Summary of Regression Results On The Effects of Demographic Change On Economic Growth, Selected Studies Based On Conditional Convergence Models

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Study Time frame Number of Estimator specification Growth rate of Growth rate of (1)-(2)

observatio- economically active economically active


ns population population

Bloom and Williamson, 1998 1965-1990, 78 OLS, Table 3, Spec 1.46(0.34) -1.03(0.4) 1.68(0.35)
single cross- 70 1b OLS, Table 3, 1.41(0.37) -0.97(0.43) 1.60(0.38)
section 70 spec 1b IV, Table 4, 1.37(1.71) -0.92(2.12) 2.96(0.75)
spec 1b
Bloom and Sachs, 1998 1965-1990, 77 OLS, Table 6, spec 3 1.25(0.54) -1.01(0.67) 1.49(0.47)
single cross-
section
Bloom, Canning and Malaney, 1965-1990, 5-yr 391 OLS, Table 2, spec 2 1.27(0.38) -0.98(0.46) NA
2000 panel 391 IV, Table 2, spec 3 1.75(0.50) -1.30(0.54) 1.55(0.47)

Bloom and Canning, 2001 1965-1990, 80 IV, Table 7.3, spec 2.83(0.72) -3.01(0.69) 2.93(0.63)
single cross- 1.2
section
Bloom, Canning, Fink and 1960-2000, 5-yr 610 OLS, Table 2, spec 1 NA NA 0.80(0.27)
Finlay, 2007 panel 554 IV, Table 2, spec 2 NA NA 1.54(0.48)

Bloom and Canning, 2008 1965-1995, 5yr 507 OLS, Table 1, spec 1 NA NA 1.00(0.33)
panel 507 IV, Table 1, spec 2 NA NA 1.39(0.56)
Bloom and Finlay, 2009 1965-2005, 5yr 658 OLS, Table 4, spec 6 0.54(0.17) -0.16(0.22) NA
panel 657 IV, Table 4, spec 7 1.67(0.45) -1.70(0.50) NA
Bloom et.al, 2010 1960-2000, 5-yr 647 OLS, Table 5, spec 2 NA NA 0.87(0.27)
panel 571 IV, Table 5, spec 3 NA NA 0.56(0.40)
Summary of regression results on the effects of demographic change on economic growth, selected studies based on
conditional convergence models
Notes:
The dependent variable in all of these studies is the average annual growth rate of real GDP per capita (PPP)
See the table noted for a list of control variables (including in some cases other demographic variables), the nature of the standard
errors, and a list of instrument where relevant.
See the studies for a list of countries included.

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Laicopodium 200

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