Digital Weekly: Edition
Digital Weekly: Edition
Digital Weekly: Edition
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CONTENTS
Volume 120.10c www.ogj.com
4 NEWSLETTER
14 STATISTICS
17 CALENDAR
18 MARKET CONNECTION
18 ADVERTISERS’ INDEX
OMV Petrom SA is doubling aromatics
production at its 4.5-million tpy
Petrobrazi refinery in southeast
Romania, near Ploiesti City, building
a new 100,000-tpy aromatics unit to
replace its current one, commissioned
in 1961. Scheduled for construction
between 2023-25, the new aromatics
unit is targeted for startup in 2026.
Photo from OMV Petrom.
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9/7/22 8:28 AM
October 24, 2022
OGJ ®
GENERAL INTEREST Q U IC K TA K E S Exports to India were stable m-o-m at just under 1 mil-
lion b/d, while loadings to China and Turkey were down by
ExxonMobil, EnLink, CF Industries 115,000 b/d and 50,000 b/d, respectively. However, with close
launch 2-million tpy CCS project to 500,000 b/d of oil going to yet unidentified destinations,
ExxonMobil Corp., EnLink Midstream LLC, and fertilizer final numbers for each importing region may result in signifi-
manufacturing company CF Industries Holdings Inc. are cant revisions to preliminary figures.
collaborating to store as much as 2 million tonnes/year (tpy) Nevertheless, the share of Russian oil exports to western
of industrial CO2 emissions. Emissions from CF Industries’ markets fell, while Asian buyers gained in importance. In
Ascension Parish, La., complex will be transported through September, declared shipments to China and India combined
EnLink’s transportation network and stored underground at were 160,000 b/d higher than those to Europe, including EU
a 125,000-acre property owned by ExxonMobil in Vermilion and non-EU countries. The US stopped importing Russian oil
Parish, about 100 miles southwest of CF’s complex. in April.
The companies expect project start-up in early 2025. CF Since June, China has been the largest importer of Russian
Industries recently announced a $198.5 million plan to build crude oil, ahead of the combined EU countries. EU crude oil
a CO2 dehydration and compression unit at its ammonia pro- imports from Russia fell to just 1.6 million b/d in September.
duction plant in Donaldsonville, La., and expects to market up While it has taken 7 months for them to replace 800,000 b/d
to 1.7 million tpy of blue ammonia. of Russian crude oil imports, they will need to switch an addi-
EnLink suggested that it would use existing infrastructure tional 1.3 million b/d of seaborne and pipeline volumes in the
for the transportation part of the collaboration, cutting both 2 months remaining until the EU ban on Russian oil kicks in.
time and cost compared with possible newbuild options. Oil product loadings to EU countries fell 130,000 b/d
Louisiana has set a 2050 net-zero CO2 emissions target for m-o-m to 965,000 b/d, bringing the cumulative post-Ukraine-
the state. invasion loss to 550,000 b/d. Diesel shipments were down by
A chemical process is considered “blue” when CO2 emis- 70,000 b/d m-o-m to just 510,000 b/d.
sions are captured before their release into the air, making the
process more carbon neutral. Demand for blue ammonia is Laredo Petroleum plans quarter-over-quarter
expected to grow as a decarbonized energy source for hard- production decrease
to-abate industries, both for its hydrogen content and as a Laredo Petroleum Inc., Tulsa, expects fourth-quarter 2022 to-
fuel itself, because ammonia’s components—nitrogen and hy- tal production to be 72,500-75,500 boe/d and oil production
drogen—do not emit carbon when combusted. to be 32,000-34,000 b/d, down from this year’s third quarter,
with capital expenditures of $135-145 million, in-line with
IEA: Russian oil exports fall third-quarter 2022 levels.
as trade flow reallocation slows The company provided the update with preliminary third-
Russian oil exports fell 230,000 b/d in September to 7.5 mil- quarter results Oct. 18 ahead of complete results Nov. 3.
lion b/d, with crude down 260,000 b/d and products up by Updated fourth-quarter expectations include revised as-
30,000 b/d, according to data from the International Energy sumptions related to the impact of offset operator completions,
Agency (IEA). Revenues were down $3.2 billion to $15.3 bil- production downtime due to increased equipment lead times,
lion on both lower volumes and prices but were still higher and a 1,600 boe/d (75% oil) reduction in volumes related to
than the average monthly revenue in 2021. the sale of non-operated acreage in Howard County, Texas, to
Shipments to European Union countries fell by 390,000 Northern Oil and Gas Inc., which closed Oct. 3, 2022.
b/d month-on-month (m-o-m) to 2.6 million b/d, with its In third-quarter 2022, the Permian basin-focused oper-
share down to just 35% in Russia’s total oil exports, compared ator produced an average 79,500 boe/d, within guidance of
to 50% at the start of the year. 78,500-81,500 boe/d. Oil production for the quarter averaged
A P I S TA N D A R D S D R I V E S A F E T Y, E N V I R O N M E N TA L P R O T E C T I O N A N D S U S TA I N A B I L I T Y
AC R O S S A L L S EG M E N T S O F T H E N AT U R A L GA S A N D O I L I N D US T RY
© 2022 – American Petroleum Institute, all rights reserved. API and the API logo are trademarks or registered trademarks of API in the United States and/or other countries. API Marketing & Communications: 2022-201 | PDF
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9/14/22 8:27 AM
ICE BRENT / NYMEX LIGHT SWEET CRUDE
$/bbl
US INDUSTRY SCOREBOARD — 10/24
96.00
94.00
92.00
4 wk. 4 wk. avg. Change, YTD YTD avg. Change,
90.00
Latest week 10/7 average year ago1 % average1 year ago1 %
88.00 Product supplied, 1,000 b/d
86.00
Motor gasoline 8,722 9,227 (5.5) 8,737 8,906 (1.9)
84.00 Distillate 4,015 4,173 (3.8) 3,938 4,013 (1.9)
82.00 Jet fuel 1,535 1,485 3.4 1,542 1,322 16.6
Oct. 12 Oct. 13 Oct. 14 Oct. 17 Oct. 18
Residual 301 331 (9.1) 341 267 27.7
Other products 5,379 5,518 (2.5) 5,701 5,460 4.4
TOTAL PRODUCT SUPPLIED 19,952 20,734 (3.8) 20,259 19,968 1.5
Supply, 1,000 b/d
WTI CUSHING / BRENT SPOT
$/bbl Crude production 12,000 11,100 8.1 11,876 10,968 8.3
99.00 NGL production 6,023 5,470 10.1 5,776 5,186 11.4
Crude imports 6,352 6,512 (2.5) 6,341 6,109 3.8
97.00 Product imports 1,778 2,526 (29.6) 2,057 2,462 (16.5)
95.00 Other supply2 3,034 2,682 13.1 2,649 2,571 3.0
93.00 TOTAL SUPPLY 29,187 28,290 3.2 28,699 27,296 5.1
91.00 Net product imports (4,750) (2,267) — (3,784) (2,632) —
89.00
Refining, 1,000 b/d
87.00
85.00 Crude runs to stills 15,938 15,392 3.5 15,926 15,005 6.1
Oct. 12 Oct. 13 Oct. 14 Oct. 17 Oct. 181 Input to crude stills 16,396 15,948 2.8 16,386 15,516 5.6
% utilization 91.3 88.0 — 91.2 85.2 —
Latest Previous Same week Change,
NYMEX NATURAL GAS / SPOT GAS - HENRY HUB Latest week 10/7 week week1 Change year ago1 Change %
$/MMbtu Stocks, 1,000 bbl
6.600
Crude oil 439,082 429,203 9,879 426,975 12,107 2.8
6.450 Motor gasoline 209,482 207,460 2,022 223,107 (13,625) (6.1)
6.300 Distillate 106,063 110,916 (4,853) 129,307 (23,244) (18.0)
6.150 Jet fuel–kerosine 36,069 36,213 (144) 41,408 (5,339) (12.9)
6.000 Residual 29,071 28,747 324 29,233 (162) (0.6)
5.850 Stock cover (days)3 Change, % Change, %
5.700
5.500
Oct. 12 Oct. 13 Oct. 14 Oct. 17 Oct. 18 Crude 27.6 26.8 3.0 27.7 (0.4)
Motor gasoline 24.0 23.6 1.7 24.2 (0.8)
Distillate 26.4 29.9 (11.7) 31.0 (14.8)
Propane 95.1 105.0 (9.4) 59.9 58.8
ICE GAS OIL / NYMEX ULSD HEATING OIL2 Futures prices4 10/14 Change Change Change,%
¢/gal
400.00 Light sweet crude ($/bbl) 88.49 87.70 0.79 81.04 7.45 9.2
390.00 Natural gas, $/MMbtu 6.53 6.79 (0.26) 5.51 1.03 18.6
380.00
370.00 1
Based on revised figures. 2Includes other liquids, refinery processing gain, and unaccounted for crude oil. 3Stocks divided by aver-
360.00 age daily product supplied for the prior 4 weeks. 4Weekly average of daily NYMEX closing futures prices.
350.00 Source: US Energy Information Administration, Wall Street Journal
340.00
330.00
Oct. 12 Oct. 13 Oct. 14 Oct. 17 Oct. 18
BAKER HUGHES INTERNATIONAL RIG COUNT: TOTAL WORLD / TOTAL ONSHORE / TOTAL OFFSHORE
PROPANE - MT. BELVIEU / BUTANE - MT. BELVIEU 2,400
¢/gal 2,100
100.00 1,852
1,800
97.00 1,617
94.00 1,500
91.00 1,200
88.00
900
85.00 300 235
82.00
0
79.00 Sept. 21 Oct. 21 Nov. 21 Dec. 21 Jan. 22 Feb. 22 Mar. 22 Apr. 22 May 22 Jun. 22 Jul. 22 Aug. 22 Sep. 22
Oct. 12 Oct. 13 Oct. 14 Oct. 17 Oct. 181
Note: Monthly average count
NYMEX GASOLINE (RBOB)3/ NY SPOT GASOLINE4 BAKER HUGHES RIG COUNT: US / CANADA
1,100
¢/gal 1,000
297.00 900
800 769
291.00
285.00 700
279.00 600 543
500
273.00
400
267.00
300 216
261.00 200 168
255.00 100
Oct. 12 Oct. 13 Oct. 14 Oct. 17 Oct. 18 1
0
1
Not available. 2 Ultra-low sulfur diesel. 3 Reformulated gasoline 7/30/21 8/13/21 8/27/21 9/10/21 9/24/21 10/8/21 7/29/22 8/12/22 8/26/22 9/9/22 9/23/22 10/7/22
blendstock for oxygen blending. 4 Nonoxygenated regular unleaded. 8/6/21 8/20/21 9/3/21 9/17/21 10/1/21 10/15/21 8/5/22 8/19/22 9/2/22 9/16/22 9/30/22 10/14/22
Note: End of week average count
EXPLORATION & DEVELOPMENT Q U IC K TA K E S TAG Oil to develop Badr oil field reservoir in Egypt
TAG Oil Ltd. has formally entered a petroleum services agree-
TotalEnergies to operate PSC off Malaysia ment with Badr Petroleum Co. (BPCO) to begin development
TotalEnergies EP Malaysia will serve as operator in a newly operations at the unconventional heavy oil Abu Roash “F”
signed production sharing contract with PETRONAS Cariga- (ARF) reservoir in Badr oil field (BED-1), a 107-sq km conces-
li Sdn Bhd, Sabah Shell Petroleum Co. Ltd., and Shell Sabah sion in the Western Desert of Egypt.
Selatan Sdn Bhd for Block 2K off the coast of Sabah. TAG Oil was awarded the agreement in September after ne-
The 1,952-sq km block lies in 3,000 m of water in the gotiations with Egyptian General Petroleum Corp. (EGPC) and
northwest ultra-deepwater area within a proven hydrocarbon a letter of intent confirming EGPC had commissioned BPCO
basin, PETRONAS said in a release Oct. 13. to conclude the petroleum services agreement with TAG Oil.
The signing “completes the licensing of the five ultra-deep- Badr oil field was discovered in 1982 by a joint venture of
water blocks off the coast of Sabah, along the newly identi- Shell Oil and EGPC (Bapetco). There has been production across
fied Oligo-Miocene carbonate trend proven by Tepat-1 oil the concession from conventional reservoirs of light oil and as-
discovery in Block N in 2018,” said Mohamed Firouz Asnan, sociated natural gas through primary development of Kharita,
senior vice-president, of Malaysia Petroleum Management, Bahariya, and certain Abu Roash sandstone formations. The
PETRONAS. Block 2V was signed in 2021, followed by Blocks ARF reservoir produced conventionally from some wells with
2W and X early this year. considerable initial oil rates but has declined rapidly.
A total of four wells are expected to be drilled in the blocks TAG Oil conducted analysis of the geologic, geophysical,
in 2022 and 2023, he continued. and well production data of the target ARF zone, which is a
TotalEnergies holds 34.9%. Parners are PETRONAS deep, tight, low porosity, low permeability carbonate reser-
Carigali Sdn Bhd (40%), Sabah Shell Petroleum Co. Ltd. voir with varied fluid characteristics across BED-1, the com-
(25.1%), and Shell Sabah Selatan Sdn Bhd (25.1%). pany said in a September release. The company determined
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–—– 2022 ––— ——––––––– 2021——–––––– ––– 2022 –— ——––––––– 2021——–––––– ––– 2022 –— ——––––––– 2021——––––––
2nd 1st 4th 3rd 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 4th 3rd 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 4th 3rd 2nd 1st
qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr. qtr.
——————––– Million b/d ————–——– ——————– Million b/d ———––———– ——————– Million b/d ————––—–
DEMAND
OECD....................................... 45.4 45.9 46.6 45.9 44.1 42.6 45.4 45.8 46.9 45.8 44.1 42.6 45.4 45.8 46.8 45.8 44.1 42.4
Non-OECD................................ 53.4 53.1 53.6 52.5 52.2 51.8 53.0 53.6 54.0 53.0 52.3 51.9 53.0 53.6 53.5 51.9 51.6 51.7
TOTAL DEMAND........................... 98.8 99.0 100.2 98.4 96.4 94.4 98.4 99.4 100.9 98.8 96.4 94.5 98.3 99.4 100.3 97.7 95.6 94.1
SUPPLY
Non-OPEC
OECD..................................... 31.9 31.7 32.2 31.2 30.9 30.3 28.9 28.8 29.2 28.3 27.9 27.6 30.2 30.1 30.5 29.6 29.2 28.6
Non-OECD.............................. 33.0 33.5 33.0 33.3 33.1 32.2 30.5 31.4 30.8 30.5 30.5 30.2 34.3 35.3 34.5 34.1 34.1 33.9
OPEC
Crude Oil .............................. 28.4 28.2 27.7 26.8 25.5 25.1 28.7 28.5 27.8 27.0 25.6 25.4 28.6 28.4 27.7 26.9 25.6 25.2
NGLs...................................... 5.4 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3
TOTAL SUPPLY1........................... 98.7 98.9 98.3 96.8 94.8 92.8 98.8 98.7 98.0 96.4 94.2 92.5 98.5 99.0 97.9 95.8 94.2 93.0
Stock change............................ (0.1) (0.1) (1.9) (1.6) (1.5) (1.5) 0.4 (0.7) (2.9) (2.4) (2.2) (2.0) 0.1 (0.3) (2.4) (1.8) (1.4) (1.0)
1
IEA total supply includes processing gains and global biofuels.
Source: US Energy Information Administration, International Energy Agency, OPEC
Data available in Oil & Gas Journal Research Center.
PETROLEUM CONSUMPTION IN OECD COUNTRIES OECD* TOTAL GROSS IMPORTS FROM OPEC
Chg. vs. Chg. vs.
previous previous
Jun. May Apr. Jun. –—– year –—— Jun. May Apr. Jun. ——– year —–—
2022 2022 2022 2021 Volume % 2022 2022 2022 2021 Volume %
–———————— Million b/d ––—————– ––———————— Million b/d ––—————–
France............................... 1,591 1,470 1,453 1,612 (21) (1.3) France............................... 644 644 460 494 150 30.4
Germany............................ 2,178 2,086 2,143 2,107 71 3.4 Germany............................ 318 331 367 245 73 29.8
Italy................................... 1,265 1,224 1,210 1,253 12 1.0 Italy................................... 779 715 688 729 50 6.9
United Kingdom................ 1,399 1,373 1,413 1,292 107 8.3 United Kingdom 274 248 306 180 94 52.2
Other OECD Europe........... 7,261 7,185 6,999 7,192 69 1.0 Other importers ................ 2,554 2,422 2,487 2,160 394 18.2
Total OECD Europe........... 13,694 13,338 13,218 13,456 238 1.8 Total OECD Europe....... 4,569 4,360 4,308 3,808 761 20.0
Canada............................. 2,361 2,095 2,114 2,350 11 0.5 Canda............................... 108 164 96 133 (25) (18.8)
United States.................... 20,772 20,077 19,957 20,586 186 0.9 United States.................... 1,554 1,334 1,238 1,176 378 32.1
Japan................................ 3,120 2,954 3,007 3,051 69 2.3 Japan................................ 2,265 2,509 2,628 1,764 501 28.4
South Korea....................... 2,343 2,602 2,515 2,603 (260) (10.0) South Korea....................... 1,971 1,885 2,029 1,698 273 16.1
Other OECD....................... 44 32 48 86 (42) (48.8)
Other OECD....................... 3,970 4,009 3,846 3,554 416 11.7 Total OECD................... 10,511 10,284 10,347 8,665 1,846 21.3
Total OECD................... 46,260 45,075 44,657 45,600 660 1.4 Source: US Energy Information Administration
Data available at Oil & Gas Journal Research Center.
*End of Period. Source: US Energy Information Administration NOTE: No new data at press time.
Data available at Oil & Gas Journal Research Center.
NOTE: No new data at press time.
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