Approximately $6 billion will be spent in the next 10-15 years to produce people-sized humanoid robots, which could fill 4% of the US manufacturing labor shortage and 2% of global elderly care demand by 2030. However, current humanoid robots can only operate for 1-2 hours before needing to recharge, and none can perform both mobility and cognitive tasks. But breakthroughs in areas like processing power, sensors, and navigation could allow humanoid robots to become smarter than self-driving cars by 2025 and used in consumer applications by 2030-2035, according to Goldman Sachs, though challenges like training
Approximately $6 billion will be spent in the next 10-15 years to produce people-sized humanoid robots, which could fill 4% of the US manufacturing labor shortage and 2% of global elderly care demand by 2030. However, current humanoid robots can only operate for 1-2 hours before needing to recharge, and none can perform both mobility and cognitive tasks. But breakthroughs in areas like processing power, sensors, and navigation could allow humanoid robots to become smarter than self-driving cars by 2025 and used in consumer applications by 2030-2035, according to Goldman Sachs, though challenges like training
Approximately $6 billion will be spent in the next 10-15 years to produce people-sized humanoid robots, which could fill 4% of the US manufacturing labor shortage and 2% of global elderly care demand by 2030. However, current humanoid robots can only operate for 1-2 hours before needing to recharge, and none can perform both mobility and cognitive tasks. But breakthroughs in areas like processing power, sensors, and navigation could allow humanoid robots to become smarter than self-driving cars by 2025 and used in consumer applications by 2030-2035, according to Goldman Sachs, though challenges like training
Approximately $6 billion will be spent in the next 10-15 years to produce people-sized humanoid robots, which could fill 4% of the US manufacturing labor shortage and 2% of global elderly care demand by 2030. However, current humanoid robots can only operate for 1-2 hours before needing to recharge, and none can perform both mobility and cognitive tasks. But breakthroughs in areas like processing power, sensors, and navigation could allow humanoid robots to become smarter than self-driving cars by 2025 and used in consumer applications by 2030-2035, according to Goldman Sachs, though challenges like training
| Shahnaz Seyid-zada – 61543 | GR 2102 | As robots begin to move from the factory floor into our homes and workplaces, they are making their first tentative steps. Approximately $6 billion (or more) in people-sized and shaped robots can potentially be produced in the next 10 to 15 years, according to Goldman Sachs Research. By 2030, such a market could fill 4% of the labor shortage in US manufacturing and 2% of global elderly care demand. Future labor shortages open the door to robotic workers
However, there are still some obstacles to overcome:
Humanoid robots can only last about one or two hours without recharging. Research shows that some humanoid robots are able to perform mobility and agility tasks, while others are capable of handling cognitive and intellectual tasks – but none of them can perform both. Self-driving vehicles may be one of the most advanced robot-like technologies on the market today, but a humanoid robot would have to be much smarter and more capable than that. However, humanoid robots could become smarter and less expensive than electric vehicles by 2025, and in consumer applications by 2030 to 2035, Goldman Sachs suggests. There are several assumptions that support that outlook, and the Goldman Sachs Research report details the multiple breakthroughs that must occur.
Ideally, humanoid robots would be able to keep working for
20 hours before recharging - or recharging for one hour and working for four to five hours, then repeat).
It would be necessary for such robots to increase their
mobility and agility incrementally, as well as their processing abilities. Additionally, depth cameras, force feedback, visual and voice sensors, and other aspects of the robot's senses will need to be improved incrementally. Moreover, computations will need to be improved so robots can avoid obstacles, find the shortest path to a task, and understand questions.
Once humanoid robots begin working, training
and refining their abilities will be more challenging. There is a possibility that this process could take upwards of a year.
In addition, robot makers must achieve 15-20%
cost reductions per year in order to pay back the humanoid robot within two years. There is precedent for overcoming those difficulties. Cobots - collaborative robots - are now regularly used in industrial settings, such as auto plants, which provided the basis for the report. In the seven to ten years between their first commercial versions and batch sales, these robots faced significant skepticism, much like humanoid robots today. And like today's cobots, they had much to learn in terms of dexterity and responsiveness. Today, they are commonplace in certain industrial applications, and humanoid robots could find a place as well. It would be far more challenging in a household setting. According to the report, consumer household applications are significantly harder to design due to the variety of scenarios, objects identified, navigation systems, etc. That's ignoring how ordinary people react to humanoid robots. Thanks for Your Attention!