Humanoid Robots - Sooner Than You Might Think

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Humanoid Robots:

Sooner Than You Might Think


| Shahnaz Seyid-zada – 61543 | GR 2102 |
As robots begin to move from the factory floor into our
homes and workplaces, they are making their first
tentative steps. Approximately $6 billion (or more) in
people-sized and shaped robots can potentially be
produced in the next 10 to 15 years, according to
Goldman Sachs Research. By 2030, such a market
could fill 4% of the labor shortage in US manufacturing
and 2% of global elderly care demand.
Future labor shortages open the
door to robotic workers

However, there are still some obstacles to overcome:


Humanoid robots can only last about one or two hours
without recharging. Research shows that some humanoid
robots are able to perform mobility and agility tasks, while
others are capable of handling cognitive and intellectual
tasks – but none of them can perform both.
Self-driving vehicles may be one of the most advanced
robot-like technologies on the market today, but a humanoid
robot would have to be much smarter and more capable
than that.
However, humanoid robots could become smarter and less expensive than
electric vehicles by 2025, and in consumer applications by 2030 to 2035,
Goldman Sachs suggests. There are several assumptions that support that
outlook, and the Goldman Sachs Research report details the multiple
breakthroughs that must occur.

Ideally, humanoid robots would be able to keep working for


20 hours before recharging - or recharging for one hour
and working for four to five hours, then repeat).

It would be necessary for such robots to increase their


mobility and agility incrementally, as well as their processing
abilities. Additionally, depth cameras, force feedback, visual
and voice sensors, and other aspects of the robot's senses
will need to be improved incrementally.
Moreover, computations will need to be improved
so robots can avoid obstacles, find the shortest
path to a task, and understand questions.

Once humanoid robots begin working, training


and refining their abilities will be more
challenging. There is a possibility that this process
could take upwards of a year.

In addition, robot makers must achieve 15-20%


cost reductions per year in order to pay back the
humanoid robot within two years.
There is precedent for overcoming those difficulties.
Cobots - collaborative robots - are now regularly used
in industrial settings, such as auto plants, which
provided the basis for the report. In the seven to ten
years between their first commercial versions and
batch sales, these robots faced significant skepticism,
much like humanoid robots today.
And like today's cobots, they had much to learn in
terms of dexterity and responsiveness. Today, they are
commonplace in certain industrial applications, and
humanoid robots could find a place as well.
It would be far more challenging in a household setting.
According to the report, consumer household
applications are significantly harder to design due to
the variety of scenarios, objects identified, navigation
systems, etc. That's ignoring how ordinary people react
to humanoid robots.
Thanks for Your Attention!

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