Stock Valuation: Subject: Introduction To Financial Management

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Stock Valuation

Subject: Introduction to Financial Management


Types of stock
• Common stock:
• Residual ownership of a firm.
• Carries the right to vote on.
✔ Corporate policy.
✔ Composition of the board of directors.
• Preferred stock:
• Carries no voting rights.
• Has preference over common stock.
• Usually has a fixed dividend.
Valuation
• The value of any asset is the present value of its expected future cash
flows.

• Stock ownership produces cash flows from:


• Dividends
• Capital Gains
One period Case
• Suppose you are thinking of purchasing the stock of Cipla.

• You think that you can sell the stock at ₹600 in an year.

• You expect a return of 20%.

• What is the maximum that you would be willing to pay for this stock?
One period Case
One period Case
• You have one more information about the stock i.e., Cipla pays a
dividend of ₹20 by the end of the year.

• Now how much would you be willing to pay for the stock?
One period Case
Two period case
• Same stock but you would like to sell at the end of two years at ₹630.

• Dividend amount is same for two years ₹20

• Today at what price would like to buy this share


Two period case
N-period case
N-period case
Stock valuation
How can we estimate all future dividend payments
• Zero Growth

• Constant Growth

• Differential Growth
Zero Growth Dividend
• Assume that dividends will remain at the same level forever

• Since future cash flows are constant, the value of a zero


growth stock is the present value of a perpetuity:
Zero Growth Dividend
• A stock pays ₹ 50 dividend every quarter. The required rate of
return is 10%. What is the price of the stock?

• Ans:
=50/0.1
= ₹ 500
Constant growth dividend
• Assume that dividends will grow at a constant rate, g, forever,
i.e.,

...
Constant growth dividend
• Since future cash flows grow at a constant rate forever:
Constant growth dividend
• Suppose Big D, Inc., just paid a dividend of $.50. It is expected to
increase its dividend by 2% per year. If the market requires a return
of 15% on assets of this risk level, how much should the stock be
selling for?
Constant growth dividend
• Value of a stock is the present value of all future cash flows

• We don’t consider the dividend that was already received.


(the dividend just received)

• What are cash flows that we are going to receive


• Dividends that grow at a constant rate
Constant growth dividend
Differential Growth
•Assume that dividends will grow at different rates in the
foreseeable future and then will grow at a constant rate
thereafter.
•To value a Differential Growth Stock
• Estimate future dividends in the foreseeable future.
• Estimate the future stock price when the stock becomes a Constant Growth
Stock
• Compute the total present value of the estimated future dividends and future
stock price at the appropriate discount rate.
Differential Growth
• Assume that dividends will grow at rate g1 for N years and grow
at rate g2 thereafter.
Differential Growth
A common stock just paid a dividend of $2. The dividend is expected to
grow at 8% for 3 years then it will grow at 4% in perpetuity. What is
the stock worth? The discount rate is 12%.
Differential Growth
Questions
• Question 5.16
• Question 5.20

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