MS2 CHP 1-10 by Mark Yu
MS2 CHP 1-10 by Mark Yu
MS2 CHP 1-10 by Mark Yu
Correlation quantifies the direction and strength of the relationship between two numeric
variables, X and Y, and always lies between -1.0 and 1.0. Simple linear regression relates X to Y
through an equation of the form Y = a + bX.
Key similarities
Both quantify the direction and strength of the relationship between two numeric
variables.
When the correlation (r) is negative, the regression slope (b) will be negative.
When the correlation is positive, the regression slope will be positive.
The correlation squared (r2 or R2) has special meaning in simple linear regression. It
represents the proportion of variation in Y explained by X.
Key differences
Regression attempts to establish how X causes Y to change and the results of the analysis
will change if X and Y are swapped. With correlation, the X and Y variables are
interchangeable.
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*The X variable can be fixed with correlation, but confidence intervals and statistical tests are no
longer appropriate. Typically, regression is used when X is fixed.
Correlation is a more concise (single value) summary of the relationship between two
variables than regression. In result, many pairwise correlations can be viewed together at
the same time in one table.
Regression provides a more detailed analysis which includes an equation which can be
used for prediction and/or optimization.
Correlation coefficient formulas are used to find how strong a relationship is between data. The
formulas return a value between -1 and 1, where:
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A correlation coefficient of 1 means that for every positive increase in one variable, there
is a positive increase of a fixed proportion in the other. For example, shoe sizes go up in (almost)
perfect correlation with foot length.
A correlation coefficient of -1 means that for every positive increase in one variable,
there is a negative decrease of a fixed proportion in the other. For example, the amount of gas in
a tank decreases in (almost) perfect correlation with speed.
Zero means that for every increase, there isn’t a positive or negative increase. The two
just aren’t related.
The absolute value of the correlation coefficient gives us the relationship strength. The larger the
number, the stronger the relationship. For example, |-.75| = .75, which has a stronger relationship
than .65.
One of the most commonly used formulas in stats is Pearson’s correlation coefficient formula. If
you’re taking a basic stats class, this is the one you’ll probably use:
Pearson correlation coefficient - Correlation between sets of data is a measure of how well they
are related. The most common measure of correlation in stats is the Pearson Correlation. The full
name is the Pearson Product Moment Correlation (PPMC). It shows the linear
relationship between two sets of data. In simple terms, it answers the question, Can I draw a line
graph to represent the data? Two letters are used to represent the Pearson correlation: Greek
letter rho (ρ) for a population and the letter “r” for a sample.
Two other formulas are commonly used: the sample correlation coefficient and the
population correlation coefficient.
Sx and Sy are the sample standard deviations, and Sxy is the sample covariance.
The population correlation coefficient uses σx and σy as the population standard deviations, and
σxy as the population covariance.
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Example: Find the value of the correlation coefficient from the following table:
1 43 99
2 21 65
3 25 79
4 42 75
5 57 87
6 59 81
Step 1: Make a chart. Use the given data, and add three more columns: xy, x2, and y2.
1 43 99
2 21 65
3 25 79
4 42 75
5 57 87
6 59 81
Step 2: Multiply x and y together to fill the xy column. For example, row 1 would be 43 × 99
= 4,257.
1 43 99 4257
2 21 65 1365
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3 25 79 1975
4 42 75 3150
5 57 87 4959
6 59 81 4779
Step 3: Take the square of the numbers in the x column, and put the result in the x2 column.
1 43 99 4257 1849
2 21 65 1365 441
3 25 79 1975 625
4 42 75 3150 1764
5 57 87 4959 3249
6 59 81 4779 3481
Step 4: Take the square of the numbers in the y column, and put the result in the y2 column.
Step 5: Add up all of the numbers in the columns and put the result at the bottom of the
column. The Greek letter sigma (Σ) is a short way of saying “sum of.”
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Σx = 247
Σy = 486
Σxy = 20,485
Σx2 = 11,409
Σy2 = 40,022
n is the sample size, in our case = 6
The correlation coefficient =
The range of the correlation coefficient is from -1 to 1. Our result is 0.5298 or 52.98%, which
means the variables have a moderate positive correlation.
“Linear” means line. The word Regression came from a 19th-Century Scientist, Sir Francis
Galton, who coined the term “regression toward mediocrity” (in modern language,
that’s regression to the mean. He used the term to describe the phenomenon of how nature tends
to dampen excess physical traits from generation to generation (like extreme height).
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Regression analysis is almost always performed by a computer program, as the equations are
extremely time-consuming to perform by hand.
The first step in finding a linear regression equation is to determine if there is a relationship
between the two variables. This is often a judgment call for the researcher. You’ll also need a list
of your data in x-y format (i.e. two columns of data—independent and dependent variables).
Warnings:
1. Just because two variables are related, it does not mean that one causes the other. For
example, although there is a relationship between high GRE scores and better performance
in grad school, it doesn’t mean that high GRE scores cause good grad school performance.
2. If you attempt to try and find a linear regression equation for a set of data (especially
through an automated program like Excel or a TI-83), you will find one, but it does not
necessarily mean the equation is a good fit for your data. One technique is to make a scatter
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plot first, to see if the data roughly fits a line before you try to find a linear regression
equation.
From the above table, Σx = 247, Σy = 486, Σxy = 20485, Σx2 = 11409, Σy2 = 40022. n is the
sample size (6, in our case).
a = 65.1416
b = .385225
Find a:
2
((486 × 11,409) – ((247 × 20,485)) / 6 (11,409) – 247 )
484979 / 7445
=65.14
Find b:
2
(6(20,485) – (247 × 486)) / (6 (11409) – 247 )
2
(122,910 – 120,042) / 68,454 – 247
2,868 / 7,445
= .385225
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* Note that this example has a low correlation coefficient, and therefore wouldn’t be too good at
predicting anything.
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
https://www.statisticshowto.com/probability-and-statistics/correlation-
coefficient-formula/
https://www.statisticshowto.com/probability-and-statistics/regression-
analysis/find-a-linear-regression-
equation/#:~:text=Linear%20regression%20is%20a%20way%20to%20model%2
0the%20relationship%20between%20two%20variables.&text=The%20equation
%20has%20the%20form,a%20is%20the%20y%2Dintercept.
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=11c9cs6WpJU
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jf-SIOFUuEo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=27ywsOzDzJM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aztcS-3MwH0
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If you are going to propose a hypothesis, it’s customary to write a statement. Your statement will
look like this:
“If I…(do this to an independent variable)….then (this will happen to the dependent variable).”
For example:
If I (decrease the amount of water given to herbs) then (the herbs will increase in size).
If I (give patients counseling in addition to medication) then (their overall depression
scale will decrease).
If I (give exams at noon instead of 7) then (student test scores will improve).
If I (look in this certain location) then (I am more likely to find new species).
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Where:
Z = z score
̅ = mean
𝒙
𝝁𝟎 = null hypothesis
𝝈 = standard deviation
Hypothesis testing in statistics is a way for you to test the results of a survey or experiment to see
if you have meaningful results. You’re basically testing whether your results are valid by
figuring out the odds that your results have happened by chance. If your results may have
happened by chance, the experiment won’t be repeatable and so has little use.
Hypothesis testing can be one of the most confusing aspects for students, mostly because before
you can even perform a test, you have to know what your null hypothesis is. Often, those tricky
word problems that you are faced with can be difficult to decipher. But it’s easier than you think;
all you need to do is:
Null hypothesis - the null hypothesis is a clear statement about the relationship between two (or
more) statistical objects. These objects may be measurements, distributions, or categories.
Typically, the null hypothesis, as the name implies, states that there is no relationship. In the
case of two population means, the null hypothesis might state that the means of the two
populations are equal.
Alternative hypothesis - Once the null hypothesis has been stated, it is easy to construct
the alternative hypothesis. It is essentially the statement that the null hypothesis is false. In our
example, the alternative hypothesis would be that the means of the two populations are not equal.
Significance - The significance level is a measure of the statistical strength of the hypothesis
test. It is often characterized as the probability of incorrectly concluding that the null hypothesis
is false. The significance level is something that you should specify up front. In applications, the
significance level is typically one of three values: 10%, 5%, or 1%. A 1% significance level
represents the strongest test of the three. For this reason, 1% is a higher significance level than
10%.
Power - Related to significance, the power of a test measures the probability of correctly
concluding that the null hypothesis is true. Power is not something that you can choose. It is
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determined by several factors, including the significance level you select and the size of the
difference between the things you are trying to compare. Unfortunately, significance and power
are inversely related. Increasing significance decreases power. This makes it difficult to design
experiments that have both very high significance and power.
Test statistic - The test statistic is a single measure that captures the statistical nature of the
relationship between observations you are dealing with. The test statistic depends fundamentally
on the number of observations that are being evaluated. It differs from situation to situation.
Distribution of the test statistic - The whole notion of hypothesis rests on the ability to specify
(exactly or approximately) the distribution that the test statistic follows. In the case of this
example, the difference between the means will be approximately normally distributed
(assuming there are a relatively large number of observations).
One-tailed vs. two-tailed tests - Depending on the situation, you may want (or need) to employ
a one- or two-tailed test. These tails refer to the right and left tails of the distribution of the test
statistic. A two-tailed test allows for the possibility that the test statistic is either very large or
very small (negative is small). A one-tailed test allows for only one of these possibilities.
In an example where the null hypothesis states that the two population means are equal, you need
to allow for the possibility that either one could be larger than the other. The test statistic could
be either positive or negative. So, you employ a two-tailed test. The null hypothesis might have
been slightly different, namely that the mean of population 1 is larger than the mean of
population 2. In that case, you don’t need to account statistically for the situation where the first
mean is smaller than the second. So, you would employ a one-tailed test.
Critical value - The critical value in a hypothesis test is based on two things: the distribution of
the test statistic and the significance level. The critical value(s) refer to the point in the test
statistic distribution that give the tails of the distribution an area (meaning probability) exactly
equal to the significance level that was chosen.
Decision - Your decision to reject or accept the null hypothesis is based on comparing the test
statistic to the critical value. If the test statistic exceeds the critical value, you should reject the
null hypothesis. In this case, you would say that the difference between the two population
means is significant. Otherwise, you accept the null hypothesis.
P-value - The p-value of a hypothesis test gives you another way to evaluate the null hypothesis.
The p-value represents the highest significance level at which your particular test statistic would
justify rejecting the null hypothesis. For example, if you have chosen a significance level of 5%,
and the p-value turns out to be .03 (or 3%), you would be justified in rejecting the null
hypothesis.
A researcher thinks that if knee surgery patients go to physical therapy twice a week (instead of 3
times), their recovery period will be longer. Average recovery time for knee surgery patients is
8.2 weeks.
The hypothesis statement in this question is that the researcher believes the average recovery
time is more than 8.2 weeks. It can be written in mathematical terms as:
H1: μ > 8.2
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Next, you’ll need to state the null hypothesis (See: How to state the null hypothesis). That’s
what will happen if the researcher is wrong. In the above example, if the researcher is wrong
then the recovery time is less than or equal to 8.2 weeks. In math, that’s:
H0 μ ≤ 8.2
Ten or so years ago, we believed that there were 9 planets in the solar system. Pluto was demoted
as a planet in 2006. The null hypothesis of “Pluto is a planet” was replaced by “Pluto is not a
planet.” Of course, rejecting the null hypothesis isn’t always that easy—the hard part is usually
figuring out what your null hypothesis is in the first place.
The one sample z test isn’t used very often (because we rarely know the actual
population standard deviation). However, it’s a good idea to understand how it works as it’s one
of the simplest tests you can perform in hypothesis testing. In English class you got to learn the
basics (like grammar and spelling) before you could write a story; think of one sample z tests as
the foundation for understanding more complex hypothesis testing. This page contains two
hypothesis testing examples for one sample z-tests.
A principal at a certain school claims that the students in his school are above average
intelligence. A random sample of thirty students IQ scores have a mean score of 112. Is there
sufficient evidence to support the principal’s claim? The mean population IQ is 100 with
a standard deviation of 15.
Step 1: State the Null hypothesis. The accepted fact is that the population mean is 100, so: H0:
μ=100.
Step 2: State the Alternate Hypothesis. The claim is that the students have above average IQ
scores, so:
H1: μ > 100.
The fact that we are looking for scores “greater than” a certain point means that this is a one-
tailed test.
Step 4: State the alpha level. If you aren’t given an alpha level, use 5% (0.05).
Step 5: Find the rejection region area (given by your alpha level above) from the z-table. An area
of .05 is equal to a z-score of 1.645.
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Step 6: If Step 6 is greater than Step 5, reject the null hypothesis. If it’s less than Step 5, you
cannot reject the null hypothesis. In this case, it is greater (4.56 > 1.645), so you can reject the
null.
Blood glucose levels for obese patients have a mean of 100 with a standard deviation of 15. A
researcher thinks that a diet high in raw cornstarch will have a positive or negative effect on
blood glucose levels. A sample of 30 patients who have tried the raw cornstarch diet have a mean
glucose level of 140. Test the hypothesis that the raw cornstarch had an effect.
Step 1: State the null hypothesis: H0:μ=100
Step 2: State the alternate hypothesis: H1:≠100
Step 3: State your alpha level. We’ll use 0.05 for this example. As this is a two-tailed test, split
the alpha into two.
0.05/2=0.025
Step 4: Find the z-score associated with your alpha level. You’re looking for the area in one tail
only. A z-score for 0.75(1-0.025=0.975) is 1.96. As this is a two-tailed test, you would also be
considering the left tail (z = 1.96)
*This process is made much easier if you use a TI-83 or Excel to calculate the z-score (the
“critical value”).
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
https://www.statisticshowto.com/probability-and-statistics/hypothesis-testing/
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VK-rnA3-41c
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zR2QLacylqQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zJ8e_wAWUzE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FU9UR9XVZwc
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CHAPTER 8: Probabilities
OBJECTIVES :
When you first encountered an algebra problem with exclamation mark “!“, you probably
thought it was a trick question. You didn’t know how to handle it because you have no idea what
it meant. As you know, symbols in math are everything. The key is to recognize that each
mathematical symbol has an implied meaning. Most of the time, it suggests some kind of
operation that tells us what to do with a number. The best way to understand how it works is to
look at a specific example.
Suppose you are asked to evaluate 5!5! which is read as “five factorial“.
You can approach this in two ways.
Counting Up Method:
Or, you may do it the other way around. Begin by counting from 1 until you reach the target
number which in this case is 5. Multiply those factors to obtain the answer.
So here’s the general formula of factorial that I think you need to remember. It doesn’t matter
which one you use to solve a problem, the answer will come out the same. However, the first one
is the “preferred” way so ask your teacher if you’re not sure.
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Before we go over some worked examples, remember the special rule that “zero factorial is equal
to one“.
This is considered as the “full expansion” of 6! because we list down all its factors, that is,
starting from the given number 6 and decreased by 1 in every sequence until we reach the
number 1.
To solve for 7!, I will expand the expression until I see six factorial, 6! , because we already
know its value which is 6! = 720.
Since we don’t list all the factors of 7! , we may consider this is a “partial expansion”.
Some calculators such as TI-84 have the capability to quickly compute for the factorial of any
number. The command is usually located under the Probability menu.
Wrong Solution:
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Correct Solution:
What you should do instead is to evaluate each factorial separately then add them together.
Factorial Notation
We are all familiar with multiplication. The factorial notation is a symbol that we use to represent
a multiplication operation. But it is more than just a symbol. In the space below we will see what
the factorial notation is and how we can use it to make our calculations easier. Let us begin with
the introduction of the factorial and then we will see some solved examples of the same.
The factorial notation comes in handy when you are arranging objects. Consider the following
scenario that we shall use to use to define and introduce this notation. For example, you have ten
balls. Each ball has a number marked on it. You also have ten slots that you have to fill with the
balls. How many different ways can you fill these slots in?
The first slot can be filled in 10 ways because you have 10 different balls to fill it with. You can
fill the second slot in 9 ways. Since one of the slots already has a ball in it. Similarly, we can fill
the next slot in 8 ways and so on. What is the total number of ways we can arrange these 10 balls
in ten slots? This will be got from the fundamental principle of counting. The total number of
ways is 10×9×8×7×6×5×4×3×2×1.
For all such arrangements, we will see a similar pattern of multiplication. For example, for any
number ‘n’, we can make n×(n-1)×(n-2)×(n-3)×(n-4)×(n-5)×…×3×2×1. This is where we use the
factorial notation. We define the factorial of a positive integer as the product of the integer with
all the numbers lesser than it all the way up to 1.
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We define the factorial of a number as the product of consecutive descending natural numbers and
represent it by !. For example, the factorial of 4 or 4! = 4×3×2×1. Similarly the factorial of 7 or 7!
= 7×6×5×4×3×2×1. Similarly, we can find the factorials of all the positive integers. In the
factorial notation, we define the factorial of 0 to be = 1. So 0! = 1. By convention, 0! = 1. Also 1!
= 1. Then 2! = 2 ! 1 = 2 and 3! = 3 ! 2 ! 1 = 6. Likewise, 4! = 4 ! 3 ! 2 ! 1 = 24 and 5! = 5 ! 4 ! 3 !
2 ! 1 = 120.
Example 1: Aman has 12 balls that have different numbers on it. He makes all the possible
arrangements for the 12 different balls. Shoaib also has 6 balls that he arranges in all the possible
orders. What is the ratio of the arrangements that Aman makes to the number of arrangements that
Shoaib makes?
Answer: We know that the number of arrangements that we can make for any ‘n’ number of
objects is given by n factorial or n!. Since Aman is arranging 10 objects, he will be able to do it in
10! ways. Similarly, Shoaib has 6 different objects that he will arrange in 6! ways. The ratio will
simply be = 10!/6!
In other words, we can say that the ratio is = (10×9×8×7×6!)/6! = (10×9×8×7) /1 = 5040:1
Answer: (i) The calculations with factorials can be difficult. We should try to reduce the
numerator or the denominator such that a factorial term cancels itself. For example, in the first
example we can write:
(ii) We shall use the same method to simplify the second part. Here we have, 12!/(3!)(5!) which
can be written as:
(12×11×10×9×8×7×6×5!)/(3×2×1)(5!) = 665280
Examples of Arrangements
Example 3: A compact disc has 10 songs. The random play feature will play all of these songs in
an unknown permutation (i.e., in order, without repeats).
(a) How many possible permutations are there of these 10 songs?
(b) If you select only your 8 favourite tracks and then use the random play, then how many
possible arrangements will there be of these 8 songs?
(c) If you only have time to hear 4 songs on random play, then how many possibilities are there
for a playing of 4 different songs from the entire CD?
Solution. (a) Since all 10 songs are to be arranged in order without repeats (i.e., permuted), there
are 10! = 3,628,800 possibilities.
(b) Now only 8 songs are to be permuted, so there are 8! = 40,320 possibilities.
(c) Now 4 songs chosen from a set of 10 are to be listed in order without repeats. So now there are
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10×9×8×7 = 5,040 possibilities. Note that the value in (c) also is given by
(10×9×8×7×6×5×4×3×2×1)/(6×5×4×3×2×1) = 10!/6!
The 10! in the numerator comes from the total number of 10 songs. The 6! in the denominator
comes from the number of unused songs in the list.
Example 4: In a psychological word association test, a computer will randomly pick a letter from
the alphabet (A – Z) without repeating letters. The subject will have to say the first word coming
to mind that starts with that letter. If the test goes on for 16 letters, then how many possibilities are
there for the list of letters?
Answer: Because letters are not being repeated, we compute the number of choices by
26×25×24×. . .× until we have multiplied 16 terms together. It would be much easier to use
26!/10! ≈ 1.111363×1020 (which is a lot of possibilities). The 26! comes from the total set of 26
letters, and 10! comes from the number of 10 unused letters in the list.
Given a set of N distinct objects, a permutation is an arrangement of the entire set in order without
repetitions. There are N! ways to permute the entire set. The value N! is called “N factorial” and
is computed by:
N! = N × (N – 1) × (N – 2) × . . . × 1.
This gives the number of permutations for N objects taken all at a time. Suppose a set has N
distinct objects and we wish to make a list of ‘k’ of these objects (in order without repeats). For
example, from a group of 32 balls, we
need 3 balls for a slot number 1, a slot number 2 and a slot number 3. How many choices are
possible?
Answer: We are listing 3 without repeats from a group of 32, so there are 32 × 31 × 30 = 29,760
possible choices. Notice that the number of choices also can be computed by 32!/29! ; but in this
case, it is easier to use 32 × 31×30. However, if we were arranging a larger portion of the set, then
it would be more convenient to use the factorial notation.
In the above example, we saw that if we are permuting or arranging 32 objects into 3 slots or in
other words 32 objects in three ways, then the number of arrangements can be written as 32!/29!.
We can write this as:
32!/(32 – 3)!. If we generalise this, we can see that if we have ‘n’ objects taken say ‘r’ at a time,
the total number of permutations is equal to n!/(n-r)!. this is the general formula for
permutations. The expression P(n, r), also written nPr, is calculated by:
P(n, r ) = n!/(n-r)!
You must use the difference in the denominator.
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Remember that in permutations, the order does matter. This means that if we have two letters say
A and A, then AA and AA where the order of the two A’s has changed will count as two
permutations. Let us see some more examples:
For example, we have two identical balls that we have marked as ‘a’ and ‘a’. Then instead of one
arrangement, we count them as two because in permutations the order matters.
Source: indiamart
Answer: Here we have to arrange 6 books. As we know that the number of permutations of n
objects is n! = n (n – 1)(n – 2) … 2.1
Here n = 6 and therefore, number of permutations is 6! = 6.5.4.3.2.1 = 720. Therefore the number
of ways we can arrange the six books on the shelf = 720.
Example 2: Suppose you have 6 happy birthday cards for your friends and you want to send
them to 4 of your
friends. In how many ways can you send these cards to 4 of your friends?
Answer: Here we have to find the number of permutations of 4 objects out of 6 objects. In other
words, we have to count the number of permutations of six objects take 4 at a time. This can be
done as follows:
This number is 6(6-1)(6-2)(6-3) = 6.5.4.3 = 360. We can also do this in an easy way as below:
6
P4 = 6!/(6-4)! = 6!/2! = 6.5.4.3 = 360. Therefore, cards can be sent in 360 ways.
Example 3: In a library, there are 4 books on fairy tales, 5 books are novels and 3 books are on
plays. In how many ways can you arrange these so that books on the fairy tales are together in one
place. The novels are together and plays are also together. The requirement is that these books
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should be in a specific order i.e., books on fairy tales, before novels, before plays.
Answer: There are 4 books on fairy tales and they have to be put together. They can be arranged
in 4! ways.
Similarly, there are 5 novels. They can be arranged in 5! ways. And there are 3 books on plays.
They can be arranged in 3! ways. So, by the counting principle all of them together can be
arranged in 4! × 5! × 3! ways = 17280 ways.
Type II
Example 4: In the above example what is the number of permutations if the books are not to be
kept in order?
Answer: Whenever you are asked to keep a particular class of objects together, a convenient trick
is to sort of glue them together in your head and treat them as one object. First, we consider the
books on fairy tales, novels and plays as single objects.
These three objects i.e the one group of fairy tale books, the one group of novels and the one
group of plays can be arranged in 3! ways = 6 ways.
Let us fix one of these 6 arrangements. This may give us a specific order, say, novels → fairy
tales → plays. Given this order, the books on the same subject can be arranged as follows. In
other words, now we have to count the internal permutations. The 4 books on fairy tales can be
arranged among themselves in 4! = 24 ways.
The 5 novels can be arranged in 5! = 120 ways. The 3 plays can be arranged in 3! = 6 ways.
For a given order, the books can be arranged in 24×120×6 = 17280 ways.
Therefore, for all the 6 possible orders the books can be arranged in 6×17280 = 103680 ways.
Combination
The number of combinations is the number of ways in which we can select a group of objects
from a set. For example, if you have ‘n’ objects, in how many ways can you select or choose these
‘n’ objects? Moreover, if the order is taken into consideration then it is the same as the number
of permutations. But since the order doesn’t matter, there is only one way to do it! Which means
that if you have to select ‘n’ objects taking ‘n’ at a time, there is only one way to do it.
How about something smaller than ‘n’? Let us see this with the help of an example. Consider that
there are 4 objects and you have to select 2 objects from them. Then how many selections can you
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do? You can pick the first two, the second two, the middle two, the first and the last and so on. If
you count, you will find that there are exactly 6 ways to do it.
Thus, combinations are just permutations where the order is not taken into account. So the
number of permutations will always be greater than the number of combinations. Using the
definition of permutations, we can get the combination formula. Let us see how!
Combination Formula
Let us say that we have 10 items out of which we will have to select 2 items. How many
arrangements can we make? The number of arrangements will be given by = 10P2 = 90. So there
are 90 arrangements that we can make from 10 objects if we take 2 at a time. What if the order of
the arrangement was not taken into account? For example, we mark one object A and the other B.
Then if AB and BA are considered as one arrangement, we say that order doesn’t matter. What
will be the number of arrangements in such a case? In that case, it will be the number of ways we
can select two items out of a group of 10 items.
To get that, we need to cancel the number of arrangements that are generated because of order.
For example, if we take 2 objects then they can be arranged in 2 factorial(2!) ways and so on. So
we need to cancel these 2 factorial ways. Thus the number of ways in which we can “select” 2
items from a group of 10 items = 10P2 /2!. This is the combination formula.
In general, we say that if we have a group of ‘n’ objects out of which we make a selection taking
‘r’ objects at a time, then the number of such selections or arrangements is given by nPr/r!
n
Cr = n!/r!(n-r)!
Example 1: Find the number of subsets of the set {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11} having 4
elements.
Answer: C. The set has 11 elements. Any subset that we form has to have 4 elements from the
set. Here the order of choosing the elements doesn’t matter. The set { 1, 2, 3, 4} is the same as {4,
3, 2, 1}. Therefore, this is a problem in combinations.
We can do this by using the combination formula as:
11
C 4 = 11!/4!(11-4)! = 11!/7! = (11.10.9.8)/4.3.2.1 = 330 ways.
Example 2: The Indian Cricket team consists of 16 players. It includes 2 wicketkeepers and 5
bowlers. In how many ways can you select a cricket team of eleven players if you have to select 1
wicketkeeper and at least 4 bowlers?
Chapter 8 8
MODULE BUSINESS STATISTICS
Answer: C. If we have to select a team of 11 players from a roster of 16 players then the total
number of ways would be 16C11. But here we have to select 11 players including 1 wicketkeeper
and 4 bowlers or 1 wicketkeeper and 5 bowlers.
Note that there are a total of 2 wicketkeepers and 5 bowlers to choose from. So the number of
ways of selecting 1 wicket keeper, 4 bowlers and 6 other players =
2
C1×5C4×9C6 = 840.
Furthermore, the number of ways of selecting 1 wicket keeper, 5 bowlers and 5 other players.
2
C1×5C5×9C5 = 252
Therefore, the total number of ways of selecting the team = 840 + 252 = 1092.
Many events can't be predicted with total certainty. The best we can say is how likely they are to
happen, using the idea of probability.
Tossing a Coin
heads (H) or
tails (T)
We say that the probability of the coin landing H is ½ And the probability of the coin
landing T is ½
Throwing Dice
Chapter 8 9
MODULE BUSINESS STATISTICS
Probability
In general:
Number of ways it can happen: 1 (there is only 1 face with a "4" on it)
So the probability = 16
Example: there are 5 marbles in a bag: 4 are blue, and 1 is red. What is the probability that a blue
marble gets picked?
Example: there are 5 marbles in a bag: 4 are blue, and 1 is red. What is the probability that a blue
marble gets picked?
Probability Line
Chapter 8 10
MODULE BUSINESS STATISTICS
Probability does not tell us exactly what will happen, it is just a guide
Example: toss a coin 100 times, how many Heads will come up?
But when we actually try it we might get 48 heads, or 55 heads ... or anything really, but in most
cases it will be a number near 50.
Chapter 8 11
MODULE BUSINESS STATISTICS
So the Sample Space is all 52 possible cards: {Ace of Hearts, 2 of Hearts, etc... }
"King" is not a sample point. There are 4 Kings, so that is 4 different sample points.
Chapter 8 12
MODULE BUSINESS STATISTICS
Example:
Alex wants to see how many times a "double" comes up when throwing 2 dice.
The Event Alex is looking for is a "double", where both dice have the same number. It is made
up of these 6 Sample Points:
Is it a
Experiment
Double?
{3,4} No
{5,1} No
{2,2} Yes
Chapter 8 13
MODULE BUSINESS STATISTICS
{6,3} No
... ...
After 100 Experiments, Alex has 19 "double" Events ... is that close to what you would expect?
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
https://www.toppr.com/guides/quantitative-aptitude/permutation-and-
combination/factorial-notation/
https://www.toppr.com/guides/quantitative-aptitude/permutation-and-
combination/permutations/
https://www.toppr.com/guides/quantitative-aptitude/permutation-and-
combination/combination/
https://www.mathsisfun.com/data/probability.html
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
https://youtu.be/SFPGVTThJNk
https://youtu.be/ZxV-kf0yBss
https://youtu.be/hZxnzfnt5v8
https://youtu.be/saO1yLxd1p8
Chapter 8 14
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
• The direction of the long tail of the distribution points the direction of the skewness.
SYMMETRIC DISTRIBUTION
A frequency distribution is symmetric when a vertical line can be drawn through the middle of a
graph of the distribution and the resulting halves are approximately mirror images.
UNIFORM DISTRIBUTION
A frequency distribution is uniform (or rectangular) when all entries, or classes, in the
distribution have equal or approximately equal frequencies. A uniform distribution is also
symmetric.
Chapter 7 1
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
▪ A frequency distribution is skewed when the “tail” of the graph elongates more to one
side than to the other.
▪ A distribution is skewed left (negatively skewed) when its tail extends to the left.
Example, a negatively skewed distribution results if the majority of students score very high
on examination. These scores will tend to cluster to the right of the distribution.
A distribution is skewed right (positively skewed) when its tail extends to the right.
Example, if an instructor gave an examination and most of the students did poorly, their scores
would tend to cluster on the left side of the distribution. A few high scores would constitute the
tail of the distribution, which would be on the right side.
Chapter 7 2
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
• If the value of sk > 0 then the frequency polygon is skewed to the right.
• If the value of sk < 0 then the frequency polygon is skewed to the left.
Examples:
Using the tables below, find the coefficient of skewness of the scores and make an analysis.
a) b)
Chapter 7 3
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
The following values were calculated from the Achievement Test Results of the Experimental
group and the Control group in Mathematics 10:
INTERPRETATION:
The skewness value of the experimental group is 0.374 while the control group is 0.739.
Both data indicate positive skewness, which it interpreted means that the scores of both groups of
student respondents tend to be low. However, the coefficient of skewness of the experimental
group is lower than what the control group received. This implies that the scores of the
experimental group are less spread than the control group.
• In statistics, kurtosis (or excess) is a statistical measure used to describe the distribution
of observed data around the mean.
It measures the relative peakedness or flatness of a distribution (as compared to the normal
distribution, which shows a kurtosis of zero).
Chapter 7 4
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Types of kurtosis
1. Leptokurtic are distributions where values clustered heavily or pile up in the center.
There are tall distribution with narrow humps and long and high tails. Its kurtosis is
positive. (kurtosis>3) and it denotes a high degree of peakness.
2. Mesokurtic are intermediate distribution which are neither too peaked nor too flat. The
values are immediately distributed about the center. Its kurtosis is three. (kurtosis=3)
3. Platykurtic are flat distributions with values more evenly distributed about the center
with broad humps and short tails. Its kurtosis is negative (kurtosis < 3) and it denotes a
low degree of peakness.
• If one distribution (green curve) is more peaked than another, then it is more leptokurtic.
Example:
Eight selected students were asked to report the total number of hours they spent on the Internet
last week. Find the coefficient of skewness and kurtosis of the collected data below.
Chapter 7 5
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Solution:
Interpretation:
This indicates that there is a slight positive skewness in the hour distribution they spent on the
Internet.
Solution:
INTERPRETATION
The kurtosis value of 1.31 is less than 3, thus, the hour distribution they spent on the Internet is
Platykurtic.
Chapter 7 6
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Example:
Solution:
INTERPRETATION
The kurtosis value of 1.94 is less than 3, hence, the score distribution is Platykurtic . It means
that the number of students is slightly distributed among the score interval.
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
▪ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XSSRrVMOqlQ
▪ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U0NZu6f5TMI&t=10s
▪ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TM033GCU-SY&t=364s
▪ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HnMGKsupF8Q
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
• https://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/eda/section3/eda35b.htm#:~:text=Skewn
ess%20is%20a%20measure%20of,precisely%2C%20the%20lack%20of%20symmetry.
&text=Kurtosis%20is%20a%20measure%20of,have%20heavy%20tails%2C%20or%20o
utliers.https://www.mathsisfun.com/data/standard-normal-distribution.html
Chapter 7 7
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
The meaning of standard deviation is best defined by normal distribution of scores. The
normal distribution is illustrated by the normal curve. Normal curve is a symmetrical curve
having a bell-like shape.
The total area under the normal curve represents all of the scores in a normal distribution.
In such a curve, the mean, the median, the mode are identical, so the mean falls at the exact
center of the curve. The curve has no boundaries in either direction, for the curve never touches
the baseline no matter how far it is extended. The curve is a curve of probability, not of certainty.
Since the curve is symmetrical, this holds true for both side of the mean. In presented,
approximately 68.27% of the scores lie between +1sd and -1sd. Furthermore, about 13.59% of
the scores fall between 1sd and 2sd. All of the scores in a normal distribution lie between the
mean plus or minus standard deviations.
If a set of scores is normally distributed, one can interpret any particular score if he
knows how far, in standard deviation units, it is from the mean.
Chapter 6 1
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Example
The mean of a normal distribution is 41 and the standard deviation is 11. How does an
individual’s score of 52 compare with all the other scores? How about the score of 19?
If a person’s score is 52, then slightly more than 84.135% of all the other scores in a distribution
lie below his score. If a person’s score is 19, then slightly more than 97.725% of all the scores in
a distribution fall above his score.
In the field of educational research, there are a number of practical applications of the normal
curve, among which are:
3. To test the significance of observe measures in experiments, relating them to the chance
fluctuations or errors that are inherent in the process of sampling and generalizing about
population form which the samples are drawn (BEST, 1990).
Researchers are often interested in seeing how person’s score compares with another’s. To
determine this, researchers convert raw scores to derived scores such standard scores.
Standard scores use a common scale to indicate how an individual compares to other
individuals in a group. These scores are particularly helpful in comparing an individual’s relative
position on different instruments. (Fraenkel, 1994)
z scores. These standard scores tell how far a raw score is from the mean in standard deviation
units. The formula is x − x
z =
s
Chapter 6 2
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
where:
𝑥̅ = mean
t scores. These are z scores that are expressed in another way. The formula is:
x−x
t = 50 +10 or
s
t = 50 + 10 z
Example:
1. Ryan got a grade of 86 on the final examination in English for which the mean grade was
76 and the standard deviation was 10. On the final examination in Mathematics for which
the mean grade was 83 and the standard deviation was 16, he received a grade of 91. In
which subject was his relative standing higher?
Interpretation:
The score of Ryan in English is 1 unit standard deviation above the mean. His score in
Mathematics is 0.5 unit standard deviation above the mean. Thus, his relative standing was
higher in English.
2. Prof. Miko wanted to get a student’s equally weighted mean achievement on Math test and
Science test. The data are shown below.
Chapter 6 3
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Interpretation:
The mean standard score of -1.75 indicates that on an equally weighted mean, the performance
of the student was fairly consistent that is 2 standard deviations below the mean in Math and 1.5
standard deviations below the mean in Science.
Example:
If a random variable has the standard normal distribution, what are the probabilities that it will
take on a value Between zero and 1.27?
Chapter 6 4
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Example:
Find the area under the standard normal distribution curve between 0.49 to 1.23
Hence, the area of the curve between 0.49 to 1.23 is 0.20.28 or 20.28%
Example:
Find the area under the standard normal distribution curve Between -0.79 and 1.43
Chapter 6 5
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Hence, the area of the curve between -0.79 to 1.43 is 0.7088 or 70.88%
Example:
Find the area under the standard normal distribution curve to the right of z =1.96.
Hence, the area of the curve to the right of 1.96 is 0.250 or 2.50%
Chapter 6 6
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Example:
Find the area under the standard normal distribution curve to the left of z = 0.5
Therefore, the area of the standard normal distribution curve to the left of 0.5 is 0.5915 or
59.15%
The scores of the grade six pupils have a mean of 5.23 and standard deviation of 0.25.
Chapter 6 7
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Chapter 6 8
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Yedha is a Home Economics teacher. She knows from experience that the number of budget
meals she sells each day is a random variable having approximately a normal distribution with
the mean equal to 30.2 and standard deviation equal to 4.5. What are the probabilities that in any
value day she will sell Exactly 25 budget meals? At most 25 budget meals?
Chapter 6 9
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
A survey indicates that for each trip to Robinsons supermarket, a shopper spends a mean of 45
minutes with a standard deviation of 15 minutes in the store. The lengths of time spent in the
store are normally distributed and are represented by the variable x. A shopper enters the store.
a. Find the probability that the shopper will be in the store for each interval of time listed.
b. Interpret your answer when 150 shoppers enter the store. How many shoppers would you
expect to be in the store for each interval of time listed below?
Chapter 6 10
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Chapter 6 11
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
S tan d ar di z e d N or m a l Di s tr i b u t i on t ab le
Z 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0 0.0000 0.0040 0.0080 0.0120 0.0160 0.0199 0.0239 0.0279 0.0319 0.0359
0.1 0.0398 0.0438 0.0478 0.0517 0.0557 0.0596 0.0636 0.0675 0.0714 0.0753
0.2 0.0793 0.0832 0.0871 0.0910 0.0948 0.0987 0.1026 0.1064 0.1103 0.1141
0.3 0.1179 0.1217 0.1255 0.1293 0.1331 0.1368 0.1406 0.1443 0.1480 0.1517
0.4 0.1554 0.1591 0.1628 0.1664 0.1700 0.1736 0.1772 0.1808 0.1844 0.1879
0.5 0.1915 0.1950 0.1985 0.2019 0.2054 0.2088 0.2123 0.2157 0.2190 0.2224
0.6 0.2257 0.2291 0.2324 0.2357 0.2389 0.2422 0.2454 0.2486 0.2517 0.2549
0.7 0.2580 0.2611 0.2642 0.2673 0.2704 0.2734 0.2764 0.2794 0.2823 0.2852
0.8 0.2881 0.2910 0.2939 0.2967 0.2995 0.3023 0.3051 0.3078 0.3106 0.3133
0.9 0.3159 0.3186 0.3212 0.3238 0.3264 0.3289 0.3315 0.3340 0.3365 0.3389
1.0 0.3413 0.3438 0.3461 0.3485 0.3508 0.3531 0.3554 0.3577 0.3599 0.3621
1.1 0.3643 0.3665 0.3686 0.3708 0.3729 0.3749 0.3770 0.3790 0.3810 0.3830
1.2 0.3849 0.3869 0.3888 0.3907 0.3925 0.3944 0.3962 0.3980 0.3997 0.4015
1.3 0.4032 0.4049 0.4066 0.4082 0.4099 0.4115 0.4131 0.4147 0.4162 0.4177
1.4 0.4192 0.4207 0.4222 0.4236 0.4251 0.4265 0.4279 0.4292 0.4306 0.4319
1.5 0.4332 0.4345 0.4357 0.4370 0.4382 0.4394 0.4406 0.4418 0.4429 0.4441
1.6 0.4452 0.4463 0.4474 0.4484 0.4495 0.4505 0.4515 0.4525 0.4535 0.4545
1.7 0.4554 0.4564 0.4573 0.4582 0.4591 0.4599 0.4608 0.4616 0.4625 0.4633
1.8 0.4641 0.4649 0.4656 0.4664 0.4671 0.4678 0.4686 0.4693 0.4699 0.4706
1.9 0.4713 0.4719 0.4726 0.4732 0.4738 0.4744 0.4750 0.4756 0.4761 0.4767
2.0 0.4772 0.4778 0.4783 0.4788 0.4793 0.4798 0.4803 0.4808 0.4812 0.4817
2.1 0.4821 0.4826 0.4830 0.4834 0.4838 0.4842 0.4846 0.4850 0.4854 0.4857
2.2 0.4861 0.4864 0.4868 0.4871 0.4875 0.4878 0.4881 0.4884 0.4887 0.4890
Chapter 6 12
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
2.3 0.4893 0.4896 0.4898 0.4901 0.4904 0.4906 0.4909 0.4911 0.4913 0.4916
2.4 0.4918 0.4920 0.4922 0.4925 0.4927 0.4929 0.4931 0.4932 0.4934 0.4936
2.5 0.4938 0.4940 0.4941 0.4943 0.4945 0.4946 0.4948 0.4949 0.4951 0.4952
2.6 0.4953 0.4955 0.4956 0.4957 0.4959 0.4960 0.4961 0.4962 0.4963 0.4964
2.7 0.4965 0.4966 0.4967 0.4968 0.4969 0.4970 0.4971 0.4972 0.4973 0.4974
2.8 0.4974 0.4975 0.4976 0.4977 0.4977 0.4978 0.4979 0.4979 0.4980 0.4981
2.9 0.4981 0.4982 0.4982 0.4983 0.4984 0.4984 0.4985 0.4985 0.4986 0.4986
3.0 0.4987 0.4987 0.4987 0.4988 0.4988 0.4989 0.4989 0.4989 0.4990 0.4990
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
▪ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xgQhefFOXrM
▪ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iiRiOlkLa6A
▪ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2tuBREK_mgE&t=41s
▪ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p_KApjpyBHE&t=13s
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
• https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/normaldistribution.asp#:~:text=A%20no
rmal%20distribution%20is%20the,all%20symmetrical%20distributions%20are
%20normal.
• https://www.mathsisfun.com/data/standard-normal-distribution.html
Chapter 6 13
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
• A measure of variation is a single value that is used to describe the spread of the
distribution.
• Dispersion (or spread) refers to the extent to which the data values of a numeric random
variable are scattered about their central location value.
Range (R) - The mathematical difference between the highest (maximum) value and lowest
(minimum) value in a data set.
Formula: R = HV – LV
Chapter 5 1
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Analysis:
The range of Section A (10) is greater than the range of Section B (8). It implies that the scores
in Section A are more spread out than the scores in Section B or the scores in Section B are less
scattered than the score in Section A.
• When the range value is large, the scores in the distribution are more dispersed,
widespread, or heterogeneous.
• When the range value is small, the scores in the distribution are less dispersed, less
scattered, or homogeneous.
• It gives the range of the middle portion (about half) of the data.
• It is the difference between the third quartile and the first quartile. In symbol,
IQR = Q3 − Q1
➢ It is a graph of a data set obtained by drawing a horizontal line from the minimum data
value to Q1, drawing a horizontal line from Q3 to the maximum data value, and drawing a
box whose vertical sides pass through Q1 and Q3 with a vertical line inside the box
passing through the median or Q2.
It is based on the range of the middle 50% of the scores, instead of the range of the entire set.
• It indicates the distance we need to go above and below the median to include midhinge or
approximately the middle 50% of the scores. In symbol,
QD = Q3 − Q1 = IQR
2 2
Midhinge (MH)
• It is used to overcome potential problems introduced by extreme values (or outliers) in the data
set.
Q1 + Q3
MH =
2
Outlier
• It is a data entry that is far removed from the other entries in the data set.
• It is an extremely high or an extremely low data value when compared with the rest of the data
values.
Example:
Chapter 5 3
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Chapter 5 4
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Chapter 5 5
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Guidelines
Chapter 5 6
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Mean Deviation
Chapter 5 7
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
• It is the square of the standard deviation and is also known as the mean square.
Standard Devation
• The most common used indicator of the degree of dispersion and is also the most
dependable measure to estimate the variability in a total population.
Two Methods in Computing the Variance and Standard Deviation for Ungrouped Data:
Chapter 5 8
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Working Formula
• It is the sum of squares of the deviation about the mean divided by the number of cases
minus one (n – 1) or the degrees of freedom.
( x − x )
2
s2 =
n −1
Example:
n =10
x=
x
n
346
=
10
x = 34.6
2
( x − x ) = 830.4
Chapter 5 9
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Machine Formula
• It is obtained by getting the difference of the sum of squares of each score and correction
factor divided by n – 1.
− CF
s2 = x2
n −1
In getting the variance and standard deviation using the n point method, the steps are as follows:
1. Multiply frequency ( f ) times midpoint (X) to get the fX and add all the fX values to get
the sum of fX or .
2. Multiply the fX times to X get fX2 and add all the values to get
3. Compute the variance and standard deviation from grouped data using the formula below.
n fX 2 − ( fX )
2
s2 =
Chapter 5 10
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
,= s
n2 − n
Chapter 5 11
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
The most accept interpretation of standard deviation is within the range from one standard
deviation below the mean (-1s) to one standard deviation above the mean (+1s). Consider the
data of table where the arithmetic mean is 72.4 and the standard deviation is 13.70.
The distance from -1s to +1s on the scale of measurement is 58.7 to 86.10 cycles. Within these
limits are scores of 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 79,
80, 81, 82, 83, 84, 85 and 86.
Example
Mean = 23
sd = 9.52
Chapter 5 12
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Chapter 5 13
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
• https://www.toppr.com/guides/business-mathematics-and-statistics/measures-
of-central-tendency-and-dispersion/measure-of-dispersion/
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
▪ https://youtu.be/Cx2tGUze60s
▪ https://youtu.be/s7WTQ0H0Acc
▪ https://youtu.be/wDAd_QHKoOg
Chapter 5 14
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
A measure of position is a method by which the position that a particular data value has within a
given data set can be identified.
QUANTILES
It is a score distribution where the scores are divided into different equal parts.
➢ Quartile
➢ Decile
➢ Percentile
Chapter 4 1
Page 1 of 9
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
QUARTILES
DECILES
PERCENTILES
Chapter 4 2
Page 1 of 9
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Formula to be used:
William Mendenhall and Terry Sincich developed the steps in order to solve quantiles for
ungrouped data
Steps in solving quantile for the ungrouped data using Mendenhall and Sincich method
➢ Second, locate the position of the score distribution using Mendenhall and Sincich
method.
➢ Third, if the result or rank has a decimal number, then linear interpolation is needed.
Steps of Interpolation
➢ Step 2: Locate the position of the score in the distribution (using the given formula in
finding the location of the score)
➢ Step 4: Find the difference between the two values where in Qk, Dk or Pk is situated.
➢ Step 5: Multiply the result in Step 4 by the decimal part obtained in Step 3.
➢ Step 6: Add the result in Step 5 to the 2nd smaller number in Step 4.
EXAMPLE:
Using the given data 6, 8, 10, 12, 12, 14, 15, 16, 20. Find the 1st Quartile, 6th Decile and 65th
Percentile.
Solution:
Chapter 4 3
Page 1 of 9
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Chapter 4 4
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MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Where:
Qk = quartile
n = sample size
i = class interval
Example:
The data shown in frequency are distribution Scores of 40 students in a mathematics class consist
of 60 items. Find for the 1st quartile.
CL f CL f <cf
10-14 5 10-14 5 5
15-19 2 15-19 2 7
20-24 3 20-24 3 10
25-29 5 25-29 5 15
30-34 2 30-34 2 17
35-39 9 35-39 9 26
40-44 6 40-44 6 32
45-49 3 45-49 3 35
50-54 5 50-54 5 40
n=40 n=40
Solution:
Chapter 4 5
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MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Where:
Dk = Decile
k = decile location {1,2,3,…, 9} n = sample size
LB = lower boundary of the decile class f = frequency of the decile class
cf = less than cumulative frequency before the decile class i = class interval
Example:
The data shown in frequency are distribution Scores of 40 students in a mathematics class consist
of 60 items. Find for the 5th decile.
CL f
10-14 5
15-19 2
20-24 3
25-29 5
30-34 2
35-39 9
40-44 6
45-49 3
50-54 5
n=40
Chapter 4 6
Page 1 of 9
Where:
Pk = Percentile
n = sample size
i = class interval
Example:
The data shown in frequency are distribution Scores of 40 students in a mathematics class consist
of 60 items. Find for the 85th Percentile.
Chapter 4 8
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Solution:
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
• https://www.slideshare.net/mobile/chuckrymaunes5/measures-of-position-for-
ungrouped-data-quartiles-deciles-percentiles-130064276#:~:text=1.,DISTRIBUTION
%20INTO%20FOUR%20EQUAL%20PARTS.
• https://www.slideshare.net/mobile/chuckrymaunes5/measures-of-position-for-
grouped-data-quartiles
• https://www.slideshare.net/mobile/chuckrymaunes5/percentile-measures-of-
position-for-grouped-data
• https://www.slideshare.net/mobile/chuckrymaunes5/decile-measures-of-position-
for-grouped-data
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
▪ https://youtu.be/bRYWBbvOMpo
▪ https://youtu.be/8i70KsmqN9s
▪ https://youtu.be/FFYvNrRGVOo
▪ https://youtu.be/kECIGHFn6fk
Chapter 4 9
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Chapter 4 7
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Chapter 4 8
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Any data set can be characterized by measuring its central tendency. A measure of
central tendency, commonly referred to as an average, is a single value that represents a data
set. Its purpose is to locate the center of the data set.
PROPERTIES OF MEAN
3. All values in the data set are included in computing the mean.
6. The mean cannot be computed for the data in a frequency distribution with an open-
ended class.
Formula:
ΣX
x̄ =
n
Where:
x̄ = sample mean
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Example:
Five judges give their scores on the performance of a gymnast as follows: 8, 9, 9, 9, and 10.
find the mean score of a gymnast.
Solution:
Formula:
Where:
x̄ = sample mean
f = frequency M
= Midpoint
Example:
CLASS LIMITS f M fM
46-50 2 48 96
51-55 3 53 159
56-60 3 58 174
61-65 4 63 252
66-70 6 68 408
71-75 9 73 657
76-80 6 78 468
81-85 5 83 415
86-90 4 88 352
91-95 5 93 465
96-100 3 98 294
TOTAL 50 3,740
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MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHODS
Solution:
PROPERTIES OF MEDIAN
1. The median is unique, there is only one median for a set of data.
2. The median is found by arranging the set of data from lowest to highest (or highest to
lowest) and getting the value of the middle observation.
To determine the value of median for ungrouped we need to consider two rules:
2. If n is even, the median is the average of the two middle ranked values.
n +1
x̄ (rank value) =
Where:
2 n = is the number of sample size.
Example:
Find the median of the scores of 11 HRM 1st year students in their midterm Examination, the
data set is 92, 89, 87, 93, 94, 90, 88, 84, 90, 85, 82.
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x̄= n+1
2
11+1 Hence, the Median is 89.
=
2
Chapter 3 3
̄x = 6 ( r a n k v a l u e )
Median from grouped data in a form of frequency distribution is applicable when the number of
cases is 30 or more. The concept is to determine a value that falls 50 percent (50%) above and
the other half below it
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Example
Determine the median of a frequency distribution on the ages of 50 people taking travel hours.
Solution:
Class Limits f cf
18-26 3 3 N 50
27-35 5 8 median = = = 25
36-44 9 17 2 2
45-53 14 31
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A data set that has the only one value that occur with greatest frequency is
said to be unimodal. If the data has two values with the same greatest frequency, both values are
considered the mode and the data set is bimodal. if a data set have more than two modes, and the
data set is said to be multimodal. There are some cases when a data set values have the same
number of frequencies, when this occur, the data set is said to be no mode.
PROPERTIES OF MODE
3. There can be more than one mode or even no mode in any given data set.
5. Mode can be applied for nominal, ordinal, interval and ration data.
Example:
The mode is 72, this implies that the most frequent height among the 10 basketball players is 72
inches.
Mode from grouped data in a form of frequency distribution is applicable when the number of
cases (N) is 30 or more. The modal class is found in a class limit having the highest frequency.
Formula:
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MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Example:
Determine the mode of a frequency distribution on the ages of 50 people taking travel hours
Class Limits f cf
18-26 3 3
27-35 5 8
36-44 9 17
54-62 11 42
63-71 6 48
72-80 2 50
MIDRANGE
The midrange is the average of the lowest and highest value in a data set. This can be
computed using the formula;
X lowest + X highest
M id ra n g e =
2
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MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
PROPERTIES OF MIDRANGE
Example:
Find the midrange of the ages of 9 middle-management employees of a certain company. The
ages are 53, 45, 59, 48, 54, 46, 51, 58, and 55.
Solution:
Xlowest + Xhighest
Midrange =
2
45+ 59
=
2
Midrange = 52 Therefore, the midrange age is 52.
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Chapter 3 10
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
GRAPHICAL METHODS
Raw data are data collected in an investigation and they are not organized systematically.
These are presented in the form of a frequency distribution called grouped data.
One way of presenting raw data is the frequency table. When the data are arranged in
tabular form by the frequencies, the table is called frequency table. The arrangement itself is
called frequency distribution.
It would be difficult to determine by scanning the mass of numerical data unless they
are organized into a frequency distribution table where drawing generalization will be readily
drawn. The construction of frequency distribution consists essentially of three steps;
1. We seldom use fewer than 5 or more than 15 classes. We note that it is impractical to group a
thousand measurements into 4 classes or to group 10 observations to 7 classes.
2. Whenever possible we make the classes cover equal ranges of values and make ranges
multiple of numbers that are easy to work with. Open classes should be avoided such as classes if
“less than,” or “more than.”
3. We make sure that each item goes only into one class. It means that classes should overlap.
In deciding the number of classes, the statisticians Freud and Simon suggested the following:
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However, if we cannot decide on the number of classes to be used, the suggested formula is:
18 26 34 36 38 41 43 44
45 50 50 51 52 52 53 53
54 54 55 58 58 59 60 60
61 61 62 62 62 62 63 63
66 66 66 71 71 77 79 80
For example, using the data in a given array of numbers above, the class interval is
80−18 62
= =9.8∨10, approximate size of class interval.
1+3.332 log 40 6.322
We note that:
1. This approximate value means that the number of class intervals maybe more than 10 may
be less than 10. If the highest value in the array of numbers is not yet included in the last class
interval, then we add some more intervals until all the scores or items in the list of raw data are
already included.
Each category or class has two limits – a lower stated class limit and an upper stated class limit.
A common practice is to let the lower limit of the first class be a number below the lowest
observation and to make all the classes in equal lengths of class size. A convenient value to start
the first class is 10, o we may start with the smallest value of the array of numbers. Thus, the first
class would be 10-19. The resulting frequency distribution is given in the Table below.
Cumulative
Lower
Class Tally Frequency Frequency
Boundaries
(<cf)
10-19 I 1 1 9.5
20-29 I 1 2 19.5
30-39 III 3 5 29.5
40-49 IIII 4 9 39.5
50-59 IIIII IIIII III 13 22 49.5
60-69 IIIII IIIII III 13 35 59.5
70-79 IIII 4 39 69.5
80-89 I 1 40 79.5
Total 40
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A point that represents the halfway point between successive classes is called a true limit or a
class boundary. It is obtained by adding the upper limit of the class and the lower limit of the
next class and then divided by 2. The table below shows the true limits of classes given on the
previous example. Note that the upper boundary of one class is the lower boundary of the next
class Thus,
19+20
=19.5
2
A class mark is the midpoint of a class. It is determined by going halfway between the stated
class limits or the class boundaries. To obtain the class mark, the lower and upper stated class
limits or class boundaries are added and divided by two. Class marks are used to construct a
frequency polygon, which will be discussed in the graphical representation of data. Thus,
10+19
=14.5
2
There are different types of graphical representation. Some of them are as follows;
Line Graphs – Linear graphs are used to display the continuous data and it is useful for
predicting the future events over time.
Bar Graphs – Bar Graph is used to display the category of data and it compares the data using
solid bars to represent the quantities.
Histograms – The graph that uses bars to represent the frequency of numerical data that are
organized into intervals. Since all the intervals are equal and continuous, all the bars have the
same width.
Line Plot – It shows the frequency of data on a given number line. ‘ x ‘ is placed above a
number line each time when that data occurs again.
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Frequency Table – The table shows the number of pieces of data that falls within the given
interval.
Circle Graph – Also known as pie chart that shows the relationships of the parts of the whole.
The circle is considered with 100% and the categories occupied is represented with that specific
percentage like 15%, 56%, etc.
Stem and Leaf Plot – In stem and leaf plot, the data are organized from least value to the
greatest value. The digits of the least place values from the leaves and the next place value digit
forms the stems.
Box and Whisker Plot – The plot diagram summarizes the data by dividing into four parts. Box
and whisker show the range (spread) and the middle (median) of the data.
There are certain rules to effectively present the data and information in the graphical
representation. They are:
Suitable Title: Make sure that the appropriate title is given to the graph which indicates the
subject of the presentation.
Proper Scale: To represent the data in an accurate manner, choose a proper scale.
Index: Index the appropriate colors, shades, lines, design in the graphs for better understanding
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Data Sources: Include the source of information wherever it is necessary at the bottom of the
graph.
Keep it Simple: Construct a graph in an easy way that everyone can understand.
Neat: Choose the correct size, lettering, colors etc. in such a way that the graph should be a
visual aid for the presentation of information.
▪ Histogram
▪ Smoothed frequency graph
▪ Pie diagram
▪ Cumulative or ogive frequency graph
▪ Frequency Polygon
Frequency Polygon
• Mark the class intervals for each class on the horizontal axis. We will plot the frequency
on the vertical axis.
• Calculate the classmark for each class interval. The formula for class mark is:
Classmark = (Upper limit + Lower limit) / 2
• Mark all the class marks on the horizontal axis. It is also known as the mid-value of every
class.
• Corresponding to each class mark, plot the frequency as given to you. The height always
depicts the frequency. Make sure that the frequency is plotted against the class mark and not
the upper or lower limit of any class.
• Join all the plotted points using a line segment. The curve obtained will be kinked.
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Example:
49.5-59.5 5
59.5-69.5 10
69.5-79.5 30
79.5-89.5 40
89.5-99.5 15
Answer: We first need to calculate the cumulate frequency from the frequency given.
We now start by plotting the class marks such as 54.5, 64.5, 74.5 and so on till 94.5. Note that
we will also plot the previous and next class marks to start and end the polygon, i.e., we plot
44.5 and 104.5 as well.
Then, the frequencies corresponding to the class marks are plotted against each class mark. Like
you can see below, this makes sense as the frequency for class marks 44.5 and 104.5 are zero and
touching the x-axis. These plot points are used only to give a closed shape to the polygon. The
polygon looks like this:
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Histogram
▪ Step I: Observe the class intervals of the distribution. If they are nonoverlapping
(discontinuous), Change them into overlapping (continuous) classes.
▪ Step II: Locate the class boundaries on the x-axis (horizontal axis).
▪ Step III: Construct a vertical rectangle on each line segment representing a class interval
such that the height of the rectangle represents frequency of the class interval.
▪ Step IV: Put a kink mark (N) on the horizontal axis, between the vertical axis and the
first rectangle if the leftmost rectangle does not have the vertical axis on its side.
▪
▪ Note: For drawing graphs, a scale of representation is required. Unless given, the choice
of scale is made of suit the data.
▪
▪ Different scales can be taken for the two axes.
▪
▪ In the scale for the x-axis is “1 mm = an interval of 5” then the class interval 20 – 40 will
be shown by 4-mm-long line segment on the x-axis.
▪
▪ If the scale for the y-axis is “1 mm = frequency 1” (i.e., frequency of 1 is denoted by 1
mm) then the frequency 10 will be shown by 1-cm-long line segment on the y-axis.
Here, the distribution is discontinuous. So, first we write the frequency distribution with
overlapping intervals to make it continuous.
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Ogive Curve
The Ogive is defined as the frequency distribution graph of a series. The Ogive is a graph
of a cumulative distribution, which explains data values on the horizontal plane axis and either
the cumulative relative frequencies, the cumulative frequencies or cumulative percent
frequencies on the vertical axis. Cumulative frequency is defined as the sum of all the previous
frequencies up to the current point. To find the popularity of the given data or the likelihood of
the data that fall within the certain frequency range, Ogive curve helps in finding those details
accurately. Create the Ogive by plotting the point corresponding to the cumulative frequency of
each class interval. Most of the Statisticians use Ogive curve, to illustrate the data in the pictorial
representation. It helps in estimating the number of observations which are less than or equal to
the particular value.
Ogive Graph
The graphs of the frequency distribution are frequency graphs that are used to exhibit the
characteristics of discrete and continuous data. Such figures are more appealing to the eye than
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the tabulated data. It helps us to facilitate the comparative study of two or more frequency
distributions. We can relate the shape and pattern of the two frequency distributions. The two
methods of Ogives are
The graph given below represents less than and the greater than Ogive curve. The rising
curve (Brown Curve) represents the less than Ogive, and the falling curve (Green Curve)
represents the greater than Ogive.
The frequencies of all preceding classes are added to the frequency of a class. This series is
called the less than cumulative series. It is constructed by adding the first-class frequency to the
second-class frequency and then to the third-class frequency and so on. The downward
cumulation results in the less than cumulative series.
The frequencies of the succeeding classes are added to the frequency of a class. This series is
called the more than or greater than cumulative series. It is constructed by subtracting the
first-class second-class frequency from the total, third class frequency from that and so on.
The upward cumulation result is greater than or more than the cumulative series.
Ogive Chart
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Example:
Construct the more than cumulative frequency table and draw the Ogive for the below-given
data.
Frequency 3 8 12 14 10 6 5 2
Solution:
“More than” Cumulative Frequency Table:
More than Cumulative
Marks Frequency
Frequency
More than 1 3 60
More than 11 8 57
More than 21 12 49
More than 31 14 37
More than 41 10 23
More than 51 6 13
More than 61 5 7
More than 71 2 2
Plotting an Ogive:
Plot the points with coordinates such as (70.5, 2), (60.5, 7), (50.5, 13), (40.5, 23), (30.5, 37),
(20.5, 49), (10.5, 57), (0.5, 60).
An Ogive is connected to a point on the x-axis, that represents the actual upper limit of the last
class, i.e.,( 80.5, 0)
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For further understanding and example check the following link below:
▪ http://jukebox.esc13.net/untdeveloper/RM/RM_FR_P2/RM_FR_P22.hhtml
▪ https://byjus.com/maths/graphical-representation/
▪ www.math-only-math.com/histogram.html
▪ https://byjus.com/maths/ogive/
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
▪ https://youtu.be/j6ftiC2o6O4
▪ https://youtu.be/sVwOUcxPX98
▪ https://youtu.be/Rx8wSEDq5Hs
▪ https://youtu.be/JVaKq-oJnFs
▪ https://youtu.be/0ZKtsUkrgFQ
Chapter 2 12
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What is Statistics?
• collecting,
• organizing,
• presenting,
• analyzing,
• interpreting, and
• Analysis of data refers to the process of extracting from the given data relevant information
from which numerical description can be formed.
• Interpretation of data refers to the task of drawing conclusions from the analyzed data.
BRANCHES OF STATISTICS
• Descriptive statistics is the branch of statistics that involves the collection, organization,
presentation, summarization or analysis of data.
• Inferential statistics is the branch of statistics that involves using a sample to interpret, and
draw conclusions based on the data or about a population. A basic tool in the study of inferential
statistics is probability. An area of inferential statistics called hypothesis testing is a decision-
Chapter 1 1
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
making process for evaluating claims about a population, based on information obtained from
samples.
Example #1:
A student’s age at entrance into college, the color of the student’s hair, the student’s
height, and the student’s weight are four variables.
Data
Example #2:
Data Value
- The value of the variable associated with one element of a population or sample. This
value may be a number, a word, or a symbol.
Example #3:
Chapter 1 2
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Angelo entered college at age “23,” his hair is “brown,” he is “71 inches” tall, and he
weighs “183 pounds.” These four data values are the values for the four variables as applied to
Angelo.
Population
Sample
Experiment
EXPERIMENTAL CLASSIFICATION\
A researcher may classify variables according to the function they serve in the experiment.
• Dependent variable is some measure of the behavior of subjects and expected to be influenced
by the independent variable. The dependent variable is also called outcome variable.
Example #4:
Chapter 1 3
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
In the sit-up study, the researchers gave the groups two different types of instructions, general
and specific. Hence, the independent variable is the type of instruction. The dependent variable,
then, is the resultant variable, that is, the number of sit-ups each group was able to perform after
four days of exercise.
Parameter
Statistic
Example #5:
Chapter 1 4
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
SOURCE OF DATA
Primary data are date documented by the primary source. The data collectors themselves
documented this data.
Secondary data are data documented by a secondary source. An individual/agency, other than
the data collectors, documented this data.
1. SURVEYS
(*Census or Registration requires the enactment of law to take effect for it needs the
participation of a large, if not the entire, population.)
a) Personal Interview - It refers to as the direct method of gathering data since this requires a
face-to-face inquiry with the respondent.
2. OBSERVATION
Chapter 1 5
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
3. EXPERIMENTATION
TYPES OF DATA
▪ Dichotomous
▪ Trichotomous
▪ Multinomous
DISCRETE VARIABLES
Example #8:
Examples of discrete variables are the number of children in a family, the number of students in a
classroom, and the number of calls received by a switchboard operator each day for a month.
CONTINUOUS VARIABLES
- Can assume an infinite number of values in an interval between any two specific
values. They are obtained by measuring. They often include fractions and decimals.
Example #9:
SCALE OF MEASUREMENTS
Chapter 1 6
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Measurement - It is the process of determining the value or label of the variable based on what
has been observed.
Chapter 1 7
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
a) The numbers in the system are used to classify a person/object into distinct, nonoverlapping,
and complete/exhaustive categories.
c) The system has a fixed unit of measurement representing a set of size throughout the scale;
and
1. Textual method
- This method presents the collected data in narrative and paragraphs forms.
2. Tabular method
- This method presents the collected data in table which are orderly arranged in rows and
columns for an easier and more comprehensive comparison of figures.
3. Graphical method
- This method presents the collected data in visual or pictorial form to get a clear view of
data (e.g. histogram, pie chart, pareto chart, pictograph, etc.).
Chapter 1 8
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Sampling frame - A list of all elements or other units containing the elements or members in a
population.
SAMPLING TECHNIQUES
➢ Probability Sampling
➢ Nonprobability Sampling
Probability Sampling or Random Sampling is a process whose members had an equal chance
of being selected from the population.
○ Stratified Sampling
Simple Random Sampling - It is a process of selecting n sample size in the population via
random numbers or through lottery.
Chapter 1 9
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Stratified Sampling - A stratified sample is a sample obtained by dividing the population into
subgroups, called strata, according to various homogeneous characteristics and then selecting
members from each stratum for the sample.
Cluster Sampling - Here the population is divided into groups called clusters by some means
such as geographic area or schools in a large school district, etc. Then the researcher randomly
selects some of these clusters and uses all members of the selected clusters as the subjects of the
samples.
Multistage Sampling - A sample design in which the elements of the sampling frame are
subdivided and the sample can be obtained by using combination of methods. This is usually
used for national, regional, provincial or country level studies.
Chapter 1 10
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
- Some segments of the population do not have a chance of being selected or included
in the sample or cannot be specified
○ Quota Sampling
Purposive Sampling - It is also called judgment sampling. The sampling units are selected
personally or subjectively by the researcher, who attempts to obtain a sample that appears to be
representative of the population.
Quota Sampling - in this method, the researcher determines the sampling size which should be
filled up. The basic idea is to set a target number of completed interviews with specified
subgroups of the population of interest.
Snowball Sampling - it involves starting a process with one individual or group and using their
contacts to develop the sample, hence “snowball”.
Chapter 1 11
MODULE QUANTITATIVE METHOD
Networking Sampling - This is used to find socially devalued urban populations such as
addicts, alcoholics, child abusers and criminals, because they are usually “hidden from
outsiders.”
For further understanding and example check the following link below:
▪ https://youtu.be/SFPGVTThJNk
▪ https://youtu.be/ZxV-kf0yBss
▪ https://youtu.be/hZxnzfnt5v8
▪ https://youtu.be/saO1yLxd1p8
Reference:
▪ https://youtu.be/SFPGVTThJNk
▪ https://youtu.be/ZxV-kf0yBss
▪ https://youtu.be/hZxnzfnt5v8
▪ https://youtu.be/saO1yLxd1p8
Chapter 1 12