.2 billion. IMF gave a standby loan of
$0.72 billion in January 1991 to be utilised in three months’ time. For the first
time, the country came to the brink of default in servicing the debt. India had to
airlift some part of its gold stock (primarily the gold confiscated from smugglers)
out of its forex reserves to Bank of England and Union Bank of Switzerland as
collateral to secure loan on terms that were not too steep. This was the time when
India had a caretaker government headed by PM Chandrashekhar (March-June
1991) at the Centre. With its back against the wall, the country had no option but
to set into motion comprehensive economic reforms. It is often said that the
crisis of 1991 was predictable, given the buildup of macroeconomic imbalances
in 1980s, but the Gulf war precipitated it.
The loan contracted was too little. It was natural for the new Government which
came into power with PV Narasimha Rao as Prime Minister and Manmohan
Singh as Finance Minister to approach for a loan of $2.5 billion dollars from
IMF and another of $0.5 billion from the World Bank. IMF and the World Bank
were willing to rescue the Indian economy but sought compliance with
conditionalities, as is their wont, in terms of implementing reforms package
involving macroeconomic stabilisation policies and microeconomic (sectoral)
structural corrections. IMF gave loan of SDR1.656 billion (equivalent to $2.2
billion) under non-concessional stand-by arrangement with a window of 15
months at 7.1 per cent rate of interest. World Bank which normally gives project
specific loans, did come around to giving a loan of 0.25 billion for structural
adjustment. Though these loans were not concessional, yet they were cheaper
170
than commercial ones– which were not available easily as the country’s credit Economic Reforms in India
rating had dropped considerably.
Manmohan Singh and P.V. Narasimha Rao initiated the reforms in June 1991
with the presentation of the Union Budget. They found the conditionalities
attached to the loans taken from international financial institutions as prudent
pieces of advice but set up committees to suggest details for the path to reform
the economic management of the country. These were efficiency seeking reforms.
If there had to be a check on merger or acquisition of private firms, it was not to
check monopoly or restrictive trade practices but to promote economic efficiency.
If a public sector unit had to be sold (privatisation) or partly sold (divested), it
was for improving its economic performance. The sole purpose was to improve
efficiency in the economic system.
In the financial sector, RBI had freed banks to charge interest rates beyond floor
rate, depending upon the risk perception of the borrower. Budget speech of 1991
suggested formation of a high-level committee (Narasimham Committee) to look
into the structure, organisation, functions and procedures of financial institutions.
It was felt that administrative intervention on interest rate had outlived its utility.
It was pointed out that powers of Capital Controller of India (Government) would
be transferred to SEBI which would be empowered through appropriate
legislation. Likewise, Foreign Exchange Regulation Act (FERA, 1973) was set
to be liberalised for non-resident Indians to make investment in India.
While freeing Indian industry from official control, it said, opportunities for
foreign investment should be exploited as it would bring in attendant advantages
of technology transfer, management techniques, marketing strategies and export
potential. Direct approval would be given up to 51 per cent. Likewise, Indian
industries would be allowed to negotiate the terms of technology with foreign
counterparts and this may induce Indian industry to undertake more research
and development activities.
Public sector units which have done very valuable work in early years of the
Indian economy, post-independence were now, in many cases, a burden on the
public resources. In particular, the sick mills which were taken over by the
Government continued to be sick. They were to be referred to the Board for
Industrial and Financial Reconstruction. While there was no reason for public
sector to supply consumer goods and services, it had expanded into these sectors.
Emphasis was for the public sector to operate in reserved or strategic areas or
where reasonable profitability was being maintained. Those public undertakings
that were performing well were to be given management autonomy. Competition
with private sector was to be encouraged. And in some cases, disinvestment of
equity share was to be carried out.
172
MRTP Act was to be so tweaked that industries need not seek any prior approval Economic Reforms in India
for expansion, merger, takeover, amalgamation, or diversification. MRTP
Commission could, suo moto or on complaint, check if any industrial
establishment was indulging in monopolistic, restrictive, or unfair trade practices
and take appropriate action.
This fiscal balance has to be ensured by managing efficiently both revenue side
– basically taxation and expenditure side so that borrowing is not too high and
that debt servicing does not dominate revenue expenditure through rising interest
payment. Keeping this in mind, tax rates which went on increasing during 1950-
70, were moderated substantially – guided by the thinking underpinning the
Laffer’s curve hypothesis. Tax nets were widened while exemptions and
deductions were pruned; tax structure was reoriented in favour of direct taxes as
indirect taxes are seen to be price distortionary and regressive in nature; attempt
was made to change the basis of indirect taxes from gross sales proceeds to
value added; customs duties had to be brought down in keeping with the new
economic thinking as well as in compliance to WTO rules; attempts were made
to realise higher profits and dividends from public sector enterprises; efforts
were also made to recover cost from sale of services provided by government
(whether transport, power or irrigation); and improved fees were realised for
use/allocation of natural resources through better price discovery mechanism
(whether oil, gas, coal, minerals, or spectrum). There were political impediments
and success was limited as some of these steps were also undermined by scams.
Despite a slew of reforms, the two sides of the budget could not match well,
necessitating heavy borrowing and at times borrowing to service past borrowing.It
was finally considered prudent to bind the government by Fiscal Responsibility
and Budget Management (FRBM) Act, which could be passed in 2003. The Act
has put limits to fiscal deficit, revenue deficit, level of debt and contingency
liabilities and stipulated annual reduction in each of them. Though the Act had
provided an escape route to deal with situation that arose during 2008, yet the
Act itself had to be amended in 2012 and 2015. Timelines for meeting the FRBM
174 targets had to postponed repeatedly.
7.5.2 Monetary and Financial Reforms Economic Reforms in India
1
gradual reduction of CRR from 15% to about 4%, and reduction in the SLR from nearly 40% to
21.5% between the early 1990s and the mid-2010s have made a huge improvement to the
availability of lendable resources to the banking sector.
2
Fiscal dominance of monetary policy has moderated in India as a result of a series of fiscal and
monetary policy reforms that include, (i) moving to a market-determined interest rate system by
introducing auctions of government debt, (ii) phasing out of the automatic monetisation of fiscal
deficits through the two Supplemental Agreements between the Government of India and the
Reserve Bank of India, and (iii) curbing the monetisation of debt by enacting the Fiscal
Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act, 2003 that prevented the Reserve Bank
from subscribing to primary issuances of government securities from April 1, 2006. 175
Development Strategies manner; and promoting financial stability in the wake of domestic and external
shocks. More recently a number of measures have been initiated towards
inculcating a credit culture through enforcement of creditors’ rights, and hastening
the process of credit recovery. All these measures were designed to create an
efficient, productive and profitable financial sector.
176
Check Your Progress 4 Economic Reforms in India
Government of India, with Prime Minister Narasimha Rao and Finance Minister
Manmohan Singh, in July-August 1991 and in April 1993, spearheaded many
liberal provisions or undertook promotional measures in the areas of (a) licensing
business, (b) foreign investment, (c) foreign technology agreements, (d)
establishment, merger, amalgamation, takeover of companies or appointment of
directors in corporate governance, and (e) exiting from business. Licensing was
made mandatory only for 18 categories– later reduced to 15 by delisting
refrigerators, air-conditioners, and washing machines. Procedures for foreign
investment and foreign technology collaboration were sought to be promoted.
Labour laws were made a little easier for businessman.
One wonders whether the move was to de-bureaucratise the processes or promote
marketisation. It was perhaps both.
It was felt during 1980s in India that government was unnecessarily directly
operating industries in many areas where it ought not to and that many of public
sector units were not performing up to the mark by parameters set for them. In
the former case, Government could simply withdraw by selling its stakes. This is
called disinvestment. In the latter case, undertakings were to be so reformed that
they perform well even if meant partnership with private sector in terms of
ownership and/or management. But the issue soon became who would buy a
loss-making unit? Buyers insisted that they would cut down staff which was
oversized or non-performing. Short of funds, Government decided to sell shares
of performing undertakings. Moreover, shares of such companies could be sold
178 at high premium. In certain cases, one Government company bought the shares
of another Government company and, thus, Government could get non-debt Economic Reforms in India
creating capital receipts.
Various models were tried for privatisation. There could be three simple models:
(i) ownership, (ii) organisational, and (iii) operational. Disinvestment or
divestment is related to ownership question. Sometimes, it is suggested that Indian
Railways may be corporatised. Here ownership does not change but organi–
ational structure changes; it is no more run by the department or a board under it.
Corporation works at arm’s length distance. Unit can be leased to private hands
for long period.
Disinvestment of ownership, if made for 50 per cent or more along with handing
over control and management is called strategic disinvestment. If dilution is for
less than 50 per cent, which it has to be in case of undertakings in (strategic)
areas reserved for public sector, it is called non-strategic. Government sold some
of its hotels and some of the companies like BALCO completely. Government
keeps selling part of its shares through several methods. To begin with it sold
shares to other public sector financial companies like LIC and GIC. There have
been around 200 successful attempts.
Since Doha Round of WTO could not be satisfactorily concluded, countries have
simultaneously gone for forming Free Trade Areas, Comprehensive Economic
Cooperation/Partnership, Customs Union, etc. European Union is the chief
example, though not related with failure of WTO. India has negotiated quite a
few, in fact more than two dozen, regional or bilateral partnerships.
While following neoliberal direction, different nations will have some uniqueness
of their own in terms of pace and sequencing as their economic conditions differ.
Politics and bureaucracy will determine the pace and sequencing. For example,
such reforms were halted when India had unstable governments with limited
terms in the late 1980s and the late 1990s. Reforms may have suffered, rather
reversed, during the East Asian Currency Crisis or the Great Recession of 2008-
09 and there was call for more open global financial architecture.
At the end of last century, it was assessed that reforms that were easy to implement
in terms of resistance of bureaucracy or politicians, were carried out in the initial
phase. First, they were to be carried out in terms of conditionalities imposed by
loan sought from IMF and WB. Second, they could be carried out by executive
actions, not seeking political support, as recommended by the committees set up
for the purposes. Devaluation of rupee, ease of restrictions for establishing an
enterprise and expansion of capacity, easing import restrictions, de-reservation
of items for small scale industries, diluting government shares in public sector
undertakings, etc. did not require legislative interventions. They have been called
first generation reforms and the period was identified as 1991-1999. In terms of
digital jargon, they have been termed as Reforms 1.0 under Prime Minister PV
Narasimha Rao and Finance Minister Manmohan Singh during 1991-96. Some
reforms in the subsequent period were in the nature of deepening of measures
previously taken so that reversing them was not easy anymore.
Many reforms were carried out since 2014, Goods and Service Tax being the
major one. Monetary Policy Committee was instituting by amending RBI Act in
Finance Act of 2016 and is a major step in monetary management where three
members are nominated by Government of India.
Some immediate steps were taken like devaluation of rupee much before IMF
loan was agreed upon or enunciation of new industrial policy. Some Committees
were immediately set up to suggest course of reforms to be taken up in due
course. But Indian economy chose its own pace and sequencing, being careful
that reforms have ‘human face’.
7.11 REFERENCES
There are several sources related to this topic– some explaining, some supporting,
some opposing, and some critiquing economic reforms in general or particular
reforms or in relation to Indian economy. Any good book on Indian economy
would provide the facts. The World Bank and IMF websites would also be good
sources to help one understand the direction of reforms that have been suggested,
if not imposed, by the duo. Yet, one would greatly benefit from
1) Bhaduri, Amit and Deepak Nayyar, (1996). The Intelligent Person’s Guide
to Liberalisation, New Delhi: Penguin.
2) McCartney, Matthew, (2016). Political Economy, Growth and Liberalisation
in India 1991-2008, Routledge.
3) Mohan, Rakesh (edited), (2017). India Transformed: 25 Years of Economic
Reforms, Penguin Random House.
Some websites such as rbi.org.in and indiareforms.csis.org and several entries
under Wikipedia could be consulted for developments in areas related with
economic reforms.
184
Economic Reforms in India
7.12 ANSWERS OR HINTS TO CHECK YOUR
PROGRESS EXERCICES
Check Your Progress 1
1) Correction in instruments and institutions of government intervention to
meet the objectives in better terms.
2) Reforms that primarily seek redistribution of income and wealth, and possibly
consumption in favour of the disadvantaged sections of the society are equity-
seeking ones while those that focus on improving growth performance
through efficient use of resources are efficiency-seeking ones.
3) Neoliberal reforms are those reforms which attempt to make market work
with less restrictions and withdrawal of State from activities which market
could perform. Since political liberalism got historically associated with
‘progressivism’ which advocated restrictions on market and increased role
of State, policy of relaxation of restrictions on market functioning was
considered to be neoliberal.
Check Your Progress 2
1) Dominant view of the leaders of Independence was that Indians do deserve
to have all comforts of the Western world. Since our limited export potential
could not allow to import unrestricted amount of goods and gadgets, we
decided on an industrialisation strategy which favoured produced substitutes
of imported goods in home.
2) For a pretty long time, one needed a lot of licenses or permits to start and
run an industrial enterprise. For purchase of scarce material, say steel or
cement or sugar, one needed to have a permit. If one needed imported material
needing foreign exchange, in addition to license or permit, one was assigned
a quota. The regime was popularly called license, permit and quota raj in
contrast to liberalisation, privatisation and globalisation one.
3) One was market-oriented Economic Reforms which were initiated in
Communist China in 1978 under the leadership of Deng Xiaoping after the
death of Mao Zedong in 1976. The other was enunciation of Glasnost and
Perestroika in the erstwhile USSR under the leadership of Mikhail
Gorbachev.
Check Your Progress 3
1) Invasion and occupation of Kuwait by Iraq in August 1990 and Iraq’s refusal
to vacate it led a wide scale War against it under the leadership of the US
army in which 35 nations had participated. It swelled import bill and slumped
exports, plummeting forex reserves.
2) As India’s creditworthiness had come down, external commercial borrowings
became difficult. Second, non-concessional loans from international agencies
are still cheaper. Internally, also, there was a feeling that reforms are called
for.
3) Government of India devalued rupee against foreign currencies, drastically
modified the industrial policies, and made several taxation changes, and
also set up several committees to make recommendations to the Government. 185
Development Strategies Check Your Progress 4
1) Despite introduction of several reforms, fiscal parameters such as revenue
deficit and fiscal deficit were not reaching the desired levels whether at
Union or State level. The Act was a kind of imposition of self-discipline.
2) Cash reserve ratio (CRR) keeps banks fairly liquid while statutory liquidity
ratio (SLR) directs credit towards government by purchase of government
bonds. Cash reserves with the Central Bank, do not normally earn interest
to the bank while government bonds do. However, CRR checks the credit
creating activity and SLR crowds out finance for private sector.
3) As of now, rupee is convertible into foreign currencies on the basis of market
forces. However, it is not normally convertible on capital account.
Check Your Progress 5
1) Liberalisation means relaxation in restrictions while laissez faire means
absence of restrictions.
2) Divestment or dilution of government ownership in a public sector enterprise.
Proceeds accrue to government as non-debt creating capital receipt.
3) When residents (including companies) of an economy are free to produce
anywhere or consume anywhere or products of anywhere, an economy is
said to be globalised. It amounts to freedom to trade and freedom to
investment; in practical terms, it means lessening of restrictions on imports/
exports and investment. Movement of labour is not articulated at the same
level.
Check Your Progress 6
1) First generation reforms are usually reckoned with those that can easily
accomplished through executive orders, with minimal legislative requirement
while seconds generation reforms need political sanction through legislation.
2) Bringing informal segments of an economy, including jobs, into formal
contact with the government through any channel.
186
Economic Reforms in India
UNIT 8 MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS IN POST
ECONOMIC REFORM PERIOD
Structure
8.0 Objectives
8.1 Intoduction
8.2 Privatisation and Restructuring of Public Sector
8.3 Difference between Disinvestment Privatisation
8.3.1 Forms of Privationsation
8.4 Need for Privatisation
8.5 Disinvestment in India
8.6 Problems Related to Disinvestment Process/Modes
8.7 Conditions Required for Success of Privatisation Policy
8.8 Public Private Partnership (PPP)
8.9 PPP Models in India
8.9.1 Government Incentives for PPPs
8.10 Challenges of PPP
8.11 Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC)
8.12 Concept and Importance of IBC
8.12.1 Objectives of IBC
8.12.2 The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code Ecosystem
8.12.3 Salient Features of IBC
8.12.4 Working of IBC
8.13 Let Us Sum Up
8.14 Term-end Exercises
8.15 Key Words
8.16 References
8.17 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
8.0 OBJECTIVES
Having gone through this unit, you will be able to:
explain the concept of privatisation;
distinguish between disinvestment and privatisation;
analyse the hurdles in the way of restructuring of public sector undertakings;
highlight the pros and cons of public private partnership;
narrate the suitability of public private partnership;
discuss the need for insolvency and bankruptcy code (IBC); and
point out the problems and performances of IBC.
187
Development Strategies
8.1 INTRODUCTION
The economic systems world over have been deregulated and controls that existed
in the past have been relaxed in great measure. At the same time, governments
have been attempting to open more economic activity to private players– both
domestic as well as foreign. Liberalisation, Privatisation and Globalisation (LPG)
forms part of a wider reform process, as discussed in the previous unit. The
narrative of “Rising India” over the past quarter century describes India’s
economic rise and, as a consequence of that rise, India’s globalisation and
integration with rest of the world. Further, there is a growing recognition that
India was liberating itself from the historical past.
The turn of the century was when a new narrative about independent India began
to take root internationally. India had not only come out of a serious economic
crisis in 1991-92, but had landed on its feet. Trade liberalisation, industrial
delicensing and decontrol and fiscal stabilisation contributed to an increase in
the share of foreign trade and manufacturing output in national income,
contributing also to improved prospects for growth. Investors’ confidence in the
economy got a boost, resulting in a build-up of its growth potential. New firms
began to come up and so did new industries. However, the slowing down of the
economy in the second decade of this millennium be it due to cyclical or structural
factors, has raised questions about India’s growth potential and the government’s
management of the economy. A new narrative can only be built on the foundations
of improved economic performance. A return to the earlier growth path is
predicated upon altering recent perceptions about India’s economic prospects
and policies, the political choices made and geopolitical options explored.
The most contentious of all economic reform measures since 1991, is
disinvestment. Disinvestment and privatisation have been two policies common
to all Central Governments since 1991. The economic reforms initiated in the
country provide the policy environment towards public private partnership (PPP)
in infrastructure development. Insolvency is a complex subject. Bankruptcy laws
accept that business ventures can fail and allow entrepreneurs to get a fresh start.
The passage of the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code in May 2016 was a key
reform which is set to alter the relationship between debtors and creditors. Given
this backdrop and the more general narrative on India’s economic reforms since
1991 discussed earlier, this unit will discuss various facets of three ongoing
debates having repercussion on the performance of Indian economy and these
are:
i) Privatisation and restructuring of public sector,
ii) Public private partnership, and
iii) Insolvency and bankruptcy code (IBC).
1
Competition plays a key role in ensuring productive, efficient, innovative and responsive markets.
It ensures availability of ‘goods’ and ‘services’ of acceptable quality at affordable price to the
consumers. Competition law, also referred to as anti-trust law, aims at promoting or maintaining
market competition by regulating anti-competitive conduct. The first Indian competition law
was the Monopolies and Restrictive Trade Practices (MRTP) Act, enacted in 1969 to encourage
fair play and fair deal in the market besides promoting healthy competition. In line with the
international trend and to cope with changing realities introduced by the reforms of 1990s, India
reviewed the MRTP Act, 1969, and enacted the Competition Act, 2002. 189
Development Strategies
8.4 NEED FOR PRIVATISATION
The industrial policy of July 1991 is considered as a precursor of economic reforms
which brought a change in the approach towards Public Sector Undertakings
(PSUs). In the affairs of the public sector, it has been a game of politics throughout,
and still is, despite the talk of structural adjustments and economic reforms.
Some of the important factors leading to the need for privatisation are as under:
ii) PSUs have many objectives imposed on them, some of which affect their
efficiency and profitability. In fact, PSUs suffer from multiple principals
and multiple objectives. As a rule, interventions through PSUs are both
inefficient and costly. India needs privatisation to improve efficiency and to
liquidate recurring liabilities for the government.
iv) It is important to note that there are limitations being government as owner.
Rao (1998) has emphasised that “the enterprise comes under a Ministry of
Government, and is subject to scrutiny by Parliament. The Government of
the party in power exercises ownership through the Minister while the
permanent civil service translates the will of the Government through the
management of the enterprises. But the Minister and civil servant are
temporary occupants of the owner’s chairs because of frequent changes in
their portfolios. There are controls exercised on the enterprise at all levels.”
190
Check You Progress 1 Major Developments in Post
Economic Reform Period
1) Provide wider meaning of privatisation.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
2) Distinguish between privatisation and disinvestment.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
3) What are the different forms of privatisation?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
4) Point out the need for privatisation in India.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
Successive governments since 1991 declared their intent to disinvest but little
progress has been made over the years. The record of performance of Government
on disinvestment has been uniformly poor. The present process of disinvestment
of PSUs is indiscriminate, unplanned and lacks clear policy on the government’s
part. According to department of investment and public asset management, since
the inception of the process of disinvestment in 1991-92 to January 2020 an
amount of Rs 3,54,307.75 have been mobilised through disinvestment proceeds.
Abhijit Roy (2002) has observed that Indian opinion seems to be divided in two
camps. The privatisers say that “the government has no business to be in business”
hence divestment is the only way out. The other camp holds the view that the
government should not hand over the family silver to crooks and charlatans who
dominate Indian businesses. Nor do they want the government companies to be
handed over to the MNCs. Whatever the merits of the arguments, one cannot
ignore either of these two opinions. One does not have to be dogmatic in one’s
approach. The goal should be to achieve a vibrant corporate sector in the medium
term consisting of various types of ownership patterns. E. A. S. Sarma (2004)
has rightly observed that the disinvestment policies of the successive government
remained hazy.
The Eleventh Finance Commission (2000) has noted in its report that major
structural reforms initiated in the nineties have virtually by-passed the PSUs. It
points out that PSUs should be freed from the shackles of ministries, and their
management has to be autonomous, professional, accountable, transparent and
durable for a good length of time. It is important to note that the centre’s efforts
at privatisation of the PSUs have not gone beyond a fractional disinvestment of
a few profit-making PSUs. There has been no uniformity of views either among
the political parties or among the economists about the necessity for privatisation.
“Contrary to popular supposition, neither the theory nor the empirical evidence
on privatisation provides unqualified support for the belief that privatisation leads
to outcomes superior to those under public ownership” (T T Ram Mohan, 2001).
Privatisation of public sector units has never been an easy task. Across the globe,
countries have tackled the hurdles in very different ways. But their governments
have weighed the good it could deliver with the odds it may bring and evened
the two out amicably. The privatisation process entails a very careful analysis of
specific circumstances including the specific setting of an enterprise and larger
socio-economic context. All that can be done is to build and sustain pressure on
the government to get out of activities with which it ought not to be involved,
and concentrate on those with which it should, like education, health, the supply
of drinking water and other essential services. Only then will a perspective emerge.
The scales seem to tilt in favour of the disinvestment process, no matter how
much is the protest from political and vested quarters. After all, disinvestment
has not been an easy job for any country in the world. Privatisation is not an end
in itself. It is a means of ensuring the efficiency of PSUs and the markets they
operate in. Government may have the right intentions, but it needs a better method
to accommodate the realities of a noisy political economy.
Since the need for infrastructural development in India is on the rise, the public
private partnership is the way to go forward as it provides innovation and diversity,
higher productivity, efficient and cost-effective delivery of projects. Facing
constraints on public resources and fiscal space has brought about renewed interest
in PPP. With the announcement of industrial policy of July 1991, a new wave for
PPP was felt and it was decided to allow private participation in the power sector
which opened up the doors for independent power producers. The National
Highways Act, 1956 was altered in 1995 to empower private support. In 1994,
through a focused offering process, licenses were conceded to eight-cell cellular
telephone utility administrators in four metro urban areas and 14 administrators
in 18 state circles. The overarching objectives of such partnerships are: 195
Development Strategies i) Harness private sector efficiencies in asset creation, maintenance and service
delivery;
ii) Provide focus on life cycle approach for development of a project, involving
asset creation and maintenance over its life cycle;
iii) Create opportunities to bring in innovation and technological improvements;
and,
iv) Enable affordable and improved services to the users in a responsible and
sustainable manner.
In short, the main objectives of pursuing PPP model in India relate to the following:
i) Expansion and improved infrastructure
ii) Risk sharing.
iii) Optimum allocation of resources.
iv) Innovations.
v) Aid in growth of other sectors.
(vi) The catalyst for the economy.
vii) More employment generation.
viii) Improves the image of the country.
ix) Attract FDI.
PPP Cell under Department of Economic Affairs (DEA): For looking at various
aspects of PPP, the PPP cell was set up in 2006 in the Department of Economic
Affairs (DEA), Ministry of Finance which acts as the Secretariat for Public Private
Partnership Appraisal Committee (PPPAC), Empowered Committee (EC), and
Empowered Institution (EI) for the projects proposed for financial support through
Viability Gap Fund (VGF). The PPP Cell is responsible for policy level matters
concerning PPPs, including policies, schemes, programmes, model concession
agreements and capacity building. The PPP Cell is also responsible for matters
and proposals relating to clearance by PPPAC, scheme for financial support to
PPPs in infrastructure (VGF Scheme) and India Infrastructure Project
Development Fund (IIPDF).
i) BOT (build operate transfer) models used for two-thirds of the total PPP
projects in India. User-fee based BOT model widely used in medium- to
large-scale projects, especially in energy and transport (road, ports and
airports). Annuity-based BOT model commonly used in sectors/projects not
meant for cost recovery by levying a fee on sectors such as health and
education.
ii) Modified design-build (turnkey) contracts yield time and cost saving benefits;
also enable efficient risk-sharing and improve quality.
The proposals shall include the requisite information necessary for satisfying
the eligibility criteria.
In addition to above constraints, Gautam Ray (2014), has observed that “despite
progress and bright future prospects, investors continue to face many challenges
and perceive many hurdles. At the same time, project authorities are finding it
difficult to implement initiatives that are afflicted by higher cost, inflation and/
or unrealistic estimates of streams of expected revenue, and some approved
projects get delayed or abandoned because investors cannot secure financial
closure due to their unrealistically aggressive bids. Litigation and disputes over
land acquisition and other issues present further problems. Perhaps the most
important challenge before state governments is to develop well-designed PPP
projects in social infrastructure so that private investors, including NGOs, are
sufficiently motivated to invest”.
To develop the PPP projects in India, the Kelkar Committee (2015) recommended
that:
i) PPPs should not be used by the government to evade its responsibility for
service delivery to citizens.
198
ii) This model should be adopted only after checking its viability for a project, Major Developments in Post
Economic Reform Period
in terms of costs and risks. PPP structures should not be adopted for very
small projects, since the benefits are not commensurate with the costs.
iii) PPP must not be a short cut only to save money or bridge fiscal gaps or
transfer risks; it should be used to improve service quality or bring efficiency
improvements.
iv) The prevention of Corruption Act, 1988 should be amended to distinguish
between genuine errors in decision making and acts of corruption by public
servants.
The Committee has emphasised that India’s success in deploying PPPs as an
important instrument for creating infrastructure will depend on a change in attitude
and in the mind-set of all authorities dealing with PPPs, including public agencies
partnering with the private sector, government departments supervising PPPs,
and auditing and legislative institutions providing oversight of PPPs. It is pertinent
to note that PPPs have contributed towards the growth and development of the
Indian economy in multiple ways. Combining the professionalism of the corporate
sector with the welfare objectives of the state has resulted in projects which are
known for their world class facilities and advanced amenities. For example,
several airports including Mumbai airport and the T3 of Delhi airport are built
on the PPP model. The PPP has seen several successful infrastructural projects
over the past decade.
It has rightly been observed that “selection of right PPP model for a right project
at a right time through realistic planning would go a long way in providing
meaningful and hassle-free infrastructure development, which ultimately would
increase the infrastructure standards and thereby sustain the overall
macroeconomic developments of the country” (Lakshmanan, 2008).
199
Development Strategies 3) Describe the challenges and how to go forward with PPP in India?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
ii) The code aims to resolve insolvencies in a strict time-bound manner – the
evaluation and viability determination must be completed within 180 days.
Moratorium period of 180 days (extendable up to 270 days) for the Company.
For start-ups and small companies the resolution time period is 90 days which
can be extended by 45 days.
iv) Provides for the setting up of “Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India”
(IBBI) to regulate professionals/agencies dealing with insolvency and
informational utilities.
vi) The code allows the corporate debtor itself to initiate the insolvency–
resolution process once it has defaulted on a debt. Also, operational creditors
(including the Centre, State governments and local authorities) are permitted
to initiate the resolution process.
The Code has a clear-cut grievance resolution mechanism for various stakeholders
involved in insolvency resolution. Only the National Company Law Tribunal
(NCLT), National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) and the Supreme
Court have the jurisdiction to deal with any appeal concerning the Code. At its
heart, it suggests a commercial resolution without burdening the courts
excessively. It would result in a better business environment and ease in debt
rising.
“In over three years of the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, the number of
bankrupt companies liquidated under the regime has far exceeded the number of
corporate resolutions, by nearly four times. According to the data released by the
Insolvency and Bankruptcy Board of India (IBBI), while 156 of the cases admitted
under the Corporate Insolvency Resolution Process (CIRP) have been resolved
202
till September 2019, the liquidation process has started in as many as 587 cases. Major Developments in Post
Economic Reform Period
Thus, IBC has liquidated many more companies than it has resolved.
It should be noted that IBC has provided creditors and other stakeholders the
ammunition to obtain the maximum value for stressed assets by shifting the
balance of power from debtors. The IBC, undoubtedly, since the time of its
enactment has evolved considerably. According to the World Bank, before IBC,
the time taken to resolve stressed loans was 4.3 years and recovery rate was 26
per cent for financial creditors. There has been a marked improvement in the
recovery process which is already leading to billions of dollars being invested in
the country due to the protection of creditor rights.
A lot has been said and written on the IBC. Implementation of the IBC is a real
challenge. This is an innovative law awaiting correct execution. In 2019, with
the Supreme Court upholding the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) in its
entirety, the resolution process will move faster now. The success of the ambitious
IBC is dependent on its institutions like the regulator, the adjudicating authority
and the professionals involved. Nevertheless, IBC 2016 is an evolving legislation,
still being interpreted by courts and being constantly amended to harmonise IBC
with our related legal policy.
203
Development Strategies 3) Discuss the working of IBC.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
204
3) What is disinvestment? What is the difference between privatisation and Major Developments in Post
Economic Reform Period
disinvestment? What conditions are needed for making disinvestment policy
a success?
4) What do you mean by the concept of Public Private Partnership (PPP)?
Which sector is most suitable for PPP policy?
5) What policy is being followed by the government of India regarding PPP?
How has India benefited from PPP collaboration? Give concrete examples.
6) What precautions are needed for going to PPP agreement? Explain the
challenges being faced by PPP projects in India?
7) Explain the concept of Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC). How can
you distinguish between Insolvency and Bankruptcy? What factors propelled
the enactment of IBC in India?
8) Describe the objectives, importance and salient features of IBC in India.
Which are the components of eco-system to implement the IBC?
9) Discuss the working of IBC in India. What challenges are being encountered
by IBC? How does government trying to meet such challenges?
8.16 REFERENCES
1) GoI. November 2015. Report of the Committee on Revisiting and
Revitalizing the Public Private Partnership model of Infrastructure,
Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance, New Delhi https://
www.pppinindia.gov.in/infrastructureindia/documents/10184/0/kelkar+Pdf/
0d6ffb64-4501-42ba-a083-ca3ce99cf999
2) GoI, 2011. National Public Private Partnership Policy, Draft for consultation,
Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance, New Delhi https://
ppp.worldbank.org/public-private partnership/sites/ppp.worldbank.org/files/
documents/India_draftnationalppppolicy_EN.pdf
3) Gupta, G.S. (1998): Privatisation: Theory, Practices and Issues, The Indian
Economic Journal, Vol. 46, October -December (No.2)
4) Hans, Aman, November 22, 2017. Rebooting public private partnership in
India, NITI Aayog, GoI, New Delhi https://niti.gov.in/writereaddata/files/
document_publication/REBOOTING%20PPP%20IN%20INDIA_blog.pdf
5) Jain, Mukesh (2019). Some Emerging Trends in The Evolution of Insolvency
and Bankruptcy Code (IBC), 2016, Outlook.
6) Nagaraj, R (2008). Disinvestment and Privatisation in India Assessment
and Options in Asian Development Bank edited Trade Policy, Industrial
206
Performance, and Private Sector Development in India, Oxford University Major Developments in Post
Economic Reform Period
Press, New Delhi, for the Asian Development Bank.
7) Ram Mohan, T.T. December 29, (2001). Privatisation: Theory and Evidence,
Economic and Political Weekly, Vol. 36, Issue No. 52.
8) Ray, Gautam, 2014. PPP projects in India: Progress, prospects and problems,
in Commonwealth Governance and Growth.
9) Rebello, Joel and Atmadip Ray, (2019). With IBC about to be 3, a look at
the hits & misses and the road ahead, The Economic Times, April 24.
12) Sharma, Samrat (2019). Insolvency Code progress report: Nearly 4 times
as many cases in liquidation as in resolution, Financial Express.
207
Development Strategies Check Your Progress 5
1) See Section 8.12
2) See Sub-sections 8.12.1 and 8.12.2
3) See Sub-sections 8.12.4
208
MEC-205
Indian Economic
Policy
VOLUME-II
(Block 3 and 4)
PRINT PRODUCTION
Mr. Yashpal
Assistant Registrar
IGNOU, New Delhi
April, 2021
©Indira Gandhi National Open University, 2021
ISBN :
All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced in any form, by mimeograph or any
other means, without permission in writing from the Indira Gandhi National Open University.
Further information about the School of Social Sciences and the Indira Gandhi National Open
University courses may be obtained from the University’s office at Maidan Garhi, New Delhi-
110 068, India or the Official Website of IGNOU: www.ignou.ac.in
Printed and published on behalf of the Indira Gandhi National Open University, New Delhi, by
Registrar, MPDD, IGNOU, New Delhi.
Lasertypeset by Tessa Media & Computers, C-206, Shaheen Bagh, Jamia Nagar, New Delhi-25
Printed at:
Contents
Unit 9 entitled ‘Inflation and Monetary Policy’ throws light on inflation, its
measurement factors influencing inflation, operating procedures and mechanisms
involved in monetary policy.
8
Inflation and Monetary
UNIT 9 INFLATION AND MONETARY Policy
POLICY
Structure
9.0 Objectives
9.1 Introduction
9.2 Money
9.2.1 What is Money?
9.2.2 How Do We Measure Money?
9.3 Inflation
9.3.1 What is Inflation?
9.3.2 Inflation Measurement in India
9.3.3 Costs of Inflation
9.4 Money and Prices
9.4.1 Theoretical Perspectives on Money and Prices
9.4.2 Causes of Inflation
9.5 Monetary Policy in India
9.5.1 Objectives of Monetary Policy in India
9.5.2 Instruments of Monetary Policy in India
9.5.3 Monetary Policy Transmission
9.5.4 Evolution of Monetary Policy in India
9.5.5 Inflation Targeting Framework
9.6 Let Us Sum Up
9.7 Term-end Exercises
9.8 Key Words
9.9 References
9.10 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
9.0 OBJECTIVES
The purpose of this unit is to develop among learners an understanding of the
framework and operating procedure of the monetary policy in India. After going
through this unit, you will be able to:
explain what money is and what inflation means and how money affects
inflation;
discuss what the instruments of monetary policy are;
appreciate the evolution of monetary policy in India; and
state the Inflation Targeting Framework in India.
9.1 INTRODUCTION
In this unit, we would be discussing inflation and monetary policy in India.
Inflation is an economic issue that is a common topic of discussion for the public
9
Monetary and Fiscal Policies as well as policymakers and researchers alike. It is an economic phenomenon
that has a realisable impact on the daily lives of every citizen. You must have
often heard your grandparents narrating stories about how, during their childhood,
they were able to buy things for very small amounts of money compared to the
present. They might remark that money has lost its value. Inflation, simply put,
refers to the rate of increase in the prices of commodities during a given period.
With a positive level of inflation, you are able to buy lesser amounts of goods
and services using the same amount of money. Therefore, before we discuss
inflation, it is important to understand what money is and how it affects the
prices in the economy. We also discuss the monetary policy framework in India
and see how it has evolved over the years, in sync with the requirements of the
evolving economy.
9.2 MONEY
9.2.1 What is Money?
Money is something that we encounter in our daily lives. Despite this, it may be
difficult for someone to define what money is or how it functions. Money is
defined as anything that is generally acceptable as a medium of payment.
Essentially, money serves three purposes:
It acts as a store of value: Money can be a means to save a person’s
endowments, including labour, and used later for transactions. That is, income
or wealth of individuals can be kept in the form of money and used for
transactions in the future. It allows purchasing power to be taken forward
from present to future. Thus, money acts as a store of value.
It acts as a unit of account: Money acts as a common denominator on
which all prices are measured. The value of goods and services exchanged
in the economy is measured in terms of money.
It acts as a medium of exchange: Since money has the above two features,
it is generally acceptable as a means of payment for exchange of goods and
services. Without money, any exchange in the economy would require a
double coincidence of wants. That is, a transaction would take place only if
both parties in the transaction had something that the other needed. With a
generally acceptable means of payment, the need for double coincidence of
wants is obviated by separating the transaction into two parts. First, the two
parties engage in a transaction where one party gives money in exchange
for the good or service he or she needs. In the second part of the transaction,
the recipient of money in the first transaction uses the money to buy the
goods or services that he or she requires.
Historically, many items have been used as money. Items with intrinsic value
such as gold and silver were a form of money used for transactions in some
societies. This form of money is called commodity money. Different societies
have used everything from salt and grain to stones and precious metals as money
at different points of time in history. Even in modern societies, commodities are
known to have been used as a generally accepted means of payment. An interesting
and often quoted example of commodity money is the use of cigarettes for
transactions in Nazi prisoner of war camps during the second World War. The
prevalent form of modern money is fiat money. Fiat money has no intrinsic value.
10
Its value is derived from a government order or a fiat. The coins and currency Inflation and Monetary
Policy
notes that we use in our daily lives are examples of fiat money.
9.3 INFLATION
9.3.1 What is Inflation?
As you know, the price of a commodity refers to the amount of money you give
in exchange for buying a unit of that commodity. The general price level refers
to a measure of the overall price level in an economy. Inflation is the rate of
increase in the general price level over a period of time. However, it is not
straightforward to arrive at such a general price level, as in reality, such a measure
does not exist. What we can do, at best, is to construct a measure that could be
considered to represent this hypothetical value. To arrive at a single measure for
the overall prices in the economy, we often look at a weighted average price of a
basket of goods and services consumed by a representative consumer in the
economy. This is achieved through the construction of a price index, which is a
weighted average of price relatives of goods and services in a representative
consumption basket. The changes in the price index over a given period reflect
the changes in the prices of the goods and services in the consumption basket
and therefore their growth rates are used as a measure of inflation.
1 �� 1 �� 1 �� 1 ��
+ = +
� �� � �� � �� � ��
Which is nothing but,
Growth rate of money supply + Growth rate of velocity of money =
Inflation + Growth rate of output
Rearranging, we get,
Inflation = Growth rate of money supply + Growth rate of velocity of money –
Growth rate of output
With a stable velocity of money, growth in it is zero. Output is dependent on the
factors of production. It is then straightforward that in the quantity theory of
money, the inflation level is under the ultimate control of the monetary authority
through the control on the quantity of money. The monetary authority can vary
the inflation rate under this framework by varying the growth rate of money.
In the Keynesian perspective, money affects income via interest rates. An increase
in money supply lowers the interest rate and stimulates aggregate demand and
income. In an economy with excess capacity, higher aggregate demand should
only lead to use of the earlier unused capacity in the economy and therefore
should not lead to inflation.
In the late 1950s-60s, the Phillips Curve relationship came into the limelight,
which provided a link between inflation and unemployment. According to this
relationship, in the short-run there is a tradeoff between inflation and
unemployment: an economy could achieve a lower unemployment rate by
13
Monetary and Fiscal Policies stimulating demand in the economy at least in the short-run if it was willing to
tolerate a higher level of inflation. In the long-run, however, this relationship is
expected to breakdown as workers would want their wages adjusted to the higher
rates of inflation and therefore, as a consequence, unemployment again rising.
For economic analysis, overall inflation (also called headline inflation) is usually
divided into a “Core” part and a non-core part. Core inflation refers to that
component of inflation that is long-term in nature. That is, Core inflation is
calculated by separating out the volatile components of inflation that cause
fluctuations in the short-term. These, in the context of a developing economy
like ours, are usually components like food items that depend on seasonal and
weather factors to determine their supply or fuel items that may be influenced by
supply side shocks in the international markets. One would expect Core inflation
to be more responsive to monetary policy than non-core inflation.
As we have seen earlier, the need to finance government deficit dominated the
monetary policy actions during the period between the 1950s and 1970s. Selective
credit control mechanisms were used to channel credit to priority sectors. Between
1970 and 1990, the Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR), the share of net demand
and time liabilities (NDTL) that a bank is required to maintain in safe and liquid
assets, such as, unencumbered government securities, cash and gold, was
increased several times. Within the period of 1980’s, with a view to regulating
liquidity and to provide resources for vital public sector investment within the
framework of national priorities without generating reserve money, it was decided
to increase the SLR. During the 1980s, a number of money market instruments
such as inter-bank participation certificates (IBPCs), certificates of deposit (CDs)
and Commercial Paper (CP) were also introduced.
Another important monetary policy instrument during the period was the Cash
Reserve Ratio (CRR). The Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) refers to the average daily
balance that a bank is required to maintain with the RBI as a percentage of its
Net demand and time liabilities (NDTL) that the RBI may notify from time to
time in the Gazette of India. If the average daily balance held at RBI by a scheduled
bank during any fortnight is below the minimum prescribed, the bank shall be
liable to pay a penal interest on the amount of shortfall. CRR as a monetary
policy instrument can be used to influence the money supply by the monetary
15
Monetary and Fiscal Policies authority. An increase in CRR would lead the banks to have lesser amounts of
money with them for lending with the same amount of deposits. This would
reduce the amount of credit created and therefore reduce the money supply through
the money multiplier process. In the 1980’s the CRR was changed in different
time periods as one of the important policy measures.
With liberalisation in the Indian economy and the financial sector reforms, there
was a shift from direct to indirect, market based policy instruments. In the period
1990-91, the Narasimham committee had recommended that the CRR should
continue to be used as an instrument of monetary control. But it was recognised
that the existing levels were high and needed to be brought down. The year
1996-97 was significant in many ways in relation to the conduct of monetary
policy in India. It was the first time the CRR was reduced sharply by 4 percentage
points within a financial year in the five phases. The CRR was brought down to
9.5 per cent and SLR to 25 per cent by 1997. The process of deregulation of
interest rates was also initiated in the early 1990s simplifying the complex
structure of deposit and lending interest rates.
With the LAF, repo rate has become the single independent policy rate. The
reverse repo rate is placed below the repo rate. Under the LAF, a Marginal
Standing Facility (MSF) was also instituted. MSF is a facility under which
scheduled commercial banks can borrow additional amounts of overnight money
from the RBI at a penal rate of interest. The MSF rate and reverse repo rate
determine the corridor for the daily movement in the weighted average call money
rate with the repo rate in the middle of the corridor (Figure 9.1). The LAF operates
through daily repo and reverse repo auctions thereby setting a corridor for the
short-term interest rate consistent with the policy objectives.
Bank rate is the rate at which RBI is ready to buy or rediscount bills of exchange
or other commercial papers. The Bank Rate is published under Section 49 of the
Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934. This rate has been aligned to the MSF rate and,
therefore, changes automatically as and when the MSF rate changes alongside
policy repo rate changes.
Repo Rate
As you would know, the 1990s was a decade of many broad-based and
transformative reforms in the Indian economy. Due to the developments and
reforms in the financial sector, indirect instruments such as interest rates had
started gaining effectiveness as transmitters of policy signals. Liberalisation in
the financial markets made money demand unstable. Further, due to the greater
integration of the Indian economy with the global economy and the ensuing
inflow of foreign capital made it difficult to completely control the money supply.
Due to these reasons, RBI shifted to a “Multiple Indicators” approach in 1998-
99. Under this approach, Monetary policy was formulated based on a wide set of
variables and more emphasis was put on the rates channel for monetary policy
(Mohanty, 2011).
In September 2013, RBI set up an expert committee headed by its then Deputy
Governor, Dr. Urjit Patel, with a view to strengthen the monetary policy
framework while among other things, making it transparent and predictable. It
recommended that inflation should be set as the nominal anchor for monetary
18 policy framework and that it should be set as the predominant objective of
monetary policy. A nominal anchor is a variable that policy makers can use to Inflation and Monetary
Policy
“tie down” price level or its path (Mishkin, 1999).
Cash Reserve Ratio : The Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) refers to the average
daily balance that a bank is required to maintain with
the RBI as a percentage of its Net demand and time
liabilities (NDTL) that the RBI may notify from time
to time.
Reverse Repo : The rate at which the Reserve Bank absorbs liquidity,
on an overnight basis, from banks against the
collateral of eligible government securities under the
LAF.
9.9 REFERENCES
1) Agreement on Monetary policy Framework between the Government of
India and the Reserve Bank of India, 2015
2) Ashima Goyal 2014 “History of Monetary Policy in India Since
Independence”, Springer Briefs in Economics
3) Deepak Mohanty 2011 “Changing contours of monetary policy in India”
Speech at the Royal Monetary Authority of Bhutan, Thimphu, 1 December
2011
4) Deepak Mohanty 2017 “Eight Decades of Monetary Policy in India” in
India’s Economy: Pre-liberalisation to GST—Essays in Honour of Raj Kapila
22
5) Frederic S. Mishkin 1999 “International Experiences with Different Inflation and Monetary
Policy
Monetary Policy Regimes”, National Bureau of Economic Research Working
Paper 6965
6) RBI 2014, “Report of the Expert Committee to Revise and Strengthen the
Monetary Policy Framework” January 2014, Reserve Bank of India
7) Reserve Bank of India Act, 1934 (As amended by the Finance (No. 2) Act,
2019)
8) Viral Acharya 2017, “Monetary Transmission in India: Why is it important
and why hasn’t it worked well”, Inaugural Aveek Guha Memorial Lecture
November 2017, Tata Institute of Fundamental Research (TIFR)
23
Monetary and Fiscal Policies
UNIT 10 CAPITAL MARKET AND ITS
REGULATIONS
Structure
10.0 Objectives
10.1 Introduction
10.2 Role, Significance and Function of Capital Market
10.3 Stock Market Development in India
10.4 Structure and Performance of Indian Stock Market
10.5 Equity Derivatives in India
10.5.1 Exchange-Traded and Over-the-Counter Derivative Instruments
10.6 Currency Derivative Market in India
10.7 Long-Term Government Bond and Corporate Debt Market in India
10.7.1 Outlook for Development of Corporate Debt Market
10.8 Let Us Sum Up
10.9 Term-End Exercises
10.10 Key Words
10.11 References
10.12 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
10.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to:
develop an understanding of the organisational structure, role, function and
performance of the Indian capital market;
explain the radical restructuring of the Indian capital market in the wake of
the new economic policy in 1991; and
discuss the role, function and structure of Indian Equity Market, Currency
Market, Derivative Market and Corporate Debt Market.
10.1 INTRODUCTION
A dynamic and efficient financial system plays a pivotal role in any economy for
efficient allocation of resources from the surplus segments to deficit segments.
The financial system consists of financial markets, financial intermediation and
financial products or instruments. A thriving and vibrant economic system requires
a well developed financial structure with multiple intermediaries operating in
the market with different risk profiles. Further, a financial system helps to increase
output by moving the economic system towards the production frontier. This
involves transforming a given amount of wealth into more productive forms. It
induces public and investors to hold lower saving in the form of precious metals,
real estate, land, consumer durables and idle cash balances and to replace these
assets by financial instruments such as bonds, shares, preference shares, units
etc. As a result a financial system helps to increase the volume of productive
24
investments. It encourages investment activity by reducing the cost of finance Capital Market and Its
Regulations
and risk. This is done by providing insurance services and hedging opportunities
and by making financial services such as remittances, discounting, acceptance,
and guarantees available. Finally, it not only increases greater investment but
also raises the level of resource allocational efficiency among different investment
channels. The broad picture of the Indian Financial System is presented in the
schematic diagram as Figure 10.1. The financial system in India is characterised
by progressive liberal policies, vibrant equity and debt markets and prudent
banking norms.
Financial Institutions
F S
u e
Suppliers of Funds
n c
d u Demanders of Funds
s r
Individuals Individuals
i
Businesses Business
Funds t
Governments Governments
i
Private e
Placement s
Securities
Financial Markets
Capital market is an integral part of the financial market. The capital market is a
market for financial assets which have a long or indefinite maturity. Capital market
is broadly categorised into two parts such as primary and secondary market. In
the primary market, new stock or bond issues are sold through a mechanism
popularly known as underwriting. In the secondary market shares that have been
issued are traded through organised exchanges such as stock exchanges, over
the counter, etc. The capital market consists of stock or equity market, debt
market,derivative market, foreign exchange market and commodity market. These
markets are providing the facilities for buying and selling of the variety of financial
claims and services. The corporations, financial institutions, individuals, and
governments trade in financial products on these markets either directly or through
brokers and dealers on organised exchanges or off exchanges. The capital market
participants on the demand and supply sides of these markets are financial
institutions, agents, banks, brokers, dealers, lenders, savers and others who are
interlinked by the laws, contracts, covenants, and communication networks. The 25
Monetary and Fiscal Policies primal role of the capital market is to channelise investments from investors
who have surplus funds to the ones who are running a deficit. Financial regulator
such as the Security Exchange Board of India (SEBI) oversees the capital markets
in their designated jurisdictions to ensure that investors are protected against
fraud among other duties.
Reforming and liberalising financial markets began in the wake of the country’s
1991 balance-of-payments crisis. The thrust of these reforms was to promote a
diversified, efficient and competitive financial system, with the ultimate objective
of improving the allocation of resources through operational flexibility, improved
financial viability, and institutional strengthening. The pace of reform was,
however, slower than those in product markets, partly because the introduction
of stricter prudential controls on banks revealed significant problems in asset
portfolios. Prior to the reforms, state-owned banks controlled 90 per cent of bank
assets– compared with approximately 10 per cent at end-2005– and channelled
an extremely high proportion of funds to the government. Interest rates were
determined administratively; credit was allocated based on government policy
and approval from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) was required for individual
loans above a certain threshold. Capital markets were underdeveloped, with stock
markets fragmented across the country. The major stock market acted mainly in
the interest of its members, not the investing public. Derivative markets did not
exist and comprehensive capital controls meant that companies were unable to
bypass domestic controls by borrowing abroad. Concerns over the 1997-98 Asian
financial crisis and its contagion effects further spurred Indian authorities to
strengthen the domestic financial system. Reforms were, and continue to be,
based on several principles: (i) mitigate risks in the financial system; (ii) efficiently
allocate resources to the realsector; (iii) make the financial system competitive
globally, and (iv) open the external sector. The goal was to promote a diversified,
efficient, and competitive financial system which would ultimately improve the
efficiency of resource allocation through operational flexibility, enhanced financial
viability, and institutional strengthening.
28
1
The MCR is defined as the value of listed shares divided by GDP.
capital and diversify risk. The next major indicator is market liquidity, which is Capital Market and Its
Regulations
measured by value-traded ratio and turnover ratio. Value traded ratio equals the
total value of traded shares in the stock market divided by GDP. While, in turn,
turnover ratio is the value of total shares traded divided by market capitalisation.
The next important indicator of stock market development is the volatility
parameter, which conceptualises the asset price movement in a stock market and
conveys important signals for its development.
The average value of market capitalisation ratio (MCR) for India from 2003 to
2019 was 76.26 per cent. The minimum MCR was 45.93 per cent in 2003 and
the maximum was 149.51 per cent in 2007. In the latter part of 2007, the US
subprime lending crisis broke out and in no time it became a global economic
crisis. Due to this, the MCR fell drastically to 53.98 per cent. In the wake of
demonetisation undertaken by the Central Government on 8th Nov 2016, MCR
declined to 68.27 per cent from 72.08 per cent in 2015. Moreover, with the advent
of Goods and Service Tax (GST) on 1st July 2017, the MCR increased to 87.89
per cent and then declined to 75.81 per cent in 2019 and continued on a declining
trend subsequently because of COVID-19 pandemic. The stock market turn over
ratio (TOR) was 68.25 per cent on an average from 2003 to 2019. In 2003, the
TOR was 94.47 per cent. It had grown to 142.99 per cent during the global
financial crisis period in 2008. However, in the demonetisation period of 2016, it
declined to 51.18 per cent and further to 50.87 per cent during the GST period in
2017. It increased to 58.07 per cent in the post GST period in 2018 and then
declined to 28.89 per cent in 2019 and continued the trend during COVID-19
pandemic period. The average value of the stock market value traded ratio (VTR)
was 51.96 per cent with a minimum of 28.96 per cent in 2013 and a maximum of
93.97 per cent in 2007. It declined to 77.19 per cent in 2008 on account of the
global financial crisis and further to 34.94 per cent in 2016 because of
demonetisation before recovering to 44.71 per cent in 2017. Finally, the average
value of the stock price volatility from 2003 to 2017 was 21.83 per cent. The
minimum was 12.76 per cent in 2017 and a maximum of 43.74 per cent in 2009.
29
Monetary and Fiscal Policies Table 10.1: List of Stock Exchanges in India (As of Jan 2020)
30
Before 1994, India’s stock markets were dominated by BSE. In other parts of the Capital Market and Its
Regulations
country, the financial industry did not have equal access to markets and was
unable to participate in forming prices, compared with market participants in
Mumbai (Bombay). As a result, the prices in markets outside Mumbai were often
different from prices in Mumbai. These pricing errors limited the order flow to
these markets. Explicit nationwide connectivity and implicit movement toward
one national market have changed this situation (Shah and Thomas, 1997). NSE
has established satellite communications which give all trading members of NSE
equal access to the market. Similarly, BSE and the Delhi Stock Exchange are
both expanding the number of trading terminals located all over the country. The
arbitrages are eliminating pricing discrepancies between markets.
Over the last few years, there has been a rapid change in the Indian securities
market, especially in the secondary market. Advanced technology and online
screen-based transactions have modernised the stock exchanges. In terms of the
number of companies listed and total market capitalisation, the Indian equity
market is considered large relative to the country’s stage of economic
development. Metropolitan Stock Exchange of India Limited (MSE) is recognised
by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) under Section 4 of
Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956. The Exchange was notified as a
“Recognised Stock Exchange” under Section 2(39) of the Companies Act, 1956
by Ministry of Corporate Affairs, Govt. of India, on December 21, 2012. MSE
offers an electronic, transparent and hi-tech platform for trading in Capital Market,
Futures and Options, Currency Derivatives and Debt Market segments. The
Exchange has also received in-principle approval from SEBI for operationalising
SME trading platform. MSE commenced operations in the Currency Derivatives
(CD) Segment on October 7, 2008, under the regulatory framework of SEBI and
Reserve Bank of India (RBI). MSE launched Capital Market Segment, Futures
and Options Segment and flagship index ‘SX40’ on February 9, 2013, and
commenced trading from February 11, 2013. Trading in the ‘SX40’ index
derivatives began from May 15, 2013. ‘SX40’, is a free-float based index
consisting of 40 large-caps, liquid stocks representing diverse sectors of the
economy. The Debt Market Segment of MSE was launched on June 7, 2013, and
trading commenced from June 10, 2013. The Exchange started live trading in
cash-settled Interest Rate Futures (IRF), on Government of India security, in its
Currency Derivative Segment from January 20, 2014.
On 9th Jan 2017, the Hon’ble Prime Minister of India, Shri Narendra Modi
inaugurated India International Exchange Ltd. (IFSC), India’s first international
exchange. BSE is the first stock exchange in India to receive approval from
SEBI on 26th September 2011 to launch Small and Medium Enterprises (SME)
platform. The Platform facilitates capital raising by small and medium enterprises
including start-up companies which are in their early stages of growth. It also
provides easier entry and exit options for informed investors like angel investors,
Venture Capital funds (VCFs) and Private Equities (PEs) etc. and equity financing
which lowers the debt burden leading to lower financing cost and healthier balance
sheet. SME IPO Index with a Base value of 100 as on 16th August 2012 is aimed
at tracking the companies listed on the SME platform was launched on 14th
December 2012. As on 31st August 2020, its value was 1,435.44.
31
Monetary and Fiscal Policies BSE is the first stock exchange in India to lunch startups platform on 22nd
September 2018. The ‘Startup Companies’ seeking to be listed on the BSE Startups
Platform should be in the sector of IT, ITES, Biotechnology and Life Science,
3D Printing, Space Technology, E-commerce, Hi-tech Defence, Drones, Nano
Technologies, Artificial Intelligence, Big Data, Augmented/Virtual Reality,
Egaming, Exoskeleton, Robotics, Holographic Technology, Genetic Engineering,
Variable Computers Inside Body Computer Technology and other high-tech
industries.
However, the Indian stock market is dominated by Bombay Stock Exchange and
(BSE) and National Stock Exchange(NSE) which are occupying the 11th and 12th
largest exchange in the World with the market capitalisation of 1.83 trillion and
1.41 trillion dollars respectively as of 2019. The average listed companies in
Indian stock exchanges during the period from 1983 to 2018 was 4370 companies
with a minimum of 1151 companies in 1983 and a maximum of 5999 companies
in 1996. The latest number of companies in 2018 is 5065 companies. For
comparison, the World average in 2018 based on 70 countries is 597 companies.
A higher number of listed companies in Indian stock exchanges means that more
companies use equity financing in their business. In February 2020, all the
securities markets in the World is nosediving coupled with a precipitous fall in
crude oil prices. India’s market capitalisation to GDP ratio is 81 per cent compared
to 51 per cent in Germany (Bloomberg). The market capitalisation of both BSE
and NSE decreased by 6.2 per cent as on February 29, 2020, in comparison to
previous month post to the first detection of COVID-19 patient in India on 30th
Jan 2020 in the State of Kerala.
A snapshot of the growth rates, stock returns, volatility of stock prices, and FII
net flows by comparing the major three events such as demonetisation,
implementation of GST and the impact of COVID-19 is presented in Table 10.2.
The demonetisation phase is considered from 9th November 2016 to 30th June
2017 and from 1st July 2017 to 29th January 2020 as treated as a post-GST phase.
Similarly, the period starting from 30th January 2020 to 20 April 2020 are included
in COVID-19 phase.
The growth rate of S&P BSE Sensex stock price shows a negative growth
(–22.65 per cent) during COVID-19 pandemic phase as compared to positive
growth rates of 12.07 per cent and 31.9 per cent during post demonetisation and
GST phases, respectively. However, the other stock indices such as mid-cap,
small-cap and all sectors except health care show drastic negative growth rates
during COVID-19 phase as compared to demonetisation and GST phases. Both
the returns and volatility series of stock indices reveal a precarious scenario
during COVID-19 phase in comparison to other events.
All the stock indices except healthcare show negative returns and high volatility
during this ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Among three major stock indices as
reported in Table 10.1, the growth and return of small-cap companies are a worse
performer as compared to mid-cap and BSE Sensex, whereas, the BSE Sensex
stock price is more volatile as compared to mid-cap and small-cap stock indices.
Nevertheless amongst the sectors, realty, metal, Bankex and auto are a worse
32
Capital Market and Its
Table 10.2:Trends of Growth, Stock Returns and Volatility of Stock Prices, and FII flows during the phase Regulations
of Post Demonetisation, Post GST and COVID-19 pandemic
Variables COVID-19 Pandemic Post Demonetisation Post GST
Growth Return Volatility Correlation Growth Return Volatility Growth Return Volatility
Stock
Indices
SENSEX -22.65 -0.54 2.77 0.15 12.07 0.08 0.51 31.96 0.05 0.59
Mid-cap -24.15 -0.59 2.13 0.22 12.99 0.08 0.67 6.38 0.01 0.72
Small-cap -25.96 -0.63 1.99 0.27 18.07 0.11 0.70 -4.70 -0.01 0.70
BSE100 -22.78 -0.55 2.65 0.16 12.01 0.08 0.55 23.29 0.04 0.60
BSE200 -22.76 -0.55 2.58 0.16 12.34 0.08 0.55 22.14 0.03 0.60
BSE500 -23.24 -0.56 2.53 0.17 13.16 0.08 0.55 19.36 0.03 0.60
Sectorial
Indices
Auto -30.95 -0.77 2.69 0.21 5.18 0.04 0.81 -22.16 -0.04 0.90
Bankex -33.17 -0.84 3.29 0.16 17.66 0.11 0.77 33.87 0.05 0.82
Cap-Goods -30.12 -0.74 2.43 0.24 19.04 0.11 0.74 2.82 0.01 0.85
Con-dura -21.22 -0.49 2.25 0.11 28.33 0.16 0.91 60.88 0.08 0.84
FMCG -7.76 -0.20 2.25 0.06 21.40 0.12 0.74 10.33 0.02 0.65
Healthcare 5.76 0.09 1.96 0.17 -6.93 -0.05 0.74 0.45 0.00 0.78
IT -19.16 -0.46 2.45 0.13 -0.15 0.00 0.83 63.96 0.08 0.81
Metal -34.63 -0.90 3.27 0.16 8.40 0.05 1.16 -14.95 -0.02 1.27
Oil and Gas -20.67 -0.51 2.62 0.18 10.91 0.07 0.76 9.57 0.02 0.93
Power -21.47 -0.50 2.18 0.26 11.92 0.07 0.74 -12.93 -0.02 0.77
PSU -28.13 -0.70 2.58 0.21 5.11 0.03 0.74 -17.41 -0.03 0.92
Realty -41.76 -1.11 2.73 0.23 38.45 0.21 1.45 21.17 0.03 1.22
TECK -17.87 -0.42 2.40 0.12 1.94 0.01 0.74 44.66 0.06 0.73
FII Flows
Aggregate
Flows
Purchases 9.0 - 49.46 -0.10 11.99 - 61.47 10.6 - 57.34
Sales 7.9 - 45.10 -0.16 9.27 - 49.80 9.7 - 65.92
Net -21.3 - 492.96 0.10 -27.20 - 1081.92 -163.8 - 5394.32
Equity -
Purchases 13.6 - 63.15 0.07 12.16 - 61.47 12.2 - 63.78
Sales 8.0 - 47.09 -0.05 9.38 - 50.97 9.5 - 58.88
Net -69.9 - 1997.07 0.13 -587.07 - 8503.84 171.1 - 6845.09
Debt
Purchases 65.9 - 209.65 -0.27 86.15 - 408.56 - - -
Sales 39.9 - 142.78 -0.26 65.16 - 303.68 313.7 - 6197.72
Net 42.7 - 807.85 0.07 1252.35 - 15856.43 148.2 - 5943.26
34
4) How has the Indian Stock market been performing during the times of GST Capital Market and Its
Regulations
implimentation and demonetisation?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
35
Monetary and Fiscal Policies standardised format that specifies the underlying asset to be delivered, the size
of the contract, and the logistics of delivery. They trade on organised
exchanges with prices determined by the interaction of many buyers and sellers.
In India, two exchanges offer derivatives trading: the Bombay Stock
Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE). A snapshot of turnover
in BSE is presented in Table 10.3. However, NSE now accounts for virtually all
exchange-traded derivatives in India, accounting for more than 99 per cent of
volume in 2003-2004. Contract performance is guaranteed by a clearinghouse,
which is a wholly-owned subsidiary of the NSE Margin requirements and
daily marking-to-market of futures positions substantially reduce the credit
risk of exchange-traded contracts, relative to OTC contracts (Asani Sarkar,
2006).
In the exchange-traded market, the biggest success story has been derivatives on
equity products. Index futures were introduced on June 12, 2000, followed by
index options on June 4, 2001, and options and futures on individual securities
in July 2001 and November 2001, respectively. As of 2005, the NSE trades futures
and options on 118 individual stocks and 3 stock indices. The NSE currently
provides trading in futures and options contracts on indices such as Nifty 50
index, Nifty IT index, Nifty Bank index, Nifty Midcap 50 index, Nifty
Infrastructure index, Nifty PSE index, and Nifty CPSE. All these derivative
contracts are settled by cash payment and do not involve physical delivery of the
underlying product. Derivatives on stock indexes and individual stocks have
grown rapidly since inception. In particular, single stock futures have become
hugely popular, accounting for about half of NSE’s traded value in October 2005.
NSE has the highest volume (i.e.the number of contracts traded) in the single
stock futures globally, enabling it to rank 16 among world exchanges in the first
half of 2005. Single stock options are less popular than futures. Index futures are
increasingly popular and accounted for close to 40 per cent of traded value in
October 2005. NSE launched interest rate futures in June 2003 but, in contrast to
equity derivatives, there has been little trading in them. One problem with these
instruments was faulty contract specifications, resulting in the underlying interest
rate deviating erratically from the reference rate used by market participants.
Institutional investors have preferred to trade in the OTC markets, where
instruments such as interest rate swaps and forward rate agreements are thriving.
As interest rates in India have fallen, companies have swapped their fixed rate
borrowings into floating rates to reduce funding costs. However, it may be noted
that the detailed discussion of Equity Derivative instruments is beyond the scope
of this unit. Table 10.4 presents the turnover of stock options in both BSE and
NSE in panel A and B respectively. The NSE witnessed a domestic market share
of 84 per cent in the cash market segment with 100 per cent market share in the
equity derivatives segment during fiscal 2017 (Annual Report of NSE, 2017).
36
Table10.3: Turnover (BSE) in Indian Equity Derivatives Market Capital Market and Its
Regulations
Period No. of Index Stock Index Option
Trading Future Future Call Put
Days Turnover Turnover Notional Notional
(` crore) (` crore) Turnover Turnover
(` crore) (` crore)
2010-11 254 154.08 0.00 0.00 0.25
Table 10. 4:Turnover in Indian Equity Derivatives Market (BSE & NSE)
Period Panel-A Stock Options (BSE) Total
Call Put
No. of Premium Notional No. of Premium Notional No. of Notional
Contracts Turnover Turnover Contracts Turnover Turnover Contracts Turnover
(` crore) (` crore) (` crore) (` crore) (` crore)
37
Monetary and Fiscal Policies
Panel-B
Period Stock Options (NSE) Total
Call Put
No. of Notional Notional No. of Premium Notional No. of Notional
Contracts Turnover Turnover Contracts Turnover Turnover Contracts Turnover
(` crore) (` crore) (` crore) (` crore) (` crore)
2010-11 2,42,73,560 15,710 7,77,109 82,34,833 4,765 2,53,235 103,42,12,062 2,92,48,221
2011-12 2,45,65,283 13,331 6,71,770 1,19,29,088 6,282 3,05,261 120,50,45,464 3,13,49,732
2012-13 4,24,99,219 22,583 13,02,779 2,42,78,974 11,705 6,97,648 113,14,67,418 3,15,33,004
2013-14 5,03,00,025 29,812 15,43,895 2,98,74,406 16,617 8,65,594 128,44,24,321 3,82,11,408
2014-15 6,12,04,473 43,345 22,43,382 3,02,74,736 18,387 10,39,170 183,70,41,131 5,56,06,453
2015-16 6,53,22,962 39,014 23,25,030 3,49,76,212 22,380 11,63,144 209,86,10,395 6,48,25,834
2016-17 6,12,05,774 65,782 41,47,488 3,09,00,238 29,788 19,59,998 139,97,46,129 9,43,70,302
2017-18 8,62,82,094 1,02,165 67,28,007 4,01,29,282 46,053 29,27,002 191,38,78,548 16,49,84,859
2018-19 12,35,10,308 1,28,529 85,17,920 6,34,76,234 71,481 40,64,454 316,48,02,420 23,76,00,705
2019-20* 9,44,82,765 96,372 58,15,639 5,46,53,714 61,374 31,37,545 367,40,28,197 24,64,27,009
Table 10.5 reports the turnovers in index futures and index options in three stock
exchange such as Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), National Stock Exchange
(NSE), Metropolitan Stock Exchange of India Limited (MSEI). The turnover
per cent in both BSE and NSE for the index futures are affected in the year of
38
2016, 2017 and 2019. This may be due to the impact of demonetisation, Capital Market and Its
Regulations
implementation of GST and the Global pandemic impact of COVID-19
respectively. However, there is not much impact noticed in the case of index
options during the same period.
Foreign exchange derivatives are less active than interest rate derivatives in India,
even though they have been around for longer. Over-the-counter (OTC)
instruments in currency forwards and swaps are the most popular. Importers,
exporters and banks use the rupee forward market to hedge their foreign currency
exposure. Turnover and liquidity in this market have been increasing, although
trading is mainly in shorter maturity contracts of one year or less (Gambhir and
Goel, 2003). In a currency swap, banks and corporations may swap its rupee-
denominated debt into another currency (typically the US dollar or Japanese
yen), or vice versa. Trading in OTC currency options is still muted. There are no
exchange-traded currency derivatives in India.
The two stock exchanges, namely, the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the
National Stock exchange (NSE), as well as the industry body Fixed Income,
Money Market and Derivatives Association of India (FIMMDA) have since
operationalised respective trade reporting platforms. While all the exchange trades
in corporate bonds get captured by concerned exchange’s reporting platform,
OTC transactions can be reported on any of these platforms. The aggregated
trade information across the platforms is being disseminated by FIMMDA on its
website. BSE and NSE have also started order-driven trading platforms in July
2007. In practice, however, trading continues to be largely OTC. SEBI has also
implemented measures to streamline the activity in corporate bond markets by
reducing the shut period in line with that of G-sec, reducing the size of standard
lots to Rs. one lakh and standardising the day count convention. Further, to
streamline the process of interest and redemption payments, Electronic Clearing
Services (ECS), Real-time Gross Settlements (RTGS) or National Electronic
Funds Transfer (NEFT) are required to be used by the issuers.
10.11 REFERENCES
1) Ajay Shah and Susan Thomas (2001). “The evolution of the securities markets
in India in the 1990s”,Technical report, IGIDR.
2) Indian Securities Market: A review, Volume V, 2002, National Stock
Exchange of India Limited, Mumbai.
3) Reddy, Y. V. (2007). “Developing Debt Markets in India: Review and
prospects”, Speech at Washington, the USA on October 18, 2007, http://
rbidocs.rbi.org.in/rdocs/Bulletin/PDFs/82026.pdf
4) Mishra, Alok and Vyas Iti (2011). “Linkage Dynamics of India Financial
Markets: A Theoretical and Empirical Perspective, VDM Verlag Publication,
Germany.
5) Vyas, Iti (2019). “Economics of Financial Markets in India: Operation,
Integration and Efficiency”, Akhand Publishing House, Delhi.
6) Mishra, A. K., Rath, B. N., & Dash, A. K. (2020). Does the Indian financial
market nosedive because of the COVID-19 outbreak, in comparison to after
demonetisation and the GST? Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 57, 1–
31.
43
Monetary and Fiscal Policies 7) Vyas, I. (2014). Vertical financial markets integration and efficiency in India
with special reference to economic crisis. Prajnan-Journal of Social and
Mangement Sciences, XLIII(3), 265–301.
8) Vyas, I., & Mishra, A. K. (2016). Does global financial crisis integrate the
regional market in Asia more strongly? Malaysian Management Journal,
20, 13–39.
9) Vyas, I., Prasad, N., & Mishra, A. K. (2011). Causal nexus between stock
price, demand for money, interest rate, foreign institutional investment, and
exchange rates in India: A post subprime crisis analysis.Indonesian Capital
Market Review, 3(2), 81–100.
44
Capital Market and Its
UNIT 11 FISCAL POLICY AND FISCAL Regulations
Structure
11.0 Objectives
11.1 Introduction
11.2 Theoretical Analysis: IS-LM Framework
11.2.1 Implications of IS-LM Framework for Fiscal Policy
11.3 Concepts of Fiscal Policy
11.3.1 Objectives of Fiscal policy
11.3.2 Implications of Fiscal policy
11.4 Fiscal Policy in India
11.4.1 India’s Fiscal Policy Architecture
11.4.2 Fiscal Policy until 1990s
11.4.3 Fiscal Policy 1990s Onwards
11.5 The FRBM Act
11.6 The Global Financial Crises and the Fiscal Policy
11.7 Goods and Services Tax (GST)
11.8 Let Us Sum Up
11.9 Term-end Exercises
11.10 Key Words
11.11 References
11.12 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
11.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to:
state the concept and components of fiscal policy;
examine how changes in government spending and taxation affect
equilibrium level of income and interest rate in terms of the IS-LM
framework;
discuss the fiscal policy in India since independence;
recognise the need to adopt the Fiscal Responsibility and Budgetary
Management Act;
discuss the role of fiscal policy to meet the challenges arisen out of global
financial crises 2008; and
appreciate the genesis of GST, its implementation and trend of GST
collection.
45
Monetary and Fiscal Policies
11.1 INTRODUCTION
During the aftermath of the Great Depression in 1930s, British economist John
Maynard Keynes first argued for the role of government to push the economy
out of the slump. His book The General Theory of Employment, Interest and
Money is the foundation of the Keynesian economics. He argued for the role of
fiscal and monetary interventions by the government to influence the aggregate
demand. According to Keynes, high unemployment in Britain and the United
States was the result of a deficiency in the aggregate demand. At the time of the
Great Depression, Keynes favoured fiscal policy measures to stimulate the
demand. This started a new school of thought in the discipline of economics, the
Keynesian economics.
Much of the debate over economic policy in Great Britain at that time focused
on the desirability of government spending on public works as a cure for
unemployment, what we would now term an expansionary fiscal policy action.
Keynes and others argued that such actions would increase output and
employment. Such expenditures would act both directly and indirectly because
they would increase the income and hence consumer expenditure of those
employed on the public works projects, thus generating secondary employment.
b) Taxes: Change in the taxes such as the changes in direct and indirect taxes
can influence the behaviour of agents in the economy and therefore impact
the GDP.
In this unit we dwell into understanding the functioning of such policy changes.
The unit discusses the theoretical framework for understanding the fiscal policy.
For this purpose we shall use the IS-LM framework to examine how changes in
government spending and taxation effects equilibrium level of income and interest
rate in the economy. Thereafter, we shall discuss India’s fiscal policy experience
since independence. It is further sub-divided into sections which describe the
evolution of fiscal policy until the 1990s, following the major economic reforms
of the 1991 till the next step of fiscal discipline and consolidation based on the
FRBM Act. Lastly, we shall talk about the new fiscal framework, recent
developments in the fiscal policy space including implantation of the GST. The
unit ends with the discussion of the 15th Finance Commission and the challenges
that the fiscal policy space currently faces.
Fig. 11.1: Trends in share of major components of GDP in the overall GDP of India
Source: CMIE 47
Monetary and Fiscal Policies The components of Aggregate Demand
I) Consumption
The private final consumption expenditure (PFCE) by the household
constitutes the largest part of the GDP in India, though its share has declined
overtime. It formed 56.73 per cent of the total GDP (at constant prices) in
2019-20.
C C c 1 t Y
C C c 1 t Y
III) Investment
Investment is also a key variable in the Keynesian system. Change in the
desired business investment expenditure was one of the major factors that
Keynes thought was responsible for changes in income. Indeed, investment
plays a dual role, it adds to aggregate demand and also to capacity creation,
resulting in improved aggregate supply. We take the following function to
explain the relationship of investment with the rate of interest (Figure 11.3).
48
Fiscal Policy and Fiscal
� = � ̅ − ��, � > 0 Responsibility and Budget
Management (FRBM) Act
Investment (I) contains an autonomous part and is inversely related to the
interest rate (i) as it is the cost of borrowing more capital. b is the
responsiveness of investment to the interest rate. Higher b implies that even
with a smaller change in interest rate, the investment will change by a greater
magnitude. As interest rate goes up, investment in the economy declines by
the unit ‘b’.
AD = C + G + I
such that:
C C c 1 t Y; I I bi; G G
AD A c1 t Y bi
where, A C I G
In equilibrium, Y = AD
This implies Y AD A c1 t Y bi
Y c1 t Y A bi
Y 1 c 1 t A bi
1
Y g A bi where, g
1 c1 t
A Y
Or i (3)
b g b
49
Monetary and Fiscal Policies
The money market equilibrium: Describing the money market of the economy,
the LM curve (Figure 11.6) represents the condition that demand for real balances
equal real money supply. The nominal stock of money M is determined by the
Central Bank, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) for India. We take the nominal
stock of money as given at M̄. We also assume prices to be constant at P̄, hence
M
the real money supply is . At equilibrium, demand for real balances = supply
P
of real balances, that is,
M
L=
P
M
This implies, kY – hi =
P
1 M
i kY (4)
h P
i
LM
i E
Interest Rate
IS
0 Y
Y0
Income, Output
Y g G
The new interest rate will be higher than the original interest rate and the change
in Y is much more than the initial change in G.
Mechanics: Recalling what has been studies earlier, the increase in autonomous
government spending increases the aggregate demand (AD) in the economy
shifting IS curve to IS'. This raises the output to Y''. The increase in income
increases the demand for real balances in the economy. Given that the money
supply is fixed by the RBI, interest rate has to rise (from i to i' so that money
market reaches equilibrium. This increase in interest rate decreases the investment
and hence a decline in the overall AD and output also declines to Y'. This decline
in private investment as a result of increasing government spending (increase in
public investment) is also known as crowding-out effect of public investment.
Since government spending has to be financed, usually from increased government
borrowings, it leaves less of the country’s savings to be borrowed by the private
sector and that also raises the cost of borrowing for the private sector, leading to
crowding-out of private investments. However, evidence from India suggests
otherwise, as there exist infrastructural bottlenecks. Hence increasing the public
investment actually crowds-in the private investment. Between 1971-71 to 2002-
03, there has not been evidence of crowding-out of the private investment due to
public investment, rather complementarity is observed between the two1.
Lekha S. Chakraborty; Fiscal Deficit, capital formation and crowding out: Evidence from India.
1
51
Monetary and Fiscal Policies
Change in taxes (t): A change in the proportional income tax rate (t) is not as
straight forward. Since the change in the income tax affects the disposable income,
it changes the consumption. Let us consider an increase in tax rate from t to t'
(for e.g., increase in personal income tax from 10 per cent to 20 per cent). This
increase in taxes clearly reduces the consumption expenditure by the household
as they now have less income at their disposal. A change in the tax rate is going
to affect the slope of the IS curve as it changes the multiplier. With taxes being
increased to t' (contractionary fiscal policy), the slope of the IS curve will increase
and the overall value of the multiplier will decrease. A reduction in the value of
multiplier implies that income/GDP will not change as much with the changes in
any of its components.
Mechanics: As we can see in Figure. 11.9, the slope has increased and the IS has
shifted to IS'. There will be no change in LM as there is no change in the money
market. With the shift in IS, the new equilibrium income and interest rate is
achieved at Y' and i'. As the tax rate has gone up, the disposable income in the
hand of consumers decrease. This lowers the consumption demand (C) and
decreases the overall aggregate demand (AD). Since the AD decreases the
equilibrium income in the economy, the demand for real balances also decrease,
but as earlier the supply is fixed. The interest rate reduces as a consequence. This
reduction in interest rate increases the investment demand but not by as much to
offset the earlier decline in AD.
52
Check Your Progress 1 Fiscal Policy and Fiscal
Responsibility and Budget
1) Fill in the blanks. Management (FRBM) Act
Fiscal policy aims at using its three major instruments– taxes, spending and
borrowing– as balancing factors in the development of the economy. According
to Arthor Smithies, fiscal policy is a policy under which government uses its
expenditure and revenue programme to produce desirable effects and avoid
undesirable effects on the national income, production and employment. Fiscal
policy consists of the use of taxes, government spending and public debt
operations to influence the economic activities of the community in desired ways
and is concerned with the allocation of resources between the public and private
sectors and their use for the attainment of stability and growth. Although the
effects of fiscal policy are extensive, they are particularly measurable in areas
such as employment, price stability, savings and investment, and the balance of
payment. The prime aim of such a policy is to maintain a high level of employment
without inflation.
The budgetary fiscal policy can play a key role in the process of economic
development by (i) mobilising additional resources, (ii) maintaining economic
stability, (iii) allocating resources into socially necessary lines of development,
(iv) reducing extreme inequality in income and wealth, and (v) providing the
necessary incentive to the private sector for its healthy growth. The fiscal policy
thus has not one goal. It has a multiplicity of goals. Hence, they cannot be achieved
by any one set of policies. There may be conflicts between some of these other
goals and stabilisation goals. In the context of economic growth, the fiscal policy
has to be so framed as to avoid an inflationary pressure in the economy.
The greatest obstacle to proper use of fiscal policy is that changes in fiscal policy
may be necessarily bundled with other changes that please or displease various
stakeholders. This is true for a tax cut for some favoured constituency. The problem
of making good fiscal policy in the face of such obstacles is, in the final analysis,
not economic but political. There are many practical limitations or drawbacks to
the actual working of the fiscal policy. The objective of fiscal policy in modern
society cannot be promoted in isolation. It has to be coordinated with monetary,
credit and debt policies to be effective. The questions relating to the manner of
financing deficit or disposing of surplus in a budget have close relationship with
monetary and credit policies.
Monetary and fiscal policies can be best understood in the context of the events
that shape them. Such an analysis can assist in choosing policies that improve
rather than disrupt short- and long-term economic performance. Of particularly
interest are the circumstances and policies surrounding the recent recession.
The main fiscal impact of the planning process is the division of expenditures
into plan and non-plan components. The plan components relate to items dealing
with long-term socio-economic goals as determined by the ongoing planning
process. They often relate to specific schemes and projects. Furthermore, they
are usually routed through central ministries to state governments for achieving
certain desired objectives. These funds are generally in addition to the assignment
of central taxes as determined by the Finance Commissions. In some cases, the
state governments also contribute their own funds to the schemes. Non-plan
expenditures broadly relate to routine expenditures of the government for
administration, salaries, and the like2.
The objective of the initial five-year plans during the 1950s and 1960s was mainly
to become a self-sufficient nation and increase the growth rate of the economy
through strengthening the public sector enterprises. Taxation was used as an
instrument for transferring resources to the Government to enable it to undertake
large-scale public investment in an effort to spur economic growth. Both direct
and indirect taxes were focussed on extracting revenues from the private sector
to fund the public sector. The combined centre and state tax revenue to GDP
ratio increased from 6.03 per cent in 1950-51 to 15.47 per cent in 1987-88. For
the central government this ratio (i.e., central taxes net of devolution to GDP
ratio) was 3.43 per cent of GDP in 1950-51 with the larger share coming from
2
The distinction between plan and non-plan government spending has been dispensed with and
now the classification of government spending follows the categorisation of revenue and capital
spending. 55
Monetary and Fiscal Policies indirect taxes at 2.20 per cent of GDP and direct taxes at 1.23 per cent of GDP.
Given their low direct tax base, the direct tax-GDP ratio of state governments
was 0.53 per cent while their share of indirect taxes in GDP was 1.61 per cent in
1950-51. Furthermore, the fiscal policy was geared towards achieving the
economic objectives of (i) promoting employment through grant of tax incentives
to new investment; (ii) reducing inequality through progressive taxes on income
and wealth; (iii) reducing pressure on balance of payments through increase of
import duties; and (iv) stabilising prices through tax rebate in excise duties on
consumption goods3.
The systemic evolution of tax system in India started with the implementation of
a number of recommendations of the Taxation Enquiry Commission in 1955-56
which was appointed in April, 1953. The Commission submitted its report in
December, 1954. However, the government invited the British economist Nicholas
Kaldor to examine the possibility of reforming the tax system. The findings and
recommendations of Kaldor was published in a report in 1956. Kaldor found the
system is inefficient and inequitable given the narrow tax base and inadequate
reporting of property income and taxation. He also found the maximum marginal
income tax rate at 92 per cent to be too high and suggested it be reduced to 45 per
cent. In view of his recommendations, the government revived capital gains
taxation, brought in a gift tax, a wealth tax and an expenditure tax (which was
not continued due to administrative complexities).
Despite Kaldor’s recommendations, for both corporate and personal income taxes
the highest marginal income tax rates continued to be very high. The Direct
Taxes Enquiry Committee of 1971 found that the high tax rates encouraged tax
evasion and following its recommendations in 1974-75, the highest marginal
rate for personal income tax was brought down to 77 per cent.
Fiscal policy during the 1970s focused on achieving greater equity and social
justice and both taxation and expenditure policies were employed towards that
end. Accordingly, income tax rates were raised to very high levels, with the
maximum marginal rate of personal income tax moving up to 97.5 per cent
including the surcharge. India’s expenditure norms remained conservative till
the 1980s. From 1973-74 to 1978-79 the central government continuously ran
revenue surpluses (Figure 11.10). The gross fiscal deficit (GFD) also showed a
slow growth with certain episodes of downward movements. Over the years, in
addition to the commitment towards a large volume of developmental expenditure,
the Government’s expenditure widened to include rising subsidies. Large interest
payments on growing debt and downward rigidity in prices further contributed
to increased expenditure. Revenues, on the other hand, were less buoyant leading
to the emergence of sizeable revenue deficits (RD) in the Central government
budget from 1979-80 onwards.
During the decade of 1980s, the Indian public finances were in a state of disarray.
We find considerable fiscal deterioration took place during the 1980s and it
eventually became unsustainable, although the growth rate did rise significantly
with the enhancement in public investment in infrastructure.While the revenue
deficit (RD) of the central government as percentage of GDP increased from 1.4
per cent in 1980-81 to 2.44 per cent in 1989-90, its gross fiscal deficit (GFD) as
percentage of GDP also increased during this period, increasing from 5.71 per
cent in 1980-81 to 7.31 per cent in 1989-90.
56 3
Rao and Rao, 2006
10.00 Fiscal Policy and Fiscal
Responsibility and Budget
Gross fiscal deficit Management (FRBM) Act
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
revenue surplus
0.00
-2.00
1970-71
1971-72
1972-73
1973-74
1974-75
1975-76
1976-77
1977-78
1978-79
1979-80
1980-81
1981-82
1982-83
1983-84
1984-85
1985-86
1986-87
1987-88
1988-89
1989-90
1990-91
Note: Deficit (+) / Surplus (–)
Fig. 11.10: GFD and RD of the Centre ( per cent of GDP)
Source: DBIE and CMIE
The State governments had revenue surplus during 1974-75 to 1986-87 with the
exception of 1984-85 (Figure.11.11). Their fiscal position also deteriorated in
the late 1980s.
3.50
Gross Fiscal Deficit Revenue Deficit
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
-0.50
-1.00
-1.50
1970-71
1971-72
1972-73
1973-74
1974-75
1975-76
1976-77
1977-78
1978-79
1979-80
1980-81
1981-82
1982-83
1983-84
1984-85
1985-86
1986-87
1987-88
1988-89
1989-90
1990-91
Rising deficits and debt reduced the quality of the expenditure with increase in
expenditure on interest payment at the cost of social and developmental
expenditure. The Government sought to reduce its deficit through increase in
taxes. An important reform in the indirect taxes was recommended by the Indirect
Tax Enquiry in 1977. It recommended introduction of the input tax credit to
convert the cascading manufacturing tax into a manufacturing value added tax
(MANVAT). But this was implemented as a modified value added tax (MODVAT)
in 1986 in a phased manner covering only selected commodities (Rao and Rao,
2006).
The other main central indirect tax is the customs duty. Customs duties were
hiked to augment revenue and to protect domestic industry. In 1985-86 the
57
Monetary and Fiscal Policies government presented its Long-Term Fiscal Policy stressing on the need to reduce
tariffs, have fewer rates and eventually remove quantitative limits on imports.
Some reforms were attempted but due to revenue raising considerations the tariffs
in terms of the weighted average rate increased from 38 per cent in 1980-81 to
87 per cent in 1989-90. By 1990-91 the tariff structure had a range of 0 to 400
per cent with over 10 per cent of imports subjected to tariffs of 120 per cent or
more4.
The 8th Finance Commission whose operational period was 1984-1989 made it
clear that in considering competing claims on resources, the overriding
consideration would be national interest. The 8th FC also made the tax devolution
more progressive by leaning in favour of the backward states. It also set 5 per
cent of the net proceeds of sharable excise duties exclusively for non-plan revenue
deficit.
To improve the falling tax receipts and to rationalise the tax structures, Tax Reform
Committee was formed with the view to achieve set targets. The Tax Reforms
Committee (TRC) concentrated on finding a suitable framework to reform both
the direct and indirect tax structure in the country. The committee recommended
two major reforms on direct taxes– one was the simplification and rationalisation
of the direct tax structure (The Chelliah Committee, 1992); the other was to
introduce a service tax to widen the tax base (The Chelliah Committee, 1994).
As a part of the subsequent direct tax reforms, the personal income tax brackets
were reduced to three with rates of 20, 30 and 40 per cent in 1992-93. Financial
assets were removed from the imposition of wealth tax and the maximum rate of
wealth tax was reduced to 1 per cent. The Personal income tax rates were reduced
again to 10, 20, and 30 per cent in 1997-98. These rates have largely remained
the same since then with the exemption limit being increased and slab structure
raised from time to time. A subsequent 2 per cent surcharge to fund education
was later made applicable to all taxes.
58 4
Rao and Rao, 2006
The basic corporate tax rate was reduced to 50 per cent and the rates for different Fiscal Policy and Fiscal
Responsibility and Budget
closely held companies were made uniform at 55 per cent. In 1993-94, the Management (FRBM) Act
distinction between the closely held and the widely held companies was removed
and the uniform tax rate was brought down to 40 per cent. The rate was further
reduced to 35 per cent with a 10 per cent tax on distributed dividends in 1997-
98. Even after these reforms, some companies continued to take advantage of
the exemptions and tax deduction that were there in place for backward places,
export promotion and technology development. This led to the phenomenon of
“zero-tax companies” whereby imaginative arrangements were used to leverage
all these tax incentives with an intent to minimise tax liabilities. To counter this
trend, the Minimum Alternative Tax (MAT) was introduced in 1996-97 that
required a company to pay a minimum of 30 per cent of book profits as tax.
Under the indirect taxes, the MODVAT credit system for excise was expanded to
cover most commodities and provide a comprehensive credit system by 1996-
97. The eleven rates were merged into three with a few luxury items subject to
additional non-rebatable tax in 1999-2000. The three rates were merged in to a
single rate and renamed as central VAT (CENVAT) in 2000-01. There remained
three additional excises of 8, 16 and 24 per cent. In case of custom duties, in
1991-92 all duties on non-agriculture goods that were above 150 per cent were
brought down. The ‘peak rate’ was brought down to 40 per cent in 1997-98, 30
per cent in 2002-03, 25 per cent in 2003-04, and 15 per cent in 2005-06. The
number of major duty rates was also brought down from 22 in 1990-91 to 4 in
2003-04. These four rates covered almost 90 per cent of customs collected from
items.
This period also saw the introduction of the service tax in 1994-95, which was
subsequently expanded to cover more and more services. Given that the Indian
economy was having an increasingly large service component, the service tax
increasingly became a major source of revenue. Eventually, provisions were made
for allowing input tax credits for both goods and services at the central indirect
tax level.
In line with the tax reform plans, the share of the direct taxes in the overall
revenue receipts started increasing from 1994-95. In 1995-96, about 54 per cent
of revenues came from indirect taxes while around 20 per cent were from direct
taxes. In 2000-01, the share of indirect taxes had gone down dramatically to
around 45 per cent while the contribution from direct taxes had increased to
about 26 per cent. By 2005-06, indirect taxes accounted for approximately 43
per cent while the direct taxes share was about 35 per cent (Figure 11.12)
Fig. 11.12: share in the revenue receipts of the Central Govt. (in per cent)
59
Source: DBIE
Monetary and Fiscal Policies On the expenditure side, the strategy was to reduce the subsidies and cutting
down on non-capital expenditures. However, the existing debt burden meant
that the interest component would take a long time to ebb. In 1995-96, of the
central government’s revenue expenditures, 9 per cent went to subsidies, 13 per
cent to defence and 36 per cent to interest payments. Even after the changes in
the fiscal policy, the expenditure pattern did not recordmuch change. In 2000-
01, defence and interest remained at 13 per cent and 36 per cent, respectively,
while subsidies increased slightly to 10 per cent. By 2005-06, the interest
component had come down to 30 per cent and defence and subsidies each took
up 11 per cent (Figure 11.13).
Fig. 11.13: Share in total revenue expenditure of the Central government (in per cent)
Source: DBIE
Even though the fiscal situation of the government improved with the
aforementioned measures in the first half of the 1990s, the fiscals started showing
signs of distress from 1997-98 with the rising fiscal and revenue deficit. The 11th
FC expressed concerns over the feature of fiscal deficit being driven more and
more by the revenue account.
Fig. 11.14: Key fiscal indicators for States as a per cent of GDP
Source: CMIE, DBIE
The situation was grim at the state level as well. The average debt-to-GSDP ratio
increased from 18.3 per cent during the 1980s to 20.8 per cent during the 1990s.
It further worsened during 1997-2002 and increased by about 6 percentage points
60
to 26.8 per cent and reaching high of 31.8 per cent in March, 20045. A study by Fiscal Policy and Fiscal
Responsibility and Budget
Rajaraman et al. (2005) examined the debt sustainability of all the states in India Management (FRBM) Act
for a period of 10 years from 1992-93 to 2002-03 using the indicator approach.
They found a sharp increase in debt of major states during 1997-02 relative to
the average debt level of 1992-97 with the interest rate on the state debt exceeding
the nominal growth rate of GSDP during the quinquennial of 1997-02. This
necessitated the need for debt consolidation measures and institutional reforms
to stabilise debt at both the Centre and the State level. The central government’s
revenue deficit climbed up to 4.4 per cent of GDP in 2002-03 while the GFD was
at 5.91 per cent of GDP. By 2003-04 the combined liabilities of the centre and
the States were up at 81.09 per cent of GDP from 70.59 per cent in 2000-01. The
external liabilities were however kept under control at only 1.67 per cent of GDP
in 2003-04.
There was an urgent need of some new fiscal discipline framework. After around
three years of discussions, the Fiscal Responsibility and Budgetary Management
(FRBM) Act was adopted in 2003.
The main objectives of the act were to (a) introduce transparent fiscal management
systems in the country; (b) introduce a more equitable and manageable distribution
of the country’s debts over the years and (c) aim for fiscal stability for India in
the long run. The FRBM Act proposed that the central and state fiscal deficit
would each be progressively reduced to reach 3 per cent of GDP keeping in
mind two considerations – a) consistency with the forecast trend of household
financial savings and b) the target being considered sufficient for reducing the
stock of outstanding government liabilities to the level of 50 per cent of the GDP
within 10 years6.
Even though the Constitution enables the adoption of fiscal rules through the
prescription of a ceiling on borrowing by the Union and the States, no such
legislation was passed. It was only in the FRBM Act, that the limit on the
borrowings were imposed indirectly.The FRBM Act, 2003 is a law enacted under
Article 292 of the Constitution (read with Article 283) empowering the
government to borrow upon the security of the Consolidated Fund of India ‘within
such limits, if any, as may from time to time be fixed by Parliament by law and to
the giving of guarantees within such limits, if any, as may be so fixed’. Article
293 stipulates restrictions on the power of State governments to borrow.
Given the prevailing fiscal stress in the 1990s and the draft of the Public Debt
and Guarantee Limitation of India, the Finance Minister constituted a committee
on January 17, 2000 under the chairmanship of Dr. E.A.S. Sarma, then Secretary,
Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance to study all cognate aspects
62 6
NK Singh Committee Report.
and prepare a draft legislation. The Committee submitted its Report on 4 July Fiscal Policy and Fiscal
Responsibility and Budget
2000. It identified three categories of indicators for numerical fiscal targets with Management (FRBM) Act
specific time frames: (i) revenue and fiscal deficits; (ii) total liabilities/debt; and
(iii) borrowing from the RBI. Eight deficit indicators were considered but for
simplicity and focused attention, the Committee recommended ceilings for only
two – fiscal and revenue deficits. It sought to discourage excessive deficit for
accumulating capital assets by mandating a progressive reduction in the fiscal
deficit by 0.33 per cent of GDP at the end of each financial year so as to reduce
to the fiscal deficit to no more than 3 per cent of GDP in five years ending on 31
March 2006. The Committee also recommended the complete elimination of the
revenue deficit in five years ending on 31 March 2006 through annual reductions
of 0.5 per cent of GDP, and to build up an adequate revenue surplus thereafter.
This would ensure the observance of the ‘golden rule’, i.e., revenue surpluses
would be used for the purpose of discharging liabilities in excess of assets. In
addition to limits on the deficit, the proposed legislation also limited guarantees
to 0.5 per cent of GDP in any given financial year. The committee also advocated
a debt-GDP ratio of 50 per cent in a period of 10 years commencing on 1 April
20017.
Karnataka became the first state to enact its FRBM Act in September 2002
followed by Kerala (2003), Tamil Nadu (2003) and Punjab (2004). At the Union
govt. level, the Act and the Rules made under the Act were brought into force on
5 July 2004. West Bengal and Sikkim were the last two states to implement the
FRBM Act in July and September 2010, respectively.
The fiscal deficit for the Central government apparently declined from 4.34 per
cent in 2003-04 to 2.54 per cent in 2007-08, achieving the target of 3 per cent of
GDP one year in advance and the revenue deficit also apparently came down
from 3.5 per cent of GDP in 2003-04 to 1.1 per cent of GDP in 2007-08, and
closer to the target of nil in 2008-09. Though several studies have attributed this
fiscal consolidation in the first phase of the FRBMA to high GDP growth and tax
buoyancy. Simone and Topalova (2009) estimate that two-thirds of the fiscal
adjustment in this period was due to revenue gains. Study by Dholakia et al.
(2011) pointed out that much of the improvement in the financial position of the
Central government arose due to revenue buoyancy.
Fig.11.15: Fiscal and revenue deficit for the Centre as a percentage of GDP
Source: DBIE
The basis of these claims lay in unprecedented nominal growth in GDP. The
nominal year-on-year growth rate of both direct and indirect central taxes (net of
transfers to States) increased consistently from 2001-02 onwards. These dynamics
64
translated into a considerable rise in the net central tax/GDP ratio, particularly Fiscal Policy and Fiscal
Responsibility and Budget
the net central direct tax/GDP ratio, which more than doubled between 2001-02 Management (FRBM) Act
and 2007-08. Inflation was moderate and growth was buoyant at 9.6 per cent in
2006-07. This benign macroeconomic environment was disturbed by the global
financial crisis.
In 2008-09, there was a reversal of the steady fiscal consolidation being pursued.
The budgeted fiscal deficit for 2008-09 was 2.5 per cent of GDP, while the revised
estimates shown in the interim budget presented in February 2009 was 6 per cent
of GDP. However, the Centre’s actual fiscal deficit in 2008-09, inclusive of the
off-budget expenditures of oil and fertilizer bonds was in fact 7.8 per cent despite
significant under-reporting through deferment of expenditure liabilities. Thus,
the total deterioration in the fiscal deficit in 2008-09 was a dramatic 5.3 per cent
of GDP. The revenue deficit also ballooned considerably in 2008-09, from the
budgeted 1 per cent to the revised 4.4 per cent of GDP. Accounting for the off-
budget bonds brought the number to an unprecedented 6.3 per cent of GDP (Buiter
and Patel, 2010).
Unlike international best practices, neither the escape clause (first proviso to
Section 4) of the FRBM Act nor the associated FRBM Rules mandate a clearly
defined correction path that would facilitate a return to fiscal consolidation
following a breach in adherence to the fiscal rules.The Finance Minister in his
65
Monetary and Fiscal Policies 2011-12 Budget Speech announced that amendments would be made to the
FRBMA along with “laying down the fiscal map for the next five years.” In the
succeeding year’s Budget Speech, the FM yet again announced that amendments
to FRBMA would be introduced through the Finance Bill of 2012. The Finance
Bill proposed that the new target for the reduction of GFD and RD, and elimination
of effective revenue deficit be set as March 31, 2015. These proposals resulted
in amendment of FRBMA in May 2013. The term ‘effective revenue deficit’ was
also introduced into FRBMA through Finance Bill of 2012. The government
then revised the FRBMA further in the Finance Bill of 2015 by amending Section
4 to change deadline of March 31, 2015 to March 31, 2018, to grant the newly
formed Government in May 2014, some more fiscal space to achieve deficit
targets.
The need for review of the FRBMA is in sync with the need for enhancing
credibility, discipline, transparency and accountability in the conduct of
macroeconomic policy. The 13th Finance Commission recommended that the
Centre should institute a process of independent review and monitoring of the
implementation of the FRBMA. Accordingly, the Act was amended in 2012 to
provide for the government entrusting a periodical review of compliance with
the provisions of the Act to the Comptroller and Auditor-General (CAG).
Table 11.1: The recommended debt-deficit paths by the FRBM review committee
Debt-GDP Fiscal Deficit Revenue Deficit
ratio (per cent) ( per cent of GDP) ( per cent of GDP)
2016-17 49.4 3.5 2.30
2017-18 47.3 3.0 2.05
2018-19 45.5 3.0 1.80
2019-20 43.7 3.0 1.55
2020-21 42.0 2.8 1.30
2021-22 40.3 2.6 1.05
2022-23 38.7 2.5 0.80
Source: NK Singh Committee Report, 2017
66
5) A path of fiscal deficit to GDP ratio of 3.0 per cent during 2017-18 and Fiscal Policy and Fiscal
Responsibility and Budget
2019-20, 2.8 per cent in 2020-21, 2.6 per cent in 2021-22, and 2.5 per cent Management (FRBM) Act
in 2022-23.
6) Reduce revenue deficit to GDP ratio steadily by roughly 0.25 percentage
points each year, to reach 0.8 per cent by 2022-23.
7) The Inter-State allocation for State Governments for the achievement of the
overall debt and fiscal targets be assigned to the 15th FC through a specific
Terms of reference (ToR).
The timeline of FRBM Act and relevant developments are present in the table
below:
Table 11.2:Timeline of the FRBMA and relevant developments
Month,Year Event
Jan, 2000 Sarma Committee on Fiscal Responsibility Legislation constituted
by Finance Minister
Dec, 2000 FRBM Bill tabled in Parliament
Aug, 2002 Karnataka FRBM Act enacted by State Government
Aug, 2003 FRBM Act receives assent of President
July, 2004 FRBM Rules were notified by government under FRBMA and were
brought into force. Task Force (Chairman: Dr Vijay Kelkar) on
implementation of FRBMA set up
March, 2006 Date recommended for revenue deficit elimination and reduction of
fiscal deficit to 3 per cent by Sarma Committee
March, 2008 First target date by which revenue deficit had to be eliminated and
fiscal deficit reduced to 2 per cent of GDP (set by FRBMA)
Sep, 2008 Lehman Brothers files for bankruptcy, Global Financial Crisis
March, 2009 First target date by which revenue deficit had to be eliminated and
fiscal deficit reduced to 3 per cent of GDP (set by FRBM Rules)
July, 2009 FRBM targets suspended and Act put on hold till negative effects of
Global Financial Crisis are overcome
Feb, 2011 Revised fiscal road map for 5 succeeding years and amendments to
FRBMA
May, 2013 Amendments to FRBM Rules
March, 2015 Fiscal and revenue deficit target set in Budget Speech of 2011-12;
Fiscal target date set for elimination of revenue deficit (set by FRBM
Rules 2013)
May, 2015 FRBM target of March 31, 2015 revised to March 31, 2018
June, 2015 Amendments to FRBM Act
May, 2016 FRBM Review Committee headed by N.K. Singh constituted
Jan, 2017 FRBM Review Committee submits its Report
March, 2017 Fiscal target date by which gross fiscal deficit to be reduced to 3 per
cent of GDP (set by FRBM Rules 2013)
April, 2017 FRBM Review Committee Report released to public
March, 2018 First target date by which revenue deficit has to be reduced to 2 per
cent and fiscal deficit to 3 per cent of GDP (set by FRBMA 2015)
Source: Charan Singh et. al. 67
Monetary and Fiscal Policies
11.7 GOODS AND SERVICES TAX (GST)
India adopted the value added tax (VAT) both at the Central and State level in
2005 with most states and union territories implementing the VAT. However,
both central VAT (i.e., CENVAT) and the State VAT had certain incompleteness.
The incompleteness in the CENVAT was that it had not been extended to include
chain of value addition in the distributive trade below the stage of production.
Similarly, in the State-level VAT, CENVAT load on the goods had not yet been
removed and the cascading effect of that part of tax burden had remained
unrelieved. Moreover, there were several taxes in the States, such as, Luxury
Tax, Entertainment Tax, etc. which were still not been subsumed in the VAT.
Also there had not been any integration of VAT on goods with tax on services at
the state level in order to remove cascading effect of service tax. CST was another
source of distortion in terms of its cascading nature. It was also against one of
the basic principles of consumption taxes that tax should accrue to the jurisdiction
where consumption takes place. Despite remarkable harmonisation in VAT, the
national market was fragmented with too many obstacles in free movement of
goods necessitated by procedural requirement under VAT and CST.
Integration of Central VAT and State VAT therefore was nothing but an inevitable
consequence of the tax reform process. As a natural corollary of this, any
unification of the taxation system required a dual GST, levied and collected both
by the Union and the States.Power of taxation is assigned to both the Union and
States under Schedule VII of the Constitution. While the Centre is empowered to
tax goods up to the production or manufacturing stage, the States have the power
to tax goods at distribution stage. The Union can tax services using residuary
powers but States could not. Under a unified Goods and Services Tax scheme,
both should have power to tax the complete supply chain from production to
distribution, and both goods and services. The Constitution (115th Amendment)
Bill, 2011, in relation to the introduction of GST, was introduced in the Lok
Sabha on 11.03.2011. The Bill was referred to the Standing Committee on Finance
on 29.03.2011 which submitted its report on the Bill in August, 2013. However,
the Bill was lapsed with the devolution of the 15th Lok Sabha. The Constitution
(122nd Amendment) Bill, 2014 was introduced in the 16thLok Sabha on 19.12.2014.
The Constitution Amendment Bill was passed by the Lok Sabha in May, 2015.
The Bill with certain amendments was finally passed in the Rajya Sabha and
thereafter by Lok Sabha in August, 2016. Further the bill was ratified by required
number of States and received assent of the President on 8th September, 2016
and has since been enacted as Constitution (101st Amendment) Act, 2016 w.e.f.
16.09.2016.
The Goods and Services Tax (GST) was rolled out across the country on July 1,
2017. It replaced several existing multiple taxes levied by the central and state
governments.The central and states taxes subsumed in GST is shown in Table
11.3.
India adopted the dual GST model because of its unique federal nature. Under
this model, tax is levied concurrently by the Centre as well as the States on a
common base, i.e. supply of goods or services or both. GST levied by the Centre
would be called Central GST (CGST) and that levied by the States would be
called State GST (SGST) and that levied by union territories without legislature
will be called UGST. For inter-state transactions and imported goods or services,
68
an Integrated GST (IGST) is levied by the Central Government. GST is a Fiscal Policy and Fiscal
Responsibility and Budget
consumption-based tax/destination-based tax, therefore, taxes are paid to the Management (FRBM) Act
state where the goods or services are consumed not the state in which they were
produced.
Goods and services are divided into five different tax slabs for collection of tax–
0 per cent, 5 per cent, 12 per cent, 18 per cent and 28 per cent. However, petroleum
products, alcoholic drinks, and electricity are not taxed under GST and instead
are taxed separately by the individual state governments, as per the previous tax
system8.
As provided for in Article 279A of the Constitution, the GST Council (the
Council9) was notified with effect from 12.09.2016 which is responsible for
conducting regular meeting and taking majority of GST related decisions. One
half of the total number of Members of the Goods and Services Tax Council
shall constitute the quorum at its meetings. Every decision of the Goods and
Services Tax Council shall be taken at a meeting, by a majority of not less than
three-fourths of the weighted votes of the members present and voting, in
accordance with the following principles, namely: – a) the vote of the Central
Government shall have a weightage of one-third of the total votes cast, and b)
the votes of all the State Governments taken together shall have a weightage of
two-thirds of the total votes cast, in that meeting.
Since its implementation there has been a feeling among states that they have
ceded more ground to the union government and that their freedom with regard
to changing the rates of value-added tax (VAT), their main source of revenue
was entirely lost. In order to protect any revenue loss to states on account of
switching to GST, the Goods and Services Tax (Compensation to States) Act,
2017 was enacted in 2017. Compensation will be provided to states for a period
8
Besides, some goods and services are exempt also. Rate for precious metals and affordable
housing are an exception to ‘four-tax slab-rule’ and the same has been fixed at 3 per cent and
1 per cent respectively. In addition, unworked diamonds, precious stones, etc. attracts a rate of
0.25 per cent. A cess over the peak rate of 28 per cent on certain specified luxury and demerit
goods, like tobacco and tobacco products, pan masala, aerated water, motor vehicles is imposed
to compensate States for any revenue loss on account of implementation of GST. The list of
goods and services in case of which reverse charge would be applicable has also been notified.
9
The Council is comprised of the Union Finance Minister (who is the Chairman of the Council),
the Minister of State (Revenue) and the State Finance/Taxation Ministers as members. 69
Monetary and Fiscal Policies of five years– July 2017-June 2022. For the purpose of calculating the
compensation amount to be paid to states in any financial year, their revenues in
2015-16 from taxes subsumed in GST will be considered as the base year. A
growth of 14 per cent over the base subsumed revenue would be guaranteed to
the states. If a state’s GST revenue fall short of the of the 14 per cent protected
revenue, its revenue loss will be compensated up to the level of assured protection.
Table 11.4 shows the trend in GST collections since its implementation from 1
July 2017. The overall Y-o-Y growth in the collection in 2019-20 over 2018-19
was 3.8 per cent.
Table 11.4: Trend in GST collection (Rs. Crore)
Fiscal Policy during 1970s focussed on achieving greater equity and social justice
and both taxation and expenditure were employed towards this direction. During
1980s, the fiscal deterioration took place and eventually became unsustainable.
Rising deficits and debt raised the price of serving the debt in terms of mounting
interest payments. This in turn reduced the quality of the expenditure at the cost
of social and developmental expenditure.
In the post-reforms period the direct tax structure was simplified and rationalised.
As a result, the share of indirect tax declined to 45 per cent and share of direct
tax increased to 35 per cent by 2005-06.
On the expenditure side, the strategy was focused to reduce the subsidies and
cutting down on non-capital expenditure. By 2005-06, the interest component
came down to 30 per cent and defence and subsidies each took up 11 per cent.
71
Monetary and Fiscal Policies Despite these measures, the rising trend of fiscal revenue deficits since 1997-
1990 reflected signs of distress. By 2003-04, the combined liabilities of the Centre
and the States were up at 81.09 per cent of GDP from 70.59 per cent in 2000-01.
This necessitated having a new fiscal discipline frame work and consequently
the Fiscal Responsibility and Budgetary Management Act, 2003 was adopted in
2004.
The good and services tax which replaced the layers of multiple taxes levied by
the Central and State Governments has been introduced across the country since
July 1, 2017. Under the dual GST model, the tax is levied concurrently by the
Centre as well as the States on a common base i.e. supply of goods or services or
both.
11.11 REFERENCES
1) Froyen R.T., “Macroeconomics: Theories and Policies”, 10th edition, Pearson
Education Ltd.
73
Monetary and Fiscal Policies 2) Dornbusch R., Fischer S. and Startz R., “Macroeconomics”, 11th edition,
McGraw-Hill Irwin
4) Rao M.G. and Rao. K.R. (2006).“Trends and Issues in Tax Policy and Reform
in India” India Policy Forum, NCAER.
5) Singh C., Prasad D., Sharma K.K., and Reddy S. (2017). “A Review of the
FRBM Act”, Working paper no. 550, Indian Institute of Management,
Bangalore.
6) Reddy Y.V. and Reddy G.R. (2019). Indian Fiscal Federalism, Oxford
University Press.
74
Fiscal Policy and Fiscal
UNIT 12 MAJOR DEVELOPMENT ON UNION Responsibility and Budget
Management (FRBM) Act
STATE RELATIONS
Structure
12.0 Objectives
12.1 Meaning of and Rationale for Federal Structure
12.2 Pillars of Federal Finance
12.2.1 Assignments
12.2.1.1 Assignment of Public Expenditure
12.2.1.2 Assignment of Revenue Sources
12.2.2 Vertical and Horizontal Imbalances
12.2.3 Correcting the Imbalances – Inter-governmental Transfers
12.2.4 Sub-national Borrowing
12.3 Institutions of Federalism in India
12.3.1 Finance Commission
12.3.2 Planning Commission/NITI Aayog
12.3.3 GST Council
12.4 The 14th and 15th Finance Commissions
12.5 Trends and Issues in Fiscal Federalism in India
12.5.1 Centralisation and Vertical Imbalance
12.5.2 Regional Equity and Horizontal Imbalance
12.6 Let Us Sum Up
12.7 Term-end Exercises
12.8 Key Words
12.9 References
12.10 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
Appendix 12.1
Appendix 12.2
12.0 OBJECTIVES
This unit is concerned with Union-States financial relations. After going through
this unit, you should be able to:
spell out the principles governing fiscal federalism;
state the provisions enshrined in Indian Constitution relating to division of
financial powers between Union and States;
discuss the role of various elements of the institutional structure underpinning
the Union and State relations;
appreciate the role of Finance Commission as an institution, and the
importance of major recommendations of various Finance Commissions over
the years;
critically examine the major recommendations of 14th Finance Commission,
the Terms of Reference and the interim Report of the 15 th Finance
Commission; and
evaluate the dimension and nature of issues involved in contemporary Centre-
State fiscal situation in the country. 75
Monetary and Fiscal Policies
12.1 MEANING OF AND RATIONALE FOR
FEDERAL STRUCTURE
Federalism refers to a system with more than one level of governance, each with
some autonomy and decision-making powers. A political definition would be
more rigorous and would require some specific conditions to be fulfilled, but an
economist’s definition is not so stringent. As long as all levels (two or more)
have the authority to take some key decisions regarding revenue raising and
spending public resources, basic conditions for fiscal federalism are satisfied,
even if political federalism may not exist. When characterised in this fashion,
only the degree of fiscal federalism differs among nations– even the formally
unitary countries have aspects of it. This is because economic administration
requires a minimum level of decentralisation and some delegation of fiscal powers
in the interest of efficiency.
1
See Oates (1972).
76
bias is further strengthened with all residuary powers remaining with the Union Major Development on Union
State Relations
(also called Central) government2.
The overall responsibilities of the government can be broadly classified following
Musgrave (1959) into three groups– resource allocation, distribution of wealth
and income, and stabilisation of the economy. Of these, the first type of
interventions that seek to reallocate resources to various economic activities
through fiscal tools are usually thought and actually found in practice to be suitable
for all levels of government, depending on the exact nature of the intervention.
The other two are conceptually better suited to the national level government as
regional or local level policy initiatives can be defeated by inter-jurisdictional
mobility of citizens or resources. For example, an aggressive redistributive policy
of a sub-national jurisdiction can cause out-migration of the rich from that
jurisdiction into other less aggressive jurisdictions.This can continue in principle
as long as the policy differential exists till all the rich taxpayers have shifted out
and there is no one left to redistribute from. Similarly, stabilisation policy adopted
by a sub-national jurisdiction can be neutralised by contrary policies adopted by
other jurisdictions. In general, when economic policies require uniformity across
the nation to be effective in a federal system, it is better administered by the
national government. These considerations apply to both sides of the fiscal
operations of the government– revenue raising and public expenditures.
2
This has had significant impact on fiscal federalism, not foreseen by the Constitution makers.
The best example is that of no mention of the services sector anywhere in the three lists of the
Constitution, except a few specific services. This sector grew faster than all other sectors to
become the largest one in terms of share in GDP. The centre claimed the right to tax services
sector under the residuary powers clause, and this in fact upset the balance of revenue raising
powers between the Centre and the states irrevocably, with strong implications for subnational
autonomy. 77
Monetary and Fiscal Policies outweigh the subsidiarity principle in functional assignment. Also, the second-
generation theory of fiscal federalism (Qian and Weingast, 1997) asserts that the
main consideration in determining assignments should be the ability of any level
of government to carry out the function most efficiently, irrespective of the nature
of the public service one is considering. This contention is the main argument of
the modern theory of competitive federalism as well (Breton, 1987).
In contrast to the broad-based taxes like income tax or VAT, there are some
revenue sources the base of which are less mobile and are therefore suited for
sub-national governments. For example, property tax or road/bridge tolls are
ideal for local bodies, and usually assigned to them. In India, Octroi was a major
source of revenue for local bodies in some of the states like Maharashtra, but
being a checkpost-based levy hampering smooth flow of traffic and an
anachronism in present times, had to be abolished. To be sure, an appropriate
substitute for Octroi was not found, and the concerned local bodies had to make
do with less productive and less regular source of income in terms of cash flow.
Local bodies also raise revenues from several non-tax revenue sources like fees/
rental from markets built/provided by them, and charges for water supply.
3
For the Union government in India, sale of spectrum has been a lucrative non-tax revenue
source. 79
Monetary and Fiscal Policies the system to obviate the need for repeated consideration and policy initiatives
for such resolution. In general, this requirement being met by inter-governmental
transfers is a common feature in all systems of fiscal federalism, including India.
Apart from resolving the vertical and horizontal imbalances, inter governmental
transfers can also serve other purposes. These include:
a) compensating for benefit spillovers across jurisdictions to maintain
efficiency4,
b) to pay for agency functions performed by sub-national governments on behalf
of the national government,
c) to help sub-national governments maintain a minimum level of basic services,
and
d) to incentivise the sub-national governments to fall in line with central
planning or development objectives.
Each of these motives for intergovernmental transfers has been explicitly
considered and catered to, in the Indian system at some point. For example, the
14th and now the 15th Finance Commissions have linked a State’s tax share
positively to its area under forests, keeping in mind the environmental and
ecological benefit spillovers of forests. Erstwhile Planning Commission and the
Plan transfers under its aegis exemplified (d) above.
Grants can be of different types, and their designs are often influenced by the
objective of the grants. They can be conditional (specific purpose) or
unconditional (also called general purpose or block grants). The latter are
generally preferred for correcting horizontal or vertical imbalances. But grants
to maintain a minimum level of basic services would obviously be conditional,
4
When sub-national governments optimise their public spending by equating benefits with
costs, there may be under-provision in the presence of benefit spillovers (positive externalities)
– a part of the benefits accruing outside the jurisdiction of the government incurring the
expenditure, as the decision may be based on benefits accruing within the jurisdiction only.
5
Revenue sharing should be distinguished from revenue base sharing. Base sharing does not
require intergovernmental transfers unless collection is centralised by common agreement.
Income tax base is shared between the States/Provinces and the Federal (central) government
in both the USA and Canada, but that does not entail inter governmental transfers. GST base
80 is shared between the Union and the States in India.
to be spent on specified (basic) services only. Conditional grants can be matching Major Development on Union
State Relations
(linked to the recipient units’ performance in revenue collection or expenditure)
or non-matching. Matching grants are used when the grantor government wants
to modify the grantee government’s preferences in favour of the activity supported
by the grant. Most of the central grants provided to states under the Centrally
Sponsored Schemes are of this type. Further, grants can be closed-ended (pre-
defined maximum) or open-ended.
6
This is the position after the year 2000. Before that, foreign lenders could not negotiate with
the sub-national governments directly as the constitutional restriction was strictly enforced.
Also, irrespective of the terms of lending agreed with the original lender, the Union government
on-lent the amounts at the same standard terms as the usual lending to the sub-national
governments.
7
The extent to which sub-national units can access debt from foreign lenders varies between
different countries. In Sri Lanka, sub-national governments cannot borrow at all from foreign
sources, while Canadian Provinces freely do so. 81
Monetary and Fiscal Policies India, which went through serious stress during the period 1990-2005 leading to
the introduction of the fiscal responsibility legislations (FRBMA) in the first
place.
82
Major Development on Union
12.3 INSTITUTIONS OF FEDERALISM IN INDIA State Relations
Apart from the different tiers of the government, the institutional structure relating
to fiscal federalism in India primarily involves the Finance Commissions at the
central and state levels, and to a lesser extent the NITI Aayog8. An agency that
should have been playing a major role is the Inter-State Council, but it does not
in practice. In the present fiscal context, another agency that has assumed
importance is the GST Council, empowered by the relevant legislation to
deliberate upon and take decisions relating to key issues within the ambit of
GST structure in the country and administration.
State Finance Commissions came into being as a result of 73rd and 74th amendments
of the Constitution in 1992 conferring constitutional status to the third tier of
government, the urban and rural local bodies. Each State government has its
own legislation in this respect, and is expected to appoint the State Finance
Commissions at regular intervals as provided in their concerned legislation. The
scope of the recommendations covers State-local financial relations, mainly fiscal
transfers from the State government to the local bodies.
GST
This tax is a major contributor to the tax revenue of both levels of the Government,
particularly the States.
The GST Council comprising both State and Union representatives has assumed
significance because it is entrusted with the responsibility of providing/ amending/
updating the details with respect to the structure and administration of GST, a
tax jointly levied by the centre and the States.
As on 14-5-2019, 94.5 per cent of the total decisions (1064) of the GST Council
have already been implemented, which is a significant achievement given the
complicated nature and wide area of subjects/issues involved on the fact that
most decisions were taken unanimously.
The ToR of the 14th Finance Commission, the last one to have submitted its
report at this point, is reproduced in Appendix 12.1. As can be seen, it was asked
to consider a large number of issues other than the basic ones enshrined in the
9
By choice, Finance Commissions in India have confined themselves to the current account
(internationally the term ‘current’ or ‘recurrent’ is used to denote receipts or expenditure without
any associated future financial flows, but the roughly equivalent term ‘revenue’ is used in the
Indian budgetary parlance) of the budget only. The capital account is not considered by them
except when considering indebtedness. 85
Monetary and Fiscal Policies Constitution. It, however, did not make specific recommendations affecting the
Centre-State financial flows on all of them. The highlights of its recommendations
were as follows.
Its first major recommendation was to raise the share of States as a whole in the
net tax revenues substantially. This can be seen with reference to the earlier
Finance Commissions’ recommendations provided in Table 12.2.
Table 12.2: States’ Share in Divisible Pool of Central taxes
States Share in the Net Proceeds of
Finance Commission Income Union Excise All Shareable
Tax (%) Duties (%) Union Taxes (%)
FC-1 (1952-57) 55 40
FC-2 (1957-62) 60 25
FC-3 (1962-66) 66.66 20
FC-4 (1966-69) 75 20
FC-5 (1969-74) 75 20
FC-6 (1974-79) 80 20
FC-7 (1979-84) 85 40
FC-8 (1984-89) 85 45
FC-9-I (1989-90) 85 40
FC-9-II (1990-95) 85 45
FC-10 (1995-00) 77.5 47.5
FC-11 (2000-05) 29.5
FC-12 (2005-10) 30.5
FC-13 (2010-15) 32
FC-14 (2015-20) 42
The third highlight related to the use of population data. Several Finance
Commissions preceding the 14th had used population data for the year 1971 for
scaling purposes as also when population was directly used as a determinant of
the transfers, as required by their ToR. This in turn was the result of a resolution
of the Parliament. The basic idea was to provide an implicit incentive to States
with lower growth of population as compared to the others, or rewarding
successful control of population growth. However, its ToR marked a departure
from the past several Finance Commissions; while the 14th Finance Commission
was asked to continue with the 1971 population as the basic number, the ToR
specified that it may consider ‘demographic changes’ post-1971 also. Accordingly,
the 14th Commission used a variable termed ‘demographic changes’ (post-1971)
in their suggested formula to determine tax devolution. Table 12.3 provides the
determinants used by a few recent Finance Commissions to provide a context
and comparison.
Table 12.3: Components and Weights used in Tax Devolution Formulae
Component FC 11 FC 12 FC 13 FC 14
Income Distance/Fiscal Capacity 62.5% 50.0% 47.5% 50.0%
Population-1971 10.0% 25.0% 25.0% 17.5%
Area 7.5% 10.0% 10.0% 15.0%
Index of infrastructure 7.5% - - -
Tax Effort 5.0% 7.5% * -
Fiscal Discipline 7.5% 7.5% 17.5% -
Demographic Change (2011 population) - - - 10.0%
Forest Cover - - - 7.5%
* Included in fiscal discipline
It can be seen that the formula for determination of the shares of individual
States in tax devolution recommended by the 14th Finance Commission was
different in two other respects. One, it did not include a traditional fiscal discipline/
tax effort variable – justified as providing the appropriate fiscal incentive – in its
list of determinants on the ground that the already operational Fiscal
Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Acts of different States, and
the incentives provided to the States to stay within the parameters defined by the
Acts obviated the need for any further incentive. Two, it introduced a new
determinant for the first time – the share of a State in total forest cover – in
response to one clause of the ToR that stressed “the need to balance management
of ecology, environment and climate change consistent with sustainable economic
development”.
The fourth and final highlight related to a small variation permitted in the
normative fiscal deficit level recommended for compliance with FRBM Act.
87
Monetary and Fiscal Policies The two primary targets of FRBM legislations as recommended by preceding
Finance Commissions were zero revenue deficit or a revenue surplus, and a
maximum fiscal deficit of 3 per cent of Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP).
The 14th Finance Commission allowed a maximum of 0.5 per cent of GSDP as
additional fiscal deficit provided the concerned State had:
a) Revenue deficit = 0;
b) Debt-GSDP ratio = 25%;
c) Interest payments = 10% of revenue receipts.
To avail of any additional fiscal deficit limit, a State had to fulfil the condition
(a). Fulfilling conditions (b) and (c) entitled a State to 0.25 per cent additional
fiscal deficit limit for each, available separately and simultaneously (if both the
conditions were fulfilled). Thus, instead of a uniform prescription of 3 per cent
fiscal deficit, States had three possible levels of fiscal deficit– 3 per cent, 3.25
per cent and 3.5 per cent, depending on their fulfilling conditions (a), (b), and
(c). This partially met the critique of the uniform 3 per cent ceiling as a ‘one size
fits all’ approach unsuitable for a large and diverse nation like India, where
individual States had different investment needs and their financing requirements
through borrowing.
The 15th Finance Commission was appointed in November 2017, and initially
asked to submit its report by October 2019, as its award period was to begin
from the fiscal year 2020-21. As has become customary, its ToR (see Appendix
12.2) contains several issues over and above the basic constitutionally mandated
tasks. Of course, it is not necessary for the Commission to make recommendations
on every item of the ToR– it was determined long ago by the Sixth Finance
Commission that Finance Commissions were not bound by the ToR. However,
they must give due consideration to each item of the ToR, and build in whatever
considerations they feel appropriate into their recommendations. Also, an
important change in the ToR that generated some controversy was a shift to the
2011 population (as opposed to the 1971 population) as the basic population
data for each State. States with relatively greater success in controlling their
population felt it to be a disincentive for containing population growth.
First because of the additional ToR to consider and suggest a dedicated financing
mechanism for defence and internal security, and then because of the change in
the status of the State of Jammu and Kashmir into two Union Territories, the
Commission needed and was given a one-year extension. It provided a small
first report in 2019, applicable to the fiscal year 2020-21 only. The first report
marginally modified the share of the States in the net tax revenue of the Union to
41 per cent (Jammu & Kashmir was not covered any more), and also made some
small changes in the tax devolution formula (the main one being the reintroduction
of tax effort as a determinant with a small weight, and use of a variable
representing Total fertility rate of a State as per 2011 Census data along with
population as per 2011 Census). Its full report is expected in October 2020, but
the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, and its impact on the finances of the
States and the Union, would require reconsideration of its entire approach and
resultant computations. Moreover, the Commission has been asked to provide
its recommendations for five more years till 2025-26, making it the only Finance
Commission so far with its award period covering a total of six years instead of
the customary five.
88
Check Your Progress 2 Major Development on Union
State Relations
1) What is the (Union) Finance Commission? How is it distinct from State
Finance Commission?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
2) What is the basis for the recommendation of the tax devolution and grants
made by the Finance Commission?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
3) Discuss the role of GST Council in management and administration of GST
jointly levied by the Centre and States.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
4) State the highlights of the recommendations of 14th Finance Commission.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
In the early years of independent India, there was only one income tax
covering both personal and corporate income tax. In 1961, the relevant Act
was overhauled, and the accounts of the Union split the two income taxes
into different major heads. This was followed by the position that corporate
income tax was now a separate tax, and since the Constitution did not ask
for sharing this and only income tax (interpreted to mean just the personal
income tax), corporate income tax was not shareable. De facto additional
resource mobilisation through personal income tax also decreased following
this episode until the 10th Finance Commission recommended sharing of all
taxes of the Union.
A third example relates to the rather liberal use of cess and surcharges by
the Union government in recent years, a trend that is still continuing. Suffice
it to point out that cess and surcharges are excluded from shareable taxes
and have increased from about 10 per cent of gross tax revenues of the
Union to 18.55 per cent between 2011-12 and 2019-20.
As against the above examples, there are some examples of the central government
accommodating States’ interests too. For instance, in the year 2000, the Union
changed its usual practice of lending all foreign assistance in the form of debt or
combination of debt and grants under its common terms for lending to States (at
that point of time, the rates of interest charged were substantially higher than
market rates, and an administrative charge was payable in addition) to ‘back-to-
back’ passing on of such assistance (meaning on the same terms as received
from the foreign source). This essentially meant that States could take advantage
of the soft terms attached to such assistance, while they also had to bear the
exchange risk of foreign-currency denominated loans.
The centralising tendency is visible on the expenditure side also, but more
qualitative than quantitative. First, the constitutional provision of the Union
dominance in the subjects included in the Concurrent List (decisions by the
Parliament overrule any State legislations in these areas) facilitates centralisation
by design. This has been expanded with a few cases of constitutional amendment
moving subjects from State List to the Concurrent List. Centrally Sponsored
Schemes have been, however, a greater irritant in the context of centre-State
10
Minerals are divided into three categories from the point of view of financial flows relating to
them. Crude petroleum is a category by itself; the Union has full jurisdiction on its exploitation
with only a royalty payable to the concerned State on onshore production (royalty on offshore
production, as in the case of Bombay High oilfields, is collected by the centre). For major
minerals like coal, iron ore, bauxite, copper and gypsum, the States have a say in the actual
exploitation of mines, and also receive a royalty on the value of minerals extracted. In the case
of minor minerals like earth, stones and sand, the States are given full control over their
exploitation and royalty collections. The rates of royalty are determined by the Union
government for petroleum crude and major minerals. 91
Monetary and Fiscal Policies financial relations. These are centrally initiated and designed schemes relating
to subjects in the State domain, funded fully or partially by the Union, the latter
usually with matching requirements. Resource-starved State governments cannot
afford refusal to participate, but matching grants distort State priorities by pulling
in more State resources for the activity supported by the Scheme than would
otherwise be the case (see Cullis and Jones, 1992, pp. 307-311 for a theoretical
discussion of the effect of different types of grants on recipient governments’
expenditure). Administered by central ministries relevant to the coverage of the
scheme, in the last two decades, grants under these schemes have outweighed
other types of grants. Apart from limiting State autonomy in practice, these grants
also modify the regional pattern of equity and the incentive structure built into
the Finance Commission transfers. To be sure, there is a place for such conditional
matching grants in a federal system; but it is the quantum of these grants that
really generate skepticism about their legitimacy in India. These grants have a
tendency of proliferating and attempts to limit their number and financial flows
in the past have been defeated by the internal dynamics of the governmental
processes within the Union government.
Low Availability of
Public Resources
Even the Finance Commission transfers have been less equalising than they
could have been. Their refusal to consider investment requirements of various
States – particularly important for low-income States – even after the
discontinuation of the Planning Commission that was expected to attend to
this aspect has pushed this consideration out of the agenda for Centre-State
financial flows, to the detriment of prospects of dynamic equalisation. Even
when considering revenue deficit grants, the receipts and expenditures are
estimated using projections on the basis of actual values for a base year and
not normative estimates (i.e., revenue potential and expenditure need). Since
actual values of expenditure of low-income States are strongly revenue-
constrained, this results in underestimating expenditure requirements of these
States. In contrast, even a high-income high-spending State can qualify for
grants-in-aid if it does not raise adequate revenues in fact. Even the latest
report – the First Report of the 15th Finance Commission – uses a similar
methodology, building in perverse incentives and negating equalisation.
Thus, with the design of fiscal federalism not providing resources for accelerating
the developmental process to the low-income States, they are left to do so with
the resources they can raise themselves, which are constrained by the smaller
base compared to other States. Widening disparities is a logical outcome of this
framework.
Apart from the tiers of the Government, the institutional structure relating to
fiscal federalism in India involves primarily the Finance Commission and GST
Council at the Central and State level and to a lesser extent the NITI Aayog. The
Constitution provides for appointment of a Finance Commission every five years
or earlier with a set of terms of reference. The constitutionally mandated tasks at
present include inter-alia, sharing of Central tax revenue with States,
recommending grants-in-aid to individual States to cover revenue deficits for
onward transmission of local bodies, for meeting natural calamities and for any
other reason at its discretion. State Finance Commissions are appointed by the
State Governments to deal with State local Financial relations, mainly fiscal
transfers from State Governments to the local bodies.
The 15th Finance Commission was appointed in November 2017 and its full report
is expected by the end of 2020. The commission has been asked to provide its
recommendation for five more years till 2025-26.
1) State in brief the principles of Federal finance. How far these principles
have been adhered to the Centre-State financial relations in India?
2) What is Finance Commission? How is it different from NITI Aayog and
GST Council? Evaluate the recommendations of 14th Finance Commission.
3) “The question of Centre-State relations has become the focal point of
discussion for a number of reasons”. Comment on this statement and point
out the reasons for conflict between Center and State.
12.9 REFERENCES
1) Breton, Albert (1987). “Towards the theory of competitive federalism”,
European Journal of Political Economy, Special issue, Vol. 3, No. 1+2, pp.
263-328.
2) Cullis, John and Philip Jones (1992).Public Finance and Public Choice:
Analytical Perspectives, London: McGraw-Hill.
3) Fourteenth Finance Commission (2014)., Report, Volume-I, New Delhi:
Government of India.
4) Fifteenth Finance Commission (2019). First Report, New Delhi: Government
of India.
5) Lessmann, Christian (2012). “Regional Inequality and Decentralization: An
Empirical Analysis”, Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space,
Vol.44, issue 6.
6) Rao, M. Govinda and Tapas K. Sen (1996).Fiscal Federalism in India:
Theory and Practice, Delhi: Macmillan India.
7) Reddy, Y. V. and G.V. Reddy (2019).The Rules of the Game: Indian Fiscal
Federalism, New Delhi: Oxford University Press.
8) Sen, Tapas K. (2011). “Horizontal Imbalances in Indian Federalism”, in
Praveen Jha (ed.), Progressive Fiscal Policy in India, New Delhi: Sage
Publications, pp. 246-263.
9) Twelfth Finance Commission (2003), Fifty Years of Fiscal Federalism:
Finance Commissions of India, New Delhi: Government of India [This
publication contains ToR, composition, summarized approach, main
recommendations and action taken report of first 11 Finance Commissions
– excellent source for a history of Finance Commissions].
10) Source-GST Council.gov.om/sites/default/files/gst.update010719
97
Monetary and Fiscal Policies
APPENDIX 12.1: TOR OF THE 14TH FINANCE
COMMISSION
“4) The Commission shall make recommendations as to the following matters:
i) the distribution between the Union and the States of the net proceeds of
taxes which are to be, or may be, divided between them under Chapter
I, Part XII of the Constitution and the allocation between the States of
the respective shares of such proceeds;
ii) the principles which should govern the grants-in-aid of the revenues of
the States out of the Consolidated Fund of India and the sums to be paid
to the States which are in need of assistance by way of grants-in-aid of
their revenues under article 275 of the Constitution for purposes other
than those specified in the provisos to clause (1) of that article; and(iii)
the measures needed to augment the Consolidated Fund of a State to
supplement the resources of the Panchayat and Municipalities in the
State on the basis of the recommendations made by the Finance
Commission of the State.
5) The Commission shall review the state of the finances, deficit and debt levels
of the Union and the States, keeping in view, in particular, the fiscal
consolidation road map recommended by the Thirteenth Finance
Commission, and suggest measures for maintaining a stable and sustainable
fiscal environment consistent with equitable growth including suggestions
to amend the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Acts currently
in force and while doing so, the Commission may consider the effect of the
receipts and expenditure in the form of grants for creation of capital assets
on the deficits; and the Commission shall also consider and recommend
incentives and disincentives for States for observing the obligations laid
down in the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Acts.
6) In making its recommendations, the Commission shall have regard, among
other considerations, to:
i) the resources of the Central Government, for five years commencing
on 1 April 2015, on the basis of levels of taxation and non-tax revenues
likely to be reached during 2014-15;
ii) the demands on the resources of the Central Government, in particular,
on account of the expenditure on civil administration, defence, internal
and border security, debt-servicing and other committed expenditure
and liabilities;
iii) the resources of the State Governments and the demands on such
resources under different heads, including the impact of debt levels on
resource availability in debt stressed states, for the five years
commencing on 1 April 2015, on the basis of levels of taxation and
non-tax revenues likely to be reached during 2014-15;
iv) the objective of not only balancing the receipts and expenditure on
revenue account of all the States and the Union, but also generating
surpluses for capital investment;
v) the taxation efforts of the Central Government and each State
98 Government and the potential for additional resource mobilisation to
improve the tax-Gross Domestic Product ratio in the case of the Union Major Development on Union
State Relations
and tax-Gross State Domestic Product ratio in the case of the States;
vi) the level of subsidies that are required, having regard to the need for
sustainable and inclusive growth, and equitable sharing of subsidies
between the Central Government and State Governments;
vii) the expenditure on the non-salary component of maintenance and upkeep
of capital assets and the non-wage related maintenance expenditure on
plan schemes to be completed by 31 March, 2015 and the norms on the
basis of which specific amounts are recommended for the maintenance
of the capital assets and the manner of monitoring such expenditure;
viii) the need for insulating the pricing of public utility services like drinking
water, irrigation, power and public transport from policy fluctuations
through statutory provisions;
ix) the need for making the public sector enterprises competitive and market
oriented; listing and disinvestment; and the relinquishing of non-priority
enterprises;
x) the need to balance management of ecology, environment and climate
change consistent with sustainable economic development; and
xi) the impact of the proposed Goods and Services Tax on the finances of
Centre and States and the mechanism for compensation in case of any
revenue loss.
7) In making its recommendations on various matters, the Commission shall
generally take the base of population figures as of 1971 in all cases where
population is a factor for determination of devolution of taxes and duties
and grants-in-aid; however, the Commission may also take into account the
demographic changes that have taken place subsequent to 1971.
8) The Commission may review the present Public Expenditure Management
systems in place including the budgeting and accounting standards and
practices; the existing system of classification of receipts and expenditure;
linking outlays to outputs and outcomes; best practices within the country
and internationally, and make appropriate recommendations thereon.
9) The Commission may review the present arrangements as regards financing
of Disaster Management with reference to the funds constituted under the
Disaster Management Act,2005 (53 of 2005), and make appropriate
recommendations thereon.
10) The Commission shall indicate the basis on which it has arrived at its findings
and make available the State-wise estimates of receipts and expenditure.”
The following additional item was added to the ToR of the Commission vide
President’s Order published under S.O. No. 1424(E) dated 2 June 2014 (Annex
1.2):
“Para 5 A. The Commission shall also take into account the resources available
to the successor or re-organised States on re-organisation of the State of Andhra
Pradesh in accordance with the Andhra Pradesh Re-organisation Act, 2014 (6 of
2014) and the Ministry of Home Affairs notification number S.O. 655 (E) dated
4 March, 2014 and make recommendations, for successor or re-organised States,
on the matters under reference in this notification”.
99
Monetary and Fiscal Policies
APPENDIX 12.2: TOR OF THE 15TH FINANCE
COMMISSION
“4) The Commission shall make recommendations as to the following matters,
namely:—
i) The distribution between the Union and the States of the net proceeds
of taxes which are to be, or may be, divided between them under Chapter
I, Part XII of the Constitution and the allocation between the States of
the respective shares of such proceeds;
ii) The principles which should govern the grants-in-aid of the revenues
of the States out of the Consolidated Fund of India and the sums to be
paid to the States by way of grants-in-aid of their revenues under Article
275 of the Constitution for purposes other than those specified in the
provisos to clause (1) of that article; and
iii) The measures needed to augment the Consolidated Fund of a State to
supplement there sources of the Panchayats and Municipalities in the
State on the basis of the recommendations made by the Finance
Commission of the State.
5) The Commission shall review the current status of the finance, deficit, debt
levels, cash balances and fiscal discipline efforts of the Union and the States,
and recommend a fiscal consolidation roadmap for sound fiscal management,
taking into account the responsibility of the Central Government and State
Governments to adhere to appropriate levels of general and consolidated
government debt and deficit levels, while fostering higher inclusive growth
in the country, guided by the principles of equity, efficiency and transparency.
The Commission may also examine whether revenue deficit grants be
provided at all.
6) While making its recommendations, the Commission shall have regard,
among other considerations, to:
i) The resources of the Central Government and the State Governments
for the five years commencing on 1st April 2020 on the basis of the
levels of tax and the non-tax revenues likely to be reached by 2024-25.
In the context of both tax and non-tax revenues, the Commission will
also take into consideration their potential and fiscal capacity;
ii) The demand on the resources of the Central Government particularly
on account of defence, internal security, infrastructure, railways, climate
change, commitments towards administration of UTs without legislature,
and other committed expenditure and liabilities;
iii) The demand on the resources of the State Governments, particularly on
account of financing socioeconomic development and critical
infrastructure, assets maintenance expenditure, balanced regional
development and impact of the debt and liabilities of their public utilities;
iv) The impact on the fiscal situation of the Union Government of
substantially enhanced tax devolution to States following
recommendations of the 14th Finance Commission, coupled with the
100
continuing imperative of the national development programme including Major Development on Union
State Relations
New India – 2022;
v) The impact of the GST, including payment of compensation for possible
loss of revenues for 5 years, and abolition of a number of cesses,
earmarking thereof for compensation and other structural reforms
programme, on the finances of Centre and States; and
vi) The conditions that GoI may impose on the States while providing
consent under Article 293(3) of the Constitution.
7) The Commission may consider proposing measurable performance-based
incentives for States, at the appropriate level of government, in following
areas:
i) Efforts made by the States in expansion and deepening of tax net under
GST;
ii) Efforts and Progress made in moving towards replacement rate of
population growth;
iii) Achievements in implementation of flagship schemes of Government
of India, disaster resilient infrastructure, sustainable development goals,
and quality of expenditure;
iv) Progress made in increasing capital expenditure, eliminating losses of
power sector, and improving the quality of such expenditure in
generating future income streams;
v) Progress made in increasing tax/non-tax revenues, promoting savings
by adoption of Direct Benefit Transfers and Public Finance Management
System, promoting digital economy and removing layers between the
government and the beneficiaries;
vi) Progress made in promoting ease of doing business by effecting related
policy and regulatory changes and promoting labour intensive growth;
vii) Provision of grants in aid to local bodies for basic services, including
quality human resources, and implementation of performance grant
system in improving delivery of services;
viii) Control or lack of it in incurring expenditure on populist measures; and
ix) Progress made in sanitation, solid waste management and bringing in
behavioural change to end open defecation.
8) The Commission shall use the population data of 2011 while making its
recommendations.
9) The Commission may review the present arrangements on financing Disaster
Management initiatives, with reference to the funds constituted under the
Disaster Management Act, 2005 (53 of 2005), and make appropriate
recommendations thereon.
10) The Commission shall indicate the basis on which it has arrived at its findings
and make available the Statewise estimates of receipts and expenditure.”
101
Monetary and Fiscal Policies Subsequent to the publication of these ToR, a fresh Term of Reference was added
for the consideration of the Commission. The Commission was asked “to examine
whether a separate mechanism for funding of defence and internal security ought
to be set up and if so, how such a mechanism could be operationalised.” Also,
the change in the status of Jammu and Kashmir from a State to a Union Territory
necessitated changes in the 15th FC methodology, since Union Territories are
outside the purview of the Finance Commission.
102
Major Development on Union
State Relations
BLOCK 4
SECTOR SPECIFIC ISSUES
AND POLICIES
103
Sector Specific Issues and
Policies BLOCK 4 SECTOR SPECIFIC ISSUES AND
POLICIES
Unit 14 on Large Scale Industries in India: Issues and Policy covers the issues
and policy related to large scale Industries. The unit examines growth strategy of
heavy industries in terms of their features, legislative support, industrial policy
support, critical issues before industrial sector and the framework for a new
industrial policy.
Unit 15 on ‘Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises: Issues and Policy’ covers
issues and challenges being encountered by MSME sector, the impact of
demonetization and GST on the MSME sector, and the various policy initiatives
taken by the Government.
104
Agriculture: Issues,
UNIT13 AGRICULTURE: ISSUES, Concerns, Policy and
Programmatic Initiatives
CONCERNS, POLICY AND
PROGRAMMATIC INITIATIVES
Structure
13.0 Objectives
13.1 Intoduction: Role and Relevance of Agriculture in the Indian Economy
13.2 Agriculture Production and Productivity after Independence
13.2.1 Trends in Production
13.2.2 Trends in Productivity
13.3 Causes for Stagnation in Agriculture Growth in India
13.3.1 Deceleration in Agriculture Investment
13.3.2 Inadequate Irrigation Coverage and Falling Productivity of Irrigation in Food
grains
13.3.3 Failure to Evolve and Adopt New Technologies
13.3.4 Shrinking Farm Size
13.3.5 Non-availability or Inadequate Credit from Formal Sources
13.3.6 Imbalance in the Use of Fertilizers
13.3.7 Effectiveness of Minimum Support Prices (MSPs)
13.3.8 Inadequate Availability and Access to Quality Seeds
13.3.9 Farm Mechanisation: Major Challenges
13.3.10 Post-harvest Activities-Inadequate Storage Facilities
13.4 Transformation of Indian Agriculture: Strategies for Development (1951-
2002)
13.4.1 Phase I: Traditional Agriculture (1951-1966)
13.4.2 Phase II: Technologically Dynamic Agriculture with New Agriculture Strategy
(NAS):1966 – 2002
13.4.3 Impact of Green Revolution on Production and Yield of Major Crops During
the Entire Planning Period
13.5 Transformation of Indian Agriculture: Strategies for Development (2002-
2014)
13.5.1 Rashtriya Krishi Vikas Yojana (RKVY)
13.5.2 Second Green Resolution
13.6 Transformation of Indian Agriculture through an Umbrella Programme
of Doubling of Farmers’ Income (DFI) from 2015 to 2022
13.6.1 Prime Minister’s Multi-dimensional Seven Points Strategy
13.6.2 Policy Initiatives for Enhancing the Farmers’ Output per Hectare: Improving
Cropping Intensity
13.6.3 Policy Initiatives for Crop Diversification and Enhancing Value Realisation
13.6.4 Policy Initiatives to Ensure Remunerative Price to Farmers for their Produce:
MSP Policy and Procurement
13.6.5 Policy Initiatives to Improve Resource Efficiency/ Reduction in Cost
13.7 Relevance of Non-Agricultural Activities in Doubling of Farmers’ Income
13.8 Let Us Sum Up
13.9 Term-end Exercises 105
Sector Specific Issues and 13.10 Key Words
Policies
13.11 References
13.12 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
13.0 OBJECTIVES
After reading and studying this unit, you will be able to explain:
role and relevance of agriculture sector in the Indian Economy;
trends in agriculture production and productivity both in major food grains
and non-food grains since independence especially after the adoption of
New Agriculture Strategy in mid-1960s;
causes for Stagnation in Agriculture Growth in India especially during
economic reforms regime;
shift in agricultural sector in India from a traditional agriculture in the 1950s
to the modern technologically dynamic high capital-intensive agriculture;
various programmes implemented during the first decade after independence
for increasing the food grains production;
impact of green revolution in terms of attaining self-sufficiency in food grains
and in terms of shrinking incomes of the farmers as well as widespread
environmental implications; and
various policy and strategic initiatives by the Government for doubling of
farmers’ income.
107
Sector Specific Issues and non-food grains category, oilseeds constitute the most important group followed
Policies
by Sugarcane and cotton.
109
Sector Specific Issues and Table-13.2: Yield Per Hectare of Major Crops (Kg per Hectare)
Policies
Crop 1950- 1960- 1970- 1980- 1990- 2000- 2010- 2011- 2012- 2013- 2014- 2015- 2016- 2017- 2018-
51 61 71 81 91 01 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Rice 668 1013 1123 1336 1740 1901 2239 2393 2462 2416 2391 2400 2416 2576 2659
Wheat 655 851 1307 1630 2281 2708 2989 3178 3117 3145 2750 3034 3145 3368 3507
Jowar 353 533 466 660 814 764 949 957 850 957 884 697 957 960 979
Bajra 288 286 622 458 658 688 1079 1171 1198 1184 1255 1132 1184 1231 1242
Maize 547 926 1269 1159 1518 1822 2540 2478 2566 2676 2632 2563 2676 3065 2986
Pulses 441 539 524 473 578 544 691 699 789 764 728 656 764 853 806
Total FGs 552 710 872 1023 1380 1626 1930 2078 2079 2120 2028 2042 2120 2235 2299
Oilseeds* 481 507 579 532 771 810 1193 1133 1168 1168 1075 968 1168 1284 1265
Cotton 88 125 106 152 225 190 499 491 486 510 462 415 510 443 386
Jute 1043 1049 1186 1245 1833 2026 2329 2389 2396 2639 2549 2457 2639 2517 2467
*Include groundnut, rapeseed & mustard, sesamum, linseed, castorseed, nigerseed, safflower, sunflower and soyabean.
Source: Indian Economy, Mishra and Puri, 36th Edition, 2018 and Col 3-7 from Economic Survey, 2000-01 (Statistical Tables,
Table 1.14), Col 7 to 16 from Economic Survey, 2019-20 (Volume II), Statistical Appendices, Table 1.17, and page number A
36.
110
2) Do you agree with the statement that ‘Agriculture has significantly Agriculture: Issues,
Concerns, Policy and
contributed to development of India’? Programmatic Initiatives
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
3) Do you agree with the view that agriculture growth continued to stagnate
even after economic reforms were launched in 1991? Does it imply that
economic reforms have by-passed agriculture?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
20
15
10
0
1990-91
2010-11
2006-07
1974-75
1970-71
1994-95
2002-03
1978-79
1998-99
1986-87
1966-67
1982-83
Figure 13.1: Share of Agriculture and Allied Sectors (per cent) in Gross Capital
Formation since 1966-67
Source: Planning commission of India and Agricultural Statistics at a Glance (2015)
However, since the 1980s, the share has shown a declining trend. There was a
mild recovery during the late 1990s till 2001- 02, and then the share declined
again. Total investment in agriculture as proportion of GDP declined from 9.9
per cent in 1990-91 to just 3.5 per cent in 1999-2000. The share of public
111
Sector Specific Issues and investment in gross capital formation in agriculture has also declined over the
Policies
years, as shown in Table 13.4.
Table 13.4: Share of Public & Private Sector in Capital Formation in Agriculture
and Allied Activities
Sector 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2011-12 2015-16
Private 66.5 58.3 761 81.1 84.9 81.98
Public 33.5 41.7 23.9 18.9 15.1 18.02
Source: National Accounts Statistics and National Accounts Statistics, 2017.
There is a difference in the nature of public and private capital formation and
contribution in the production processes. The former is mainly in the nature of
public goods such as irrigation projects and road networks. These will not be
provided by private capital. Decline in public capital formation is not adequately
compensated by an increase in private investment in agriculture. The most
important cause of decline in public investment in agriculture is the diversion of
resources from investment to current expenditure in the form of subsidies.
Jha and Acharya (2011) examined trends in policies that govern public expenditure
on agricultural and rural development, including expenditure on irrigation and
flood control, in the post-Independence period. Their study classifies this period
into three phases. The first phase, which lasted from the early years after
independence to the late 1960s, saw the Central and State governments paying
greater attention to the development of irrigation. This period was characterised
by large outlays on medium and minor irrigation schemes. In the second phase,
from the early 1970s to the late 1980s, substantial expenditure was incurred on
new water technologies to promote the Green Revolution. The third phase, which
begins with liberalisation of the economy in the 1990s, is characterised by a
substantial reduction in the expenditure on agricultural and rural development.
Table 13.5 shows the decline in the share of outlays on irrigation in GDP over
time from the already low levels of the 1980s.
112
Table 13.5: Allocation to Irrigation Projects as percentage to GDP Agriculture: Issues,
Concerns, Policy and
Year 1981-82 1990-91 1995-96 2000-01 2005-06 2011-12 2013-14 Programmatic Initiatives
The low irrigation cover for various crops has led to severe rainfall dependency.
One finds a high correlation between production and rainfall for pulses and
oilseeds.
Between 2000-01 and 2014-15, India’s total R & E expenditure for agriculture
and allied activities in real terms (2004-05 prices) has increased from Rs. 31.1
billion to Rs. 61.6 billion (a compound annual growth rate of 5 per cent). However,
as a percentage of GDP from agriculture (GDPA), it amount to about 0.54 per
cent in 2014-15.
113
Sector Specific Issues and Table 13.6: Trends in Farm Size Holdings in India (Unit in Million)
Policies
Holding 1970-71 1980-81 1990-91 2000-01 2010-11
Marginal 36 50 83 75 93
Small 13 16 20 23 25
Medium 19 21 22 21 20
Large 3 2 2 1 1
Note: Marginal: up to 1 hectare, Small: 1-2 hectares, Medium: 2-10 hectares, Large: over 10
hectares. Sources: Agriculture Census 2011
80
commercial banks (%)
60
40
20
0
1991
1995
1989
2001
2005
1981
1983
2007
1993
2003
2015
1985
1997
1987
2011
2013
1999
2009
Source: Computed from the Handbook of Statistics, Reserve Bank of India, various years.
114
Agriculture: Issues,
120 Concerns, Policy and
Programmatic Initiatives
100
80
60
40
20
0
1986
1990
2014
2010
2002
2006
1998
1994
50
Priority Sector
40
30
20
Agriculture
10
0
2014
2002
2012
2010
1991
1986
2008
2004
1996
2000
2006
1981
1998
Fig. 13.2C: Shares of Priority Sector and Agriculture in Total Outstanding Credit of
Commercial Banks
Some challenges faced by farm mechanisation include different soil and climatic
zones which require customised farm machinery, and small land holdings with
lack of access to resources. To increase productivity, farm equipment which is
durable, lightweight and low cost and also specific to different crops and regions
should be made available for small and marginal farmers.
In sum, Indian agriculture continues to face challenges, some new and some old,
such as: (i) declining availability/quality of soil, water and other natural resources;
(ii) decreasing size of farm holdings; (iii) inefficient use of inputs and their
increasing costs; (iv) scarce and more costly agriculture labour; (v) drudgery in
farming operations; (vi) growing risks in farming at all its stages from pre-
production to production to marketing; (vii) increasing information gap,
116
knowledge gap and skill gap; (viii) poor access to credit and investments; (ix) Agriculture: Issues,
Concerns, Policy and
slow diffusion of relevant technologies; (x) competitiveness of quality and prices Programmatic Initiatives
in domestic and export markets; (xi) inadequate focus on processing and value
addition; (xii) inadequate rural infrastructure; (xiii) regional imbalances; (xiv)
problems in retaining rural youth in agriculture; (xv) poor access to resources
and services for women in agriculture; (xvi) weak institutional/sub-system
linkages and convergence; and (xvii) extreme events of climate change.
The primary feature of this period was that production of agricultural crops
consistently maintained an upward trend, except for small dips in two years,
1957-58 and 1959-60. Independent India implemented various programmes, listed
below, as part of the effort to increase production and to ensure food security.
Grow More Food Campaign,
Intensive Agricultural Development Programme (1950-51),
Community Development Programme (1952),
National Extension Service (1953), and
Intensive Agricultural District Programme (1960-61)
Neglect of the agricultural sector during the Second Plan, the short war with
China in 1962 and with Pakistan in 1966, the widespread drought in the east
India culminated in a food crisis. In 1965-66, foodgrain production in the country
fell from 83 million tons in 1960-61 to 72 million tons. This led to a serious
crisis in the Indian economy, as the growth in foodgrains production was
inadequate to meet the consumption needs of the growing population and food
imports became essential.
The new agriculture strategy has resulted in increased productivity and returns
for farmers. However, the revolution resulted into increased income with wide
interpersonal and regional inequality and inequitable asset distribution:
Being costly, NAS was adopted by large farmers resulting in interpersonal
inequalities.
NAS was confined to only irrigated areas, resulting in an increase in regional
disparities.
122
White agriculture: system of agriculture based on substantial use of Agriculture: Issues,
Concerns, Policy and
microorganisms, particularly fungi. Programmatic Initiatives
One-straw Revolution: system of natural farming without ploughing,
chemical fertilizers, weeding and chemical pesticides and herbicides.
Promotion for animal husbandry.
Efficient management of water resources.
This could help address the issues of climate change and agriculture and would
further increase the productivity in perpetuity without ecological harm.
Consequently, new agriculture policy of India aims at sustainable agriculture,
which is popularly called ‘second green revolution’ or ‘Evergreen Revolution’.
With almost 54 per cent of the net sown area in the country rain-fed, availability
of irrigation facility will ensure access to some means of protective irrigation for
all agricultural farms in the country. To this effect Pradhan Mantri Krishi
Sinchayee Yojana (PMKSY) has been approved (in July 2015) and formulated
with the vision of extending the coverage of irrigation ‘Har Khet Ko Pani’ and
improving water use efficiency ‘More crop per drop’.
Small and marginal farmers holding (86.3 per cent) with 47.3 per cent cropped
area dominates India’s agriculture. India’s primary failure has been its inability
to capitalise on technology and efficient agricultural practices, which can ensure
surpluses despite small landholdings. Another reason for India’s farmers needing
insurance is that commercialisation of agriculture requires an increase in credit
124
needs, but most small and marginal farmers cannot avail credit from formal Agriculture: Issues,
Concerns, Policy and
institutions due to the massive defaults caused by repeated crop failure. Besides, Programmatic Initiatives
due to climate change higher incidence of extreme weather events aggravates
agrarian distress and if this risk is mitigated, farmers will be motivated to make
investment in agriculture.
In April, 2016, the government of India had launched PMFBY after rolling back
the earlier insurance schemes viz. National Agriculture Insurance Scheme (NAIS),
Weather-based Crop Insurance scheme and Modified National Agricultural
Insurance Scheme (MNAIS). The PMFBY was created to target 50 per cent of
all farmers, with the promise of compensation in case of crop loss.
Minimum support prices acquire value only when they are supplemented by a
robust mechanism of procurement, whenever they are breached in the market on
the negative side. It is opined that the farmers would gain better from a more
robust system of procurement rather than increase in MSPs. The existing
procurement mechanisms by the government are implemented under:
Food Corporation of India (FCI) operations for Central Pool Procurement is
made to meet buffer norms and for meeting targets of the public distribution
system.
Price Support Scheme (PSS) applicable in case of MSP notified crops.
Intervention by GoI whenever market prices fall below MSP.
126
Market Intervention Scheme (MIS): To support commodities, for which Agriculture: Issues,
Concerns, Policy and
MSPs are not notified - fruits/vegetables/other horticulture products. Programmatic Initiatives
Price Stabilisation Fund (PSF): A scheme to protect consumers from rising
prices.
Enhanced MSP (= 1.5 times of Cost of Cultivation-A-2) in Union Budget,
2018 followed by announcement of PM-AASHA for Enforcement
Warehousing
An efficient marketing system alone is not sufficient and cannot guarantee desired
benefits to farmers unless it is supported by an efficient storage system for post-
harvest crops. Warehousing allows farmers to balance their supply to markets
and in the interim, enables them to avail finance to meet their immediate financial
requirements. Warehousing availability, of suitable type and quality, thus makes
it an important component of the agricultural marketing system. Three main
agencies in the public sector engaged in building large scale storage/warehousing
capacity viz., Food Corporation of India (FCI), Central warehousing Corporation
(CWC) and State Warehousing Corporation (SWCs). The government also
supports the private sector and Cooperatives in creating warehousing capacity
under the ‘Agricultural Marketing Infrastructure sub scheme’ (erstwhile rural
godown scheme).
Enhancing nutrient use efficiency will be the key for sustained agricultural
production, lowering of unit cost of cultivation and for raising farm income in
127
Sector Specific Issues and the years to come. SHC Scheme, launched on 19 February, 2015 aims at issuing
Policies
SHC to each one of the 140 million farm holdings at 2-3-year interval on a
continuing basis. The SHC would include analysis of 12 soil parameters viz.,
potential for hydrogen (pH), Emulsifiable Concentrate (EC), Soil Organic (SOC),
available primary nutrients (N, P, K), available secondary nutrient (S), and
available micro-nutrients (Zn, Fe, Cu, Mn, Boron). Based on analyses for these
values, fertilizer and soil amendment recommendations are to be formulated for
three prominent crops each of kharif (monsoon) and rabi (dry) seasons.
In order to improve the quality of farm saved seeds (60-65 per cent), Seed Village
Programme being implemented from year 2005-06 onwards needs to be upgraded
for better monitoring. The targeted 500 number of Seed Processing and Godown
at the Gram Panchayat level by 2022 will strengthen seed production system.
Pest Management
In India, the farmer’s crop yield losses range from 15 to 25 per cent owing to the
presence of weeds, pests, diseases and rodents. The Government enacted
Insecticides Act (I.A.), 1968 regulates import, manufacture, sale, transport,
distribution and use of pesticides so as to prevent risks to human beings, animals
and matters connected therewith. Challenges such as Quality of pesticide,
Optimum application of pesticide, Popularising Integrated Pest Management
(IPM) techniques, Price of generic pesticides and monopolistic practices still
need to be addressed. The problem of excessive pesticide usage can be addressed
through multi-stakeholder participation. In addition to farmers, pesticide producers
and sellers, middleman of vegetable trade and consumers should also be involved
in diagnosis of the problems and designing of approaches.
128
Agriculture Mechanisation Agriculture: Issues,
Concerns, Policy and
Programmatic Initiatives
Agricultural Mechanisation speeds up tasks, and helps bring judicious use of
inputs like seeds, fertilizer and water, contributing to farm productivity, and is,
therefore aid in enhancing farmers’ income. Estimates indicate that agricultural
mechanisation can contribute a cut in cultivation cost by 25 per cent and rise in
productivity by 20 per cent, thereby affecting an increase in farm income, to the
extent of 25-30 per cent.
129
Sector Specific Issues and 4) Examine the problems associated with food grains procurement and their
Policies
storage by the government in India.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
It shows that agricultural households do not depend only on farm income but
they depend on multiple sources for their livelihoods. Thus, both agriculture and
non-agriculture are important for raising income of agricultural households.
According to NSSO SAS Surveys and NABARD Survey, the income of
households was classified according to four sources, viz. agriculture, agricultural
wages, livestock and non-farm income. Further discussion on income of the
farmers earned through sources other than cultivation is beyond the scope of this
unit and therefore needs to be covered separately in the different unit.
130
Check Your Progress 6 Agriculture: Issues,
Concerns, Policy and
1) Briefly discuss the role and relevance of non-agricultural activities in raising Programmatic Initiatives
Despite these successes, challenges remain. Among them, the notable being,
slow pace of structural transformation and low labour productivity, continuing
fragmentation of operational holding, inefficient agro-food supply chains and
retail sector, prevalence of informal channels of credit and the climate change.
Although, Indian agriculture has increasingly become integrated with world
markets, its trade share is still low compared to the share of India’s total
merchandise exports and imports as a per cent of India’s GDP. Environmental
pressures are also starting to loom large. To address these concerns, agricultural
policies in India are designed and implemented by a complex system of
institutions. States have Constitutional responsibility for many aspects of
agriculture, but the Central government plays an important role by developing
national approaches to policy and providing the necessary funds for
implementation at the state level. Throughout the last decades, agricultural policies
have sought to achieve food security, often interpreted in India as self-sufficiency,
while ensuring remunerative prices to producers and safeguarding the interest of
consumers by making supplies available at affordable prices.
131
Sector Specific Issues and
Policies 13.9 TERM-END EXERCISES
1) The need for a Second Green Revolution is being experienced more than
ever before. Do you agree? What are your views with respect to bringing
revolution in the production of nutrition-rich crops like pulses, fruits and
vegetables — which remained untouched in the first Green Revolution?
2) Discuss any two steps taken by the government in the direction of improving
agricultural marketing system in India since independence.
4) Discuss the impact of the Climate change on the Indian Agriculture. What
are the initiatives taken by the Government to mitigate this impact?
5) How farming system play important role in doubling the farmers income?
Also, explain the role of Non-farm income in doubling farmers’ income.
13.10 KEYWORDS
Crop Diversification : Crop diversification refers to the addition of new
crops or cropping systems to agricultural
production on a particular farm taking into
account the different returns from value-added
crops.
13.11 REFERENCES
1) Acharya, S.S. (2016). “Agricultural Price Policy and Development: Some
Facts and Emerging Issues”, in Indian Society of Agricultural Economics
(ed., 2016)
132
2) Aggarwal, N. , S. Jain and Sudha Narayanan (2017). The Long Road to Agriculture: Issues,
Concerns, Policy and
Transformation of Agricultural Markets in India” Economic and Political Programmatic Initiatives
Weekly, Vol.52, No.41
3) Chand, Ramesh (2016). “Doubling Farmers’ Income: Rationale, Strategy,
Prospects and Action Plan”, NITI Policy Paper No.1/2017, NITI Ayog, New
Delhi
4) Gulati, Ashok and Bathla, Seema (2002). Capital formation in Indian
agriculture: Trends, composition and implications for growth. NABARD
Occasional Paper No. 24. Also published in Economic and Political Weekly,
36: 1697-1708.
5) Indian Society of Agricultural Economics (ISAE) (edited 2016), “Indian
Agricultural Economy under Liberalised Regime: 1991 to 2015”, Academic
Foundation, Delhi
6) Mishra SK and Puri VN, Indian Economy, 36th Edition, 2018, Himalayan
Publishing House, New Delhi
7) Shantanu De Roy(2017). “Economic Reforms and Agricultural Growth in
India”, Economic and Political Weekly, Vol LII no 9, March 4, 2017.
133
Sector Specific Issues and Check Your Progress 5
Policies
1) Read Sub-section 13.6.3 and answer
2) Read Section 13.6 and answer
3) Read Sub-section 13.6.4 and answer
4) Read Sub-section 13.6.5 and answer
Check Your Progress 6
1) Read Section 13.7 and answer
134
Agriculture: Issues,
UNIT 14 LARGE SCALE INDUSTRIES IN Concerns, Policy and
Programmatic Initiatives
INDIA: ISSUES AND POLICY
Structure
14.0 Objectives
14.1 Introduction
14.2 Industrialisation and Economic Development
14.2.1 What is Industrialisation?
14.2.2 Case for Industrialisation
14.3 Growth Strategy in India
14.3.1 Evolution of Strategy in India’s Plans
14.3.2 Essential Features of Heavy Industries
14.3.3 Policy Support to Strategy
14.3.4 Industrial Policy in India
14.3.5 Legislative Support to Strategy
14.4 Review of Industrial Licensing in India
14.4.1 Phase of Liberalisation
14.4.2 Recent Policy Initiatives Impacting Industrial Growth
14.5 Critical Issues before Industrial Sector
14.5.1 Industiral Sickness
14.5.2 Technological Obsolescence and Modernisation
14.5.3 Productivity in Indian Industry
14.6 Approach to a New Industrial Policy
14.7 Let Us Sum Up
14.8 Term-End Exercises
14.9 Key Words
14.10 References
14.11 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
14.0 OBJECTIVES
After studying this unit, you will be able to:
discuss the relevance of industrialisation in the process of growth and
development of an economy;
appreciate the basic contours of growth strategy pursued in India in the
context of Heavy industrialisation;
identify the role of the state in formulating and operating the industrial policy
in India;
review the relevance of industrial licensing in India and the subsequent phase
of liberalisation;
outline the critical issues facing the industrial sector in India; and
get insights into the approach to the new industrial policy in India.
135
Sector Specific Issues and
Policies 14.1 INTRODUCTION
As stated elsewhere in this unit, “fast economic development everywhere has
been made possible essentially due to rapid industrialisation.” Industrialisation,
indeed, holds the key to rapid economic growth, as productivity levels in industry
are much higher than in agriculture. Moreover, industrialisation is regarded as
an important policy to affect fundamental economic and social changes in under-
developed countries which are considered as necessary conditions to raise their
growth potentials. No wonder, fast industrialisation as the developmental goal
has a universal appeal, notwithstanding the fact that industrialisation may give
rise to problems like pollution, premature exhaustion of raw materials,
unemployment, and inequalities in income distribution. India has been no
exception to this universal urge. The present unit involves discussion about the
Indian industrial sector with respect to its relevance for the Indian economy’s
growth and development; the strategies and policies initiated to serve this sector;
the issues faced by this sector; and the approach that could be adopted for setting
up the new industrial policy.
1) Labour Productivity
The productivity in the industrial sector is generally higher due to one or
more of the following reasons:
i) existence of greater capital intensity,
ii) continuity of production,
iii) greater specialisation and division of labour,
iv) less dependence on natural factors,
v) a greater possibility of internal-external economies in the manufacturing
sector.
2) Employment Generation
Industrial activity expansion create more employment opportunities, thus
attracting labour from less productive occupations. This process adds to the
national output as also to the purchasing power and aggregate consumption
expenditure which in turn pulls the aggregate demand upwards and is
instrumental in creating more employment opportunities.
3) Mobilisation of Surplus
A major constraint on development in a developing economy is the lack of
adequate resources to finance the process of capital accumulation.
Inadequacy of resources is the result of two inter-related factors: (a) the
absolute size of resources, national output and saving in a developing
economy is low, and (b) it is not possible to mobilise the surpluses. The
problem of inadequacy of resources is common to all the sectors of the
economy, while the problem of mobilisation of resources is peculiar in the
agricultural sector. The task of mobilisation of surplus savings in this sector
is rendered difficult by the fact that there is no suitable institutional set-up
for this purpose. Such a set-up can more easily be provided in the industrial
sector of the economy. Thus, by concentrating resources on industrialisation
the pace of economic development can be quickened.
The essential feature of the strategy was to allocate a given volume of investible
resources in the capital goods producing industries which would yield a relatively
large volume of investment goods and therefore support growth with
transformation of the economy, in comparison to allocation tilted in favour of
consumer goods industries. Hence, the strategy to be driven by the increased
production of heavy engineering or capital goods in the short run required a
higher allocation of investible resources to the capital goods sector. Such a strategy
would lead to lower levels of consumption in the short run, but would yield a
relatively high growth and consumption in the medium to long run. In contrast to
this, an alternative model of development was developed by Vakil and
Brahmananda which laid stress on wage goods or what they called liquid capital
in determining the growth of employment and income. Their model propounded
a strategy of development which accorded the highest priority to wage goods
industries, especially agriculture in allocation of investment resources. However,
policy choice was exercised in favour of the former model.
IPR 1956
A number of important developments had taken place in India since adoption of
the IPR, 1948. These necessitated a fresh statement on industrial policy. Among
these developments the more important were as follows:
i) New Constitution of India which guaranteed certain Fundamental Rights
and provided for Directive Principles of State Policy.
ii) Completion of the First Five-Year Plan and the commencement of the Second
Plan; and
iii) Acceptance by Parliament of the socialist pattern of society as the objective
of social and economic policy.
The industrial policy, as other policies, was, therefore, to be governed by these
principles and directions. The IPR, 1956, has been known as the ‘Economic
Constitution’ of India. The Resolution put emphasis on:
i) The development of heavy and machine-building industries;
ii) the expansion of the public sector;
iii) the establishment of a large and growing co-operative sector; and
iv) encouragement to the diffusion of ownership and management in the private
sector.
139
Sector Specific Issues and
Policies
14.3.5 Legislative Support to Strategy
The system of industrial licensing was adopted in India to give effect to the IPR,
1948. The legislative framework of industrial licensing is embodied in three
different Acts passed at different times.
1) Objectives The chief objective of the Act, as its title suggests, is the
development and regulation of Indian industries in a manner befitting a
socialistic society, and other related social, economic or political
considerations.
2) Provisions The Act made the registration of all industrial units in the
scheduled industries compulsory and enjoin upon the owners thereof to obtain
a certificate of registration within a prescribed period. It also required the
new industrial units to be established only after obtaining a licence from the
Central Government. A licence from the Government was required for any
of the following purposes:
a) starting of a new industrial unit,
b) a substantial expansion of the existing unit,
c) the manufacture of a new ‘article’, and
d) shifting the location of an industrial unit.
3) Scope The Act in its original form applied to industries included in the first
schedule to the Act. This schedule covered a number of industries like
metallurgical, industrial machinery, transportation, fertilizers, textiles,
cement, defence, etc.
140
C) Foreign Exchange Regulation Large Scale Industries in
India: Issues and Policy
The Foreign Exchange Regulation Act, 1973 (FERA, 1973)– often described as
the economic canvas of the country– had its origin in the Foreign Exchange
Regulation Act, 1947 (FERA, 1947).
The FERA, 1973 was formulated in the background of a highly restrictive and
centrally controlled industrial policy regime. The subsequent amendment to the
FERA in 1993 substantially diluted its regulatory provisions and brought it in
line with the new liberalised industrial, trade and exchange rate policies. The
FERA has since been repealed and replaced by FEMA.
D) Other Controls
4) Commodity Control
Commodity control in India is exercised under the provisions of various
Acts enacted by the Government. The first in the list is the Essential
Commodities Act, 1955, which empowers the Central Government to control,
regulate or prohibit the production, distribution, transport, trade,
consumption, or storage of a large number of commodities, to prescribe
their prices and even to take over stocks on conditions that it set. Besides,
there are several enactments to control various specific commodities like
coffee, coir, tea, rubber, sugar, etc.
To top all these controls is the Companies Act, which, in its present
incarnation, has 658 sections and hundreds of sub-sections, clauses, sub-
clauses and amendments governing every aspect of the running of a company,
from audits and printing of annual reports, to remuneration of directors, and
investments and mergers.
It was becoming increasingly clear that the industrial policy would have to be
taken out of the “convoluted cobweb” in which it had got landed, system of
controls would have to be gradually given up and the industrial economy
liberalised, so as to enable it to breathe some fresh air.
The process of liberalisation got a fillip with the announcement of the New
Industrial Policy (NIP) in July 1991, and entered a new phase of what has been
described as ‘reform by storm’ that supplants ‘reform by stealth’ of the last half
of the 1970s, and ‘reform with reluctance’ during the second half of the 1980s.
As already stated earlier the NIP has made a bonfire of the industrial licensing
system by throwing out various provisions. There has also been some move
away from extensive physical controls and an increase in the role of financial
incentives in channelling investments in the desired areas. This, plus the lowering
of the tax rates combined with better administration of the revenue-collecting
system, helped in attracting investments and boosting economic activity which
had strayed away from the mainstream. The role of the financial institutions for
their intermediation functions become very important in the new regime.
1) Foreign Investment
iii) The Foreign Investment Promotion Board has been constituted to negotiate
with a number of large international firms and approve direct foreign
investment in select areas.
143
Sector Specific Issues and 2) Foreign Technology Agreements
Policies
i) Automatic permission is to be given for foreign technology agreements in
identified high priority industries up to a lumpsum payment of $ 2 million,
5 per cent royalty for domestic sales and 8 per cent for exports, subject to
total payments of 8 per cent of sales over a 10-year period from date of
agreement or 7 years from commencement of production.
ii) In respect of industries other than those included above, automatic permission
is to be given subject to the same guidelines as if no foreign exchange is
required for any payments.
3) Public Sector
b) Public enterprises which are chronically sick and which are unlikely to be
turned around will, for the formulation of revival/rehabilitation schemes,
are to be referred to the Board of Industrial and Financial Reconstruction.
4) MRTP Act
a) The MRTP Act has been amended to remove the threshold limits of assets in
respect of MRTP Companies and dominant undertakings.
DIN (Director Identification Number) has been issued to all the directors of
all the companies under a surveillance system. The system will give the
government instant access to the details and nature of employment relevant
to company law requirements and antecedents which are crucial to investor
protection.
Positive Effects
India has woken up to the liberating influence of what Joseph Schumpeter called
“creative destruction”– the death of the outdated at the hands of the modern. The
following can be identified as some of the positive effects:
3) Over the last two decades, Indian manufacturing companies have emerged
on a par with the best in the world from the quality perspective. This has
happened because Indian manufacturing has adopted world-class practices
in manufacturing management by educating their employees, both managers
and shop-floor staff with the help of global teachers, mainly Japanese, who
have brought in the best manufacturing management techniques.
4) India’s share in world market capitalisation is now more aligned with its
share in global GDP.
145
Sector Specific Issues and 5) Economic reforms have created an environment conducive for low-cost
Policies
innovation. This, combined with increasing pressures for inclusiveness, will
contribute to creating an income-pyramid that will develop a bulge in the
middle– faster than earlier forecast. That is creating a huge mass market for
goods and services at a price that is affordable for this segment.
6) Indian business has emerged leaner, more efficient in terms of process, quality
and financing, and becoming competitive on a global scale. Indian companies
today are expanding operations in overseas markets through both organic
and inorganic means. There is a sense of optimism, and the ability to think
big and execute large plans. In addition, companies have developed the
ability to quickly respond to changes in market conditions. For example, in
response to the recent global economic slowdown, they aggressively reduced
their inventories, realigned production levels, and cut costs to rebase to the
new cost price-demand equation.
8) Trade unions and workers have responded positively to the economic reforms.
Their open-minded approach towards adoption of new technologies and
productivity linked wage agreements would go a long way in consolidating
the future of Indian industry.
10) The restructuring process of the corporate sector has gained momentum
with foreign collaborators seeking to enhance equity in the Indian ventures,
to gain a foothold in the management. The money comes in with strings
attached: board membership, due diligence and even some operational
oversight.
In short, liberalisation has opened up a new era which stresses the importance of
both economies of scale and quality of products; these hold the embryo of higher
productivity and competitiveness both in the home market and the export markets,
only if the Indian industry responds positively to the challenge thrown to it.
Negative Effects
From a force that unleashed India’s creative energies, markets are increasingly
seen as an institution that seems emblematic of homo homini lupus – man is
wolf to another man - and capitalism’s genius of “creative destruction” appears
in popular discourse as a force that is more destructive and less creative.
New Game-Changers
Indian investors tracking basic industries had a relatively easier task till now.
They had to keep one eye on the macroeconomy and assess the interplay of
factors such as demand-supply, raw material cost and availability, and the landed
cost of imports. These factors can be tracked since they are tangible and
measurable.
Government Policy has now emerged as a new and significant factor on the
horizon, one which is intangible and, hence, not easily measured. Environmental
policy and regulations at the central and state levels are affecting business. The
key players are the government itself, regulators (such as pollution control boards)
and courts.
Start-up India
Start-up India is a flagship initiative of the Government of India, intended to
build a strong eco-system for nurturing innovation and Start-ups in the country
that will drive sustainable economic growth and generate large scale employment
opportunities. The Government through this initiative aims to empower Start-
ups to grow through innovation and design.
148
Definition of Sickness Large Scale Industries in
India: Issues and Policy
The definition of sickness has undergone changes over the years. The latest
definition of sick units is such that the related default of the loan amount is
enough to categorise it as a sick unit. Technically speaking, the loan account of
the unit has to become a non-performing asset (NPA).
Causes of Sickness
The important causes of industrial sickness can be classified as: (1) external
causes, and (2) internal causes.
External Causes
i) High costs of manufacture coupled with a low realisation of sales revenue.
High costs may be due to inflated prices of inputs. A low sales revenue may
be accounted for by lack of control over prices of output.
ii) Non-availability of raw materials, regularly and smoothly, or availability at
high prices.
iii) A lack of regular supply of inputs such as power and transport bottlenecks.
iv) A general recessionary trend in the economy affecting the overall
performance of industrial units. This will be reflected in a downward sloping
demand curve or lack of demand altogether, particularly for industries which
have a derived demand.
v) Fiscal imposts such as excise duties, import duties, etc. These more generally
undermine the profit margins.
Internal Causes
i) An improper demand estimation for the products to be sold. Normally, only
industry-wise demand estimations are made without ascertaining the
particular factors which account for a specific demand for a particular unit’s
production.
ii) An improper choice of technology, unsuitability of product mix, or single
product technology, wrong location of industry, non-flexibility of fixed assets,
mainly machinery, for possible use in the diversified manufacturing set-up.
iii) A defective capital structure specially on account of delayed constructions
and operations, resulting in cost overruns and larger borrowings. Moreover,
an inability to raise adequate financial resources to with-stand operational
losses and bear their impact, in the initial stages, due to a poor equity base,
will appear to be a severe constraint.
iv) A growing shortage of working capital, as the units go into operation, due to
a shortage of raw materials, and high prices, poor debtors’ collection,
inadequate inventory management, etc. are serious constraints.
v) Managerial ineffectiveness, poor control and absence of control on such
key areas of operations as finance, inventory and marketing.
Of all the factors mentioned above, it is the mismanagement1 that has been the
most important cause of sickness.
1
Until recently, under what Raj Krishna called the dharmshala model (a shelter for the pious
poor), government guaranteed capital against failure by taking over sick industries. 149
Sector Specific Issues and Government Policy
Policies
The Government in co-operation with the RBI have instituted arrangements for
monitoring sickness of industrial units so that corrective action is taken in time.
The legislative and institutional framework for dealing with industrial sickness
is contained in the Sick Industrial Companies Act, (SICA) 1985 that provided
for the setting up of the Board for Industrial and Financial Reconstruction (BIFR).
Rehabilitation
The rehabilitation programme involves the following major issues which have
to be sorted out after it is decided that a sick unit is viable and should be
rehabilitated: (a) Change of management, (b) Development of a suitable
management information system, (c) A settlement with the creditors for payment
of their dues in a phased manner, taking into account the expected cash generation
as per viability study, (d) Determination of the sources of additional funds needed
to refinance, (e) Modernisation of plant and equipment or expansion of an existing
programme or even diversification of the products being manufactured, (f)
Concession or reliefs or assistance to be allowed by the state level corporation,
financial institutions and Central Government.
Suggested Measures
To put the modernisation programme through, certain policy modifications will
be required. These can be classified in two categories: (a) those required to meet
immediate needs, and (b) those over time.
Among the first is the need to make available more and cheaper funds through
the financial institutions. Viability of an enterprise has a be the primary and the
most important criterion for lending these funds. There should not be insistence
on any specific debt-equity ratio or promoter’s contribution. Similarly, investment
allowance and excise rebate on production could be granted.
For future needs, following steps can be suggested:
i) Units may be allowed to set aside a percentage of profits and depreciation
towards modernisation reserves. This presumes that units have adequate
profits.
ii) In computing the cost of production for fixing prices, modernisation
requirement must be taken into account.
iii) For purposes of taxation, units may be allowed to carry back losses against
profits of the previous three years.
iv) The import policy for capital goods may be modified. The possibility of
tying up modernisation with export production can also be considered.
v) Developments in technology are taking place across the globe. Government
and industry must work together to complete the programme within the
shortest possible time.
Here, output stands for a weighted sum of various products, whereas input stands
for a weighted sum of various inputs. So defined, the concept of productivity
refers to the total factor productivity, rather than the partial measures of
productivity like labour productivity (i.e., output per unit of labour); and capital
productivity (i.e., output per unit of capital). The partial productivity indices are
dominantly influenced by the process of capital deepening (or increasing capital-
labour ratio) which is normally associated with the process of capital
accumulation. It is, therefore, necessary to go beyond the partial factor
productivities to analyse the total factor productivity growth (TFPG).
Importance of Productivity
For a country like India, with a multiplicity of socio-economic demands on its
capital, how the limited resources are utilised assumes importance. While
substantial improvements in production process can be a precondition for
economic transformation, it is only the productivity of investments undertaken
which yields further re-investible resources. These generate surpluses, which
then motivate entrepreneurs toward undertaking further industrial activity. 151
Sector Specific Issues and Secondly, productivity growth also comes in handy in an attempt to enhance the
Policies
competitiveness of a country’s exports. Productivity growth lowers labour costs
and thus, ceteris paribus, the international price of the good concerned.
Thirdly, TFP is now accepted as the main contributing factor of economic growth.
The central idea is that due to the law of diminishing returns, increased use of
inputs simply fails to yield increased output in the long run. Sustained output
growth requires not so much the dollops of capital as technological sophistication,
managerial innovativeness and shop floor acumen.
Although other general measures on labour, land and infrastructure could improve
total factor productivity somewhat, sector-specific factors are required to be
analysed for taking necessary policy measures to take productivity growth in
manufacturing to a higher level.
1) India has the potential to diversify its strengths in the field of information
technology. It is not just the largest software service provider, but can provide
products and solutions and also become the ‘Digital factory of the world’,
by becoming the vanguard of digital revolution. Despite foreign investments
being received in the country over the last three decades, transfer of
technology has largely remained at assembly level. Component
manufacturing design and R&D activities have to be strengthened.
14.10 REFERENCES
1) I.C. Dhingra, (2021) The Indian Economy, Environment and Policy, Sultan
Chand & Sons, New Delhi.
2) Vijay Kelkar and Ajay Shah, (2019) In Service of the Republic, Penguin
India.
157
Sector Specific Issues and
Policies UNIT 15 MICRO, SMALL AND MEDIUM
ENTERPRISES (MSMEs): ISSUES
AND POLICY
Structure
15.0 Objectives
15.1 Introduction
15.2 What are Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs)?
15.3 Significance of MSMEs in the Indian Economy
15.3.1 Contribution of MSMEs in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
15.3.2 Employment in the MSME Sector
15.3.3 Comparison of MSME Export to Total Exports
15.4 Comparison of the MSME Sector with the Overall Industrial Sector
15.5 Issues and Challenges Faced by the MSME Sector
15.5.1 Impact of Demonetisation and GST on the MSME Sector
15.5.2 Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the MSME Sector
15.6 Policy Initiatives by the Government
15.6.1 Legislation and Institutional Support System
15.6.2 Formalisation of MSMEs
15.7 Let Us Sum Up
15.8 Key Words
15.9 References
15.10 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
15.0 OBJECTIVES
After reading and studying this unit, you will be able to:
define Micro Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs);
discuss the significance of MSMEs in the Indian Economy;
evaluate the performance of the Indian MSME sector in terms of contribution
to GDP and employment share;
compare the performance of the MSME sector with that of the overall
industrial sector;
identify the issues and challenges faced by this sector; and
outline the policy framework for the MSME sector.
15.1 INTRODUCTION
Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise (MSME) sector has emerged as a significant
sector of the Indian economy, contributing remarkably to employment generation,
entrepreneurship, innovation, exports, and inclusive growth of the economy.
158
Likewise, the sector has been regarded as the engine of growth worldwide, in Micro, Small and Medium
Enterprises (MSMEs): Issues
both, the developing as well as the developed countries. and Policy
As per the WTO, Micro, small and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) are the
backbone of many economies, representing 95 per cent of all companies
worldwide and accounting for 60 per cent of employment. Many MSMEs depend
on international trade for their activities, either because they export their products
through direct or indirect channels, or because they import inputs to manufacture
the products that they sell domestically. They are major employers of women
and young people, and a key driver of innovation. Nevertheless, the sector is not
able to contribute to its potential due to some issues faced by MSMEs.
These issues can be classified as being external and internal. External issues are
caused due to macro environmental factors– economic and political– that are
beyond the control of the enterprises, for example regulatory barriers, access to
finance, corruption, competition, lack of skilled labour, changing global economic
scenario, etc. Internal issues are related to factors that are within the enterprise
domain, for example, lack of managerial competence and appropriate technology,
ineffective marketing and distribution techniques, etc. In response to these issues,
from time to time, government has been coming up with various policies to assist
the MSME sector in various ways including, enterprise and skill development,
technological up gradation, access to finance, cluster development, marketing
assistance, etc.
However, several issues continue to persist, more in some areas than others. It is
imperative to realise the importance of MSMEs, recognise the factors hindering
their growth and address through appropriate policies. This unit seeks to do just
that. It begins with defining the MSME sector, which is followed by a discussion
on the significance of the MSME sector in the Indian Economy. Subsequent
sections will involve evaluating the performance of the Indian MSME sector in
terms of its contribution to GDP and employment and comparing the performance
of the MSME sector with that of the overall industrial sector. The unit also carries
a section identifying the issues and challenges faced by the MSME sector,
followed by a section outlining the policy framework for the sector.
159
Sector Specific Issues and Table 15.1:Definition of the MSME sector as per the World Bank
Policies
Medium <300 <USD 15 Million <USD 15 Million
<INR 750 Million <INR 750 Million
Small <50 <USD 3 Million <USD 3 Million
<INR 150 Million <INR 150 Million
Macro <10 <USD 10, 000 <USD 10,000
<INR 500, 000 <INR 500,000
Proposed Definition
Government of India has proposed to classify MSMEs based on turnover as
mentioned below:
i) A micro enterprise will be defined as a unit where the annual turnover does
not exceed five crore rupees;
ii) A small enterprise will be defined as a unit where the annual turnover is
more than five crore rupees but does not exceed seventy-five crore rupees;
iii) A medium enterprise will be defined as a unit where the annual turnover is
more than seventy-five crore rupees but does not exceed two hundred and
fifty crore rupees.
The MSME sector accounts for about 95 per cent of the industrial units, 45 per
cent of manufacturing output, and 40 per cent of total exports of the country. The
sector has shown impressive growth in terms of parameters like number of units,
production, employment, exports in the economy. The sector has been performing
appreciably better than the overall rate of GDP(average 8 per cent growth per
annum) and the overall industrial output (measured by Index of Industrial
Production-IIP). As per a press release by Press Information Bureau of a
“Roadmap for Growth of MSMEs” in August 2019, currently MSME contributes
29 per cent to the country’s GDP and the government intends to take this to 50
per cent in the next 5 years. The sector gives employment to about 11 crore
people currently, which the Ministry of MSME intends to take to 15 crore in the
next 5 years. To achieve this, the Ministry has underlined the need to create new
channels for funding, making the sector investor-friendly, bringing in
technological innovations, and reducing logistics cost to make MSME products
competitive, providing adequate skilling and market support. There is scope for
diversification in the MSME sector. Honey production, bamboo, bio-fuel
production, fisheries, dairy, Agarbatti making, hydroponics, water transport like
Ro-Ro, Ro-Pax, e-transport, mechanised fishing trawlers etc. are some of the
new areas for ventures. Also, since MSMEs are less capital intensive, more
employment-friendly, have easier access to raw materials, subsidies and other
incentives under cluster programmes, there is huge potential for the sector to
162 Financial Intermediation Services Indirectly Measured
1
grow as ancillary industries to unleash greater industrial growth. Development Micro, Small and Medium
Enterprises (MSMEs): Issues
of the sector is therefore extremely important as it holds the key to inclusive and Policy
growth and plays a pivotal role in holistic development of the country.
As per the MSME Annual report 2019-20, the state of Uttar Pradesh had the
largest estimated number of MSMEs with a share of 14.20 per cent of MSMEs in
the country. West Bengal comes a close second with a share of 14 per cent The
top ten States together accounted for a share of 74 per cent of the total estimated
number of MSMEs in the country.
The MSME sector has the potential to emerge as the backbone of Indian economy
and to continue as an engine of growth provided policy environment– that
addresses issues in the areas like entrepreneurial skill development, financial
resources, human resources, technology and innovations, international market
linkages and bilateral trade agreements, and infrastructural support..
As per the National Sample Survey (NSS) 73rd round conducted during the period
2015-16, MSME sector has been creating 111 million jobs in the rural and the
urban areas across the country. Micro sector enterprises provided employment
to 107.7 million persons that in turn accounts for around 97 per cent of total
employment in the sector. For the Small and the Medium sectors, the employment
shares were around 2.88 per cent and 0.16 per cent, respectively. As far as the
employment in the MSME sector based on broad activity category-wise is
concerned, the respective sharesare given in the following Table 15.4:
Table 15.4: Estimated Employment in MSME sector
(Broad Activity Category Wise)
Broad Activity Employment (in Lakh) Share (%)
Category Rural Urban Total
Manufacturing 186.56 173.86 360.41 32
Trade 160.64 226.54 387.18 35
Other Services 150.53 211.69 362.22 33
Electricity* 0.06 0.02 0.07 0
All 497.78 612.10 1109.89 100
As can be seen from Figure 15.1, MSME exports grew by 4.19 per cent in 2014-
15, which declined to –5.85 per cent in 2015-16. During the same period total
exports also declined from –1.29 per cent to –15.49 per cent. During 2016-17
and 2017-18 there was positive growth in case of both MSME exports and total
exports.
The MSME sector has in many years registered a higher growth rate than the
overall growth of industrial sector. During, the period 2000 to 2006, India
witnessed industrial growth in the range of 5-8 per cent annually. Subsequently,
it recorded double digit growth for 4-5 years, before slowing down to around 6
per cent growth during 2015-2016. The MSME sector improved its growth
performance during 2003 –2009 and recorded a growth of over 10 per cent during
2008-09. Introduction of MSMED Act, 2006 apparently played a role here.
However, post 2008 global financial crisis, MSME growth fell sharply and
hovered around 4-7 per cent.
166
vi) Dilatory and Cumbersome Regulatory Practices Micro, Small and Medium
Enterprises (MSMEs): Issues
The MSME sector suffers from the cumbersome and dilatory regulatory and Policy
practices relating to sanction and disbursement of loans from banks, collateral
securities/guarantees, for construction permits, resolving insolvency and
taxation, etc. Absence of a common regulatory body and inadequate
provisions for start-ups affect the growth of such enterprises. Non-adherence
to RBI guidelines regarding revival/rehabilitation of seek enterprises by the
Banks is another such constraint that needs to be addressed.
This calls for the need for strategic intervention to improve coordination
and linkages between various stakeholders including the Government,
industries and other agencies/associations working in this field.
The structural reforms might have disrupted the performance of MSMEs in the
short run. Nevertheless, Demonetisation and GST are expected to be positive in
the long run with growth in digitisation, enhanced ease of doing business and
creation of database of transactions which would facilitate better access to finance
and improve the medium- and long-term growth prospects of the sector.
Furthermore, the sudden collapse of trade during the lockdown time affected the
MSME sector. India’s top exports including labour intensive products starting
from gems and jewellery to garments/apparel or sea food are mainly supplied by
MSME sector. Similarly, the lockdown affected the imports of raw materials and
intermediates which disrupted the supply chain of MSME sector. MSMEs
presence in remote areas also faced lots of difficulties due to interrupted supply
167
Sector Specific Issues and chain systems and intrastate lockdown provisions. However, enterprises working
Policies
in essential commodity business were better off in terms of interrupted but
predictable cash flows. Some enterprises innovated their ways by shifting focus
from non-essential commodities towards essential commodities; like production
of hand sanitizer and toiletries, PPE kits, reusable masks, etc. and were able to
survive in tough times. The pandemic time has also enhanced digitisation of the
MSME sector, with most businesses going digital by either starting a website or
expanding their offering on to e-commerce.
headed by the Minister for MSME. The role of the Board is to examine the
factors affecting the promotion and development of MSMEs, review the
policies and programmes of the Central Government and make
recommendations to facilitate their promotion and development and enhance
their competitiveness.
It provides the legal framework for recognition of the concept of “enterprise”
which comprises both manufacturing and service entities. It defines medium
enterprises for the first time and seeks to integrate the three tiers of these
enterprises, namely, Micro, Small and Medium.
It empowers the Central Government to undertake programmes and issue
guidelines and instructions to develop and enhance the competitiveness of
MSMEs.
On 9 May 2007, the erstwhile Ministry of Small Scale Industries and the Ministry
of Agro and Rural Industries were merged to form the Ministry of Micro, Small
and Medium Enterprises (M/o MSME). This Ministry is responsible for designing
policies, promoting/ facilitating programmes/ projects/schemes and monitoring
their implementation, with a view to assist MSMEs and helping them to scale
up. The Ministry runs various schemes aimed at financial assistance, technology
assistance and up-gradation, infrastructure development, skill development and
training, enhancing competitiveness and market assistance of MSMEs.
A number of statutory and non-statutory bodies work under the aegis of the
Ministry of MSME. These include the Khadi and Village Industries Commission
(KVIC) and the Coir Board besides National Small Industries Corporation (NSIC),
National Institute for Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (NIMSME) and
Mahatma Gandhi Institute for Rural Industrialisation (MGIRI). The M/o MSME
envisions a progressive MSME sector by promoting growth and development of
the sector, including Khadi, Village and Coir Industries, in cooperation with
concerned Ministries/Departments, State Governments and other Stakeholders,
through providing support to existing enterprises, adopting cutting-edge
technologies and encouraging creation of new enterprises.
Some of the major policy initiatives introduced by the Government of India for
support and promotion of micro, small and medium enterprises in the country
include; establishment of Small Industries Development Bank of India (SIDBI)
in 1990 for promotion and financing of the MSME sector, Credit Guarantee
Fund Trust of Micro and Small Enterprises (CGTMSE) was launched in 2000 to
offer credit facilities to eligible borrowers and the Prime Minister’s Employment
Generation Programme (PMEGP) in 2008 to generate employment opportunities
in rural and urban areas through new self-employment ventures / projects / micro
enterprises.
169
Sector Specific Issues and
Policies
15.6.2 Formalisation of MSMEs
As per 73rd round of National Sample Survey (NSS), there are 63.39 million
MSMEs in the country. However, a large number of MSMEs exist in the informal
sector and are not registered with any statutory authority. Reasons for lack of
registration are many and varied. For nano/household type of enterprises, not
obtaining registration is an escape from official machinery, paperwork, costs
and rent seeking. For them, it is perhaps “the art of not being governed”.
Registration offers them little by way of tangible benefits. There are other MSMEs
who, upon reaching a minimum size seek legitimacy and acknowledgement of
their existence to seek benefits or credit for instance, but they too struggle.
The registration process of MSMEs was radically simplified with the introduction
of Udyog Aadhaar, with effect from September 18, 2015. It is an Aadhaar based
electronic platform and requires a few basic entries including PAN details.
Registration certificate is also issued electronically. In terms of coverage, 68.89
lakh MSMEs (as on June 12, 2019) have registered through this system. Udyog
Aadhaar has facilitated registration of MSMEs in a user-friendly way. While
Udyog Aadhaar offers a simple mode of registration, it is usually not enough.
Often, more is needed e.g., Shops and Establishments, PAN, GST, etc.
The Government and RBI have taken several initiatives and measures to address
the issues faced by MSMEs. However, the sector remains informal and vulnerable
to structural and cyclical shocks, at times with persistent outcomes. Further, an
increasingly globalised world, marked by competition and innovation is posing
newer and varied challenges to the MSMEs. The increasing stress in the sector is
a matter of concern and therefore, it was felt imperative that a comprehensive
review should be undertaken of the entire MSME ecosystem along with global
best practices for suggesting measures for a holistic development of the sector.
For this, an all-inclusive approach is necessary to be adopted with special focus
on appropriate policy and institutional interventions, accelerating incubation and
enabling formalisation.
Besides this, the sector has been registering a higher growth rate than the overall
growth of industrial sector in most of the years. Despite the significant
contributions of the MSME sector, the sector continues to face certain constraints
including financial/credit crunch, non-availability of suitable technology,
ineffective marketing strategy, non-availability of skilled labour, etc. Over the
years, the government has been taking initiatives to create an enabling ecosystem
where these enterprises are able to access the benefits meant for themselves
under a formal and friendly ecosystem and are further capable of meeting the
emerging challenges of a globally competitive order. A few among them are:
enactment of the MSMED Act, 2006, creating the Ministry of MSME, providing
incentives to formalise the MSME sector, etc.
Nevertheless, considering the extent to which the prevalent issues impact the
MSME sector, it is essential that an all-inclusive approach is adopted with special
172
focus on appropriate policy and institutional interventions, accelerating incubation Micro, Small and Medium
Enterprises (MSMEs): Issues
and enabling formalisation, addressing infrastructural bottlenecks, facilitating and Policy
capacity building, enabling access to risk capital, credit and technological
interventions for improving underwriting standards and delivery, supporting
market linkage and tie-up with public procurement platforms, etc.
173
Sector Specific Issues and
Policies 15.9 REFERENCES
1) The World Trade Organisation. (September, 2020).Helping MSMEs Navigate
the Covid-19 Crisis. Available at https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/
covid19_e/msmes_report_e.pdf
2) The RBI. (June, 2019). Report of the Expert Committee on Micro, Small
and Medium Enterprises. Available at https://rbidocs.rbi.org.in/rdocs/
PublicationReport/Pdfs/MSMES24062019465CF8CB30594
AC29A7A010E8A2A034C.PDF
3) Das, P. (March, 2017). Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises(MSME) in
India: Opportunities, Issues & Challenges. Great Lake Herald, Vol 11, Issue
no. 1. Available at https://www.greatlakes.edu.in/herald/pdfs/march-2017/
article-5.pdf
4) Annual Report 2019-20. Government of India Ministry of Micro, Small and
Medium Enterprises, New Delhi. Available at https://msme.gov.in/sites/
default/files/FINAL_MSME_ENGLISH_AR_2019-20.pdf
5) Annual Report 2017-18. Government of India Ministry of Micro, Small and
Medium Enterprises, New Delhi. Available at https://msme.gov.in/sites/
default/files/MSME-AR-2017-18-Eng.pdf
Structure
16.0 Objectives
16.1 Introduction
16.2 What Constitutes the Services Sector?
16.3 Service Sector Measurement Issues
16.4 Pattern of Growth in Services in India
16.4.1 Structural Change in Indian Economy
16.4.2 Relative Shares of Sub-Sectors of Service GDP
16.4.3 Share of Services in Trade
16.4.4 Share of Services in FDI
16.5 Factors behind Service Sector Growth
16.5.1 Demand Side Factors
16.5.2 Supply Side Factors: Trade Liberalisation and Reforms
16.6 Organised Service Sectors – Cross Cutting Policy Initiatives and Issues
16.6.1 Impact of Demonetisation on Service Sector in India
16.6.2 Goods and Services Tax (GST): Impact on Services
16.6.3 Domestic Regulations and Barriers to Trade in Services
16.6.4 Low Employment Elasticity in Organised Service Sectors
16.7 Sector-specific Policy Initiatives and Issues in Selected Organised Sectors
16.7.1 IT-BPM / Software Sector
16.7.2 Challenges and Prospects of Indian Tourism
16.7.3 Shipping and Port Services: Initiatives and Challenges
16.7.4 Real Estate Sector in India: Policy Initiatives and Challenges
16.7.5 Policy Initiatives and Challenges being Faced by Banking and Financial Services
16.8 Policy Implications
16.9 Let Us Sum Up
16.10 Key Words
16.11 References
16.12 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
16.0 OBJECTIVES
After studying this unit, you will be able to explain:
role of the services sector in the process of development and how the relative
share of various sector changes as the economy grows;
what constitutes the services sector in general and especially in case of Indian
economy;
the pattern of growth of services sector in Indian Economy and changes in
relative shares of various sub-sectors within the service GDP;
175
Sector Specific Issues and the factors which led to the spurt in services sector growth especially in
Policies
post-reform regime;
policy initiatives and measures taken by the government for the promotion
and growth of certain major services; and
constrains and bottlenecks being faced in selected service sectors.
16.1 INTRODUCTION
The service or tertiary sector is the third piece of a three-part economy. The first
economic sector, the primary sector, covers the farming, mining, and agricultural
business activities in the economy. The secondary sector covers manufacturing
and business activities that facilitate the production of tangible goods from the
raw materials produced by the primary sector. The service sector, though classified
as the third economic sector, is responsible for the largest portion of the global
economy’s business activity.The sector currently accounts for more than half of
India’s GDP. This process of tertiarisation (dominance of the tertiary or services
sector) of the economy has been accompanied by a decline in the share of the
primary sector (agriculture) and a more or less constant share of the secondary
(industry) sector over the years.
However, though the growth of service sector in India is in line with the global
trends, there are unique characteristics of India’s service sector growth.
First, the entire decline in the share of agriculture sector in GDP has been
picked up by the service sector while manufacturing sector’s share has
remained more or less the same.
Second, in spite of its growing share in the GDP, there has been a serious
mismatch between the share of services in GDP and the corresponding share
of services in total employment.
Further, it is found that growth pattern in the service sector has not been
uniform across all services in India.
Disaggregated data for many services are not available. Services such as retailing
and construction are largely in the non-corporate (informal or unorganised) sector,
there is both misreporting and under-reporting.
India has a quasi-federal governance structure; some services are under the
jurisdiction of the central government (Union List), some are under the state
governments (State List) and the remaining are under the joint administration of
central and state governments (Concurrent List) (Box 16.2).
The second set of problems relate to obtaining the real value of services as
178 opposed to the nominal value of services. The absence of appropriate price
deflators for many different types of services makes it difficult to arrive at Services Sector I: Organised
Sector - Issues and Policy
the value added in services in real terms. The most popular method used to
overcome this problem is the method of double deflation, where in the value
of output and value of inputs are deflated separately by their appropriate
price indices and the value added for the service is then estimated as the
difference between the output and inputs.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
The growth in services sector worldwide has also been accompanied by the rising
share of services in world transactions. In India also, growth in the services
sector has also been accompanied by a substantial growth in international
transactions in services. In fact, India’s exports of services displayed one of the
fastest growth rates in the world, i.e., over 17 per cent per annum in the 1990s
(the world average being 5.6 per cent). Thereafter it declined but still remains
higher than the merchandise share in world trade. India’s Services share in world
services exports is given in Table 16.1.
Table 16.1: India’s Share in World Services Exports (Unit in USD Billion)
Trade reforms carried out in the 1990s explain to a large extent the rapid growth
of use of services in manufacturing. Lower tariff and lower non-tariff barriers
were also found to have led to an increase in the usage of services in manufacturing
sector. Thus, the studies show that growth of India’s services sector can be
attributed to:
Structural Changes that have led to increase in usage of services by other
sectors;
Lower tariff and non-tariff barriers to trade; and
Other reforms carried out in the 1990s.
Check Your Progress 3
1) Discuss the factors that have led to the spurt in service sector growth in
India.
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
183
Sector Specific Issues and
Policies 16.6 ORGANISED SERVICE SECTORS– CROSS
CUTTING POLICY INITIATIVES AND ISSUES
Various policy initiatives have been taken by the Government to promote the
services sector:
In the Foreign Trade Policy (2015-20), to provide an impetus to the services
trade, the SEIS (Service Export from India Scheme) incentives were
increased by 2 per cent for notified services such as Business, Legal,
Accounting, Architectural, Engineering, Educational, Hospitals, Hotels and
Restaurants amounting to Rs. 1140 crore.
The validity period of the Duty Credit Scrips was increased from 18 months
to 24 months to enhance their utility in the GST framework. GST rate for
transfer/sale of scrips has been reduced to zero from the earlier rate of 12
per cent. This will also help services sector.
New Logistics Division created in the Commerce Department to develop
and coordinate implementation of an Action Plan for the integrated
development of the logistics sector.
New Services division is being set up in Directorate General of Foreign
Trade (DGFT) to examine EXIM policies and procedures from the point of
view of “Services”.
More Clarity for Software Industry: For companies that sell online software,
it was not clear whether to apply VAT or Service Tax on the product. In GST
regime, there is a clear distinction between products and services which
will remove the confusion for service industry.
Services that face high trade barriers have mostly experienced low growth rates,
especially professional services and rail transport that are still restricted services.
Not all services that have low external trade barriers and high growth rates have
high share in exports. In particular, it is observed that health and education services
have low external trade barriers and experience high growth rates but have low
share in exports. This reflects high domestic constraints in these services. Further,
there are services that are less than moderately liberalised or are restricted with
high external trade barriers and low growth e.g., professional services like legal,
accountancy and rail transport. These services also have low share in exports,
which reflect both domestic as well as external constraints to their
trade.Construction services are also found to have low growth and low share in
exports though external trade barriers have been somewhat lowered for them.
The first mode is cross-border supply, with neither the consumer moving
nor the supplier establishing it abroad. The supplier mails, electronically
transmits, or otherwise transports a service across a national border. For
example, architectural services may be provided in the form of design
drawings sent via mail to a consumer in a foreign country.
India’s services sector has witnessed tremendous growth since the reform period,
nevertheless, this growth has not been accompanied by a corresponding growth
in employment in this sector. The share of manufacturing sector in GDP has also
remained stagnant since 1990s.The biggest employing sector in India is the
Agriculture sector, employing 45 per cent of the population but contributing 15
per cent to the GDP, whereas Service sector is the biggest contributor to the GDP
but employs about 30 per cent. This has led to a policy dilemma and doubts have
been cast on the sustainability of service-led growth.
It is observed that growth in service sector has been lopsided and jobless. Some
sub-sectors have witnessed a double-digit growth rate in the last decade, e.g.,
communication and business services, while some have experienced a fall in
their growth rates, e.g., railways, real estate and dwellings. The sub-sectors that
have witnessed negative growth rates and those that have experienced slow growth
rates are also the ones that have large potential for generating employment, e.g.,
construction, transport and professional services. Rising labour productivity in
the faster growing sub-sectors has further reduced the scope for increasing
employment in these sub-sectors. For example, IT, ITeS, business and financial
services are drivers of service sector growth however these sub-sectors are not
employment intensive. The average labour productivity in this sector is 5-10
times that of the overall Indian economy, while its share in overall employment
is only about 1.7 per cent. Thus, the knowledge-intensive services sector which
along with some segments of capital-intensive manufacturing were the engines
of growth in India. But these sectors by their nature are not employment-intensive.
Thus, they have contributed to growth, but not necessarily to employment. It is
also observed in number of empirical studies that stringent employment protection
legislations (e.g. Industrial Dispute Resolution Act, Trade Union Act, and Work
Compensation Act, etc.) have pushed employers towards more capital-intensive
modes of production, than warranted by existing costs of labour relative to capital.
For example, a World Bank Study reveals that Industrial Disputes Act has lowered
employment in organised manufacturing by about 25 per cent.
With these initiatives, India’s IT industry has thrived globally with exports around
$70 billion. There are over 2.8 million employees working in the IT sector. India’s
IT industry is an emerging market for the economy which requires more IT
services as we move further. The major reason behind the rapid development of
the IT industry is the vast reservoir of technically skilled manpower which has
transformed India into a IT superpower. However, India’s Software exports which
188 were growing robustly at 27 to 38 per cent during 2002- 03 to 2007-08 have
slowed down in recent years with exports even falling. In FY 2019, growth will Services Sector I: Organised
Sector - Issues and Policy
settle just about 7.5 per cent to 8 per cent while in FY 2020, IT services export
growth is pegged at 6 per cent to 8 per cent.
The major issues and challenges in the IT-BPM sector are listed below:
Visa Issues : This is a major issues for the IT sector. Immigration and visa
issues, which have long plagued the information technology sector seem to
have hurt Indian IT services companies with the US Government’s stance
on the H-1B visa issue.
Goods and Services Tax payable (‘IGST/CGST/SGST’) on import or domestic
procurement of services by Software Technology Parks of India (STPIs):
GST laws treat any service provided to a SEZ unit as ‘Zero Rated Supply’.
Accordingly, a SEZ unit can import services or procure domestically those
services required for authorised operations without payment of GST.
However, STPI units, which are also into the activity of export of IT/ITES
are required to pay GST both on import and domestic procurement of services
required for authorised operations and subsequently claim refund of the
same. Payment of GST on procurement of services by an STPI unit would
increase the working capital requirement. While relief has been provided
till March 2018, upfront exemption from payment of GST on import and
domestic procurement of services by STPIs could be considered in the GST
regime on par with SEZ units.
Further on the Goods and Service Tax (GST) front, the industry has been
adversely impacted and faced with ambiguity due to divergent advance
rulings by tax authorities. Delay in granting refund of accumulated GST
credits continues to pose a working capital challenge to the industry, despite
government’s initiatives such as special refund drives.
SEIS benefit to units covered under STP scheme and export of IT/ITES(IT
enabled services): Under the Service Exports from India scheme (SEIS) of
FTP (2015-20), certain services including professional services have been
notified as eligible services. Under these scheme exports of notified services
by SEZ units are made eligible to claim the SEIS scrips. However, exports
of similar notified services by units registered under STPI scheme are not
eligible to claim the SEIS scrips.
Globally, India has continued to perform well in the computer software and ITES
sphere since the post-reforms period. However, this achievement has been dwarfed
by the neglect of high-end IT services. Too much dependence on a few external
markets for IT exports could prove to be a risky business model, and there is a
serious need to explore possibilities of broadbasing the market by looking at the
African, Asian and Latin American markets. Also, the IT/ITES sector in the
country faces a scarcity of professionals and venture capital. The increased threat
to cyber security due to cloud computing, e-commerce, and digital payments is
another concern which the industry has to deal with without delay.
The Government has initiated many policies to make India a Medical Value Travel
destination which include constituting the National Medical and Wellness Tourism
Promotion Board in 2015 and launching e-tourist visa and m-visa facilities. The
board has taken many initiatives which inter alia include: a) Stressing on easing
entry formalities for those arriving for Medical Visits. On the recommendations
of the Board, Government has done away with the procedure for reporting of
those coming on medical visas to Foreigner Regional Registration Offices (FRRO)
and accepts hospital’s reporting. b) Giving emphasis on accreditation of
institutions and organisations dealing with Medical and Wellness Tourism at all
levels. c) Encouraging the Medical and Wellness Tourism stakeholders to work
in a transparent and fair manner by listing out indicative cost of procedures.
The ‘Adopt a Heritage Scheme’ invited Private Sector Companies, Public Sector
Companies and Corporate individuals to adopt the sites and to take up the
responsibility developing 8 monuments, heritage and tourist sites across India
and making them tourist friendly to enhance their tourism potential and cultural
importance, in a planned and phased manner.
191
Sector Specific Issues and The important issues in this sector are listed below:
Policies
The costs of operating a shipping company in India are higher than overseas
and therefore foreign shipping companies do not prefer to flag their ships in
India.
Onerous Tax Regime: The shipping industry is facing significant tax burden
such as minimum alternate tax, dividend distribution tax, withholding tax
liability on interest paid to foreign lenders and on charter hire charges paid
to foreign ship owners, and so on which is ultimately squeezing the bottom
line/profit margin further.
Some of the policy initiatives that have had a lasting impact on the Indian real
estate industry include Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana, Smart Cities Mission,Real
Estate Regulation and Development Act (RERA) in 2016, Amendment to Benami
Transactions (Prohibition) Act, Real Estate Investment Trust (REITs)– approved
by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) – is a platform to pool
money from investors all across the country, Service Tax Exemption on
Construction of Affordable Housing, Interest Subsidy for the first-time
homebuyers, Permanent Residency Status for Foreign Investors for a period of
10 years, subject to fulfillment of certain conditions, Infrastructure Status to
Affordable Housing; Foreign Direct Investment in Real Estate (except real estate
farms) and Home loan moratorium for real estate due to the COVID-19-led
lockdown and the nationwide restrictions aiming at helping borrowers and
developers who are reeling under monetary pressure since long.
The demonetisation in November 2016 severely impacted the growth of the real
estate sector and reduced the flow of investments. The implementation of the
Real Estate Regulation Act (RERA) in 2016 and GST in 2017 has resulted in a
variety of projects arriving at a standstill. Similarly, there are other such policy
and regulation challenges that have plagued the real estate sector in India:
Tax shifts and demand shifts: Prior to GST implementation, there was a
service tax of 4.5 per cent that was payable in case of under-construction
property. Post GST, that rate has gone up sharply to 12 per cent making it
almost unattractive to buyers. Property buyers were already paying
registration charges and stamp duty on properties. With the addition of 12
per cent GST, the total statutory cost has gone up by 20 per cent of the cost
of property for the buyer. The bigger problem is a fundamental shift in
demand patterns. During the days of the property boom, many real estate
companies invested heavily in developing middle range and premium
properties. When the cycle turned, most of these properties could not find
buyers. Shortage of working capital has led to many builders defaulting on
their delivery commitments to customers.
GST Issues: While construction sector is the worst hit sector due to economic
slowdown and demonetisation, all components of construction except bricks
are charged at 28 per cent GST.
194
Change in credit culture with institution of Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code Services Sector I: Organised
Sector - Issues and Policy
(IBC) fundamentally changing the creditor-borrower relationship, taking
away control of the defaulting company from promoters/owners and
debarring wilful defaulters from the resolution process and debarring them
from raising funds from the market.
Fugitive Economic Offenders Act, 2018 has been enacted to enable
confiscation of fugitive economic offenders’ property.
National Financial Reporting Authority has been established as an
independent regulator for enforcing auditing standards and ensuring audit
quality.
Key reforms instituted in PSBs include, the following:
o To ensure proper due diligence in project financing, Board-approved
Loan Policies of PSBs now mandate tying up necessary clearances/
approvals and linkages before disbursement, scrutiny of group balance-
sheet and ring-fencing of cash flows, and appraised of non-fund and
tail risk.
o For mitigating risk on account of misrepresentation and fraud, use of
third-party data sources for comprehensive due diligence across data
sources has been instituted.
o For clean and effective monitoring, monitoring roles have been strictly
segregated from sanctioning roles in high-value loans, and specialised
monitoring agencies combining financial and domain knowledge have
been deployed for effective monitoring of loans above Rs. 250 crore.
o To ensure timely and better realisation in One-Time Settlements (OTSs),
online end-to-end OTS platforms have been set up.
o For faster processing of loan proposals, Loan Management Systems
have been put in place for personal segment and MSME loans.
To strengthen governance at the Board level, the position of Chairman and
Managing Director (CMD) has been bifurcated into separate positions of a
Non-executive Chairman and a Managing Director (MD) and Chief
Executive Officer (CEO).
A professional Banks Board Bureau (BBB) has been created for arm’s length
selection of non-executive Chairmen and whole-time directors.
The banking industry is undergoing a radical shift, one driven by new competition
from FinTechs, changing business models, mounting regulation and compliance
pressures, and disruptive technologies. The emergence of FinTech/non-bank Start-
ups is changing the competitive landscape in financial services, forcing traditional
institutions to rethink the way they do business.
A Cultural Shift:In the digital world, there is no room for manual processes and
systems. Therefore, it’s important that financial institutions promote a culture of
innovation for maximum efficiency.
Security Breaches: With a series of breaches and frauds over the past few years,
security is one of the leading banking industry challenges, as well as a major
concern for bank and credit union customers.
It is observed that health and education sectors have high potential for trade
since they have low external barriers and high growth rates. This indicates
substantial domestic constraints in these services. Given the low-cost quality
treatment available in India, there is a large scope for health tourism in India.
India also has a competitive advantage in the practice of alternative medicine.
These areas should be developed and exploited for trade opportunities.An
important domestic constraint identified in the health sector is that since health
sector is on the concurrent list, i.e., both state and central governments have
jurisdiction over this sector; a number of regulations are imposed by the state
governments. There are also state-specific regulations of the town and planning
departments on the design and construction of healthcare infrastructure, which
form important domestic constraints to trade in health services. Thus, even though
there is no cap on FDI in health services, there is still a low share of health
services in total trade and FDI. There is therefore a need to have a clear-cut
demarcation of responsibilities of Centre and the State in this respect. Regarding
trade in education services, there is a need to study the system of regulation and
accreditation of educational institutions in foreign countries and accordingly
develop own accreditation system.
With respect to slow growing services, which have low share in exports, e.g.,
professional services, like legal, postal, accountancy, etc. we find that these
services have restricted liberalisation. Both external and domestic constraints
restricting growth in these services need to be identified and addressed by taking
relevant policy initiatives.
197
Sector Specific Issues and The full gains of trade liberalisation in services can however be acquired by an
Policies
economy only if certain economy-wide efforts are made to make general
environment more conducive to trade and investments in services. Macro-
economic policies like high tariff rates, large fiscal deficits and rigid labour laws
may have as adverse effect on competitiveness of services as on goods. Excessive
regulations, discretion in the allocation of licenses and permits, corruption and
poor quality of infrastructure could adversely affect the growth of services sector.
In India the share of services sector was already notable in the 1950s, and there
has been steady growth of the sector since then. During the entire planning era,
Trade and Public administration appear to remain stable with regard to their
contribution to services sector GDP. Similar to the world trend, in the Indian
economy, growth in the services sector has been accompanied by a substantial
growth in international transactions in services. Along with trade, there has been
a large inflow of FDI into India since 1990s onwards. But, the inflow of FDI into
services sector has been biased towards few of the services sectors.
The analysis of the Services Sector in general and selected sectors, in particular,
indicates not only the potential of the services sector, but also the major issues
and problems areas. While only few services are analysed, there are many other
services. Telecom is one area where India has already made a mark. Some other
services are Super Specialty healthcare, Satellite Mapping and Professional
services where prospects are bright and India has the necessary competence to
provide them. Many of the issues highlighted in various sectors if addressed can
help in further growth of the services sector. This can make the services sector
which is already the dominant growth contributor to become a high growth
propeller, along with foreign exchange earner and employment provider for India.
198
General Agreement on : The General Agreement on Trade in Services, Services Sector I: Organised
Sector - Issues and Policy
Trade in Services (GATS) abbreviated as GATS, is a treaty of the World
Trade Organisation (WTO) that entered into
force in 1995 following the Uruguay Round
negotiations. It envisages the objective of
establishing a sound multilateral framework
or principles and rules for trade in services.
Information Technology : Information Technology and Business Process
Business Process Management (IT-BPM) refers to engagement
Management (IT-BPM) of services of a third-party vendor to manage
certain aspects of work operations by an
enterprise.
Public Private Partnership : Public-private partnership (PPP), partnership
(PPP) between an agency of the government and the
private sector in the delivery of goods or
services to the public
Quasi-federal : Quasi-federalism means an intermediate form
of state between a unitary state and a
federation. It combines the features of a federal
government and the features of a unitary
government.
Special Economic Zone : Special Economic Zone (SEZ) is an area in a
(SEZ) country that is subject to different economic
regulations than other regions within the same
country.
16.11 REFERENCES
1) H.A.C. Prasad and R. Sathish, (2017). ‘Services Sector: Challenges, Issues
and Policy Suggestions’, Working Paper No. 2/2017—DEA, Ministry of
Finance, Department of Economic Affairs (economic Division), Government
of India.
2) Rashmi Banga, (2005).‘Critical Issues in India’s Service-led Growth’,
Working Paper No. 171, Indian Council for Research on International
Economic Relations, Lodi Road, New Delhi.
3) Hill T.P. (1977). “On goods and services”, Review of Income and Wealth,
Vol. 23, No 4, pp 315-338.
4) World Economic Forum, The Travel & Tourism Competitiveness Report
2017, published within the framework of the Economic Growth and Social
Inclusion System Initiative and the Future of Mobility System Initiative.
5) Kaldor, Nicholas (1966). ‘Marginal Productivity and the Macro-economic
Theories of Distribution: Comment on Samuelson and Modigliani’, Panico,-
Carlo; Salvadori,-Neri, eds. Post Keynesian Theory of Growth and
Distribution. Elgar Reference Collection series. International Library of
Critical Writings in Economics, vol. 21. Aldershot, U.K
6) Baumol, W. (1967). ‘The Macroeconomics of Unbalanced Growth: The
Anatomy of Urban Crisis’, The American Economic Review 57 (3): 415–
26.
199
Sector Specific Issues and 7) Bhagwati, Jagdish, N (1984). ‘Splintering and Disembodiment of Services
Policies
and Developing Nations’,World-Economy,7(2), June, 133-43.
8) Gordon, J. & Poonam Gupta (2004). ‘Understanding India’s Services
Revolution’,IMFWorkingPaper WP/04/171.
9) R. Seranmadevia and A. Senthil Kumar, ‘Experiencing the effect of
demonetization on service sectors in India’, a School of Commerce Studies,
Jain (Deemed-to-be) University, Bengaluru, Karnataka, India.
10) Hansda, S.K. (2001). ‘Sustainability of Services-led Growth: An Input-Output
Analysis of Indian Economy’, RBI Occasional Working Paper, Vol 22, No.
1,2 and 3.
11) JesimPais, ‘Growth and Structure of the Services Sector in India’ Working
Paper No. 160, Institute for Studies in Industrial Development (ISID) 4,
Institutional Area, Vasant Kunj Phase II, New Delhi 110 070.
12) Bhattacharya B.B. and Arup Mitra (1997) Changing Composition of
Employment in Tertiary Sector: A Cross Country Analysis”, Economic and
Political Weekly, Vol. 32, No. 11, pp. 529 534.
13) Mitra Ashok (1988). Disproportionality and the Services Sector: A Note,
Social Scientist, Vol. 16, No. 4, Four Decades of Economic Development
II, pp. 3 8.
14) Nagaraj R. (1991). “Excess Growth of Tertiary Sector?”, Economic and
Political Weekly, Vol. 26, No. 5, pp. 247 248.
15) Shetty S.L. (2007). “Status Paper on Database Issues of the Services Sector”,
Economic and Political Weekly, Vol. 42, No. 37, pp 3723 3726
16) Singh Nirvikar (2006). “Services Led Industrialization in India: Assessment
and Lessons”, Working Paper No. 290, Stanford Center for International
Development, Stanford University.
17) Tendulkar Suresh (2007). “India’s Growing Services Sector: Database
Problems and Issues”, Economic and Political Weekly, Vol. 42, No. 37, pp
3721 3722
18) UN SNA (1993). System of National Accounts 1993, United Nations, New
York.
19) World Investment Report (2004). ‘The Shift Towards Services’, United
Nations, New York and Geneva.
201
Sector Specific Issues and
Policies UNIT 17 SERVICES SECTOR II: INFORMAL
SECTOR-ISSUES AND POLICY
Structure
17.0 Objectives
17.1 Introduction
17.2 Informal Service Sector in India: Definition and Characteristics
17.2.1 Characteristics of an Informal Service Sector
17.3 Size of Informal Service Sector in India
17.3.1 Factors behind Growth of the Informal Sector
17.4 Legal and Regulatory Framework
17.5 Informal Service Sector: Issues and Challenges
17.5.1 Costs Associated with a Formal Enterprise
17.5.2 Risks associated with being an Informal Enterprise
17.5.3 Challenges for their Growth and Scalability
17.5.4 Impact of Demonetisation on the Informal Sector
17.5.5 Impact of GST on the Informal Sector
17.5.6 Impact of Coronavirus and Lockdown on the Informal Sector
17.6 Policy Implications
17.6.1 Role and Responsibility of the Governments
17.6.2 Access to Credit
17.6.3 Tax Reforms
17.6.4 Social Security Contributions
17.6.5 Inspection and Compliance
17.6.6 Awareness and Promotional Campaigns
17.7 Let Us Sum Up
17.8 Key Words
17.9 References
17.10 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
Appendix 17.1 Why Informal India cannot be ‘Atmanirbhar’ India?
17.0 OBJECTIVES
After studying this unit, you will be able to
explain the informal service sector;
discuss the salient characteristics of the informal service sector in India;
shed light on the size of informal service sector in India and main factors
responsible for its exponential growth;
analyse legal and regulatory framework for commercial enterprises and their
implications for the informal sector with special reference to the service
sector;
point out issues and challenges being faced by the informal service sector in
202 India; and
highlight the policy implications of informality particularly focusing on the Services Sector II: Informal
Sector - Issues and Policy
role of governments at various levels.
17.1 INTRODUCTION
In some countries, the term “informal sector” refers to the private sector while in
others the term is considered synonymous with the “underground”, “shadow” or
“grey” economy. However, the majority of workers and enterprises in the informal
sector produce legal goods and services, albeit sometimes not in conformity with
procedural legal requirements, for example, where there is non-compliance with
registration requirements, labour and or tax and commercial laws. It is important
to note that the informal sector absorbs workers who would otherwise be without
work or income, especially in developing countries like India that have a large
and rapidly growing labour force, and where workers are made redundant
following structural adjustment programmes. Most people enter the informal
economy not by choice but out of a need to survive. Given the circumstances of
high unemployment, underemployment and poverty, the informal sector has the
potential for creation of jobs by providing ease of entry with low requirements
for education, skills, technology, and capital. The jobs created falls under ‘low
productivity low wage’ syndrome and thus often fail to meet the criteria of decent
work. The informal sectors also meet the needs of poor consumers by providing
accessible and low-priced goods and services.It supplies labour-intensive exports.
This sector thus drives growth and livelihoods.
Considering the significant role played by the informal sector, the present unit
while focusing on the informal service sector, is designed to respond to the
following questions: (a) how the informal sector is defined in India and what
constitutes the informal service sector? (b) what explains growth in India’s
informal service sector? (c) what are the issues being faced by the informal service
sector in India? (d) what policy initiatives are taken so far to address the concerns
of the informal sector in general and informal service sector in particular?
Activities Included:
A good way to envision the informal service sector is through some of its activities.
Typical activities included in the informal service sector are:
General Services: tailoring, hair dressing, machinery repair, etc.
Commerce: retail sector, hotels, restaurants, lodging, etc.
Finance: Informal financial services including money lending, etc.
Real Estate: Construction and repair of public physical infrastructure projects,
houses, and dwelling units, etc.
Transportation: taxis, buses, etc.
Social and community services.
Miscellaneous: recycling, various illegal, immoral activities, etc.
Because informal firms operate outside some government regulation, often
employing family workers, wages are low. Because they may have a harder time
getting loans, and rely on informal financing, capital costs are higher. The lower
wage-rental ratio, combined with smaller scale, explains why more firms are
relatively labour-intensive in nature and operate with simpler technology.
Mode of Finance
Informal finance through moneylenders and co-operative organisations formed
by poor people are crucial. In both rural and urban areas, there are informal
rotating credit organisations in which funds are contributed by members and are
available to them either on a regular basis or as needed.
Poverty prevents real opportunities and choices for decent and protected work.
Low and irregular incomes and often the absence of public policies prevent people
from investing in their education and skills needed to boost their own
employability and productivity. Lack of education (primary and secondary) to
205
Sector Specific Issues and function effectively in the formal economy, in addition to a lack of recognition
Policies
of skills garnered in the informal economy, act as another barrier to entering the
formal economy. The lack of livelihood opportunities in rural areas drives migrants
into informal activities in urban areas or other countries.
The total number of those with higher secondary education (34.4 million) and
those who have graduate level education and above (35.6 million) is roughly
similar in the workforce. What is notable, however, is that half of those with
only higher secondary education are self-employed. Under a third of those with
higher secondary education are in regular salaried employment (while only 15
per cent of those with secondary education have regular salaried jobs). However,
half of those with graduate level education or above are in regular salaried
employment. What is worrying is that nearly four million of those with higher
secondary level of education are engaged in casual wage work.
Both the labour market as well as tertiary education outcomes for men and women
are rather different. It is well known that the labour force participation rate of
women in India is well below that for men and in fact is one of the lowest in the
world (at 23 per cent in 2011-12). Even more worrying is the fact that it has been
declining. Nearly half of the women in the workforce are illiterate but less than
one-third of men in the workforce are illiterate. Clearly, with a labour force that
has relatively poor levels of education, it is not surprising that most of them have
been absorbed, in informal services, or in informal construction sector. In none
of these areas does employment come with social insurance.
209
Sector Specific Issues and Table 17.2 gives a sense of the formalisation of the workforce over the period
Policies
2011-12 to 2017-18.
The Census of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSME) (2006-07) also
shows (Table 17.3) that of nearly 361 lakh MSMEs in India, about 95.7 per cent
are unregistered, with a large number operating in the unorganised/ informal
sector.
212
2) Do you think that legal and regulatory framework put in place for Commercial Services Sector II: Informal
Sector - Issues and Policy
Enterprises in India has contributed to exponential growth of informal service
sector in India?
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................................
213
Sector Specific Issues and As against this, small firms find it beneficial to operate in the informal sector.
Policies
They are free from bearing the entry costs and the formal operating costs as
faced by formal organisations. They do not have to comply with stringent rules
and regulations, nor are they forced to compensate their employees in a particular
way. They can thus retain all their earnings with minimal costs and hence have a
huge incentive to remain undetected.
In the period that followed, India’s real economy took a beating. Production and
consumption contracted. Agricultural activities were delayed. Starved of cash,
supply lines in all sectors without exception were disrupted: prices went haywire,
job losses and chaotic flows of migrant workers grew to unprecedented levels.
In the black economy there was temporary stop, after which it was business as
usual. Growth in the tax base also has been mediocre. Investment in registered
MSMEs has shrunk. Despite some re-employment, the unemployment rate rose
and unemployment of more educated workers is at levels not seen for over four
decades.
GST had the outcome as feared, in terms of sharp hits in profits in firms with
recorded turnovers above the threshold of Rs. 20 lakhs, especially in trading
firms, service-providers and micro enterprises (general stores, tailors, cobblers,
barbers, plumbers, masons, electricians, etc.), resulting in reports of job losses
in the informal economy of between 35 and 45 per cent. The household savings
trends reveal that the informal economy has indeed been battered to the point
where growth is depressed and that capital formation in the corporate sector has
finally started to exceed that in the informal sector.
In order to promote formalisation, the steps that could be taken in the field of
taxation include special tax regimes for MSMEs, convenient payment
mechanisms, proper information and assistance and measures to check tax
evasion. Special tax regimes for MSMEs include lower tax rates, certain
exemptions, and integration of different taxes into a single payment. For instance,
in Costa Rica, small companies faced preferential tax rates and were exempted
from a corporate tax. Only the MSMEs registered with the Ministry of Economy
could take benefit of this exemption, thus reinforcing formalisation.
Given these difficulties, the benefits from complying with social security payment
schedules should be such that the stakeholders consider them to be valuable. The
services that these schemes provide should be of good quality, in areas such as
health, maternity and unemployment. Schemes like accidental insurance coverage
at work act as incentives to labour formalisation. Social security schemes should
be designed with the following characteristics to favour formalisation: (a)
progressive social security contributions, (a) subsidies for social security
contributions on low-income wages, (c) reduction of the administration costs of
social security schemes.
Measures that involve capacity building are more effective than punitive sanctions
for lack of compliance. For example, in Chile and Peru, inspectorates provide
training for micro and small enterprises (MSEs) to comply with the law,
218
particularly on safety and health issues, instead of imposing a fine on them for Services Sector II: Informal
Sector - Issues and Policy
defaulting. In order, to be able to impart better knowledge and information about
the rules and regulations, it is necessary to train the officials to interact with the
employers and at the same time, it is necessary to organise training programmes
and information campaigns for employers and employees of micro and small
enterprises.
Trade unions can sensitise workers in the informal economy to the importance
of having collective representation through education and outreach programmes.
They can also make efforts to include workers in the informal economy in
collective agreements. With women accounting for a majority in the informal
economy, trade unions should create or adapt internal structures to promote the
participation and representation of women and also to accommodate their specific
needs. Trade unions can provide special services to workers in the informal
economy, including information on their legal rights, educational and advocacy
projects, legal aid, provision of medical insurance, credit and loan schemes and
the establishment of cooperatives.
However, the unfortunate part of growth of the service sector over time has led
to informalisation of its growth process thereby creating a dualism in the sector
wherein one component is growing very fast with high productivity while other
component, quite large in size, has become laggard growing in size but not in
terms of growth in productivity and profitability. As a result, those employed in
the laggard informal service sector remain vulnerable in terms of low level of
income and wages, insecurity of jobs, lack of social security and other benefits
associated with the job if it had been in the formal service sector. The dynamic
analysis presented in this unit highlights the factors responsible for such a growth
of the sector and policy initiatives needed at comprehensive scale to improve the
219
Sector Specific Issues and image and status of informal sector. Many of the issues highlighted above if
Policies
addressed can help in further growth of the services sector. This can make the
services sector which is already the dominant growth contributor to become a
high growth propeller, along with foreign exchange earner and employment
provider for India.
17.9 REFERENCES
In addition to the readings listed under Unit-16, some additional readings are
listed below:
1) Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry and Konrad-
Adenauer- Stiftung (2017).‘Informal Economy in India: Setting the
framework for formalization’, published by FICCI, Tansen Marg, New Delhi.
2) Kundu, A., & Sharma, A. N. (Eds). (2001). Informal sector in India:
Perspectives and policies. New Delhi: Institute for Human Development
and Institute of Applied Manpower Research.
3) Ministry of Finance (2018). “Economic Survey of India 2017-18”
Government of India, New Delhi.
4) Ministry of Lavor and Employment (2013-14). “Report on Employment in
Informal Sector and Conditions of Informal Employment (2013-14), Volume
IV”, Government of India, New Delhi.
5) NSO (2019). 2017-18-unit level data, Periodic Labour Force Survey, NSSO
Ministry of Statistics and Program Implementation. Government of India.
New Delhi.
220
6) NSSO (2013). 2010-11-unit level data, 67th round, Unincorporated Non- Services Sector II: Informal
Sector - Issues and Policy
agricultural (excluding Construction) enterprise survey in India, Ministry
of Statistics and Program Implementation. Government of India. New Delhi.
7) NSSO (2014). 2011-12-unit level data, 68th round, Employment
Unemployment survey, NSSO Ministry of Statistics and Programme
Implementation. Government of India. New Delhi.
8) National Statistical office (2015). Report of the Sub Committee on
Unorganized Manufacturing & Services Sectors for Compilation of National
Accounts Statistics with Base Year 2011-12.
9) Rangarajan C., Padma I. K. and Seema (2011). “Where Is the Missing Labour
Force?”, Economic and Political Weekly, Vol. 46, No. 39.
10) Report of the Working Group on Business Regulatory Framework 2011,
“Towards Optimal Business Regulatory Governance in India”, Steering
Committee on Industry, Planning Commission, Government of India.
221
Sector Specific Issues and
Policies APPENDIX 17.1
Why Informal India cannot be ‘Atmanirbhar’ India?
Atmanirbharta, or self-reliance, has been a holy grail for the Indian economy. In
its present avatar, the idea hovers around increasing competitiveness and growth
of the manufacturing sector which will in turn is expected to further expand the
service sector. Competitiveness arises from productivity differentials, which, in
turn, are a function of firm size. Larger firms are more productive with higher
value added per capita, and higher levels of sales and output per employee. Formal
status is another empirically established characteristic of productive firms across
countries. World Bank’s micro and informal enterprise surveys show that for
India the wedge between value added per employee in a registered and
unregistered firm is 35 per cent, that between a small registered firm and a large
firm is 68 per cent, and that between a large registered firm and an unregistered
firm is 212 per cent.This differential is due to large, formal firms’ access to
external finance, and use of more capital per labour. These firms with economies
of scale are often run by better educated managers, and employ specialised staff
for specific functions, resulting in better internal processes, and customer outreach,
allowing these firms to generate sustainable productivity differentials to achieve
competitiveness.
There are 19.67 million micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs)
employing 36.04 million people. The share of micro enterprises, among MSMEs
is almost 99 per cent.The antimonopoly regulations and stringent labour laws
practised over years have ensured that the average Indian manufacturing firm
remained small in size. The employment-generating and cost-cutting
characteristics of these informal firms have made us believe that informality is
forced by excessive cost of regulation. It is important to start acknowledging
that these firms may be unproductive, run by lowly qualified managers, unable
to function efficiently and, therefore, out of formal structure. The notion that
economic growth will generate returns for these firms, bringing them into
formality has not worked so far. Nor is there much empirical support for the
hypothesis of registration alone increasing their productivity.
Shift to a formal status would typically mean additional costs of paying taxes,
adhering to safety norms, and providing additional employment benefits to
workers. All these are genuine costs. Any estimation of loss of revenue to the
exchequer due to tax evasion, loss of lives and project assets due to non-
compliance with safety norms, and loss of productivity due to non-provision of
social security to employees, is sure to bypass the loss of profitability to informal
enterprises.
The informal sectoreffectively constitutes 90 per cent of the workforce and about
50 per cent of the national product. As per Government of India statistics, the
unorganised sector contributes almost 50 per cent of the total GDP. The Economic
Survey of 2018-19, released on 4 July, 2019, said “almost 93 per cent” of the
total workforce is “informal”. Around 86per cent of those working in the informal
sector are not covered under labour legislation and they have absolutely no
protection in terms of employment as they do not have an appointment letter,
contract, guarantee for wages, health facilities, insurance, etc. They are at the
mercy of the employer.
If the Centre realises the importance of the informal sector and its contribution
to the economic growth of the country, it will need to define the sector effectively,
provide labour legislation to protect employment, wages and treat them on par
with the formal sector. As long as these measures are not put in place, it is difficult
for informal India to become Atmanirbhar India.
223
MEC-205
Indian Economic
Policy
VOLUME-III
(Block 5 and 6)
Unit 21 Poverty, Malnutrition and Inclusive Dr. S K Mishra, Fellow Prof. Narayan Prasad
Growth: Policy Implications IHD, New Delhi Ms. Chetali Arora
Unit 22 Employment and Unemployment: Prof. Narayan Prasad Ms. Chetali Arora
Policy Challenges Professor of Economics
IGNOU
Unit 23 Social Security Measures in India Dr. Sant Lal, Visiting Prof. Narayan Prasad
Professor, IHD, New Delhi
Unit 24 Regional Disparity in India: Dr. S K Mishra, Fellow Ms. Chetali Arora
Policy Implications IHD, New Delhi
Unit 25 Ingredients of Good Governance Prof. PK Chaubey Prof. Narayan Prasad
Rtd. Professor Ms. Chetali Arora
IIPA, New Delhi
SECRETARIAL ASSISTANCE & GRAPHICS
Ms. Kamini Dogra
Personal Assistant
SOSS IGNOU, New Delhi
PRINT PRODUCTION
Mr. Yashpal
Assistant Registrar (Publication)
IGNOU, New Delhi
May, 2021
©Indira Gandhi National Open University, 2021
ISBN :
All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced in any form, by mimeograph or any
other means, without permission in writing from the Indira Gandhi National Open University.
Further information about the School of Social Sciences and the Indira Gandhi National Open
University courses may be obtained from the University’s office at Maidan Garhi, New Delhi-
110 068, India or the Official Website of IGNOU: www.ignou.ac.in
Printed and published on behalf of the Indira Gandhi National Open University, New Delhi, by
Registrar, MPDD, IGNOU, New Delhi.
Lasertypeset by Tessa Media & Computers, C-206, Shaheen Bagh, Jamia Nagar, New Delhi-25
Printed at:
4
Contents
5
BLOCK 5
EXTERNAL SECTOR AND TRADE POLICY
BLOCK 5 EXTERNAL SECTOR AND TRADE
POLICY
In the post economic reforms period, external sector in the economy has gained
prime importance. Foreign trade contributes to economic development in number
of ways. Hence, the external sector and trade policy constitutes the subject matter
of this block. The block comprises of three units.
Unit 19 entitled Foreign Trade and Balance of Payment discusses the role of
foreign trade in economic development of a country. The Unit also examines
India’s foreign trade and the changes in its direction and composition. The
country’s Balance of Payment position, and the policy framework adopted for
restoring the balance of payments have also been discussed.
Unit 20 on Foreign Capital analyses the role of foreign capital in the growth
process of a developing economy. It discusses the types, the sources of foreign
capital and the evolution of India’s policy with respect to the foreign capital. The
composition, trend, sources and destinations of overseas foreign direct investment
in the context of Indian economy have also been examined.
8
UNIT 18 TRADE POLICY Trade Policy
Structure
18.0 Objectives
18.1 Introduction
18.2 International Trade Policy
18.3 Instruments of a Trade Policy
18.4 International Trade Agreements: A Brief History
18.5 Trade Policy of Developing Economies
18.6 Trade Policy of India
18.6.1 Prior to 1991
18.6.2 Post 1991
18.6.3 FDI Policy in India
18.7 India and the Changing Nature of World Trade
18.7.1 Trade in Services
18.7.2 Trade in Intellectual Property
18.7.3 Trade in Agriculture
18.8 Regional Agreements relevant for India
18.8.1 Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP)
18.9 Recent Scenario in Indian Trade
18.10 Trade Policy of India 2015-2020
18.11 Let Us Sum Up
18.12 Term-end Exercises
18.13 Key Words
18.14 References
18.15 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
18.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to:
● discuss the characteristics of International trade and in particular about
the Indian trade prior and post 1991;
● identify the instruments of a trade policy;
● appreciate the trade policy of developing economies;
● point out the emerging foreign trade issues in the changing nature of
world trade;
● explain the role of the FDI policy in India; and
● evaluate the Foreign Trade Policy 2015-20.
9
External Sector and
Trade Policy 18.1 INTRODUCTION
In this unit we shall discuss the Indian trade policy, its features in pre-
economic reforms and post- economic reforms periods. We shall highlight
the trade related important issues like trade in services, trade and intellectual
property rights, and agriculture and regional trade agreements. The features
of the trade policy 2015-2020 and its evaluation will also be discussed. To
begin with, let us discuss the concept of international trade policy.
10
These policies can include import tariffs, export taxes, quantitative Trade Policy
restrictions, etc. Thus, NRP is
2) Export Subsidies
It is a payment by the government to a firm or individual that ships a good
abroad. When the government offers an export subsidy, shippers will export
the good up to the point where the domestic price exceeds the foreign price
by the amount of the subsidy. It can be either specific or ad valorem. An
export subsidy raises prices in the exporting country while it lowers them in
the importing country.
3) Import Quotas
An import quota is a direct restriction on the quantity of a good that is
imported. The restriction is usually enforced by issuing licenses to some
group of individuals or firms i.e. the right to sell in India is given directly to
the governments of exporting countries. License holders are able to buy
imports and resell them at a higher price in the domestic market. The profits
received by the holders of import licenses are known as quota rents. 11
External Sector and 4) Voluntary Export Restraints
Trade Policy
A voluntary export restraint (VER) is an export quota administered by the
exporting country. It is also known as a voluntary restraint agreement (VRA).
VERs are imposed at the request of the importer and are agreed to by the
exporter to forestall other trade restrictions. A VER is exactly like an import
quota where the licenses are assigned to foreign governments and is therefore
very costly to the importing country. A VER is always more costly to the
importing country than a tariff that limits imports by the same amount. The
tariff equivalent revenue becomes rents earned by foreigners under the VER.
Other restrictions are like Export Credit Subsidies (form of a subsidised loan
to the buyer of exports, resulting in the same effect as regular export
subsidies), National Procurement [purchases by the government (or public
firms) can be directed towards domestic goods, even if they are more
expensive than imports], Red Tape Barriers (barriers put by the governments
based on health, safety and customs procedures).
The ninth major round of world trade negotiations, known as the Doha round,
began in 2001. Its aim was to achieve major reform of the international
trading system, with the fundamental objective to improve the trading
prospects of developing countries through the introduction of lower trade
barriers and revised trade rules. It ended without the negotiations being
completed, resulting in a spurt in bilateral trade agreements.
In the pre-reform period, India’s trade policy regime was complex and
cumbersome. There were different categories of importers, different types of
import licences, alternate ways of importing, etc. Different types of licenses,
that used to be issued in the pre-reform period, can be categorised as: (a)
Open General License, (b) Automatic License, (c) Supplementary Import
License and (d) Imports through government-owned canalised agencies. The
trade policy was geared towards developing a self-reliant production
structure. There were high tariffs on imports. The intention of high tariffs was
to promote domestic production, by making imported goods more expensive
than those produced at home. This is what is called import substitution. Apart
from import duties, there were various permissions required before importing
something. Importing a computer, for instance, required many licenses and
permissions. The central government would decide on imports, depending on
its assessment of its importance for the national economy.
14
Import substitution had its other side - that of discouraging exports. There Trade Policy
was no active policy of discouraging exports. But import tariffs meant that
the profits from investing in import substituting production were higher from
investing in production for export. Assuming that costs of production were
not substantially higher in India, the profits would also be greater. In exports,
on the other hand, Indian producers would have to compete with producers
from other countries and there would be no excess profits for them. Thus, the
policy of high import tariffs served to discourage investment in exports. In a
way, high import tariffs distorted market price signals away from exports
towards import substitution.
Economic policies are not just manufactured out of thin air. They are
inevitably based on some theory of how the economy functions. What was
the theory behind such a control on imports? The theory goes back right to
the beginnings of plan development in India and was part of the formulation
of the Second Five Year Plan (1961-65). The theory goes by the name of
‘export pessimism’.
Export Pessimism
In the post-colonial situation of the 1950s, it was held that the export earnings
of underdeveloped countries were subject to severe constraints. World
manufacturing was concentrated in the industrialised or developed countries,
while the underdeveloped countries were largely agrarian in nature. The
structure of world trade reflected this division of the world economy. Under-
developed countries exported raw materials and primary goods, such as
coffee, tea, raw cotton, or minerals. Developed countries exported
manufactured products. World trade was an exchange of the manufacturer of
industrialised countries with the agricultural and primary goods of agrarian
and primary commodities producing countries.
Manufactured goods are produced by companies, often large companies.
With monopolistic market positions, these companies could determine the
prices of their outputs, i.e. they were price-makers. Agricultural commodities
are produced by large numbers of small producers. These small producers do
not have market power and cannot set prices for their products, i.e. they are
price-takers. On the other hand, the buyers of agricultural commodities from
the developed countries are few in number. This is called a monopsony
position, where there are just one or a few buyers along with a large number
of sellers for a product. The buyer or buyers can then be price-makers for that
primary commodity. The price of, say, coffee could be kept low and thus the
returns to the millions of primary commodity producers would also be low.
Export pessimism and import controls thus characterised Indian trade policy
in the early decades after Independence. It began to change in the mid-1980s
and was abandoned with the 1991 liberalisation.
16
18.6.2 Post 1991 Trade Policy
The 1991 trade policy reforms were precipitated by the external debt crisis
the government faced. At that time, the Indian government did not have
sufficient foreign exchange to cover the external debt payments that were
due. In order to avoid defaulting on its international debt obligations, the
government was forced to approach the International Monetary Fund (IMF)
for a loan.
Trade policy reform, focusing on tariffs and quantitative restrictions, was an
important part of the economic reform initiated in 1991. Supplemented by
recommendations of an Expert Committee, India’s trade policy reform paved
the road for a major reduction of average tariffs, tariff peaks, simplification
of the tariff and quota regimes, and removal of several import restrictions.
These changes reflected a larger vision of reform to enhance the efficiency of
domestic industry, together with a number of other objectives such as
promoting infant industry, exports, technological upgradation and food
security.
The 1991 Union Budget recognised the significance of trade policy reform as
part of the overall reform programme, stating for instance that: “The policies
for industrial development are intimately related to policies for trade” (Para
11 of Union Budget speech). Several steps were taken to reform trade policy:
a more outward oriented regime was put in place, tariffs were reduced in a
phased manner, import duties were streamlined or simplified, and a process
transforming quantitative border restrictions to price-based measures was
begun.
Likewise, export incentives were continued, or new ones provided for a
number of products, and institutional changes were made to bring
transparency and to facilitate transactions involving domestic and foreign
markets. This included the establishment of certain institutions or revised
mandates for existing institutions that would help implement the new focus
areas (e.g., the Tariff Commission).
Further, 1991 trade policy reform was an exercise that balanced several
objectives. For instance, loss of revenue was a major concern, and this was
mentioned as a reason for not reducing the import duty more than what was
being announced. In a number of instances, import tariffs were kept high to
encourage infant industry. The need for protecting Indian industry against
foreign competition, and to save foreign exchange, was explicitly recognised.
This was balanced with a reduction in tariffs to lower input costs and to
encourage export activities. Another important feature of the 1991 reform
was that it began opening up the regime for FDI. While FDI was not linked at
that time with trade policy, it created a base for increasing economic linkages
with global markets.
Average tariff levels prior to 1991 were in triple digits. The 1991 tariff
reform reduced these very significantly, but the new levels too were very
high at the end of the 1990s. A noteworthy feature of India’s tariff peaks and
averages in the early 1990s was that though they were reduced from high
17
External Sector and levels, they were high (particularly for non-agriculture) compared with most
Trade Policy
tariffs prevailing in economies with low tariffs, e.g. the United States. Before
1991, India imposed high auxiliary duties on imports. These were merged
with basic tariffs and the overall combined tariff level.
A more liberal attitude towards foreign investment emerged after about 1980
or so. This phase begins with the Industrial Policy statements of 1980 and
1982 and, more importantly the Technology Policy Statement of 1983. For
one, the policy statements began the process of delicensing. The New
Industrial Policy of 1991 was the starting point of a new phase in FDI in
India. Thus, with the new FDI policy up to 51 per cent foreign equity was
permitted with automatic approval in specified industries producing
intermediate and capital goods. Economic reforms post 1991 had encouraged
foreign investment as well as foreign collaborations. The dominant policy at
that time was export oriented FDI and restrictions on large volume of FDI in
the form of equity.
In 1995, India had reoriented its FDI policy. This is because India signed the
Uruguay Agreement in 1995 which made it a member of the World Trade
Organisation (WTO) and hence an automatic signatory to the agreement on
trade related investment measures (TRIMS). A series of measures that were
directed towards liberalising foreign investment included: (i) introduction of
dual route of approval of FDI – RBI’s automatic route and Government’s
approval [Secretariat of Industrial Assistance (SIA)/ Foreign Investment
Promotion Board (FIPB)] route, (ii) automatic permission for technology
agreements in high priority industries and removal of restriction of FDI in
low technology areas as well as liberalisation of technology imports, (iii)
permission to Non-resident Indians (NRIs) and Overseas Corporate Bodies
(OCBs) to invest up to 100 per cent in high priorities sectors, (iv) hike in the
foreign equity participation limits to 51 per cent for existing companies and
liberalisation of the use of foreign ‘brands name’ and (v) signing the
Convention of Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) for
protection of foreign investments. In order to give a fillip to combat decline
in FDI post Asian Crisis in 1997, several measures were taken by the
government to further liberalise FDI policies. Measures included were
18
increasing the ceiling for FDI under the automatic route in oil refining from Trade Policy
49 per cent to 100 per cent. Further, in order to standardise India’s FDI
definition, a Committee was constituted by the Department of Industrial
Policy and Promotion (DIPP) in May 2002 to bring the reporting system of
FDI in India with international best practices. According to Economic survey
2003-04, the revised definition included three categories of capital flows
under FDI: equity capital, reinvested earnings and other direct capital.
Previously, the data on FDI reported in the balance of payments statistics
used to include only equity capital.
This change in definition was called for in order to bring the reporting system
of FDI data in India into alignment with best international practices. Thus,
with increasing liberalisation India has become an important destination for
FDI. At present 100 per cent FDI is provided in most of the sectors except in
defence sector which is open to FDI subject to 26 per cent cap. Sectors where
FDI is completely banned are Retail Trading (except single brand wholesale
retailing), atomic energy, lottery, business including Government / private
lottery, online lotteries, gambling and betting including casinos, business of
Chit fund and Nidhi company, real estate business, or construction of farm
houses, manufacturing of cigars, cheroots, cigarillos and cigarettes, of
tobacco or of tobacco or of tobacco substitutes and trading in transferable
development rights. Thus, with increased FDI there is an increased
prevalence of multinational corporations as it is the companies that trade.
Indian firms have established a strong presence in the world trade in services.
Indian firms carry out a multitude of off-shoring tasks– from simple
consumer service centres, to accounting services and the various business
tasks called Business Process Outsourcing (BPO). These are also called IT
Enabled Services (ITES), since they depend crucially on IT and
communication technology.
20
18.7.3 Trade in Agriculture Trade Policy
21
External Sector and 18.8.1 Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership
Trade Policy
(RCEP)
Launched in Cambodia on December 20, 2012, the RCEP is an FTA between
ASEAN and its FTA partners (Australia, Brunei, China, Cambodia, India,
Indonesia, Japan, the Republic of Korea, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, New
Zealand, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam). The sixteen
participating countries account for almost half the world’s population, 30 per
cent of global GDP, and 25 per cent of world exports. RCEP seeks to achieve
a modern, comprehensive, high-quality, and mutually beneficial economic
partnership agreement that will cover trade in goods, services, investment,
economic and technical cooperation, intellectual property, competition, and
dispute settlement. India is participating in the RCEP negotiations but
appears to be doing so with extreme caution.
India’s major trading partners are the United States of America (USA), which
accounted for 16 per cent of India’s exports (in value terms) in 2018-19,
followed by the United Arab Emirates (UAE), China and Hong Kong.
However, in 2018-19, growth of India’s exports to the Netherlands was the
highest (40.7 per cent), followed by China (25.6 per cent) and Nepal (17.4
per cent). China continues to be the largest source of imports of India
accounting for 13.7 per cent of the total imported value in 2018-19. The other
important sources from which India imports are the USA, UAE and Saudi
Arabia.
2) Explain the important issues which are crucial and hence need to be
addressed in India’s trade policy.
3) Critically evaluate trade policy of India 2015-20.
24
18.13 KEY WORDS Trade Policy
18.14 REFERENCES
1) International Economics: Theory and Policy (10th Edition) (Pearson
Series in Economics) 10th Edition by Paul R. Krugman (Author),
Maurice Obstfeld (Author), Marc Melitz (Author)
5) FDI in India: History Policy and the Asian Perspectives by Manoj Pant
and Deepika Srivastava.
25
External Sector and
Trade Policy 18.15 ANSWERS OR HINTS TO CHECK YOUR
PROGRESS EXERCISES
Check Your Progress 1
1) See Section 18.3
2) See Section 18.4
Check Your Progress 2
1) See Sub-section 18.6.1
2) See Sub-section 18.6.3
3) Equity Capital, reinvested earnings, direct capital
Check Your Progress 3
1) See Section 18.7
2) See Sub-sections 18.7.2 and 18.7.3
3) See Section 18.10
26
Foreign Trade and
UNIT 19 FOREIGN TRADE AND BALANCE Balance of Payment
OF PAYMENT
Structure
19.0 Objectives
19.1 Introduction
19.2 Trade and Economic Development
19.2.1 Trade Policy Analysis Tools
19.2.2 Composition of Trade
19.2.3 Direction of Trade
19.3 India’s Foreign Trade
19.3.1 Volume of India’s Merchandise Trade
19.3.2 Volume of India’s Trade in Services
19.3.3 Composition of India’s Merchandise Trade
19.3.3.1 Composition of India’s Merchandise Exports
19.3.3.2 Composition of India’s Merchandise Imports
19.3.4 Composition of India’s Trade in Services
19.3.5 Direction of India’s Foreign Trade
19.4 India’s Balance of Payments
19.4.1 The Current Account
19.4.2 The Capital Account
19.4.3 The Financial Account
19.4.4 Net Errors and Omissions
19.5 India’s Balance of Payments – Recent Trends
19.5.1 The Salient Features of India’s BOP
19.6 External Debt
19.7 Let Us Sum Up
19.8 Key Words
19.9 References
19.10 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
19.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to :
● discuss the role of foreign trade in economic development of a country;
● evaluate India’s foreign trade and the changes in its direction and
composition;
● assess India’s position of balance of payment;
● outline the policy framework for restoring equilibrium in balance of
payments. 27
External Sector and
Trade Policy 19.1 INTRODUCTION
India is globalising rapidly. Inter-dependence between the economies inthe
world has increased multi-fold. External sector in the economy has gained
prime importance. Both exports and imports contribute to the production
process. Both of these are effective instruments in raising the income levels
of the people in a developing economy. Apart from flow of goods, increasing
flows of services and capital between nations give rise to payments and
receipts in foreign exchange which, in turn, influences the balance of
payments (BoP)position. In this unit, we shall examine the various issues
related to foreign trade and BoP. Let us begin with explaining the relationship
between foreign trade and economic growth.
Foreign trade has worked as an ‘engine of growth’ in the past (witness Great
Britain in the 19th century and Japan in the 20th, besides others), and even in
more recent times the “outward-oriented growth strategy” adopted by the
newly industrialising Economies of Asia, viz., Hong Kong, (now a special
administered area of China), Singapore, Taiwan, Malaysia, Thailand, and
South Korea, has enabled them to overcome the constraints of small
resource-poor under-developed economies.
These, in turn, help increase the profitability of the domestic business without
any corresponding increase in price.
Increased openness to trade has been strongly associated with the reduction
of poverty in most developing countries, as the historian Arnold Toynbee
said ‘civilisation’ has been spread through ‘mimesis’: simple copying.
Volume of Trade
It relates to the size of international transactions. Since a large number of
capital, goods and services enter in international transactions and their
aggregate can be found only by finding their money value, therefore, the
volume of trade can be measured only in terms of money value. The trends in
the value of trade help to identify the basic forces that may be operating at
different periods in the economy.
However, mere absolute changes in the value of trade may not be satisfactory
guide, hence it is necessary to find the changes in the value of trade by
relating them to two variables, viz.i) Share of exports/imports in GDP, andii)
Share of exports/imports in world trade.
1
Based upon A Practical Guide to Trade Policy Analysis, co-published by the World Trade
Organisation and the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, 2012. 29
External Sector and Degree of Openness
Trade Policy
The most natural measure of a country’s integration in the world trade is its
degree of openness. One might suppose that measuring a country’s openness
is a relatively straightforward endeavour. Let Xi, Mi and Yi be respectively
country i’s total exports, total imports and GDP. Country i ’s openness ratio
is defined as:
�
� � + ��
� =
��
Higher the Oi, the more open is the country. For small open economies like
Singapore, it may even be substantially above one. The index can be traced
over time.
Simple indexes for the share of each sector in a country’s total imports or
exports can be constructed using a dataset with sector-level trade data.
30
Foreign Trade and
Likewise, one can construct indexes of the share of each partner in a Balance of Payment
country’s total imports or exports using bilateral trade data. One can go a step
further and assess to what extent a country’s export orientation is favourable,
i.e. to what extent the country exports in sectors and toward partners that
have experienced faster import growth.
31
External Sector and 3) What types of changes are observed in the direction of trade as an
Trade Policy
economy experience growth?
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
4) How can you measure the openness of Indian Economy?
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
……………………………………………………………………………
Trade Deficit
India has a large deficit in the classical trade in goods. Because of growing
difference between India’s merchandise imports and exports bills, we have
been witnessing a huge deficit in our merchandise trade. In fact, India’s
merchandise trade deficit has increased from US$ 7.4 billion in 1980-81 to
US$ 184.0 billion in 2018-19, Growing deficit in merchandise trade is a
matter of concerns for the Indian policy makers and the government has
come with many measures under Foreign Trade Policy 2015-20 to increase
exports and reduce the trade deficit. The Government of India is currently
discussing New WTO compliant Foreign Trade Policy to address various
trade related issues.
The broad trend in India’s Services trade in the last ten years is indicated in
Table 19.4. It shows that India’s export of services has shown an increasing
trend from 2011-12 to 2018-19, except for a small dip in 2015-16, whereas
imports have also shown an increase from US$ 78.2 billion in 2011-12 to
34
Foreign Trade and
US$ 126.0 billion in 2018-19 with a net services trade surplus in the above Balance of Payment
period. The net service trade has shown fluctuations in the recent years.
36
Foreign Trade and
India’s POL(petroleum, oil, and lubricants)imports increased from US$5.8 Balance of Payment
billion in 1981-82 to US$ 141 billion in 2018-19. Its share in India’s total
imports basket however declined from 38.1 percent to 27.4 per cent in same
time period. As far as imports of Non-POL products are concerned, its shares
in India’s imports basket increased from 61.9per cent in 1981-82 to 72.6per
cent in 2018-19 whereas in terms of absolute value it increased from, US$ 9.4
billion to US$ 373.2 billion in the same period. POL imports witnessed sharp
rise in growth rate from 4.8 per cent in 2016-17 to 29.7 per cent in 2018-19.
The non-POL imports also increased from − 0.2 per cent in 2016-17 to 4.5
per cent in 2018-19. This is mainly because of a downturn in the Indian
economy. Further, rise in growth of POL imports from 2016-17 to 2018-19
was mainly on account of both price increase in the international market and
volume consumed by India.
China has been the largest source of imports forIndia, accounting for 13.7 per
cent of the total merchandised imports in terms of value in the year 2018-19.
In fact, share of Chinese imports into India’s overall merchandise imports
have witnessed a mixed trend from 2014-15 to 2018-19. Other main countries
from which India significantly imports are the USA, UAE, and Saudi Arabia.
India’s top 10 sourcing destination during 2018-19 jointly accounted for
more than 52.8 per cent of India’s total merchandise imports from world.
39
External Sector and Check Your Progress 2
Trade Policy
1) State the important changes being observed in the composition of India’s
external trade since 2007-08.
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
2) Do you think that direction of India’s exports has been changing with
BRICS Countries over time?
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
3) Give the emerging features of changes in the volume and direction of
India’s foreign trade.
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
the “current account” including “goods and services”, the “primary income”,
and the “secondary income”, the “capital account”, and the “financial
account”.
40 2
Balance of Payments Manual for India, Sept. 2010, RBI
Foreign Trade and
19.4.1 The Current Account Balance of Payment
The current account includes flows of goods, services, primary income, and
secondary income between residents and non-residents and thus constitutes
an important segment of BoP.
Exports of goods and services and the receipt of transfers are entered in the
current account as credits (+) because they lead to the receipt of payments
from foreigners. On the other hand, imports of goods and services and the
granting of transfers entered as debits (–) because they lead to payment to
foreigners.
The Balance of Trade (BoT) deals only with exports and imports of
merchandise (or visible items). The Balance of Invisibles (BoI) shows net
receipts on account of invisibles. It is not necessary that BoT should always
balance; more often than not, it will show either a surplus or a deficit on BoI.
If the surplus on BoI equals the deficit on BoT, the current account will show
a net balance. But then there is no reason why these two balances should
always be equal, again, always in opposite directions. As a matter of fact, the
balance on current account can always show a deficit or a surplus. A surplus
on current account leads to an acquisition of assets or repayment of debts
previously contracted, and a deficit involves withdrawal of previously
accumulated assets or is met by borrowings.
While the “goods and services (invisibles) account” generally forms a major
part of the current account, the primary income account reflects amounts
payable and receivable in return for providing temporary use of labour,
financial resources, or non-produced non-financial assets (natural resources).
The net effect of all the transactions under the above accounts is known as
the “current account balance”. In other words, the current account balance
shows the difference between the sum of exports of goods and services as
well as income receivable, on the one hand, and the sum of imports and
income payable on the other. From a macroeconomic perspective, the value
of the current account balance reflects the inflow/outflow of foreign
resources bridging the savings-investment gap.
3
As Defined in Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual Sixth
Edition (BPM6), IMF 41
External Sector and records acquisitions and disposals of non-produced non-financial assets, such
Trade Policy
as land sold to embassies and sales of leases and licenses, as well as capital
transfers, that is, the provision of resources for capital purposes by one party
without anything of economic value being supplied as a direct return to that
party.
To be more precise, the capital account shows the change in the nation’s
assets abroad and the foreign assets in the nation, other than official reserve
assets. It includes direct investments (e.g. building of a foreign plant), the
purchase or sale of foreign securities (stocks, bonds, and treasury bills), and
the change in the nation’s non-bank and bank claims on and liabilities to
foreigners during the year. Increases in the nation’s assets abroad and
reductions in the foreign assets in the nation (other than official reserve
assets) are capital outflows or debits (–) in the nation’s capital account
because they lead to payment to foreigners. On the other hand, decreases in
the nation’s assets abroad and increases in foreign assets in the nation are
capital inflows or credits (+) because they lead to the receipt of payments
from foreigners.
The sum of the balances on the current and capital accounts represents the net
lending (surplus) or net borrowing (deficit) by the economy with the rest of
the world. This is conceptually equal to the net balance of the financial
account. In other words, the financial account measures how the net lending
to or borrowing from non-residents is financed. The financial account plus
the other changes account explain the change in the IIP between beginning-
and end-periods.
In the case of a negative value of net errors and omissions, the opposites of
the above would hold.
S.
Item 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19
No.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
I Current Account
1 Exports 3,16,545 2,66,365 2,80,138 3,08,970 3,37,237
2 Imports 4,61,484 3,96,444 3,92,580 4,69,006 5,17,519
3 Trade Balance (1-2) -1,44,940 -1,30,079 -1,12,442 -1,60,036 -1,80,283
4 Invisibles (net) 1,18,081 1,07,928 98,026 1,11,319 1,23,026
A. Services 76,529 69,676 68,345 77,562 81,941
B. Income -24,140 -24,375 -26,302 -28,681 -28,861
C. Transfers 65,692 62,627 55,983 62,438 69,946
Goods and Services
5 -68,411 -60,402 -44,098 -82,474 -98,342
Balance
Current Account
6 Balance -26,859 -22,151 -14,417 -48,717 -57,256
(3+4)
43
External Sector and
Trade Policy
II Capital Account
Capital Account
89,286 41,128 36,447 91,390 54,403
Balance
External Assistance
i. 1,725 1,505 2,013 2,944 3,413
(net)
External
Commercial
ii. 1,570 -4,529 -6,102 -183 10,416
Borrowings
(net)
iii. Short-term credit -111 -1,610 6,467 13,900 2,021
Banking Capital(net)
iv. of 11,618 10,630 -16,616 16,190 7,433
which:
Non-Resident
14,057 16,052 -12,367 9,676 10,387
Deposits (net)
Foreign
v. Investment(net) of 73,456 31,891 43,224 52,401 30,094
which:
A. FDI (net) 31,251 36,021 35,612 30,286 30,712
B. Portfolio (net) 42,205 -4,130 7,612 22,115 -618
vi. Other Flows (net) 1,028 3,242 7,460 6,138 1,026
III Errors and Omission -1,021 -1,073 -480 902 -486
IV Overall Balance 61,406 17,905 21,550 43,574 -3,339
Reserves change
V [increase (–) / -61,406 -17,905 -21,550 -43,574 3,339
Decrease (+)]
Source: Economic Survey 2019-20
44
Foreign Trade and
Table 19.10: Key indicators of India’s Balance of Payments Balance of Payment
(As per centof GDP)
Import
Net Trade Cover
Year Exports Imports
Invisibles Balance of Reserves
(In months)
1981-82 4.5 8.3 2.1 -3.8 3.3
1991-92 6.8 7.8 0.6 -1.0 5.3
2001-02 9.2 11.6 3.1 -2.4 11.5
2011-12 17.0 27.4 6.1 -10.4 7.1
2018-19 12.4 19.0 4.5 -6.6 9.6
Source: Database on Indian Economy, Reserve Bank of India
1 0.7
0
−0.6
−0.4
−1
−1.7 −1.1
−1.7 −1.3 −2.1
−2
−1.8
% of GDP
−3
−4 −4.3
−5 −4.8
−6
1981-82 1991-92 2001-02 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19
Financial Year
45
External Sector and Before 1991
Trade Policy
The entire period was very challenging for India’s BoP, partly because of
slow growth of exports in relation to import requirements and partly because
of adverse external factors. Foreign exchange reserves were at a low level,
generally less than necessary to cover three months’ exports. Almost the
entire CAD (92 per cent) was financed by inflows of external assistance.
Recent Developments
The prominent features of the BoP situation as it has emerged over the last
two decades can be briefly summarised as follows:
Widening Deficit on Balance of Trade Account – Goods: Deficit
towards merchandise trade has been the biggest component of India’s
current account deficit which is adversely impacting the BoP position.
India’s exports and imports have multiplied fast, but imports have risen
at a faster rate than exports. In the recent years, the escalation of global
trade tensions and global slowdown have worsened India’s trade deficit.
As imports grew faster than exports, the deficit in Balance of Trade
(goods) widened to 10.7 per cent of GDP in 2012-13 which narrowed
down to 4.9 per cent of GDP in 2016-17, but again increased to 6.6 per
cent of GDP in 2018-19. The improvement in the deficit of BoT in 2016-
17 was on mainly on account of more than fifty per cent decline in crude
prices.
Role of Invisibles –There has been a phenomenal increase in net surplus
on account of invisibles principally, due to a) buoyancy in private
transfers (i.e. inward remittances), and fast expansion in exports of
services, especially software. India is unique among emerging economies
to have a sizable invisible surplus that substantially offsets the
merchandise trade deficit. Net Private transfer receipts, mainly
representing remittances by Indians employed overseas, increased
marginally from USD 65.7 billion in 2014-15 to around USD 70.0
billion in 2018-19. According to the Economic Survey 2018-19, India
remained a top remittance recipient country in 2018, followed by China,
Mexico, Philippines, and Egypt, with remittance inflows peaking at all-
time high. Of three main components of net invisibles, net services grew
from USD 76.5 billion in 2015-16 to USD 81.9 billion in 2018-19.
Economic Survey 2019-20 points out that the surplus on net services has
been significantly financing the merchandise trade deficit which reached
its peak to about two-thirds of merchandise deficit in 2016-17 before
declining to less than half in the last couple of years. Overall, net
invisibles as a proportion of GDP reflects the net impact of service
exports and imports and unilateral transfers on BoP. In recent times, net
invisibles have grown from USD 118.1 billion in 2015-16 to USD 123.0
billion in 2018-19. However, India’s net surplus on account of invisibles
has been steadily declining in relation to GDP. As a matter of fact,
India’s net invisibles were 6.2 percent of GDP in the year 2013-14 which
continuously declined and reached to 4.2 percent of GDP in 2018-19 and
thereafter marginally improved to 4.5 per cent of GDP in 2019-20.
46
Foreign Trade and
Current Account - Slowdown in global demand, higher global crude oil Balance of Payment
prices, subdued global trade activity and geo-political uncertainties took
a toll on India’s external sector as the CAD widened to its highest level
since 2012-13. (RBI Bulletin November 2019) India’s external sector
faced persistent global headwinds in 2018-19. As a result, CAD which
averaged 1.3 per cent of GDP during 2013-14 to 2017-18 rose to 2.1 per
cent of GDP. (RBI Bulletin November 2019). India’s Current Account
Deficit (CAD) as a percentage of GDP has shown variable trend. The
CAD for the year as a whole widened to –4.8 per cent of GDP in 2012-
13. Thereafter, it started narrowing down to –0.6 per cent in 2016-17.
CAD again increased to –2.1 per cent in 2018-19, primarily on the back
of higher trade deficit. Economic Survey 2019-20 has pointed out that
India’s CAD to GDP ratio significantly improving from 2009-14 to
2014-19.
Developments in Capital Account – Major components in the capital
account are foreign investment (including foreign direct investment and
portfolio investment) and borrowings.On the capital account, India has
been running a significant surplus. As a result, India has been rapidly
building up its foreign exchange reserves. However, during 2018-19,
foreign investment declined to US$30.1 billion as compared to US$ 73.5
billion in period of 2014-15. Economic Survey 2018-19 states that robust
foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, were more than outweighed by
withdrawals under portfolio investment reflecting an escalation of global
risk aversion. Among other forms of capital flows, banking capital
recorded a net inflow ofUS$ 7.4 billion in 2018-19, a 36 per cent decline
over US$11.6 billion in 2014-15. Among debt creating capital flows, net
external assistance increased by 97.9 per cent to US$3.4 billion in 2018-
19 as against US$1.7 billion in 2014-15. External Commercial
Borrowings (ECBs) experienced a significant increase in net inflow of
US$10.4 billion during 2018-19 which is a massive increase of more
than five times as against a net inflow of US$1.6 billion in 2014-15,
reflecting in part a possible credit crunch in the country. Net NRI deposit
declined by 26.1 percent to US$1.0 billion in 2018-19 as against
US$14.0 billion in 2014-15. Net short-term trade credit has shown a
mixed trend and after recording a sharp decline during 2014-15 and
2015-16 due to import contraction, it has increased to US$ 13.9 billion in
2017-18 and thereafter declined to US$2.0 billion in 2018-19. Overall, in
2018-19, net capital flows fell short of financing current account deficit
resulting in depletion of foreign exchange reserves. The capital account
demonstrates following features: (a) Both inflows and outflows of capital
have increased. (b) The composition of capital flows is undergoing a
change: (1) Official external assistance has been gradually losing out its
significance; (2) FDI and portfolio investment have surged, and among
the two, the inflows on account of FDI have been more than on account
of portfolio investment (except 2010-11 when the trend got reversed). (3)
With easing of controls, external commercial borrowings have been
coming back into prominence.
47
External Sector and On account of average GDP growth of 7.5 per cent during the period 2014-
Trade Policy
19, the Balance of Payments (BoP) position of India improved from an
accumulated foreign reserve of US$ 304.2 billion at end of 2013-14 to US$
412.9 billion at end of 2018-19. In recent period, financing of the current
account has become less vulnerable to capital flight as compared to the
previous period. At the same time, it has been observed that growth of forex
reserves in India bears no correlation with movements in net Foreign
Portfolio Investment (FPI). The widening of the current account deficit over
the period has been largely on account of a higher trade deficit driven by rise
in international crude oil prices (Indian basket). Net remittances from Indians
employed overseas has been constantly increasing over the years helping
stabilising the BoP situation. India’s balance of payments position in 2018-19
came under pressure from higher current account deficit (CAD) as well as
lower net capital inflows. Nevertheless, continuous improvement in BoP
position of India shows sentiments and confidence being reflected by global
economy which increasingly believes in India’s growth story.
48
Foreign Trade and
are commonly used to assess the stability and sustainability of a country’s Balance of Payment
stock of external debt relative to the absolute level of the debt.
4
Government Debt, Status Report, March 2012, Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry
of Finance
5
RBI Bulletin December 2017
6
RBI release on 30th Jun 2020 49
External Sector and billion over its level at end-March 2019. Whereas, the share of short-term
Trade Policy
debt (with original maturity of up to one year) in total external debt declined
to 19.1 per cent from 20.0 per cent, the ratio of short-term debt (original
maturity) to foreign exchange reserves declined to 22.4 per cent from 26.3
per cent in the same period.
An increase in external debt to GDP ratio increases debt servicing and draws
down on forex reserves, worsening BoP position. After a significant
reduction in 2014-19 relative to 2009-14, India’s external debt to GDP ratio
slightly increased by 0.3 per cent at the end of first half of 2020 over its level
at end-March 2019, primarily on account of an increase in commercial
borrowings, non-resident deposits and short-term trade credit. Even though
the increase in external debt – on average – exceeded the pace of expansion
of the domestic economy in nominal terms since the second half of the 2000s,
the ratio remained modest relative to its level during the 1990s and stood at
20.6 per cent of GDP at end-March 2020.
A rising share of short-term debt makes the BoP position more vulnerable
because of relatively higher rates of interest on such borrowings. However, a
contraction of short-term debt has been experienced in the falling share of
short-term debt (with original maturity of up to one year) in total external
debt since 2012-13. At a time when exports are not growing rapidly, loans at
high interest rates can create pressure on BoP in the future.
Table 19.13 summarises the key external debt indicators of India reflecting
that India’s external debt is not unsustainable.
Debt Service Ratio indicates the claim that servicing of external debt makes
on current receipts and is, therefore, a measure of strain on BoP due to
servicing of debt service obligations. Debt Service ratio was badly hight at
35.3per cent in 1991 which increased till 2016 and then declined
continuously since 2016 from 8.8 per cent to 6.5 per cent in 2020 (end-
March).Total External Debt to Exports Ratio, another measure of debt
sustainability, increased since 2014 till 2016 and then reduced to 107.1 per
50 cent.
Foreign Trade and
Table 19.13: India’s Key External Debt Indicators Balance of Payment
19.8 KEYWORDS
19.9 REFERENCES
1) Balance of Payments andInternationalInvestmentPosition Manual, Sixth
Edition (BPM6), International Monetary Fund.
2) Basu, Kaushik and AnnemieMaertens, (ed.), (2011).The New Oxford
Companion to Economics in India, Oxford University Press, New
Delhi
3) Bhagwati, Jagdish, (2004).In Defence of Globalisation, Oxford
University Press, New Delhi
4) EXIM Bank of India, Annual Reports.
5) RBI, Annual Reports.
6) Ministry of Finance, Economic Survey, 2017-18, 2018-19, 2019-20
53
External Sector and 7) Reddy, Y.V.: India and the Global Financial Crisis: Managing Money
Trade Policy
and Finance,Orient Blackswan, Hyderabad.
54
UNIT 20 FOREIGN CAPITAL Foreign Capital
Structure
20.0 Objectives
20.1 Introduction
20.2 Types of Foreign Capital
20.3 Foreign Investment in India
20.3.1 Trends and Magnitude of FDI
20.3.2 Sectoral Distribution of FDI
20.3.3 Countries of Origin of FDI in India
20.3.4 Evolution of Inward Foreign Capital Policy
20.3.5 Key Measures Taken by India to Attract FDI
20.3.6 Consolidated FDI Policy, 2020
20.4 Capital Outflows- Overseas Foreign Direct Investment
20.4.1 Drivers of India’s OFDI
20.4.2 Evolution of OFDI Policy in India
20.4.3 Trends and Magnitude of OFDI flows from India
20.4.4 Sectoral Composition of OFDI flows from India
20.4.5 Destination-wise OFDI flows from India
20.5 Let Us Sum Up
20.6 Key Words
20.7 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
Appendix 20.1
Appendix 20.2
20.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to:
● analyse the role of foreign capital in the growth process of a developing
economy;
● know the types and sources of foreign capital;
● explain evolution and various phases of India’s policy towards foreign
capital;
● discuss composition, trend, and sources of origin of inward Foreign
Direct Investment to India;
● examine composition, trend, and destinations of Overseas Foreign Direct
Investment (OFDI) of India; and
● evaluate the Government of India’s Policy towards Foreign Capital.
55
External Sector and
Trade Policy
20.1 INTRODUCTION
The term Foreign Capital is primarily associated with inflow of foreign
capital into home country from foreign countries. Spread of globalisation and
opening of the economies along with recent technological advances have led
to movement of firms from one geography to another, thereby contributing to
the economic integration of the world. For any economy, particularly for the
developing economy, foreign capital plays acritical role including by (i)
bridging investment-saving gap (ii) bridging management, entrepreneurship,
technology and skilling gap (iii) bridging foreign exchange gap, (iv)
undertaking initial business risks, (v) contributing to development of basic
economic infrastructure, (vi) supporting stability of foreign exchange and
reducing balance of payment deficit, (vii) facilitating integration with other
economies of the world for trade of goods and services and (vii) eventually
supporting higher development. Because of these collateral benefits
associated with foreign capital, greater use of foreign capital is associated
with improved prospects for economic growth.
Foreign capital helps to improve the competitiveness of the domestic
economy by breaking domestic monopolies. A healthy competitive
environment always pushes firms to continuously enhance their processes
and product offerings, thereby fostering innovation. Consumers also gain
access to a wider range of competitively priced products.
From the perspective of both governments and businesses, foreign capital has
become an important factor in driving economic growth and development. By
acquiring a controlling interest in foreign assets, businesses can quickly
explore new products, technologies, and markets. Leveraging the foreign
capital, governments can create jobs and improve economic growth. Various
studies have shown that the growth of developing and emerging economies is
being driven by leveraging incoming foreign capital in the form of direct
investments. At the same time, firms investing abroad can realise higher
growth rates and diversify their income, which creates opportunities for
investors.
In this unit we shall discuss these various issues related to the foreign capital.
1) Foreign Investment:
i) Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
ii) Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI)
2) External Commercial Borrowings (ECB)
3) Commercial Deposits by Non-Resident Citizens / NRI Deposits
4) External Assistance
i) Loans
56
ii) Grants Foreign Capital
1
Master Direction - External Commercial Borrowings, Trade Credits and Structured
Obligations, FED Master Direction No.5/2018-19, Reserve Bank of India 57
External Sector and recognised non-resident entities and should conform to parameters such as
Trade Policy minimum maturity, permitted and non-permitted end-uses, maximum all-in-
cost ceiling, etc. The parameters apply in totality and not on a stand alone
basis. RBI further prescribes the framework for raising loans through ECB.
The ECB Framework enables permitted resident entities to borrow from
recognised non-resident entities in the following forms:
i) Loans including bank loans;
ii) Securitised instruments (e.g. floating rate notes and fixed rate bonds,
non-convertible, optionally convertible or partially convertible
preference shares / debentures);
iii) Buyers’ credit;
iv) Suppliers’ credit;
v) Foreign Currency Convertible Bonds (FCCBs);
vi) Financial Lease; and
vii) Foreign Currency Exchangeable Bonds (FCEBs)
Commercial loans, which primarily take the form of bank loans issued to
foreign businesses or governments. External Assistance to India denotes
multilateral and bilateral loans received under the agreements between
Government of India and other Governments/International institutions and
repayments of such loans by India, except loan repayment to erstwhile
“Rupee area” countries that are covered under the Rupee Debt Service. This
also include Official Development Assistance (ODA), received by the
country from donor countries and International organisations e.g. UNO,
World Bank etc. The main objective of such aid is to promote the economic
development of the recipient countries.
During the global financial crisis, when there was a significant deceleration
in global FDI flows the decline in FDI flows in 2009-10 to India was
relatively moderate on the back of strong rebound in domestic growth.
However, in subsequent year of 2010-11, gross FDI equity inflows to India
witnessed significant moderation. After the launch of Make in India in
September 2014, the trends in FDI have improved, showing a positive impact
on the foreign investors due to investor friendly signals from India. India has
jumped from 15th position in 2014 to 10th position in 2015 in the most trusted
nations for FDI. According to World Investment Report 2020, published by
UNCTAD, despite a slowdown in the global economy and growing global
investment concerns due to disruptions in supply chains, India was able to
sustain the pace of FDI in 2019-20 and was the 9th largest recipient country
globally in 2019. Economic Survey 2019-20 pointed out that continuous
liberalisation of FDI guidelines has been responsible for rising in flows of
foreign investment into the country.
The Indian rules for foreign portfolio investments (FPIs) have undergone
several regulatory changes designed to ease investment in the last few years.
FPIs primarily consist of securities and other financial assets passively held
by foreign investors, generally for short-term speculation. Foreign portfolio
investment differs from foreign direct investment in that it does not give the
invest or direct ownership of financial assets.
FPIs in India have been volatile over the years. In 2008-09, 2015-16 and
2018-19, there was a net portfolio outflow from the country that was seen as
weakening of confidence of investors in India’s economy.
59
External Sector and The net portfolio out flow in 2008-09 was $14.03 billion. This is when the
Trade Policy financial crisis hit the developed economies, and many financial institutions
would have withdrawn investments from India and other developing
countries, in order to strengthen their balance sheets at home. In 2015-16
foreign portfolio flows, remain vulnerable to bouts of global risk aversion
which resulted in outflow to the tune of $4.13 billion. Similarly, in 2018-19,
there was a net portfolio outflow of $0.62 billion from the country that was
seen as weakening of confidence of investors in India’s economy.
“As per the extant policy, Government of India does not accept aid in areas
where it has substantial control. While bilateral aid is accepted only from G-
8 countries, the Russian Federation, and the EC, tied aid is not accepted at
all. Channelisation of external assistance from smaller partners (other than
those mentioned above), is only through multilateral organisations to
promote greater aid harmonisation. Further, all countries can provide
bilateral development assistance directly to autonomous institutions,
universities, NGOs, etc through a simplified procedure. Directing of external
assistance of smaller size towards the non-government sector allows this
sector to remain an effective channel for implementation of development
programmes and strengthens the civil society”.
Net flows into non-resident deposit account declined by 17 per cent in 2019-
20 as deposits under the Non-Resident (External) Rupee (NRE) accounts,
which accounted for the bulk of the inflows declined sharply. Softening of
term deposit rates and expectations of further depreciation of rupee amidst
global uncertainties partly moderated flows into this account. Among the
other two accounts, deposits in Non-Resident Ordinary Rupee (NRO)
accounts and the Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Banks) [FCNR (B)]
accounts remained at the previous year’s level
From a sectoral perspective, FDI2 in India mainly flowed into services sector
(with a cumulative total of $132.8 billion — 69.5 per cent of total equity FDI
flow in the past five years from 2015-16 to 2019-20) followed by
manufacturing, $43.5 billion (around 22.83 per cent during) the same period.
Share of service in total equity FDI inflow to India increased from 62.6
percent ($22.6 billion) in 2015-16 to 77.8 per cent (28.3 billion) in 2017-18
and then declined to 74.2 per cent in 2019-20 ($31.6 billion). Within
manufacturing sector, automobile, chemicals (other than fertilizers) and drugs
& pharmaceuticals are the main sectors responsible for significant FDI.
The rise in FDI flows to India has been accompanied by strong regional
concentration. As per the data released by Department for Promotion of
Industry and Internal Trade (DPIIT)3, the top six states, viz., Maharashtra
(30.35 per cent), Karnataka (17.92 per cent), Delhi (16.6 per cent) Gujarat
2
in equity through SIA/FIPB and RBI routes only and excluding acquisition of
shares and equity capital of unincorporated bodies, as per Reserve Bank of India.
3
https://dipp.gov.in/sites/default/files/FDI_Factsheet_March20_28May_2020.pdf 61
External Sector and (11.05 per cent), Jharkhand (7.7 per cent) and Tamil Nadu (4.21 per cent)
Trade Policy
accounted for over 80 per cent of the FDI equity flows to India between
October 2019 to March 2020. The top two states, i.e., Maharashtra and
Karnataka accounted for over 45 per cent of FDI flows during this period.
Maharashtra alone accounted for over 30 per cent of FDI flows to India
during the same period.
Despite impressive growth rates achieved by most of the Indian states as well
as aggressive investment promotion policies pursued by various state
governments, the concentration of FDI flows across a few Indian states
continues to exist.
During 2019-20, India received the maximum FDI equity inflow from
Singapore (US$ 12.6 billion), followed by Mauritius (US$ 7.5 billion),
Netherlands (US$ 5.3 billion), Cayman Islands (US $3.5 billion), USA (US$
3.4 billion) and Japan (US$ 2.3 billion).
Major shift occurred when India embarked upon economic liberalisation and
reforms programme in 1991 aiming to raise its growth potential and
integrating with the world economy. Industrial policy reforms gradually
removed restrictions on investment projects and business expansion on the
one hand and allowed increased access to foreign technology and funding on
the other. A series of measures that were directed towards liberalising foreign
investment included: (i) introduction of dual route of approval of FDI– RBI’s
automatic route and Government’s approval (SIA/FIPB) route, (ii) automatic
permission for technology agreements in high priority industries and removal
of restriction of FDI in low technology areas as well as liberalisation of
technology imports, (iii) permission to Non-resident Indians (NRIs) and
Overseas Corporate Bodies (OCBs) to invest up to 100 per cent in high
priorities sectors, (iv) hike in the foreign equity participation limits to 51 per
cent for existing companies and liberalisation of the use of foreign ‟brands
name’’ and (v) signing the Convention of Multilateral Investment Guarantee
Agency (MIGA) for protection of foreign investments. These efforts were
boosted by the enactment of Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA),
1999 [that replaced the Foreign Exchange Regulation Act (FERA), 1973]
which was less stringent. This along with the sequential financial sector
reforms paved way for greater capital account liberalisation in India. Table
20.1 summarises the evolutionary phases of India’s inward FDI policy
regime.
63
External Sector and Table 20.1: Evolution of India’s Inward FDI Policy
Trade Policy
Policy Phase / Salient Features of Inward FDI Policy
Period
After • India’s policy with regard to foreign capital was
Independence formulated, for the first time, in the Industrial Policy
Resolution of April 1948.
• The government recognised participation of foreign
capital and enterprise, particularly as regards to
industrial technique and knowledge for rapid
industrialisation of the economy.
• There were no restrictions on the 100 per cent
ownership of Indian subsidiaries, but the authorities
exerted informed pressure on foreign companies to
sell part of their equity to local investors.
• The policy environment was sufficiently
unpredictable to discourage new entrants into India.
During 1960- • FDI policy of India was more restrictive due to the
1980s need to develop local industries.
• No FDI was allowed without transfer of technology.
• Renewals of foreign collaborations were restricted.
• Foreign Exchange Regulation Act, 1973 was
restricted to FDI in certain core or high priority
industries.
• Equity participation was restricted to 40 per cent.
• FDI regime was characterised by a cautious welcome
to foreign investments meaning retaining majority
domestic ownership and effective control in foreign
enterprises.
• Inward-looking, import substitution strategy of
economic development began, quota, permit, and
license regime prevailed all the way and was guided
and controlled by the bureaucracy.
• Development pattern was characterised by strong
centralised pharming, government ownership of
basic and key industries, excessive regulation and
control of private enterprise, trade protectionism
through tariff and non-tariff barriers.
1980s to 1990s • Attitude towards FDI was liberalised as a part of the
industrial policy resolutions.
• Inward looking regulatory regime continued until the
early 1980s.
• Government of India introduced a series of measures
through 1985-industrial policy, to reduce control on
industries, particularly large ones.
Since 1991 • Government started the process of liberalisation of
FDI policy in July 1991; the first-generation reforms
created conducive environment for foreign
investment in India. Foreign investment and
64
technology collaboration was welcomed to obtain Foreign Capital
higher technology, to increase exports and to expand
the production base.
• Foreign Exchange Regulation Act (FERA), 1973
was replaced with Foreign Exchange Management
Act, 1999 (FEMA).
• Licensing and permit quota regime were eliminated,
and firms in all but a few sectors were allowed to
start operations without government approval.
• Automatic route for FDI is permitted.
• Except for certain specified activities, no prior
approval from exchange control authorities i.e.,
Reserve Bank of India is required.
• Many new sectors were thrown open for FDI.
• Eventually, FDI was permitted in virtually every
sector, except those of strategic concern such as
defence and transport.
• Approval mechanism for FDI was made simpler and
transparent.
• Two approval routes i.e., automatic route and
Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) route
was introduced.
• Capital account restrictions were eased to allow
Indian companies to raise capital abroad, by way of
Eurobonds and GDR/ADRs.
• Foreign companies were permitted to set up 100 per
cent subsidiaries in India.
• Focus shifted to opening of infrastructure, insurance
and service sector, liberalising royalty payment
regime and permitting royalty on trademarks and
brand names.
• Foreign equity was permitted up to 100 per cent in
roads, ports, harbours, bridges, and highways in
1999.
• In the year 2000, a paradigm shift occurred, wherein,
except for a negative list, all the remaining activities
were placed under the automatic route.
• From 2014 onwards, FDI regime was further
liberalised in the sectors like defence, mining,
insurance, pensions e-commerce, retail, and media
etc.
Source: Compiled from various reports published by RBI, Ministry of Finance
iii) This has been possible as the government has continued to regularly
review FDI norms, basis the changing economic landscape and
geopolitical environment. All these proactive steps have borne fruit, as is
evident from the ever-increasing volumes of FDI inflows and first five
months of fiscal 2021 witnessed highest ever inflow of US$35.7 billion,
a 13 per cent increase from last year.
iv) Given India’s growing demographics, and huge e-commerce and
technological markets, activity in both areas are expected to grow in the
following years.
Over the years, systematic reforms have helped the Indian economy
withstand many a crisis. India is taking a holistic approach to address other
historical issues: for instance, it has already announced labour reforms to
allow more flexible labour related practices; power reforms (addressing high
industrial power tariffs) and port-linked industrial cluster policy (to resolve
the issue of scarcity of industrial land). Structural reforms within the
Agricultural sector, along with US$13 billion Agri-infra fund will be enablers
to attract FDI.
Some of the important reforms that have been put in motion are:
i) Corporate tax rate for new manufacturing facilities at 15 per cent to
make it competitive vis-à-vis ASEAN countries.
iv) Production linked incentives of Rs. 197 thousand crores for 13 sectors.
66
v) Monetary incentives on incremental sales for a period of five years to Foreign Capital
offset disability manufacturing in India. Initial focus on high import
items (cell phones) and healthcare related products.
vi) Increase in FDI limit for defence production under automatic route from
49 per cent to 74 per cent.
viii) Consolidating over 100 labour laws into 4 codes with higher exemptions
for retrenchment and fewer registrations.
xii) Airport Authority of India (AAI) has awarded 3 airports out of 6 bids for
Operation and Maintenance on Public Private Partnership (PPP) Basis.
xiv) New Public Sector and Enterprises Policy where all sectors are open to
private sector while public sector enterprises will play a role in defined
areas.
67
External Sector and Key changes
Trade Policy
i) This Revised Policy supersedes all the press notes, press releases,
clarifications and/or circulars issued by the DPIIT, which were in force
as on 15 October 2020.
ii) The Revised Policy is aligned with the Implementation of the Foreign
Exchange Management (Non-debt Instruments) Rules, 2019 (NDI Rules)
and Foreign Exchange Management (Mode of Payment and Reporting of
Non-Debt Instruments) Regulations, 2019 by incorporating all necessary
changes, including procedural instructions on payment of inward
remittance and reporting requirements.
iii) Government scrutiny of investments from India’s neighbouring countries
- An entity of a country, which shares a land border with India or where
the beneficial owner of an investment into India is situated in or is a
citizen of any such country– can invest only under the Government
approval route. The Revised Policy also included the scenario with
respect to transfer of ownership of an Indian entity, directly or indirectly,
resulting in the beneficial ownership falling within the
restriction/purview stated above. Therefore, any transfer of ownership
resulting into transfer of beneficial ownership to entities or citizens of
neighbouring countries sharing land borders will require government
approval.
68
3) State the nature of technology gap faced by a developing economy. Foreign Capital
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
4) State various types of Foreign Capital.
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
5) Distinguish between Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Foreign
Portfolio Investment.
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
6) List the top sectors and country of origin responsible for FDI into India.
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
7) State three important reforms introduced to attract FDI in India.
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
iv) Low factor cost advantages in the host country (as in natural resources).
v) If the interest rate in a foreign country is low as compare to India, there
would be greater incentive to borrow abroad and make direct
investments abroad.
vi) Depreciation of Indian currency will make it more attractive for Indian
companies to invest overseas in another currency.
vii) Saturation of the Indian market lead to the need to enhance their export-
competitiveness in third country markets.
4
Outward Direct Investment from India: Trends, Objectives and Policy Perspectives,
70 Export-Import Bank of India, May 2014.
strategy or market entry plus strategy (e.g. accessing strategic asset)implying Foreign Capital
a multi-purpose intention of making an overseas investment.
With the gradual opening of the economy since 1991-92, regulatory regime
guiding India’s OFDI was witnessed gradual changes over the period of time.
Current OFDI policy orientation is now more or less region/country neutral.
This has encouraged large number of Indian firms to establish their foothold
in international markets, through acquisitions and investments in businesses.
Table 20.2 summarises the evolution of Indian policy regime towards OFDI.
Policy
Phase / Salient Features of OFDI Policy
Period
• The period of Economic Liberalisation in India
• “Guidelines Governing Indian Joint Ventures / Wholly
owned Subsidiaries Abroad” was introduced.
• ‘Automatic Route’ for overseas investments by Indian
entrepreneurs was introduced in 1992.
• Cash remittances were allowed for the first time.
However, the total value was restricted to US$ 2 million
Phase I with a cash component not exceeding US$ 0.5 million in
(1992-94) block of 3 years.
• Provided more operational freedom to investors, subject
to the condition that no additional financial transfers from
India was required.
• Removed the requirement of only minority equity
shareholding in JVs.
• Financial sector was excluded from the purview of
automatic approvals.
71
External Sector and • Aimed at providing a transparent policy framework for
Trade Policy
Indian investors to plan their business.
• Guidelines for Indian Direct Investment in Joint Ventures
and Wholly-owned Subsidiaries Abroad was suitably
amended to support the overseas investment by the Indian
businesses.
• Conception of Fast Track Route work relating to
approvals for overseas investment was transferred from
Ministry of Commerce to the Reserve Bank of India to
provide a single window clearance mechanism.
• Limits were raised from US$ 2 million to US$ 4 million
and linked to average export earnings of the preceding
three years.
• Above US$ 4 million, approvals were considered under
the normal route approved by a Special Committee.
• In 1997, limit of automatic approval was increased up to
US$15 Million.
Phase II • Investment proposals in excess of US$ 15 million were
(1995- considered by the Ministry of Finance with
1999) recommendations of the Special Committee and were
generally approved if the required resources were raised
through the global depository receipts (GDR) route.
• The exchange earners, other than exporters, were brought
under the fast track route in 1997.
• Permitted acquisitions of foreign companies.
• The condition that the amount of outward investment
should be repatriated in full by way of dividend, royalty,
etc. within a period of five years was done away.
• Investments in Nepal and Bhutan, in Indian currency,
increased up to INR. 120 crores.
• In 1999, annual ceiling of OFDI under fast track mode
was further increased to US$ 30 Million in SAARC
countries and Myanmar. For other countries, the ceiling
remained at $15 million.
• A series of measures to encourage software industry in
India to expand capacity: reduce costs, improve quality,
and invest abroad, were introduced.
• Implementation of the Foreign Exchange Management
Act (FEMA) in June 2000.
• Liberalisation under FEMA and thereafter scope of
Phase III outward FDI expanded significantly.
(2000 • 2002-Annual limit of investment under automatic
onwards) approval increased to US$ 100 Million to Indian corporate
with a proven track record for investment in overseas joint
ventures or wholly owned subsidiaries, even where the
investment is not in the same core activity as they are
72 engaged. They were also allowed to invest in such
ventures up to 100% of their net worth. Foreign Capital
5
Joseph, Reji K.: Outward FDI from India: Review of Policy and Emerging Trends. 73
External Sector and vii) Proceeds of foreign currency funds raised through ADR / GDR issues.
Trade Policy
20.4.3 Trends and Magnitude of OFDI flows from India
In terms of flow of overseas investment, equity and loans would be relevant
as a very small proportion of guarantees are invoked which require the flow
of money. Table 20.7 (in appendix 20.2) shows that outward foreign direct
investment flows rose from US $ 677.7 million in 2000-01 to US$ 12.9
billion in 2019-20.
Cumulative OFDI for the period of 2000-01 to 2019-20 in the form of equity
and loans constitute 66.7 per cent and 30.6 per cent share respectively of the
total OFDI from India. Only 2.7 per cent of guarantee was actually invoked
during this period. Annual OFDI flows exhibited a growing trend till 2007-
08.The global financial crisis affected the flow of outward FDI from India in
2009-10. Thereafter, it shows mixed trend. The share of financing OFDI
through equities declined from 88.8 per cent in 2000-01 to 48.4 per cent in
2019-20, while share of loans in financing outward OFDI from India rose
from 10.4 per cent to 45.9 per cent during the corresponding period.
The recent trend is showing that outward FDI form India is increasingly
flowing to developed countries. This reflects growing confidence of the
Indian corporate to expand their global footprints. Indian firms invest in
foreign shores primarily through mergers and acquisition (M&A). With rising
M&A activity, companies will get direct access to newer and more extensive
markets and better technologies, which would enable them to increase their
customer base and achieve a global reach.
According to the RBI Annual report 2019-20, outward direct investment by
Indian entities also remained robust as Indian entities continued to expand
their overseas business operations. Outward FDI was mainly in the form of
equity and loans to subsidiaries/ affiliated enterprises, primarily to Singapore,
the US, the UK, Mauritius, Switzerland, and the Netherlands, which
accounted for 75 per cent of total overseas investments during the period.
74
Most of these investments were made in the business services, manufacturing Foreign Capital
and restaurants and hotels sector.
i) In 2019-20, India invested in 120 projects and created 5,429 new jobs in
the UK to become the second-largest source of foreign direct investment
(FDI).
iv) In February 2020, Bharti Airtel invested US$ 978.92 million in its
wholly owned subsidiary in Mauritius.
ix) In December 2019, supply chain focused fintech firm, LivFin, raised
US$ 5 million of equity capital from German development finance
institution DEG.
xii) In September 2019, Reliance Power announced joint venture (JV) with
Japanese energy major JERA to jointly set up a 750-Megawatt (MW)
gas-based combined cycle power project (phase-1) at Meghnaghat in
Bangladesh.
6
https://www.ibef.org/economy/indian-investments-abroad seen on 28th Dec 2020. 75
External Sector and xiii) In September 2019, OYO acquired Copenhagen-based data science
Trade Policy firm Danamica. This marked the fast-growing lodging start-up to
expand its business in Europe.
Various studies have established that for Indian economy, foreign capital,
particularly FDI has had a positive impact. FDI inflow has helped
supplementing domestic capital, as well as bridging technology and skills
gaps of existing companies. It also helped to establish new companies. All of
these have contributed to economic growth of the Indian Economy.
78
APPENDIX 20.1 Foreign Capital
PROHIBITED SECTORS
Inward FDI to India is prohibited in:
a) Lottery Business including Government/private lottery, online lotteries,
etc.
b) Gambling and Betting including casinos etc.
c) Chit funds
d) Nidhi company
e) Trading in Transferable Development Rights (TDRs)
f) Real Estate Business or Construction of Farmhouses
g) ‘Real estate businesses shall not include development of townships,
construction of residential /commercial premises, roads or bridges and
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) registered and regulated under the
SEBI (REITs) Regulations 2014.
h) Manufacturing of cigars, cheroots, cigarillos, and cigarettes, of tobacco
or of tobacco substitutes.
i) Activities/sectors not open to private sector investment e.g.(I) Atomic
Energy and (II) Railway operations (other than permitted activities
mentioned under the consolidated FDI policy).
Foreign technology collaboration in any form including licensing for
franchise, trademark, brand name, management contract is also prohibited for
Lottery Business, Gambling and Betting activities.
Permitted Sectors
Table: Sector Specific Limits of Foreign Investment in India
7
Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade (FDI Division), Ministry of
Commerce & Industry, Government of India. 79
External Sector and • Services related to agro and allied sectors
Trade Policy
Note: Besides the above, FDI is not allowed in
any other agricultural sector/activity
PLANTATION SECTOR
• Tea sector including tea plantations 100% Automatic
• Coffee plantations
• Rubber plantations
• Cardamom plantations
• Palm oil tree plantations
• Olive oil tree plantations
81
External Sector and • Defence Industry subject to Industrial license 100% Automatic
Trade Policy up to 74%
under the Industries (Development and
Regulation) Act, 1951 and Manufacturing of Government
small arms and ammunition under the Arms route
Act, 1959 beyond
Note: Other Conditions Applicable as notified 74%
by the Govt of India wherever it
is likely to
result in
access to
modern
technology
or for other
reasons to
be recorded.
SERVICES SECTOR
BROADCASTING
Broadcasting Carriage Services 100% Automatic
• Teleports (setting up of up-linking HUBs/
Teleports);
• Direct to Home (DTH);
• Cable Networks (Multi-System operators
(MSOs) operating at National or State or
District level and undertaking upgradation of
networks towards digitalisation and
addressability);
• Mobile TV;
• Headend-in-the Sky Broadcasting Service
(HITS)
Cable Networks 100% Automatic
• (Other MSOs not undertaking upgradation of
networks towards digitalisation and
addressability and Local Cable Operators
(LCOs))
Note: Infusion of fresh foreign investment, beyond 49% in a company not
seeking license/permission from sectoral Ministry, resulting in change in
the ownership pattern or transfer of stake by existing investor to new
foreign investor, will require Government approval.
BROADCASTING CONTENT SERVICES
• Terrestrial Broadcasting FM (FM Radio), 49% Government
subject to such terms and conditions, as
specified from time to time, by Ministry of
Information & Broadcasting, for grant of
permission for setting up of FM Radio stations.
• Up-linking of ‘News & Current Affairs’ TV 49% Government
Channels
82
• Uploading/Streaming of News & Current 26% Government Foreign Capital
Affairs through Digital Media
• Up-linking of Non- ‘News & Current 100% Automatic
Affairs’ TV Channels/ Down-linking of TV
Channels
PRINT MEDIA
• Publishing of newspaper and periodicals 26% Government
dealing with news and current affairs
• Publication of Indian editions of foreign 26% Government
magazines dealing with news and current
affairs
• Publishing/printing of scientific and technical 100% Government
magazines/specialty journals/ periodicals,
subject to compliance with the legal
framework as applicable and guidelines issued
in this regard from time to time by Ministry of
Information and Broadcasting.
• Publication of facsimile edition of foreign 100% Government
newspapers
CIVIL AVIATION
AIRPORTS
• Greenfield projects 100% Automatic
• Existing projects 100% Automatic
83
External Sector and • Construction-development projects (which 100% Automatic
Trade Policy
would include development of townships,
construction of residential/commercial
premises, roads or bridges, hotels, resorts,
hospitals, educational institutions, recreational
facilities, city and regional level infrastructure,
townships)
INDUSTRIAL PARKS
• Industrial Parks- new and existing 100% 100%
Automatic
SATELLITES- ESTABLISHMENT AND OPERATION
• Satellites- establishment and operation, subject 100% Government
to the sectoral guidelines of Department of
Space/ISRO
PRIVATE SECURITY AGENCIES
• Private Security Agencies 74% Automatic
up to 49%
Government
route beyond
49% and up
to 74%
TELECOM SERVICES
• Telecom Services (including Telecom 100% Automatic
Infrastructure Providers Category-I) All up to 49%
telecom services including Telecom
Infrastructure Providers Category-I, viz. Basic, Government
Cellular, United Access Services, Unified route
License (Access Services), Unified License, beyond 49%
National/International Long Distance,
Commercial V-Sat, Public Mobile Radio
Trunked Services (PMRTS), Global Mobile
Personal Communications Services (GMPCS),
All types of ISP licenses, Voice Mail/
Audiotex/UMS, Resale of IPLC, Mobile
Number Portability Services, Infrastructure
Provider Category-I (providing dark fibre,
right of way, duct space, tower) except Other
Service Providers
TRADING
• Cash & Carry Wholesale Trading/Wholesale 100% Automatic
Trading (including sourcing from MSEs)
E-COMMERCE ACTIVITIES
• E-commerce activities 100% Automatic
85
External Sector and • Asset Reconstruction Company’ (ARC) 100% Automatic
Trade Policy
means a company registered with the Reserve
Bank of India under Section 3 of the
Securitisation and Reconstruction of Financial
Assets and Enforcement of Security Interest
Act, 2002 (SARFAESI Act).
BANKING- PRIVATE SECTOR
• Banking- Private Sector 74% Automatic
up to 49%
Government
route beyond
49% and
up to 74%.
BANKING- PUBLIC SECTOR
• Banking- Public Sector subject to Banking 20% Government
Companies (Acquisition and Transfer of
Undertakings) Acts 1970/80. This ceiling
(20%) is also applicable to the State Bank of
India and its associate Banks.
CREDIT INFORMATION COMPANIES (CIC)
• Credit Information Companies 100% Automatic
POWER EXCHANGES
• Power Exchanges registered under the Central 49% Automatic
Electricity Regulatory Commission (Power
Market) Regulations, 2010.
WHITE LABEL ATM OPERATIONS
86
• White Label ATM Operations 100% Automatic Foreign Capital
87
External Sector and
Trade Policy
APPENDIX 20.2
Table 20.1: Foreign Investment Flows
Amount in US $ Million
1 2 3 4 5 6
Notes:
1. Data on FDI have been revised since 2000-01 with expanded coverage to
approach international best practices.
2. Negative (-) sign indicates outflow.
3. Direct Investment data for 2006-07 include swap of shares of 310 Crore.
Source: Reserve Bank of India.
88
Table 20.2: Net Inflow of Portfolio Investment Foreign Capital
(Amount in US $ Million )
(US $ million)
Net Inflow of Foreign % Growth over Previous
Year
Aid Year
2000-01 -537
2001-02 332 161.8%
2002-03 -3912 -1278.3%
2003-04 -3225 -17.6%
89
External Sector and 2004-05 952 129.5%
Trade Policy
2005-06 1545 62.3%
2006-07 1290 -16.5%
2007-08 1655 28.3%
2008-09 2179 31.7%
2009-10 3129 43.6%
2010-11 4720 50.8%
2011-12 2612 -44.7%
2012-13 910 -65.2%
2013-14 1500 64.8%
2014-15 1261 -15.9%
2015-16 1715 36.0%
2016-17 1734 1.1%
2017-18 2197 26.7%
2018-19 2337 6.4%
2019-20 2475 5.9%
Source: Reserve Bank of India
Total FDI in
S. Equity (SIA/FIPB 36068 36317 37366 38744 42629 191124
No. & RBI Routes (100.0%) (100.0%) (100.0%) (100.0%) (100.0%) (100.0%)
only)
Sector-wise Inflows
8439 11972 7066 7919 8153 43549
1 Manufacturing
(23.4%) (33.0%) (18.9%) (20.4%) (19.1%) (22.8%)
Education,
394 205 347 736 528 2210
2.9 Research &
(1.7%) (0.9%) (1.2%) (2.6%) (1.7%) (1.7%)
Development
Cumulative
Inflows
Source/Industry 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20
(Apr 2015 to
March 2020)
Total FDI in
Equity
36,068 36,317 37,366 38,744 42,629 1,91,124
(SIA/FIPB &
RBI routes only)
Country-wise Inflows
94
Table: 20.8: Sector-wise Composition of OFDI Outflow Foreign Capital
Cumulative
S. OFDI
Sectors 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20
No. (2015-16 to
2019-20)
Financial,
4245.69 4563.03 6743.56 5345.48 3687.43 24585.19
1 Insurance and
(34.3%) (29.8%) (40.7%) (39.6%) (28.6%) (34.8%)
Business Services
Transport, Storage
and 2372.02 1515.68 913.44 113.77 901.33 5816.24
8
Communication (19.2%) (9.9%) (5.5%) (0.8%) (7.0%) (8.2%)
Services
95
External Sector and
Trade Policy
Table 20.9: Top Ten OFDI Destination Countries
Cumulative
S.
Country 2015-16 2016-17 2017-2018 2018-19 2019-20 OFDI (2015-
No.
16 to 2019-20)
1439.21 2892.72 2665.53 2846.06 3717.03 13560.55
1 Singapore
(11.6%) (18.9%) (16.1%) (21.1%) (28.9%) (19.2%)
British
128.8 102.32 130.79 85.12 181.69 628.72
10 Virgin
(1.0%) (0.7%) (0.8%) (0.6%) (1.4%) (0.9%)
Islands
Total OFDI
11028.35 13883.6 9603.54 10669.77 11027.32 56212.58
to Top 10
(89.2%) (90.7%) (58.0%) (79.0%) (85.6%) (79.6%)
Countries
Total OFDI
12363.56 15311.56 16563.53 13509.55 12880.27 70628.47
(to All
(100.0%) (100.0%) (100.0%) (100.0%) (100.0%) (100.0%)
Countries)
96
Foreign Capital
BLOCK 6
MAJOR ISSUES CONFRONTING
INDIAN ECONOMY
97
External Sector and
Trade Policy
BLOCK 6 MAJOR ISSUES CONFRONTING
INDIAN ECONOMY
The major issues confronting Indian economy, i.e., Poverty, Malnutrition and
Inclusive Growth, Employment and Unemployment, Social Security,
Regional Disparities, and Good Governance constitute the subject matter of
Block 6. The block comprises of five units.
Unit 21 entitled Poverty, Malnutrition and Inclusive Growth: Policy
Implications throws light on the concept of Poverty, different income and
non-income indicators of poverty, concept of Malnutrition and the factors
conditioning the nutritional status of children and adults in India. It also
covers the concept of inclusive growth along with the policy implications.
Unit 22 entitled Employment and Unemployment: Policy Challenges
covers various dimensions of unemployment in India, the concepts used in
measuring employment and unemployment by NSSO and PLFS. The unit
examines growth and the quality of employment in the post-reform period,
and suggests various measures towards the employment policy framework.
Unit 23 entitled Social Security Measures in India discusses the meaning
of social security, the approaches towards social security, different acts and
programmes launched by the government on Social Security. It also analyses
social security code and its benefits along with the policy measures.
Unit 24 entitled Regional Disparity in India: Policy Implications sheds
light on the meaning of regional disparity, analyses regional disparity in
terms of macroeconomic aggregates including growth rate, per capita GDP,
etc. Special focus has been given to the regional disparity in agriculture and
infrastructural development, and on review of regional disparity in human
development.
Unit 25 entitled Ingredients of Good Governance explains the meaning and
the importance of governance, narrates the evolution of the definition of good
governance along with the features of good governance. It also presents an
overview of the state of governance in India.
98
UNIT 21 POVERTY, MALNUTRITION AND Poverty, Malnutrition
and Inclusive Growth:
INCLUSIVE GROWTH: POLICY Policy Implications
IMPLICATIONS
Structure
21.0 Objectives
21.1 Introduction
21.2 The Concept of Poverty
21.3 Measurement of Poverty
21.3.1 Income Indicators of Poverty
21.3.2 Non-income Indicators of Poverty
21.4 Dimensions of Poverty in India: The Income and Non-Income Dimension
21.5 The Concept of Malnutrition
21.6 Malnutrition Type and Measurement
21.6.1 Malnutrition Type and Measurement among Children
21.6.2 Malnutrition Type and Measurement among Women
21.7 Malnutrition and Poverty: A Comparative Analysis
21.8 Inclusive Growth
21.9 Inclusive Growth – Policy Implications
21.10 Let Us Sum Up
21.11 Term-end Exercises
21.12 Key Words
21.13 References
21.14 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
Appendix 21.1
21.0 OBJECTIVES
After reading this unit, you will be able to:
● define the concept of poverty;
● know different income and non-income indicators of poverty;
● identify the income and non-income dimensions of poverty in India;
● explain the Concept of Malnutrition;
● discuss the factors that condition the nutritional status of children and
adults in India;
● analyse the persistence of nutrition problem in India in spite of the
progress made in poverty reduction; and
● examine the concept of inclusive growth and the policy implications.
99
Major Issues
Confronting Indian 21.1 INTRODUCTION
Economy
Poverty, inequality (and hence need for inclusive growth) and unemployment
are inter-related issues. One cannot be appreciated without knowing the
dimensions of the other. We need to distinguish between the concept of
absolute poverty and the concept of relative poverty. Simple increase in the
GDP may not be a sufficient condition (although a necessary condition) to
enable all sections of the society to share the fruits of growth. Empirical
evidence shows that the benefits of growth are unevenly distributed
(especially when an economy is in transition from a low-income category to a
high-income category).
101
Major Issues
Confronting Indian For example, if 120 people out of 600 total population are poor, then the
Economy proportion of population below poverty line is calculated as 20 per cent
(120/600 × 100=20per cent). This is expressed in percentage. The greatest
virtues of the headcount index is that it is simple to construct and easy to
understand and helps to compare among different subgroup/areas (like
rural/urban or social category such as SC/ST/OBC or different states) at a
point of time or over a period of time. From this we can know whether
poverty rate is reducing or not and if reducing what is the pace of reduction.
However, the HCR method is not free from limitations. Firstly, the head-
count index does not indicate how much poor the poor are, and hence does
not change if people below the poverty line become poorer. Moreover, the
easiest way to reduce the headcount index is to target benefits to people just
below the poverty line, because they are the ones who are easiest to move
across the line. But by most normative standards, people just below the
poverty line are the least deserving of the poor. This can be explained by way
of an example. Let us take two countries i.e. country ‘A’ and country ‘B’ and
each having four persons.
If the poverty line is 450, then in both the countries 50 per cent of people are
below poverty line, but country A shows the high intensity of poverty as
compared to country B. Hence the proportion of people just below poverty
line are less deserved poor as compared to the people lying far from poverty
line. Secondly the HCR calculate poverty level by household. Hence if for a
community or area where the family size is high the percentage of poor is
higher as compared to low family size area.
Calculating the Poverty Gap Index (PGI) and Squared Poverty Index (SPI),
assuming poverty line of 130
Expenditure of each Individual
Expenditure in country 110 115 150 160
A
Poverty gap (Gi) (130−110)=20 (130−115)=15 0 0
Gi/z 20/130=0.15 15/130=0.12 0 0
(Gi/z)2 (0.15)2=0.024 (0.12)2=0.013 0 0
Poverty Gap Index = (0.15+0.12)/4 = 0.07
Square Poverty Index = (.024+.013)/4 =.009
You can check the above example when expenditure of first and second
individual is 120 and 125 respectively (that is, poverty gap is low) and for
other two person the expenditure remains same at 150 and 160 respectively,
the PGI=0.03 and SPI= 0.002; whereas if the expenditure of first and second
individual is 75 and 80 respectively while for the other two person the
expenditure remains the same at 150 and 160, respectively, then the PGI =
0.20 and SPI = 0.082.
whereP0is the headcount index, μPis the mean income (or expenditure) of the
poor, and GPis the Gini coefficient of inequality among the poor. There are
two other measures the ‘Sen-Shorrocks-Thon index’ and the ‘Watts Index’
which we shall not go into detail.
The countries are ranked on the basis of composite indicators on these three
aspects of well-being or the three choices that are critical for people to live a
decent life. The HDR also estimates the Human Poverty Indices by taking
three deprivations which include
i) Proportion of population not expected to survive beyond 40 years
ii) Adult literacy rate
iii) Percentage of population without sustainable access to an improved
water source and percentage of children aged 5 or below who are
underweight for their ages.
104
Gender Related Development Index (GDI) or Gender Equality Index Poverty, Malnutrition
and Inclusive Growth:
(GEI) Policy Implications
However, one thing should be kept in mind that the pace of reduction in
poverty varies considerably during this period with a large decline in 2011-12
and a very small decline in 1987-88. The number of people below the poverty
line increased by 7.6 million during the 1973-74 to 1977-78; decreased by
21.8 million during the 1983 to 1987-88 and by 6.4 million during 1987-88 to
2004-05 (see Table 21.3). A decline of 137 million was registered between
2004-05 and 2011-12. The annual average decline (per cent) from 1993-94 to
2004-05 is 0.74 per cent, whereas the decline between 2004-05 to 2011-12 is
2.18 percent.
107
Major Issues
Confronting Indian Table 21.3: HCR Poverty in India, 1973-74 — 2011-12
Economy
Year Head Count Absolute Number of
Ratio (per cent) Poor belowPoverty
Line(in million)
The poverty head count ratio by social category provides an insight of the
inequality in prevalence of poverty. Highest levels of HCR among SCs and
STs go with the highest depth as well severity of poverty.
The head count poverty by social category from the year 1993 to 2011-12is
provided in Table 21.4. The poverty rate among STs reduced by 17.0
percentage points (from 2004-05 to2011-12), whereas for SCs the percentage
point reduction is 21.5. The percentage point reduction for other caste
population (other than SC/ST/OBC) is 10.5 percentage points. A large
difference in poverty incidence is found between rural and urban areas. In
2011-12 the poverty rate of ST was 45.3 percent in rural areas whereas in
urban area it was 24.1 percent (21 percentage point difference).
Poverty rates by some religion in the year 2011-12 shows that poverty rate is
highest among Muslims(25.4per cent) followed by Hindu (21.9per cent). The
rate is lowest among Jains (3.3per cent) followed by Sikhs (5.9per cent).It is
interesting to find that the percentage point reduction in poverty head count
between 2004-05 to 2011-12 shows that the reduction is highest among
Muslims (43.6 per cent in 2004-05 to 25.4 per cent in 2011-12) followed by
Hindu (from 37.5 per cent in 2004-05 to 2011-12 in 2011-12). The lowest
reduction is registered among Sikhs.
108
Table 21.4: Poverty Rates among Social Category (1993-94 and 2011-12) Poverty, Malnutrition
and Inclusive Growth:
Policy Implications
Area Social Percentage Population below the Percentage point
Category Tendulkar line poverty reduction
2004-05 to 2011-12
1993- 2004- 2009- 2011-
94 05 10 12
ST 65.9 62.3 47.4 45.3 16.9
Rural SC 62.4 53.5 42.3 31.5 22.0
OBC 39.8 31.9 22.7 17.1
FC 44.0 27.1 21.0 15.5 11.6
All 50.3 41.8 33.3 25.4 16.4
ST 41.1 35.5 30.4 24.1 11.4
Urban SC 51.7 40.6 34.1 21.7 18.8
OBC 30.6 24.3 15.4 15.2
FC 28.2 16.1 12.4 8.1 8.0
All 31.9 25.7 20.9 13.7 12.0
ST 63.7 60.0 45.6 43.0 17.0
Total SC 60.5 50.9 10.6 29.4 21.5
OBC 37.8 30.0 20.7 17.1
FC 39.5 23.0 17.6 12.5 10.5
All 45.7 37.7 29.9 22.0 15.7
Considering the State-wise poverty head count data from the NSS 61st and
68th rounds, it can be said that poverty is getting concentrated in few states
and social groups. A group of four states comprising Chhattisgarh,
Jharkhand, Arunachal Pradesh, Bihar, and Odisha had a highest proportion of
poor in 2011-12. On the other hand, the states like Kerala, Himachal Pradesh,
Punjab, Andhra Pradesh and Delhi shows the lowest rate of poverty.
The reduction in poverty rate between 2004-05 and 2011-12 is highest in
Odisha (24.6 percentage points) followed by the states Uttarakhand (21.4
percentage point) and Maharashtra (21 percentage points). On the other hand,
Assam, Jammu and Kashmir and Delhi registered the lowest reduction. The
state Arunachal Pradesh registered an increase in rate of poverty from 31.4
percent in 2004-05 to 34.7 percent in 2011-12.
The poverty gap ratios have been incorporated in Table 21.5separately for
rural and urban areas. About 16.56 percent of the total consumption in the
109
Major Issues
Confronting Indian rural areas in 1973-1974 was required to increase by 16.56 per cent to bring
Economy the poor to the poverty line whereas this came down to 9.63 percent in 2004-
05 and further to 5.05 percent in 2011-12. The trend was the same in the
urban areas where 13.64 percent of the total consumption was needed to
bring the poor to the poverty line in 1973-74, 6.12 percent in 2004-05 and 2.7
percent in the year 2011-12 (Table 21.5).
Nutrition
3.0 2.8
3.9 Years of
4.3 schooling
Cooking
fuel
28.8 Sanitation
7.5
Housing
School
10.7 attendance
Assets
Electricity
11.2 15.9
Child mortality
11.8
Drinking water
The figure clearly indicates that nutrition contributes 29 percent to the total
poverty followed by the years of schooling (16per cent) and cooking fuel and
sanitation (each 11per cent). The variables contributingleast to overall
poverty are drinking water and child mortality (each 3per cent).
The state-level MPI poor indicate a large inequality in MPI poor among
different states. The states like Bihar (52per cent), Jharkhand (47per cent),
Madhya Pradesh (41per cent), Uttar Pradesh (41per cent) have the highest
poverty head count in terms of MPI poor. On the other hand, the state
registering the lowest proportion of MPI poor people are Kerala (1per cent),
Delhi (4per cent), Punjab (6per cent) and Tamil Nadu (7per cent). In 2015-
16, the four poorest states – Bihar, Jharkhand, Uttar Pradesh, and Madhya
Pradesh – were still home to 196 million MPI poor people – over half of all
the MPI poor people in India. Of the total MPI poor in India, 8.6per cent still
live in severe poverty.
The HDR published in the year 2019 considered fourindicators in the index,
viz.expectancy at birth,expected years of schooling,mean years of schooling,
GNI per capita. As per the methodology if the HDI is approaching towards 1
the higher the status and if it approaching towards 0 the lower the progress of
the country. In 2019 the Human Development index for India increased from
0.431 in 1990 to 0.647 in 2018 (Table 21.6)
111
Major Issues
Confronting Indian Table 21.6: HDI Value in India 1990-2018
Economy
Year HDI Value
1990 0.431
1995 0.463
2000 0.497
2005 0.539
2010 0.581
2015 0.627
2016 0.637
2017 0.643
2018 0.647
Source: UNDP HDR 2019 downloaded from
http://hdr.undp.org/sites/all/themes/hdr_theme/country-notes/IND.pdf
It is clear from the non-income poverty analysis that the nutrition constitutes
an important dimension to the overall non-income poverty. In the next
section, we will analyse malnutrition as a non-income poverty measure and
its comparison to the income poverty measure.
112
3) What are the indicators used in capability poverty measure or a human Poverty, Malnutrition
and Inclusive Growth:
development measure such as HDI? Policy Implications
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
4) What do you mean by MPI? What are the advantages of MPI poverty
measure over income poverty measure?
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
60
50.7
48
50 45.7
42.5 41.2
39.9 38.4 38.3
40 35.7
32.8 31 29.2
30
20.8 19.8 21.420 21
20 16.8
10
0
Stunting Wasting Underweight Stunting Wasting Underweight
114
As shown in Figure 21.3, in 2015-16, stunting among children has been Poverty, Malnutrition
and Inclusive Growth:
found to be the highest among scheduled tribe households (44 percent) and Policy Implications
lowest among the children belonged to other than SC/ST/OBC households.
On the other hand, in the year 2005-06, a 13percentage point difference was
found between children belong to SC category and other than SC/ST/ OBC
category. In terms of wasting, in 2015-16 again ST children have the highest
proportion of wasted children whereas it is lowest among children belonged
to other than SC/ST/OBC category.The proportion of children underweight in
2015-16 is highest among STs (45per cent) and lowest among the children
belonged to other than SC/ST/OBCs (29 per cent). Over the one-decade
period the stunted among STs declined from 54 percent in 2005-06 to 44
percent in 2015-16. Whereas stunted children belonged to general caste
declined from 41 percent in 2005-06 to 29 percent in 2015-16.In terms of
underweight, in 2005-06the highest proportion was found among children
belonged to STs (55 per cent) whereas it was lowest among general caste
children (other than SC/ST/OBCs). The percentage point difference in
underweight between ST and general children in 2005-06 was 21 percent
whereas it was reduced to 16 percentage point change in 2015-16.
60 5454 55
49 49 48
50 45
41 43 42 43 44
39 37 39
40 36 35
33 31
28 27 29
30
21 20 21 21 20
1614 19
20
10
1.3 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.6
0
Stunting Wasting Underweight Stunting Wasting Underweight
NFHS-3 (2005-06) NFHS-4 (2015-16)
Schedule Caste Schedule Tribe
OBC None of them
Don't Know Ration ST and Other than SC/ST/OBC
As per NFHS data, the anaemia is a major concern and in 2015-16 the
proportion of children anaemic is about 59 percent which is reduced by 11
percentage points as compared to 2005-06.
115
Major Issues
Confronting Indian Table 21.7: Anaemia among Children 6-59 Months in India, 2005-06 and
Economy 2015-16
NFHS- NFHS 3-
NFHS-3 4 NFHS 4
Urban 63.1 56.1 7.0
Area Rural 71.6 59.6 12.0
Poorest 76.6 64.1 12.5
Poorer 73.7 59.9 13.8
Middle 69.4 59.1 10.3
Richer 64.7 54.5 10.2
Wealth Richest 56.6 51.9 4.7
Schedule caste 72.5 60.8 11.7
Schedule tribe 77.1 63.8 13.3
OBC 70.2 58.7 11.5
None of them 64.0 54.7 9.3
Social group Don’t know 69.0 62.0 7.0
Hindu 69.8 58.8 11.0
Muslim 69.7 59.3 10.4
Christian 60.4 45.8 14.6
Sikh 63.9 56.6 7.3
Buddhist/Neo-
Religious Buddhist 66.7 56.7 10.0
group Other 73.7 65.0 8.7
Total 69.5 58.7 10.8
Source: Calculated from NFHS 2005-06 and 2015-16
An analysis of anaemia among children 6-59 months across the major states
of India shows that in 2015-16, anaemia was higher in the state of Haryana
(72 per cent). This is peculiar as the state has low poverty incidence in terms
of income poverty. The other states registering higher proportion of anaemic
children are Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar and Uttar Pradesh. On the
other hands in states of Assam (36per cent), Kerala (36per cent), Chattisgarh
and Odisha it is the lowest.
116
Poverty, Malnutrition
72 70 69
and Inclusive Growth:
64 63 62 61 61 Policy Implications
60 60 60 59 59
57 54 54 54
54 51
45 42
36 36
The proportion of thin women in rural and urban India are respectively
15.5per cent and 26.8per cent showing a 11 percentage point difference. As
expected, the thin women by social category shows that STs and SCs bear the
highest percentage (ST 31.7per cent and SC 25.3per cent) and it is lowest
among general caste population (other than SC/ST/ OBC).
The country has grown strongly since the economic reforms of the early
1990s, with growth averaging around 7 percent during 1993-94 and 2009-10
and 6.7 per cent during the period 2010 to 2016.Compared with other
countries at similar level of development, in India, inequality is not only very
high, but has also shown a rising trend over time, particularly since the early
1990s. While the rate of rise in inequality seems to have slowed down after
2004-05, it continues to show a rising trend. Inequality in India is about
education, health, nutrition, sanitation, and opportunities as much as it is
about rising income inequality. Some of the plausible reasons could be rapid
growth in GDP, liberal and expansionary fiscal policy, large public debt,
rapid improvement in technology and the changes in the nature of production
using more capital, increasing share of services in GDP, unfavourable
policies and institutions, etc. Besides this, the country has a high level of
horizontal inequalities based on caste, class, religion, race, gender, and
location. A commonly used indicator of inequality is the Gini index, which
varies from zero (in a context of perfect equality) to one (perfect
inequality).By this measure, inequality declined between 1983 and 1993–94
but rose appreciably in thefollowing decade after the onset of reforms in
1991.
Financial Inclusion
Financial Inclusion is the availability of financial services and timely and
adequate credit at an affordable cost to the disadvantaged and low-income
groups. Financial inclusion can help in achieving development goals such as
poverty eradicationand income equality, food security and sustainable
agriculture, supporting infrastructure and industries, better healthcare,
encouraging increased consumption and savings, reduction in unemployment
and sustainable economic growth. Financial inclusion has been ensured by
the government and the central bank by way of – no frills accounts with low
or zero minimum balances and minimum charges to expand outreach of such
accounts to low-income groups, easier credit facilities, simpler KYC norms,
use of information and technology, expansion of electronic benefit transfer
system, business correspondence model, bank branch and ATM expansion,
financial literacy and credit counselling, etc. Yet a large part of the Indian
population remains excluded from the formal banking sector. Rapid
urbanisation is increasing the rate of urban poor who are devoid of the most
basic banking facilities. Also, people working in the informal sector still
remain outside the rings of the formal financial system. Thus, much needs to
be done in the financial inclusion space in order to ensure inclusive growth.
Public Investment
High investment in infrastructure is important for inclusive growth. In many
developing countries it is visible that public expenditure as percentage of
GDP is low and declining. Public investment in rural development has
declined sharply. Consequently, agricultural growth slowed down in India.
Priority to public investment in physical (irrigation, roads, communications,
transport, electricity, etc.) and human infrastructure (health, education, etc.) is
considered as one of the important factors resulting in inclusive growth.
Development of Institutions
Development of new institutions and strengthening the present institutions of
service delivery are important. Several institutions seemed to have failed in
delivering better services particularly in health and education in rural areas.
121
Major Issues
Confronting Indian Institutions seem to be responsive when women are empowered.
Economy Decentralisation in terms of strengthening Panchayati Raj Institutions (PRIs)
has to be improved in order to have better delivery systems.
Social Protection
The social protection system can play an important role in mitigating poverty
and inequality through redistribution. This also helps to give the platform to
the excluded section of the society. India has implemented a plethora of
poverty alleviation programmes to address the issue of poverty and
inequality. Most important programme is Public Distribution System (direct
food subsidy), Indira AwasYojana (Housing for poor) and direct cash transfer
through the programmes like old age pension scheme, widow pension
scheme, disability pension scheme, national family benefit schemes, etc.
Some other programmes are also incentive based for example, incentives for
institutional delivery, incentives for family planning, etc. For some of the
educational development programmes like scholarship, free distribution of
books, cycle, dresses, midday meal, etc. are implemented.
From time to time the central and state governments implement different
employment generation programmes which provides the minimum livelihood
for rural and urban poor. The National Rural Employment Guarantee Act
(NREGA) 2005, passed by the Government of India in August 2005, is a
unique programme implemented by central government which guaranteed
one hundred days of unskilled work per year on public works programmes to
each rural Indian providing guaranteed employment entitled by law. Now,
within fifteen days of a valid application, the government must provide work
or unemployment allowance.
Poverty is measured by the methods like head count ratio, poverty gap index,
squared poverty gap index by taking into consideration the
income/expenditure. Several other non-income dimensions also play a major
role in determining the level of poverty. The rate of poverty in India shows a
declining trend from 1973-74 to 2011-12. High growth with inequality is a
common phenomenon in developing countries. How to tackle this lopsided
growth with inequality is the major challenge. The inequality is measured by
different methods like range, range ratio, coefficient of variation, and most
importantly Lorenz curve. In India high inequality is found both in the
income and expenditure and also in other non-income variables like IMR,
underweight of child, literacy rate, etc. Even geographical inequality also
exists.
Inclusive growth not only creates new economic opportunities, but also
ensures equal access to the opportunities created for all segments of society,
particularly for the poor. Creating opportunity, equalising opportunity and
providing the safety net are the main pillars of inclusive growth.
123
Major Issues
Confronting Indian 21.12 KEYWORDS
Economy
21.13 REFERENCES
1) Dev, S.Mahendra and C.Ravi. (2007). “Poverty and Inequality: All India
and States, 1983-2005”, Economic and Political Weekly, Vol.42, No.6.
2) The World Bank. (2006). “India Inclusive Growth and Service Delivery:
Building on India’s Success” Development Policy Review, Report No.
34580-IN.
3) Ifzal Ali and Hyun Hwa Son. (2007). “Measuring Inclusive Growth”,
Asian Development Review, vol. 24, no. 1, pp.11-31.
4) World Bank Institute. (August 2005).“Introduction to Poverty Analysis.”
11) Stephen P. Jenkins and Philippe Van Kerm. (2008). “The Measurement
of Economic Inequality” Oxford Handbook on Economic Inequality
edited by Brian Nolan, WiermerSalverda and Tim Smeeding.
12) Savita Sharma. (2004).“Poverty Estimates in India: Some Key
Issues”,ERD Working Paper No. 51, Asian Development Bank.
13) SandipSarkar, Sunil Mishra, HarishwarDayal and Dev Nathan (2006).
‘Development and Deprivation of Scheduled Tribes’, Economic and
Political Weekly’.
14) United Nations Development Programme (2010). Human Development
Report 2010’, UNDP, New York, USA.
16) Joseph Gastwirth, Reza Modarres, EfstathiaBura (2005). “The use of the
Lorenz curve, Gini index and related measures of relative inequality and
uniformity in securities law”METRON - International Journal of
Statisticsvol. LXIII, n. 3, pp. 451-469.
19) OPHI (2020). ‘Global MPI Country Briefing 2020: India (South Asia)’,
Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative (OPHI), University
of Oxford downloaded from https://ophi.org.uk/wp-
content/uploads/CB_IND_2020.pdf.
125
Major Issues
Confronting Indian 21.14 ANSWERS OR HINTS TO CHECK YOUR
Economy
PROGRESS EXERCISES
Check Your Progress 1
1) The PG index is helpful in working out the shortfall of consumption
below the poverty line. It will indicate the magnitude of the effort that
would be required to raise the consumption level of all the persons below
the poverty line to the consumption level of the poverty line.
2) Human Development Index and Human Poverty Index.
3) See Sub-section 21.3.2
4) See Section 21.4
Check Your Progress 2
1) See Section 21.8
2) See Section 21.9
126
Poverty, Malnutrition
APPENDIX 21.1 and Inclusive Growth:
Policy Implications
Table 1: Proportion of Population below Poverty Line in Major
States(2004-05 and 2011–12)
Note:Figures are based on Tendulkar Methodology; All-India includes figures for rest of the UTs.
Sources: Press Note on Poverty Estimates, 2009–10, Planning Commission, Government of India
website (http://planningcommission.nic.in/news/press_pov1903.pdf,accessed on 4 April 2013);
Press Note on Povery Estimates, 2011–12, Planning Commission, Government of India website
(http://planningcommission.nic.in/news/pre_pov2307.pdf, accessed on 26 August 2013). 127
Major Issues
Confronting Indian Table 2: Percentage of children under age five years classified as
Economy malnourished according to three anthropometric indices of nutritional
status: height-for-age, weight-for-height, and weight-for-age, according
to state, India, 2005-06
128
Table 3 :Statewise IMR, 2006 and 2010 Poverty, Malnutrition
and Inclusive Growth:
Policy Implications
2006 2010
State
Source: Economic Survey 2011-12; Sample Registration System 46; Dec. 011, Office of Registrar
General, Ministry of Home Affairs
129
Major Issues
Confronting Indian Table4: Percentage of births delivered in a health facility five years preceding
Economy the survey by state, India, 2005-06
130
UNIT 22 EMPLOYMENT AND Employment and
Unemployment: Policy
UNEMPLOYMENT: POLICY Challenges
CHALLENGES
Structure
22.0 Objectives
22.1 Introduction
22.2 Enumeration of Workers
22.2.1 Conceptual Framework of Key Employment and Unemployment Indicators
22.3 Labour Force and Work Force Participation Rates
22.4 Dimensions of Unemployment
22.5 Growth of Employment
22.6 Quality of Employment
22.6.1 Proportion of Workers in Organised and Unorganised Sectors
22.6.2 Proportion of Workers Engaged in Regular and Casual Labour
22.7 Employment Policy Framework
22.7.1 Report to the People on Employment
22.7.2 Issues of Concerns
22.8 Let Us Sum Up
22.9 Term-end Exercises
22.10 Key Words
22.11 References
22.12 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
22.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to:
● know the various concepts used in the measurement of employment and
unemployment by NSSO and PLFS;
● explain the various dimensions of unemployment in India;
● examine the growth of employment in the post-reform period;
● assess the quality of employment; and
● suggest various measures towards employment policy framework.
22.1 INTRODUCTION
Engagement of a person in any economic activity is central to the concept of
identifying a worker. A worker is one who participates in any economic
activity. His or her human capital endowment is utilised by the society (or
131
Major Issues
Confronting
the economy) and in the process, he or she earns a living. All workers
U
Indian Economy constitute the workforce or the employed.
Those who are not workers are called non-workers. Some among the non-
workers may be seeking or looking for work or are available for work. Such
persons constitute the unemployed. The workforce and the unemployment
together make up the labour force. The entire population of any area, region
or country is, thus, made up of three components; the workforce (the
employed), the unemployed and the non-workers. The third component is
also referred to, for obvious reasons, as the population which is not a part of
the labour force. The first is engaged in economic activity and produces the
national product, the second is available for being engaged in such activity
but the economy is unable to utilise it and the third is not available for
utilisation in economic activity. Schematically, workforce can be illustrated
as follows:
Population
How are the workers or the employed and the other two categories of people
in a given area – a region or a country, say India – identified and
enumerated? How are the workforce and the labour force measured? We
shall answer these questions in the next section.
Starting from 27th round during Oct, 1972-Sep, 1973, the quinquennial
employment-unemployment surveys (EUs) of the NSSO provided relevant
data on key features of the labour force as well as the status of the decent
work. These surveys continued till 68th round conducted during 2011-12.
Towards improving the existing system (quinquennial surveys– EUs) of
collecting data, the Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) has been designed
to replace its previous quinquennial rounds on the employment-
unemployment situation and gather the annual estimates of the labour force
on employment and unemployment along with quarterly estimates for the
urban areas. These annual PLFS provide quarterly statistics for urban areas
on current weekly status (CWS) and annual estimates of employment
indicators both for rural and urban areas on CWS and usual status basis.
134
Labour Force Participation Rate (LFPR) is a measure of the proportion of the Employment and
Unemployment: Policy
country’s population that is engaged actively in the labour market, either by Challenges
working or seeking work. It provides an indication of the size of the supply
of labour available to engage in the production of goods and services. The
gap between average annual growth of labour force and employment growth
provides hints towards increase/ decrease in the existing stock of unemployed
people. Work Participation Rate (WPR) is a measure of the proportion of the
country’s labour force who are engaged in work. It provides information on
the ability of the economy to generate employment.
Table 22.1: Labour Force and Work Force Participation Rates (CDS
basis) (per cent)
Based on the Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS)- Annual Report (July,
2018 – June, 2019), the data relating to unemployment situation has been
incorporated in Table 22.2.
1) As per the latest Annual report (by the Periodic Labour Force Survey
2018-19) on the employment situation, the unemployment rate in India
was 5.8 per cent at the all-India level following the usual states criterion.
It was 5.6 per cent among males and 3.5 per cent among females in rural
areas while the rates were 7.1 per cent among males and 9.9 per cent
among females in urban areas.
2) Among the educated persons falling within the age group of 15 years and
above, unemployment rate was 11.2 per cent in rural areas and 10.8 per
cent in urban areas.
3) In 2018-19, the unemployment rate among rural male youth and rural
female youth (persons of age 15-29) was 16.6 per cent and 13.8 per cent
respectively. Unemployment rate among urban male youth and female
youth was much higher to the extent of 18.7 per cent and 25.7 per cent
respectively.
Thus, it is clear that unemployment rate is not only on the rise in the country
but is at an all-time high. It has been the highest since 1977-78 among the
males and highest since 1983 among the females in the rural as well as in the
urban areas. The unemployed persons in 2017-18 have more than doubled to
28.5 million from 10.8 million in 2011-12.
The key features of the unemployment situation in India (as given by the
PLFS 2018-19) are:
1) The rise in the unemployment rate has occurred across states. The states
which crossed 5 per cent unemployment rate are Goa, Manipur, Kerala,
Mizoram, Nagaland, Odisha, Uttar Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh,
Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir, and Rajasthan. Some of these
states namely Goa, Manipur, Kerala, Mizoram and Nagaland crossed
double digits rate of unemployment.
3) The possible reason for high unemployment rate in the urban sector are
migration of surplus labour from the rural areas, which accelerates with
increase in connectivity between the two sectors. This leads to inference
that higher level of urbanisation correspondence to higher unemployment.
2017-18 2018-19
Rural Urban Total Rural Urban Total
Male 5.8 7.1 6.2 5.6 7.1 6.0
Female 3.8 10.8 5.7 3.5 9.9 5.2
Person 5.3 7.8 6.1 5.0 7.7 5.8
Source: Periodic Labour Force Survey – Annual Report (July, 2018 – June, 2019)
138
22.5 GROWTH OF EMPLOYMENT Employment and
Unemployment: Policy
Challenges
The available information relating to the growth of employment in India
during the last three decades is comprehensively summarised in Table 22.4
and 22.5 below:
Table 22.5: Addition to Working Age Population (15 years and above)
and its Distribution
6) There has been a sharp decline in the growth rate of employment (UPSS)
from 2.06 per cent per year in the period 1983 to 1993-94 to only 0.98
per cent in the period 1993-94 to 1999-2000. Although this deceleration
in employment is accompanied by an equally sharp decline in the rate of
growth of labour force from 2.29 per cent in the period 1987-88 to 1993-
94 to only 1.03 per cent in the period 1993-94 to 1999-2000, yet the
growth rate of employment has been less than the growth rate of the
labour force. This indicates an increase in the unemployment rate.
7) Employment growth during 1999-2000 to 2004-05 has accelerated
significantly as compared to the growth witnessed during 1994-2000.
During 1990-2000 about 47 million work (CDS basis) opportunities
were created compared to only 24 million in the period between1993-94
and 1999-00. Employment growth accelerated from 0.98 per cent per
140 annum to 2.95 per cent per annum. However, since the labour force grew
at a faster rate of 2.84 per cent than the workforce, unemployment rate Employment and
Unemployment: Policy
also rose. The incidence of unemployment on CDS basis increased from Challenges
7.31 per cent in 1999-00 to 8.28 per cent in 2004-05.
142
unorganised employment obviously means an overall deterioration in the Employment and
Unemployment: Policy
quality of employment. Challenges
2011-12 2017-18
Worker Unorganised Organised Total Unorganised Organised Total
Informal 82.6 9.8 92.4 85.5 5.2 90.7
Formal 0.4 7.2 7.6 1.3 7.9 9.3
Total 83.0 17.0 100.0 86.8 13.2 100.0
Source: Computed from NSS 68th unit level data on employment unemployment,
2011-12 and Periodic Labour Force Survey, 2017-18
Besides, the Ministry of Labour and Employment, one of the oldest and
important Ministries of the Government of India, is functioning to ensure
improving life and dignity of labour force of the country by protecting and
safeguarding the interest of workers, promotion of their welfare and
providing social security to the labour force both in Organised and
Unorganised Sector by enactment and implementation of various Labour
Laws, which regulate the terms and conditions of service and employment of
workers. The State Governments are also competent to enact legislation, as
labour is a subject in the Concurrent List under the Constitution of India.
The report firmly puts on the agenda to best utilise the ‘demographic
146 dividend’ by focusing on generating gainful employment for youth, in
general, and young women, in particular. The report notes that given very Employment and
Unemployment: Policy
low proportion of skilled workers at present, a suitable and workable Challenges
framework to enhance the employability of workers is essential. The same
can be achieved by providing training to workers at various levels with
emphasis on recognising local skills and certifying informally acquired skills
along with the expansion of skill development institutions. The report also
argues for rationalisation of labour laws and broadening the ambit of labour
reforms for achieving equitable employment growth. It sets out short-term
and medium-term strategies to ensure gainful employment opportunities for
all the working people with particular emphasis on the disadvantaged
sections.
The report notes that the unemployment rate in India has declined during the
period 2004-05 to 2009-10.There has been a positive change in the quality of
employment during the period 2004-05 to 2009-10 as most of the
employment growth has been contributed by growth in principal status
workers. There also has been an increase in proportion of regular wage
workers in the total workforce. Analysis of the sectoral distribution of
workers shows a declining trend incase of the primary sector, nearly stagnant
in manufacturing sector and an increase in the share of service sector.
The report highlights the vital role that the service sector can play in
generating productive employment in future. The report, however, notes the
dualistic nature of service sector employment with high income and better-
quality jobs limited to a small section of the workforce while the vast
majority remains trapped in low-wage income and relatively insecure
occupations. Hence, the report stresses the vital role of skill upgradation and
targeted social security provisions to reduce this dualism.
The report analyses the structural inequality in the labour market and access
to quality employment. One of the key inequalities is the high concentration
of socially disadvantaged groups (SC, ST and OBC) among casual workers.
Access to quality employment being highly correlated with educational status
and skill endowment, socially disadvantaged groups with high rates of
illiteracy and lack of industry relevant skills face greater barriers to access
productive employment.
Key medium-term strategies and targets include: Focus on self-employed and
casual workers for improving livelihood; Enhance the scope of employment
in the organised sector; Enhance regular employment for less advantaged
groups and in poorer states; Comprehensive coverage of unorganised sector
workers under social security schemes; Rationalisation and simplification of
labour regulations and broadening the ambit of labour reforms, Promote
diversification of rural workforce to off-farm and non-farm activities; Target
regions with concentration of vulnerable social groups such as ST, SC,
minorities, women, illiterate and less skilled for active labour market
policies; Detailed skill mapping mechanism to be evolved, Credible and
independent accreditation and certification process to be created; Up-
gradation of all training providing institutions and strengthening delivery
147
Major Issues
Confronting
through public private partnership (PPP) mode; Creating large number of
U
Indian Economy skill development institutions and pool of trainers to expand the outreach of
skill development initiative; Setting up of Sector Skills Council;
Development of National Vocational Qualification Framework; and Creating
a credible Labour Market Information System.
1) Until recently the overall unemployment rate remained fairly low and
showed no long-term trend. The quality of employment in terms of
higher daily unemployment rate among casual workers and higher level
of unemployment among educated youth, especially among young
women was the major problem. The lack of productive, regular jobs has
emerged as deterioration in the quality of employment. There has been a
substantial increase in real wages and incomes in the informal activities
since 1980s indicating rise in productivity with persistence of dualism.
However, for 2017-18 Periodic Labour Force Survey shows a sharp rise
in open unemployment reflecting slow employment creation since 2012.
This high unemployment appears to be associated with deficiencies in
both the level and the pattern of demand in the economy.
2) Employment is not homogenous. There is a whole spectrum of jobs of
different types some much more productive or desirable than others.
There is a need of high productivity jobs in modern economic sectors.
The policy of promotion of entrepreneurship through Mudra Yojana and
focus on MSMEs need to be strengthened. In other words, employment
problem is a problem of composition of employment at overall level.
150
22.9 TERM-END EXERCISES Employment and
Unemployment: Policy
Challenges
1) Distinguish between labour force and work force. How are the
employed workers identified and enumerated in India? Also examine the
dimensions of unemployment in India.
22.11 REFERENCES
1) Annual Report to the People on Employment (2010). Ministry of Labour
and Employment. Government of India, Retrieved from
https://vvgnli.gov.in/ sites/default/ files/First%20 Annual%20
Report_to_People%20 Employment. pdf
13) Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS): Annual Report (July 2018-June
2019). Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, National
Statistical Office, Government of India, New Delhi.
152
22.12 ANSWERS OR HINTS TO CHECK YOUR Employment and
Unemployment: Policy
PROGRESS EXERCISES Challenges
153
Major Issues
Confronting Indian
UNIT 23 SOCIAL SECURITY MEASURES
Economy
IN INDIA
Structure
23.0 Objectives
23.1 Introduction
23.2 Social Security, Social Protection, and Social Protection Floor
23.3 Objectives of Social Security
23.4 Approaches to Social Security
23.4.1 Social Insurance
23.4.2 Social Assistance
23.5 Social Security Schemes in India
23.5.1 Social Insurance
23.5.2 Social Assistance
23.6 Existing Provisions: Problems and Issues
23.7 The Code on Social Security, 2019
23.8 Let Us Sum Up
23.9 Term-end Exercises
23.10 References
23.11 Key Words
23.12 Answers or Hint to Check Your Progress Exercises
23.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to:
● examine the meaning of social security, social protection, and social
protection floor;
● discuss the approaches to Social Security;
● analyse the different acts and programmes launched by the Government
on Social Security;
● follow the functioning of the different programmes related to social
security;
● assess the Social Security Code and its benefits; and
● discuss the policy measures in perspective and recognise the gaps.
23.1 INTRODUCTION
Uncertainties on account of unemployment, illness, disability, death and old
age are experienced by all the people across the world. These inevitable
154
facets of life are said to be threats to one’s economic security. In a society, Social Security
Measures in India
the livelihood of an individual is made up of very diverse elements which
taken together constitute the physical, social, cultural and political universe
where he lives. Whenever an individual who lives in a society and faces the
uncertainties threatening the bare necessity to sustain a minimum livelihood,
he needs some help from the society, may it be the family, or any government
or private institutions. The term ‟social security” refers to any programme
that aims to help individuals faced with such situations. Such people include
the poor, the elderly, anybody who is physically disabled, and the mentally
challenged. The International Labour Organisation (ILO) defines Social
Security as ‟the security that society provides through appropriate
organisation against certain risks to which its members are perennially
exposed”. These risks are essentially contingencies against which an
individual cannot effectively provide by his own ability or foresight alone or
even in private combination with his fellows.
The minimum standards of the Convention for all the nine branches relate to
the percentage of the population protected by social security schemes, the
level of the minimum benefit to be secured to protected persons, as well as to
the conditions for entitlement and period of entitlement to benefits. It also
lays down that social security schemes be administered on a tripartite basis,
which guarantees and strengthens social dialogue between Governments,
employers, and workers.
ILO Convention 102 does not include the principle of universality and does
not prescribe how to reach these objectives but leaves certain flexibility to the
member state. As per this convention social security grows and evolves over
time. Social security policies should reflect countries’ social and cultural
values, their history, their institutions and their level of economic
development.
By the year 2012, the majority of countries had social security schemes
established by law covering all or most areas, albeit in many cases including
India only for a minority of their populations. After the economic crisis of
2008, UN recognised the fact that billions of people who have no social
protection were hit harder. It shows that extension of legal coverage does not
in itself ensure either the effective coverage of the population or
improvements in the quality and level of benefits. Realising the importance
of human right to social security across the board, ILO has made certain floor
recommendations in 2012. Called as social protection floors
recommendation, 2012 (No. 202) is the first international instrument that
explicitly recognises the triple role of social security as a universal human
right, an economic necessity and social necessity. It calls upon the States to
achieve universal coverage with at least minimum levels of protection
through the implementation of Social Protection Floors as a matter of
156 priority; and to progressively ensure higher levels of protection.
National Social Protection Floors comprise four basic social security Social Security
Measures in India
guarantees (BSSGs) that ensure effective access to essential health care and
basic income security (BIS) at a level that allows people to live in dignity
throughout the life cycle. The four BSSGs are:
i) Access to essential health care, including maternity care;
ii) BIS for children;
iii) BIS for persons of working age who are unable to earn sufficient income,
in particular in cases of sickness, unemployment, maternity and
disability;
iv) BIS for older persons.
Government, employer and worker delegates of the ILO’s 185 member States
adopted this social protection floors recommendation, 2012 (No. 202) nearly
unanimously. India was part of the agreement and an Indian expert was part
of ILO Expert group.
The social security legislation in India derives its strength and spirit from the
Directive Principles of the State Policy (DPSP) and the subjects enlisted in
the Concurrent List. Two important social issues mentioned in the
Concurrent List (List III in the Seventh Schedule of the Constitution of India)
are;
Item No. 23: Social Security and insurance, employment and unemployment.
Besides this, there are a few articles in the constitution which distinctly relate
to social security issues. They are:
Article 38: State to secure a social order for the promotion of welfare of the
people.
Article 39 (a): The state to direct its policy towards securing the citizens,
men and women equally, the right to an adequate means of livelihood.
Article 42: Provision for just and humane conditions of work and maternity
relief.
Article 43: Work Living wage, good conditions of work, full enjoyment of
leisure, for all kinds of workers.
159
Major Issues 23.5.1 Social Insurance
Confronting Indian
Economy 1½ The Employees’ State Insurance Act, 1948
It provides benefit to workers, in the event of sickness, maternity and
employment injury, in the form of payment of sick leave, hospitalisation, etc.
The scheme provides two types of social security cover namely - (a) Medical
Care and (b) Cash Benefits. Medical care is provided to the insured persons
and their family members through a vast network of panel clinics, ESI
dispensaries and hospitals generally within the vicinity of their residential
areas. The cash benefits on the other hand include Sickness benefits,
Maternity benefits, Disablement benefit, Benefits after retirement,
Dependents’ benefits, Funeral Expenses, Rehabilitation allowance, and
Standard benefits.
Employees State Insurance Corporation administers this Act. It covers every
establishment in which 10 or more employees are employed or were
employed on any day during the preceding twelve months, other than a
seasonal factory
160
Number of exempted establishments was 3109 in the year 1994 which Social Security
Measures in India
increased to 4365 in the year 2016. Growth of Un-exempted establishments
was much higher than exempted establishments, during this period and their
number increased from 233772 in the year 1994 to 926297 in the year 2016.
There are two main benefits admissible under the provident fund scheme.
First, the beneficiary gets accumulated amount along with interest at the time
of retirement or resignation. Second, he can get partial withdrawals for some
specific purposes viz. house construction, higher education, marriage, illness
etc.
The Employees’ Pension Scheme, 1995 came into effect on 16th November,
1995. With the introduction of this scheme the erstwhile Employees’ Family
Pension Scheme, 1971 (EFPS) ceased to operate, and all the assets and
liabilities of EFPS were transferred and merged with the Employees’ Pension
Fund. The benefits and entitlements of the beneficiaries under the old scheme
(EFPS) were protected and continued under the new EPS, 1995.
The EPS has been designed on the principles of a ‟Defined Contribution -
Defined Benefit” and adopts ‟actuarial principles” for ensuring long- term
financial viability. It aims to provide economic sustenance during old age and
survivorship coverage to members and his families.
iii) Employees’ Deposit Linked Insurance Scheme (EDLIS), 1976
Employees’ Deposit Linked Insurance Scheme came into force on 1st August,
1976. It is supported by a nominal contribution by the employers and no
contribution is payable by the employees. The scheme covers all the
employees of the establishments to which EPFMP Act, 1952 applies.
Insurance benefit is provided in case of death of an employee who was
member of the scheme at the time of death. Under the revised benefit under
the scheme the family will get an amount linked to either the average balance
in PF Account during preceding 12 months or 20 times of the average wages
on which contributions were made during the last 12 months of the member
subject to a maximum of Rs 6 lakhs, whichever is higher.
ii) directing the colossus amount of wages towards creating productive and
durable assets of irrigation, drought proofing, land and water
conservation, horticulture and connectivity to general prosperous
livelihood support system. The ultimate objective was to benefit the
entire community by providing employment; raising agricultural
productivity and increasing natural resource base, particularly water. The
process envisaged to attain the objectives would result in strengthening
*By virtue of being MGNREGA as job guarantee scheme. It is also mentioned as
MGNREG Scheme (MGNREGS)
162
the grassroots processes of democracy and infusing transparency and Social Security
Measures in India
accountability in governance.
163
Major Issues 6) Unorganised Workers’ Social Security Act, 2008
Confronting Indian
Economy The law aims at extending benefits to workers in informal sector/unorganised
sector similar to that of formal sector/organised sector workers. The Act
broadly covers life and disability, health and maternity benefits, old age
protection, and any other benefit as may be determined by the Central
Government.
8) Food Security
Food security means the easy availability and access of food at all times in
sufficient quantity in a safe and nutritious form to meet the dietary
requirements and food preferences for an active, healthy and productive life.
This should also be adequate in terms of quantity, quality and variety and is
acceptable to culture. Food security is one of the pre-requisite for economic
and social stability of a nation. The availability, access and stability are three
important indicators which should be analysed in the context of food security.
After joining the services, all the new employees who joined after January 1,
2004 are to be registered under NPS on mandatory basis.
ii) National Pension Scheme for Corporate Sector
Until now individuals between the ages of 18 to 60 years could join NPS. In a
significant move to expand pension coverage in the country, the maximum
age for joining the NPS has been raised from 60 years to 65 years for the
165
Major Issues employees of corporate sector and self-employed. The move by PFRDA will
Confronting Indian enable people aged between 60 and 65 years to join NPS and make
Economy
contributions to it until the age of 70 years.
In May 2009, NPS was opened on voluntary basis for all Indian Citizens
which includes the private sector and informal sector (unorganised sector)
workers. Objective of extension of the NPS was to provide a low-cost
retirement savings system to India’s informal sector workers. Alterations in
the scheme were made to ensure that it is scalable, low cost, simple, portable
and flexible. PFRDA allowed the enlisted Post offices, public sector banks
and NGOs with local standing to open the accounts of these workers.
The unorganised sector (All Citizens) Model of the NPS was available to all
citizens of India, whether resident or non-resident. However, the applicant
should be between 18–60 years of age as on the date of submission of his/her
application. Recently the maximum age of self-employed has been raised
from 60 years to 65 years.
iv) Atal Pension Yojana
This programme comprises four pension and disability schemes for the
elderly. These include the Indira Gandhi National Old Age Pension Scheme
(IGNOAPS), under which persons below poverty line (BPL) aged 60 years or
above are entitled to a monthly pension of Rs. 200 up to 79 years of age and
Rs. 500 thereafter. In case of Indira Gandhi National Widow Pension Scheme
(IGNWPS), BPL widows aged 40 to 59 years are entitled a monthly pension
of Rs. 200. Indira Gandhi National Disability Pension Scheme (IGNDPS)
offers Rs. 200 a month to BPL persons 18-59 years with severe and multiple
disabilities.
167
Major Issues Beside this National Family Benefit Scheme (NFBS) entitles a BPL
Confronting Indian household one time assistance of Rs. 10000/- upon the death of the primary
Economy
bread earner aged between 18 and 64 years.
iii) Social security is not right based. It can be compromised without any
compensation to the workers.
23.10 REFERENCES
1) Andy Norton, Tim Conway, Mick Foster (February 2001). Social
Protection Concepts and Approaches: Implications For Policy and
Practice In International Development’ Overseas Development Institute,
London SE1 7JD, UK
2) Ahmad, Ehtisham, Jean Dreze, John Hills and A. Sen (1991). Social
Security in Developing Countries, Oxford, Clarendon Press.
170
4) Arora, S.L., Akhilesh Sharma, and Dev Nathan (2017). Social Protection Social Security
Measures in India
in India, in “Employment Social Protection and Inclusive Growth in
South Asia, Edited by Dev Nathan and Akhilesh K. Sharma”, Delhi,
South Asia Press.
172
Regional Disparity in
UNIT 24 REGIONAL DISPARITY IN India: Policy
Implications
INDIA: POLICY IMPLICATIONS
Structure
24.0 Objectives
24.1 Introduction
24.2 Interpersonal and Regional Disparity: Concept and Theory
24.3 Regional Disparity and Domestic Product
24.4 Agricultural Development and Regional Disparity
24.5 Industrial Development and Regional Disparity
24.6 Infrastructural Development and Regional Disparity
24.6.1 Social Infrastructure
24.6.2 Physical Infrastructure
24.7 Human Development and Regional Disparity
24.7.1 Causes of Regional Disparities
24.8 Measures to Remove Regional Disparities
24.8.1 Major Limitations
24.9 Way Forward
24.10 Let Us Sum Up
24.11 Term-end Exercises
24.12 Key Words
24.13 References
24.14 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
Appendix 24.1
24.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to:
● Know the meaning of regional disparity;
● discuss the basic theoretical framework relating to regional disparity;
● analyse regional disparity in terms of macroeconomics aggregates like
growth rate, per capita GDP, sectoral contribution in GDP, etc.;
● examine the regional disparity in agriculture;
● identify regional disparity in infrastructural development; and
● review the regional disparity in human development.
24.1 INTRODUCTION
In India, the inter-state/regional disparity has been a major challenge for
planners and policymakers. Despite plethora of development programmes,
173
Major Issues regional disparity has persisted over time. There has been a huge gap in terms
Confronting Indian
Economy of availability of facilities between active and vibrant regions and hinterland
during the pre-independence period. This manifests in unequal level of
economic and human development. In India not much theoretical work has
been done relating to regional disparity. But many empirical works have been
done by researchers on various development issues. Prof. Mathur (1987)
explains the regional disparity in terms of regional growth. Most of the
empirical studies relating to regional disparity in income and consumption
reflects a growing trend of disparity. Das and Barua (1996) opined that Indian
economy continues to grow at the cost of widening regional inequality. Dreze
and Sen (1995) opined that there has been a wide variation in regional
development resulting in remarkable internal diversities. Dutt and Ravallion
expressed their view that long term progress in rising rural living has been
diverse across Indian states. Likewise, the National Human Development
Report 2001 reveals a considerable difference in human development across
Indian states during 1981-2001. The report reflects that the human
development index of the states like Bihar, UP, MP, Rajasthan and Odisha
has been extremely low and about half of Kerala’s figure. Against this
background, this unit examines the regional disparity in India, in terms of
macroeconomic aggregates, infrastructural development, agricultural
development, industrial development and human development outcomes.
174
There is general agreement for an inverted U-shapes curve of regional Regional Disparity in
India: Policy
disparities with growth. The development theories put forwarded by the Implications
regional experts like Simon Kuznets (1963), Hirschman (1958), Mera (1965),
opined for a regional disparity during the socio-political development and
modernisation. According to these theories, urban primacy, socio-spatial and
individual inequalities increase during the initial period of development, but
reduce over time with advancement in the stage of development. Myrdal and
Hirschman come up with the backwash effect vs. spread effect and
polarisation vis-a-vis trickled down effect. Myrdal concept of multiplier-
accelerator mechanism produce increasing returns in favoured region.
Appearance of development differences creates a chain of cumulative
expansion in favoured region. Myrdal defines this as a backwash effect, on
other region and as a result development differences persist. In the context of
backwash effect, policies must be designed to reduce the backwash effect
(what Hirschman called polarisation effect of interregional development. He
argued for a good policy framework that strengthens trickledown effect. The
trickled down effect favours the development of backward region. Myrdal
called such effect as spread effect. The tricked down effect or spread effect
consists of the increased demand of backward area products and the diffusion
of technology and knowledge. Myrdal (1957) argues that the backwash effect
is weaker than spread effect and if the backwash effect is to be narrowed, the
state must come up with effective regional policies. Lloyd (1990) also
supported this view. Hence the difference increases over time unless
countervailing measures are taken to reduce the problem.
Some of the sub-sectors have exhibited very wide variations in the annual
growth rates. Among these, agriculture and allied activities have generally
been subject to considerable fluctuations. Mining and Quarrying also falls in
the same category. Manufacturing has been steadier. Growth in service
sector, on the contrary, has shown a continuous rise.
Table 24.1 provides per capita NSDP from 1993-94 to 2018-19 at different
base prices for both forward and backward states. Among the major states,
the state registering the highest per capita NSDP in 2018-19 was Haryana
(Rs.169409) followed by Uttarakhand (Rs.155151) and Gujarat (Rs.153495).
175
Major Issues On the other hand, states showing the lowest per capita NSDP were Bihar
Confronting Indian
Economy (Rs.28668) and Uttar Pradesh (Rs. 44421).
The states showing the highest growth rate of per capita NSDP between
2011-12 and 2018-19 were Gujarat (8.4 per cent) followed by Karnataka (7.9
percent) and states registering the lowest growth rate during the same period
were Jammu and Kashmir (3 percent), Madhya Pradesh (3.4per cent) and
Arunachal Pradesh 3.5 per cent).
Table 24.1: Per Capita Net State Domestic Product and its Growth Rate
State / Union (Base: 1993-94) (Base : 1999-2000) (Base: 2004-05) (Base: 2011-12)
Territory 1993-94 1999-00 Growth 1999-00 2004-05 Growth 2004-05 2011-12 Growth 2011-12 2018-19 Growth
Andhra Pradesh 7416 9445 4.1 15427 19963 5.3 25959 38556 5.8 69000 107241 6.5
Arunachal
8733 8890 0.3 13990 19339 6.7 4.2 3.5
Pradesh 26721 35527 73068 93191
Assam 5715 5785 0.2 12282 13946 2.6 16782 21741 3.8 41142 60695 5.7
Bihar 3037 3282 1.3 5786 6772 3.2 7914 13149 7.5 21750 28668 4.0
Jharkhand 5897 7238 3.5 11549 12869 2.2 18510 25265 4.5 41254 54982 4.2
Gujarat 9796 13298 5.2 18864 23346 4.4 32021 56634 8.5 87481 153495 8.4
Haryana 11079 13308 3.1 23222 30690 5.7 37972 61716 7.2 106085 169409 6.9
Himachal
7870 11051 5.8 20806 26244 4.8 5.7 6.8
Pradesh 33348 49203 87721 139469
Jammu &
6543 7384 2 13816 15414 2.2 4.1 3.0
Kashmir 21734 28790 53173 65178
Karnataka 7838 10912 5.7 17502 19840 2.5 26882 41492 6.4 90263 153276 7.9
Kerala 7983 10430 4.6 19461 25122 5.2 32351 52808 7.3 97912 148078 6.1
Madhya
6584 8248 3.8 12384 12032 -0.6 6.0 5.6
Pradesh 15442 23272 38497 56498
Chhattisgarh 6539 6692 0.4 11629 14070 3.9 18559 27163 5.6 55177 69500 3.4
Maharashtra 12183 15257 3.8 23011 26603 2.9 36077 61276 7.9 99597 147450 5.8
Odisha 4896 5742 2.7 10622 13311 4.6 17650 24542 4.8 48499 76417 6.7
Punjab 12710 14809 2.6 25631 27905 1.7 33103 46325 4.9 85577 115882 4.4
Rajasthan 6182 8555 5.6 13619 14908 1.8 18565 29612 6.9 57192 78570 4.6
Tamil Nadu 8955 12167 5.2 19432 22975 3.4 30062 57093 9.6 93112 142941 6.3
Uttar Pradesh 5066 5675 1.9 9749 10421 1.3 12950 18014 4.8 32002 44421 4.8
Uttarakhand 6896 7256 0.9 13516 19524 7.6 24726 52606 11.4 100305 155151 6.4
West Bengal 6756 9320 5.5 15888 19367 4.0 22649 32164 5.1 51543 67300 3.9
All-India 7690 10071 4.6 15881 19331 4.0 24143 38048 6.7 63462 92565 5.5
Source:https://m.rbi.org.in/Scripts/AnnualPublications.aspx?head=Handbook+of+Statistics+on+Indian+States
Punjab had highest per capita income in 1993-94 but in 1999-00 Maharashtra
was at the top. Odisha had the lowest per capita income in 1993-94, but in
1999-00 Bihar had recorded the lowest per capital income. During the period
1993-94 and 1999-00 the state Himachal Pradesh registered the highest
growth rate of 5.8 per cent.
During 1999-00 and 2004-05 Uttarakhand registered the highest growth rate
of 5.8 per cent per annum.
Overall the states registering high Per Capita Income (PCI) over the period
are Punjab, Haryana and Karnataka whereas the states usually in the lowest
PCI are Bihar, Jharkhand and Uttar Pradesh.
176
Figure 24.1 shows the gap in per capita net state domestic product between Regional Disparity in
India: Policy
the richer and poorer states. Bihar has been taken as a poorer state whereas Implications
Punjab, Maharashtra and Haryana are considered representing developed
states. We have examined the ratio of NSDP of the three developed states
with the representative backward state Bihar. The higher the ratio indicates
the higher disparity between the states and vis-a-versa.
10
9.4
9
8 8.7
8.1
7
6.7
6 5.9 Haryana/Bihar
6
4.8 4.9 5.1
5 4.3 4.4 Maharashtra/Bihar
4 4.6 4.6
4 4 4.2 4 Punjab/Bihar
4 3.9
3 3.6 Delhi/Bihar
2
1
0
1993-94 1999-00 2004-05 2011-12 2018-19
Fig. 24.1: Ratio of Per capita Net State Domestic Product of Bihar with Delhi, Punjab,
Maharashtra and Haryana
The graph clearly depicts that the ratio of per capita NSDP between Delhi
and Bihar is 9.4 in 2018-19. This means that Bihar’s per capita NSDP is one-
nineth of Delhi. The same trend is observed in other three states also.
177
Major Issues 3) What is the relevance of examining GSDP growth rates to understand
Confronting Indian
Economy regional disparity?
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
The contribution of agricultural sector to total GSDP in 2011-12 was 11.5 per
cent which reduced to 7.8 per cent in 2018-19. The state level picture also
shows the same declining trend in the contribution of agricultural sector. In
the year 2018-19, the contribution of agricultural sector to state’s GSDP was
high in Madhya Pradesh (21.5 per cent) followed by the state Punjab (13.3
per cent). The change in the contribution of agriculture in GSDP over the
period 2011 to 2018 was highest in Bihar and Gujarat (about 6 percentage
point reduction) whereas Delhi, Madhya Pradesh and West Bengal registered
the lowest percentage point change (see Table 24.2).
On the other hand, the percentage share of agriculture in the total workforce
has only reduced from 48 per cent in 2011 to 41 per cent in 2018. A large
disparity is visible among the states in terms of contribution of agriculture in
total workforce. The states showing the highest proportion of agricultural
workforce to total workforce are Chhattisgarh (71.8 per cent), Bihar (61.6 per
cent), Himachal Pradesh (58.4 per cent) and among the lowest are Kerala
(20.4 per cent), Tamil Nadu (33.5 per cent) and Punjab (35.8 per cent).
179
Major Issues
Confronting Indian 18 15.3
Economy 16
14
12 9.9 10.6 10.3
9.7 9.5
10 8.7 8.6 8.1 8.2
7.9 7.7 6.5 7.3
7.8 6.2 7.1
8 5.4 5.5 6 6 5.7 6.6 6.2 5.5
4.6 5.8
6 4.4 4.3 4.4 4 4.4
2.8 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.2 2.4
4 1.7 1.6
0.9 1
2 0.4 -1.1
0
-2
A sectoral disaggregation of the workforce in rural areas shows that the share
of agricultural sector to the total workforce has declined but at a much slower
pace than the decline in the share of agriculture in GSDP. As expected, there
has been a decline in the share of workforce in agriculture from 81.4 per cent
to 58.2 per cent between 1983 to 2018-19. During this period, the dependence
of workforce declined by 29 percentage point. Considering the state-wise
contribution of farm sector to total employment,in 2018-19, among the major
states Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh contributed the highest proportion
of farm employment, whereas in the states like Kerala and West Bengal, the
share of farm sector in employment was the lowest.
180
Regional Disparity in
120 India: Policy
Implications
100
18.6 21.7 27.4 35.5
80 41.8
60
0
1983 1993-94 2004-05 2011-12 2018-19
Agriculture Non-Agriculture
The labour productivity in agriculture has been growing very slowly. The
slow growth is largely due to the following factors: (i) the impact of green
revolution was limited to a very few states and (ii) the process of
diversification of labour from agriculture to non-agriculture has barely
started.
In short, agricultural performance has varied among different states,
accounting partially though significantly, for prevalent wide disparities in
income among different states.
181
Major Issues
Confronting Indian 1950-51 9
Economy
1960-61 11
1970-71 12.7
1980-81 13.9
1990-91 15.1
2000-01 15.5
2009-10 16.1
2018-19 18.1
0 5 10 15 20
The growth rate of Industry has been 8.5 per cent between 2011-12 to 2018-
19. The highest growth rate is of Gujarat (13.8 per cent) followed by Assam
(12.9 per cent) whereas the states registering the lowest growth rate are
Rajasthan (2.6 per cent) and Telangana (2.8 per cent).
The contribution of service sector increased from 44.8 per cent to 46.8 per
cent between 2011-12 to 2018-19 (refer Table 2 in Appendix 24.1). This
means there is a 2 percentage point increase in the said period. In the year
2018-19, Delhi (73.6 per cent) and Bihar (57.7 per cent) shows the highest
share in service sector and Gujarat (30.8 per cent), Chhattisgarh (34.5 per
cent) and Uttarakhand registered the lowest share in service sector.
Education Infrastructure
It is well recognised that the literacy of any region or area has a positive
relation to the overall development. It enables people to access new
opportunities to participate in society in different ways. The census data
shows that the literacy rate increased from 18.3 per cent in 1951 to 74.04 in
2011.
183
Major Issues
Confronting Indian 300 254
Economy 250 223 220
200 186
200 182
160
130 142
150 120 113118 101114
83 97 88 99
100 71 68 78
48
50 31
0
Kerala
India
Odisha
Punjab
Delhi
Gujarat
Andhra Pradesh
Telangana
Uttar Pradesh
Karnataka
Madhya Pradesh
Rajasthan
Tamil Nadu
Uttarakhand
West Bengal
Chhattisgarh
Jharkhand
Haryana
Maharashtra
Himachal Pradesh
Fig. 24.5: Number of Primary and Upper Primary Schools Per Lakh Population, 2016-17
Note: Total number of school is pertaining to all school up to upper primary level both
government and private and for the year 2016-17 and the population for the year 2016 is
taken from Census projected population.
The regional disparity in education can also be judged from some other
characteristics like percentage of single class room school, percentage of
single teacher school. In India 4.3 per cent elementary schools have only a
single classroom (Refer Table 3 in Appendix 24.1). Among the states Assam
(18.5per cent), followed by Andhra Pradesh (13.0 per cent) registered a high
proportion of single room schools whereas Kerala, Delhi (0.1 per cent), Uttar
Pradesh (0.7 per cent), Tamil Nadu (0 per cent) show a low proportion of
school with single class room. The other important indicator is the single
teacher school. In India 7.2 per cent of schools have only a single teacher.
Among the states, Andhra Pradesh (14.1 per cent), Jharkhand (17.1 per cent),
and Rajasthan (12 per cent) registered a high single teacher school. Delhi (0.1
per cent) and Gujarat (2.0 per cent) have low proportion of single teacher
schools in the year 2016-17.
To sum up, the above brief review helps to bring out that (i) the existing
social infrastructure in India is weak and inadequate, and (ii) wide disparities
prevail between different states.
Health Infrastructure
The availability of health infrastructure shows the status of health sector in
the country. The total sub-centres per million population in rural India was
179. The states showing higher number of Sub-centres were Kerala (458),
Jammu and Kashmir (325) whereas states showing lowest Sub-centre per
million population were Bihar (95), Jharkhand (138) (Refer Table 4 in
Appendix 24.1).
The primary health centre (PHC) per million population in India is 28. The
state showing the highest number of PHCs were Himachal Pradesh (89)
followed by Kerala (72) whereas states showing least number were
Jharkhand (11) and Bihar (18). The availability of doctors in PHCs per
million population was 34 in India and a large variation was found among
states. States having the highest number of doctors was Kerala (130)
followed by Jammu and Kashmir (99) and states having lowest were
Jharkhand (12) and West Bengal (13). The Auxiliary Nurse Midwife (ANM)
particularly in rural areas plays important role in facilitating health services
as well as imparting general health awareness. The number of ANM per
million population in India was 266 and states having the highest number of
ANM were Kerala (638) followed by Andhra Pradesh (343). States showing
the lowest number of ANM per million population were Uttar Pradesh (169)
followed by Madhya Pradesh (201).
185
Major Issues
Confronting Indian India 1181
Economy Bihar 311
Assam 341
Uttar Pradesh 606
West Bengal 703
Kerala 757
Jharkhand 938
Madhya Pradesh 1084
Rajasthan 1282
Jammu & Kashmir 1322
Karnataka 1396
Himachal Pradesh 1418
Maharashtra 1424
Uttarakhand 1467
Andhra Pradesh 1480
Delhi 1548
Odisha 1628
Tamil Nadu 1866
Telangana 1896
Chhattisgarh 1961
Punjab 2046
Haryana 2082
Gujarat 2378
186
3) State whether regional disparities in industrial development have Regional Disparity in
India: Policy
declined over time. Implications
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
4) State the indicators of educational and health development.
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
1 Downloaded from
https://globaldatalab.org/shdi/shdi/IND/?levels=1%2B4&interpolation=0&extrapolat
ion=0&nearest_real=0 187
Major Issues income has tended to be higher in those States where a larger proportion
Confronting Indian
Economy of population is engaged in tertiary occupations.
188
In the low income States, the level of public investment, Regional Disparity in
India: Policy
infrastructural growth and standard of administrative services are Implications
lower compared to those in the high income States, thus perpetuating
disparities.
The system of sales taxation enabled the richer states to export a
significant portion of their tax burden to the residents of poor states.
Subsided lending to the states from the Central Government has led
to regressive inter-governmental transfers.
9) With increasing globalisation, India has chosen a skill-intensive path to
growth; wages for skilled labour are already being bid up. In this
situation, it is necessary for firms to have scale to ensure the proper use
of scarce skilled labour. But it is only in the fast-growing state that the
environment and infrastructure exist for scale. This further identify
disparities.
10) In the pre-reform period, the public sector had played a crucial role in
maintaining regional equality by directing resources to backward areas.
With a change in the focus of the public sector following the reforms,
this process has become weaker.
The economic reforms gave greater freedom and impetus to the private sector
and export-oriented production. These sectors, which were attempting to
reduce costs and become competitive, were attracted to areas that were
relatively more developed. As a result, investment and activity shifted to
these areas, strengthening the forces of divergence.
In short, the richer states are rich because of relatively developed
infrastructure and higher infrastructure spending. A positive significant
correlation is observed between infrastructure and real per capita gross state
domestic product across states.
To some extent, the development of new processes and new uses of raw
materials has assisted in the spread of industry. In encouraging such
development, care has of course to be taken to ensure that a balance is
maintained between regional distribution and considerations of economy
in production.
191
Major Issues available to less-developed areas remain small in comparison with those
Confronting Indian
Economy in the more developed regions.
192
as recommended by 14th Finance Commission, are for three purposes Regional Disparity in
India: Policy
such as: (i) disaster relief, (ii) local bodies, and (iii) revenue deficit. Implications
Further, it needs to be pointed out that backward regions within states are
not considered when Centre-State transfers are set. Moreover, it is not
the fact or size of such transfers that affects poverty but how such
transfers are used. In view of this, it is necessary that unit of resource
allocation ought to be district rather than States, with highest priority
given to the most backward districts. Here also instead of spreading the
butter too thin by scattering funds and concessions all over the place, it
could be more beneficial to concentrate on intensive resource
deployment by identifying the priority investment areas on the basis of
industrial backwardness.
5) Direct public sector investment by the Central Government in the states
is likely to dry up gradually due to severe budget constraint of the
Centre. Under the above circumstances, and important factor that
influences the economic progress of a state is the quality of governance
and the state level policy environment. A better administered state is
more efficient in raising revenues and putting them to better use. They
are the states, which will attract more investment both from domestic and
foreign sources. Such states are also in a position to prepare viable
projects and successfully bid central assistance or external funding.
Hence, governance needs to be given immediate attention, especially in
the backward states.
193
Major Issues 2) State the role of term-lending institutions in narrowing down the regional
Confronting Indian
Economy disparities.
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
3) What are some of the steps taken by Govt. of India towards removing
regional disparities?
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
…………………………………………………………………………….
195
Major Issues
Confronting Indian 24.13 REFERENCES
Economy
1) Vorauer, K. Europäische Regionalpolitik Regionale Disparitäten.
Theoretische Fundierung, empirische Befunde und politische Entwürfe.
Passau: Münchener Geographische Hefte, (1997). ISBN 3-932820-01.
12) Anjani Kumar, Sant Kumar, Dhiraj K. Singh and Shivjee (2011). ‘Rural
Employment Diversification in India: Trends, Determinants and
Implications on Poverty’ Agricultural Economics Research Revie, Vol.
24 (Conference Number) 2011 pp 361-372.
13) Postel, Sandra. (1999). Pillar of Sand: Can the Irrigation Miracle Last?,
New York & London: WW Norton & Company.
14) Lin Yang (2017). ‘The relationship between poverty and inequality:
Concepts and measurement, London School of Economics and Political
Science, CASEpaper 205/LIPpaper 2, downloaded from
http://sticerd.lse.ac.uk/dps/case/cp/CASEpaper205.pdf
196
Regional Disparity in
24.14 ANSWERS OR HINTS TO CHECK YOUR India: Policy
PROGRESS EXERCISES Implications
197
Major Issues
Confronting Indian APPENDIX 24.1
Economy
Table 1: Share of Manufacturing Sector to Total GSDP
Growth 2011-12
State 2004-05 2011-12 2018-19
to 2018-19
2004-05
Price 2011-12 Price
Andhra Pradesh 11.5 13.4 10.3 3.3
Assam 10.5 10.8 15.3 12.9
Bihar 5.6 5.9 8.8 12.3
Chhattisgarh 21.9 15.4 14.5 4.7
Delhi 7.3 5.5 5.1 6.8
Gujarat 27.3 25.5 32.6 13.8
Haryana 21.4 17.9 21.0 11.1
Himachal Pradesh 11.5 24.8 29.9 10.1
Jammu & Kashmir 6.1 10.2 8.8 3.2
Jharkhand 33.7 20.0 19.8 5.8
Karnataka 18.4 16.0 16.5 9.7
Kerala 8.6 9.4 11.8 9.8
Madhya Pradesh 11.1 12.1 11.1 6.1
Maharashtra 20.6 19.2 20.3 7.7
Odisha 12.1 17.8 20.5 9.6
Punjab 15.1 14.1 13.7 5.5
Rajasthan 12.5 15.3 11.8 2.6
Tamil Nadu 19.8 20.2 22.0 8.4
Telangana 13.2 17.3 12.3 2.8
Uttar Pradesh 13.5 12.1 16.3 11.3
Uttarakhand 12.7 37.8 37.2 7.4
West Bengal 11.1 13.4 14.4 6.3
India 15.9 16.2 17.6 8.5
Source: www.mospi.gov.in
Andhra
Pradesh 48.5 53.7 37.7 38.8 7.7
Assam 46.9 55.4 44.0 38.7 5.3
198
Regional Disparity in
Bihar 54.7 56.6 54.3 57.7 7.1 India: Policy
Implications
Chhattisgarh 34.4 37.2 32.5 34.5 6.5
Delhi 80.5 88.2 73.6 73.6 8.0
Gujarat 43.9 46.7 32.9 30.8 8.8
Haryana 44.0 54.5 41.3 44.0 9.6
Himachal
Pradesh 36.1 42.6 37.2 38.3 7.5
Jammu &
Kashmir 43.7 54.1 52.0 53.4 5.8
Jharkhand 32.9 43.1 35.5 39.6 7.5
Karnataka 51.0 55.3 51.8 55.9 10.4
Kerala 59.6 68.0 53.1 56.0 7.1
Madhya
Pradesh 45.2 47.1 37.6 37.6 7.4
Maharashtra 59.6 62.3 45.7 49.4 8.1
Odisha 42.4 48.6 36.7 36.8 7.5
Punjab 42.6 47.6 41.7 45.6 7.2
Rajasthan 43.8 45.9 37.2 40.7 7.9
Tamil Nadu 57.2 61.0 46.6 46.3 7.0
Telangana 53.8 58.5 49.4 57.3 10.2
Uttar Pradesh 47.0 54.0 42.9 44.5 7.3
Uttarakhand 49.5 52.1 31.8 35.4 9.3
West Bengal 54.4 63.6 47.8 50.8 6.1
India 51.4 56.7 44.8 46.8 7.9
Source:www.mospi.gov.in
Andhra
Pradesh 13.0 14.1 99.7 94.8 93.2 19
Assam 18.5 7.2 79.8 87.7 20.2 18
Bihar 1.8 4.4 87.3 94.8 41.4 45
Chhattisgarh 2.2 5.6 99.5 99.3 69.5 20
Delhi 0.1 0.1 100.0 100.0 99.9 21
Gujarat 1.1 2.0 99.9 100.0 99.9 27
Haryana 0.8 3.9 99.4 99.9 97.3 18
199
Major Issues
Confronting Indian Himachal
Economy Pradesh 3.3 6.7 99.9 100 91.6 10
Jammu &
Kashmir 6.9 6.3 93.7 92.5 31.1 10
Jharkhand 0.8 17.1 97.9 96.1 31.3 32
Karnataka 3.3 8.3 96.1 98.5 95.6 27
Kerala 1.9 2.2 97.9 99.7 96.4 16
Madhya
Pradesh 3.1 13.3 95.0 96.4 27.2 23
Maharashtra 6.8 3.1 98.2 99.6 85.4 22
Odisha 9.2 2.4 95.8 99.8 33.1 19
Punjab 1.8 3.2 99.4 100 99.9 15
Rajasthan 2.7 12.4 99.0 97.5 58.3 18
Tamil Nadu 0.0 1.9 99.7 100 99.3 16
Telangana 9.3 12.6 96.3 99.2 87.9 21
Uttar Pradesh 0.7 5.6 99.6 98.7 41.5 31
Uttarakhand 1.2 8.2 95.4 96.2 72.5 15
West Bengal 5.1 4.2 97.6 98.4 79.1 21
India 4.3 7.2 96.5 97.1 59.8 23
Source: DISE www.dise.in
Structure
25.0 Objectives
25.1 Introduction
25.2 Governance
25.3 Good Governance
25.4 Variants and Versions of Good Governance
25.5 Dimensions of Good Governance
25.6 Governance in India
25.7 Let Us Sum Up
25.8 Term-end Exercises
25.9 Key Words
25.10 References
25.11 Answers or Hints to Check Your Progress Exercises
25.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to:
● explain the meaning of governance and its importance;
● narrate the evolution of definition of good governance;
● discuss the features of good governance;
● examine the dimensions of good governance; and
● describe the state of governance in India.
25.1 INTRODUCTION
Good governance is a phrase that emerged at the close of 1980s in a World
Bank report but got soon incorporated and developed by other international
development aid and cooperation agencies such as the United National
Development Programme (UNDP), the Organisation for Economic
Cooperation and Development (OECD), and the International Monetary Fund
(IMF). In view of some scholars it was a shift in the paradigm from ‘getting
market right’ to ‘getting institutions right’ in the approach of aid agencies.
We can recall Adam Smith in 18th century and Henry Thoreau in 19th century
who had broadly suggested that the government should hold minimum role or
that government is the best, which governs the least. Prime Minister Narendra
Modi extended the idea in recent years by suggesting the phrase ‘minimum
government and maximum governance’. But all such references are limited to
the role of government. The idea is that societal affairs are not to be dealt
with by the government only. They are never dealt with only by the
government. However, the idea promoted by international development aid
agencies is also to diminish the scope of government, nay, the State. Yet,
there are agencies like United Nations Economic and Social Commission for
Asia and the Pacific (UNESCAP) which assigns the responsibility to the
government to promote good governance as its major responsibility.
203
Major Issues
Confronting Indian
Governance, Public Governance, or Democratic Governance – articulated
Economy somewhat differently.
25.2 GOVERNANCE
The concept of governance is as old as human civilisation. But the term has
become fashionable in the last few decades. Thanks to international donor
agencies which found bad governance as the root cause of all evils and
insisted on reforms in governance as a major condition to providing aid, the
term acquired a new status in international development literature.
One can well imagine that public affairs predate the invention of State and
thus, governance predates government. It implies that a society is founded on
the rules it forms and follows in conduct of its affairs. Governance is thus
making of rules and making members follow those rules. As society becomes
complex, making of rules and ensuring that the rules are followed by its
members and groups also becomes complex. As far as a country is
concerned, government is a part, an essential part, of a State while
governance covers practically all public (and some private) affairs of the
State and thus involves non-state agencies. Governance has now become so
popular a word that it is used in several other contexts so much so that it has
been asserted that governance is important to all organisations and entities,
including corporates, non-governmental organisations (NGOs), and
international relations.
Some scholars, though drawing from the literature from international aid
agencies, hold that governance comprises the mechanism, methodology and
institutions which help the citizens and groups to protect their interests.
Others articulate governance as institutionalised modes of coordination
through which collectively binding decisions are adopted and implemented
irrespective of hierarchical relationship. One can well see that there exists a
minimal normative dimension since it refers to institutionalised modes of
coordination that intentionally aim at the provision of certain collective goods
rather than serving individual self-interests. A variation may suggest
governance to cover processes, mechanisms, and practices that steer decision-
making and implement those decisions.
205
Major Issues
Confronting Indian
thus to have not only effective government but effective and democratic
Economy governance.
Humane Governance
Though the term ‘humane governance’ was proposed long back by a political
scientist Rajni Kothari in 1987, in the context of paradoxes that existed and
exist in the contemporary times. Pointing towards ‘paradoxes of
overproduction and scarcity, of information explosion and increasing
ignorance, of proliferation, of commodities and shrinkage in nature’s
diversity, of affluence and poverty, of liberalisation and human rights
violation, of States that are at once too strong and too vulnerable’, he finds
‘ecocide and ethnocide are no longer imaginary scenarios created by
doomsday prophets’. Written for some Committee for a Just World Peace, he
bemoans the marriage between the State and the corporate business, and gave
a call for moving from government of humans to humane governance.
Subsequently, the phrase was used in the context of good global governance
as if to reform the United Nations.
209
Major Issues
Confronting Indian
The Mahbub-ul-Haq Human Development Centre in 1999 took human
Economy development perspective and viewed Humane Governance as good
governance that seeks to secure human development. Holding ownership,
decency, and accountability as the bedrock principles of humane governance,
it unfolds Humane Governance into political, economic, and civic (instead of
social) dimensions. Good political governance seeks riddance of the state
from interest groups, lobbyists, and politicians with short-sightedness (and so
are the voters interested in low taxation, high private gains, and freebies and
civil servants who are interested in building their own empires.) Good
political governance would seek to include:
Economists and political scientists have largely been ignoring the civic
dimension in which individuals, families, and communities frequently
operate. As freedom to form association is a basic human right and very often
a constitutional one, business associations, trade unions, religious
organisations, and various forms of NGOs (such as voluntary associations,
community-based organisations, philanthropic trusts, and research
foundations) have a definite and distinctive role in self-help, self-initiative,
and self-development. In erstwhile Soviet Union, this was completely
missing. Flourishing civic organisations will not only assert for rights but
also engender responsibility. Self-policing is the best policing.
210
Ingredients of
It is rightly suggested that each of the three dimensions are complementary to Good Governance
the other two; they are intractably linked; and they together achieve human
governance.
SMART Governance
However, in India, acronym SMART was coined to denote Simple, Moral,
Accountable, Responsive and Transparent. SMART governance owes its
origin to politicians’ reliance on e-resources as their use was found to be
more dependable in terms of pace but also making rent-seekers less powerful.
E-governance is the vehicle through which SMART governance has been
sought to be achieved.
212
Ingredients of
However, it appears that SMART Governance largely concentrates on the Good Governance
working of public sector – mainly bureaucracy. It is indeed so. That is why it
was favoured by the Second Administrative Reforms Commission whose
main mandate was reforming administration and was promoted and
propagated by the Department of Administrative Reforms (and Public
Grievances).
It may be noted that both humane governance and SMART governance
belong to two different genres. While the former is more about judging the
quality of governance process in terms of humane outcomes, the latter is
judging the quality of administrative processes. The schism is substantially
akin to that between the end and the means. SMART Humane Governance is
using e-technology but will be judged by the quality in terms of humane
governance outcomes.
3) The respect of citizens and the state for the institutions that govern
economic and social interactions among them.
213
Major Issues
Confronting Indian
While this description is fraught with a number of issues. The main stem does
Economy not say anything which qualifies governance as good though they include
constitutional arrangements in (1), government personnel in (2), and nature of
people and their State in (3). The qualification of ‘sound’ before policies
would mean different things for different groups of people and agencies.
While economy-centric people would look for efficiency, society-oriented
ones would search for equity. The inclusion of ‘sound policies’ in the second
dimension raises the question whether international experts (mostly
economists) can really be expected to know what constitutes ‘sound
policies’? For example, should pensions or health care or education be
privately or publicly funded or should they be imparted physical provisions
or through insurance? This broad definition can further be criticised for
mixing together policy content (‘sound policies’) and procedures (‘rule of
law’) as well as citizens’ evaluations (‘respect’). The mixture refers to both
institutions that provide access to political power and those that exercise and
implement laws and policies. To what extent and how should financial
institutions be regulated? Obviously, some political institutions or aspects of
politics are more important than others in determining the quality of
governance. If we examine other definitions, they are likely to meet the same
fate. The result is Grindle wanted Good Governance to ‘rest in peace’ (in a
paper in 2017) as he found proliferation of muddy thinking on governance.
So, we only note dimensions suggested in some of the contributions by
international agencies.
While making good governance index, the WGI in 1996 clearly unfolds six
dimensions by splitting three aspects mentioned above. They are:
1) Voice and accountability;
2) Political stability and absence of violence;
3) Government effectiveness;
4) Regulatory quality;
5) Rule of law; and
6) Control of corruption.
In contrast, the UNDP has identified five areas of intervention along which
governance could be improved:
1) Participation
214
Ingredients of
2) Rule of law Good Governance
3) Transparency
4) Responsiveness
5) Consensus-orientation
6) Equity
7) Effectiveness and equity
8) Accountability, and
9) Strategic vision
1) Effectiveness
2) Efficiency
3) Transparency
4) Accountability
5) Predictability
6) Sound financial management
7) Fighting corruption
8) Respect for human rights
9) Democracy
10) The rule of law.
One can easily make a distinction between the administrative core of good
governance – which is a legitimate part of government and a closely
associated political area – which involves people in governance. Principles
such as accountability, efficiency, transparency or the rule of law, belong to
the first category, that is, administration while respect for human rights,
participation and democratisation belong to political area.
Various other international agencies including those of UN System and
outside have also put their neck into the matter. They also try figure out some
common dimensions, without criticising others, but finally end up differing.
It would be instructive to prepare a comparative chart of representative sets
of dimensions and ingredients listed by some of these agencies in some or the 215
Major Issues
Confronting Indian
other place. We choose here one or the other affiliate of the UN System or
Economy the World Bank’s regional counterparts, which have not been discussed in the
preceding paragraphs.
The Fundamental Rights entitle people to certain rights that are enforceable
by a court of law, such as the Right to Life, the Right to Freedom of
Association, the Right to Freedom of Expression, and the Right to Education
(since 2009), Equality before Law and Equal Protection under Law. Besides,
a citizen of age 18 and above has a right to vote in elections to Parliament,
State Legislatures and Local Governments. And one of age 21 is eligible to
contest for membership in a local government, and one of 25 to House of
Representatives (Lok Sabha) and Legislative Assemblies (Vidhan Sabha).
Elections have also been organised frequently under the supervision of the
Election Commission for Parliament and State Legislatures and State
Election Commissions for local governments. Compared to several other
countries, Indian elections have generally been fair and the process has
generally been improving over time. But for this, India – the largest
democracy – is also said to be a vibrant democracy. Many young leaders are
making history by becoming Mayors of municipal corporation and Sarpanchs
of gram panchayats in their 20s.
A majority of the people – the poor and the illiterate – is unaware of its
entitlements. Rights violations do occur; the socially disadvantaged sections
of society are at times maltreated and discriminated, socially segregated, and
even physically assaulted and the police is often found to look the other way.
Women, even the educated ones, fare no better. At times, it is felt that
atrocities against women are rising.
220
Ingredients of
are actively participating in local governments, thanks to positive approach of Good Governance
some States.
One notice rampant corruption at all levels. Take any scheme, for example,
MGNREGA, there are issues at implementation level. People often say that
Indians are good at planning and bad in implementation. A plan which is
cannot be implemented, is not a plan at all!
For ensuring better behaviour from private corporate sector, Companies Act
of 1956 has been replaced by Companies Act of 2013 whereby corporate
governance has improved in the composition of board of directors,
appointment of company secretary, corporate social responsibility. But it is
found that rules are followed in letter but not in spirit.
3) Visit the website of the OECD and read the section on OECD work on
public governance. Pick up a topic of your interest and develop a
narrative.
5) Visit the website of one of the Commissions whether for SC, ST, or BC,
as mandated by Art 338, 338A, and 338B respectively of the
Constitution of India. Discuss the chosen Commission’s role in
protection, welfare, and socio-economic development of relevant section
of Indian society
25.10 REFERENCES
It would be worthwhile to visit websites of the World Bank, IMF, OECD,
and United Nations’ agencies – particularly UNDP, UNESCAP, and
UNESCO, to appreciate the evolution of the concept as well as differentiation
between conceptualisations by various agencies. Reports of Second
Administration Reforms Commission, particularly 11th one, would also be
very useful. Reports are available on the website of Department of
Administrative Reforms and Public Grievances, Government of India. Read
some scholarly articles which raise questions on the idea as promoted by
international aid agencies. Some of the books and articles which would be
very helpful, are:
1) Grindle, Merilee S. (2017). Good Governance, R.I.P.: A Critique and an
Alternative, Governance, vol. 30, issue 01 (January), pp. 17-22.
2) International Monetary Fund (2017). The Role of the Fund in
Governance Issues: Review of the Guidance Note – Preliminary
Considerations (Background Notes)
3) Kaufmann, Daniel; Kraay, Aart & Mastruzzi, Massimo (2010). The
World Governance Indicators: Methodological and Analytical Issues –
World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 5430.
4) Kuldeep Mathur (2008). From Government to Governance, National
Book Trust, New Delhi.
5) United Nations (2009). What is Good Governance? United Nations
Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific.
6) UNESCAP (2011), What is Good Governance?, www.unescap.org).
7) World Bank (1991). Managing Development – The Governance
Dimension, The World Bank, Washington DC.
8) World Bank (1994). Governance; The World Bank’s Experience, The
World Bank, Washington DC.
9) World Bank (2002). World Development Report, 2002 “Building
Institutions for Markets”, The World Bank, Washington, DC.
10) World Bank (2007). A Decade of Measuring the Quality of Governance,
The World Bank, Washington, DC.
224
Ingredients of
25.11 ANSWERS OR HINTS TO CHECK YOUR Good Governance
PROGRESS EXERCISES
Check Your Progress 1
1) Government is one, though an essential, part of a State and a mechanism
of governing it whereas governance is the total way all societal affairs,
particularly the public affairs, are conducted.
2) Mandates of the agencies, the time they are written, and the people who
articulate them.
226